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Originally posted by 6ixStringJack:


It needs $470 Million to break even. $272 Million after 10 days is not very likely to get it there.

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Originally posted by 6ixStringJack:
Didn't have much hope for Karate Kid.

Sounds like a blip. You know if they broke the bank on that budget or not? I can't even be arsed to look it up, honestly.

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"I don't find this stuff amusing anymore." ~Paul Simon

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Quiet night around here. So I did look it up since Bruce didn't have it.

Variety said that it was $45 Million and that they expect it to make a profit due to the "modest" budget. To be fair to them, sadly, $45 Million does appear to be pretty modest in 2025, considering we've had 2 horror movies this year that were $50 Million and $90 Million already.

Worldwide Gross is just a few bucks over $46 Million, so unless anything crazy happens like a complete loss of interest by Weekend 2, I concur with their statement.

Unless marketing for this was a low-budget affair, which I honestly wouldn't know because we're 5 months into 2025 and I have yet to see a single commercial, it's probably not going to make all that much in the end, but it shouldn't lose any money for Sony or Columbia Pictures.

As time passes and I don't obsess over these movies any longer, I couldn't say with absolute certainty now, but I can't think of a single example where a movie didn't make money as long as it recouped at least 100% of the production budget worldwide after the first weekend. This one passed that test, even if just by only $1 Million.

It needs $112.5 Million to break even at RoT2.5x. If it doesn't buck the usual trend, it should be sitting somewhere just under $100 Million by the end of next weekend, and it will be making money, likely during or right before the start of Weekend 3. But by weekend 4 we're already looking at Domestic number of maybe $2 or $3 Million tops.

But hey... $30-$40 Million in profit off of a $45 Million investment ain't half bad. If I had a money printing machine where I could nearly double my money, I'd be using it every chance I had.

This is actually a real good example of what the studios need to get back to.

Make 8 of these movies instead of 1 Mission Impossible movie. Not only aren't you wasting all your budget on some high-priced prima-donna that most American's can't stand to look at anymore*, but you'd be putting 8 times as many actual working people to work and/or keeping those people 8 times as gainfully employed than if they were only making the one movie.

Your bonus is if you lose on one or two of them, you aren't betting the farm on them and you can always luck into one or two of those eight movies being a mega-hit that brings in a ton of cash.

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