TV_Vote Contest: Predict when Firefly will go over 125,000 and win a prize!
POSTED BY: leadb
UPDATED: Friday, January 26, 2007 23:06
VIEWED: 12940
PAGE 1 of 1
Free TV_Vote Contest: Predict when Firefly will go over 125,000 and win a prize!
Over the past months, you may have seen one or more of these threads like:
Vote for Firefly! http://www.fireflyfans.net/thread.asp?b=2&t=26017
and the actual vote tabluation is done here:
http://www.richlabonte.net/tvvote/index.html
This is a "fan power" survey, where you can vote once an hour as many times as you wish for your favorite shows. Firefly has been doing very well here. In an effort to keep interest up, I've decided to run this -fun- little contest.
Winner may select a prize from any of the retailers listed here, maximum value (including shipping and handling!) of $20.
** http://www.fireflyfans.net/thread.asp?b=2&t=25916
If winner does not specify a prize, they will receive a copy of the Done the Impossible DVD from here:
http://www.donetheimpossible.com/
Rules: one entry per human being, posted here. If you have multiple FFF accounts, please only make one prediction. Once you predict, no changes. In the event of a tie, winner will be selected by die roll, said die roll to be audited by my lovely wife. No fee to enter. Entry must be made by midnight EST Dec 31; no entries accepted after that.
No obligation to buy anything. If you lose, you can't sue me. All decisions final.
Winner will have to provide me a shipping address or address to send check to **.
No trick, no gimmick, I have nothing to gain from this (and $20 to lose ;-) ). Exactly one prize will be given away; no more.
How to play: Pick the date that you think firefly will go over 125,000 votes; then estimate what the "total votes" we will have that day, without going over ("total votes" will be the first tie breaker). In the event of a tie, the person who guesses the closest, without going over, to the number of "total votes" recorded for the day will win; if that's a tie, winner will be selected at random.
Suggestions: There's been a number of threads discussing the TV_vote; latest being. Check out some of the stats before picking a date.
http://www.fireflyfans.net/thread.asp?b=2&t=26017
Eg: If you go to this URL, you will see that there's a date at the top: http://richlabonte.net/tvvote/index.html
The winning date will the date at the top of the page where the page shows 125,000 -or more- votes for firefly. Say this date is January 3, 2007 (hey, I can dream!), and the vote total for that date is 125,444. Four people guess this date with the following "total vote that day" guesses:
a) 125,445
b) 125,400
c) 125,400
d) 125,111
Person a) will be out of contention; as they "went over". person d) is out of contention because there's two people who were closer in their guess than he/she. Persons b) and c) will enter a random selection process, and one will be chosen as the winner of the prize.
** I've never done business with any of these retailers and I reserve the right to send a check for $20 to the winner if I have a hard time either meeting payment method requirements (ie: I don't have paypal) or have trouble getting them to ship to an alternative address.
One final note; if those that run this site determine this contest is problematic in any way, the contest is immediately cancelled and no prize will be awarded.
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Again... this is a -fun- contest. Feel free to help stump the statistians by voting like crazy and moving in the "hit" date :-)
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Dang, I knew I'd forget something. If no one picks the correct date; again, we will go with "closest without going over". Thus if the correct date is Jan 3, some folks guess Jan 1, other guess Jan 4; it will be the folks on Jan 1 (closest without going over); then ties broken by total vote guess, etc.
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My guess is January 9.
wo men ren ran zai fei xing.
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I'm going with January 21 with 125,088 votes. Right shiny of you to do this by the way LeadB
I aim to misbehave!
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Quote:
Originally posted by ecgordon:
My guess is January 9.
wo men ren ran zai fei xing.
You didn't guess a "total" for the tie breaker. If folks don't put in a total guess, then their guess is -exactly- on the money; ie: 125,000.
Ecgordon... feel free to ammend with a total guess for the day if you want something besides exactly 125,000; but you can't change the day.
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January 9 - 125, 231
wo men ren ran zai fei xing.
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January 18th...125,237.
Keep voting browncoats!!!
-e
"Storms getting worse."
"We'll pass through it soon enough."
Vote for Firefly at http://richlabonte.net/tvvote/index.html
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January 23rd; 125,083
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-- 4 entries and counting!
Remember, you don't need to participate in the tv_vote survey to participate in this contest... it is open to everyone (of course, if you do start participating, all the better in my book :-); but it will not factor into the winning selection).
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I pick Jan 25th with 125151 votes.
Thank Universal for airing Firefly in HD at
http://universalhd.com/Firefly/
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I pick January 18 with 125,036 votes.
Annie
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January 31 125064
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Quote:
Originally posted by leadb:
Again... this is a -fun- contest. Feel free to help stump the statistians by voting like crazy and moving in the "hit" date :-)
Damned shiney of you LeadB!
Bein one of the afore mentioned statisticians, I'm of two minds here...
1) Wait for more data (default statistician position).
2) The holidays are skewing the data, guess now before it gets worse.
----------
Vote for Firefly http://www.richlabonte.net/tvvote/index.html

Sign up NOW! http://fireflyfans.net/thread.asp?b=11&t=25704
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Feb 1
125,125
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Here's my guess:
January 16 with 125,087 votes.
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This is a most excellent contest!! I vote hourly at work, I just don't have time to go into the voting forums to bump it. I am proud of my 8 votes a day 
I am going with January 19, 125,100
___________________________________________________________________________________________________
My sister's a ship. We had a complicated childhood.
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This is gonna involve math, isn't it?
*tries to check brain pilot light-encounters lots of fuzzy batting*
I am so screwed. 
Feb 2 125,591
*******
RMMC
When we're down, don't frown. Come join the camp-out at serenitymovie.org.
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Quote:
Originally posted by MrsCobb:
This is a most excellent contest!! I vote hourly at work, I just don't have time to go into the voting forums to bump it. I am proud of my 8 votes a day
I am always so glad when yet another person comes on just once to say that they've been voting regularly!!! Thankyou for your votes Mrs. Cobb (and for Jayne's shiney hat as well!).
Any more takers?????
-e
"Storms getting worse."
"We'll pass through it soon enough."
Vote for Firefly at http://richlabonte.net/tvvote/index.html
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I predict 24th at a total of 125,151
at least that's what my calculations make it, it will be cool to see how close I am, just my luck that some wheadon site will hold a feature on it and push us over the 1000 a day mark again, still at least we would catch bonanza quicker so everyones a winner!
http://richlabonte.net/tvvote/index.html
Together we will triumph. 
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My guess is Feb 6 with 125,101
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Let's see... February 12th 125 125 ;)
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January 20- 125,238
Deb![]()
http://serendipityagain.com/
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January 30th 125011
David
"Not completely as well as the series of Firefly..." - From a review of Serenity at amazon.de
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Quote:
Originally posted by MrsCobb:
This is a most excellent contest!! I vote hourly at work, I just don't have time to go into the voting forums to bump it. I am proud of my 8 votes a day
Well thank you. And I'd say 8 votes a day is right respectable!
All:
Still time to get your guesses in. Closing the doors midnight US EST on Dec 31.
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*bump*
This is a great idea.
________________________________
"There's no I in team."
"Well there's no you in team eitther, and if I'm not on the team, and you're not on the team, who's on the damn team! This team sucks."
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Jan 30th. 125,126
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Feb 5: 125,177
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Remember, get your guesses in by Midnight US ET tonight. For reference, it is now 11am US ET.
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I'm gonna go with Feb. 19th and 125,048 votes.
"...I'm still free, you can't take the sky from me."
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I'll say Feb 13, 2007 at 125,001.
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Well...I am gonna tap January 14th with a closing total of 125, 521
BEB
Literature has shown us some of humanity's greatest achievements; history, some of our greatest failures -- Alun Lewis
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About 30 minutes to close, if you got a guess, put in here!
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And the contest entry phase closes. Thanks to all who guessed; we'll provide periodic updates on how things are progressing and who seems to be in a good shot to win, all that rot.
And remember, vote often! Vote proudly! Vote Firefly!
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So, is this all of it, then?
Ecgordon – January 9; 125,231
BlueEyedBrigadier - January 14; 125,521
Dewrastler - January 16; 125,087
Scarecrow866 - January 18; 125,036
Derangedmilk - January 18; 125,237
MrsCobb - January 19; 125,100
Sweetserendipity - January 20; 125,238
Fireflygal – January 21; 125,088
Yinyang - January 23; 125,083
EvilBungle – January (?) 24; 125,151
Jlin - January 25; 125,151
Daveshayne – January 30; 125,011
Anders – January 30; 125,126
Psands - January 31; 125,064
Flyvote - February 1; 125,125
RMMC - February 2; 125,591
GreenFaerie - February 5; 125,177
Mai - February 6; 125,101
Fedexxx - February 12; 125,125
DRU - February 13; 125,001
Traevynn - February 19; 125,048
Rules on voting here: http://www.fireflyfans.net/thread.asp?b=2&t=22892
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:-) Well thank you for doing that! I was planning on compiling such a list, but had not gotten to it yet. I will do a double check, though!
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I've double checked Yinyang's work, and find it to be accurate. This is the contestant - guess list:
Ecgordon – January 9; 125,231
BlueEyedBrigadier - January 14; 125,521
Dewrastler - January 16; 125,087
Scarecrow866 - January 18; 125,036
Derangedmilk - January 18; 125,237
MrsCobb - January 19; 125,100
Sweetserendipity - January 20; 125,238
Fireflygal – January 21; 125,088
Yinyang - January 23; 125,083
EvilBungle – January 24; 125,151
Jlin - January 25; 125,151
Daveshayne – January 30; 125,011
Anders – January 30; 125,126
Psands - January 31; 125,064
Flyvote - February 1; 125,125
RMMC - February 2; 125,591
GreenFaerie - February 5; 125,177
Mai - February 6; 125,101
Fedexxx - February 12; 125,125
DRU - February 13; 125,001
Traevynn - February 19; 125,048
And "makes official" the interpretation of EvilBungle's guess as being "January" 24.
Folks... if you want Ecgordon to win, we gots to get voting! We only have 11 days left and 17 thousand votes to go! I'm all for an optomist winning this, since the more of an optomist wins, that means the faster Firefly got votes!
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I'm gonna lose, 'cause we'll be well past 125k by Feb 1st. But that is a GOOD THING.
If I had (or were to) win, I would have upped the ante by tossing in $20 of my own for the 150k mark. Perhaps the winner will do that.
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Since I'm going to lose anyway, I may as well provide the means.
FlyVote 1.1 will help you vote for FireFly by popping up the vote page for your vote, then sleeping for 60 minutes.
Give it a try. Let me know if you have any troubles with the program. Windows/Linux/Mac.
The Windows program does not requite an install - it is just an .exe. Can be run from a USB drive to take from PC to PC.
---- ---- ---- ---- ----
Flyvote:
http://www.usbmicro.com/misc/winflyvote.zip
http://www.usbmicro.com/misc/linuxflyvote.zip
http://www.usbmicro.com/misc/macflyvote.zip
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great little app there! now i won't forget to vote so much!
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Thanks!
Sorry that it will screw up your chances of winning...
(Edit: I could watch that little gif animation wiggle for an hour. Is that a bad thing?
)
---- ---- ---- ---- ----
Flyvote:
http://www.usbmicro.com/misc/winflyvote.zip
http://www.usbmicro.com/misc/linuxflyvote.zip
http://www.usbmicro.com/misc/macflyvote.zip
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I don't mind losing if we get to the top of that list!
I think so much of the program that I posted your links to the SCIFI Firefly forum. I hope you don't mind. If it turns out to be spyware, you're a dead man. Of course, no browncoat would do something like that, so I trust you!
(shakes hips again just for Flyvote)
P.S. I love the quotes!
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Quote:
Originally posted by GreenFaerie:
I don't mind losing if we get to the top of that list!
Same here...
Quote:
I think so much of the program that I posted your links to the SCIFI Firefly forum. I hope you don't mind. If it turns out to be spyware, you're a dead man. Of course, no browncoat would do something like that, so I trust you!
The programs are not malicious. Just include a few quotes from Mal, in latin: "bad".
Quote:
(shakes hips again just for Flyvote)
P.S. I love the quotes!
If you use FlyVote 1.1 click the FlyVote picture to update the random quote.
---- ---- ---- ---- ----

Flyvote:
http://www.usbmicro.com/misc/winflyvote.zip
http://www.usbmicro.com/misc/linuxflyvote.zip
http://www.usbmicro.com/misc/macflyvote.zip
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Jan 10... so I fear Ecgordon is out of the contest...
We are up to..
Firefly 114826
votes. That means 10174 votes to go...
BlueEyedBrigadier... Jan 14... hmmm, well, be happy to see that take the win spot... but that might be a bit optomistic at this point... Of course, you all feel free to prove me wrong!
Maybe that reminder tool up there is what we all need to make this happen ;-) Nice work Flyvote!
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Jan 14 is looking pretty unlikely. But these folks have a pretty decent shot...
125,000
-117659
-------
7,341
Dewrastler - January 16; 125,087
Scarecrow866 - January 18; 125,036
Derangedmilk - January 18; 125,237
MrsCobb - January 19; 125,100
But we are going to have hold tight to 1,000 a day... but we -could- do that. Let's just do it! Let's make one of these folks a winner. Vote, you know you want to!
http://richlabonte.net/tvvote/index.html
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Well, 1/16 and...
Firefly 120432
4,568 to go...
I think we are narrowing down to...
MrsCobb - January 19; 125,100
Sweetserendipity - January 20; 125,238
Fireflygal – January 21; 125,088
Yinyang - January 23; 125,083
Are the likely winners at this point... we'll need to push a bit for MrsCobb to win; but it's not impossible. Push the button for MrsCobb!!!!
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Traevynn - February 19; 125,048
We could potentially be at 155,000 by then.
Gorram nice! (sorry Traevynn)
---- ---- ---- ---- ----
Flyvote (version 1.2):
http://www.usbmicro.com/misc
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It's going to happen on 22 January because no one predicted 22 Jan...
I aim to misbehave!
Firefly items:
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I love my Colonel!
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Quote:
we'll need to push a bit for MrsCobb to win; but it's not impossible. Push the button for MrsCobb!!!!
I am starting my mantra of 1000+ votes over and over in my head!

___________________________________________________________________________________________________
My sister's a ship. We had a complicated childhood.
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Wow, still over 1,000. C'mon Jan 21!
I aim to misbehave!
Firefly items:
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I love my Colonel!
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Well it looks like I'm out. Darn, I was really hoping for 4,000 votes yesterday....
-e
"Storms getting worse."
"We'll pass through it soon enough."
Vote for Firefly at http://richlabonte.net/tvvote/index.html
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Quote:
Originally posted by fireflygal:
Wow, still over 1,000. C'mon Jan 21!
My magic calculator puts the numbers at 125,375 on Jan 21. Let me be the first to pre-congratulate you! (Provided that isn't jinx-ish.)
---- ---- ---- ---- ----
Flyvote (version 1.2):
http://www.usbmicro.com/misc
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Aagggh! No jinx, no jinx. Crossing fingers and toes now...um, can't work with my appendages crossed...
I aim to misbehave!
Firefly items:
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Quote:
Originally posted by fireflygal:
Aagggh! No jinx, no jinx. Crossing fingers and toes now...um, can't work with my appendages crossed...
Just imagining someone crossing their toes makes my foot cramp up.
You're safe. I juggled a gosling to ward off the jinx.
---- ---- ---- ---- ----
Flyvote (version 1.2):
http://www.usbmicro.com/misc
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Phew, thanks Flyvote, that gosling will do the trick, now I can uncross and go back to work... people were starting to look at me funny (funnier)...
I aim to misbehave!
Firefly items:
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e-mail FireflyGal1@hotmail.com
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Sign up NOW! http://fireflyfans.net/thread.asp?b=11&t=25704
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I love my Colonel!
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Quote:
Originally posted by fireflygal:
Phew, thanks Flyvote, that gosling will do the trick, now I can uncross and go back to work... people were starting to look at me funny (funnier)...
You're not the one juggling...
---- ---- ---- ---- ----
Flyvote (version 1.2):
http://www.usbmicro.com/misc
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Firefly 122495
so...
2,505
to go... and it is 1/18...
I'd be delight to have us smash all records and put...
MrsCobb - January 19; 125,100
but it looks like we are narrowing down to these three..
Sweetserendipity - January 20; 125,238
Fireflygal – January 21; 125,088
Yinyang - January 23; 125,083
Let's make sure we make one of these folks the winner, and keep those votes rolling in!
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Looks like I'm out too! But I'm voting every chance I get (at work and at home!) 
Annie
Gee, I've never been in trouble with the law before.
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Quote:
FLYVOTE
"Who's flying this thing?" Tuesday, January 16, 2007 - 19:24
"Traevynn - February 19; 125,048
We could potentially be at 155,000 by then.
Gorram nice! (sorry Traevynn)"
HOE-tze duh PEE-goo! I knew I didn't have much chance but I went with my birthday hoping it would be lucky.

155,000 votes by then ain't bad. We'll pass Bonanza! WooHoooo!
"...I'm still free, you can't take the sky from me."
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Getting closer....
I aim to misbehave!
Firefly items:
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closer.......
I aim to misbehave!
Firefly items:
For lapel pins and badge holder lanyards
e-mail FireflyGal1@hotmail.com
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I love my Colonel!
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Well, not to be looking like I'm playing favorites, but with the incredible turn out we've had this week, I cannot see any way for this to turn out but one... (knocks on wood) ... best wishes fireflygal! ... (knocks on more wood).
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Oh, you're playing favorites. I say you had this fixed the whole time.
I'm not sure how you managed it, but I'm completely sure that you cheated. Manipulated things, I say, to benefit the person that you are predisposed to favor. 
You're no longer in the band, man!
Take your toys and go home.
I don't want to play no more. 
- - - 
There! That was fun. Got that out of my system. I got to use all of the angry icons!
I still don't know when to use this
though...
Big congrats to Fireflygal, who is the best gal with firefly in her name!
Good job with your guess.
And many thanks to LeadB for starting this contest. Wanna do another? 150k? I'll even pitch in. Send "Flyvote" a message if you would like to do this.
Oh, god! I missed "fork" and "evil"
I guess that those two are good for when you want to be forkin' evil! 
(OK enough goofing with the emoticons...)
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Gee Flyvote, how do you really feel?
Seriously, I wanted
Ecgordon – January 9; 125,231
to win ;-)
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O.K. My guess is... Jan 21 with 125,089 votes!
Wooo hooo! I win!
I really thought that I would be pretty close with my guess in Feb. But, Hey, I'm tickled to be wrong in the right direction to be wrong! Congrats again to FireflyGal!
There will be another contest...
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:fireworks:
ok... it didn't work, but you get the idea. 
We hit the bit 125K mark today, as much anticipated.
Firefly 125603
Flyvote wins with his... What? His entry was... late!!!... Take that boy out to the wood shed!
The genuine, official, most incredibly accurate guessing contestant is :drumroll:
FIREFLYGAL with her entry of: January 21; 125,088
!!!!
I'd like to thank all of you who participated in our little event here. Lots of good guesses and some genuine fun. In fact... so much fun, I've been asked to put up a run for the 150K mark; expect a thread shortly... new sponsor too!
Speaking of sponsors, I'll be sending a Fly gal a note with details on how to collect her prize.
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Go me 
I aim to misbehave!
Firefly items:
For lapel pins and badge holder lanyards
e-mail FireflyGal1@hotmail.com
www.outtotheblack.com
www.cafepress.com/fillies
www.cafepress.com/mssquarepeg.com
www.cafepress.com/mrsquarepeg.com
Sign up NOW! http://fireflyfans.net/thread.asp?b=11&t=25704
More Information: http://76thbattalion.homestead.com/index.html
I love my Colonel!
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Very nice acceptance speach... short, to the point, pithy!
For the curious, FireflyGal had to ponder long and hard over what her "prize" should be.
You might recall that the list of prize "points" was select to be a group of vendors which were "disappointed" when... well... you can read it here:
** http://www.fireflyfans.net/thread.asp?b=2&t=25916
In her words...
>Actually what I would like to do, one of the vendors at Flan B
>that you missed was the Bedlam Bards. I would like to donate the
>$20 to them since they drove out and played and they are least
>able to afford it of any of the guests.
Needless to say, this was exactly "in spirit" of the intention of the prize selection list; she even did the leg work to figure out how to make the donations (THANKS!).
This also introduced me to the Bards; and I'm saving up my personal pennies to order their "Fire fly themed" cd
"On the Drift"
which can be found here:
http://www.bedlambards.com/recordng.html
The clips sound most intriguing!
Once again, thank you all who entered; for whom without this contest would have been most boring indeed ;-) And thanks to our fun and gracious winner, FireflyGal!
+++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++
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...The 'verse just got bigger
Vote for Firefly at: http://richlabonte.net/tvvote/index.html
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