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The possibility of terrorism stems from reports published earlier in November 2024 that incendiary devices had been sent from Lithuania via DHL to other parts of the DHL network. These devices subsequently caused fires at DHL logistics centers located in Leipzig as well as Birmingham in the UK. This will undoubtedly form a crucial part of the investigation, along with data from the aircraft’s flight data recorder and cockpit voice recorders, both of which should give clear data as to what was happening onboard during the final moments of the flight.

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Reviewing the flight data obtained from the aviation data website Flightrardar24 shows that flight BCS18D departed Leipzig at 03:08 local time for the one-hour and 20-minute flight to Vilnius. The was 32 minutes ahead of its scheduled departure time of 03:40. The flight was due to arrive in Vilnius at around 05:30 local time.

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no issues reported by the pilots before the terrain impact, according to Lithuanian officials

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Video evidence seen by AeroTime shows the aircraft fully established for its landing, with little sign of any anomaly. The aircraft passes over the suburb of Liepkalnis Hill less than a mile from touchdown at that point. It then appears to suddenly pitch violently nose-up before it disappears from view before a large post-impact fire becomes visible.

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The video below appears to give no clear sign of anything wrong with the aircraft itself, with no mechanical or technical defect seemingly evident. Poor weather conditions do not appear to be a factor. The 737 can be seen on short finals for runway 19 before some catastrophic event occurs just a few hundred meters from the runway threshold.

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