REAL WORLD EVENT DISCUSSIONS

Khamenei, One of Most Evil People in History, is Dead

POSTED BY: 6IXSTRINGJACK
UPDATED: Wednesday, July 15, 2026 10:28
SHORT URL:
VIEWED: 11850
PAGE 12 of 13

Sunday, June 28, 2026 6:55 AM

SECOND

The Joss Whedon script for Serenity, where Wash lives, is Serenity-190pages.pdf at https://www.mediafire.com/two


In other news, Trump has lost his war with Iran:

Iran attacks Bahrain and Kuwait following US strikes and threatens to halt talks to end the war

https://apnews.com/article/iran-us-israel-war-hormuz-strait-june-28-20
26-1132d316545db2cddb3928b6e7840f51


The US would not be at war with Iran if Biden had the decency and the courage to look like a bad guy by assassinating Donald Trump, America's first Nazi President.

Had this old man been President instead of Biden, he would have killed Trump:
World War II veteran gives a stark warning on the dangers of fascism in America today
https://imgur.com/gallery/world-war-ii-veteran-that-is-still-alive-giv
es-stark-warning-on-dangers-of-fascism-america-today-DAV03N5


The Joss Whedon script for Serenity, where Wash lives, is Serenity-190pages.pdf at https://www.mediafire.com/two

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Sunday, June 28, 2026 8:45 AM

SECOND

The Joss Whedon script for Serenity, where Wash lives, is Serenity-190pages.pdf at https://www.mediafire.com/two


Trump thinks he is Hitler invading the Soviet Union:

On social media, President Donald Trump said, “There may come a point when we are no longer able to be reasonable and will be forced to militarily complete the job that we very successfully started. If that happens, the Islamic Republic will no longer exist.”

https://www.kcra.com/article/iran-peace-negotiations-us-strikes-bahrai
n-kuwait/71759877


Just like Hitler, Trump is always declaring he won (or soon will) because of all the dead Russians, or in Trump's case, dead Iranians. But Stalin didn't care about how many millions of Russians died, and the Grand Ayatollah doesn't care if a few thousand more Iranians die in his overpopulated country.

The Joss Whedon script for Serenity, where Wash lives, is Serenity-190pages.pdf at https://www.mediafire.com/two

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Sunday, June 28, 2026 10:24 AM

SECOND

The Joss Whedon script for Serenity, where Wash lives, is Serenity-190pages.pdf at https://www.mediafire.com/two


“It’s a very strong deal,” Trump said at the G7 summit. “Nobody knows what it is, but it’s very strong.” The key to a strong deal is not knowing what's in it.

https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/trump-administration/anxious-republic
ans-await-details-iran-deal-trump-rcna350314


The Joss Whedon script for Serenity, where Wash lives, is Serenity-190pages.pdf at https://www.mediafire.com/two

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Monday, June 29, 2026 7:42 AM

SECOND

The Joss Whedon script for Serenity, where Wash lives, is Serenity-190pages.pdf at https://www.mediafire.com/two


The Humbling of the Once Almighty Dollar

Another consequence of Trump’s debacle in Iran

Paul Krugman
Jun 29, 2026

https://paulkrugman.substack.com/p/the-humbling-of-the-once-almighty

Donald Trump’s stunning failure in Iran has weakened America on many fronts. The world now perceives us as neither a reliable ally nor an invincible enemy, with an extortionately expensive military that is losing its best and brightest to Pete Hegseth’s prejudice and incompetence. We are now four months into a war that was supposed to last a couple of weeks.There is no end in sight as strikes and counter-strikes continue despite Trump’s farcical proclamations of American victory and Iranian surrender. Sixteen months into his presidency, Trump has squandered all of America’s credibility with the rest of the world.

So let me add one more item to the tally of destruction: The supremacy of the dollar, the pre-eminent tool in America’s toolbox of global financial power, has been seriously damaged by the rise of alternative payment systems – a rise that was greatly hastened by the Iran war.

Let me be clear that I don’t mean that the dollar is close to losing its dominant role in global business. And I am definitely not claiming that the dollar’s weakened status will make the United States substantially poorer.

Instead, what I am talking about is the loss of a non-military tool of coercion — the power to punish that the dominant role of the dollar in international financial transactions gave the United States. That power is now greatly diminished because Trump’s Iran war demonstrated to other nations that they can bypass the dollar-centered world payments system — largely thanks to China.

Let me provide context by talking about the dollar’s global role.

The dollar’s importance in international financial transactions far outweighs the U.S. economy’s global importance. America is by no means a dominant force in world trade or world GDP. There are, in fact, three roughly comparable-sized economic superpowers in today’s world: China, the United States, and the European Union. However, the U.S. dollar does play a dominant role in world finance. There are multiple aspects to this role, which I discussed at length in April. But one number makes the point: Last year 89 percent of foreign exchange transactions — transactions in which one nation’s currency is exchanged for another — involved U.S. dollars.

How is this possible, when the U.S. share of world exports is only around 10 percent? The answer is that the dollar is the world’s “vehicle currency” — the currency businesses use to make transits between other currencies. A bank that wants to exchange, say, Indian rupees for British pounds generally won’t try to find a counterparty who wants to make the reverse trade. It will, instead, sell rupees for dollars and then use the dollars to buy pounds.

Why does everyone use dollars? Because so many other people and businesses use dollars, which makes markets in dollars far more liquid and efficient than markets in any other currency. As a classic old paper by Charles Kindleberger pointed out, the dollar’s role as a global currency is similar to the role of English as a global business language: Everyone speaks English because everyone else does. When people warn that the dollar is at imminent risk of losing its status to, say, the Chinese yuan, my response is to ask how long they think it will be before businesspeople around the world begin making deals in Mandarin.

Furthermore, the economic advantage to the U.S. of owning the premier global currency — our “exorbitant privilege,” a term coined by Valéry Giscard d’Estaing in the 1960s — is not, despite what one sometimes hears, essential to U.S. prosperity. Our overall economic strength rests not on the role of the dollar but on our productivity and our leadership in science and technology. (The Trump administration is doing its best to destroy the latter, but that’s another story.)

What dollar dominance does do, however, is give America a powerful economic weapon against other nations. Transactions that involve dollar payments normally require transferring money between U.S. banks — which means that they are visible to and can be blocked by U.S. authorities. In the words of Henry Farrell and Abraham Newman, authors of Underground Empire: How America Weaponized the World Economy, the dollar’s role gives the U.S. government a “panopticon” — it can see everything — and a “chokepoint” — it can cut nations off from the world economy, a power it demonstrated most notably by imposing sanctions on Iran over the years. These sanctions played a key role in getting Iran to sign President Obama’s 2015 Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action, in which Iran agreed to limit its nuclear program in return for a relaxation of sanctions.

Donald Trump ripped up the JCPOA, which he derided as a terrible deal. Now the Iranian regime is in a much stronger position than it was under the JCPOA. Yet we should also recognize that while the U.S. has suffered a military failure, it has also suffered a financial power failure. China has used the war to strengthen an alternative global payments system that bypasses the dollar — and hence allows governments that are at odds with America to evade both U.S. surveillance and U.S. sanctions.

As the Wall Street Journal recently explained, Iran was able to continue selling oil (until the U.S. temporarily imposed a military blockade) and buying essential imports, despite U.S. financial sanctions, by taking payment in yuan and using those yuan to buy Chinese goods. Ships that paid Iran for safe passage through the Strait of Hormuz also paid in yuan (or in cryptocurrency, whose only real use case remains criminal activity.) The details are complicated, but using yuan essentially allows those designated by the U.S. government as rogue actors to fly under our financial radar.

It’s true that Iran and Russia had significantly increased their yuan-based transactions before the war began. But the war offered an object lesson in the usefulness of the yuan as an alternative currency. Other nations, including the United Arab Emirates, are now considering accepting payment in yuan. And the war has also given a boost to China’s Cross-Border Interbank Payment System (CIPS), an alternative to SWIFT, the Belgium-based but effectively U.S.-controlled system that still settles the great bulk of international transactions.

I don’t want to overstate the case here. The dollar’s role as the dominant currency for ordinary business is not under threat. A new article in Foreign Policy by Agathe Demarais is titled “China’s de-dollarization drive has hit a wall.” It points out that overall use both of CIPS and of yuan remain quite modest compared with the SWIFT/dollar system. Doing business in dollars remains easier and cheaper than using any other currency, and will remain so unless U.S. policy becomes even more self-destructive.

Yet something important has happened. The Iran debacle has demonstrated that using dollars and retaining access to the U.S. banking system, while convenient, aren’t necessary. Iran’s ability to withstand American pressure has demonstrated that U.S. sanctions are a lot less effective than in the past given that rogue actors can use the yuan and CIPS as a work-around. And as the Gulf States’ actions show, even countries that are U.S. allies are now considering signing onto the Chinese payment system.

As I wrote a few weeks ago, recent events — not just the failed war on Iran but the limited effects of Trump’s tariffs and, in a different way, Ukraine’s survival without U.S. aid — have shown that America is now an inessential nation. Trump thought that throwing America’s weight around would show the world how powerful he is. Instead, he made us weaker and the world knows it.

The Joss Whedon script for Serenity, where Wash lives, is Serenity-190pages.pdf at https://www.mediafire.com/two

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Tuesday, June 30, 2026 7:23 PM

SECOND

The Joss Whedon script for Serenity, where Wash lives, is Serenity-190pages.pdf at https://www.mediafire.com/two


China has emerged as the sole winner in Asia from the Strait of Hormuz crisis, according to a report published on Tuesday. https://straitofhormuz.theasiagroup.com/about/

The report by the Asia Group thinktank looked at Asia’s largest economies – China, India, Japan and South Korea – as well as emerging markets across South-East Asia. The researchers mapped the economic and political repercussions of the crisis and its impacts across key sectors, including manufacturing, energy and agriculture.

They concluded that China was a clear winner from the crisis caused by Donald Trump’s foray into the Middle East.

The country’s large stockpiles of oil and the hugely ambitious rollout of renewable energy mean it has been less exposed to the energy shock than other countries. Beijing is now gaining from the global solar and EV push.
https://www.theguardian.com/world/2026/jun/30/china-clear-winner-trump
-war-middle-east-report-iran-strait-of-hormuz


The Joss Whedon script for Serenity, where Wash lives, is Serenity-190pages.pdf at https://www.mediafire.com/two

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Wednesday, July 1, 2026 2:55 AM

6IXSTRINGJACK


Thank you for keeping a list of all of your failed predictions on the topic in one place.

--------------------------------------------------

Those who dance always seem crazy to those who can't hear the music.

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Wednesday, July 1, 2026 6:58 AM

SECOND

The Joss Whedon script for Serenity, where Wash lives, is Serenity-190pages.pdf at https://www.mediafire.com/two


Midweek Update #17

Phillips P. OBrien
Jul 01, 2026

https://phillipspobrien.substack.com/p/midweek-update-17-the-most-dang
erous


Another Week Of Weakness

Well, the extraordinary weakness of the USA in the Gulf was confirmed this week. The Iranians seem to be deliberately stringing the administration along knowing that Trump has little leverage at the present time. The Iranians are openly doing things that Trump said they would never do. This includes such things as planning for tolls in the Strait (maybe with Oman or maybe unilaterally), openly musing about procuring an Iranian nuclear weapon, and rebuilding its military strength in such crucial areas as ballistic missiles and air defense.

The Iranians even flexed their muscles by deliberately attacking an oil tanker that tried to transit the Strait outside of their control. Trump’s response was weakness in a bottle. He made the worst genocidal threat in history and then tossed a few bombs. The threat was as follows:

“there may come a point when we are no longer able to be reasonable... If that happens, the Islamic Republic of Iran will no longer exist!”

Then, a day and a half of pointless airstrikes followed (interestingly aimed at targets the administration had already assured us had been thoroughly destroyed). Then the USA made a desperate pivot on Sunday night and said the strikes were over, hoping to assure the oil markets that this was no big deal and please please please do not drive up the price of gasoline to the American consumer.

And the Iranians went right back to claiming control over the Strait and rebuilding their military.

It is probably the most bizarre use of military force in US history. What we are seeing is strategically useless, wastes ammunition of which the US is already running short, and reinforces the idea that the USA is weakening and aimless. This is the message US partners are taking not only in the region but around the world. In other words, it is the use of American military power to make things worse for the USA.

US partners in the region are indeed getting this message loud and clear, and are already trying to carve out a better relationship with Iran—knowing that the US is in no shape to protect them. In many ways the region is already preparing for a post-American future.

American weakness has one lesson (that really should not have to be learned over and over, but sadly does) and one hopeful sign. The lesson is about the extraordinary difficulty in achieving strategic aims through the use of military force. Time and time again, major powers, such as the USA, and middling powers, such as Russia, employ military force thinking that they are so strong that they can get what they want. And amazingly (as we are seeing now and I will discuss in the last segment), analysts are supporting the idea that war is somehow easy to wage and win.

The sign is that the US is so weak now and lacking in leverage, that the end result of this might be something that could be immensely good for the USA and the region; an American military withdrawal from the Middle East. And that means no more US military bases, no permanent stationing of troops, no regular commitments of US military forces to try and control things.

If there is one thing that can be said without doubt, it is that the massive use of US military force in the Middle East over the last few decades has been a disaster for everyone—Americans, residents of the region, and arguably the rest of the world. This latest humiliation is so total, maybe a new way can be attempted that would see the US stop fooling itself by thinking it can control things it cannot.

And that is a great thing—great for the region and great for the USA. I promise that piece next week, maybe at the start of the midweek update. The US has a chance to benefit from this failure.

The Joss Whedon script for Serenity, where Wash lives, is Serenity-190pages.pdf at https://www.mediafire.com/two

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Wednesday, July 1, 2026 7:48 AM

6IXSTRINGJACK


Is that the 17th week in a row with an update mid-week? Or is that the 17th mid-week update this week?

--------------------------------------------------

Those who dance always seem crazy to those who can't hear the music.

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Wednesday, July 1, 2026 11:08 PM

SECOND

The Joss Whedon script for Serenity, where Wash lives, is Serenity-190pages.pdf at https://www.mediafire.com/two


Jul 1, 2026

The Pentagon turned to Merops after burning through hundreds of Patriot missiles defending against Iranian Shaheds, each Patriot costing more than $3 million.

The Army bought 13,000 Merops in eight days after the Iran war began in late February, at roughly $15,000 each, Driscoll told Congress in April.

“They protected U.S. troops,” the Army secretary told lawmakers, defending the cost as a fraction of what a Shahed costs to produce. “We will make that trade all day long.”

A Merops costs roughly $15,000 against a Shahed that runs $30,000 to $50,000.

The interceptor is a roughly three-foot, fixed-wing drone that flies up to 174 mph (280 km/h) and homes in on its target using thermal radar or radio-frequency sensors when its links are jammed.

It has downed more than 4,000 Russian drones in Ukraine, German production partner Twentyfour Industries said.

The system has conservatively accounted for 40% of all Shahed destruction in Ukraine.

https://www.militarytimes.com/industry/techwatch/2026/07/01/video-show
s-a-ukrainian-unit-running-down-a-russian-shahed-the-kind-of-kill-the-us-is-racing-to-reproduce
/

The Joss Whedon script for Serenity, where Wash lives, is Serenity-190pages.pdf at https://www.mediafire.com/two

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Thursday, July 2, 2026 6:53 AM

SECOND

The Joss Whedon script for Serenity, where Wash lives, is Serenity-190pages.pdf at https://www.mediafire.com/two


The cost of the Iran conflict

Moody’s economist Mark Zandi says the Iran war has already cost the typical U.S. household about $1,000 through higher gas, diesel, airfare, groceries, military spending, and borrowing costs. He argues the bill is still rising and could be even higher than his estimate.

https://fortune.com/2026/07/01/iran-war-cost-american-households-1000-
mark-zandi/?showAdminBar=true


The Joss Whedon script for Serenity, where Wash lives, is Serenity-190pages.pdf at https://www.mediafire.com/two

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Thursday, July 2, 2026 12:54 PM

6IXSTRINGJACK


Mark Zandi is an Iranian Agent and needs to be deported along with his entire family.

--------------------------------------------------

Those who dance always seem crazy to those who can't hear the music.

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Thursday, July 2, 2026 5:17 PM

SECOND

The Joss Whedon script for Serenity, where Wash lives, is Serenity-190pages.pdf at https://www.mediafire.com/two


Oil Glut Calls May Be Getting Ahead of Reality

By Irina Slav - Jul 02, 2026, 11:00 AM CDT

Oil prices have fallen as traders bet on recovering Hormuz exports and renewed oversupply, but analysts warn the rebound reflects delayed tanker departures rather than a full restoration of Middle East production.

Production remains well below pre-war levels in key Gulf producers, while high shipping costs, limited insurance coverage, and slow inbound tanker traffic continue to constrain supply.

Despite record U.S. crude output, uncertainty over Iran, Hormuz, and regional production means the market may be underestimating ongoing supply risks.

https://oilprice.com/Energy/Crude-Oil/Oil-Glut-Calls-May-Be-Getting-Ah
ead-of-Reality.html


. . . analysts would do better to wait and make sure Hormuz tanker traffic has returned to pre-war levels . . .

The Joss Whedon script for Serenity, where Wash lives, is Serenity-190pages.pdf at https://www.mediafire.com/two

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Thursday, July 2, 2026 5:28 PM

SECOND

The Joss Whedon script for Serenity, where Wash lives, is Serenity-190pages.pdf at https://www.mediafire.com/two


Quote:

Originally posted by 6ixStringJack:
Mark Zandi is an Iranian Agent and needs to be deported along with his entire family.

--------------------------------------------------

Those who dance [to Trump's tune] always seem crazy to those who can't hear the music.

Mark Zandi underestimated how much the Iran war costs.

President Trump requested a record $1.5 trillion in national security funding for the 2027 fiscal year, marking an unprecedented $420+ billion increase over prior baseline levels. Additionally, the administration asked for an $87.6 billion emergency supplemental, which includes $67.1 billion for the Department of Defense to replenish munitions heavily used in the Middle East.

$420 billion divided by the population of the US (342.3 million) is equal to $1,227.00 per person. Mark Zandi estimated $1,000 per "household", not per person.


Trump's budget for Fiscal Year 2027 begins on October 1, 2026 for the U.S. Federal Government, and on July 1, 2026 for most U.S. states, academic institutions, and corporate entities.

The Joss Whedon script for Serenity, where Wash lives, is Serenity-190pages.pdf at https://www.mediafire.com/two

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Thursday, July 2, 2026 6:46 PM

6IXSTRINGJACK


Quote:

Originally posted by second:
Quote:

Originally posted by 6ixStringJack:
Mark Zandi is an Iranian Agent and needs to be deported along with his entire family.

--------------------------------------------------


Mark Zandi underestimated how much the Iran war costs.



Mark Zandi is an Iranian Agent and needs to be deported along with his entire family.


--------------------------------------------------

Those who dance always seem crazy to those who can't hear the music.

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Thursday, July 2, 2026 9:14 PM

SECOND

The Joss Whedon script for Serenity, where Wash lives, is Serenity-190pages.pdf at https://www.mediafire.com/two


Quote:

Originally posted by 6ixStringJack:

Mark Zandi is an Iranian Agent and needs to be deported along with his entire family.

Mark Zandi, born in Atlanta, needs to be deported back to Georgia because he noticed the $420 billion Trump requested to fight in Iran? President Trump requested a record $1.5 trillion in national security funding for the 2027 fiscal year, marking an unprecedented $420+ billion increase over prior baseline levels.

Mark Zandi
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Mark_Zandi

The Joss Whedon script for Serenity, where Wash lives, is Serenity-190pages.pdf at https://www.mediafire.com/two

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Thursday, July 2, 2026 9:41 PM

6IXSTRINGJACK


I know who he is and I know where he was born.

Don't give a shit about your first generation anchor babies either.

He's writing anti-American propaganda for cultists like you to spread around.

You are the Enemy of the People, as is he.


It's time for you to leave too.

--------------------------------------------------

Those who dance always seem crazy to those who can't hear the music.

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Friday, July 3, 2026 5:09 AM

SIGNYM

I believe in solving problems, not sharing them.


SIX, attacking Iran was one of the dumbest things Trump could have done, and saying so isn't anti-American.

-----------

"It may be dangerous to be America's enemy, but to be America's friend is fatal."- Henry Kissinger

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Friday, July 3, 2026 6:10 AM

SECOND

The Joss Whedon script for Serenity, where Wash lives, is Serenity-190pages.pdf at https://www.mediafire.com/two


U.S. Officials Believed Israel Was Plotting to Kill Iranian Negotiators

Any Israeli attempt to kill Abbas Araghchi, the foreign minister, or Mohammad Ghalibaf, the Parliament speaker, would have derailed peace talks, American officials feared.

By Julian E. Barnes and Farnaz Fassihi | July 2, 2026
The reporters have been covering the U.S.-Israeli war against Iran and its aftermath.

https://www.nytimes.com/2026/07/02/us/politics/israel-iran-negotiators
-plot.html?unlocked_article_code=1.ulA.UsQa.7BvP9veePqT0&smid=url-share


U.S. officials believed that Israel might have been plotting to kill Iran’s top negotiators while Washington was engaged with Tehran in delicate talks this spring to reach an interim peace deal, according to current and former American officials.

Killing senior Iranian leaders had been part of Israel’s strategy from the start of the war. But American concerns about the targeting of two particular Iranian officials — Abbas Araghchi, Iran’s foreign minister, and Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf, the speaker of the Parliament — spiked during delicate cease-fire negotiations that began in April.

Fearful that an Israeli assassination effort would doom the negotiations, the United States, according to some of the officials, went so far as to ask other countries in the region to warn Iran about the possibility Israel could target the two officials.

U.S. officials acknowledged that during the intense phase of the war, Mr. Araghchi and Mr. Ghalibaf, as senior government officials, could have been legitimate targets for Israel, which was intent on toppling Iran’s hard-line government. But after the negotiations started in earnest in April, American officials believed that any attempt to kill the Iranian leaders would end the talks and reignite the fighting.

The war began on Feb. 28 with an Israeli strike that killed the supreme leader, Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, and other top officials, based in part on U.S. intelligence.

While U.S. strikes focused on Iran’s navy and missile forces, Israel prioritized targeting the leadership in the early phase of the war, intent on killing as many high-ranking officials as it could.

That included killing potentially more pragmatic leaders that the Trump administration had hoped to negotiate with, such as Ali Larijani, Iran’s top national security official, and Kamal Kharazi, a former Iranian foreign minister. Both men were involved in the negotiations with the United States when they were killed in Israeli airstrikes.

The Trump administration’s suspicions about the possible Israeli plot to kill the two top negotiators show how the U.S. and Israeli war aims, which were close at the very beginning of the war, quickly diverged radically. And while the United States wanted a peace agreement, Israel has been skeptical from the initial cessation of hostilities in April.

Much more at https://www.nytimes.com/2026/07/02/us/politics/israel-iran-negotiators
-plot.html?unlocked_article_code=1.ulA.UsQa.7BvP9veePqT0&smid=url-share


The Joss Whedon script for Serenity, where Wash lives, is Serenity-190pages.pdf at https://www.mediafire.com/two

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Friday, July 3, 2026 12:11 PM

6IXSTRINGJACK


Quote:

Originally posted by SIGNYM:
SIX, attacking Iran was one of the dumbest things Trump could have done, and saying so isn't anti-American.



That isn't what he's saying. To a two year old, that is what he is saying.

--------------------------------------------------

Those who dance always seem crazy to those who can't hear the music.

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Friday, July 3, 2026 2:57 PM

SIGNYM

I believe in solving problems, not sharing them.



Quote:

Originally posted by SIGNYM:
SIX, attacking Iran was one of the dumbest things Trump could have done, and saying so isn't anti-American.

SIX:
That isn't what he's saying. To a two year old, that is what he is saying.



So what IS he saying?

Bc as I read it, what he's saying is that it's costing the average American family $1000 so far, and potentially $7500 in the long run.
It may be anti- Trump, but how is that anti- American?

-----------

"It may be dangerous to be America's enemy, but to be America's friend is fatal."- Henry Kissinger

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Friday, July 3, 2026 3:18 PM

6IXSTRINGJACK


Quote:

Originally posted by SIGNYM:

Quote:

Originally posted by SIGNYM:
SIX, attacking Iran was one of the dumbest things Trump could have done, and saying so isn't anti-American.

SIX:
That isn't what he's saying. To a two year old, that is what he is saying.



So what IS he saying?

Bc as I read it, what he's saying is that it's costing the average American family $1000 so far, and potentially $7500 in the long run.
It may be anti- Trump, but how is that anti- American?

-----------

"It may be dangerous to be America's enemy, but to be America's friend is fatal."- Henry Kissinger



Because it is just another in a very, VERY long line of incorrect predictions about the markets, all carried out by left-wing organizations staffing people with foreign interests and white women who hate America. This man also happens to be Iranian himself, so I'm not going to listen to any of his low-info incorrect predictions.

And I don't want to hear about the money. These are all unfathomable sums we hear about every day, all going to causes that nobody wants to see them go to. If it wasn't going to be spent here, it was going to be spent in some other way nobody approves of. And not one person here is ever going to convince themselves, let alone anybody else that the above statement isn't 100% objective fact, so drop it.


My track record is one where I'm usually right about nearly everything in the end. So I'm not open to any debates about how I interpret the "news" as they present it.

Thank you very much.

--------------------------------------------------

Those who dance always seem crazy to those who can't hear the music.

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Friday, July 3, 2026 10:53 PM

SIGNYM

I believe in solving problems, not sharing them.


His part of the article in not a "prediction", it's an estimate of costs so far.

But even if he was way off, ALL military actions cost something. Deploying carrier groups ad infinitum and blowing a huge inventory of Patriots (at $1-$3 million a pop, depending on version) and Tomahawk missiles, getting our bases blown up, planes shot down, and all that jet fuel costs SOMETHING. And to attack Iran when all of his advisors (military, intelligence, political) were advising him not to, and only Bibi Netanyahu was pushing him forward... Only to wind up in the same (at best) strategic position as when he started?

It all sounds pretty stupid to me.

And then there's his big buget- busting proposal for the Department of War.

Somebody ought to tell him you don't get a first class military by throwing money at it willy nilly. The devil is in the details, and he's not a detail guy. So all you get is another 'get rich quick' scheme for corporations and politicians, just like AI and the 'solutions' for climate change and Covid.

*****

Come to think of it, that's pfir robably Trump's biggest weakness: He's not a detail guy. Doesn't think things thru, won't listen to those who have, likes to go for big splashy moves and noisy events, just like anyone with severe ADHD who needs something bright and loud to capture their attention.

-----------

"It may be dangerous to be America's enemy, but to be America's friend is fatal."- Henry Kissinger

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Saturday, July 4, 2026 2:44 AM

6IXSTRINGJACK


Well I've already stated my piece, and nothing you have to say refutes any of that.


--------------------------------------------------

Those who dance always seem crazy to those who can't hear the music.

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Saturday, July 4, 2026 4:41 AM

SIGNYM

I believe in solving problems, not sharing them.


Well, you've made several arguments so, here goes...

Quote:

Because it is just another in a very, VERY long line of incorrect predictions
Not a prediction.

Quote:

about the markets, all carried out by left-wing organizations staffing people with foreign interests and white women who hate America.
How do you know this?
Oh, you don't.
I know you're exaggerating, but that's not a real argument.

Quote:

This man also happens to be Iranian himself, so I'm not going to listen to any of his low-info incorrect predictions.

If this was posted by a white conservative male you prolly wouldn't listen anyway.
You don't listen to ANYBODY who disagrees with you.


Quote:

And I don't want to hear about the money. These are all unfathomable sums we hear about every day, all going to causes that nobody wants to see them go to. If it wasn't going to be spent here, it was going to be spent in some other way nobody approves of. And not one person here is ever going to convince themselves, let alone anybody else that the above statement isn't 100% objective fact, so drop it.

So, in other words, we can't object in principle to money being spent on anything we disagree with bc (a) we can never know how much it is and (b) it will be spent on something else we disapprove of?
Well, in that case, you should never object to money spent on DEI or liberaloid NGOS or "the poor immigrants" bc (a) and (b).


Quote:

My track record is one where I'm usually right about nearly everything in the end.

I'm so glad you included the word "usually"!


Quote:

So I'm not open to any debates

Period!


Those who dance always seem crazy to those who can't hear the music.

So, that's me refuting your statements.
Peace out.

-----------

"It may be dangerous to be America's enemy, but to be America's friend is fatal."- Henry Kissinger

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Monday, July 6, 2026 1:47 PM

6IXSTRINGJACK


Quote:

Originally posted by SIGNYM:
Well, you've made several arguments so, here goes...

Quote:

Because it is just another in a very, VERY long line of incorrect predictions
Not a prediction.



Okay. Completely false statement then.

Whatever.

--------------------------------------------------

Those who dance always seem crazy to those who can't hear the music.

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Tuesday, July 7, 2026 7:52 PM

SECOND

The Joss Whedon script for Serenity, where Wash lives, is Serenity-190pages.pdf at https://www.mediafire.com/two


U.S. resumes ‘powerful strikes’ on Iran after Hormuz Strait ship attacks, CENTCOM says

Published Tue, Jul 7 2026 5:22 PM EDT

https://www.cnbc.com/2026/07/07/us-strikes-iran-hormuz-ships.html

The Joss Whedon script for Serenity, where Wash lives, is Serenity-190pages.pdf at https://www.mediafire.com/two

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Wednesday, July 8, 2026 4:39 AM

JAYNEZTOWN


Tarantino and Weinstein?

Basterds Blow Up Hitler’s Cinema



but there was also a story that helped the rise of 'Jihad' and islamist though in Iran, the governing dynasty initially blamed "Marxists" for the fire

Iran Before 1979 Was Completely Different




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Wednesday, July 8, 2026 6:08 AM

SECOND

The Joss Whedon script for Serenity, where Wash lives, is Serenity-190pages.pdf at https://www.mediafire.com/two


Trump Calls Iran Leaders ‘Scum’ And ‘Evil’ As He Calls Off Ceasefire

Donald Trump told reporters at the NATO summit he doesn’t want to deal with Iran anymore and accused them of being “liars”

https://www.newsweek.com/iran-war-ceasefire-end-trump-statement-121700
33


The Joss Whedon script for Serenity, where Wash lives, is Serenity-190pages.pdf at https://www.mediafire.com/two

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Wednesday, July 8, 2026 2:29 PM

SIGNYM

I believe in solving problems, not sharing them.


Quote:

Iran Threatens To Choke Off Hormuz Again As US Readies Blockade; Trump Says Tehran Wants To Assassinate Him


https://www.zerohedge.com/geopolitical/theyre-scum-trump-says-us-iran-
ceasefire-over-sending-oil-higher


Well, seeing as Israel and the USA favor "regime change by assasination", it's no wonder Trump would be paranoid about it.

Like I posted, this is over when the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps says it is. Looks like they got Trump to torpedo his own ceasefire.

-----------

"It may be dangerous to be America's enemy, but to be America's friend is fatal."- Henry Kissinger

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Wednesday, July 8, 2026 2:42 PM

SIGNYM

I believe in solving problems, not sharing them.


Quote:

Originally posted by JAYNEZTOWN:
Tarantino and Weinstein?

Basterds Blow Up Hitler’s Cinema

but there was also a story that helped the rise of 'Jihad' and islamist though in Iran, the governing dynasty initially blamed "Marxists" for the fire

Iran Before 1979 Was Completely Different


Iran was ruled by the CIA- and MI6-installed Shah Reza Pahlavi. Under his rule, altho Iran's oilfields were technically owned by Iran, consortium of oil companies controlled the finances and fraudulently extracted profits. The remaining profit went to the Shah and his hangers-on, and bc western money flooded a select grouping Iran but didn't go towards improving internalproduction, inflation went thru the roof. (Too much money chasing too few goods.) The Shah squashed discontent with the Savak, a brutal CIA-trained internal security organization.

-----------

"It may be dangerous to be America's enemy, but to be America's friend is fatal."- Henry Kissinger

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Wednesday, July 8, 2026 3:53 PM

6IXSTRINGJACK


Quote:

Originally posted by SIGNYM:
Quote:

Originally posted by JAYNEZTOWN:
Tarantino and Weinstein?

Basterds Blow Up Hitler’s Cinema

but there was also a story that helped the rise of 'Jihad' and islamist though in Iran, the governing dynasty initially blamed "Marxists" for the fire

Iran Before 1979 Was Completely Different


Iran was ruled by the CIA- and MI6-installed Shah Reza Pahlavi. Under his rule, altho Iran's oilfields were technically owned by Iran, consortium of oil companies controlled the finances and fraudulently extracted profits. The remaining profit went to the Shah and his hangers-on, and bc western money flooded a select grouping Iran but didn't go towards improving internalproduction, inflation went thru the roof. (Too much money chasing too few goods.) The Shah squashed discontent with the Savak, a brutal CIA-trained internal security organization.

-----------

"It may be dangerous to be America's enemy, but to be America's friend is fatal."- Henry Kissinger



Can you even imagine the Real World that lies just beneath all of our collective noses?

The more I learn, the more I think it's probably the correct decision that we're not made privy to 99% of the things they've been doing with our money.

"You can't handle the truth." wasn't just a really memorable line to an award winning movie.

I think if The People knew everything, than everyone would literally be driven insane by that knowledge.

--------------------------------------------------

Those who dance always seem crazy to those who can't hear the music.

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Wednesday, July 8, 2026 4:15 PM

SECOND

The Joss Whedon script for Serenity, where Wash lives, is Serenity-190pages.pdf at https://www.mediafire.com/two


Quote:

Originally posted by 6ixStringJack:

I think if The People knew everything, than everyone would literally be driven insane by that knowledge.

Your day for a mental breakdown has arrived, thanks to the reporter from the Christian Science Monitor who located the official reports on costs for the Iran War:

What is the Iran war costing Americans? Here’s a breakdown.

By Anna Mulrine Grobe | July 08, 2026, 12:39 p.m. ET

https://www.csmonitor.com/USA/Military/2026/0708/iran-war-costs-pentag
on


The shaky peace deal in place between the United States, Israel, and Iran was called into question once again this week with the U.S. and Iran trading retaliatory strikes. It prompted President Donald Trump to declare, “I think it’s over” of the ceasefire, even as he said that negotiations could continue. On June 17, leaders signed a memorandum of understanding that gave them 60 days to reach a peace deal.

In the meantime, experts have begun to tally the cost of the Iran war. While direct U.S. military operations in Iran are now estimated at up to $42 billion, long-term economic and veteran expenses may push the cost higher. (OMB Says Iran War Cost $30B, Stays Mum on Supplemental https://www.airandspaceforces.com/omb-director-iran-war-cost-30b-suppl
emental
/ )

Whatever the final number, Trump administration officials have already acknowledged that the war’s price tag will be higher than initial estimates. (The War May Be Ending. What Did Epic Fury Cost? https://www.csis.org/analysis/war-may-be-ending-what-did-epic-fury-cos
t
)

It rose by about $4 billion in two weeks late this spring, when Pentagon comptroller Jules Hurst told lawmakers that the Department of Defense estimate for the war, eight weeks in, had jumped from $25 billion to $29 billion. (The initial U.S. Pentagon estimate for the Iran conflict was roughly $11.3 billion for the first six days of the operation.)

Why We Wrote This
The Iran war’s cost to Americans has already climbed well beyond early estimates, with an $87 billion funding request pending. Long-term economic and veteran expenses push the broader cost higher. And new attacks call into question whether the hostilities will soon end.

This $29 billion tally did not include repairs to U.S. bases in the Middle East – repairs that could add at least $5 billion more to the cost, according to the conservative American Enterprise Institute (AEI) think tank. On Wednesday, Iran said that it had shot down an MQ-9 Reaper drone and struck 85 U.S. military sites, potentially adding to the bill.

Analysts are also assessing the human toll. Thirteen American service members have been killed and some 400 injured in the conflict, along with Iran’s reported 1,700 civilian fatalities. The loss of mothers, fathers, children, and siblings is a cost, they add, that can never be calculated.

The expense could climb higher still, with the ongoing tit-for-tat strikes between Iran and the U.S.

To help cover the price of everyday operations, troop deployments, and weapon replacements, the White House has submitted an $87 billion supplemental funding request to Congress, an ask likely to face sharp bipartisan scrutiny. Other researchers estimate that the broader economic toll (such as higher fuel and food costs) is costing households up to $1,000 each.

What have been the biggest cost drivers of the war?

Missiles and other munitions have been the U.S. military’s biggest war-related expenses to date, totaling some $26 billion, according to a June 23 report from the Center for Strategic and International Studies (CSIS).

“The thing that probably surprises me most was just how big a chunk of the cost was in munitions, particularly the high-end, expensive munitions,” says Mark Cancian, senior adviser with the CSIS Defense and Security Department and the report’s co-author.

Adm. Brad Cooper, the head of U.S. Central Command, which runs U.S. military operations in the Middle East, told lawmakers in a May hearing that by the time of the ceasefire, the U.S. had fired 13,629 munitions in strikes on more than 13,000 targets.

“U.S. forces fired many expensive missiles,” the CSIS report noted. This includes more than 1,000 Tomahawks, for example, at about $2.6 million each. The cost of interceptors to counter Iranian strikes ranges from some $28 million for an SM-3 ship-launched interceptor – designed to destroy missiles while they’re still in space – to $12 million for each THAAD interceptor and $5 million for each Patriot missile.

“The coalition’s success in rapidly suppressing Iranian air defense systems greatly reduced the daily cost of munitions,” according to the CSIS report.

“The first couple of days chewed up probably half the ammunition cost,” Mr. Cancian says. “Once we beat down their air defenses, then we could fly over Iran and use much less expensive munitions,” at a cost of $100,000 each rather than millions.

What are the biggest-ticket items that will need to be replaced?

Forty-two U.S. military aircraft have been lost or damaged in the war, according to the Congressional Research Service.

The cost of repairing damaged aircraft “is assumed to be 25 to 75 percent of the replacement cost,” according to the CSIS report.

Then there is the damage to U.S. military bases in the Middle East. Though the U.S. and its allies have intercepted 90% of the missiles and drones that Iran launched against these installations, the damage that Iran’s munitions caused when they did strike could total between $5 billion, as the AEI report estimated, and $9.4 billion, according to other analysts.

It’s unclear how many buildings at these installations have been struck, but satellite damage assessment suggests about 228 structures have been affected.

What precisely was inside those buildings is another matter. “For some, such as barracks and gyms, the material contents were not particularly valuable,” the CSIS report notes. “For warehouses, however, the contents could be as valuable as the building itself.”

How about the price of fuel?

The Department of Defense is particularly affected by the increased global oil prices that followed the closure of the Strait of Hormuz, as one of the world’s largest consumers of petroleum, for example, accounting for between 80% and 90% of the fuel consumed by the federal government.

These costs have most affected the Air Force in the Iran war, with its need for jet fuel, and the Navy, which powers ships and its own aircraft.

The war has also cost consumers in higher fuel and food prices. From the start of the war until mid-May, Americans have spent more than $40 billion on extra gasoline and fuel costs, or roughly $300 per household, above what they had been paying in February, according to a Costs of War study from Brown University.

This exceeds the estimated cost of completely revamping the U.S. air traffic control system, and could also pay for the 2024 Bridge Investment Program to repair and modernize more than 10,200 of America’s bridges, the study adds.

What are the additional costs over time?

The approximately 400 service members who have been injured during the war may need, after immediate care, additional medical and disability services over time at a price of some $400 million annually, according to the CSIS study.

Roughly 37% of veterans from the Gulf War in 1991 receive lifetime disability benefits. After a massive March fire on the USS Gerald R. Ford aircraft carrier, while it was operating in the Red Sea in support of the Iran war, some 600 sailors were exposed to serious smoke inhalation, notes an April report from the Harvard Kennedy School.

“If even one-third of the 55,000 troops deployed [to the Middle East for the Iran war] today claim benefits,” it says, “then we are committing ourselves to tens or hundreds of billions of dollars in disability and medical care costs for this cohort alone.”

The U.S. currently owes $7.3 trillion in disability benefits alone to veterans of previous wars, the report adds.

The Joss Whedon script for Serenity, where Wash lives, is Serenity-190pages.pdf at https://www.mediafire.com/two

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Wednesday, July 8, 2026 4:32 PM

6IXSTRINGJACK


Quote:

Originally posted by second:
Quote:

Originally posted by 6ixStringJack:

I think if The People knew everything, than everyone would literally be driven insane by that knowledge.

Your day for a mental breakdown has arrived, thanks to the reporter from the Christian Science Monitor who located the official reports on costs for the Iran War:





Hey faggot... Why don't you go back through this thread and look at all the nonsense and bullshit you've posted and tell me how much of it has come true.

SPOILER ALERT: None of it has.

So don't bother.

All you need to do right now is shut the fuck up. That's the only thing that has EVER been required of you.


P.S. Fuck the Christian Science Monitor and Fuck Anna Mulrine Grobe.

As if either one matters in the slightest. And the fact that you've known me as long as you have and would think that I care what the Christian Science Monitor would have to say on any given subject just shows how truly clueless you are about other people because you're stuck in your own twisted head 24/7/365.

99 articles out of 100 printed by them would have you calling them all Nazis I'm sure, but just like all that good 'ole NeoCon cock you were sucking leading up to Kamala Harris's epic spanking, you just started slobbering all over that Christian cock when they had something bad to say about Trump, didn't ya, boy?

Fuck The Christian Science Monitor.

While we're at it, Fuck Christianity, Fuck Science and Fuck Hall Monitors too.

And, as always and above all else, Fuck You, Loser.



--------------------------------------------------

Those who dance always seem crazy to those who can't hear the music.

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Wednesday, July 8, 2026 4:35 PM

JAYNEZTOWN


Quote:

Originally posted by 6ixStringJack:
Quote:

Originally posted by SIGNYM:
Quote:

Originally posted by JAYNEZTOWN:
Tarantino and Weinstein?

Basterds Blow Up Hitler’s Cinema

but there was also a story that helped the rise of 'Jihad' and islamist though in Iran, the governing dynasty initially blamed "Marxists" for the fire

Iran Before 1979 Was Completely Different


Iran was ruled by the CIA- and MI6-installed Shah Reza Pahlavi. Under his rule, altho Iran's oilfields were technically owned by Iran, consortium of oil companies controlled the finances and fraudulently extracted profits. The remaining profit went to the Shah and his hangers-on, and bc western money flooded a select grouping Iran but didn't go towards improving internalproduction, inflation went thru the roof. (Too much money chasing too few goods.) The Shah squashed discontent with the Savak, a brutal CIA-trained internal security organization.

-----------

"It may be dangerous to be America's enemy, but to be America's friend is fatal."- Henry Kissinger



Can you even imagine the Real World that lies just beneath all of our collective noses?

The more I learn, the more I think it's probably the correct decision that we're not made privy to 99% of the things they've been doing with our money.

"You can't handle the truth." wasn't just a really memorable line to an award winning movie.

I think if The People knew everything, than everyone would literally be driven insane by that knowledge.

--------------------------------------------------

Those who dance always seem crazy to those who can't hear the music.




seems to add up to exactly a 'conspiracy' if ever there was one

Cinema Rex fire


WikiAudio

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Wednesday, July 8, 2026 9:55 PM

SECOND

The Joss Whedon script for Serenity, where Wash lives, is Serenity-190pages.pdf at https://www.mediafire.com/two


Iran, Not Trump, Is in Control of This War

The cease-fire was always just a Trump fantasy.

By Tom Nichols | July 8, 2026, 3:10 PM ET

https://www.theatlantic.com/ideas/2026/07/iran-controls-war-trump/6878
48/?gift=otEsSHbRYKNfFYMngVFweDRVjC6eJ8_yT-SJJi0yOG0&utm_source=copy-link&utm_medium=social&utm_campaign=share


If Donald Trump ever had any control over the war he started with Iran, he’s lost it. The Iranians are now setting the terms of this conflict and are routinely humiliating the American president. The “cease-fire” Trump declared last month—a move probably meant to both soothe international markets and avert legislative action from the United States Congress—never really existed, because neither side ever ceased firing. The situation is now back to a kind of slow-motion punch-up: In the past few days, the Iranians struck three tankers in the Strait of Hormuz, the Americans attacked some 80 targets in Iran, and the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps now claims it hit some 85 U.S.-affiliated targets in Bahrain and Kuwait.

This morning, Trump was asked whether the memorandum of understanding with Iran, the document that was supposed to provide the foundation for negotiations, was dead. Trump hesitated a bit and said: “That’s a very interesting question. To me, I think it’s over. I don’t wanna deal with them anymore. They’re scum, you know what scum is? They’re scum. They’re sick people. They’re led by sick people. And they’re vicious, violent people.”

Last month, of course, Trump had nothing but nice things to say about the Iranian leaders. “We’re dealing with people that I think are very rational people. And they were nice to deal with.” He described them as “strong people, smart people,” who were not “radicalized.” They were just loyal Iranians, “and they’re, you know, looking to help their country.” The MOU was practically an instrument of American capitulation that the Iranians could have drafted themselves, but Trump wanted to get out of the war, and so he signed it—appropriately enough, at Versailles.

The Iranians have made clear that they don’t care about the MOU or, for that matter, what Trump thinks or wants. They are willing to inflict more damage on the Gulf states, and they’re willing to accept damage in return. These are signs of a state directing a war rather than reacting to one. Iran is measuring costs and risks. It is pursuing the achievable goals of regime survival, control of the Strait, and preservation of its nuclear program.

The Trump administration, for its part, bumbled into this war without a strategy. Instead, it relied on bad assumptions, outdated information, and the president’s gut feelings. It assumed—because the president wished very hard—that the Iranian regime would collapse quickly. Trump and Secretary of Defense Pete Hegseth (who encouraged Trump to go to war) ignored years of analysis and war-gaming from the military and the intelligence community, and then were caught flat-footed when the Iranians closed the strait and choked the international economy, the one thing everyone else in the world knew they would do. The administration has since tried to bomb its way out of this war, but without the ability to hold territory, the United States is now merely depleting its stocks of expensive ordnance to little strategic effect.

Even by his usual standards, Trump has been incoherent in Ankara, Turkey, where he’s attending a NATO summit. Over the course of 24 hours, he has renewed his demands for the United States to own Greenland; confused Iran with Japan; and confused Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky with Russian President Vladimir Putin. He also noted that his videos are popular on “Tic Tac.” He meant “TikTok.”

Little wonder, then, that he seems unable to give sensible answers to questions about the renewed hostilities. When asked today about more attacks on Iran, Trump said: “You know, normally I wouldn’t tell you. I wouldn’t tell you, but you know what, there’s not a thing they can do about it. So, the answer is probably.” Not exactly an answer full of fire and fury. “I’ll give them a little warning,” Trump said. “We’re going to hit them hard tonight, but we’ll see how it all works out.” In other words: I don’t know what else to do, so we’ll do some more strikes and then see what Iran does.

This is not the approach of a president who’s running a war; this is the flailing of a man who’s in over his head and is reacting to events, rather than guiding them. Lest this kind of equivocation lead the Iranians to doubt Trump’s resolve, the president has added that he’s still considering two other terrible ideas: an invasion of Iranian territory, and a campaign of probable war crimes.

First, he has returned to talking about seizing Kharg Island, an operation that would require a considerable commitment of ground forces and inevitably lead to U.S. casualties. Second, he has again raised the possibility of striking Iran’s infrastructure, including bridges and desalination plants. Such installations, if they are significantly contributing to Iran’s military effort, might be considered legitimate targets. Trump, however, seems to have in mind immiserating the civilian population as a means of driving the regime to the table—which would be a serious violation of the laws of war.


Fortunately, Trump is unlikely to do any of this. Hours after his various responses, he was asked if the war was back on in full force. His answer was revealing about his limited ability to control the circumstances of the conflict, and a clear signal to the Iranians not to worry about anything he says, because he’ll always change his mind.

“I think anything that happens is going to be over very quickly, and we’ll only make it safer, including for oil. Oil is going to be very free, very easy, and it’s going to happen very fast. We have the Hormuz Strait; the boats have pulled out. I mean there’s a gusher of oil right now, we have a lot of oil.”

The United States does not, in fact, “have the strait” at this moment. At any rate, Trump capped these remarks by assuring his audience, and perhaps even those listening in Tehran: “We’re not looking for long term.”

I taught strategy at the Naval War College to military officers and senior civilians for a long time. The subject does not have a lot of hard-and-fast rules; wars share common characteristics but each conflict has its own peculiarities and exigent circumstances. One good guideline, however, is to avoid threatening your enemy and then immediately announcing that you really have no stomach for a fight. Strong leaders keep their own counsel and let their actions speak for them; weak leaders make threats and then broadcast how much they don’t want to carry them out.

Trump is now going through something like the stages of wartime grief: Denial that America failed; anger, which has led to renewed attacks; and then bargaining, as if the Iranians could somehow be bought off like a gang of recalcitrant construction workers in New York. None of it has worked.

Depression and acceptance await.

The Joss Whedon script for Serenity, where Wash lives, is Serenity-190pages.pdf at https://www.mediafire.com/two

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Thursday, July 9, 2026 4:32 AM

SIGNYM

I believe in solving problems, not sharing them.


I have several opinions running parallel about what is happening in Iran.

One opinion, the idealistic one, says that the IRGC is nationalistic, realizes that the MOU was just a stall tactic by Trump and Netanyahu, and is busy trying to regain the Strait of Hormuz leverage that it lost by signing the MOU. Oh, and telling China to go to hell.

The cynical one says that altho Iran IS trying to regain the leverage had when it closed the Strait, it's only bc the IRGC is struggling to gain control of the cash flow the Strait can generate, while the Iranian negotiators and THEIR block think they can get out from under the IRGC's thumb and make money by getting Irans frozen assets back.

And, what's with the invisible Grand Ayatollah Moqtabe Kahmeini? The one nobody's seen since the decapitation strike on Iran? Even the Democrats had to pill Biden up and wheel him out once in a while!

-----------

"It may be dangerous to be America's enemy, but to be America's friend is fatal."- Henry Kissinger

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Thursday, July 9, 2026 6:14 AM

SECOND

The Joss Whedon script for Serenity, where Wash lives, is Serenity-190pages.pdf at https://www.mediafire.com/two


Is It So Bad It's Good?

The Hunt For A Fig Leaf

By Phillips P. OBrien | Jul 09, 2026

https://phillipspobrien.substack.com/p/midweek-update-18-is-it-so-bad-
its


Trump declared that sanctions were back on Iran and then bombed Iran on Tuesday night, stated that the Memorandum of Understanding (MOU) between the USA and Iran is dead, and then bombed again last night. Trump even, at the NATO summit yesterday, labelled the Iranians as “scum” and said he hated dealing with them—before saying that he thinks things will work out in some form.

Are we back to war?

Was there ever actually not a war?

The answer to both questions is yes and no. There has never been an actual basis for ending this war, as Iran has not agreed to a single one of Trump’s demands. The MOU was a vague document in which Iran made no actual concessions and got some major rewards, while kicking all the controversial issues down the road in some weird hope that they could magically be solved in 60 days.

We might see bombing again for a few more nights, but it cannot continue indefinitely for political/economic reasons. All it means is that Trump, once again, has no answers to the war that he started. He has no real leverage over Iran (less by the day), but feels he cannot walk away without a fig leaf to hide his defeat. And so far, the Iranians are not even giving him that (see below).

A part of me actually got a little excited when I read yesterday about Trump’s frustration, particularly when it sounded like he might wash his hands of the whole affair. It was a sign, perhaps, that he finally grasps the strategic dead end in which the USA sits in the region. Maybe, just maybe, it can lead to wholesale changes in the US posture in the Middle East.

Note: In the MOU, the US seems to be hinting that it will significantly scale back its military presence around Iran.

The US has so humiliated itself, while exposing its weakness and the pointlessness of its military posture, that, perhaps, the country can do what it should have done years/decades ago and wind down its military presence in the Middle East. I mean that seriously. The US should withdraw from its large military bases, stop the deployment of its forces in the region, and certainly stop waging all wars in the area. If there is one thing we can say, it is that the US has wasted trillions of dollars in the Middle East on military escapades over the previous decades and all it has done is make the region, and the USA itself, far worse off.

This begs the question: Are things so bad that good will emerge?

Is It So Bad It’s Good?

Trump’s ongoing US-Iran war is merely the latest example of the pointlessness, waste, and destructive results of the heavy, decades-long, US military presence in the Middle East. This has been the reality for more than 35 years (if not longer), approximately since the end of the Cold War. The First Gulf War of 1990-1991, in retrospect, would have been the ideal time for the USA to begin scaling back its military involvement in the region. With the defeat of Saddam Hussein, achieved with the backing of a large and diverse coalition of Middle Eastern states, the US had given itself the golden opportunity to shift from an active interventionist to more of an organizer/aid to regional security.

Of course, it did not work out that way.

In the last few years the idea that the US needs to end its direct military involvement in the region has only grown in my mind. I published this piece, written right after the hideous Hamas attacks on October 7, 2023, arguing why (I have just taken it out from behind the paywall if you want to read more).

The US should pull out of the Middle East
Phillips P. Obrien • July 1, 2025
Read full story ? https://phillipspobrien.substack.com/p/the-us-should-pull-out-of-the-m
iddle


That article was built around four main points.

1. US military involvement has not helped the Middle East. It has not provided stability and not helped the spread of democracy.

2. The US is poorly equipped politically and militarily to play a constructive role in the region.

3. The US is operating under a dangerous “sunk-cost” fallacy. Its past involvement in the Middle East (fighting pointless wars, getting its own troops killed while killing others), has itself become the main engine for keeping the US militarily engaged. Time to cut the cord.

4. The US, to deal with its own decline, needs to empower its allies/partners to provide for their own security, not try to do everything itself. It is time for the states in the region to look after themselves. It will be better for them and better for the USA.

The results of the ongoing US-Iran war have strengthened the case in a number of ways and even provided new reasons that were not so apparent a few years ago. These are:

1. The USA is much weaker militarily than it seemed even a few years ago. Fighting Iran has exposed major problems that will take years to correct. It has suffered major losses while running down its stockpiles of advanced weaponry. Just yesterday reports emerged about the extremely high (and expensive) loss rates of US Reaper drones in the war. The US needs to rebuild its defense industrial base. There also needs to be major internal change in the military. The US must restore integrity and fight corruption in the Pentagon and to do that it must scale back its international commitments. The Middle East is the place to start.

2. The states in the region are toying with or distrustful of the USA. You know what Iran and Israel share? They are both showing how weak the USA is by playing with it. They can sign agreements with the US (like Iran) or act like they will do what the US wants (like Israel), but really they are doing what they want in places like the Strait of Hormuz and Lebanon. Trump’s rage at both over the last few weeks has been a sign, regardless of his massive military effort, these countries will do what they want. Other US partners, such as the Gulf states, have learned that the US cannot defend them against Iran and are changing their posture. So the states in the region are starting to think and act as if the US is a declining power—and this supports the idea of US withdrawal. This is actually a situation of which the US should take advantage. Let these states determine their own future.

3. Once again, US military power has made things worse. You would think we would not have to continually relearn this lesson, but we do. What has this war done? It has entrenched a more radical version of the Iranian government in power, emboldened it, and will lead to more suffering from those in Iran who want a free country. At some point the US needs to understand that it does not make things better to use military force, and the only way to make sure this stops in the future is not to have military force in the region ready to go.

4. The Chinese have shown the benefit of not getting directly militarily involved in the region. Now, Chinese foreign and strategic policy has been a real mixed bag for years. For a while (before the US lost its mind) the Chinese played into US hands in the Indo-Pacific by being too militarily threatening to other states in the region. They helped create more strong allies and partners for the USA. However, in the last few months the Chinese have shown the real advantage of working through allies and partners while not being militarily involved itself. It has seen the US waste huge amounts of military assets fighting a Chinese ally (Iran) which has emerged stronger. So not fighting directly has seen China seem more reliable, strengthen its strategic position and will see Beijing, undoubtedly, benefit from massive reconstruction contracts. Avoiding war is usually a good choice.

Add it up and the arguments for the US ending its large-scale military commitment to the Middle East, which I believe were very strong before February 28, 2026, now seem even more compelling. The US has done a great deal of harm in the region once again. It is time to cut the cord.

The Failing Hunt For A Fig Leaf

Is Iran overdoing its intransigence? I say that because they seem unwilling to give Trump anything to be a fig leaf covering his defeat. You would think Iran would be happy with the substance of victory and be willing to throw Trump some stylistic successes (or at least one stylistic success). However, the last week or so has confirmed that Iran seems to want both the substance and the style when it comes to the outcome of this war.

For instance, it is clear that Trump is desperate for some Iranian concession, any will do, on the nuclear question. He is desperate to be able to say to the American people that he has made Iran back down on nukes. However, Iran is simply not playing ball. For instance, two weeks ago the US said that international inspectors would soon be allowed to visit Iranian nuclear sites. The Iranians responded by rejecting these reports and said that no one would be allowed in until after a final agreement had been reached.

The issue of Iranian-charged tolls in the Strait is just as striking. In some ways Iran has already won this fight. The MOU accepts that Iran controls the Strait. However, the Iranian state is moving swiftly now to establish its ability to charge tolls, not even giving Trump a short breathing space to lie about a non-existent win. The Iranian attacks on tankers which precipitated this present bombing came about, it seems, because some ships were not taking the Iranian controlled route through the Strait but instead were using the Omani one. In other words, Iran wants this now and does not care about US politics.

Note: The US Government has gone very quiet on the toll question, as if they understand that Iran will give them no wiggle room. The last mention I can see of the US position is over a week ago (July 1—2).

If the Iranians will not give Trump even the style of some success in the talks, they are demanding their goodies up front to even proceed with the talks. For instance, the Iranians seem to be digging in their heels on the unfreezing of their assets. They say they were promised that and they will not go ahead with the negotiations and have a final agreement until after they get more of their money.

It is hard to see a few nights of pointless bombing by the US changing this basic reality. The US does not have the strength and the Iranians know it. Trump raging and insulting the Iranians does not make a difference.

Maybe withdrawing from the region is the only way.

The Joss Whedon script for Serenity, where Wash lives, is Serenity-190pages.pdf at https://www.mediafire.com/two

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Thursday, July 9, 2026 6:46 AM

6IXSTRINGJACK


Quote:

Originally posted by second:
Is It So Bad It's Good?



Whatever you cultists need to do to convince yourselves that you're not the assholes and idiots that you truly are, do your thing boy.

You're so brainjacked, you probably don't even know all the shit you've hidden from yourself just to keep from having a complete breakdown.




I find it hilarious that anybody could be so stupid as to believe that Iran has Trump over a barrel. Are you freaks even living on the same planet as the rest of us anymore?

--------------------------------------------------

Those who dance always seem crazy to those who can't hear the music.

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Thursday, July 9, 2026 1:30 PM

SECOND

The Joss Whedon script for Serenity, where Wash lives, is Serenity-190pages.pdf at https://www.mediafire.com/two


Quote:

Originally posted by 6ixStringJack:
Quote:

Originally posted by second:
Is It So Bad It's Good?



Whatever you cultists need to do to convince yourselves that you're not the assholes and idiots that you truly are, do your thing boy.

You're so brainjacked, you probably don't even know all the shit you've hidden from yourself just to keep from having a complete breakdown.




I find it hilarious that anybody could be so stupid as to believe that Iran has Trump over a barrel. Are you freaks even living on the same planet as the rest of us anymore?

Trump fears the Iranians. Secret Service urged Trump to depart Turkey on old Air Force One as a security precaution. Trump told reporters the switch had nothing to do with security concerns. But when asked by reporters if security concerns caused the change in flight plans, he answered that he's "No. 1 on the kill list for Iran."

https://abcnews.com/Politics/secret-service-urged-trump-depart-turkey-
air-force/story?id=134606227


The Joss Whedon script for Serenity, where Wash lives, is Serenity-190pages.pdf at https://www.mediafire.com/two

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Thursday, July 9, 2026 3:58 PM

6IXSTRINGJACK


Quote:

Originally posted by second:
Quote:

Originally posted by 6ixStringJack:
Quote:

Originally posted by second:
Is It So Bad It's Good?



Whatever you cultists need to do to convince yourselves that you're not the assholes and idiots that you truly are, do your thing boy.

You're so brainjacked, you probably don't even know all the shit you've hidden from yourself just to keep from having a complete breakdown.




I find it hilarious that anybody could be so stupid as to believe that Iran has Trump over a barrel. Are you freaks even living on the same planet as the rest of us anymore?

Trump fears the Iranians.



No. He does not.

Shut the fuck up, you stupid cunt.

--------------------------------------------------

Those who dance always seem crazy to those who can't hear the music.

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Thursday, July 9, 2026 10:02 PM

SIGNYM

I believe in solving problems, not sharing them.


Trump isn't afraid of Iran. But he should be cautious.

-----------

"It may be dangerous to be America's enemy, but to be America's friend is fatal."- Henry Kissinger

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Friday, July 10, 2026 6:56 AM

SECOND

The Joss Whedon script for Serenity, where Wash lives, is Serenity-190pages.pdf at https://www.mediafire.com/two


Trump’s War-Not-War Is Doing Something Odd to the Economy

Businesses and consumers are struggling with a bizarre conflict that is simultaneously happening and not happening.

By Idrees Kahloon | July 9, 2026, 1:54 PM ET

Idrees Kahloon is a staff writer at The Atlantic. He was previously the Washington bureau chief for The Economist. He writes about American politics, policy and economics.

https://www.theatlantic.com/ideas/2026/07/imf-report-consumers-iran-wa
r/687858
/

Yesterday, the International Monetary Fund happily reported that the world had weathered the recently settled Iran war surprisingly well. That same day, President Trump declared the cease-fire “over” and promised, “We’re going to hit them hard again tonight.” The United States resumed bombing Iran. For months, businesses and consumers all around the world have been trying to deal with a bizarre situation in which Trump’s war is both happening and not happening at once.

In quantum mechanics, alternate states of the world can be said to exist together in superposition—Schrödinger’s famous cat is both alive and dead at the same time. Contemporary geopolitics has a similar weirdness. The Strait of Hormuz has been declared simultaneously open and closed. Cease-fires coexist with intermittent bombings. America has decisively won the war, the Trump administration has insisted many times; all the while, it has been negotiating a diplomatic settlement that Iran both does and does not seem to want.

Many countries have been muddling along anyway. Unlike in its pessimistic April report, which had warned of a potential global recession, the IMF was sanguine yesterday in declaring that “the global economy as a whole has, so far, weathered the shock from the war better than feared.” Global GDP growth is now forecast to be 3 percent—less than the 3.3 percent forecast before the war actually began, but not much worse than the IMF’s April projection. Global inflation should be 4.7 percent, mostly because of the war-induced increases in oil and natural-gas prices. Even economies in Europe and Asia that were dependent on imported energy from the Middle East performed surprisingly well, for two reasons: Energy importers tapped their oil and gas reserves, preventing shortages, and the artificial-intelligence boom has kept equipment exporters such as China and South Korea growing much faster than expected.

Strikingly, the United States, a net exporter of energy, has inflicted war-related costs on the rest of the world without harming its growth trajectory at all. It is one of the few advanced economies that the IMF expects to grow faster in 2026 than it did in 2025. American consumers have grumbled about higher gas prices, but the S&P 500 is up almost 9 percent since the joint American-Israeli operation that started the war in February. Perhaps that is why, after delivering one stress test to the rest of the world, Trump is willing to deliver another by resuming hostilities. But a few more months of war-not-war could have more dire effects. The natural-gas reserves that Europe typically builds up in anticipation of winter are now very low. Reserves acted to dampen price pressure at the start of the war; now the impetus to refill them as the cold months approach could act to accelerate price pressure.

A protracted conflict could produce a disjunction, in which the global economy is both harmed and unharmed at the same time. The IMF’s headline growth projection yesterday, 3 percent, is not terrible. Yet the projection is a blend of two opposing states. Most countries will actually experience only one or the other. Economies involved in the AI boom will shrug off the effects of the war as equipment sales, rising stock indexes, and perhaps even growing worker productivity promote confidence among businesses and consumers. But for poorer economies uninvolved in technology supply chains and dependent on imported energy, the harms of war will be impossible to overlook. These economies will likely suffer shortages in the case of further oil and gas scarcity as reserves run out and they are outbid on the remaining supply. Food supplies could even be endangered. The Strait of Hormuz is a key conduit for materials needed for agricultural fertilizer—the cost of which has already surged. If these prices become even steeper, the IMF warns, South Asia and sub-Saharan Africa could experience serious food shortages.

Complicating matters further, war tends to increase inflation (as is currently happening) and increase debt, which pushes central banks of big economies to raise rates to stave off overheating, slowing down overall growth in those countries. The Federal Reserve has held rates steady this year instead of cutting; it may increase rates later in the year if the inflation risk seems large enough. These rate moves also draw investment to rich countries and away from emerging-market economies such as Egypt and Pakistan.

The grim reality may come to pass, because the memorandum of understanding that Iran and the United States signed last month appears to have unraveled. American sanctions on Iranian oil, temporarily lifted, have now snapped back into place. “Reescalation of geopolitical tensions would hurt growth and compound inflationary pressures,” the IMF warned, including new trade tensions and heightened risk of “social unrest and domestic political instability.” Then again, things can both be and not be. Shortly after America began its promised bombing run yesterday, Trump told reporters that the Iranians were begging for mercy. “They called a little while ago. They want to make a deal so badly,” he said. “I just don’t know if they’re worthy of making a deal.”

The Joss Whedon script for Serenity, where Wash lives, is Serenity-190pages.pdf at https://www.mediafire.com/two

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Friday, July 10, 2026 8:29 AM

6IXSTRINGJACK


Nobody gives a single fuck what a Pakistani "journalist" at the Atlantic has to say.

--------------------------------------------------

Those who dance always seem crazy to those who can't hear the music.

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Friday, July 10, 2026 7:35 PM

SECOND

The Joss Whedon script for Serenity, where Wash lives, is Serenity-190pages.pdf at https://www.mediafire.com/two


As Iran Cease-Fire Frays, Trump Faces a Muddled War and Unpalatable Options

The president appears to be confronting the consequences of a cease-fire deal cobbled together in haste, with little movement toward resolving the key issues driving the conflict.

https://www.nytimes.com/2026/07/08/us/politics/trump-iran-war.html

Just two weeks ago, opening the Great American State Fair, President Trump triumphantly declared: “For the first time in 3,000 years, we are going to have peace in the Middle East.”

It was typical bravado for Mr. Trump. But the “peace” he was celebrating — the cease-fire with Iran that on Wednesday he declared “over” after less than a month — was already beginning to unravel. The result was perhaps predictable for a 14-paragraph memorandum of understanding that skirted major issues and was hastily assembled so Mr. Trump could declare he had reached a deal, any deal.

Now Mr. Trump appears to be confronting the consequences of his haste, and of his assumption, born of his time in the real estate business, that his adversary would prize economic benefits over the revolutionary ideology that has driven its politics since the 1979 Iranian revolution. That has left him facing a range of unpalatable options amid seemingly intractable sticking points over the fate of Iran’s nuclear program — to say nothing of its missile program, its support for terrorist groups and its repression of its own people.

At the NATO summit in Ankara, Turkey, on Wednesday after the two sides had exchanged strikes, he threatened major new combat operations. Those included seizing a key Iranian oil processing island and attacking the country’s infrastructure and desalination plants, which experts have said could constitute a war crime. (Mr. Trump did say he was most hesitant to hit the desalination facilities.)

But Mr. Trump has made such threats without following through before, and he added on Wednesday that he did not anticipate a return to full-scale war. Such a move has little domestic support, and some of Mr. Trump’s Republican allies fear the economic and political consequences less than four months before the midterm elections. No one is more aware of that calendar, or Mr. Trump’s hesitation to repeat the experience of the spring, than the Iranian leadership.

The president could instead reimpose the American blockade of Iranian ports, an attempt to cut off the country’s economic lifeline. But that would require a continued, intense American presence in the region, and while Mr. Trump contended in April that it would lead to Iranian economic collapse, his earlier imposition of it did not.

Or he could elect to live in a world of neither war nor peace, an era of episodic skirmishes in the Persian Gulf, punctuated by periodic negotiations, with traffic through the Strait of Hormuz, a key oil-shipping route, greatly reduced from the 130 or so ships that passed through each day before the war. The energy markets would most likely adjust; to some degree they already have.

But for a president who promised a quick, cost-free confrontation with an old adversary — “four to six weeks” was the White House prediction in the opening weeks — an ongoing conflict would amount to near-total failure on the mission he initially set out upon. And the price would be staggering: The Pentagon has already asked Congress for about $70 billion to cover the early operations around Iran, and the cost rises every week.


“The problem is that all the options — endure, escalate or agree — are unattractive in different ways,” Richard Fontaine, the chief executive of the Center for a New American Security and a former aide to Senator John McCain, said on Wednesday. “The likeliest outcome is a continuing series of low-level, tit-for-tat attacks, followed by frantic diplomacy by mediators, the emergence of a new and fragile cease-fire, and then probably another round of strikes.

Mr. Fontaine added: “It will be a long oscillation between cold war and low-level hot war.”

Many of the problems Mr. Trump is facing today were exacerbated by the cease-fire deal itself. It left unresolved, for a later negotiation that Mr. Trump now says he has little interest in pursuing, the fate of Iran’s stockpile of near-bomb-grade nuclear fuel, the most prominent among the administration’s shifting reasons for attacking Iran on Feb. 28.

The agreement appeared to hand Iran at least some control over passage through the Strait of Hormuz, the superweapon that Tehran, and specifically the Islamic Revolutionary Guards Corps, has skillfully manipulated to drive up oil prices, and now has used to justify attacks on tankers and cargo ships not hewing to its new rules.

“What we’re seeing now is Iran, and more specifically the I.R.G.C., trying to exert control over the strait and declaring that this control is their sovereign right,” said Kevin Donegan, a retired Navy vice admiral who served as a Navy commander in the Middle East. “That’s the main card they have to play, and as a result we can expect they will continue to try to disrupt any ship traffic that uses routes different from the ones they have published.”

The deal was silent on Iran’s missile arsenal, the key issue for Israel. And it depended on a cease-fire in Lebanon, though the parties to that conflict, Israel and Hezbollah, were not signatories of the agreement. And it set an unrealistic deadline, 60 days, to deal diplomatically with those and other issues that months of active combat had failed to resolve.

There are, of course, many more turns ahead in this drama. Mr. Trump threatened again on Wednesday to try to seize Kharg Island, where giant tankers collect Iran’s oil and head to world markets. He may seek to seize the 60 percent enriched nuclear material deep underground at Isfahan, a mission for which Special Operations forces have trained extensively, though he dismissed the need for it on Wednesday.

“We’ve already got the nuclear material, because it’s so far underground,” he said, noting that the Iranians do not have the heavy equipment needed to unearth it.

If Mr. Trump is right about that, and many nuclear experts agree that the material would be enormously difficult to recover, it raises a fundamental question: If the nuclear fuel was successfully buried in the June 2025 American bombing of three major nuclear sites, why did he go to war to begin with? His statement on Wednesday, a repeat of comments he has made several times in recent months, undercuts the argument he made in the days after the initial attack in February that there was an “imminent” threat.


That initial justification has been overtaken by subsequent contradictions. Mr. Trump has periodically praised the new Iranian leadership, and even its new supreme leader, Mojtaba Khamenei, the son of the slain ayatollah, as more “reasonable.” He has said many times that, unlike their predecessors, the new leaders would open up the strait and dilute the nuclear stockpile because it will be in their economic interest.

Vice President JD Vance sounded exactly that note last month, when he was signing the memorandum of understanding in Switzerland.

“The coolest thing about the progress we’ve made over the last few weeks is that you see people within the Iranian system, senior leadership, even I.R.G.C. officials say, ‘You know what, we may have some animosity, we may have some mistrust, but we recognize the way that we’ve done business with the United States for 47 years is a mistake,’” he said.

On Wednesday, Mr. Trump had a different word for those leaders: “scum.”

“They are sick people. They’re led by sick people, and they’re vicious, violent people,” he said, adding: “As far as I’m concerned, it’s just a waste of time dealing with them.”

The Joss Whedon script for Serenity, where Wash lives, is Serenity-190pages.pdf at https://www.mediafire.com/two

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Friday, July 10, 2026 8:51 PM

6IXSTRINGJACK


Cool.

Thanks for the update, Shit Golem.

--------------------------------------------------

Those who dance always seem crazy to those who can't hear the music.

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Saturday, July 11, 2026 8:08 AM

SECOND

The Joss Whedon script for Serenity, where Wash lives, is Serenity-190pages.pdf at https://www.mediafire.com/two


The Timidity of America’s Top Generals

Deference to civilian power is part of the job but can go too far.

By Missy Ryan and Nancy A. Youssef | July 10, 2026, 11:45 AM ET

https://www.theatlantic.com/national-security/2026/07/generals-deferen
tial-military-trump/687822
/

What is the role of a general in a democracy? Many of today’s military leaders have a very particular answer: Focus on tactics, carry out orders, and otherwise shut up.

This is not what America’s top officers have always done. The country’s most senior generals and admirals are expected to provide unvarnished military counsel to the president and swear an oath to defend the Constitution. History is full of examples of officers who also spoke up about the ethics and strategic implications of the president’s choices. But with a commander in chief who has stated that he prefers “the sort of generals that Hitler had,” and a secretary of defense who has fired top officers for exhibiting insufficient loyalty, military leaders during the Trump presidency have defined their advisory role extremely narrowly.

Dan Caine, the general whom President Trump plucked out of retirement—and obscurity—to serve as chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff, has come to personify that circumspect approach. He presents military options and addresses tactical and force-related matters, but avoids big-picture questions of geopolitics and the probity of the administration’s actions, provided the administration deems them legal. Other top officers have followed his example.

Caine articulated his stance to the graduates of the National Defense University last month. The future top ranks, he said, must be clear about the limits of their role when they advise senior leaders about the risks and benefits of potential operations. Can we go do this? is a military question, Caine told the officers sweltering in their dress uniforms, one “that the joint force answers.” But “the should we? question lands at the policy level, and we don’t do that in our business,” he said.

Seen one way, Caine’s studious deference to civilian authority is an appropriate correction from the generals in charge of America’s wars in Iraq and Afghanistan, who were famously strident about what they thought the wars should be about and how they should be run. Top officers such as Caine serve at the pleasure of the president and can be relieved anytime; their jobs are to provide military counsel, not to shape preferred outcomes.

But looked at another way, Caine and other generals are being overly timid and deferential, in part because Pete Hegseth demands it. The secretary of defense has forced out more than 20 generals and admirals, including some of the most respected career officers in the forces: Caine’s predecessor, Air Force General C. Q. Brown Jr.; two other members of the Joint Chiefs; and, most recently, Army General C. D. Donahue. Meanwhile, Hegseth has promoted less experienced officers. He has offered no explanation for each individual ouster, and the dismissals have fed a sense among his senior commanders that he prizes fealty and acquiescence over competence and experience.

Assertive generals, too, can offer bad advice. The Afghan and Iraq Wars, led by more outspoken military leaders, dragged on, cost trillions of dollars, and ended far short of victory. Yet the Iran war, led by more reticent brass, hasn’t achieved the administration’s stated objectives, either. Before the conflict started, commanders had crafted a contingency plan for the U.S. military to keep shipping moving through the Strait of Hormuz, which called for additional ships, troops, and other forces in anticipation that Tehran might attempt to close it. But the president chose a different course. Commanders faithfully executed the president’s guidance and were careful not to criticize it publicly, only to see Iran close the strait to commercial traffic, disrupting global commerce and prompting the Trump administration to agree to a tenuous cease-fire and a (thus far futile) return to diplomacy.

All of which raises the question: How should the American public expect generals to behave?

The answer is made urgent by how Trump himself views the military. In his first term, Trump berated his Pentagon leaders as “dopes and babies”; after leaving office, he accused his chief military adviser of treason. In his second term, egged on by Hegseth, Trump has sent troops into U.S. cities and used the military for his legally dubious campaign against suspected drug traffickers in the Caribbean. He has also mused about deploying the military to monitor elections. That makes the balance that military leaders must strike—between deference to civilian leaders and their duty to the Constitution and the force they represent—an even thornier challenge. “If Trump 1.0 was the Olympic Games for these military leaders,” Carrie Lee, a scholar who specializes in civil-military issues at the German Marshall Fund of the United States, a think tank, told us, “then Trump 2.0 is The Hunger Games.”

Questions about how the military and its elected leaders should interact are older than the United States. General George Washington weighed in on policy with the Continental Congress during the Revolutionary War, repeatedly arguing that he did not have sufficient resources to defeat the British. When his pleas were rebuffed, he continued to advise the congress while adapting to what his civilian leaders wanted, with the goal of preserving the Continental Army. After victory, Washington famously resigned his military commission in 1783, before he became president.

One of the country’s most successful examples of civilian-military partnership came decades later, when President Abraham Lincoln gave General Ulysses S. Grant broad operational latitude to lead Union forces in the Civil War and Grant accepted Lincoln’s authority to set the conflict’s political objectives.

Perhaps the greatest civilian-military controversy erupted in 1951 when President Harry Truman fired General Douglas MacArthur for publicly challenging the administration’s approach to the Korean War. The president’s decision to remove one of the nation’s most celebrated (if outspoken) generals preserved the chain of command, even though many people believed that MacArthur had legitimate concerns about Truman’s “limited war” strategy, which aimed to prevent escalation. Truman publicly explained his reasons for that decision, letting the rest of the force know what civilian leaders expected of them. (Historians generally agree that MacArthur, venerated battlefield leader though he was, had gone too far.)

This administration has been unique for its lack of transparency over why generals are ousted. And in the run-up to the war in Iran, there was no chance to hear from the generals and admirals who would lead that war. Americans heard much more forthright rationales from generals involved in the wars in Afghanistan and Iraq.

Before the 2003 Iraq invasion, General Eric Shinseki told members of Congress that he believed “something on the order of several hundred thousand soldiers” would be needed to occupy the country, an assessment that then–Defense Secretary Donald Rumsfeld rejected. General David Petraeus later made the case for surging forces into Iraq in a bid to take on a burgeoning insurgency. In that era, Petraeus and General Stanley McChrystal were nationally known figures who expounded on grand strategy, held forth with the media, and rallied the public around policies the military supported in ways that some civilian leaders believed was out of line.

When Joe Biden was vice president, he blamed generals such as McChrystal for attempting to “box in” President Obama on Afghanistan and force him into approving a massive troop increase. Obama wrote in his memoir that, as the Afghanistan debate came to a head, Biden leaned in close to the president’s face and told him: “Don’t let them jam you!” The White House wanted the Pentagon, officers joked darkly, to “shut up and color,” like a kindergartner. (When Biden became president, he selected Lloyd Austin, a low-profile former general unlikely to challenge the White House, as his Pentagon chief.)

Many officers treat The Soldier and the State, by the political scientist Samuel Huntington, as their civil-military bible. The 1957 book advocates for civilian leaders to exercise “objective control” over a battle-hardened professional military class that remains apart from politics. But the most astute recognize the folly of the notion that the military can sidestep politics entirely. Particularly at the three- and four-star level, officers may refrain from engaging in partisan rhetoric and events, but they operate in the political realm, dealing with budgets, lawmakers, and the media.

America’s Founders feared a military powerful enough to threaten democracy, so they vested ultimate authority in civilians. But they premised that system on the assumption that those civilians would use their power responsibly and with congressional oversight. During the first Trump administration, Pentagon leaders pushed back on the president’s most egregious proposals. In 2020, Joint Chiefs Chairman Mark Milley was horrified when Trump suggested shooting unarmed protesters and deploying the military to police American streets. He and other Pentagon leaders worked behind the scenes to ensure a successful transition of power following the president’s 2020 defeat.

Milley, a voluble Army general whom Trump hand-picked as military chief, epitomizes the assertive and politically confident officer, as comfortable with opinion makers and foreign leaders as he is with the average grunt. But some current and former officers we spoke with believe that Milley overstepped at times—for example, when he spoke in support of studying critical race theory before Congress, providing fodder for right-wing complaints about a woke military; or when he took what many saw as a veiled shot at Trump as a “wanna-be dictator” in his 2023 retirement speech. (Milley became such a bête noire for Trump that Biden, fearing the general would be prosecuted when Trump returned to power, gave Milley a preemptive pardon.)

Many of those same officers, who spoke on the condition of anonymity because of the sensitivity of the subject matter, now believe that Caine and others are overcorrecting for Milley’s approach, especially in the face of Hegseth’s stifling of dissent and his campaign to remake the military according to his vision of a hypermasculine, ultra-loyal force. The pendulum, these officers believe, has now swung back too far.

Kori Schake, a defense analyst and a contributing writer for The Atlantic who has also written a book about U.S. civil-military relations, told us that Hegseth’s unexplained ousters, combined with a lack of public or congressional debate before military action in Iran, Venezuela, and the Caribbean, “have created a command climate that penalizes the honest evaluations of the military about issues on which the military is expert and the civilians are not.” Vladimir Putin’s cowed generals fostered the erroneous belief the Kremlin could score an easy victory in Ukraine; U.S. generals, Schake added, shouldn’t have the same fear of speaking up. “That’s very dangerous,” she said. “That’s how you lose wars.”

Caine is known as an even-tempered, assiduous officer; he is awake by 3 a.m. and on his first call by 4:30. In his office hang images of the Stoic philosopher Marcus Aurelius, General George C. Marshall (a fellow Virginia Military Institute graduate), and the compound where U.S. forces hunted down the Islamic State leader Abu Bakr al-Baghdadi. Caine has become one of Trump’s closest aides, particularly because the president relies on just a small coterie of national security advisers. During his first 365 days on the job, Caine made more than 330 trips to the White House.

Caine’s White House conversations remain private. His approach is “speaking truth to power, privately,” one person familiar with his thinking told us. But speaking before Congress and the press, he has repeatedly ducked questions about the wisdom of Trump’s controversial initiatives, including the deployment of National Guard troops in majority-Democrat cities and the decision to launch a war with Iran without congressional or public debate.

Caine has often cited classified information or his need to “maintain trust” with his civilian bosses, among others, to explain why he won’t publicly give even general assessments about major aspects of the war. Asked by Senator Dick Durbin, a Democrat from Illinois, during one hearing whether Operation Epic Fury, the code name for the Iran war, had achieved its goals, Caine replied: “Sir, only political leaders decide victory or defeat, and I’ll leave it to them to opine on that.” Detractors say that his background may explain some of his approach: Unlike past chairmen, Caine had not previously served at the four-star level, where officers gain valuable political experience, or headed a large command.

Some officers have been more forthright. General Gregory Guillot, the head of Northern Command, acknowledged to lawmakers that it would be illegal to place armed troops at polling places except in the case of an armed rebellion, even though the president has suggested he might do just that.

But other senior officers have followed Caine’s tight-lipped lead, careful not to seem at odds with their bosses. Early in the Iran war, Hegseth declared that America would provide “no quarter” to its enemies. The military’s own rules prohibit such orders or statements because they imply leaving no survivors on the battlefield or executing prisoners of war. In a congressional hearing in May, Representative Jason Crow, a Colorado Democrat and former Army Ranger, asked Admiral Brad Cooper, the head of U.S. Central Command, to affirm that the Law of War Manual prohibited such a declaration. “It’s clear from a U.S. military perspective, we follow the law of armed conflict,” Cooper demurred. He was trying not to enter the political fray by sparring with Democrats frustrated with Hegseth’s comments, one of his defenders told us. But what message was he sending to the troops he oversees Crow was incensed. “You’re a combatant commander. You’re one of our most senior military officers with tens of thousands of service members under your command,” Crow said. “This is not leadership to not be able to say something as basic.”

At the same hearing in May, Cooper answered another question the way Hegseth might have—by punching back. Representative Seth Moulton, a Marine veteran, pointed out to Cooper that the Iran war wasn’t meeting its objectives. “I would like to know how many more Americans we have to ask to die for this mistake. Do you know?” Moulton, a Democrat, demanded. Cooper, perhaps because of Moulton’s reference to fallen troops, was visibly furious. “It’s an entirely inappropriate statement from you, sir,” Cooper shot back.

In our combined decades of covering Pentagon leaders testifying before Congress, neither of us had ever seen a military leader push back against an elected official so forcefully. Officers, no matter how much they might resent congressional grandstanding, are supposed to sit there and take it. That’s part of the job.

Cooper requested a follow-up conversation with Moulton after that hearing. The two men later huddled, in an encounter that hasn’t previously been reported. Cooper was still riled, people familiar with the exchange told us, and told Moulton that his remarks had crossed a line; he believed that the congressman, as a veteran, should have risen above politics. Moulton responded that he likewise thought Cooper had been political and had failed to sufficiently answer lawmakers’ questions. The two men shook hands before parting ways.

For a general who says he is not political, Caine briefly embraced an administration talking point on a key—and hotly disputed—element of the Iran conflict: What constitutes a broken cease-fire? Caine told reporters in May that Iran’s repeated firing at commercial ships, despite Trump’s declared cease-fire, fell “below the threshold of restarting major combat operations at this point,” a seemingly political judgment. But he quickly reined himself in. When asked what constituted “major combat operations,” Caine said that such assessments were “above my pay grade.”

Many people inside the Pentagon and on Capitol Hill have wondered whether Caine and other senior officers are hoarding their influence with Hegseth and Trump for when they really need it—during a constitutional crisis, for instance, such as an attempt to place troops at polling stations in 2026 or 2028. (Caine is due to step down in September 2027, but he may be extended.) Caine and other officers have promised to follow the law. But they are operating in an administration that has been willing to act first and litigate later.

History remembers both Washington and Marshall less for their tactical brilliance than for their strategic leadership. They astutely navigated the politics of their times, and their legacies were shaped not only by what they did in uniform but by the institutions they left behind. Caine and today’s other senior brass may ultimately be remembered for their choices about when to quietly defer to civilian leadership—and when the moment demands they speak up.

The Joss Whedon script for Serenity, where Wash lives, is Serenity-190pages.pdf at https://www.mediafire.com/two

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Saturday, July 11, 2026 10:10 AM

6IXSTRINGJACK


Quote:

Originally posted by second:
The Timidity of America’s Top Generals

Deference to civilian power is part of the job but can go too far.

By Missy Ryan and Nancy A. Youssef | July 10, 2026, 11:45 AM ET

https://www.theatlantic.com/national-security/2026/07/generals-deferen
tial-military-trump/687822
/

What is the role of a general in a democracy? Many of today’s military leaders have a very particular answer: Focus on tactics, carry out orders, and otherwise shut up.

This is not what America’s top officers have always done. The country’s most senior generals and admirals are expected to provide unvarnished military counsel to the president and swear an oath to defend the Constitution. History is full of examples of officers who also spoke up about the ethics and strategic implications of the president’s choices. But with a commander in chief who has stated that he prefers “the sort of generals that Hitler had,” and a secretary of defense who has fired top officers for exhibiting insufficient loyalty, military leaders during the Trump presidency have defined their advisory role extremely narrowly.

Dan Caine, the general whom President Trump plucked out of retirement—and obscurity—to serve as chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff, has come to personify that circumspect approach. He presents military options and addresses tactical and force-related matters, but avoids big-picture questions of geopolitics and the probity of the administration’s actions, provided the administration deems them legal. Other top officers have followed his example.

Caine articulated his stance to the graduates of the National Defense University last month. The future top ranks, he said, must be clear about the limits of their role when they advise senior leaders about the risks and benefits of potential operations. Can we go do this? is a military question, Caine told the officers sweltering in their dress uniforms, one “that the joint force answers.” But “the should we? question lands at the policy level, and we don’t do that in our business,” he said.

Seen one way, Caine’s studious deference to civilian authority is an appropriate correction from the generals in charge of America’s wars in Iraq and Afghanistan, who were famously strident about what they thought the wars should be about and how they should be run. Top officers such as Caine serve at the pleasure of the president and can be relieved anytime; their jobs are to provide military counsel, not to shape preferred outcomes.

But looked at another way, Caine and other generals are being overly timid and deferential, in part because Pete Hegseth demands it. The secretary of defense has forced out more than 20 generals and admirals, including some of the most respected career officers in the forces: Caine’s predecessor, Air Force General C. Q. Brown Jr.; two other members of the Joint Chiefs; and, most recently, Army General C. D. Donahue. Meanwhile, Hegseth has promoted less experienced officers. He has offered no explanation for each individual ouster, and the dismissals have fed a sense among his senior commanders that he prizes fealty and acquiescence over competence and experience.

Assertive generals, too, can offer bad advice. The Afghan and Iraq Wars, led by more outspoken military leaders, dragged on, cost trillions of dollars, and ended far short of victory. Yet the Iran war, led by more reticent brass, hasn’t achieved the administration’s stated objectives, either. Before the conflict started, commanders had crafted a contingency plan for the U.S. military to keep shipping moving through the Strait of Hormuz, which called for additional ships, troops, and other forces in anticipation that Tehran might attempt to close it. But the president chose a different course. Commanders faithfully executed the president’s guidance and were careful not to criticize it publicly, only to see Iran close the strait to commercial traffic, disrupting global commerce and prompting the Trump administration to agree to a tenuous cease-fire and a (thus far futile) return to diplomacy.

All of which raises the question: How should the American public expect generals to behave?

The answer is made urgent by how Trump himself views the military. In his first term, Trump berated his Pentagon leaders as “dopes and babies”; after leaving office, he accused his chief military adviser of treason. In his second term, egged on by Hegseth, Trump has sent troops into U.S. cities and used the military for his legally dubious campaign against suspected drug traffickers in the Caribbean. He has also mused about deploying the military to monitor elections. That makes the balance that military leaders must strike—between deference to civilian leaders and their duty to the Constitution and the force they represent—an even thornier challenge. “If Trump 1.0 was the Olympic Games for these military leaders,” Carrie Lee, a scholar who specializes in civil-military issues at the German Marshall Fund of the United States, a think tank, told us, “then Trump 2.0 is The Hunger Games.”

Questions about how the military and its elected leaders should interact are older than the United States. General George Washington weighed in on policy with the Continental Congress during the Revolutionary War, repeatedly arguing that he did not have sufficient resources to defeat the British. When his pleas were rebuffed, he continued to advise the congress while adapting to what his civilian leaders wanted, with the goal of preserving the Continental Army. After victory, Washington famously resigned his military commission in 1783, before he became president.

One of the country’s most successful examples of civilian-military partnership came decades later, when President Abraham Lincoln gave General Ulysses S. Grant broad operational latitude to lead Union forces in the Civil War and Grant accepted Lincoln’s authority to set the conflict’s political objectives.

Perhaps the greatest civilian-military controversy erupted in 1951 when President Harry Truman fired General Douglas MacArthur for publicly challenging the administration’s approach to the Korean War. The president’s decision to remove one of the nation’s most celebrated (if outspoken) generals preserved the chain of command, even though many people believed that MacArthur had legitimate concerns about Truman’s “limited war” strategy, which aimed to prevent escalation. Truman publicly explained his reasons for that decision, letting the rest of the force know what civilian leaders expected of them. (Historians generally agree that MacArthur, venerated battlefield leader though he was, had gone too far.)

This administration has been unique for its lack of transparency over why generals are ousted. And in the run-up to the war in Iran, there was no chance to hear from the generals and admirals who would lead that war. Americans heard much more forthright rationales from generals involved in the wars in Afghanistan and Iraq.

Before the 2003 Iraq invasion, General Eric Shinseki told members of Congress that he believed “something on the order of several hundred thousand soldiers” would be needed to occupy the country, an assessment that then–Defense Secretary Donald Rumsfeld rejected. General David Petraeus later made the case for surging forces into Iraq in a bid to take on a burgeoning insurgency. In that era, Petraeus and General Stanley McChrystal were nationally known figures who expounded on grand strategy, held forth with the media, and rallied the public around policies the military supported in ways that some civilian leaders believed was out of line.

When Joe Biden was vice president, he blamed generals such as McChrystal for attempting to “box in” President Obama on Afghanistan and force him into approving a massive troop increase. Obama wrote in his memoir that, as the Afghanistan debate came to a head, Biden leaned in close to the president’s face and told him: “Don’t let them jam you!” The White House wanted the Pentagon, officers joked darkly, to “shut up and color,” like a kindergartner. (When Biden became president, he selected Lloyd Austin, a low-profile former general unlikely to challenge the White House, as his Pentagon chief.)

Many officers treat The Soldier and the State, by the political scientist Samuel Huntington, as their civil-military bible. The 1957 book advocates for civilian leaders to exercise “objective control” over a battle-hardened professional military class that remains apart from politics. But the most astute recognize the folly of the notion that the military can sidestep politics entirely. Particularly at the three- and four-star level, officers may refrain from engaging in partisan rhetoric and events, but they operate in the political realm, dealing with budgets, lawmakers, and the media.

America’s Founders feared a military powerful enough to threaten democracy, so they vested ultimate authority in civilians. But they premised that system on the assumption that those civilians would use their power responsibly and with congressional oversight. During the first Trump administration, Pentagon leaders pushed back on the president’s most egregious proposals. In 2020, Joint Chiefs Chairman Mark Milley was horrified when Trump suggested shooting unarmed protesters and deploying the military to police American streets. He and other Pentagon leaders worked behind the scenes to ensure a successful transition of power following the president’s 2020 defeat.

Milley, a voluble Army general whom Trump hand-picked as military chief, epitomizes the assertive and politically confident officer, as comfortable with opinion makers and foreign leaders as he is with the average grunt. But some current and former officers we spoke with believe that Milley overstepped at times—for example, when he spoke in support of studying critical race theory before Congress, providing fodder for right-wing complaints about a woke military; or when he took what many saw as a veiled shot at Trump as a “wanna-be dictator” in his 2023 retirement speech. (Milley became such a bête noire for Trump that Biden, fearing the general would be prosecuted when Trump returned to power, gave Milley a preemptive pardon.)

Many of those same officers, who spoke on the condition of anonymity because of the sensitivity of the subject matter, now believe that Caine and others are overcorrecting for Milley’s approach, especially in the face of Hegseth’s stifling of dissent and his campaign to remake the military according to his vision of a hypermasculine, ultra-loyal force. The pendulum, these officers believe, has now swung back too far.

Kori Schake, a defense analyst and a contributing writer for The Atlantic who has also written a book about U.S. civil-military relations, told us that Hegseth’s unexplained ousters, combined with a lack of public or congressional debate before military action in Iran, Venezuela, and the Caribbean, “have created a command climate that penalizes the honest evaluations of the military about issues on which the military is expert and the civilians are not.” Vladimir Putin’s cowed generals fostered the erroneous belief the Kremlin could score an easy victory in Ukraine; U.S. generals, Schake added, shouldn’t have the same fear of speaking up. “That’s very dangerous,” she said. “That’s how you lose wars.”

Caine is known as an even-tempered, assiduous officer; he is awake by 3 a.m. and on his first call by 4:30. In his office hang images of the Stoic philosopher Marcus Aurelius, General George C. Marshall (a fellow Virginia Military Institute graduate), and the compound where U.S. forces hunted down the Islamic State leader Abu Bakr al-Baghdadi. Caine has become one of Trump’s closest aides, particularly because the president relies on just a small coterie of national security advisers. During his first 365 days on the job, Caine made more than 330 trips to the White House.

Caine’s White House conversations remain private. His approach is “speaking truth to power, privately,” one person familiar with his thinking told us. But speaking before Congress and the press, he has repeatedly ducked questions about the wisdom of Trump’s controversial initiatives, including the deployment of National Guard troops in majority-Democrat cities and the decision to launch a war with Iran without congressional or public debate.

Caine has often cited classified information or his need to “maintain trust” with his civilian bosses, among others, to explain why he won’t publicly give even general assessments about major aspects of the war. Asked by Senator Dick Durbin, a Democrat from Illinois, during one hearing whether Operation Epic Fury, the code name for the Iran war, had achieved its goals, Caine replied: “Sir, only political leaders decide victory or defeat, and I’ll leave it to them to opine on that.” Detractors say that his background may explain some of his approach: Unlike past chairmen, Caine had not previously served at the four-star level, where officers gain valuable political experience, or headed a large command.

Some officers have been more forthright. General Gregory Guillot, the head of Northern Command, acknowledged to lawmakers that it would be illegal to place armed troops at polling places except in the case of an armed rebellion, even though the president has suggested he might do just that.

But other senior officers have followed Caine’s tight-lipped lead, careful not to seem at odds with their bosses. Early in the Iran war, Hegseth declared that America would provide “no quarter” to its enemies. The military’s own rules prohibit such orders or statements because they imply leaving no survivors on the battlefield or executing prisoners of war. In a congressional hearing in May, Representative Jason Crow, a Colorado Democrat and former Army Ranger, asked Admiral Brad Cooper, the head of U.S. Central Command, to affirm that the Law of War Manual prohibited such a declaration. “It’s clear from a U.S. military perspective, we follow the law of armed conflict,” Cooper demurred. He was trying not to enter the political fray by sparring with Democrats frustrated with Hegseth’s comments, one of his defenders told us. But what message was he sending to the troops he oversees Crow was incensed. “You’re a combatant commander. You’re one of our most senior military officers with tens of thousands of service members under your command,” Crow said. “This is not leadership to not be able to say something as basic.”

At the same hearing in May, Cooper answered another question the way Hegseth might have—by punching back. Representative Seth Moulton, a Marine veteran, pointed out to Cooper that the Iran war wasn’t meeting its objectives. “I would like to know how many more Americans we have to ask to die for this mistake. Do you know?” Moulton, a Democrat, demanded. Cooper, perhaps because of Moulton’s reference to fallen troops, was visibly furious. “It’s an entirely inappropriate statement from you, sir,” Cooper shot back.

In our combined decades of covering Pentagon leaders testifying before Congress, neither of us had ever seen a military leader push back against an elected official so forcefully. Officers, no matter how much they might resent congressional grandstanding, are supposed to sit there and take it. That’s part of the job.

Cooper requested a follow-up conversation with Moulton after that hearing. The two men later huddled, in an encounter that hasn’t previously been reported. Cooper was still riled, people familiar with the exchange told us, and told Moulton that his remarks had crossed a line; he believed that the congressman, as a veteran, should have risen above politics. Moulton responded that he likewise thought Cooper had been political and had failed to sufficiently answer lawmakers’ questions. The two men shook hands before parting ways.

For a general who says he is not political, Caine briefly embraced an administration talking point on a key—and hotly disputed—element of the Iran conflict: What constitutes a broken cease-fire? Caine told reporters in May that Iran’s repeated firing at commercial ships, despite Trump’s declared cease-fire, fell “below the threshold of restarting major combat operations at this point,” a seemingly political judgment. But he quickly reined himself in. When asked what constituted “major combat operations,” Caine said that such assessments were “above my pay grade.”

Many people inside the Pentagon and on Capitol Hill have wondered whether Caine and other senior officers are hoarding their influence with Hegseth and Trump for when they really need it—during a constitutional crisis, for instance, such as an attempt to place troops at polling stations in 2026 or 2028. (Caine is due to step down in September 2027, but he may be extended.) Caine and other officers have promised to follow the law. But they are operating in an administration that has been willing to act first and litigate later.

History remembers both Washington and Marshall less for their tactical brilliance than for their strategic leadership. They astutely navigated the politics of their times, and their legacies were shaped not only by what they did in uniform but by the institutions they left behind. Caine and today’s other senior brass may ultimately be remembered for their choices about when to quietly defer to civilian leadership—and when the moment demands they speak up.

The Joss Whedon script for Serenity, where Wash lives, is Serenity-190pages.pdf at https://www.mediafire.com/two



I'm just waiting for somebody at the NYT to write this article so we can bring them up on treason.

You'll let me know if that happens, won't you Shit Golem?

--------------------------------------------------

Those who dance always seem crazy to those who can't hear the music.

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Saturday, July 11, 2026 4:35 PM

SECOND

The Joss Whedon script for Serenity, where Wash lives, is Serenity-190pages.pdf at https://www.mediafire.com/two


Quote:

Originally posted by 6ixStringJack:

I'm just waiting for somebody at the NYT to write this article so we can bring them up on treason.

It is Trump who committed treason by going to war without Congress declaring war. Trump is losing the war despite falsely declaring he won.

President Trump Says "We've Won" Iran War - March 11, 2026



Trump’s War is NOT Won: Mediators try to save crumbling Iran deal as Trump, Khamenei trade threats

Iran's leader vowed to avenge his father's death at the hands of the U.S., while President Trump says he threatened missile attacks in response to threats to kill him.

By Jon Gambrell, Michelle L. Price and Will Weissert Associated Press

July 11, 2026, 2:30 p.m. ET | DUBAI, United Arab Emirates

https://www.csmonitor.com/USA/Politics/2026/0711/Mediators-try-to-save
-crumbling-Iran-deal-as-Trump-Khamenei-trade-threats


U.S. and Iranian leaders traded threats on Saturday as the interim deal to end the war buckled under crossfire in the Middle East and efforts continued to keep talks going.

President Donald Trump overnight made threats on social media of further missile attacks against Iran, after the funeral of Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei saw open calls for the U.S. leader's killing. Senior U.S. officials demanded that Iran make a public statement saying the Strait of Hormuz is open and ships won't be attacked.

Later, Iranian Supreme Leader Mojtaba Khamenei vowed that Iranians would continue to avenge his father's death. Such revenge "is the will of our nation and must certainly be carried out," he said in remarks carried by state television. He still has not been seen publicly since the war began on Feb. 28 with strikes that killed his father.

Tehran has insisted that the strait remain under its control and that it be allowed to charge ships moving through it, a stance it took after the war began.

The exchange of threats followed days of U.S. airstrikes targeting Iran, sparked by Iran's attacks on three ships in the strait, and Iranian retaliatory fire targeting Arab nations in the region. Trump has declared the ceasefire over but said the U.S. would continue negotiations.

Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi on Saturday said he met with his counterpart in Oman, located on the other side of the strait, to discuss the waterway and "appropriate mechanisms for ensuring the safe passage of ships."

Trump says he responded to threats to kill him

A thousand "missiles are Locked and Loaded and aimed at the Islamic Republic of Iran, with thousands more to immediately follow, should the Iranian Government act on its threat," Trump wrote on his website.

He said he was responding to threats "to assassinate, or attempt to assassinate" him. During Khamenei's funeral, mourners held posters or banners calling for Trump to be killed along with Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu. Iran buried Khamenei, 86, this week.

Trump added that the U.S. military would "completely decimate and destroy all areas of Iran — PRAISE BE TO ALLAH!"

Trump has repeatedly invoked the name of God in Arabic, and threatened to destroy Iran's very civilization. The Council on American-Islamic Relations, an advocacy group, has criticized Trump's "deranged mocking of Islam."

Iran accuses Washington of violating the interim deal

Iran's foreign minister accused the U.S. of violating the interim deal by ending waivers allowing Iran to sell crude oil on the open market in U.S. dollars. Washington ended them in response to the attacks on ships in the strait.

"Reality check: There can only be mutual compliance," Araghchi wrote on X.

He was scheduled to meet with his counterpart in Oman. Turkish Foreign Minister Hakan Fidan told his country's state broadcaster, TRT, that he believed "a solution can be reached" this weekend between Iran and Oman.

The U.S. urges mariners to travel through the strait on a southern route, through Oman's territorial waters. Iran has said the strait must be under its sole control and that vessels should begin paying fees to Tehran. The world for decades has considered it an international waterway.

About a fifth of all traded oil and natural gas passed through it before the war began. Iran's grip on the strait during the war led to a global energy crisis, though oil prices have sharply dropped since wartime highs of $120 a barrel.

Tehran's diplomat at the United Nations said on Friday that any activity in the strait, including its opening or demining operations, "rests exclusively with Iran."

US officials accuse hard-liners of trying to sabotage the deal

U.S. officials, speaking on condition of anonymity about the current situation with Iran, said the resumption of strikes this week came after what they described as a rogue faction of Iranian hard-liners tried to sabotage the ceasefire.

However, Iran has insisted its theocracy is unified under the new supreme leader.

After the U.S. wrapped up its latest strikes on Thursday, more attacks reportedly hit Iran, raising questions about who else may be targeting the Islamic Republic.

Israel didn't claim them, meaning the Gulf Arab states may have launched them, likely as a means to deter Iran from attacking them again. Iran on Thursday retaliated for U.S. strikes by targeting Bahrain, Jordan, Kuwait and Qatar.

The strikes in Iran over two days killed at least 17 people and wounded 115 others, Iranian Health Ministry spokesperson Hossein Kermanpour said.
___

Price and Weissert reported from Washington. Associated Press writer Sam Metz in Ramallah, West Bank, contributed to this report.

The Joss Whedon script for Serenity, where Wash lives, is Serenity-190pages.pdf at https://www.mediafire.com/two

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Saturday, July 11, 2026 4:46 PM

6IXSTRINGJACK


What's that, Shit Golem?



I wasn't paying attention to you.

You should get used to that now.

Because nobody is ever going to take anything you ever say seriously again.

--------------------------------------------------

Those who dance always seem crazy to those who can't hear the music.

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Saturday, July 11, 2026 5:08 PM

6IXSTRINGJACK




I wasn't joking.

You were the joke all along.

And not a particularly funny one.

And now everybody sees this.

Except for you.

Now carry that fucking weight.

Don't you worry. I know your stupid ass still doesn't get it.

But you will.



--------------------------------------------------

Those who dance always seem crazy to those who can't hear the music.

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Trunp loses again in Court
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Midterms 2026
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Who hates Israel?
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Ghislaine Maxwell, in prison for sex trafficking, calls meeting Jeffrey Epstein the "greatest mistake of my life"
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I must be a secret communist
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Let The Hypocrisy Begin
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Countdown to Trumps 2026 Impeachment.
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Who Cares?: Swalwell pal Sen. Ruben Gallego had sexual relationships with two House staffers, sources reveal to The Post
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