REAL WORLD EVENT DISCUSSIONS

Guess the October Surprise -

POSTED BY: RIGHTEOUS9
UPDATED: Sunday, November 12, 2006 05:16
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Tuesday, September 26, 2006 11:14 AM

RUE

I have a vote and I'm not afraid to use it!


I know that the administration is insane. I just can't bring myself to believe they are THAT crazy. Would they actually - in an aggressor role by any international standards - openly attack Iran unprovoked without even phony UN cover? Wouldn't they try for plausible deniability?

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Tuesday, September 26, 2006 11:17 AM

CHRISISALL


Quote:

Originally posted by kaneman:
Thank you Hugo!!

*Still wanting your head now*

On a lance Chrisisall



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Tuesday, September 26, 2006 11:31 AM

CHRISISALL


On vital and time-sensitive information from a sourse, they will execute a Pre-emptive Mandatory Strike to defend this nation.

PMSy Chrisisall



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Tuesday, September 26, 2006 12:00 PM

CANTTAKESKY


Quote:

Originally posted by chrisisall:
I'm with Signy and Frem, we're gonna shoot at Iran just before elections, 'cause we 'have to', and they'll shoot back.

Me four. People don't like to change leaders during a war.

Can't Take My Gorram Sky

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Tuesday, September 26, 2006 12:15 PM

BIGDAMNNOBODY


Quote:


Originally posted by rue:

* Out of curiosity I scanned ALL of the major nt'l US news sources yesterday. WashPost, NYTimes, LATimes, CNN, Yahoo, USAToday, Boston Globe, AP. The ONLY story headlined in every one was "Some Liquid Restrictions Lifted". Despite truly vital news such as the leaked intelligence report, ALL the carrriers somehow just happened to headline this trivial item. "Free press". Yeah.




So major news sources were trying to inform the public "some liquid restrictions lifted" to keep the flying public informed, what were they thinking? I hear a lot of the major news sources also have weather forecasts. Why are they wasting time with forecasting the weather when there are so many 'more important' things to report?

Posting to stir stuff up.

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Tuesday, September 26, 2006 12:19 PM

BIGDAMNNOBODY


Quote:


Originally posted by chrisisall:
Quote:

Originally posted by kaneman:
Thank you Hugo!!


*Still wanting your head now*

On a lance Chrisisall




What gives? Not familiar with sarcasm?

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Tuesday, September 26, 2006 12:45 PM

RUE

I have a vote and I'm not afraid to use it!


Hey there Big Damn Nothing -

My point was that it didn't deserve to be front-page HEADLINED when there was so much more real news to report. Now where did I say that? Oh yes, it was here: "The ONLY story headlined in every one was "Some Liquid Restrictions Lifted".

And YOUR point was?? Well, nothing comes from a nothing, I guess.

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Tuesday, September 26, 2006 2:28 PM

BIGDAMNNOBODY


Quote:


Originally posted by rue:
Hey there Big Damn Nothing -

My point was that it didn't deserve to be front-page HEADLINED when there was so much more real news to report.



So much more real news to report IYHO.
Do you think the millions of flyers daily were more interested in the change to restrictions or the leaked intelligence report? And remember now, news sources are not non-profit. Seems like solid economics to cater to the greater audience, at least on the front page.

Quote:


And YOUR point was?? Well, nothing comes from a nothing, I guess.



Now that's what I like to see, you maintaining a certain level of civility. What did I do to deserve this? Does anyone who disagrees with you automatically become a troll in your view? Honestly, was it my temerity in questioning one of your posts? Is it you are either with Rue or against Rue?



Posting to stir stuff up.

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Tuesday, September 26, 2006 2:57 PM

RUE

I have a vote and I'm not afraid to use it!


I am extraordinarily civil to DT, Finn, CTS, Antimason, and PN though I vehemently disagree with almost everything they say. And I also am civil, even friendly, with the many others with whom I disagree on some points and agree on others. Out of all the people I interact with on this board, there are only four to whom I have given my pet names. And not b/c I disagree with them.

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Tuesday, September 26, 2006 3:02 PM

SOUPCATCHER


I agree with the consensus pick for the October surprise: an aerial attack on Iran followed by an all out media blitzkrieg of, "you're either with us or with the terrorists."

Things that will happen in October that are less surprising... Republicans will work to limit the number of people who are eligible to vote in as many regions as they control. Republican campaigns will use push polling to try to scare voters away from their opponents. Tens of millions of dollars will be dumped into Republican scare campaigns using mail, radio and television/cable ads. Media conglomerates, being the huge corporations that they are, will spin every single topic as a "good thing" for Republicans. Media personalities will continue to repeat Republican talking points without an attempt at verification. Staffers for Republican candidates will engage in concern trolling on low traffic density liberal blogs. Retired military Democratic candidates will have their service records questioned by those who never spent a second in uniform. Double amputees will be told that they want to "cut and run." Republicans will continue their embrace of torture and secret prisons and illegal information gathering.

And the vast moneyed infrastructure of the Republican GOTV effort will continue to roll on. They know how close they are to one-party rule in this country. They are scared as hell that enough Americans will realize that you shouldn't put people who don't believe in big government in charge of big government because they don't know what the fuck they are doing. And they don't care that they are messing up. It's all about the power, baby, and making the country a better place for that top 1%. They are hoping and praying that they get another two years in charge of all three branches of government because there's still a lot of damage they want to do to the middle class.

The only real surprise in all this is that there are still Americans out there who will continue to vote Republican. Apparently they think that Bush and the Republican controlled Congress are doing a heckuva job. I guess it's too much to hope that they put down the crack pipe of the right wing media machine (Fox, Rush, Drudge, etc.) long enough to sober up and realize they're voting for more incompetence, continued lack of oversight, continued tarnishing of America's reputation as a moral country, and staying a failed course.

I have no respect for anyone who votes for an incumbent Republican Congressman or Senator this election. None.


"This is how the world sees us: In America they torture people, including their own, in secret prisons." - tbogg

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Tuesday, September 26, 2006 3:16 PM

BIGDAMNNOBODY


Quote:


Originally posted by rue:
I am extraordinarily civil to DT, Finn, CTS, Antimason, and PN though I vehemently disagree with almost everything they say. And I also am civil, even friendly, with the many others with whom I disagree on some points and agree on others. Out of all the people I interact with on this board, there are only four I have given my pet names. And not b/c I disagree with them.



Still dosen't answer my question, though you know that, don't you.

Posting to stir stuff up.

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Tuesday, September 26, 2006 3:22 PM

RUE

I have a vote and I'm not afraid to use it!


Then maybe you need to learn how to read.

The question was: "was it my temerity in questioning one of your posts?"

My answer: ".. there are only four to whom I have given my pet names. And not b/c I disagree with them."

Do you see the answer to YOUR question in there? Or will it take heavy duty medication to clear your confusion?

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Tuesday, September 26, 2006 4:12 PM

BIGDAMNNOBODY


Quote:


Originally posted by rue:
Then maybe you need to learn how to read.

The question was: "was it my temerity in questioning one of your posts?"

My answer: ".. there are only four to whom I have given my pet names. And not b/c I disagree with them."

Do you see the answer to YOUR question in there? Or will it take heavy duty medication to clear your confusion?



My question was what I did to deserve the 'pet name'. So no, I do not see an answer to MY question in there, heavy medication or not.

Posting to stir stuff up.

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Tuesday, September 26, 2006 4:30 PM

RUE

I have a vote and I'm not afraid to use it!


I love how you go back and forth between threads, pretending that nothing else has been posted elswhere.

So, here is one:
"The other posters in this thread, in their earnestness, tolerance and CIVILITY actually attempted to interact with him - civilly and coherently, with facts and information. And for their pains they got mocked - by you. Now maybe you see why you are working your way into a pet name."

And another:
"So let's see. What are the rules you made up for me? I can discuss, and you can lie and say I don't. My quips are not civil, but yours are. You can opine, and I can't."

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Tuesday, September 26, 2006 4:55 PM

BIGDAMNNOBODY


Quote:


Originally posted by rue:
I love how you go back and forth between threads, pretending that nothing else has been posted elswhere.

So, here is one:
"The other posters in this thread, in their earnestness, tolerance and CIVILITY actually attempted to interact with him - civilly and coherently, with facts and information. And for their pains they got mocked - by you. Now maybe you see why you are working your way into a pet name."

And another:
"So let's see. What are the rules you made up for me? I can discuss, and you can lie and say I don't. My quips are not civil, but yours are. You can opine, and I can't."



Now you quote yourself twice instead of answering my question. Maybe if you posted just one of my quotes that offended you enough to give me a 'pet name' we would actually get somewhere.

Posting to stir stuff up.

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Tuesday, September 26, 2006 5:01 PM

RUE

I have a vote and I'm not afraid to use it!


You wanted my thoughts, I gave them to you.

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Tuesday, September 26, 2006 5:22 PM

BIGDAMNNOBODY


Quote:


Originally posted by rue:
You wanted my thoughts, I gave them to you.



Ah, but where is your proof? I will no longer listen to you or your argument unless you can provide a quote or a link . Now where have I heard that argument before?

Posting to stir stuff up.

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Tuesday, September 26, 2006 5:37 PM

KANEMAN


Quote:

Originally posted by chrisisall:
Quote:

Originally posted by kaneman:
Thank you Hugo!!

*Still wanting your head now*

On a lance Chrisisall





Most guys would've already had my "head" ..You have been MIA. I have been beating Ruse with my dirty tampon. Where are the real men? Well, it's trueisall

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Tuesday, September 26, 2006 7:37 PM

RUE

I have a vote and I'm not afraid to use it!


Quote:

Originally posted by BigDamnNobody:
Quote:


Originally posted by rue:
You wanted my thoughts, I gave them to you.



Ah, but where is your proof? I will no longer listen to you or your argument unless you can provide a quote or a link . Now where have I heard that argument before?

Posting to stir stuff up.

When you decide what you really want to know, just let me know. Otherwise I'll conclude your aim is to change the goal posts at every opportunity.

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Tuesday, September 26, 2006 7:59 PM

FREMDFIRMA


Their goal is to destroy anything resembling a reasonable debate, or sharing of opinions by reducing it to he-said-she-said flamefests, Rue.

Don't play into it - in thread after thread they demolish the thread's integrity, drive folk from the conversation, and more or less prevent us from discussing ANYTHING without devolving it to this - which is why I call them what they are.

Trolls.

The whole GOAL is to prevent any reasoned discussion of anything, thus preventing us from using this board at all, while banging their loud little drums and cranking out sock puppets so it looks like there's more than the puny two or three morons who hold, or even pretend to hold (cause they seem to change rather rapidly) certain beliefs, social, political, or religious.

So for every thread that devolves into nothing more that trollpost-response-trollpost-response and veers away from the topic into this garbage, it reduces our signal to noise ratio by just that much, which is their entire intent in the first place.

Just pay them no damn mind unless (and sometimes they do) they say something halfway intelligent, and every time they start playing games, just give em the verbal cold shoulder.

They WANT to drag folk into these back and forths because it destroys the original topic and all discussion more or less stops.

Treat them like the trolls they are.

-Frem

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Tuesday, September 26, 2006 9:00 PM

PIRATENEWS

John Lee, conspiracy therapist at Hollywood award-winner History Channel-mocked SNL-spoofed PirateNew.org wooHOO!!!!!!


I vote for Bin Laden's rotted corpse, if we're lucky...

Quote:



MISSION ACCOMPLICED AT ABU GHRAIB: US SOLDIERS ORDERED TO PACK IN ICE, STICK IV IN DEAD POW'S ARM, AND LOAD INTO AMBULANCE, TO PRETEND HE WASN'T TORTURED TO DEATH BY THE JR BUSH WHITE HOUSE

“On June 5, 2006, the Muckraker Report contacted the FBI Headquarters, 202-324-3000, to learn why Bin Laden’s Most Wanted poster did not indicate that Usama was also wanted in connection with 9/11. The Muckraker Report spoke with Rex Tomb, Chief of Investigative Publicity for the FBI. When asked why there is no mention of 9/11 on Bin Laden’s Most Wanted web page, Tomb said: 'The reason why 9/11 is not mentioned on Usama Bin Laden’s Most Wanted page is because the FBI has no hard evidence connecting Bin Laden to 9/11. Bin Laden has not been formally charged in connection to 9/11. The FBI gathers evidence. Once evidence is gathered, it is turned over to the Department of Justice. The Department of Justice than decides whether it has enough evidence to present to a federal grand jury. In the case of the 1998 United States Embassies being bombed, Bin Laden has been formally indicted and charged by a grand jury. He has not been formally indicted and charged in connection with 9/11 because the FBI has no hard evidence connected Bin Laden to 9/11'”
—Ed Haas, Muckraker Report, "FBI says, 'No hard evidence connecting Bin Laden to 9/11'," June 6, 2006
www.teamliberty.net/id267.html
www.fbi.gov/wanted/terrorists/terbinladen.htm

Question: "What did Iraq have to do with 9/11?"
George Bush Jr: "Nothing!"
—White House Press Conference



Tony Snow: "I want to be clear because I've heard you say this, and I've heard the President say it, but I want you to say it for my listeners, which is that the White House has never argued that Saddam was directly involved in September 11th, correct?"
Dick Cheney: "That's correct. We had one report early on from another intelligence service that suggested that the lead hijacker, Mohamed Atta, had met with Iraqi intelligence officials in Prague, Czechoslovakia. And that reporting waxed and waned where the degree of confidence in it, and so forth, has been pretty well knocked down now at this stage, that that meeting ever took place. So we've never made the case, or argued the case that somehow Osama bin Laden was directly involved in 9/11. That evidence has never been forthcoming."
—WhiteHouse.gov, The Tony Snow Show, "Interview of the Vice President by Tony Snow", March 29, 2006
www.whitehouse.gov/news/releases/2006/03/20060329-2.html

"While the United States continues to scour Afghanistan for Osama bin Laden, an unidentified Taliban leader said the world's most wanted man is dead and buried, a news report said on Tuesday. Bin Laden died "a peaceful natural death" from serious lung complications in mid-December in the vicinity of the Tora Bora mountains, according to the unidentified Taliban member. Bin Laden was laid to rest with military honours with about 30 close al-Qaeda associates and Taliban friends attending the funeral."
—Sapa-DPA, "'I attended Osama Bin Laden's funeral,", December 25, 2001
www.iol.co.za/index.php?set_id=1&click_id=3&art_id=qw100928556223B212

"The Israeli sources said Israel and the United States assess that Bin Laden probably died in the U.S. military campaign in Afghanistan in December. They said the emergence of new messages by Bin Laden are probably fabrications, Middle East Newsline reported."
—World Tribune, "Israeli intelligence: Bin Laden is dead, heir has been chosen," October 16, 2002
http://www.welfarestate.com/binladen/funeral/

"The US Federal Bureau of Investigation's counter-terrorism chief, Dale Watson, says he thinks Osama bin Laden is "probably" dead."
—BBC News, "Bin Laden 'probably' dead," 18 July 2002
http://www.whatreallyhappened.com/osama_dead.html

QUESTION: "Mr President, in your speeches, you rarely mention Osama Bin Laden. Why is that?"
GEORGE BUSH JR: "I don't know where he is. I just don't spend that much time on him."
— WhiteHouse.gov, September 911 Surprise - Episode 2


www.september911surprise.com

"I don't know where he is. I have no idea and I really don't care. It's not that important. It's not our priority."
—George Bush Jr, March 13, 2002

"The goal has never been to get Bin Laden."
—General Richard Myers, chairman, US Joint Chiefs of Staff at Pentagon (video)
http://profile.myspace.com/index.cfm?fuseaction=user.viewprofile&frien
dID=98629970


"A CIA agent allegedly met with suspected terrorist mastermind Osama bin Laden in July, while the Saudi underwent treatment for kidney problems at an American hospital in Dubai, France's Le Figaro newspaper reported Wednesday. Bin Laden reportedly checked into the American Hospital Dubai, a 100-bed, acute-care general hospital, July 4 and stayed until July 14. Besides a stream of local dignitaries and family members, bin Laden's visitors included a local CIA agent, the newspaper reported. The agent was widely recognized locally, Le Figaro said, and later told several friends of the meeting. Le Figaro said bin Laden had serious kidney problems, and reportedly had a dialysis machine imported to Afghanistan last year. Citing a March 2000 report by Asia Week, the newspaper said bin Laden's illness stemmed from 'a renal infection that has spread to the liver, and needs specialized treatment.'"
—Elizabeth Bryant, UPI, "Bin Laden treated at US hospital," October 31, 2001

“The U.S. government has consistently blamed me for being behind every occasion its enemies attack it. I would like to assure the world that I did not plan the recent attacks, which seems to have been planned by people for personal reasons. I have been living in the Islamic emirate of Afghanistan and following its leaders’ rules. The current leader does not allow me to exercise such operations.”
—Usama bin Laden, CNN, "Bin Laden says he wasn't behind attacks," September 17, 2001
http://archives.cnn.com/2001/US/09/16/inv.binladen.denial/

"I have already said that I am not involved in the 11 September attacks in the United States. As a Muslim, I try my best to avoid telling a lie. I had no knowledge of these attacks, nor do I consider the killing of innocent women, children and other humans as an appreciable act. Islam strictly forbids causing harm to innocent women, children and other people. Such a practice is forbidden even in the course of a battle. Drug smugglers from all over the world are in contact with the U.S. secret agencies. These agencies do not want to eradicate narcotics cultivation and trafficking because their importance will be diminished. The people in the U.S. Drug Enforcement Department are encouraging drug trade so that they could show performance and get millions of dollars worth of budget. General Noriega was made a drug baron by the CIA and, in need, he was made a scapegoat. In the same way, whether it is President Bush or any other U.S. President, they cannot bring Israel to justice for its human rights abuses or to hold it accountable for such crimes. What is this? Is it not that there exists a government within the government in the United Sates? That secret government must be asked as to who carried out the attacks. I have already said that we are not hostile to the United States. We are against the system, which makes other nations slaves of the United States, or forces them to mortgage their political and economic freedom. This system is totally in control of the American-Jews, whose first priority is Israel, not the United States. It is clear that the American people are themselves the slaves of the Jews and are forced to live according to the principles and laws laid by them."
—Usama bin Laden, Ummat, BBC Monitoring Service, "Usama bin Laden Says Israeli Regime is Behind the 9-11 Attacks," September 28, 2001

PENTAGON'S DECLASSIFIED OPERATION NORTHWOODS, SIGNED BY ZIONIST JEWISH GENERAL LYMAN LEMNITZER, CHAIRMAN, US JOINT CHIEFS OF STAFF, TO HIRE ENEMY SOLDIERS TO ATTACK USA:
www.gwu.edu/~nsarchiv/news/20010430/doc1.pdf
http://abcnews.go.com/US/story?id=92662&page=1
http://radio.indymedia.org/uploads/piratenews-org-james-banford-operat
ion-northwoods.wmv



CONVICTED FELON SGT GRAINER: "MISSION ACCOMPLICED AT ABU GHRAIB!"



Remember, the original October Surprise was fired CIA director Bush Sr perping treason by paying the Iranians to kidnap US embassy hostages and not release them until the hour of their inaugeration. Didn't your mommy tell you to never trust a serial killing narcoterrorist kingpin like Bush Sr, who's still president today?

Hopefully enuff soldiers and cops know that Bush Gang perped 9/11, and will be alert to stopping their future terrorist attacks, ie Operation Northwoods. Like the New Orleans cops killing a half dozen CIA bombers on the levees after Katrina, or Colonel Rick Gibney shooting down "Flight 93" before it could decapitate the Congress for Bush's martial law, in violation of Cheney's NORAD Stand-Down order. NYPD now knows Bush and CIA perped the WTC bombings. Unfortunately, most copsters and prosecutors are so corrupt they'd just let it happen and run the other way, like 500 cops did in New Orleans.




How can I get the Captain to shoot a cop in the face, and make it right? That extra moment of sadism - that's the thing that says it's okay, buddy, you're not up to spec, you're going down!
-Joss the Boss, Firefly DVD, censored Episode 1 "Serenity"

FIREFLY SERENITY PILOT MUSIC VIDEO V2
Tangerine Dream - Thief Soundtrack: Confrontation
http://radio.indymedia.org/news/2006/03/8912.php
www.myspace.com/piratenewsctv
www.piratenews.org


Does that seem right to you?
www.scifi.com/onair/

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Wednesday, September 27, 2006 3:56 AM

SIGNYM

I believe in solving problems, not sharing them.



You're already seeing resistance to striking Iran from military folks and intelligence agencies. That's why the budget fiasco on Iraq, the report from 15 intelligence agencies saying Iraq was a mistake, and generals flat-out asking for Rummmie's head on a platter. They stuck to their remits on Iraq, and look where that got them. I think they're going as "all out" as a bureaucracy trained to obedience can go. (I trust I don't have to link this? If I do, let me know.)

There is deep internecine warfare going on between the CIA and the WH. The CIA has been basically dismantled. Why do you think "kneecapper" Armitage leaked Plame's name to the world? http://baltimorechronicle.com/2006/091406Parry.shtml Now the CIA is blind to Iran's plans. Armitage is NOT a bland bureaucrat. He was a point man in Vietnam and loved it. http://timesofindia.indiatimes.com/articleshow/2021640.cms He's been breaking kneecaps ever since- AFAIK most recently in Pakistan. www.foxnews.com/story/0,2933,215820,00.html
and was deeply involved in Iran Contra
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Richard_Armitage

Apparently the architects of this plan deeply believe that once Iran's nuclear program is destroyed, the population will rise up. Seriously. The guys at the top are so disconnected from reality that the lack of rose petal parades in Iraq haven't given them pause.

I think the question is how Cheney & Co will rationalize this to the world.

Oops, time's up. TTUL.


---------------------------------
Reality sucks. Especially when it contradicts our cherished ideas.

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Wednesday, September 27, 2006 5:23 AM

BIGDAMNNOBODY


Quote:


Originally posted by Fremdfirma:
Their goal is to destroy anything resembling a reasonable debate, or sharing of opinions by reducing it to he-said-she-said flamefests, Rue.

Don't play into it - in thread after thread they demolish the thread's integrity, drive folk from the conversation, and more or less prevent us from discussing ANYTHING without devolving it to this - which is why I call them what they are.

Trolls.

The whole GOAL is to prevent any reasoned discussion of anything, thus preventing us from using this board at all, while banging their loud little drums and cranking out sock puppets so it looks like there's more than the puny two or three morons who hold, or even pretend to hold (cause they seem to change rather rapidly) certain beliefs, social, political, or religious.

So for every thread that devolves into nothing more that trollpost-response-trollpost-response and veers away from the topic into this garbage, it reduces our signal to noise ratio by just that much, which is their entire intent in the first place.

Just pay them no damn mind unless (and sometimes they do) they say something halfway intelligent, and every time they start playing games, just give em the verbal cold shoulder.

They WANT to drag folk into these back and forths because it destroys the original topic and all discussion more or less stops.

Treat them like the trolls they are.




If speaking my mind automatically makes me a troll then so be it.
I agree that My and Rue's discussion has veered from the original topic. But when someone calls me a name and dismisses my viewpoint out of hand, is it not reasonable for me to ask why?
Calling me nothing and refering to Auraptor as a used piece of toilet paper is IMHO a virtual spit in the face. You yourself just called me a moron. Tell me how, IYHO, these trollish insults further the threads topic? Why the double standard?
And do not attempt to attack my credibility without proof. Agree or disagree with me, I remain consistent in my social and political beliefs.





Posting to stir stuff up.

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Wednesday, September 27, 2006 5:49 AM

CHRISISALL


Quote:

Originally posted by SignyM:

The guys at the top are so disconnected from reality

It's the American Corporate Way.
The chain of command we all get beat with.
The model is broke, why do we still follow it?
Even the 'bottom line' is screaming now, why is even THAT not getting more attention?

Better to burn out than fade away?

The War on Corporations Chrisisall

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Wednesday, September 27, 2006 6:22 AM

RUE

I have a vote and I'm not afraid to use it!


Quote:

Originally posted by BigDamnNobody:
If speaking my mind automatically makes me a troll then so be it.
....is it not reasonable for me to ask why?

And now you're playing the innocent victim. I answered your multiple and shifting questions multiple times over two threads -

Here:
I hear a lot of the major news sources also have weather forecasts.
http://www.fireflyfans.net/thread.asp?b=18&t=24230
My point was that it didn't deserve to be front-page HEADLINED ... where did I say that? Oh yes, it was here: "The ONLY story headlined in every one was

Here:
Is it you are either with Rue or against Rue?
http://www.fireflyfans.net/thread.asp?b=18&t=24230
There are only four to whom I have given my pet names. And not b/c I disagree with them.

Here:
Still dosen't answer my question, though you know that, don't you.
http://www.fireflyfans.net/thread.asp?b=18&t=24230
there are only four to whom I have given my pet names. And not b/c I disagree with them

Here:
slight dig at SignyM
little quips
voicing my opinion
my original post to you did contain a certain amount of dry humor
http://www.fireflyfans.net/thread.asp?b=18&t=24154
the only debate I have here is how you call for civility in one thread when someone not you 'quips' or 'opines' or expresses 'dry humor', but set a different, and much lower, standard for yourself here.

Here;
My question was what I did to deserve the 'pet name'.
http://www.fireflyfans.net/thread.asp?b=18&t=24154
"The other posters in this thread, in their earnestness, tolerance and CIVILITY actually attempted to interact with him - civilly and coherently, with facts and information. And for their pains they got mocked - by you. Now maybe you see why you are working your way into a pet name."

Here:
Now you quote yourself twice instead of answering my question.
http://www.fireflyfans.net/thread.asp?b=18&t=24230
You wanted my thoughts, I gave them to you.

and

Here:
But where is your proof?
http://www.fireflyfans.net/thread.asp?b=18&t=24230
I answered your questions. Your aim is to change the goal posts at every opportunity.

I can't help it if you can't or won't read the asnwers. They are plainly there for all to see.

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Wednesday, September 27, 2006 6:45 AM

RUE

I have a vote and I'm not afraid to use it!


There are 4 votes for an 'aggressor' strike at Iran (with maybe some flimsy 'intelligence' as an excuse). These votes come from people I generally agree with and people I generally disagree with. And my rule is to credit opinions that come from multiple independent sources. But I can't, CAN'T bring myself to think the administration people are so effin' nuts they'll do domething that stupid. How can so MANY people be so on-board with something so insane? (Evil I'll go along with b/c it's rational though often rooted in short-term avarice. But the downside here is bigger than the upside.)

Do you all think this is a folie a crowd?

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Wednesday, September 27, 2006 7:24 AM

SIGNYM

I believe in solving problems, not sharing them.


It is my belief that bombing Iran is something the Adminstration really, really, really wants and they'll finagle it if at all possible. Nothing will actually persuade them to re-think the wisdom of their appraoch, but they MAY be dissuaded by world and internal pressure, and the impossibility of coming up with a scenario that mollifies world reaction.

In effect, they would either have to

1)Prove (beforehand or afterwards) that Iran was approaching nuclear weapons production... gin up some "sniffer" or humint evidence.

2) Prove that Iran was behind some god-awful terrorist attack. They tried peddling that line when Israel invaded Lebanon, and altho the Sunni states didn't object very loudly to the invasion it seemed as if not too many people were interested in taking up the anti-Iranian banner either.

2) Twist arms and pay offs some folks behind the scenes, like they did with Pakistan. (Pakistan was threatened with bombing, but at the same time they got to "keep" their top nuclear scientist who smuggled out nuclear technology to a whole host of rogue states and to expand their own nuclear program.) Given Musharref's book release, I don't think Pakistan would be open for that kind of "diplomacy" again. Saudi Arabia and some of the other major Sunni states wouldn't openly object to a bombing of Iran. China and Russia OTOH... ?


When you add up Iran's friends, they are few and far between. Russia prolly wouldn't mind seeing Iran's oil flow disrupted. China and the EU would HATE to see oil disrupted, but I'm not sure how much they're willing to buck the USA. Now that I think about it... it might not be all that difficult for the USA to pull off simply because we ARE the 800-lb gorilla and nobody wants to go toe-to-toe with us unless it's truly a matter of national survival.

---------------------------------
Reality sucks. Especially when it contradicts our cherished ideas.

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Wednesday, September 27, 2006 7:41 AM

RUE

I have a vote and I'm not afraid to use it!


I see where you're going with this. And I agree certain sections of the administration REALLY want it. Though I see Cheney, who is evil but rational, possibly pitted against the insane ideologues. And the evidence that certain sections of the administration REALLY want it is in the phonied-up reports about Iran, in its constant attempt to inflame the rest of the world against Iran, and yes, even in its earlier outing of Plame. (The way they operate, the groundwork is laid years before.)

But the US messed up with Iraq. (I believe they really thought that if they invaded they'd find sufficient justification later.) Now the whole world - including every former and current ally - is cynical about US motives and claims. It's not just the local countries who might or might not object to a US attack. It's not just Russia or China. It's the entire world. And while individual countries may not have enough internal motivation, as a group they do have an interest in bringing the US down. At a certain point you look around and think - you know, I don't have to do anything. All we have to do, as a group, is just kinda exclude the US from some deals and trade and deal with each other more. Oh, and move the world currency to the Euro. It is already happening, the feelers have been sent out, the connections are in place, agreements have already been reached.

"When you add up Iran's friends..." But if you are a RATIONAL person and looking at the US vs the rest of the entire world, IOW, looking at the anti-US contingent, you'd realize there is no profit to be had when they ALL join against you.

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Wednesday, September 27, 2006 8:35 AM

SIGNYM

I believe in solving problems, not sharing them.


Cheney &Co's entire response to the world is MILITARY, preferably Special Ops. Diplomacy? So what? Trade? Ho-hum. Sanctions? Yawn! Moral standing? Trade deficit? Busted budget? NOT A PROBLEM! I think that because they deal with the world almost exclusively militarily, nothing short of a military response would sway these guys. Even breaking the regular army is not considered a problem because what they REALLY want is to run everything Special Ops/black ops/ contract. So they would have to be facing loss of vital overseas military intallations, or a significant movement of hostile troops into areas of interest, or a complete intelligence/ military mutiny....

Of course this would make terrorist threat to the USA much worse. But a fearful population is a compliant population, and most would be too scared to look beyond a successful attack to the administration machinations that lay behind it.

---------------------------------
Reality sucks. Especially when it contradicts our cherished ideas.

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Wednesday, September 27, 2006 8:55 AM

RUE

I have a vote and I'm not afraid to use it!


I concede, though in my heart I can't truly believe it. It seems so blatantly boneheaded stoooopid. And crazy. I just can't imagine how at least some people in the administration don't see it as the disaster it would be. I just can't imagine they are ALL that nuts. But you've been right too often, and a lot of other people from different perspectives also believe this. So I will need to re-adjust my thinking until time tests our predictions out.

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Wednesday, September 27, 2006 8:58 AM

FELLOWTRAVELER


Well, with God on our side...

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Wednesday, September 27, 2006 9:07 AM

RUE

I have a vote and I'm not afraid to use it!


Oh god .... no wait! I mean Oh! God!

Hey, here's something I found. I did notice that all of the sudden Iran WASN'T in the news. This could be why:

http://www.atimes.com/

AsiaTimes Online

Cashing in on the fear factor

There's a widespread belief that the Bush administration deliberately manipulated oil prices down ahead of mid-term elections, by suddenly softening its line on Tehran, for example. What drove prices up in the first place was fear - fear about a clash with Iran and the spread of war to other oil producers in the Middle East. Expect such fears to be stoked again after the elections. - Michael T Klare

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Wednesday, September 27, 2006 9:48 AM

GEEZER

Keep the Shiny side up


You people are so focused on politics you haven't seen the real clue to the nature of the October Surprise - The New Orleans Saints are 3-0.

This un-natural occurance beggars rational explanation. There must be something sinister behind it.

I figure that the Saints winning streak will be artificially maintained until either their home game against Philadelphia (Oct 15) or Baltimore (Oct. 29). These games will be played in the SuperDome, and will probably be sellouts.

During half-time at one of these games, an out-of-control barge (or maybe on hijacked by terrorists) will ram the levee, threatening to flood the dome and environs.

Fortunately, Dubya will be touring a Corps of Engineers facility nearby, and immediately order that the 100,000 sandbags that just happen to be filled and ready be dumped in the hole. When one of the workers is overcome by exhaustion, Bush will step right in and pitch sandbags. Superdome and New Orleans saved due to the foresight of the Administration.

"Keep the Shiny side up"

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Wednesday, September 27, 2006 10:22 AM

RUE

I have a vote and I'm not afraid to use it!


Whatcha been smokin' there?

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Wednesday, September 27, 2006 10:51 AM

BIGDAMNNOBODY


Quote:


Originally posted by rue:

There's a widespread belief that the Bush administration deliberately manipulated oil prices down ahead of mid-term elections, by suddenly softening its line on Tehran, for example. What drove prices up in the first place was fear - fear about a clash with Iran and the spread of war to other oil producers in the Middle East. Expect such fears to be stoked again after the elections. - Michael T Klare



Hey Rue,
While I agree that the strife in the Middle East has a large impact on the price of oil, Do not forget the other variables involved. Oil prices have also gone down because of the less stormy hurricane season which is being forecasted. I believe BP has reopened their supply lines or at least portions of them after the maintenance work which will also drop the price due to increased supply. There are also forecasts of a more temperate winter which again drops the price due to decreased demand. Perhaps during the last spike in oil prices, a large number of SUV owners saw the writing on the wall and decided to do away with their gas guzzlers therefore decreasing demand. Prices normally drop after the end of the summer driving season as well. And there is always the impact on the price of oil based on OPEC increasing or decreasing their output.
So with all of these other factors involved, it seems to me that perhaps the current Administration might not have as much to do with the falling price of oil as you would like to portray.

I will have to go through your last extensive post to me before responding or not. Not to say that I do not appreciate the time and effort which you obviously put into it to...?

Posting to stir stuff up.

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Wednesday, September 27, 2006 12:31 PM

FELLOWTRAVELER


BigDamnNobody, all of that is true, but the math still doesn't add up. Same link as before:

http://www.wltx.com/news/story.aspx?storyid=42313

Quote:

Fifty five percent of what you pay for a gallon of gas is tied directly to the price of crude oil. Refining, distribution (and marketing) and taxes each make up roughly fifteen percent. So for every dollar that a barrel of oil moves, up or down, gasoline prices should move about three cents.

Back in July, both crude oil and gasoline hit their highest recorded prices. Gas was averaging about three dollars a gallon. By mid-September, oil had dropped about fifteen bucks a barrel. So gas should have dropped about forty five cents a gallon. But actually dropped fifty cents a gallon, and more since then.



http://www.theglobeandmail.com/servlet/story/LAC.20060927.ROPEC27/TPSt
ory/Business


Quote:

U.S. crude fell 44 cents to close at $61.01 a barrel...

Oil prices have had their steepest decline since the Gulf War in 1991, falling from July's peak of $78.40 a barrel...



So, 78.40 - 61.01 = 17.39. 17.39 X 0.03 = 0.53 (rounded up). Prices at the pump should have dropped around .53 cents.

The national average price of gas peaked at $3.04 per gallon according to the Energy Information Administration. The average price today is 2.36 per gallon. 3.04 - 2.36 = 0.68

That's 0.15 more than prices should have dropped. The numbers just don't add up...


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Wednesday, September 27, 2006 12:47 PM

KANEMAN


Quote:

Originally posted by BigDamnNobody:
Quote:


Originally posted by rue:

There's a widespread belief that the Bush administration deliberately manipulated oil prices down ahead of mid-term elections, by suddenly softening its line on Tehran, for example. What drove prices up in the first place was fear - fear about a clash with Iran and the spread of war to other oil producers in the Middle East. Expect such fears to be stoked again after the elections. - Michael T Klare



Hey Rue,
While I agree that the strife in the Middle East has a large impact on the price of oil, Do not forget the other variables involved. Oil prices have also gone down because of the less stormy hurricane season which is being forecasted. I believe BP has reopened their supply lines or at least portions of them after the maintenance work which will also drop the price due to increased supply. There are also forecasts of a more temperate winter which again drops the price due to decreased demand. Perhaps during the last spike in oil prices, a large number of SUV owners saw the writing on the wall and decided to do away with their gas guzzlers therefore decreasing demand. Prices normally drop after the end of the summer driving season as well. And there is always the impact on the price of oil based on OPEC increasing or decreasing their output.
So with all of these other factors involved, it seems to me that perhaps the current Administration might not have as much to do with the falling price of oil as you would like to portray.

I will have to go through your last extensive post to me before responding or not. Not to say that I do not appreciate the time and effort which you obviously put into it to...?

Posting to stir stuff up.




I thought it was already common knowledge that the Saudi's do not want Dems to win fearing higher taxes on energy, as a result have picked up production. I am pretty sure I heard this on NPR a couple weeks back. The price will rise again after the election, prompting screams of I told you so, because the north will begin to turn on their heaters. Hugo must be pissed.

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Wednesday, September 27, 2006 12:52 PM

FELLOWTRAVELER


Quote:

Originally posted by kaneman:
I thought it was already common knowledge that the Saudi's do not want Dems to win fearing higher taxes on energy, as a result have picked up production. I am pretty sure I heard this on NPR a couple weeks back. The price will rise again after the election, prompting screams of I told you so, because the north will begin to turn on their heaters. Hugo must be pissed.



We don't get to tax the Saudis, Kaneman. It's not part of the US.

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Wednesday, September 27, 2006 12:55 PM

RUE

I have a vote and I'm not afraid to use it!


This is even sadder - the major oil refineires buy their crude on long-term contract. The only major purchaser that buys crude on the spot market is China. But when the oil supplies are even assumed to have a potential to be affected by some possible change - it's that insane - the spot market zooms, and so of course does the price of gas, and heating oil, and even natural gas. How about that! Refiners charge the high cost of the spot market but pay on low-cost contract!

To give an even more telling example - Valero is THE refinery in the US specializing in refining sour heavy crude. Everyone else - BP/Arco, Chevron, Exxon/Mobil and the rest can only work with sweet light crude. It is sweet light crude that is quoted in the market and that is so expensive. Sour heavy crude doesn't cost much. Do you think Valero sells its gas adjusted to the cost of production ?


HA HA HA HA HA HA Ha ha ha ha ..... if you do.


COST doesn't drive how refiners and natural gas producers price their products.

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Wednesday, September 27, 2006 1:25 PM

RUE

I have a vote and I'm not afraid to use it!


PLEASE look up basic information before you em-bare-ass yourself further!

http://tonto.eia.doe.gov/oog/info/twip/twip.asp
Shows the price of crude has dropped less than the price of gasoline.

http://oilceo.blogspot.com/2006/04/gasoline-days-of-inventory.html
Shows gasoline inventories and pump prices are not related.

"Saudi's ... have picked up production."
http://futures.fxstreet.com/Futures/content/100120/content.asp?menu=co
mmodities&dia=2692006

"The paper also points out that Saudi Arabia has been cutting output since the end of last year. That fact shows that the Saudi's will most likely not have a problem cutting back on output if called upon to do so. And if the Saudis cut then the rest of the cartel will most likely fall in line with what is asked of them which in some countries might not be much."


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Wednesday, September 27, 2006 2:20 PM

PIRATENEWS

John Lee, conspiracy therapist at Hollywood award-winner History Channel-mocked SNL-spoofed PirateNew.org wooHOO!!!!!!


Quote:

Originally posted by SignyM:

You're already seeing resistance to striking Iran from military folks and intelligence agencies. That's why the budget fiasco on Iraq, the report from 15 intelligence agencies saying Iraq was a mistake, and generals flat-out asking for Rummmie's head on a platter. They stuck to their remits on Iraq, and look where that got them. I think they're going as "all out" as a bureaucracy trained to obedience can go. (I trust I don't have to link this? If I do, let me know.)

There is deep internecine warfare going on between the CIA and the WH. The CIA has been basically dismantled. Why do you think "kneecapper" Armitage leaked Plame's name to the world? http://baltimorechronicle.com/2006/091406Parry.shtml Now the CIA is blind to Iran's plans. Armitage is NOT a bland bureaucrat. He was a point man in Vietnam and loved it. http://timesofindia.indiatimes.com/articleshow/2021640.cms He's been breaking kneecaps ever since- AFAIK most recently in Pakistan. www.foxnews.com/story/0,2933,215820,00.html
and was deeply involved in Iran Contra
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Richard_Armitage



It's not just the CIA, but every branch and bureacracy of govt. Just like the US "Revolutionary War". We already know the Iran-Contra narcoterror gang is back in the White House - which they never really left, since Clinton (Blythe Rockefeller) always worked for Bush Sr at the CIA's cocaine airline in Mena, Arkansas. Cathy O'Brien often saw the Bushes and Clintons sharing coke and prostitutes (Bush Sr often killed the little boys after raping them, since they were never seen again, according to Republican CIA Senator John DeCamp).

Too bad the patriotic politicians are now abandoning USA in disgust:

Quote:


Jesse Ventura Highlights Government Plan To Attack U.S. Cities & Kill Americans


TX guber candidate Kinky Friedman and dreadlocked Governor Mayor Assassin Jesse Ventura

Video Interview: Cites Northwoods, Gulf of Tonkin, JFK assassination, NORAD stand down as reasons to question official 9/11 story

=

In a sit-down video interview recorded on Monday night, former Minnesota Governor, pro-wrestling star and actor Jesse Ventura told radio host Alex Jones he found it very disturbing in light of what happened on 9/11 that the U.S. government had once planned to "attack certain cities within the United States," as a pretext for war.

Ventura was in Texas doing media events in support of independent Texas gubernatorial candidate Kinky Friedman. In this explosive interview Ventura sounds off on a number of controversial subjects and the direction in which America is heading.

"In the early sixties the Pentagon had an operation called Operation Northwoods and it never came to reality but it was on the table that our military would attack certain cities within the United States and make it look like Cuba did it to justify an invasion of Cuba," said Ventura.

Operation Northwoods:
www.gwu.edu/~nsarchiv/news/20010430/doc1.pdf
http://abcnews.go.com/US/story?id=92662&page=1


www.emperors-clothes.com/images/north-8.htm

"It never happened but just the simple fact that they contemplated it and it was actually on the table in the Pentagon I find that just very disturbing - that they would even consider using our military to try to justify an invasion of another country."

Ventura, a former Navy Seal, then cited the Gulf of Tonkin cover-up as an example of how false provocations are staged by governments to lead nations into war.

"It was very disappointing to believe in your country that they would lie to you to get into a war - that they would perpetrate a lie and that the media would go along with it - it's a real eye opener and you realize that if they would do it in the sixties they'll do it again - and if it works once it will work again - government very much operates that way," said Ventura.

Ventura said that shortly after he found out the truth behind the Gulf of Tonkin, Robert McNamara paid a visit to Harvard where Ventura was teaching and he had to be "locked up in a room" so that he wouldn't confront McNamara.

Ventura questioned the interception and tracking of Payne Stewart's Lear Jet in October 1999 and compared the incident to the total lack of air defense response on 9/11.

"Where were our planes - when all of this was going on....to my knowledge at no time did we have any fighter planes up in the air - why?"

Quote:


CENTCOM Sergeant Details Traitorous Stand Down Orders On 9/11

Alex Jones was joined on air yesterday by a former Sergeant in the United States Army named Lauro "LJ" Chavez. Chavez was stationed at MacDill AFB where he claims he witnessed unusual preparations for a potential airplane hitting the base on the morning of 9/11 and distinctly heard officers talking about a stand down. This has led him to go public in questioning the NORAD stand down and the demolition of the twin towers.

Mr Chavez worked within CENTCOM, one of the five American regional unified commands consisting of Marines, Navy and air force officers. CENTCOM's area of jurisdiction is in the Middle East, East Africa and Central Asia. CENTCOM has been the main American presence in many military operations, including the Persian Gulf War, the United States war in Afghanistan, and the 2003 invasion of Iraq. Chavez was stationed at CENTCOM's headquarters at MacDill AFB, in Tampa, Florida. His commanding officer was Four Star General Tommy Franks.

Chavez worked in the J6 department that was in charge of all the computer systems, the network backbone of CENTCOM. Chavez ran a team of six soldiers on the helpdesk network side. He was personally responsible for the maintenance of commanding officers computers, including those of General Tommy Franks. He has letters of recommendation from Franks and even went to Franks' house to work on his computers.

That day he was involved with supporting computer equipment being used in the Vigilant Guardian exercise and another exercise based in Egypt. On this day Chavez got to see information that he wasn't supposed to see.

"I was working on psyops commander's computer and next to his PC was a top secret document that was open, his neglect was my ally, I was sitting there working on his computer and was waiting for some patches to download and I look over and I'm reading the document, and it's the off order for the exercise that they are participating in."

Chavez continued:

"So I'm reading this document and it's giving proposed situations for scenarios for this wargame the scenarios include a hijacked plane, most of them were hijacked planes, I saw one that was like a car bomb trying to blow up something, but one of them was a hijacked plane crashing into a nuclear power plant in California, the Sears Tower, the World Trade Center, The Pentagon obviously, the White House, our building was one of the targets as well."

Chavez went on to describe how CENTCOM HQ was being heavily fortified the day before 9/11 and access to the base was restricted to top secret personnel only. This ties in with a declaration of Martial Law by Jeb Bush two days previously throughout the entirety of Florida.

Chavez also described how during the exercises the aerospace grid with "enemy" blips on it has to be piped in to the air traffic controllers of all the airports in the affected area so they know there is a military exercise going on. This ties in with the released NORAD/NEADS and FAA tapes and accounts that are riddled with references to the drills and exercises taking place on 9/11.

The entire riveting interview is freely available online at Prisonplanet.tv now. Please spread this information far and wide.

AUDIO DOWNLOAD:
www.prisonplanet.tv/audio/260906chavez.mp3

www.infowars.net/articles/September2006/260906Chavez.htm



Citing cover-ups that led to the Vietnam war and the JFK assassination, Ventura stated that it was not "beyond reason to not at least consider that the government certainly would do things like that."

Ventura said that it was via his 25-year research of the Kennedy assassination that he came to learn about the Gulf of Tonkin and Operation Northwoods.

"I don't believe for one minute the Warren Commission," said Ventura, asking that if the assassination represented the actions of Lee Harvey Oswald alone why would the information pertaining to it have to be kept secret under national security for 20 years.

"I've been to Dealy Plaza and I don't think he could make the shot," said Ventura, "it was a difficult shot with a target going away from you and dropping and not only that - he had to shoot through a tree."

Ventura said the fact that Oswald was never proven guilty in court of law itself proves he was simply convicted by public and government opinion.

"There's no definitive evidence that he did it in my opinion," concluded Ventura.

Ventura was asked if an exchange of liberty for security was a reasonable price to pay and responded by highlighting the Bush administration's mishandling of the Hurricane Katrina crisis in New Orleans.

"The country can't protect you - you have to protect yourself," said Ventura.

"They had two weeks to prepare for that and couldn't save anybody - how are they going to save you from a terrorist attack," said Ventura, "I don't buy that we're any more safe than we were prior to 9/11."

"It was very interesting that Richard Nixon had the 82nd Airborne in there when the hurricane hit back in the seventies within 24 hours and yet this President didn't do a thing for eight days."

"For people who say well you can't blame President Bush - yes I fully blame him for the hurricane," said Ventura.

"Every time the government tells you they're going to protect you be prepared because you're going to lose your rights," said Ventura, saying that he would prefer dealing with terrorism rather than accepting an erosion of personal liberty.

"These were also the same people that told us there were weapons of mass destruction in Iraq - so take it with a grain of salt - they were wrong once they could be wrong again."

Ventura said the Democrats and Republicans were destroying the election process and allowing the elections "fall victim to a system of bribery," but blamed the American people for sharing an apathy that means they don't get involved and don't care beyond their own lives. He was also cynical that another investigation of 9/11 would achieve anything.

"Has there ever been a real investigation?," asked Ventura.

Qualifying himself in saying everything was not a conspiracy, Ventura later dismissed the possibility that Senator Paul Wellstone was killed as a result of his plane being sabotaged as "bullsh***t."

However, Ventura was adamant that Americans should never trust their government because "the government is people" and comprises a cross section of society.

www.prisonplanet.com/articles/september2006/270906jesseventura.htm
www.jonesreport.com/articles/270906_ventura_youtube.html
www.startribune.com/587/story/703905.html



ESPN fakes cheers for Bush Sr to cover up booze, er, boo's:
www.dailykos.com/storyonly/2006/9/26/8550/57285

Yup, we're in the middle of a bloody Civil War in uSA. But the CIA-run Media Mafia covers up that little fact of life. Time to pick sides, folks. WWMD?


"You can't stop the signal!"
-Mr Universe, Pirate TV

FIREFLY SERENITY PILOT MUSIC VIDEO V2
Tangerine Dream - Thief Soundtrack: Confrontation
http://radio.indymedia.org/news/2006/03/8912.php
www.myspace.com/piratenewsctv
www.piratenews.org

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Wednesday, September 27, 2006 5:48 PM

KANEMAN


Quote:

Originally posted by FellowTraveler:
Quote:

Originally posted by kaneman:
I thought it was already common knowledge that the Saudi's do not want Dems to win fearing higher taxes on energy, as a result have picked up production. I am pretty sure I heard this on NPR a couple weeks back. The price will rise again after the election, prompting screams of I told you so, because the north will begin to turn on their heaters. Hugo must be pissed.



We don't get to tax the Saudis, Kaneman. It's not part of the US.



I just looked it up, there is a concern among the Saudi's about Americans cutting back on usage when the price is above a certain threshold(that price was not mentioned..the dems proposed taxes were). The trade paper stated that 20,000+ Americans converted to wood pellet heaters last year, and they project 100,000 homes this year. We are THE huge customer for oil. Drug dealers know that a junkie can only spend so much before looking elsewhere. This did not even consider "alternative" sources of energy.

*edit* Americans = American homes

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Wednesday, September 27, 2006 7:08 PM

SERGEANTX


Republicrats

SergeantX

"Dream a little dream or you can live a little dream. I'd rather live it, cause dreamers always chase but never get it." Aesop Rock

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Thursday, September 28, 2006 6:43 AM

FELLOWTRAVELER


Quote:

Originally posted by kaneman:
I just looked it up, there is a concern among the Saudi's about Americans cutting back on usage when the price is above a certain threshold(that price was not mentioned..the dems proposed taxes were). The trade paper stated that 20,000+ Americans converted to wood pellet heaters last year, and they project 100,000 homes this year. We are THE huge customer for oil. Drug dealers know that a junkie can only spend so much before looking elsewhere. This did not even consider "alternative" sources of energy.

*edit* Americans = American homes



China and India will happily take any oil that the US or the British don't. Oil is like drugs, you don't have to sell it. It sells itself...

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Thursday, September 28, 2006 12:00 PM

BIGDAMNNOBODY


Thanks for the links Rue, here's what I got from them

http://tonto.eia.doe.gov/oog/info/twip/twip.asp

Quote:


Generally speaking, areas that are more isolated from sources of supply outside the region tend to see prices decline less than the national average in times of increased supply. Retail gasoline prices nationally have dropped in large measure due to increased supplies (as a result of high prices earlier in the summer) arriving at the same time as demand started falling for seasonal reasons.



Quote:


Whether retail prices on the West Coast and Rocky Mountain regions will see larger price declines than other areas in the weeks to come remains to be seen. Ultimately, local supply and demand conditions will be the key factor in determining how much of a decline will ultimately occur. Depending on where you live, you may have seen a larger or smaller decline than the national average. Nevertheless, everyone has seen a significant drop in retail gasoline prices, which is good news for consumers.


--------------------------------------------------
http://oilceo.blogspot.com/2006/04/gasoline-days-of-inventory.html

No quotes here, just a chart which shows a general trend of lower gas prices during times of higher inventories and vice versa.
--------------------------------------------------
http://futures.fxstreet.com/Futures/content/100120/content.asp?menu=co
mmodities&dia=2692006


Quote:


An OPEC cut might start taking supply off the market just as demand starts to rise. And then a few months down the road as demand rebounds prices will rise. Then we can start the whole price rise cycle once again. Sounds familiar doesn't it?




FellowTraveler,
Thanks for the links. I'm not to sure how to take the article which cites bloggers and Doug Henwood of Left Business Observer as their sources though.

Poor Bush, it was his fault when the price of gas was rising and now it's his fault that the price of gas is dropping more than it should be. Classic case of damned if you do, damned if you don't.
I personally am thrilled at the lowering price of gas and hope the trend continues.


Posting to stir stuff up.

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Thursday, September 28, 2006 2:11 PM

RUE

I have a vote and I'm not afraid to use it!


BDNothi ...Nobody,

Sigh ... Why do you persist in disinformation?

http://tonto.eia.doe.gov/oog/info/twip/twip.asp
If you LOOK at the charts you'll see that spot gas prices fell while crude stayed the same; that crude prices went up as crude stocks went up, and that gasoline prices went up simultaneously with gasoline stocks. There is no supply and demand pattern here.

http://www.fireflyfans.net/replymsg.asp?b=18&t=24230&m=386501
If you LOOK at this chart you'll notice that in Jan 03 there were 22 days of inventory and gasoline was US1.50/ gal, while currently there are 24.5 days of inventory and gas is US2.50/ gal. More gasoline inventory AND 67% higher prices ! Tell me, how do YOU explain that?

http://futures.fxstreet.com/Futures/content/100120/content.asp?menu=co
mmodities&dia=2692006

And this one actually does say what I said - it doesn't matter what the actual supply is, the spot price goes up and down on rumor.

Furthermore, you didn't address the VITAL fact that US refineries don't buy on the spot market, they buy on long-term contract. Your theory is bogus.

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Saturday, September 30, 2006 7:33 PM

PIRATEJENNY


Quote:

Originally posted by rue:
You know, I work with people who've maintained all along there will be some huge event - something large enough to declare martial law and to claim authority to cancel elections. They've speculated dirty bombs, anthrax, assassination -
I personally don't hold with this, but it's interesting that highly educated people (people with science PhDs and political connections) do give this credit.



we might get an october surprise and we might not, I think the real planned surprise attack is going to happen for the 2008 elections , but I think its going to happen a few months before like 5 or six months

as for the coming elections I think they'll just keep doing what has currently been working for them, using the black box voting machines

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Sunday, October 1, 2006 6:14 AM

CITIZEN


Quote:

Originally posted by rue:
http://www.fireflyfans.net/replymsg.asp?b=18&t=24230&m=386501
If you LOOK at this chart you'll notice that in Jan 03 there were 22 days of inventory and gasoline was US1.50/ gal, while currently there are 24.5 days of inventory and gas is US2.50/ gal. More gasoline inventory AND 67% higher prices ! Tell me, how do YOU explain that?

I don't think that is the like you are looking for.



More insane ramblings by the people who brought you beeeer milkshakes!
No one can see their reflection in running water. It is only in still water that we can see.

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Sunday, October 1, 2006 7:28 AM

RUE

I have a vote and I'm not afraid to use it!


Yes, you're right. (Sometimes this site goes wonky and I have to re-access it 7 or 8 tmes in a single post. So I lose track of text at times.)

The link is here:
http://oilceo.blogspot.com/2006/04/gasoline-days-of-inventory.html
If you LOOK at this chart you'll notice that in Jan 03 there were 22 days of inventory and gasoline was US1.50/ gal, while currently there are 24.5 days of inventory and gas is US2.50/ gal. More gasoline inventory AND 67% higher prices ! Tell me, how do YOU explain that?

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Sunday, October 1, 2006 9:59 AM

MISBEHAVEN




I think we might have a winner for the October Surprise. There's a recently released tape showing several of the 9/11 terrorists (including bin Laden) that's starting to receive a lot of media attention. The timing seems just little too convenient to me. Republican child predator, Rep. Foley, had been all over the news, until this tape surfaced. That story is already beginning to lose some of its steam now. Also, this tape was sat on for the last five years, but all of a sudden it appears just a little more than a month before the elections. Wow! So, Republicans both deflect attention away from Foley and they divert the focus back towards terrorism and national security by politicizing the 9/11 terrorists. This shit so doesn't work on me, and I hope I'm not alone.




Buy the ticket. Take the ride.
-Hunter S. Thompson

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