REAL WORLD EVENT DISCUSSIONS

Despite what doom/gloomers say, economy roars on.

POSTED BY: AURAPTOR
UPDATED: Sunday, March 19, 2023 13:18
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Wednesday, May 10, 2006 3:33 PM

RUE

I have a vote and I'm not afraid to use it!


I agree about the upcoming economic stresses. But you forgot that personal bankruptcy is harder to come by thanks to the ruling kleptocracy.

The real reason I posted a portion of Unwrapped's previous post (consumer confidence high) and the new, not so good consumer confidence poll, is that Unwrapped thinks a high consumer confidence means a robust economy. I was just pointing out that consumer confidence is sliding, something he should be taking into account as it is his adopted economic measure.


Nearly everything I know I learned by the grace of others.

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Wednesday, May 10, 2006 11:20 PM

SIGNYM

I believe in solving problems, not sharing them.


Auraptor's first stab at economic analysis was in another thread. That was where he laid his hands on the first positive statistic that came to hand Why... LOOK! Consumer confidence and consumer spending and home sales are up and unemployment is down! ... or words to that effect. I kept asking for a point by point discussion on economics because I predicted that consumer confidence would drop. I see that he evaded a rigorous discussion. I still would like one. Well, maybe in the next thread.

---------------------------------
If you're so smart how come you're not rich? I am.

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Wednesday, May 10, 2006 11:52 PM

CITIZEN


Quote:

Originally posted by SignyM:
Auraptor's first stab at economic analysis was in another thread. That was where he laid his hands on the first positive statistic that came to hand Why... LOOK! Consumer confidence and consumer spending and home sales are up and unemployment is down! ... or words to that effect. I kept asking for a point by point discussion on economics because I predicted that consumer confidence would drop. I see that he evaded a rigorous discussion. I still would like one. Well, maybe in the next thread.


AU tends to just spit out a couple of party lines then if that doesn't work because whoever he's talking to has more knowledge of the subject than him he turns the thread around into a constant attempt to discredit them rather than what they say (since he is utterly in capable of doing so).

Funny thing is he always discredits other people by accusing them of doing what he does habitually, and just outright lying. It's really amusing to watch it happen, especially when it's plainly obvious to all who reads his posts (besides him, of course ).

In other words don't hold your breath for any sort of conversation with AU, not unless your looking for a conversation about how you are really an evil anti-American Terrorist who supports Terrorist rights and hates freedom puppies and civil rights, is blind to any data you don't want to see and smells of cheese.



More insane ramblings by the people who brought you beeeer milkshakes!
And as you know, these are open forums, you're able to come and listen to what I have to say.

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Wednesday, May 17, 2006 12:20 PM

RUE

I have a vote and I'm not afraid to use it!


05/17/2006

Yes it roars on ...

"The Dow (down 214.28 to 11,205.61, Charts) skidded about 1.8 percent after being down as much as 245 points earlier. The broader Standard & Poor's 500 (down 21.76 to 1,270.32, Charts) index sank 1.7 percent and the Nasdaq composite (down 33.33 to 2,195.80, Charts) stumbled 1.5 percent, erasing its gains for the year."




Nearly everything I know I learned by the grace of others.

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Wednesday, May 17, 2006 1:14 PM

PIRATEJENNY


Quote:

Originally posted by AURaptor:
( Just more fuel for the economy which is on FIRE! )

U.S. Stocks Rise on Verizon Profit; S&P 500 Nears 5-Year High

May 2 (Bloomberg) -- U.S. stocks rose as earnings from Verizon Communications Inc. exceeded analysts' forecasts, easing concern that higher interest rates may curb profit growth. The Standard & Poor's 500 Index reached an almost five-year high.

TXU Corp. led a rebound in utility shares as the largest Texas power producer said profit climbed on higher electricity prices. A drop in Treasury yields also boosted the group.

Emerson Electric Co., the world's biggest maker of power supplies for telecommunications systems, and Archer Daniels Midland Co., the No. 1 grain processor, joined Verizon in reporting results that topped Wall Street's expectations.

``We still keep seeing better-than-expected earnings,'' said Cummins Catherwood, who helps manage $800 million at Walnut Asset Management in Philadelphia. Companies such as Verizon and Emerson are ``posting some impressive stuff. That gives me encouragement about our economy.''

The S&P 500 added 7.46, or 0.6 percent, to 1312.65 at 2:18 p.m. in New York, the highest since May 21, 2001. The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 74.76, or 0.7 percent, to 11,418.05. The Nasdaq Composite Index gained 5.70, or 0.3 percent, to 2310.49.

Stocks reached their highs in early afternoon trading as Treasury yields fell to their lows on the day and a gain in oil prices lifted energy shares.

Almost two stocks rose for every one that fell on the New York Stock Exchange. Some 1.14 billion shares changed hands on the Big Board, in line with the same time a week ago.

Exceeding Forecasts

Better-than-expected reports have lifted the earnings growth rate for S&P 500 companies in the first quarter to 14.1 percent, from 13.6 percent a week ago, according to Merrill Lynch & Co. chief market analyst Mary Ann Bartels.

Stocks made up most of their declines from a day ago, when remarks attributed to Fed Chairman Ben S. Bernanke suggested the central bank may not pause its series of 15 straight interest rate increases soon.

People love a happy ending. So every episode, I will explain once again that I don't like people. And then Mal will shoot someone. Someone we like. And their puppy. - Joss

" They don't like it when you shoot at 'em. I worked that out myself. "







LMAO!!

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Tuesday, May 30, 2006 3:11 PM

RUE

I have a vote and I'm not afraid to use it!


Hey Unwrapped !!

- how's that economy of yours going lately ??

May 30; Market Close
Dow ends down 184, Nasdaq closes down 46
May 30 2006
NEW YORK (Reuters) - U.S. consumer confidence fell to a three-month low in May, weighed down by concerns over rising gasoline prices and diminished optimism about the economy, a survey showed on Tuesday.



Nearly everything I know I learned by the grace of others.

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Tuesday, May 30, 2006 3:23 PM

RUE

I have a vote and I'm not afraid to use it!


Zero,

You know, I usually just scroll past your posts, so I didn't catch this until now.

----------------------
Originally posted by citizen:
So how's that biggest rich/poor gap of any developed nation coming?
----------------------
Originally posted by zero:
Good thanks. How's the effort to push us into the slavery of godless communism going for you?
----------------------

US ? Did you mean the UK 'us'? You do know that Citizen is British, right? Or did you mean the US 'us'? In which case, are you in fact PN ??? Then you forgot jewish commie nazi british .... whatever.




Nearly everything I know I learned by the grace of others.

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Wednesday, May 31, 2006 3:49 AM

AURAPTOR

America loves a winner!


SigyM and Citizen - you simply want to argue facts because I'm the one pointing them out. I can't change the facts, but it's y'all who want to try. I was never closed to discussing the specifics, but that was never brought up.

It's almost as though some WANT the economy to be bad, so they can find something else to blame Bush over, and there by follow their well ( in their own mind ) established template that Bush is the cause of all things bad in the world.

It's beyond silly.

People love a happy ending. So every episode, I will explain once again that I don't like people. And then Mal will shoot someone. Someone we like. And their puppy. - Joss

" They don't like it when you shoot at 'em. I worked that out myself. "

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Wednesday, May 31, 2006 5:24 AM

CITIZEN


It's almost as if you don't realise that you never bring real well rounded facts to a discussion, all you ever bring is bullshit...

Now what you mean by specifics is everyone agreeing with you, and your right the only specifics you are prepared to deal with were never brought up, but you're only prepared to deal with the specifics of AURaptors fantasy world, so no surprise there then.



More insane ramblings by the people who brought you beeeer milkshakes!
"I had a rose named after me and I was very flattered. But I was not pleased to read the description in the catalog: 'No good in a bed, but fine against a wall'." -- Eleanor Roosevelt.

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Wednesday, May 31, 2006 7:02 AM

SIGNYM

I believe in solving problems, not sharing them.


Quote:

SignyM and Citizen - you simply want to argue facts because I'm the one pointing them out. I can't change the facts, but it's y'all who want to try. I was never closed to discussing the specifics, but that was never brought up.
I would LOVE to discuss specifics in a logical, stpe-by-step fashion. As I recall, your first post had to do with consumer confidence, consumer spending, and home sales and your second was based on the stock market and earnings. One of the things that YOU need to do first is to settle on which indicators YOU use to measure "the economy" otherwise you will keep shifting your basis to whichever indicator happens to be positive at the time. And if you think picking and choosing postitive indicators is an honest assessment of "the economy" then you're the one who is looking to change "the facts".

BTW- I'd also be happy to discuss indicators in general -what they mean and which ones are important. I'd also be happy to discuss currency circulation and various economic theories. Where would you like to start?
Quote:

It's almost as though some WANT the economy to be bad, so they can find something else to blame Bush over, and there by follow their well ( in their own mind ) established template that Bush is the cause of all things bad in the world.
Hey, I live in this economy and I have a mentally challenged teen. Do you really think that I want everything to be f*cked up?? If you do then you've got more problems than my kid! FYI I don't think Bush is the source of everything bad in the world. He didn't cause global warming and he didn't cause jihadism. OTOH he IS driving the US Treasury over a cliff and he IS causing a collapse of the middle class in the USA.

So, like I said- where do you want to start?
Quote:

It's beyond silly.
No kidding


---------------------------------
Don't piss in my face and tell me it's raining.

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Wednesday, May 31, 2006 7:07 AM

RUE

I have a vote and I'm not afraid to use it!


Unwrapped,

It was in http://www.fireflyfans.net/thread.asp?b=18&t=20100 where you claimed consumer confidence, existing homes sales and consumer spending, were the marks of a strong economy. SignyM pressed pretty hard for a definitive list from you that you would stick with. After a long, long time you shifted ground citing consumer confidence (again) 'the rate of growth' and the unemployment. When SignyM asked you about your new criteria, you bobbed and weaved, shifted the discussion to how much money (a few) people made during the Great Depression, China's and India's strong economies, threw some kind of slur on Europe, and well, completely abandoned the topic. That was your last point on the issue, on April 29. Only to post a WHOLE NEW THREAD ON THE SAME TOPIC (this one) just two days later.

In this one you shift ground yet agin to the stock markets.

So consumer confidence falls, the market falls, existing home sales fall, and you ... refuse to address the very items you launched.

Why is that?


Nearly everything I know I learned by the grace of others.

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Wednesday, May 31, 2006 7:39 AM

RUE

I have a vote and I'm not afraid to use it!


Unwrapped,

So I did a little more looking aorund.

UPDATE 2-US April existing home sales fall 2.0 percent
Thursday 25 May 2006, 12:58pm EST
Weak Consumer Spending Depresses Wall St.
By Jesus Sanchez, Times Staff Writer
2:31 PM PDT, May 30, 2006
I didn't find any recent unemployment figures.

Let me ask you a question you might be able to answer:
Out of all possible economic indicators,
which current factors indicate a robust US economy?



Nearly everything I know I learned by the grace of others.

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Wednesday, May 31, 2006 9:18 AM

SIGNYM

I believe in solving problems, not sharing them.


Well, I'm still waiting for that point-by-point. (Hmmm, I think I said this five or six times by now.) Auraptor? Just let me know what you want to start with.

---------------------------------
Don't piss in my face and tell me it's raining.

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Wednesday, May 31, 2006 9:28 AM

RUE

I have a vote and I'm not afraid to use it!


Hell, I'm still waiting for anything.


Nearly everything I know I learned by the grace of others.

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Wednesday, May 31, 2006 9:31 AM

SIGNYM

I believe in solving problems, not sharing them.


How much you wanna bet he starts a new thread? Same topic and same viewpoint, but leaving those nagging requests for discussion behind???

---------------------------------
Don't piss in my face and tell me it's raining.

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Wednesday, May 31, 2006 9:33 AM

RUE

I have a vote and I'm not afraid to use it!


Give it a couple of days for this thread to fall off the bottom first.


Wanna play bumper cars and keep putting it up at the top?

Nearly everything I know I learned by the grace of others.

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Wednesday, May 31, 2006 1:51 PM

RUE

I have a vote and I'm not afraid to use it!


BUMPer stickers.


Nearly everything I know I learned by the grace of others.

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Wednesday, May 31, 2006 5:41 PM

RUE

I have a vote and I'm not afraid to use it!


things that go BUMP in the night


Nearly everything I know I learned by the grace of others.

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Wednesday, May 31, 2006 5:48 PM

SIGNYM

I believe in solving problems, not sharing them.


BUMPer cars!

---------------------------------
Don't piss in my face and tell me it's raining.

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Wednesday, May 31, 2006 9:57 PM

CITIZEN


Silence is proof that, AURaptor talks outta his arse



More insane ramblings by the people who brought you beeeer milkshakes!
"I had a rose named after me and I was very flattered. But I was not pleased to read the description in the catalog: 'No good in a bed, but fine against a wall'." -- Eleanor Roosevelt.

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Thursday, June 1, 2006 6:18 PM

RUE

I have a vote and I'm not afraid to use it!


speed BUMPS


Nearly everything I know I learned by the grace of others.

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Thursday, June 1, 2006 7:14 PM

SIGNYM

I believe in solving problems, not sharing them.


SignyM- drums fingers and sighs

---------------------------------
You realize Auraptor that by not replying to this post anything more from you about "the economy" is just road kill???

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Friday, June 2, 2006 3:44 AM

SIGNYM

I believe in solving problems, not sharing them.


I officially declare Auraptor's views on the economy as "road pizza".


---------------------------------
I'll have pepperoni and armadillo.

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Friday, June 2, 2006 5:54 AM

RUE

I have a vote and I'm not afraid to use it!


Quote:

I officially declare Auraptor's views on the economy as "road pizza".
AAAWWWWWwwwww ..... but I'm not done playing yet!

You see, by keeping this bubbled up to the top, Unwrapped CAN'T post in RWE. He HAS to pretend he hasn't seen it and that that's why he's not responding. And - it works! Have you seen him here lately?

Plus, I have to admit, this is a fun game, for me.


I like playing with my food.

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Friday, June 2, 2006 7:42 AM

RUE

I have a vote and I'm not afraid to use it!


dbl post

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Friday, June 2, 2006 7:42 AM

RUE

I have a vote and I'm not afraid to use it!


As I mentioned before, I'm not here to convince Slick, Zero, Unwrapped or any of them. I also see that everyone else here has some better combination of wit, hope, outrage, facts, logic, insight ... whatever it takes to engage evil people every day. I read those posts and sit in silent wonder and awe at the things I can't mimic, but only appreciate.

I post my brief collections of facts and responses b/c I CAN'T let propaganda go unchallenged. And it's meaningless to me whether it changes anyone's mind. I know better but I just can't help myself. (Trolls - that's a hint. If you want to get to me, that's the key.)

So, other than appreciating all you master musicians who improvise so wonderfully on themes, and posting my brief factoids, I play games. I like to set logic traps, probe the idiots to see whose right-wing response they're parroting now, check out which set of disinformation techniques they're willing to use (and get an idea of who's a professional, and who's a clumsy amateur), and things on that order.

Maybe if I get more time and patience I'll rejoin in a substantive debate.



Nearly everything I know I learned by the grace of others.

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Friday, June 2, 2006 7:51 AM

SIGNYM

I believe in solving problems, not sharing them.


Quote:

I officially declare Auraptor's views on the economy as "road pizza".- SignyM

AAAWWWWWwwwww ..... but I'm not done playing yet! You see, by keeping this bubbled up to the top, Unwrapped CAN'T post in RWE. He HAS to pretend he hasn't seen it and that that's why he's not responding. And - it works! Have you seen him here lately? Plus, I have to admit, this is a fun game, for me. I like playing with my food.- Rue

Ok, I'll lift Auraptor off the road, reconstitute him with some water and CPR and let you play a little longer! But if we want to really play, we need to let 'Rap come up for air once in a while. Otherwise I'll have to play devil's advocate.

OTOH I might do a better job advocating their viewpoint. It might actually be fun....

BTW- did you notice that Geezer had not posted since he admitted that Bush lied?

Geezer, COME BACK! WE MISS YOU!!!

---------------------------------
Don't piss in my face and tell me it's raining.

... Oh, go ahead anyway. It makes for a good discussion!

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Friday, June 2, 2006 12:57 PM

BIGDAMNNOBODY


Quote:


Originally posted by rue:
As I mentioned before, I'm not here to convince Slick, Zero, Unwrapped or any of them.



Careful now Rue. Too many more of your "nicknames" and people may start treating your posts like PN's.

Quote:


... whatever it takes to engage evil people every day. I read those posts and sit in silent wonder and awe at the things I can't mimic, but only appreciate.



So people with disenting opinions are evil and stupid? Without the "Devil's Advocate", RWED would turn into a Democrates only back slapping club.

Quote:


I like to set logic traps, probe the idiots to see whose right-wing response they're parroting now, check out which set of disinformation techniques they're willing to use (and get an idea of who's a professional, and who's a clumsy amateur), and things on that order.



More name calling and judgement. I had a lively discussion going on in another thread which I never got a response to. Maybe I should have just kept bumping the thread and taunting the other participant. The discussion ended and I moved on to other topics.

Now I am preparing myself for my new "nickname" as I had the temerity to question you. Please make it a good one though it could prove to be quite challenging.



De-lurking to stir stuff up.

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Friday, June 2, 2006 1:28 PM

RUE

I have a vote and I'm not afraid to use it!


Quote:

Careful now Rue. Too many more of your "nicknames" and people may start treating your posts like PN's.
Don't care. But if you REALLY want to see where I live, read my informational posts with studies, original documents, research and the like. For recent examples: http://www.fireflyfans.net/thread.asp?b=18&t=21049 , http://www.fireflyfans.net/thread.asp?b=18&t=7803 , and http://www.fireflyfans.net/thread.asp?b=18&t=20587 . You'll see it's usually the last post in a thread. Then Slick et al slink away like cowards, only to reappear a few days later in another thread with another version of the same old same old crap. Those posts don't convince the idiots of anything. Fact, reason, logic, DON'T WORK WITH THEM. That's why I've given up dealing with THEM, specifically, and spend my time giving them nicknames, baiting them, probing their responses etc.
Quote:

So people with dissenting (sic) opinions are evil and stupid?
No, only people who post tripe that can be dismissed with a simple google search.
Quote:

Maybe I should have just kept bumping the thread and taunting the other participant.
You missed the point. I DON'T DISCUSS ANYTHING WITH THEM. The reason to keep bumping is that it works like bug repellant.


Nearly everything I know I learned by the grace of others.

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Monday, June 5, 2006 7:16 AM

CHRISISALL


Quote:

Originally posted by rue:
The reason to keep bumping is that it works like bug repellant.



LOLROTF!!!



Best laugh all day Chrisisall

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Tuesday, June 6, 2006 5:56 AM

RUE

I have a vote and I'm not afraid to use it!


Dow is taking another dump.


After the rapture, can I have your car?

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Tuesday, June 6, 2006 6:00 AM

CHRISISALL


Okay, but shifting into reverse is a little rough.

Chrisisall

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Tuesday, June 6, 2006 9:03 AM

SIGNYM

I believe in solving problems, not sharing them.


I'm waiting for it to go down more before I buy.

---------------------------------

After the rapture I'm STILL gonna need my car!

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Tuesday, June 6, 2006 9:30 AM

RUE

I have a vote and I'm not afraid to use it!


"Okay, but shifting into reverse is a little rough." As long as it steers to the left, I'll be fine.


Nearly everything I know I learned by the grace of others.

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Friday, July 28, 2006 6:37 AM

RUE

I have a vote and I'm not afraid to use it!


Hey Unwrapped !

"WASHINGTON - The economy's growth in the second quarter was less than half that of the prior three months as consumers tightened their belts and spending on home building nose-dived. Inflation, however, shot up."

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Friday, July 28, 2006 6:38 AM

RUE

I have a vote and I'm not afraid to use it!



Can you say - 'stag - flation'? Sure you can.

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Saturday, July 29, 2006 1:14 PM

AURAPTOR

America loves a winner!


Quote:

Originally posted by rue:
Hey Unwrapped !

"WASHINGTON - The economy's growth in the second quarter was less than half that of the prior three months as consumers tightened their belts and spending on home building nose-dived. Inflation, however, shot up."



Key word - *growth* How many months in a row has there been that G thing ? You can count that high, can't ya ?



People love a happy ending. So every episode, I will explain once again that I don't like people. And then Mal will shoot someone. Someone we like. And their puppy. - Joss

" They don't like it when you shoot at 'em. I worked that out myself. "

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Sunday, July 30, 2006 1:17 AM

CITIZEN


Quote:

Originally posted by rue:
Hey Unwrapped !

"WASHINGTON - The economy's growth in the second quarter was less than half that of the prior three months as consumers tightened their belts and spending on home building nose-dived. Inflation, however, shot up."

Is their a point Rue, AQ would be the guy saying "theres nothing wrong with the economy, it's all a bunch of Liberal lies because Liberals are evil!" during the great depression.

He's incapable of evaluating evidence, his only capable of having his opinion downloaded into his brain...

"Bush is my master, Bush is so great, Bush will tell me who I should hate."



More insane ramblings by the people who brought you beeeer milkshakes!
No one can see their reflection in running water. It is only in still water that we can see.

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Sunday, July 30, 2006 3:42 AM

FELLOWTRAVELER


Breaking News:
Economy Slows in Second Quarter

http://www.smartmoney.com/bn/ON/index.cfm?story=ON-20060728-000800-095
5


"Everyone is entitled to his own opinions, but not their own facts" - Daniel Patrick Moynihan

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Sunday, July 30, 2006 6:52 AM

AURAPTOR

America loves a winner!


Quote:

Originally posted by citizen:

He's incapable of evaluating evidence, his only capable of having his opinion downloaded into his brain...

"Bush is my master, Bush is so great, Bush will tell me who I should hate."



Where's the answer to my question?
How many months is a row , how many quarters have shown a net growth?

Point of fact, I do agree that it's hard to evaluate evidence not given. Until you're willing to face up to the big boy numbers, keep your petty little ad hominems at bay.

People love a happy ending. So every episode, I will explain once again that I don't like people. And then Mal will shoot someone. Someone we like. And their puppy. - Joss

" They don't like it when you shoot at 'em. I worked that out myself. "

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Sunday, July 30, 2006 7:17 AM

CITIZEN


You haven't answered any of my questions, or anyone elses for that matter (hint, scroll up, they were made months ago before you went off for a sulk), so why should I, or anyone else answer yours?
Quote:

Originally posted by AURaptor:
Point of fact, I do agree that it's hard to evaluate evidence not given.


And yes, I know if the evidence doesn't fit what you want to see you don't even recognise its existence. Adversely it’s amusing how you talk about the facts you've provided so often when you haven't provided any.
Quote:

Until you're willing to face up to the big boy numbers, keep your petty little ad hominems at bay.
I wonder if you're capable of seeing the irony of making an ad hominem attack against me in the same sentence as telling me not to make ad hominem attacks.

Probably not. I agree entirely, until you can evaluate or even see facts and evidence that don't support the baseless opinion you’ve already formed, keep your ad hominems at bay.



More insane ramblings by the people who brought you beeeer milkshakes!
No one can see their reflection in running water. It is only in still water that we can see.

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Sunday, July 30, 2006 10:43 AM

AURAPTOR

America loves a winner!


Quote:

You haven't answered any of my questions, or anyone elses for that matter (hint, scroll up, they were made months ago before you went off for a sulk), so why should I, or anyone else answer yours?


First of all, I started this thread w/ facts, a report on how well the economy is doing. Now, after almost 3 months since the original post, you want to claim some sort of victory because of one little slow down, as if that completely dismisses the great economic news from the past several years.

Still no reply to my question, huh? I know, it's because you don't like that answer, and all that it implies.

People love a happy ending. So every episode, I will explain once again that I don't like people. And then Mal will shoot someone. Someone we like. And their puppy. - Joss

" They don't like it when you shoot at 'em. I worked that out myself. "

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Sunday, July 30, 2006 11:30 AM

CITIZEN


Not my problem if you don't understand how economies work, not my problem at all.
Quote:

First of all, I started this thread w/ facts, a report on how well the economy is doing. Now, after almost 3 months since the original post, you want to claim some sort of victory because of one little slow down, as if that completely dismisses the great economic news from the past several years.
And an equally valid response is: the economic news from the past several years does not dismiss what is happening now. Although you'd obviously like to think that it does.

You refuse to engage with people with different facts and evidence and assume you've “proven” something. You won't even be tied down to what a good economy is, how you tell when an economy is doing well. Why, well I assume it's because you don't know, and since you discount anything but your opinion and your facts you deserve to have your opinion and your "facts" discounted.
Quote:

Still no reply to my question, huh? I know, it's because you don't like that answer, and all that it implies.
Yes it implies that you don't deserve an answer to your question until you stop being a hypocrite and start answering questions posed by others.

We all know you won't, and I'm sure we all know why that is.

Maybe you can explain why you deserve an answer or even being listened to when you don't extend those courtesies to others.

I know it’s because you think you’re better and more important than everyone else.



More insane ramblings by the people who brought you beeeer milkshakes!
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Sunday, July 30, 2006 12:18 PM

FELLOWTRAVELER


[
Quote:

Originally posted by AURaptor:
"First of all, I started this thread w/ facts, a report on how well the economy is doing. Now, after almost 3 months since the original post, you want to claim some sort of victory because of one little slow down,"]

Didn't see date of original post, sorry. There is no question that the 5.6% growth during the first quarter was outstanding.

But regarding the meat of this discussion, isn't it possible that all of you are right?

The US economy has done reasonably well under Bush's stewardship. This doesn't mean that you or I are doing well, but corporate profits are. That is great news for stockholders and those who have capital to invest.

At the same time, real wage growth has been stagnant and the small gains reported have largely been eaten up by inflation. Current predictions (for what their worth) have inflation outpacing real wage gains this year (3.7% wages, 4.7% inflation).

So, the economy IS doing well and the gap between rich and poor IS growing. As is often the case, there is truth in both arguments.

Sources:

ECONOMIC REPORT (MARKETWATCH)
Wage growth weaker than thought in 2003-05
GDP revisions show labor getting less, capital getting more

http://www.marketwatch.com/news/story/story.aspx?guid=%7B4D74A5E8-B42A
-4950-9377-513032E9F677%7D


(AP)
Wage increases seen struggling to outpace rising inflation

http://www.mercurynews.com/mld/mercurynews/business/15157803.htm


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Sunday, July 30, 2006 12:23 PM

FELLOWTRAVELER


Sorry for screwing up format of the quote and the post. I'm new and learning. Tried to edit it and fix it, but failed. Meh, not the first time...

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Sunday, July 30, 2006 5:07 PM

RUE

I have a vote and I'm not afraid to use it!


Unwrapped - I see your problem. The one that SignyM was talking about, and he was absolutely right. You know, where you keep shifting your criteria when your original ones cave in under your feet.

In THIS thread http://www.fireflyfans.net/replymsg.asp?b=18&t=20330&m=350693 you said the economy was going great because of:
1) U.S. consumer confidence
2) sales of existing homes
3) consumer spending

SignyM was ahead of the curve and very perceptive in asking you:
ARE CONSUMER CONFIDENCE, HOME SALES, AND CONSUMER SPENDING THE INDICATORS BY WHICH YOU JUDGE THE ECONOMY? Yes or no. Or... when consumer confidence goes down (which it will next month thanks to high gasoline prices) will you choose another economic indicator? The reason why I'm asking is because I don't want to play a shell game with you ...

After much pressing from SignyM you replied:
1) Consumer confidence is up
4) rate of growth is high ( 4.8 % )
5) unemployment is down
And you also said: I merely added more to the list, so you could get a broader picture of JUST HOW GOOD THIS ECONOMY IS DOING.

You started out this thread with:
6) U.S. Stocks Rise on Verizon Profit; S&P 500 Nears 5-Year High

----------------------------
So here we go, one by one:

1) U.S. consumer confidence
Consumer confidence took a big drop April - May and has not yet recovered. http://www.conference-board.org/economics/consumerConfidence.cfm


2) sales of existing homes
Existing home sales dropped 1.3% in June. http://www.buildingonline.com/news/viewnews.pl?id=5318&subcategory=140 For the record, new home sales dropped 3%.
http://www.mercurynews.com/mld/mercurynews/business/15143258.htm

3) consumer spending
Consumer spending was 'soft' and accounted for most of the Q2 slowdown.
http://www.boston.com/business/articles/2006/07/29/us_economy_slows_sh
arply_in_2d_quarter
/

4) rate of growth is high ( 4.8 % )
The rate of growth is not high - only 2.5%. http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=20601087&sid=aWHT9_pZEe3I&refer
=home


5) unemployment is down
Unemployment is unchanged. http://data.bls.gov/cgi-bin/surveymost

6) U.S. Stocks Rise
The stock market is going sideways (any market, any indicator).


--------------------------------

At this point you are saying the US economy is ROARING because the GDP is NOT NEGATIVE ---- Guess what! The economy is roaring because it's not in recession! Do you have any idea how frantic and stoooopit you sound?




You put the CON in CONfidence !

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Thursday, March 22, 2007 6:32 AM

SIGNYM

I believe in solving problems, not sharing them.


It shouldn't have taken a brainiac to see THIS coming....
Quote:

MORTGAGE CRISIS OVERHELMING CREDIT COUNSELORS

... Phones at credit counselors across the country are now ringing off the hook. The industrial heartland has been particularly hard-hit. Ohio had the highest number of home foreclosures in 2006, while neighboring Michigan and Indiana -- all sideswiped by the faltering U.S. auto industry -- were close behind.

Housing analysts predict between 1 million and 3 million U.S. homes will be foreclosed upon in 2007. Already a wave of defaults on subprime mortgages held by those with poor credit have caused a crisis in parts of the industry, and some economists believe a recession could result.

"We knew it was going to be bad, but we didn't think it would be this bad," said Britton, echoing many who warned that increasingly exotic mortgage programs -- including those that required no down payment on home purchases --would come back to haunt home buyers.



www.cnn.com/2007/US/03/22/subprime.counselors.reut/index.html

The economy has been running on consumption bouyed by refinancing based on rising home prices based on low interest rates. But if rising interest rates tank aggregate demand, then the economy goes south. The Fed "fix" is to lower interest rates. Which lowers the value of the dollar. SO in areas where the USA is competing internationally for commodities, goods, and services- such as oil, chemicals, and software engineering- then those commodities become relatively more expensive.

Hmmm... I'm glad I invested in foreign currency and gold. It'll be interesting to see who that works out.

---------------------------------
Reality sucks. Especially when it contradicts our cherished ideas.

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Monday, March 26, 2007 5:21 AM

FINN MAC CUMHAL


Quote:

Originally posted by citizen:
Not my problem if you don't understand how economies work, not my problem at all.

Ha, This from the guy who thinks that the economy is doing poorly because he doesn’t agree with the overlying economy philosophies in place.




Nihil est incertius vulgo, nihil obscurius voluntate hominum, nihil fallacius ratione tota comitiorum.

Nothing is more unpredictable than the mob, nothing more obscure than public opinion, nothing more deceptive than the whole political system.

-- Cicero

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Monday, March 26, 2007 5:44 AM

SIGNYM

I believe in solving problems, not sharing them.


Shall we play "dueling economic knowledge"?

---------------------------------
Do you want to play a game?

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Monday, March 26, 2007 7:02 AM

CITIZEN


Quote:

Originally posted by Finn mac Cumhal:
Ha, This from the guy who thinks that the economy is doing poorly because he doesn’t agree with the overlying economy philosophies in place.

Ha, this from the guy who thinks there can never be anything wrong because he does agree with the economic philosophies in place



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