Election Polls by THG

REAL WORLD EVENT DISCUSSIONS

Election Polls

POSTED BY: THG
UPDATED: Tuesday, September 17, 2024 08:42
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VIEWED: 383
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Wednesday, August 21, 2024 11:28 AM

Things are trending towards Harris big time.

National
Harris 1.5%
Average of 10 Polls*
Last Poll: Aug. 19
All National Polls

Nebraska Dist. 2 (1)
Harris 8%
Most Recent Poll
Last Poll: Aug. 20
All Nebraska Dist. 2 Polls

Virginia (13)
Harris 3%
Most Recent Poll
Last Poll: Aug. 20
All Virginia Polls

Arizona (11)
Harris 1.4%
Average of 5 Polls*
Last Poll: Aug. 19
All Arizona Polls

Florida (30)
Trump 5%
Average of 4 Polls*
Last Poll: Aug. 19
All Florida Polls

Georgia (16)
Trump 0.8%
Average of 5 Polls*
Last Poll: Aug. 19
All Georgia Polls

Michigan (15)
Harris 1.8%
Average of 5 Polls*
Last Poll: Aug. 19
All Michigan Polls

Minnesota (10)
Harris 7.7%
Average of 3 Polls*
Last Poll: Aug. 19
All Minnesota Polls

New Hampshire (4)
Harris 4.3%
Average of 4 Polls*
Last Poll: Aug. 19
All New Hampshire Polls

New Mexico (5)
Harris 6%
Most Recent Poll
Last Poll: Aug. 19
All New Mexico Polls

North Carolina (16)
Trump 1.4%
Average of 5 Polls*
Last Poll: Aug. 19
All North Carolina Polls

Pennsylvania (19)
Harris 1.3%
Average of 8 Polls*
Last Poll: Aug. 19
All Pennsylvania Polls

Wisconsin (10)
Harris 4%
Average of 5 Polls*
Last Poll: Aug. 19
All Wisconsin Polls

Nevada (6)
Trump 0.4%
Average of 5 Polls*
Last Poll: Aug. 17
All Nevada Polls

Montana (4)
Trump 15.7%
Average of 3 Polls*
Last Poll: Aug. 15
All Montana Polls

California (54)
Harris 25%
Most Recent Poll
Last Poll: Aug. 14
All California Polls

New York (28)
Harris 14%
Most Recent Poll
Last Poll: Aug. 6
All New York Polls

Ohio (17)
Trump 10%
Most Recent Poll
Last Poll: Aug. 1
All Ohio Polls

Oregon (8)
Harris 5%
Most Recent Poll
Last Poll: Jul. 30
All Oregon Polls

Washington (12)
Harris 14.5%
Average of 2 Polls*
Last Poll: Jul. 26
All Washington Polls

Maine (2)
Harris 9%
Most Recent Poll
Last Poll: Jul. 25
All Maine Polls

Texas (40)
Trump 13%
Most Recent Poll
Last Poll: Jan.

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Wednesday, August 21, 2024 12:08 PM

6IXSTRINGJACK

National00000000Harris +1.5000Biden +7.40000Clinton +5.7
--------------------------------------------------------
Wisconsin0000000Harris +1.0000Biden +6.50000Clinton +9.4
Pennsylvania0000Trump0 +0.2000Biden +5.70000Clinton +9.2
Michigan00000000Harris +2.0000Biden +6.70000Clinton +8.0
Arizona000000000Trump0 +0.2000Biden +2.00000Trump00 +0.3
Nevada0000000000Trump0 +1.3000--000000000000Clinton +2.3
North Carolina00Trump0 +1.2000Trump +0.60000Clinton +2.0
Georgia000000000Trump0 +1.0000Trump +1.10000Clinton +0.3

Quote:
Originally posted by 6ixStringJack:
Quote:
Originally posted by THG:
Keep in mind moron that when Biden faced Trump Biden destroyed him.

No. He didn't.

This is where your lack of Math skills shines.

https://ballotpedia.org/Presidential_battleground_states,_2020

Biden* only won the meaningless Popular Vote by 4.2%. That's 3.4% less than what Joe* was polling at on August 20th of 2020, and 2.7% more than what Kamala is currently polling at. All of those excess votes came from Chicago, Illinois and New York alone.

The Battleground states are where Joe* won by just thousands over Trump.

Wisconsin: Biden* won by 20,608 votes.
Pennsylvania: Biden* won by 80,555 votes.
Michigan: Biden* won by 154,188 votes.
Arizona: Biden* won by 10,457 votes.
Nevada: Biden* won by 33,596 votes.
Georgia: Biden* won by 11,779 votes.
North Carolina: Trump won by 74,483 votes.

Per NPR, circa December 2nd, 2020:

Narrow Wins In These Key States Powered Biden To The Presidency

https://www.npr.org/2020/12/02/940689086/narrow-wins-in-these-key-stat
es-powered-biden-to-the-presidency

Quote:
The tight races in the trio of states had a big electoral impact. As NPR's Domenico Montanaro has put it, "just 44,000 votes in Georgia, Arizona and Wisconsin separated Biden and Trump from a tie in the Electoral College."

44,000 votes Ted. Just 44,000 votes in 3 states were the difference between a Biden* presidency and a Trump presidency.

And right now? After a full 5 weeks of gaslighting by the media, and everyone doing their damnedest to memory hole how unpopular Harris has been for the last 4 years while doing everything in their power to hide Harris from the media?

Harris is behind 5.5 points from where Biden* was in Wisconsin.
- Biden* only won Wisconsin by 1.7 points.

Harris is behind 5.9 points from where Biden* was in Pennsylvania.
- Biden* only won Pennsylvania by 0.2 points.

Harris is behind 4.7 points form where Biden* was in Michigan.
- Biden* only won Michigan by 2.8 points.

Harris is behind 1.8 points from where Biden* was in Arizona.
- Biden* only won Arizona by 0.3 points.

Harris is behind 0.6 points from where Biden* was in North Carolina.
- Biden* only won North Carolina by 1.3 points.

Harris is behind 0.1 points from where Biden* was in Georgia.
- Biden* only won Georgia by 0.2 points.

And in Nevada, Trump was considered so far behind they didn't even bother polling in 2020.
4 years later, Trump is currently leading Harris by 1.3 points.
- Biden* only won Nevada by 2.4 points.

If the election took place tomorrow and the polls were as wrong as they were 4 years ago, Trump wins every single swing state. Most of them without even breaking a sweat.

STRENGTH THROUGH JOY!

--------------------------------------------------

Trump will be fine.
He will also be your next President.

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Wednesday, August 21, 2024 12:43 PM

THG

Posting polls from 2020 when Biden won is just a distraction from today's truth. I love the theme of your post, Biden only won by. I wish you could see me laughing. Exactly, Biden won.

Nice to see you finally outed yourself as a Nazi. Something many of us here have said about you for years. When Kamala wins, we'll take out the Nazi's by excluding you from the benefits America has to offer. That said, it'll be funny watching you all scurry back under the rocks you crawl out from under.

Hurry, post how the symbol means something else. Common, spring your trap.

tick tock

T

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Wednesday, August 21, 2024 1:20 PM

6IXSTRINGJACK

Biden won by 44,000 votes in 3 states. That's it.

Harris currently is losing bigly in the battleground states, no matter how many 10's of Millions of votes she gets in California.

The Democrat party that is engaging in non-stop Nazi propaganda right now. You really need to reevaluate your current situation.

Strength Through Joy is Nazi sloganeering. The Democrat party is history repeating itself because stupid people like you allow it.

--------------------------------------------------

Trump will be fine.
He will also be your next President.

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Wednesday, August 21, 2024 1:25 PM

THG

I wonder how many times I can get you to admit Biden won. Especially since you posted many times the democrats stole the election.

Now, Biden got 306 electoral votes. He expanded the map. Which means if he lost a battle ground state it wouldn't matter. Do you even know how this shit works? Trump lost bigtime; end of story.

T

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Wednesday, August 21, 2024 3:22 PM

6IXSTRINGJACK

Are you retarded or something?

--------------------------------------------------

Trump will be fine.
He will also be your next President.

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Saturday, September 14, 2024 6:20 PM

THG

I'll get back to this when I have a bit more time.

T

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Saturday, September 14, 2024 6:21 PM

6IXSTRINGJACK

Quote:
Originally posted by THG:
I'll get back to this when I have a bit more time.

T

No need to wait on your timetable. I already took care of it for you...

Quote:
Originally posted by 6ixStringJack:
Yahoo "News" just put out a poll saying Kamala is +4.

Back in February, Yahoo "News" had Trump at +3, at a time when Harvard/Harris had Trump up +10. On both the poll before and the poll after the Yahoo "News" poll came out.

Currently, Harvard/Harris has Trump and Harris in a Tie.

Make of that what you will.

--------------------------------------------------

Trump will be fine.
He will also be your next President.

--------------------------------------------------

Trump will be fine.
He will also be your next President.

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Sunday, September 15, 2024 7:11 PM

THG

Trump’s Iowa Lead Crumbles; Sign of Big Trouble Nationally? | Tim's Take

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Sunday, September 15, 2024 10:37 PM

6IXSTRINGJACK

Quote:
Originally posted by THG:
T

Trump’s Iowa Lead Crumbles

No. It didn't.

Nobody polls Iowa because Iowa doesn't matter. On 538 the last three Iowa polls were from September 11th, July 9th and June 27th. All by 3 different firms who undoubtedly have very different methodologies. Hence the reason why people look at aggregates.

Trying to aggregate results of 3 polls over 4 months, particularly the crazy last 4 months, is a fool's errand. Looking at one single poll in a state that nobody bothers polling is just being an ass. Not even bothering to look into the polling methodology on top of that just shows how not serious you are about getting unbiased answers that agree with reality.

Leave the poll deciphering to people who understand basic math and have at least an 8th grade grasp of civics.

--------------------------------------------------

Trump will be fine.
He will also be your next President.

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Sunday, September 15, 2024 10:58 PM

6IXSTRINGJACK

Here's some info on the polling firm Selzer & Co. that just put Trump at only a 4 point lead in Iowa.

https://ballotpedia.org/Selzer_%26_Company

Quote:
Selzer (of Selzer & Co.) conducted a national presidential poll following the Democratic and Republican nominating conventions in August 2020 that found former Vice President Joe Biden (D) leading President Donald Trump (R) by eight points, 49% to 41%. In Iowa, Selzer found Biden and Trump tied at 47% each in September 2020.[4]

Yup. In August of 2020 they had Biden* up by 8 points in the national vote. Joe* won the Popular Vote by 4%.

Their state poll for before the election had Biden* and Trump tied in Iowa. Trump went on to win Iowa 53.1% to 44.9%. For those of us who can't math, Trump won Iowa by 8.2% right after Selzer & Co's poll called Iowa was a tie.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2020_United_States_presidential_election
_in_Iowa

If this polling firm was as bad at its job as it was this time 4 years ago, Trump wins Iowa by 12% on Election Day 2024.

TL;DR: You got clickbaited again, son.

Thank you for bringing this specific point up. It made for an excellent teaching moment.

--------------------------------------------------

Trump will be fine.
He will also be your next President.

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Monday, September 16, 2024 10:43 PM

THG

tick tock

T

BREAKING: Best Poll Yet For Harris

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Monday, September 16, 2024 10:58 PM

6IXSTRINGJACK

Tell me which state it's from so I can debunk it.

I'm not even going to click on that video long enough to find out because I'm not giving clickbait trash youtube channels from either side any engagement.

--------------------------------------------------

Trump will be fine.
He will also be your next President.

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Monday, September 16, 2024 11:15 PM

THG

You'll have to watch it.

T

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Tuesday, September 17, 2024 8:42 AM

THG

tick tock

T

Poll bombshells: Harris beats Trump on the economy--and could flip Florida?!

https://www.msn.com/en-us/news/politics/poll-bombshells-harris-beats-t
rump-on-the-economy-and-could-flip-florida/vi-AA1qGt3J?ocid=msedgdhp&pc=U531&cvid=48af168375af489ca395b3040585dc3d&ei=22

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