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REAL WORLD EVENT DISCUSSIONS
Amnesty Bill for illegal immigrants defeated in Senate.
Saturday, June 30, 2007 11:43 PM
SIGNYM
I believe in solving problems, not sharing them.
Quote:What you want to do is isolate economic tendencies from all other constraints then project what would happen. That is a fallacy because everything else, the real world and people in that world in fact ARE economic drivers. They actively change models which is why no economic model accurately describes even a most basic economy and why almost every grand economic theory hits unexpected unpredicted problems like "stagflation." If you look at my analogy of chip manufacturing, yes you can have infinately fast chips that draw no power if you never have to worry about the laws of physics. However in real world examples those physical laws constrain what is possible. To remove economic trends from social and political considerations is liek designing chips without physics. You come up with all kinds of extremes that simply don't work that way in real life.
Quote:For it to work you need to keep making IP so even then you will eventually need workers.
Quote:In addition we have already seen that nation states ignore IP when it suits them, in fact they even have an opt out in teh WTO. If bird flu ever jumped to humans do you really believe the USG would pony up $20 a dose to some private company for Tamiflu?
Quote:But people dont starve
Quote: they rob, they mug, they riot, they start revolutions...they move to other places, they overthrow governments, they rob from the rich..
Saturday, June 30, 2007 11:46 PM
Quote:I can't tell you how perverse it feels to side with GW against RP
Sunday, July 1, 2007 12:14 AM
Quote:Never said starving people are lazy – that’s a figment of your imagination (or a figment of rue’s imagination that you’re regurgitating). Rich people do create jobs and the minimum wage does cause unemployment.
Sunday, July 1, 2007 3:14 AM
RUE
I have a vote and I'm not afraid to use it!
Quote:Originally posted by Finn mac Cumhal: Never said starving people are lazy – that’s a figment of your imagination (or a figment of rue’s imagination that you’re regurgitating)
Sunday, July 1, 2007 4:27 AM
SERGEANTX
Quote:Originally posted by SignyM: Quote:I can't tell you how perverse it feels to side with GW against RPAll that means is that you follow your logic to conclusion.
Sunday, July 1, 2007 7:34 AM
Sunday, July 1, 2007 7:49 AM
FLETCH2
Quote:Originally posted by SignyM: Quote: Every time I bring up a reason to raise the minimum wage you cite your economic model (competition for jobs) as to why it won't work. Then I project your model's future to it's endpoint, which is starvation and economic collapse, and challenge you to find a reason within your own framework why it won't get there and suddenly your model is discarded because of "social and political considerations". What I think you're saying NOW is that political considerations will- and should- affect economic policy. Correct? If that's the case, isn't a minimum wage a valid political reaction to an economic policy? Here's the problem. In "projecting the model" you actually take it outside of reasonable bounds to a point far beyond what is a reasonable expectation. Also if you go back and read what I wrote in context (and not snipping just the sections you want to use as a straw man) then you will see that I have said that there will be cases where either the employer soaks the increase to ensure stability of his business OR can pass the increase along to his customers. The problem you refuse to see is that there will be situations where that will not be possible and in those situations there will be job losses. You look at Adidas sneakers, imagine a 1000% markup on manufacture and apply this to everything. In fact there are all kinds of jobs like burger flipping where the pay rate for the job is determined by the low cost of the product. If other market concerns stop the price from rising then there isnt a 1000% markup to absorb the wage increase. In that case jobs will be lost. Refusing to accept that doesnt make it less true. Of course if you keep your job then things are better for you. If you've lost your job ...... not so much. And by the way you are absolutely right minimum wage increases are a political concern not an economic one. Of course you see this as power to the people. I see it as one group of our political master's throwing a bone to folks in the hope of getting votes next time..... think bread and circuses. Quote: WHAT?? This is plainly false. People starve every day and in many cases it's because of economic policy, not a disaster like crop failure or genocide. Example? Are there people starving to death in America now? Really? Where?
Quote: Every time I bring up a reason to raise the minimum wage you cite your economic model (competition for jobs) as to why it won't work. Then I project your model's future to it's endpoint, which is starvation and economic collapse, and challenge you to find a reason within your own framework why it won't get there and suddenly your model is discarded because of "social and political considerations". What I think you're saying NOW is that political considerations will- and should- affect economic policy. Correct? If that's the case, isn't a minimum wage a valid political reaction to an economic policy?
Quote: WHAT?? This is plainly false. People starve every day and in many cases it's because of economic policy, not a disaster like crop failure or genocide.
Sunday, July 1, 2007 7:59 AM
Quote:Originally posted by SignyM: BTW Fletch2, now that I have your attention- weren't you the one who said (in another thread) that the counterfeit products in Hong Kong are as good as the 'real" stuff? Have you seen the problems with counterfeit toothpaste (contains poison), counterfeit cough syrup (contains poison), farmed fish (cotains poison) and wheat gluten (contains poison) in the past three months? Not exactly a good track record, is it?
Quote: No they are real. If you examine the goods you will find them to be of the same quality so if they are not the real deal then the counterfeit is equivalent. Like I said, at point of production they are all cheap trainers.
Sunday, July 1, 2007 8:09 AM
Quote:The problem you refuse to see is that there will be situations where that will not be possible and in those situations there will be job losses.
Sunday, July 1, 2007 9:29 AM
Quote:Originally posted by SignyM: Fletch2, Quote:The problem you refuse to see is that there will be situations where that will not be possible and in those situations there will be job losses. The problem is that job losses don't have to occur and you fail to see it. I look at minimum wage as a form of collective bargaining through the government. Now what would happen if there were some form of collective bargaining worldwide, just as multinationals operate worldwide? So that tractor makers would not be able to play the USA against Japan against S Korea but would be facing a united labor force everywhere they went? That instead of some people losing jobs everyone had a reduced workweek for their previous pay? I suppose you would say that profits would have to be reduced- which is anathema in your thinking- or that prices would all go up and inflation would ensue.
Quote: What would happen if all governments mandated a maximum allowable profit? Or if corporate law was changed such that they suddenly did not have a huge tax advantage over individuals? Or if the United States government stopped interfering militarily in the economic processes within various nations?
Quote: YOUR problem is that you constrain your model to individuals bargaining against corporations when it comes to the labor market, but not when it comes to the profit-making end of things. What gives?
Sunday, July 1, 2007 9:37 AM
ANTIMASON
Sunday, July 1, 2007 9:56 AM
Sunday, July 1, 2007 10:00 AM
Sunday, July 1, 2007 10:11 AM
Quote:Originally posted by rue: Fletch2 People die by the tens of thousands in the US due to cold, heat, and lack of medical care. That they do not outright starve to death in large numbers (though some do) is due to federal and other programs. http://www.frac.org/html/hunger_in_the_us/hunger_index.html 35.1 million people (1 in 10) lived in households considered to be food insecure. In the United States hunger manifests itself, generally, in a less severe form (than starvation). This is in part because established programs – like the federal nutrition programs. While starvation seldom occurs in this country, children and adults do go hungry and chronic mild undernutrition does occur when financial resources are low. http://www.cdc.gov/mmwr/preview/mmwrhtml/mm5529a2.htm
Quote: During 1999--2003, a total of 3,442 deaths resulting from exposure to extreme heat were reported (annual mean: 688).
Quote: http://www.cdc.gov/mmwr/preview/mmwrhtml/mm5407a4.htm During 1979--2002 ... an average of 689 per year were attributed to exposure to excessive natural cold.
Quote: http://www.cnn.com/2007/HEALTH/06/28/sicko.fact.check/index.html According to the Institute of Medicine, 18,000 people do die each year mainly because they are less likely to receive screening and preventive care for chronic diseases. *************************************************************** "Global warming - it's not just a fact, it's a choice."
Quote:Originally posted by SignyM: And in the end, the labor market in the USA can only absorb so many people.
Sunday, July 1, 2007 10:15 AM
LEADB
Sunday, July 1, 2007 10:22 AM
Quote:Originally posted by antimason: ... invasion from the third world, and eventual bastard union that will ruin America forever.
Sunday, July 1, 2007 10:25 AM
Sunday, July 1, 2007 10:27 AM
Quote: Work isn't some limited commodity that can be hoarded or needs to be rationed.
Sunday, July 1, 2007 10:35 AM
Quote:Originally posted by SignyM: Fletch2- I'm talking worldwide.
Quote: This conversation is now over. I am fed up of you constantly playing Faux news. I dont watch them and I certainly dont have to talk to you. When you can actually hold a reasonable discussion without gross distortion we may talk. Otherwise I refuse to deal with any more attention whoring.
Sunday, July 1, 2007 10:39 AM
Quote:Originally posted by rue: Fletch2 was trying to make a point that people in the US don't die from lack of necessities. I was trying to point out that indeed, they do. *************************************************************** "Global warming - it's not just a fact, it's a choice."
Sunday, July 1, 2007 10:41 AM
Sunday, July 1, 2007 10:47 AM
Quote:Originally posted by SignyM: Well, THAT'S churlish! --------------------------------- Always look upstream.
Sunday, July 1, 2007 10:49 AM
Quote:Why would you want to cut that off?
Sunday, July 1, 2007 10:50 AM
Sunday, July 1, 2007 10:51 AM
Quote:Well, THAT'S churlish!= Signy I refer the honorable gentlemen to my previous answer....=Fletch
Sunday, July 1, 2007 10:55 AM
Quote:Originally posted by rue: Fletch "but people are not starving to death like he claimed" People ARE starving to death in the US. They may not be falling over in the streets in large numbers like in the seige of Leningrad but they are dying. (As a fact, while people are starving in LARGE numbers in India, you don't see them keeling over in the streets there either.) You seem to think no one ever dies of want in the US. It happens many times a day. *************************************************************** "Global warming - it's not just a fact, it's a choice."
Sunday, July 1, 2007 10:57 AM
Sunday, July 1, 2007 11:05 AM
Quote:Originally posted by rue: Let's see Fletch You want to 'splain away people in the US NE freezing to death by reference to a unrelated link. And yet your reference said that people in Britain didn't die of hypothermia. And your reference said cold is a greater issue where people don't normally experience it. So, we have people in the US NE who are experienced with cold (happens every year, wouldn't 'cha know) dying of hypothermia, and you counter with something unrelated.
Quote: The same is true BTW of heat - people in areas who are inexperienced with heat are at greater fractional risk than in areas experienced with heat. That was the issue with France. OTOH you want to compare that with Chicago where every summer it gets over 100F and stays over 90F days on end, with Paris. Apple, meet orange,
Quote: So, you like to say 'give me facts!', but when someone comes up with facts you don't like, you deny them, distract the argument, and ignore the rest. Bottom line: people die of want many times every day in the US. *************************************************************** "Global warming - it's not just a fact, it's a choice."
Sunday, July 1, 2007 11:07 AM
Quote:Originally posted by rue: " Why are YOU still here? Don't you have someone to starve ? *************************************************************** "Global warming - it's not just a fact, it's a choice."
Sunday, July 1, 2007 11:16 AM
Sunday, July 1, 2007 11:23 AM
Quote:Originally posted by rue: And the fact that it doesn't happen more is not due to market forces or the wonders of capitalism - it's due to government anti-hunger programs. MASSIVE programs I might add, as 1 in 10 can't get enough food on their own.
Sunday, July 1, 2007 11:24 AM
Sunday, July 1, 2007 11:45 AM
Sunday, July 1, 2007 11:47 AM
Quote:Originally posted by rue: "If Sigy is right there should be hundreds of thousands right?" SignyM was making a global argument. Many thousands DO starve to death in India (a nice capitalist example). http://www.globalpolicy.org/socecon/develop/2002/1112starvation.htm
Quote: Food policy experts say that the pricing of foodgrains for APL and BPL categories is far too high. They have pointed out that the price of grain is sometimes cheaper in mandis (local markets). Consequently, the PDS grains have few takers and state governments have been unwilling to lift the grains they are allocated. This means that foodgrains in government warehouses remain unutilized. Because of poor quality and inadequate storage facilities, millions of tons of foodgrains are eaten up by rats or simply rot. According to Planning Commission statistics, a third of the surplus food stocks (31 percent of the rice, 36 percent of the wheat and 23 percent of the sugar) in the government warehouses that is meant for the PDS is siphoned away by a nexus of politicians, officials and traders into the black market. One study indicates that 64 percent of rice stocks in Bihar and Assam, and 44 percent and 100 percent of wheat stocks in Bihar and Nagaland respectively "disappear" from the PDS. There are several government relief schemes for the rural poor. Reporting from Baran, Bhavdeep Kang writes in Outlook, "Given the large number of central and state food aid schemes, it is hard to understand why the Sahariyas [the tribe that has been worst hit by hunger and starvation in Rajasthan] are in the plight they’re in today. There are special provisions for the old, infirm, pregnant and lactating mothers, school-going children and infants. There are food-for-work programs run by the village panchayat [village-level government] to provide employment. Even the World Bank sponsors a poverty alleviation scheme in the district. On paper, no one needs to go hungry. Ground reality is starkly different." Many of the central and state government aid programs are not being implemented, Kang points out, adding that no effort is made to monitor their implementation. While the failure of the PDS has often been attributed to corruption and poor implementation, P Sainath, author of the book Everybody loves a good drought writes that the PDS has "wilted under policies aimed at dismantling it. Part of the 'doing away with subsides' theme." He calls for examining the issue of hunger-related deaths against a larger canvas of the string of anti-poor steps taken by the government post 1990. Sainath argues that while the government is cutting down on subsidies to the poor in the country and denying grains to them at prices they can afford, it is subsidizing the export of wheat by over 50 percent. "The export price of wheat is even less than the BPL rate of that item in many states. India is exporting lakhs [hundreds of thousands] of tons of rice at Rs 5.65 a kg. In Andhra, a government sells rice to people in drought-hit regions at Rs 6.40 a kg," he points out.
Quote: http://www.ambedkar.org/News/Starvrearsits.htm Economists and policy makers agree that the recent deaths underscore a basic problem: Not the lack of grain but the poorest Indians' lack of purchasing power. The government wants to transform agriculture, which accounts for more than a quarter of India's Gross Domestic Product and employs nearly two-thirds of the population. More than a decade of good rains have resulted in surplus buffer stocks, and rice is now an important export. Hybrid seeds and modern farming techniques have brought spectacular gains in crops in some pockets of the country. But the shift away from subsistence farming has also led to a concentration of larger farms, with landlords buying out small-time peasants and turning them into landless laborers. They earn little and are more vulnerable to food shortages.
Sunday, July 1, 2007 11:54 AM
Quote:Originally posted by SignyM: Quote:Why would you want to cut that off? Because we no longer have an "open" (ie depopulated) frontier to settle and immigrants or the people they displace no longer have an independent entre into the economy?
Sunday, July 1, 2007 11:59 AM
Quote:Originally posted by Fletch2: I have a health service and I vote to maintain it. You can't blame me if you don't do likewise.]
Sunday, July 1, 2007 12:00 PM
Sunday, July 1, 2007 12:04 PM
Sunday, July 1, 2007 12:30 PM
Quote: Sargeantx- Anti, this is exactly the kind of xenophobic bigotry that creeped me out at the Ron Paul rally I went to.
Quote: I didn't hear it directly in anything he said. And in reality very few of the people there represented this perspective. But the few who did seemed to me to be the ugliest of Americans.
Quote:Here's something to think about. The US was born and raised a 'bastard union'.
Quote: It's one of the biggest sources of our strength. We've benefited enormously from a constant flow of people looking for a better life. Why would you want to cut that off?
Sunday, July 1, 2007 2:24 PM
Quote:Originally posted by antimason: ...whats happening should be seen literally as an invasion from Mexico.
Quote:..i can tell you first hand that this will ruin America.
Sunday, July 1, 2007 3:24 PM
Sunday, July 1, 2007 3:41 PM
FINN MAC CUMHAL
Quote:Originally posted by rue: No matter how you try to spin it Finn, you revealed your basic premise that poor people on the edge of survival are to blame for their situation. You think capitalism is a given and that people who can't 'make it' under capitalism are unfit and unnatural and should starve.
Quote:Originally posted by rue: Originally posted by rue: You'd think that with all that time to kill they'd build themselves homes, grow their own food, 'work' to sustain themselves even without a 'job'. Why doesn't that happen? Originally posted by Finn mac Cumhal: I suspect that it probably does happen. If it doesn’t happen, it’s perhaps because they are expecting some handout from the government or some other entity. Originally posted by rue: Finn, if you think that people all over the globe are too damned lazy to get off their asses so as not to starve --- if you think they're waiting for government handouts when there are no government programs - you've got reality issues.
Sunday, July 1, 2007 3:50 PM
Quote:Originally posted by SignyM: What you said exactly was "entitled" and "expecting some handout" What's the difference? I would say that you have not looked too closely at the lives of the poor.
Quote:Originally posted by SignyM: And rich people do not create jobs- at least not as much as the middle class does- because rich people do not spend all of their income, and demand creates jobs. Let me put it to this this way Finn, imagine that you're a rich capitalist. You've bought three mansions, a yacht, a Rolls made of silver and a private jet. You have 200 servants. 10 favorite prostitutes in each country that you visit, and you still have money leftover. Now what?
Sunday, July 1, 2007 4:14 PM
Quote:Much of that leftover money goes into investments, which further fuels jobs.
Sunday, July 1, 2007 4:40 PM
Quote:I just flew back from Philadelphia and one of the things I noticed was just how much wilderness and open area still exist in this country. There's plenty of room for more people. I think we're just going to forever disagree on the nature of a free market economy. You seem to think of 'jobs' as privileges, created and handed out by wealthy industrialists. A job is nothing more than what someone does to make a living. It can be virtually anything you can get someone to pay you to do. The idea that immigrants somehow 'displace' people makes no sense to me. How are you seeing this happening?
Sunday, July 1, 2007 4:49 PM
Quote:A friend of mine, a socialist and a trade unionist once told me that at it's core welfare is anti revolution insurance
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