Do you feel like the winds of change are blowing today too? by 6ixStringJack

REAL WORLD EVENT DISCUSSIONS

Do you feel like the winds of change are blowing today too?

POSTED BY: 6IXSTRINGJACK
UPDATED: Tuesday, March 24, 2026 18:01
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Tuesday, March 17, 2026 8:09 AM

The Joss Whedon script for Serenity, where Wash lives, is Serenity-190pages.pdf at https://www.mediafire.com/two

Trump muses over ‘taking Cuba’ as island’s power grid collapses after weeks of US oil blockade

“You know, all my life I’ve been hearing about United States and Cuba, when will the United States having the honor of taking Cuba? That’s a big honor,” Trump said in remarks from the Oval Office. “Taking Cuba in some form, yeah, taking Cuba — I mean, whether I free it, take it, I think I can do anything I want with it.”

https://www.cnn.com/2026/03/16/americas/cuba-power-grid-collapse-intl-
latam

The Joss Whedon script for Serenity, where Wash lives, is Serenity-190pages.pdf at https://www.mediafire.com/two

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Tuesday, March 17, 2026 9:26 AM

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The Joss Whedon script for Serenity, where Wash lives, is Serenity-190pages.pdf at https://www.mediafire.com/two

Not Just a Mistake, a Crime

March 10, 2026

Besides invading other countries, there are other ways to defy international law. The U.S. embargo of Cuba, begun in 1960 and continuing to this day, has caused incalculable suffering. It is flatly, unambiguously illegal. Every year the UN General Assembly votes, virtually unanimously, to require the United States to end it. But Florida’s electoral votes are far more important in Washington than international law. The U.S. embargo of Iran is also illegal—embargoes and blockades are acts of war, which can only be authorized by the Security Council. And every year since 1967, the General Assembly has voted—again near-unanimously—to require Israel to withdraw from the Palestinian territories it has illegally occupied. But thanks to unflagging American support, Israel, too, can ignore international law, on the West Bank and, apocalyptically, in Gaza.

As a result of this long and abysmal history, international law now has no force whatever. Previous U.S. administrations pretended to care about it and regularly ignored it. The present administration does not even pretend to respect law, domestic or international. A culture of law-abidingness is no more comprehensible to President Trump and his goon squad than quantum entanglement.

https://www.commonwealmagazine.org/scialabba-iran-war-trump-internatio
nal-law-israel?check_logged_in=1

The Joss Whedon script for Serenity, where Wash lives, is Serenity-190pages.pdf at https://www.mediafire.com/two

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Wednesday, March 18, 2026 7:59 AM

SECOND

The Joss Whedon script for Serenity, where Wash lives, is Serenity-190pages.pdf at https://www.mediafire.com/two

The world’s most credible democracy watchdog: ‘Trump is aiming for dictatorship’

By Martin Gelin | Tue 17 Mar 2026

https://www.theguardian.com/world/commentisfree/2026/mar/17/trump-is-a
iming-for-dictatorship-thats-the-verdict-of-the-worlds-most-credible-democracy-watchdog

The US is no longer a democracy. One of the most credible global sources on the health of democratic nations now says this outright. The Varieties of Democracy (V-Dem) Institute at Gothenburg University reaches the alarming conclusion in its annual report, that the US is hurtling towards autocracy at a faster rate than Hungary and Turkey. https://www.v-dem.net/documents/75/V-Dem_Institute_Democracy_Report_20
26_lowres.pdf

“Our data on the USA goes back to 1789. What we’re seeing now is the most severe magnitude of democratic backsliding ever in the country,” says Staffan Lindberg, founder of the institute.

Since 2012, Lindberg has led his small group of researchers in Sweden to become the world’s leading source for analysis of the health of global democracy. In their latest report, published on Tuesday, they conclude that the US, for the first time in more than half a century, has lost its long-term status as a liberal democracy. The country is now going through a rapid process of what the report’s authors call “autocratisation”.

“For Orbán in Hungary, it took about four years, for Vucic in Serbia, it took eight years, and for Erdogan in Turkey and Modi in India, it took about 10 years to accomplish the suppression of democratic institutions that Trump has achieved in only one year,” Lindberg says.

US democracy is now back at the worst recorded level since 1965, when US civil rights laws first introduced de facto universal suffrage. All progress made since then has been erased, according to the report.

The researchers use 48 different metrics to assess democratic health, such as the freedom of expression and the media, the quality of elections and the observance of the rule of law. The resulting “liberal democracy index” shows that the speed with which US democracy is being dismantled is unprecedented in modern history. The main factor is a “rapid and aggressive concentration of powers in the presidency”, Lindberg says. Congress has been marginalised, jeopardising the “checks and balances” (judicial and legislative constraints on the executive) so crucial to US democracy. At the same time, civil rights have been rapidly declining and freedom of expression is now at its lowest level since the 1940s.

“We’ve seen a very fast concentration of power in the executive wing. The legislative branch has practically abdicated its powers to the president. It no longer functions as a check on executive power,” Lindberg says.

In Donald Trump’s first year as president, he signed 225 executive orders, whereas the Republican-controlled Congress passed only 49 new laws. “Most of Trump’s executive orders were significant. He shut down entire departments of the government, firing hundreds of thousands of employees. The bills passed by Congress were mostly insignificant modifications to existing laws. So, we no longer have a meaningful division between the legislative and executive branches,” Lindberg says.

Meanwhile, the supreme court has also mostly abdicated power, and even when it does strike down Trump’s executive orders, he circumvents it, Lindberg tells me. He points out that there are more than 600 ongoing judicial procedures against the Trump administration in the courts.

Another aspect of America’s rapidly deteriorating democracy, according to the report, is the removal of internal guardrails that protect the federal government from abuse of power. When I ask Lindberg how we should read the findings, his response is emphatic. “Trump has fired inspector generals and higher levels of civil servants across departments, and replaced them with loyalists. This is exactly what Orbán and Erdogan did. They remove the constraints on power. It should be obvious by now that Trump is aiming for dictatorship.”

Much more at https://www.theguardian.com/world/commentisfree/2026/mar/17/trump-is-a
iming-for-dictatorship-thats-the-verdict-of-the-worlds-most-credible-democracy-watchdog

The Joss Whedon script for Serenity, where Wash lives, is Serenity-190pages.pdf at https://www.mediafire.com/two

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Wednesday, March 18, 2026 8:11 AM

SECOND

The Joss Whedon script for Serenity, where Wash lives, is Serenity-190pages.pdf at https://www.mediafire.com/two

Donald Trump, Petropresident
Follow the Gulf oil money
Paul Krugman
Mar 18, 2026

https://paulkrugman.substack.com/p/donald-trump-petropresident

Why did Donald Trump attack Iran? Did he believe that a quick victory would boost his poll ratings? Was he looking for a way to change the subject from the Epstein files and affordability? Was he seduced into war by the Israeli government?

The answer, surely, is all of the above. Bad decisions don’t have to have a single explanation. In fact, debacles on the scale of what we’re now experiencing usually have multiple causes.

But when I look into the larger picture of Trump administration policy — not just the attack on Iran but domestic policies, especially the administration’s seemingly irrational hatred of renewable energy and its determination to keep America burning fossil fuels no matter what — I keep coming back to the huge influence now being wielded by oil money.

I don’t mostly mean the domestic U.S. oil industry, although them too. The U.S. oil and gas sector spent large sums helping Republicans in the 2024 election, while giving very little to Democrats.

But what really stands out is the centrality of oil money from the Persian Gulf, money that has been crucial in two areas: Trump’s international economic schemes and his personal enrichment.

One recurrent theme in Trump’s economic speeches has been boasting about the size of the foreign investment pledges he has received as part of his tariff strategy. “In 12 months,” he declared in the State of the Union, “I secured commitments for more than $18 trillion pouring in from all over the globe.”

Nobody knows where that $18 trillion number, which he uses all the time, comes from. The actual announced pledges by foreign governments to invest in the U.S. add up to only about $6 trillion, and many of these pledges are vague statements of intent rather than serious commitments. Indeed, the deal with Europe may well be unraveling in part because Trump’s tariffs have been ruled illegal.

But what’s especially interesting is who has made these investment pledges, such as they are:

Each of the major Gulf petrostates has pledged to invest more than the whole European Union, even though they have far smaller economies. Here’s another visualization:

So when Trump boasts about the foreign investment he’s bringing to America, the reality is mostly that Gulf petrostates have said — with dubious credibility — that they will make big investments. That puts his boasts in a somewhat different light, doesn’t it?

And then there’s Trump’s relentless use of his office to enrich himself and his family. As the New York Times editorial board has documented, Trump has raked in at least $1.4 billion since returning to the White House. The biggest single piece of that total is Qatar’s gift to him of a $400 million jet. Most of the rest has come from sales of cryptocurrency. We don’t know who the buyers of Trump crypto are, but it seems likely that Gulf oil money has accounted for a large share. The Wall Street Journal reports that an Abu Dhabi royal secretly invested $500 million in World Liberty Financial, the center of the Trump crypto empire.

Meanwhile Jared Kushner, the First Son-in-Law, has been acting as one of the U.S. government’s chief negotiators on the Middle East while also raising large sums of money for his personal investment firm from investors in the region, especially the Saudi government’s Public Investment Fund. That fund is led by Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman, who is widely believed to have had a critical journalist, Jamal Khashoggi, dismembered with a bone saw.

Why does Gulf oil money play an outsized role in U.S. corruption? Because petrostates, unlike advanced democracies, combine vast wealth with secrecy and a complete blurring of the lines between public office and private gain. So they’re better placed than anyone else to line U.S. officials’ pockets.

Foreign oil money, then, has been central to both the Trump administration’s economic schemes and Trump’s personal financial schemes. What has that money bought in terms of U.S. policy?

I’ve mentioned the Trump administration’s fanatical hostility to renewable energy. Like the Iran war, this hostility surely has multiple causes. Trump himself is still angry about the offshore wind farm that is visible from his Scotland golf course. Many MAGA types clearly think of wind and solar power as woke and unmanly; real men drill, baby, drill and burn, baby, burn. But suppressing alternatives to fossil fuels is also in the interests of governments and dynasties whose wealth is all about fossil fuels.

As the Guardian notes,

For decades, Saudi Arabia has fought harder than any other country to block and delay international climate action – a diplomatic “wrecking ball” saying that abandoning fossil fuels is a fantasy.

So the Trump administration’s energy policy can be seen as what Prince bin Salman would do if he were in charge. Is he?

Finally, about the war: As the bombing began, the Washington Post reported that foreign influence — and not just from Israel — played a role:

President Donald Trump launched Saturday’s wide-ranging attack on Iran after a weeks-long lobbying effort by an unusual pair of U.S. allies in the Middle East — Israel and Saudi Arabia — according to four people familiar with the matter, as Israeli and U.S. forces teamed to topple Iranian Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei after nearly four decades in power.

Saudi Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman made multiple private phone calls to Trump over the past month advocating a U.S. attack, despite his public support for a diplomatic solution.

At this point bin Salman is surely regretting his role in promoting the war. But being corrupt and good at corrupting others is not the same thing as being smart.

Again, it’s a mistake to look for monocausal explanations of this debacle. But if you want to understand Operation Epic FUBAR, don’t forget to follow the oil money.

The Joss Whedon script for Serenity, where Wash lives, is Serenity-190pages.pdf at https://www.mediafire.com/two

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Wednesday, March 18, 2026 9:24 AM

SECOND

The Joss Whedon script for Serenity, where Wash lives, is Serenity-190pages.pdf at https://www.mediafire.com/two

At Rice University, Chief Justice John Roberts says Trump’s personal attacks on judges have 'got to stop'

By Isaac Yu, Staff Writer | March 17, 2026

https://eedition.houstonchronicle.com/infinity/article_popover_share.a
spx?guid=6c3e46e9-3c30-4184-b317-be22e9ce4647&share=true

Chief Justice John Roberts said some criticism of the U.S. Supreme Court is “quite dangerous,” but sidestepped directly addressing President Donald Trump’s increasingly vocal jabs at his court during a Tuesday visit to Houston.

Roberts said personal attacks were worrisome, though he stressed that criticism “comes with the territory” of serving on the judiciary and said he tries not to read outside criticism too often.

“The problem sometimes is that the criticism can move from the focus on legal analysis to personalities,” Roberts said at an event held by Rice University’s Baker Institute for Public Policy.

“Personally directed hostility is dangerous, and it’s got to stop.”

The comments come just days after Trump issued a lengthy diatribe criticizing the court’s recent ruling against his tariff policies, calling it “bad behavior.” The president has blasted many of the justices since the start of his second term, including some of his own nominees, and expressed increasing disapproval with the court’s decisions, particularly those dealing with executive power.

“This completely inept and embarrassing Court was not what the Supreme Court of the United States was set up by our wonderful Founders to be,” Trump wrote on his Truth Social platform. “They are hurting our Country, and will continue to do so.”

Roberts pushed back on the idea that justices must carry out the agendas of their appointing presidents.

“President George W. ?Bush appointed me 20 years ago, and the idea that I'm carrying out his agenda somehow is absurd,” Roberts said.

But the justice avoided mentioning Trump by name or any of his specific criticisms. At another point, Roberts said studying the experiences of earlier chief justices had taught him to “stay in your lane.”

Roberts has served as chief of the court since 2005 and is now the fourth-longest serving chief justice in U.S. history.

The comments came during an hour-long conversation with Judge Lee Rosenthal, a longtime Houston-based judge for the U.S. District Court for the Southern District of Texas.

Robert’s rare repeat visit to Rice, he said, came after a personal request from the Baker Institute’s namesake, James Baker III, a Houston native and former U.S. Secretary of State. Roberts recalled working as a lawyer in the White House during the Reagan administration, when Baker served as chief of staff.

“I got used to doing pretty much what he told me to do,” Roberts said of Baker.

Roberts, who also oversees the nation’s sprawling system of district and appeals courts, said he worried about how generative AI was reshaping the legal profession, saying he foresaw a “really tough” time for young lawyers.

March 17, 2026

The Joss Whedon script for Serenity, where Wash lives, is Serenity-190pages.pdf at https://www.mediafire.com/two

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Thursday, March 19, 2026 6:58 AM

SECOND

The Joss Whedon script for Serenity, where Wash lives, is Serenity-190pages.pdf at https://www.mediafire.com/two

The public often exaggerates the role of political leadership in determining economic performance. In reality, presidents and their policies normally have very little effect on macroeconomic variables like inflation and employment.

But this time is different. The disappointing aspects of recent U.S. performance have been all about Trump.

In his press conference Powell didn’t beat around the bush. Noting that inflation is significantly overshooting the Fed’s target, he declared that

"Some big chunk of that, between a half and three-quarters is actually tariffs."

What about the stalling of employment growth? Research at the San Francisco Fed confirms what many economists have been arguing: Job growth has slowed largely because of the crackdown on immigration, which has reduced labor supply. So employment stagnation is also the result of Trump administration policies.

Now, you might be tempted to argue that while stopping immigration reduces overall job growth, it surely must increase job opportunities for native-born workers. But a look at unemployment rates suggests that the job market for the native-born has gotten (slightly) worse, not better:

The most we can say is that thanks to the loss of immigrant workers the overall unemployment rate hasn’t risen as much as one might have expected given the collapse in overall job growth. But the loss of foreign-born workers is probably contributing to higher inflation, over and above the effects of tariffs and now oil prices. And it will have major adverse effects on America’s fiscal outlook — but that’s a subject for another day.

So Powell is right: If you restrict the term stagflation to situations that quantitatively resemble the 1970s, we aren’t there yet. But there’s definitely a whiff of stagflation in the air — a whiff that is entirely caused by Trump administration policies.

And if the situation deteriorates, as seems all too possible given the mess in the Persian Gulf, can we trust Trump’s officials to respond intelligently and effectively?

https://paulkrugman.substack.com/p/a-whiff-of-stagflation

The Joss Whedon script for Serenity, where Wash lives, is Serenity-190pages.pdf at https://www.mediafire.com/two

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Thursday, March 19, 2026 11:56 AM

SECOND

The Joss Whedon script for Serenity, where Wash lives, is Serenity-190pages.pdf at https://www.mediafire.com/two

Quote:
Originally posted by 6ixStringJack:

You just whine about everything, don't you, cunt?

--------------------------------------------------

Be Evil. Be a dick.

U.S. Warmongering Hits Historic Level As Trump Attacks 3 Continents In 3 Days

Since World War II, the U.S. has rarely, if ever, attacked so many places. “All war. All the time. Everywhere,” one source put it.

By Nick Turse | March 19 2026. 7:51 a.m.

https://theintercept.com/2026/03/19/trump-world-wars-iran-somalia-boat
-strikes/

The United States made war on three continents over three days earlier this month, conducting attacks in Africa, Asia, and South America. During that span, the U.S. also struck a civilian boat in the Pacific Ocean. The globe-spanning scope of the attacks represents one of the few instances since World War II that the United States has been simultaneously involved in armed conflicts with such a wide geographic sweep.

The attacks in Ecuador, Iran, Somalia, and the Eastern Pacific from March 6 through March 8 are part of President Donald Trump’s escalating world war against variously defined “terrorists.” They highlight the administration’s increasing willingness to use the U.S. military as a solution to almost any perceived geopolitical problem.

“All war. All the time. Everywhere,” said Brian Finucane, a former State Department lawyer and specialist in counterterrorism issues and the laws of war, of the wide-ranging attacks over just a few days. “It’s unprecedented given the absence of any fresh congressional authorization.”

This month, Trump has repeatedly referenced his relentless war-making and even lamented it on occasion. “I built the military and rebuilt it in my first term, and we’re using it more than I’d like to use it to be honest with you,” he said.

The region that has seen the most profound increases in this “use” of military power is the Western Hemisphere as part of what Trump and others have called the “Donroe Doctrine.” This bastardization of the 1823 Monroe Doctrine — a unilaterally claimed license to militarily meddle in America’s backyard — has led to attacks on civilian boats in the waters surrounding Latin America and an attack on Venezuela. The most recent location of U.S. attacks in the region, Ecuador, is also the site of the first strike in Trump’s recent three-day, three-war spree.

“Yes — as @POTUS has said — we are bombing Narco Terrorists on land as well,” self-styled Secretary of War Pete Hegseth wrote on X on March 6, announcing a new strike in Ecuador. Days later, in a war powers report announcing the introduction of U.S. armed forces into “hostilities” in that country, the White House informed Congress of “military action taken on March 6, 2026, against the facilities of narco-terrorists affiliated with a designated terrorist organization.”

The next day, Trump announced an escalation of his latest war of choice in the Middle East. “Today Iran will be hit very hard!” he posted, writing, “Under serious consideration for complete destruction and certain death, because of Iran’s bad behavior, are areas and groups of people that were not considered for targeting up until this moment in time.” That same day, U.S. Central Command posted footage of the U.S. striking unspecified Iranian targets beneath a threat by Hegseth to hunt and kill those that “threaten Americans anywhere on earth.”

A day later, the U.S. conducted an attack as part of its war-on-terror-holdover conflict in Somalia. “In coordination with the Federal Government of Somalia, U.S. Africa Command (AFRICOM) conducted an airstrike targeting ISIS-Somalia on March 8, 2026,” reads an AFRICOM press release. “The airstrike occurred in the vicinity of the Golis Mountains.” (This frequently attacked region was the site, last year, of what a top Navy admiral called the “largest airstrike in the history of the world.”)

On the same day as the recent AFRICOM strike, U.S. Southern Command announced the latest attack in its campaign targeting so-called drug boats in the Caribbean Sea and Pacific Ocean that have killed almost 160 people in 45 strikes since September. “Six male narco-terrorists were killed during this action,” reads the SOUTHCOM announcement, which was accompanied on X by video footage of a boat exploding into a fireball.

During World War II, the U.S. fought a global war conducting combat operations simultaneously in Africa, Asia, and Europe, as well as limited fighting in North America against Japanese forces in the Aleutian Islands of Alaska in 1942 and 1943. The fight against the Axis powers was, however, a declared war — America’s last — and one discrete conflict. By contrast, Trump’s sprawling collection of undeclared wars include a remnant of the war on terror and several new unconstitutional wars begun by Trump.

“This is why the U.S. Constitution requires congressional authorization before using military force in this manner,” said Finucane. “It’s so the American public and their elected representatives can debate and deliberate whether the costs of a war are justified by the supposed benefits of this military operation. And whether the use of military force is the appropriate tool to solve the problem. And whether it’s even a problem that needs to be solved at all.”

The U.S. has rarely, if ever, conducted attacks — such as the airstrikes in Ecuador, Iran, and Somalia — on three continents over a 72-hour period since World War II. During the Cold War, the U.S. frequently conducted clandestine and covert operations, armed interventions, and wars across multiple continents, but not often analogous attacks. On August 21, 1998, in an early attack on Al Qaeda, the U.S. simultaneously attacked targets in Afghanistan and Sudan with cruise missiles. During the war on terror, the U.S. frequently was involved in simultaneous conflicts and interventions in numerous countries across the Middle East and Africa — and sometimes farther afield. In 2017, for example, a small number of Special Operations forces assisted troops in the Philippines in relieving a siege of the town of Marawi by ISIS-linked militants. U.S. forces were also attacking people in the Middle East and Africa that year, bringing combat to two continents.

The Office of the Secretary of War did not reply to questions concerning the concentration of attacks over such a short period of time and how often this has occurred since World War II.

During his second term Trump has already launched attacks on Ecuador, Iran, Iraq, Nigeria, Somalia, Syria, Venezuela, Yemen, and on civilians in boats in the Caribbean Sea and Pacific Ocean. The Trump administration also claims to be at war with at least 24 cartels and criminal gangs it will not name.

“Today there are so many places in the world where the U.S. government is conducting military operations — including the war at home on migrants — that each event eclipses the last in terms of media attention,” said Stephanie Savell, the director of Brown University’s Costs of War Project. “Each and every case merits a great deal of study and debate. Many U.S. citizens are trying to do this, but news of yet another act of U.S. war violence continues to crop up, drawing media attention away from earlier events and creating huge obstacles to meaningful, sustained work by U.S. citizens to hold their government accountable.”

The Joss Whedon script for Serenity, where Wash lives, is Serenity-190pages.pdf at https://www.mediafire.com/two

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Friday, March 20, 2026 7:08 AM

SECOND

The Joss Whedon script for Serenity, where Wash lives, is Serenity-190pages.pdf at https://www.mediafire.com/two

Scenes from the Death of the Pax Americana

I’m feeling almost speechless right now

By Paul Krugman | Mar 20, 2026

Just a few scenes from the accelerating collapse in America’s reputation and influence.

Item: The Danish Broadcasting Corporation, roughly speaking Denmark’s equivalent of the BBC, reports that two months ago Danish forces were prepared to blow up runways in Greenland to prevent a possible U.S. attempt to seize the island by force:
Denmark prepared for possible attack from the US: Flew bags of blood to Greenland and prepared to blow up runways. Key sources in Denmark and Europe are now telling for the first time what happened in the most critical days when Donald Trump threatened to take Greenland "the hard way".

Item: During a meeting with Japan’s Prime Minister, Donald Trump was asked why the U.S. didn’t inform its allies before attacking Iran. He replied, “Because we wanted surprise. Who knows better about surprise than Japan? Why didn’t you tell me about Pearl Harbor?”

Item: Pete Hegseth angrily attacked news coverage of the war:
The media here — not all of it, but much of it — wants you to think, just 19 days into this conflict, that we’re somehow spinning toward an endless abyss or a forever war or quagmire. Nothing could be further from the truth.

https://paulkrugman.substack.com/p/scenes-from-the-death-of-the-pax

The Joss Whedon script for Serenity, where Wash lives, is Serenity-190pages.pdf at https://www.mediafire.com/two

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Saturday, March 21, 2026 10:12 AM

SECOND

The Joss Whedon script for Serenity, where Wash lives, is Serenity-190pages.pdf at https://www.mediafire.com/two

BREAKING: Attacks on energy infrastructure in the Middle East have caused the price of oil to skyrocket to a whopping Donald Trump raped children per barrel.

https://www.facebook.com/groups/326796271160689/posts/2303173923522904/

The Joss Whedon script for Serenity, where Wash lives, is Serenity-190pages.pdf at https://www.mediafire.com/two

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Sunday, March 22, 2026 1:29 PM

SECOND

The Joss Whedon script for Serenity, where Wash lives, is Serenity-190pages.pdf at https://www.mediafire.com/two

Trump’s Eye Is Already on Cuba

“Regime change is lined up,” awaiting the president’s signal, according to one administration official.

By Vivian Salama and Sarah Fitzpatrick | March 22, 2026, 1:05 PM ET

https://www.theatlantic.com/national-security/2026/03/trump-plan-cuba/
686497/

A Russian oil tanker is creeping west across the Atlantic, quite possibly toward a confrontation with the United States Navy.

The Anatoly Kolodkin is carrying tens of thousands of tons of crude oil apparently meant for Cuba, which is battling a fuel shortage. But it may not reach its destination: The U.S. Navy is policing the Caribbean to choke off Havana’s oil supply.

The Trump administration is squeezing Cuba to a breaking point—and is seemingly willing to engage in a high-seas stand-off that has pronounced Cold War echoes. Donald Trump’s goal appears to be to install more amenable leadership in Havana. Last week, Trump told reporters at the White House that he believes he’ll have the “honor of taking Cuba,” adding: “Whether I free it, take it—I think I can do anything I want with it.”

The White House is calculating that the island’s extreme economic hardships will provide the leverage Trump needs to force Havana into submission. Cuba’s president, Miguel Díaz-Canel, publicly acknowledged discussions between the two governments last week and pledged a series of reforms aimed at appeasing Washington, a concession that indicated both the urgency of the domestic crisis and the vulnerability of the regime. Cuba’s economy, already hollowed out by mismanagement, communist economic ideology, sanctions, and the end of subsidized oil from Venezuela, is now tormented by island-wide blackouts and food shortages. After the COVID-19 pandemic, more than 1 million people left the island—about 10 percent of Cuba’s population. Another wave could be coming if the island doesn’t receive economic relief.

The government-to-government talks hold the potential for a peaceful settlement—but the track record isn’t strong. U.S. discussions with the regimes in Iran and Venezuela in recent months came to naught, prompting military intervention in both countries. Officials told us the U.S. approach to Cuba would likely replicate the course of events in Venezuela—several called the Caracas operation a “dry run” for Havana—and that the switch from negotiation to military action could happen imminently. Everything, they cautioned, depends on Trump and his willingness to challenge another regime while still fighting in Iran. But preparations on several fronts are well advanced should he decide to proceed.

The U.S. attorney’s office in South Florida is preparing indictments against Cuba’s political and military leadership—including members of the Castro family—on a range of possible charges related to alleged violent crime, drug-trafficking, immigration, and espionage, four people familiar with the planning told us on condition of anonymity to discuss internal government proceedings. (The U.S. used a 2020 indictment against Venezuela’s president, Nicolás Maduro, as a predicate for his capture.) U.S. Attorney Jason A. Reding Quinones is leading a multi-agency effort that could be used to provide legal justification for any military engagement, these people added. (The Department of Justice didn’t respond to a request for comment.) The State Department has long accused the Cuban regime of human rights violations, including alleged arbitrary or unlawful killings; torture; degrading treatment of political prisoners; and repression of journalists. Cuba denies the accusations.

The Trump administration is also discussing which wealthy Republican donors with Cuban ancestry could be considered for future transition or leadership roles in Havana.

“Regime change is lined up,” one administration official told us. But Trump-style regime change is unlikely to be the democratic uprising that many Cuban exiles have longed for. Venezuela again is expected to be the model. The administration found that its short-term goals of ousting a repressive dictator and opening opportunities for U.S. companies was best met by empowering Maduro’s deputy, Delcy Rodríguez, who proved more willing to engage with Washington. Much of the Caracas regime remains in place.

Administration officials told us they see an outcome in Cuba that would allow Trump to declare victory and open the spigot for American commerce—“There’s billions of dollars to be made there,” one said—while avoiding major political and social upheaval that could exacerbate the humanitarian catastrophe and create a migrant crisis 90 miles from Florida.

Trump’s approach is: “We control our hemisphere, and we have the ability to do this,” one person familiar with the planning told us. “We want these hostile regimes out of our hemisphere, and we’re going to set up the business community, because we don’t believe in diplomacy.”

In Cuba, signs of severe strain are everywhere. Cities such as Havana and Santiago de Cuba effectively disappear in the night from blackouts. Stockpiles of hospital supplies, gas, and other basics are dwindling. Water distribution is disrupted because pumps have stopped running. Uncollected garbage piles up on city streets because trash trucks lack fuel. Experts warn that the island’s economic contraction has pushed Cuba into its most perilous state since the dissolution of the Soviet Union, its former economic sponsor and political protector.

The United Nations has warned of a potential “collapse” if fuel shortages persist, noting rising food prices, failing agricultural production, and widespread power outages. Citizens wait hours for gasoline; businesses are closed for lack of electricity; and state-guaranteed benefits—health care, food distribution—have eroded. (China has offered renewable-energy equipment, expertise, and financing to ease the crisis, but how swiftly it can scale-up this effort is unclear.)

“An island that was once the crown jewel of the Caribbean has plunged into extreme poverty and darkness,” the State Department said in a statement. “This is the tragic result of over sixty years of Communist rule.”

Influential Cuban-American donors and activists in Florida are pressing the Trump administration to seize the opportunity to overthrow the regime. But some Cubans still revere the 1959 revolution, and, as one foreign official told us, have no desire to humiliate Raúl Castro (Fidel’s 94-year-old brother and a former president), or even Díaz-Canel, who is widely viewed as a weak bureaucrat. “They just want life to improve,” the official said.

Trump is less fixated on regime change or forcing an ideological shift away from communism than on securing broad U.S. latitude to invest, develop, and ultimately capitalize on Cuba’s underdeveloped cities and beaches, people familiar with his thinking told us.

“The Trump administration is going to put Cuba into Chapter 11,” John Kavulich, the president of the U.S.-Cuba Trade and Economic Council, told us, referring to the section of the bankruptcy code that companies use for a financial reorganization while still in operation. “It’s not going to be Chapter 7 liquidation. It’s going to be Chapter 11—a country reorganization. But the whole focus is business.”

Trump has sought opportunity in Cuba since his real-estate days. In October 2008, he applied for a trademark in Cuba, according to records from the Cuban Industrial Property Office. The application was approved in March 2010 and was active until its expiration in 2018. Trump held discussions on financial opportunities in Cuba with administration officials and Trump Organization staff during his first term in the White House. One person who met with Trump at the time told us that the president was most excited about the prospect of Trump-branded hotels or condominiums. “He’s interested in Cuba as a market for him, and completely agnostic about the politics,” this person said. “He didn’t care.”

That is at odds with the views of Secretary of State Marco Rubio, who has long called for the toppling of the regime. Last week, Rubio said Cuba needed “new people in charge” but didn’t say the government had to go.

Rubio has privately focused his attention on economic reforms—particularly on dismantling the Grupo de Administración Empresarial S.A., the largest conglomerate in Cuba, known as GAESA, several foreign officials with direct knowledge told us. Controlled by the Cuban military, GAESA operates a portfolio of enterprises that constitutes 40 to 70 percent of the Cuban economy.

Manuel Marrero Cruz, the current prime minister, is among the leaders Washington could potentially work with, officials told us. The Communist Party devotee is also viewed as a pragmatic technocrat by some in Washington. Deputy Prime Minister Minister Óscar Pérez-Oliva Fraga, a great-nephew of Fidel and Raúl Castro, is another potential successor, though less likely, some told us. Fraga told NBC News last week that Cuba was open to a “fluid commercial relationship” with American companies.

The talks between the two governments center on American demands for a change in leadership, restitution for owners of property seized by the Cuban government, and the opening of investment and commerce.

“We are talking to Cuba, whose leaders want to make a deal and should make a deal, which President Trump believes would be very easily made,” Anna Kelly, a White House spokesperson, told us in a statement. “Cuba is a failing nation whose rulers have had a major setback with the loss of support from Venezuela.”

But the discussions could turn out to be, in part, a form of subterfuge, one person familiar with the talks told us, much as they were with Venezuela. The U.S. could claim that Cuba has refused to budge on some key condition as a predicate for a military-backed law-enforcement action.

Cuba appears aware of the threat: Its diplomats and intermediaries have been seeking meetings with U.S. think tanks, academics, and journalists in an effort to influence U.S. opinion and buy time to prepare for a possible conflict, several people familiar with the outreach told us. U.S. officials, meanwhile, are discussing how best to engage with the American and international business communities, and with religious organizations, to drum up support for U.S. intervention.

Any action against Cuba would come at a moment of high stress for the Trump administration amid the intense war with Iran. Before initiating hostilities in Venezuela and Iran, the U.S. military spent weeks building up naval and air assets. That has yet to happen near the shores of Cuba, in part because the Navy has been stretched by those other conflicts. The USS Gerald R. Ford aircraft carrier group, for instance, moved from Croatia to the Caribbean for the raid on Caracas before steaming to the Middle East for war with Tehran, extending its current deployment by months.

In the past, before going to war with Iran, any White House would have worried about how the Kremlin might respond. Weighed down by the financial and military cost of its war with Ukraine, Russia has stayed on the sidelines. But, perhaps sensing an opportunity to needle Washington in its own hemisphere, Moscow dispatched two tankers toward the Caribbean, laden with oil that is under U.S. sanctions. “This is the showdown,” one Trump administration official told us with a sense of dread.

The U.S. appeared to provide an opening when the Treasury Department earlier this month lifted sanctions for 30 days on some Russian energy shipments in a bid to stabilize global energy prices. But a week later, the Treasury Department amended the terms to exclude transactions with a handful of countries, including Cuba. Samir Madani, a co-founder of TankerTrackers.com, a maritime-intelligence firm, told us one of the tankers appears to have been redirected toward Venezuela. But the Anatoly Kolodkin is plowing ahead.

Nancy A. Youssef contributed reporting for this story.

The Joss Whedon script for Serenity, where Wash lives, is Serenity-190pages.pdf at https://www.mediafire.com/two

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Sunday, March 22, 2026 3:59 PM

6IXSTRINGJACK

If you're an Antifa terrorist, I wouldn't try getting on any planes starting tomorrow unless you want ICEy fingers up your butts.

--------------------------------------------------

Be Nice. Don't be a dick.

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Monday, March 23, 2026 7:00 AM

SECOND

The Joss Whedon script for Serenity, where Wash lives, is Serenity-190pages.pdf at https://www.mediafire.com/two

ICE took another step toward becoming Donald Trump's personal army.

He tried this in 2020. Federal agents in unmarked vans grabbed protesters off the streets of Portland because the military wouldn't do it for him. So in this administration, he went around that roadblock. ICE agents don't have the same institutional limits as the military. They've been recruited with massive bonuses, they answer only to his loyalists, and not once in 14 months have they refused a directive.

ICE agents will be at airport security checkpoints
https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/politics-news/tom-homan-ice-crowded-a
irport-security-tsa-screenings-wait-times-rcna264618

The Joss Whedon script for Serenity, where Wash lives, is Serenity-190pages.pdf at https://www.mediafire.com/two

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Monday, March 23, 2026 7:17 AM

6IXSTRINGJACK

Yup.

We're going to remove all 30 million+ of your illegals.

Deal with it.

--------------------------------------------------

Be Nice. Don't be a dick.

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Tuesday, March 24, 2026 3:12 PM

SECOND

The Joss Whedon script for Serenity, where Wash lives, is Serenity-190pages.pdf at https://www.mediafire.com/two

Quote:
Originally posted by 6ixStringJack:
Yup.

We're going to remove all 30 million+ of your illegals.

Deal with it.

--------------------------------------------------

Be Evil. Be a dick.

There is nothing for me to deal with. Trump is deporting the Republican business workforce that works for less than minimum wage. Those dishonest and incompetent Republicans can barely stay in business by cheating their customers, cheating their employees, and cheating on their income taxes. I prefer that misfortune fall upon them. The Dept of War is in similar trouble caused by its dishonesty and incompetence, although it compensates by asking Congress for a 50% increase in budget. The Republicans in Congress will either give it to them or else the Pentagon collapses:

The War with Iran May Already be Lost

A war launched without a defined end state, sold through metrics and bravado, and blind to an enemy that measures time in generations rather than news cycles, is not a path to victory but a slow-motion admission of strategic failure.

By Robert Bruce Adolph | March 24, 2026

https://sofrep.com/news/the-war-with-iran-may-already-be-lost/
https://www.msn.com/en-us/news/world/the-war-with-iran-may-already-be-
lost/ar-AA1ZjauU

With special thanks to Lieutenant Colonel (retired) Timothy Grimmett.

If wars were won by bombastic press conferences, the White House should already be planning another military parade in our capital’s streets. In America’s latest war of choice, President Trump’s styled Secretary of “War” is emerging as the head cheerleader for our misadventure in Iran. Mr. Hegseth has already mistakenly defined what constitutes victory — the destruction of various portions of the Iranian Navy and military production facilities. Unfortunately, his definition is flawed. Despite possessing some military experience as a junior officer, he has shown that he is completely out of his depth. For most intents and purposes, the war with Iran might have been lost before the first missile was launched.

Some of the lessons that Mr. Hegseth should have learned by now:

Operational excellence is not a guarantee of strategic success — The best military on the planet cannot win a war if the national strategic objectives selected by the National Command Authority are faulty. This fact was proven in both Afghanistan and Iraq, which like Iran, were wars of choice and not necessity. Does Mr. Hegseth grasp the gap between his definition of victory and that of his boss?

Mr. Trump has demanded “unconditional surrender” of Iran — That choice could cost many lives. America demanded unconditional surrender of both Nazi Germany and Imperial Japan. The word “unconditional” suggests that there will be no negotiated settlement. The only means of achieving that objective in Germany and Japan was first a land invasion of the “Father Land” followed by the deployment of atomic bombs over Hiroshima and Nagasaki. Is this where we are heading?

The best bosses remain always open to bad news — If the boss always demands good news, good news is all that his subordinates will present to him. Mr. Hegseth only wants to focus on the number of strikes; the number of aircraft involved; and the number of targets destroyed. These figures no doubt please this Oval Office. Tragically, war by the numbers was a loser in Vietnam, Iraq, and Afghanistan. The numbers say nothing about an enemy’s will to resist. The senior uniformed staff in the Pentagon all know this fact. A smarter press corps would be asking what is the US strategy if Iran’s military is destroyed and the mullahs simply refuse to surrender?

Know your enemy — Mr. Hegseth also lacks a fundamental understanding of his opponent. He desperately needs a briefing on the 680CE Battle of Karbala because it is the foundational, emotional, and ideological cornerstone of Shia Islam, transforming it from a political faction into a distinct religious identity centered on martyrdom, justice, and resistance against oppression. The clerical leadership’s default position is death before surrender.

If that isn’t bad enough…

Air strikes often harden the resistance of your adversary — Every senior American military commander knows that bombing alone cannot force an enemy to give up. In fact, strikes from the air are proven to do the reverse based on our conventional non-nuclear bombing experience in WWII, and the protracted “arc light” bombing campaign in Vietnam.

One other thing — Mr. Hegseth recently stated that “no quarter” and “no mercy” is to be given in the current conflict. These statements are contrary to both US and international law — something to think hard about. More to the point, why would a regime consider any form of surrender, if there is no promise of mercy or quarter. This Pentagon chief’s understanding of war appears to be of the junior varsity variety.

It may take only one side to start a war, but it always demands two to end it — Iran’s willingness to continue battling both Israeli and US forces regardless of losses, again, was a foreseeable consequence by America’s intelligence agencies, assuming anyone was listening to the experts. Trump and Hegseth are viewing time as though they are looking at their watches, Iran’s leadership is looking at a calendar. Time is on the side of Tehran.

As every sailor knows, if you fail to chart a course, all winds are foul — Mr. Trump, Mr. Hegseth and Mr. Rubio can’t seem to agree on the conflict’s objectives. Unconditional surrender, for example, cannot be achieved by air power. Nor can air power alone compel the regime to give up its nuclear ambitions. Better makeup and camera angles won’t result in successful Pentagon war-fighting strategies. I would only remind all concerned that America won every battle in Vietnam, Afghanistan, and Iraq. All three conflicts ended in strategic defeats. The White House selected objectives in these wars were — like what we are seeing today with Iran — amorphous.

The enemy always gets a vote — Even though America and Israel possess overwhelming military might, that alone cannot force capitulation. The Iranians have successfully shut the Strait of Hormuz; maintained attacks on the affiliated Gulf States; struck targets in Israel; appointed replacements for their dead military and political-religious leadership; encouraged proxies to join the battle — Hezbollah in Lebanon; and have sworn to continue the fight. All these actions and many more were perfectly predictable by American intelligence agencies, which is why past US chief executives wisely chose to avoid utilizing the military option.

Finally, a national war fighting strategy that lacks an achievable end state is no strategy at all — Mr. Hegseth, like his failed predecessors McNamara and Rumsfeld, will eventually learn some lessons the hard way, but lots of blood, treasure, and American prestige is being squandered in the meantime. At the estimated current cost of one billion dollars a day, and without a serious reconsideration of objectives, including a defined feasible end state, the war with Iran may already be a strategic loss.

The only current winner I can see is Israel, although both China and Russia will become longer term beneficiaries.

** A different version of this commentary first appeared in The Steady State on Substack and Medium.
https://steadystate1.substack.com/p/the-war-with-iran-may-already-be
https://medium.com/@adolwulfe/the-war-with-iran-may-already-be-lost-dc9f2db8a791

Founded in 2016, The Steady State is a nonprofit 501(c)(4) organization of more than 360 former senior national security professionals. Our membership includes former officials from the CIA, FBI, Department of State, Department of Defense, and Department of Homeland Security. Drawing on deep expertise across national security disciplines, including intelligence, diplomacy, military affairs, and law, we advocate for constitutional democracy, the rule of law, and the preservation of America’s national security institutions.

The Joss Whedon script for Serenity, where Wash lives, is Serenity-190pages.pdf at https://www.mediafire.com/two

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Tuesday, March 24, 2026 3:38 PM

6IXSTRINGJACK

--------------------------------------------------

Be Nice. Don't be a dick.

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Tuesday, March 24, 2026 5:12 PM

SIGNYM

I believe in solving problems, not sharing them.

Quote:
Mr. Hegseth also lacks a fundamental understanding of his opponent. He desperately needs a briefing on the 680CE Battle of Karbala because it is the foundational, emotional, and ideological cornerstone of Shia Islam, transforming it from a political faction into a distinct religious identity centered on martyrdom, justice, and resistance against oppression.

Shia Islam is not Sunni Islam.

-----------

"It may be dangerous to be America's enemy, but to be America's friend is fatal."- Henry Kissinger

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Tuesday, March 24, 2026 5:57 PM

SECOND

The Joss Whedon script for Serenity, where Wash lives, is Serenity-190pages.pdf at https://www.mediafire.com/two

Trump is breaking an axiom of war. Did no one warn him?

By Matthew Lynn | March 24, 2026

https://www.washingtonpost.com/opinions/2026/03/24/trump-war-tariffs-i
ran/

The exact origin of the maxim “Don’t fight on two fronts” is lost to time. It can be variously traced back to “The Art of War,” the classic 5th-century B.C. Chinese treatise by Sun Tzu, to Napoleon Bonaparte, or to Field Marshal Bernard Law Montgomery, the main commander of British forces during World War II.

One point is certain, however. No one got around to sharing it with President Donald Trump. The United States has now embarked on two wars at the same time: a trade war with China and Europe, and a real war with Iran. This will surely prove to be a serious mistake.

Trump has an undiminished appetite for conflict. Less than a year ago, on what he oddly called “Liberation Day,” he ripped up the global trading system and imposed punitive tariffs on U.S. trading partners and allies. Earlier this year, he launched a raid to arrest Venezuelan President Nicolás Maduro, and last month, he launched an all-out assault on Iran, aimed at taking out its armed forces and removing its leadership.

An administration that many argued would be isolationist and that promised to put America first has turned out to spend most of its energy trying to reshape the rest of the world.

In fairness, you can make a respectable case for either war. The supposedly rules-based global trading system did at times appear to have turned into a mechanism for transferring wealth and jobs from American workers to other countries. Given persistent U.S. deficits, and with American exporters facing steep tariffs in many countries while U.S. markets remained open, you could certainly argue that the system needed rebalancing. After a decade or two of talking with no discernible change, a more muscular approach has its merits.

Likewise, you can make a perfectly respectable case for removing the regime in Tehran, or at least significantly degrading its military strength. For the better part of five decades, it has been a threat to its neighbors and a persistent sponsor of global terrorism, while brutally suppressing its people and attempting to acquire nuclear weapons. The world would definitely be better off if it fell. There is a strategic rationale to launching an attack even if the risks are huge.

But both wars at once?

There are two big problems. First, alliances get stretched very close to the breaking point. It might be helpful in the Gulf, for example, to be able to call upon French naval forces, or British air support, or Canadian or German defense manufacturing to keep the weapons flowing. But that is very hard to do when you have just slapped punitive tariffs on those countries, impeded their exports and dismissed their leaders as irrelevant. To put it mildly, goodwill is in short supply.

The issue is not that anyone in Europe — apart from a few extremists — has any sympathy with the regime in Tehran. It is that European voters understandably have little sympathy with a president who has been attacking their exporters and demanding that jobs be transferred across the Atlantic.

Next, very quickly the objectives start to clash. It is difficult to maintain all the levies and restrictions on imports demanded by the trade war when supply chains are being thrown into chaos by the closure of shipping lanes in the Gulf, when the price of oil is exploding and when critical minerals and components are needed to fight the war.

Even worse, it was always going to be hard to maintain political support for tariffs if they led to a spike in inflation — even if you believed that was a short-term price worth paying to restore manufacturing capacity. But why throw fuel on that particular fire with a military action in the Middle East? (“Wait, war in the Gulf drives energy costs higher? Why did nobody tell us?”)

If inflation goes much higher, the president may well end up lowering tariffs to contain it, effectively surrendering ground in the trade war. Alternatively, he may decide to end the attack on Iran before the task has really been finished, simply to prevent prices from rising and losing the trade war. Either way, he will have to decide which war is the priority.

It would have been far better to fight Iran first, get that wrapped up, and then launch the trade war. Or else contain Iran until the global trading system had been rebalanced and America’s main allies were feeling less aggrieved.

Either way, the White House could have stayed 100 percent focused on a single goal. Instead, it has attempted to achieve two huge objectives at the same time. The result is already becoming painfully clear. The real war makes the trade war harder to win, and vice versa.

As Sun Tzu, Napoleon or Montgomery — or countless other military strategists — would point out to Trump, attempting to fight on two fronts just means you end up losing everything.

The Joss Whedon script for Serenity, where Wash lives, is Serenity-190pages.pdf at https://www.mediafire.com/two

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Tuesday, March 24, 2026 6:01 PM

SECOND

The Joss Whedon script for Serenity, where Wash lives, is Serenity-190pages.pdf at https://www.mediafire.com/two

Quote:
Originally posted by SIGNYM:

Quote:
Mr. Hegseth also lacks a fundamental understanding of his opponent. He desperately needs a briefing on the 680CE Battle of Karbala because it is the foundational, emotional, and ideological cornerstone of Shia Islam, transforming it from a political faction into a distinct religious identity centered on martyrdom, justice, and resistance against oppression.

Shia Islam is not Sunni Islam.

Signym, were you trying to point out an error, but it isn't erroneous? Iran (formerly Persia) is predominantly Shia Islam, with about 90–95% of its population identifying with this branch, making it the world's largest Shia-majority nation and the center of the Shia world. While historically Sunni, the country officially converted to Twelver Shia Islam under the Safavid Dynasty in 1501.

Official Religion: The Islamic Republic of Iran is a Shia theocracy.

The Joss Whedon script for Serenity, where Wash lives, is Serenity-190pages.pdf at https://www.mediafire.com/two

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