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The pressure on Iran is already extraordinary. The rial traded at 2.02 million to the dollar on Sunday, down from 1.53 million in March, a 32 percent depreciation in under six months. Inflation is running near 90 percent by the Iranian government’s own Statistical Center, and the International Monetary Fund expects the economy to contract 5.4 percent this year.

Oil exports have stopped almost entirely: central bank governor Abdolnaser Hemmati has conceded that “we are not exporting oil,” tanker trackers have logged no Iranian supertanker crossing the Strait of Hormuz since July and floating storage has drained from 105 million barrels to fewer than 40 million.

The rest of the ledger is no better. Iranians are living with rolling blackouts and water rationing. Hezbollah is degraded, Hamas is gone, Assad has fallen, and the nuclear program is buried.

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