REAL WORLD EVENT DISCUSSIONS

Build The Keystone Pipeline!

POSTED BY: KPO
UPDATED: Sunday, April 7, 2013 06:29
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Friday, March 29, 2013 9:29 AM

KPO

Sometimes you own the libs. Sometimes, the libs own you.


...says Fareed Zakaria, and he makes a strong case:

Quote:


One way to think about the keystone project–the 2,000-mile (3,220 km) pipeline that would bring oil from the tar sands of Canada to the Gulf of Mexico–is to ask what would happen if it is never built. The U.S. Department of State released an extremely thorough report that tries to answer this question. It concludes, basically, that the oil derived from Canadian tar sands will be developed at about the same pace whether or not there is a pipeline to the U.S. In other words, stopping Keystone might make us feel good, but it wouldn’t really do anything about climate change.

Given the need for oil in the U.S., Canadian producers would still get Alberta’s oil to the refineries on the Gulf of Mexico. There are other pipeline possibilities, but the most likely method of transfer is by train. The report estimates that it would take daily runs of 15 trains with about 100 tank cars each to carry the amount planned by TransCanada. That would be a large increase in traffic from what now goes north to south, but it would hardly be an insurmountable problem. Rail traffic in this corridor is already exploding: the number of carloads of crude oil doubled from 2010 to 2011, then tripled from 2011 to 2012. And remember, moving oil by train produces much higher emissions of CO[subscript 2] (from diesel locomotives) than flowing it through a pipeline.

Canada could also transport the oil by train or pipeline west to British Columbia and then on to Asia, where demand is booming. Right now that seems a distant and costly prospect, but having visited Alberta recently, I can attest that Canadian businesspeople and officials are planning seriously for Asian markets–especially since they have come to regard U.S. energy policy as politicized, hostile and mercurial. Whoever uses the oil, the CO[subscript 2] will be released into the atmosphere just the same.

Also, if we don’t use oil from Alberta, we will need to get it somewhere to fuel our transportation needs–from Venezuela, Mexico, Saudi Arabia or California. Some of these oils are heavy crude, and processing, refining and burning them is believed to be even more harmful to the environment than using fuels from refracted Canadian oil sands. Switching from oil sands to, say, Venezuelan crude (the most likely alternative) would reduce greenhouse-gas emissions by a minimal amount or not at all. To the extent that this would make us use more coal for electricity generation, it would be a big step backward for the environment. For many of these reasons, the scientific journal Nature, long a leader on climate change, argued in an editorial that President Obama should approve Keystone. A decision is expected this spring.

Environmental groups are approaching this project much as the U.S. government fights the war on drugs. They are attacking supply rather than demand. In this case, environmentalists have chosen one particular source of energy–Alberta’s tar sands–and are trying to shut it down. But as long as there is demand for oil, there will be supply. A far more effective solution would be to try to moderate demand by putting in place a carbon tax or a cap-and-trade system. Ideally we would use the proceeds to fund research on alternative energy. Washington spends $73 billion on research for defense, $31 billion on health care and just $3 billion on energy. Massive increases in research would make a difference. Targeting one Canadian oil field–or one pipeline company–will not.

Some in the environmental movement seem to recognize that the facts don’t really support singling out Keystone, so they have turned to more intangible reasons to oppose it. Climate activist Bill McKibben argues that if Obama were to say no to Keystone, it would be a turning point: “He could finally say to the Chinese, ‘We’ve done something significant. Your turn.’” Of all the arguments for blocking Keystone, this is surely the most naive. Is there a shred of evidence from the past 25 years that China would respond to this kind of unilateral concession by limiting its growth? How did Beijing respond to the Kyoto accords, under which European countries curbed their carbon emissions? By building a coal-fired power plant every week since then!

Opponents of Keystone say that the specifics are less important in this case and that it is the symbolism that matters. And it does. If we block this project–whose source is no worse than many others, rebuffing our closest trading partner and ally and spurning easily accessible energy in favor of Venezuelan or Saudi crude–it would be a symbol, and a depressing one at that. It would be a symbol of how emotion has taken the place of analysis and ideology now trumps science on both sides of the environmental debate.




http://swampland.time.com/2013/03/07/build-that-pipeline/

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Saturday, March 30, 2013 7:03 AM

NIKI2

Gettin' old, but still a hippie at heart...


I hate that argument!
Truly a case of "bad, or worse", with nothing better to contemplate. Like there's a chance in hell of ever "putting in place a carbon tax or a cap-and-trade system"--we've been there/done that, and we saw how the right did on THAT!

Give me something to hope for, something to work toward, something that had a chance in hell of changing anything...but I know you can't...



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Saturday, March 30, 2013 12:13 PM

SIGNYM

I believe in solving problems, not sharing them.


This is such a bullshit argument. MY problem with Keystone is that it runs through an important aquifer, and a broken pipeline would be a water-resource disaster. Fareed did not address that point.

Point by point:

Quote:

One way to think about the keystone project–the 2,000-mile (3,220 km) pipeline that would bring oil from the tar sands of Canada to the Gulf of Mexico–is to ask what would happen if it is never built. The U.S. Department of State released an extremely thorough report that tries to answer this question.
And is this a disinterested source? Or are their underlying arguments as much political as environmental: buying our oil from a friendly conservative government?
Quote:

It concludes, basically, that the oil derived from Canadian tar sands will be developed at about the same pace whether or not there is a pipeline to the U.S. In other words, stopping Keystone might make us feel good, but it wouldn’t really do anything about climate change.
To be evaluated.

Quote:

Given the need for oil in the U.S., Canadian producers would still get Alberta’s oil to the refineries on the Gulf of Mexico. There are other pipeline possibilities, but the most likely method of transfer is by train. The report estimates that it would take daily runs of 15 trains with about 100 tank cars each to carry the amount planned by TransCanada. That would be a large increase in traffic from what now goes north to south, but it would hardly be an insurmountable problem. Rail traffic in this corridor is already exploding: the number of carloads of crude oil doubled from 2010 to 2011, then tripled from 2011 to 2012. And remember, moving oil by train produces much higher emissions of CO[subscript 2] (from diesel locomotives) than flowing it through a pipeline.
Does it change the cost of the product? If so, would it shift the market?

Quote:

Canada could also transport the oil by train or pipeline west to British Columbia and then on to Asia, where demand is booming. Right now that seems a distant and costly prospect,
especially going over the Canadian Rockies
Quote:

but having visited Alberta recently, I can attest that Canadian businesspeople and officials are planning seriously for Asian markets–especially since they have come to regard U.S. energy policy as politicized, hostile and mercurial. Whoever uses the oil, the CO[subscript 2] will be released into the atmosphere just the same.
Again, at what cost?

Quote:

Also, if we don’t use oil from Alberta, we will need to get it somewhere to fuel our transportation needs–from Venezuela, Mexico, Saudi Arabia or California. Some of these oils are heavy crude, and processing, refining and burning them is believed to be even more harmful to the environment than using fuels from refracted Canadian oil sands.
Pure, unmitigated bull-twaddle. I know something about oil refining, and the various types and grades of crude oil available. CA crude is heavy and sulfurous, true. But at least is flows, it CAN be pumped. The "tar" in tar sands needs to be heavily processed in the ground just to get it out of the ground, and once it is out of the ground it needs to be processed further just to get it to a pump-able state. Does that sound like it takes less energy to do?

Yeah, I thought not.

Since I talk with oil companies that do secondary oil recovery and refining, I would be happy to get into the details, if anyone is interested.

Quote:

Switching from oil sands to, say, Venezuelan crude (the most likely alternative) would reduce greenhouse-gas emissions by a minimal amount or not at all.
Again, bull-puckies.
Quote:

To the extent that this would make us use more coal for electricity generation, it would be a big step backward for the environment. For many of these reasons, the scientific journal Nature, long a leader on climate change, argued in an editorial that President Obama should approve Keystone. A decision is expected this spring.

Environmental groups are approaching this project much as the U.S. government fights the war on drugs. They are attacking supply rather than demand

Again, bull-puckies. Since when have environmentalists NOT been arguing for reducing demand? When someone has to resort to such a specious argument, what does this say about the strength of his case?
Quote:

. In this case, environmentalists have chosen one particular source of energy–Alberta’s tar sands–and are trying to shut it down. But as long as there is demand for oil, there will be supply. A far more effective solution would be to try to moderate demand by putting in place a carbon tax or a cap-and-trade system. Ideally we would use the proceeds to fund research on alternative energy. Washington spends $73 billion on research for defense, $31 billion on health care and just $3 billion on energy. Massive increases in research would make a difference. Targeting one Canadian oil field–or one pipeline company–will not.
Oh, yeah... carbon tax, cap-and-trade, and massive research as serious alternatives?? Environmentalists have been fighting for those for decades. If they haven't happened by NOW, why does Fareed suppose they would be viable alternatives NOW???

In any case, the same people who fought higher mileage standards and carbon taxes are the same people who are promoting Keystone. It's not like giving in to Keystone is going to make any of the alternatives happen. Fareed is such a dickwad.

Quote:

Some in the environmental movement seem to recognize that the facts don’t really support singling out Keystone, so they have turned to more intangible reasons to oppose it. Climate activist Bill McKibben argues that if Obama were to say no to Keystone, it would be a turning point: “He could finally say to the Chinese, ‘We’ve done something significant. Your turn.’”
That is a severely truncated version of what Bill McKibben has said. Again, why does Fareed have to lie to make his point?
Quote:

Of all the arguments for blocking Keystone, this is surely the most naive. Is there a shred of evidence from the past 25 years that China would respond to this kind of unilateral concession by limiting its growth? How did Beijing respond to the Kyoto accords, under which European countries curbed their carbon emissions? By building a coal-fired power plant every week since then!

Opponents of Keystone say that the specifics are less important

WHICH opponents? Name names, cite quotes.
Quote:

in this case and that it is the symbolism that matters. And it does. If we block this project–whose source is no worse than many others, rebuffing our closest trading partner and ally
The real point.
Quote:

and spurning easily accessible energy in favor of Venezuelan or Saudi crude–it would be a symbol, and a depressing one at that. It would be a symbol of how emotion has taken the place of analysis and ideology now trumps science on both sides of the environmental debate.


Fareed made a superficial case, but for those who know anything about oil extraction and refining, it comes apart completely.

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Saturday, March 30, 2013 1:32 PM

MAL4PREZ


Quote:

Originally posted by SIGNYM:
Since I talk with oil companies that do secondary oil recovery and refining, I would be happy to get into the details, if anyone is interested.


I am.

I have toured several refineries, but I was more of a theorist and my attention tended to wonder during any engineering discussion. I have a general idea of the process, but I'm more interested in the details now than I used to be.

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Saturday, March 30, 2013 2:13 PM

SIGNYM

I believe in solving problems, not sharing them.


I guess the overall is... oh, you have no idea what goes into oil extracting and refining.

The LA area is, in fact, an old oilfield. All of the "easy oil" has been extracted. How much more you are willing to do to extract oil has to do with oil prices. The higher the prices, the more the technology you will be willing to apply.

Sometimes all you have to do is re-bore an old string. As oil flows to the slots cut into the casing, it carries small bits of sand and dissolved minerals. Eventually, the slots clog up, and re-boring is a great solution. But that eventually plays out, and as the price rises, you will flood an oil-field with water (wash the oil out). What comes up is maybe 98% water, but 2% oil- profitably recoverable at high enough prices. Or, you will flood the field with steam, or throw a heater down the well, or flood the field with high-pressure steam and solvents, or ignite a fire in the deposit, or (experimental) inject bacteria to break down the deposits until they are a little more liquid.

Why do I mention this?

This is very similar to recovering tar sands, but whatever you do to recover heavy oil you need to do MORE with tar sands. More water, more energy, more solvent, more whatever. More energy.

Anyway, busy now back later.

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Saturday, March 30, 2013 2:22 PM

1KIKI

Goodbye, kind world (George Monbiot) - In common with all those generations which have contemplated catastrophe, we appear to be incapable of understanding what confronts us.


FWIW I can verify these various methods are used to re-extract old oil fields. Indeed, they DO do things like ignite underground fires to liquify the heavy oil into something a little more ... malleable. These things seem extreme, but they're an everyday underground reality.

I was involved in two OOPS! Los Angeles events testing - when underground pressurized water secondary recovery caused the oil-well casings and rock to crack, and forced the oil to ooze up everywhere there was a break in surface covering - where foundations met walls, where sewer lines met grates, where high-pressure water lines met fire hydrants ... the other where a secondary oil recovery well released dangerous levels of benzene from the oil/ water separator on a school property.

OOPS!

BTW, there's another hazard to both secondary oil recovery, and to fracking (which it closely resembles), and that is human-induced earthquakes. Not really topical, but recent, so I thought I'd mention it.


http://www.laboratoryequipment.com/news/2013/03/wastewater-injection-s
purred-large-earthquake

Wastewater Injection Spurred Large Earthquake

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Saturday, March 30, 2013 3:13 PM

SIGNYM

I believe in solving problems, not sharing them.


Yes, the part I was getting to: shit happens.

Secondary oil recovery is a lot like fracking and a lot like tar sands extraction, if it is done with high pressures. Now, a "drill string" is not just a piece of pipe. It is a complex series of pipes-within-pipes cemented to each other and to the ground. Hence, there are a lot of place where it can leak, especially when subject to high pressure or during an earthquake... something we are all familiar with here. Unfortunately, in places like So Cal that get a lot of water from the ground (Would you believe we have a "Water Replenishment Disrict" that actively manages our aquifers, and fills up basin recharge areas in times of plentiful rainfall and pumps treated sewage water back underground ALL the time?) a break into our aquifer would mean a serious water shortage for millions of people. For us, this is truly an oil-or-water question.

The reason WHY I keep bringing up cost, BTW, is because both oil use and oil extraction are price-sensitive. If Keystone is blocked, the price goes up and OUR usage goes down. The Canadians then face the prospect of having to ship their oil over the Rockies. But blocking Keystone will not make us rely on coal more. Oil and coal are NOT interchangeable- you can't run a car on coal, and you can't fuel a coal-fired power plant on oil; the equipment is incompatible. (Oil and gas, OTOH, can be more readily exchanged)

A few interesting techno-tidbits... the gas company here pumps cheap summer natural gas into old oil fields during the summer which is a time of low demand, then pumps the gas out again during the winter.

Some aquifers around here are contaminated with chlorinated solvents. In order to make the water "safe", it is blended with Colorado River water.

Oilfield flow (Where is the oil flowing from, where is it flowing to?) is complex, especially in old fields. It is tracked by injecting radioactive compounds down one oil well, and looking for it at other wells. Radioactive iodine is used often. Good thing the wellheads don't leak, eh??? (hah hah hah) I recall there was a company that lost a cylinder of th stuff near where I used to live... it rolled off their truck and landed at the 710-Firestone on-ramp. The radio announcement went something like "It's OK, but don't touch it, just report it to the CHP".

Our existance depends on borderline technology. We are living truly on a knife's edge. Look at Fukushima... Like Arnie Gunderson says, every time we create a foolproof system the fools outrun the proofs every time. Shit happens.

Fareed is jacking off. He knows nothing about nothing, but he wants to smooth the way for TPTB.





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Saturday, March 30, 2013 3:40 PM

SIGNYM

I believe in solving problems, not sharing them.


THIS>>>

Exxon shuts oil pipeline after "major" pipeline spill in Arkansas

Exxon Mobil has shut a crude oil pipeline after it ruptured near Mayflower, Arkansas, spilling thousands of barrels of oil, the company said.

Quote:

The 20-inch Pegasus pipeline ruptured on late Friday afternoon and a few thousand barrels of oil had been observed, Exxon said in a statement. Local media reported the spill occurred in a subdivision.

Federal, state and local officials were on site and the company was preparing a response for a spill of more than 10,000 barrels.

The U.S. Environmental Protection Agency had categorized the rupture as a "major spill", Exxon said, and 22 homes were evacuated following the incident. Clean-up crews had recovered approximately 4,500 barrels of oil and water.

The pipeline carries crude oil from Patoka, Illinois, to the Gulf Coast.



http://news.yahoo.com/exxon-shuts-oil-pipeline-major-pipeline-spill-ar
kansas-010122537--finance.html

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Saturday, March 30, 2013 4:02 PM

KWICKO

"We'll know our disinformation program is complete when everything the American public believes is false." -- William Casey, Reagan's presidential campaign manager & CIA Director (from first staff meeting in 1981)



Quote:

The ExxonMobil Pegasus tar sands pipeline spilled around 185,000 gallons of tar sands, undisclosed toxic chemicals and contaminated water in Arkansas yesterday.

Like many tar sands pipelines, Pegasus was actually an older pipeline which had its flow reversed. This is also the case for the Seaway pipeline in Texas and possible tar sands pipelines in New England.

And this wasn't even the only spill this week! Read more about the 30,000 tar sands spill in Minnesota here:

http://www.tarsandsblockade.org/tar-sands-spill-train-derailment-minne
sota
/








Just look at all the cleanup jobs they created!



"I supported Bush in 2000 and 2004 and intellegence [sic] had very little to do with that decision." - Hero

"I was wrong" - Hero, 2012

Mitt Romney, introducing his running mate: "Join me in welcoming the next President of the United States, Paul Ryan!"

Rappy's response? "You're lying, gullible ( believing in some BS you heard on msnbc ) or hard of hearing."

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Sunday, March 31, 2013 4:27 PM

SIGNYM

I believe in solving problems, not sharing them.


Wow, that is awful. I'll bet those ppl had no idea there was a huge pipeline right under their property. Most people don't. If all of those pipelines and gas lines and oil wells and deep injection wells were actually mapped, people would prolly be terrified to set foot outside their house!

AFA the techno info, there is stuff underground that I would prolly get in trouble telling you about specifically, seeing as it's sensitive information and all. We only find out about it when something catastrophic happens




PA gas main explosion


LA ... the deep-well disposal that turned into a sinkhole that ate... well... everything

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Sunday, March 31, 2013 5:20 PM

1KIKI

Goodbye, kind world (George Monbiot) - In common with all those generations which have contemplated catastrophe, we appear to be incapable of understanding what confronts us.


Some information about "what lies beneath" ...

I was working at the county hospital just 3 miles away the evening of 'The Buffalo Fire - 1983 Propane Explosion'. We were told to be prepared for a major event. I don't know if you ever watched 'ER' but there was an episode where they were expecting multiple injuries from a major chain-reaction accident - if you've seen it, it was like that.

The explosion was caused by a mishandled propane tank, the valve was cracked off during an attempt to move it with a forklift, the building filled with propane and it exploded.

Here is video of the fire:



Some of the fire in the video is flammable material burning (the remnants of the original building where the explosion occurred, and surrounding buildings, cars, trees etc), but most is gas from the high pressure gas mains under the street that were cracked open and pouring natural gas into the pit left by the explosion.

You can get an idea of the size of the pit from this photo. The basement of the building is that steam-covered rectangle in the upper half of the photo just to the right of the centerline:


As I alluded to, several high-pressure natural gas distribution lines that ran under nearby streets were cracked by the explosion, and high-pressure natural gas was venting unchecked into the pit. According to this website, distribution lines can run as high as 200 psi. http://energy.about.com/od/drilling/a/5-Types-Of-Natural-Gas-Pipelines
.htm
The shutoff valves are buried under the street with the gas line. So in order to shut off the gas the city had to find the plans to locate the valves, tear up the streets and dig down to the valves, then turn them off.

I thought it was interesting information that I learned b/c of the event.



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Tuesday, April 2, 2013 12:49 PM

KWICKO

"We'll know our disinformation program is complete when everything the American public believes is false." -- William Casey, Reagan's presidential campaign manager & CIA Director (from first staff meeting in 1981)


Well, this is pretty disturbing if it's true...

Quote:

Companies that transport oil are required to pay into the Oil Spill Liability Trust Fund, giving the government a pot of money for immediate spill responses. The Enbridge pipeline in Michigan and the Exxon pipeline in Arkansas, however, are exempt because these pipelines are not considered to be carrying “conventional oil,” despite the fact bitumen spills are more expensive and more dangerous.
In a January 2011 memorandum, the IRS determined that to generate revenues for the oil spill trust fund, Congress only intended to tax conventional crude, and not tar sands or other unconventional oils. This exemption remains to this day, even though the U.S. moves billions of gallons of tar sands crude through its pipeline system every year. The trust fund is liable for tar sands oil spill cleanups without collecting any revenue from tar sands transport. If the fund goes broke,the American taxpayer foots the cleanup bill.
When Connolly learned that Enbridge is not required to pay into the Oil Spill Liability Trust Fund, she was shocked. “I can’t believe that,” she said. “It’s unconscionable, disgusting. I can’t believe it’s not being brought up … [Companies] get enough tax loopholes; they can pay into the system and should not make taxpayers pay for their cleanup.”
Connolly holds that the government needs to hold companies like Enbridge and Exxon accountable. She believes her government representatives should advocate for companies to pay into the Oil Spill Liability Fund and keep discussing the issue. “They’re making a ton of money and they’re calling the shots, but who do they answer to? We’re asking the government to come and look at the impact, but no one comes out. No one looks; no one sees. They think it’s all cleaned up.”



http://ecowatch.com/2013/american-taxpayers-foot-bill-tar-sands-cleanu
p
/


So far we have zero credible cites for any jobs that will be created (although it now seems lots of cleanup jobs will be created, many of them right in your own neighborhood!), but we have plenty of confirmed spills, and because of the nature of the oil being piped through these (usually really old) pipelines, the taxpayers get to foot the bill for the cleanup.

DON'T build the Keystone pipeline.



"I supported Bush in 2000 and 2004 and intellegence [sic] had very little to do with that decision." - Hero

"I was wrong" - Hero, 2012

Mitt Romney, introducing his running mate: "Join me in welcoming the next President of the United States, Paul Ryan!"

Rappy's response? "You're lying, gullible ( believing in some BS you heard on msnbc ) or hard of hearing."

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Thursday, April 4, 2013 5:51 PM

SIGNYM

I believe in solving problems, not sharing them.


Oh dear, I didn't know that. This actually incentivizes pumping tar-sand oil, since it shifts the cost of managing risk onto those who pipe plain crude oil.

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Thursday, April 4, 2013 6:06 PM

KWICKO

"We'll know our disinformation program is complete when everything the American public believes is false." -- William Casey, Reagan's presidential campaign manager & CIA Director (from first staff meeting in 1981)


Quote:

Originally posted by SIGNYM:
Oh dear, I didn't know that. This actually incentivizes pumping tar-sand oil, since it shifts the cost of managing risk onto those who pipe plain crude oil.




AND it puts the taxpayers on the hook for the most expensive kinds of pipeline spills, since tar sands oil doesn't clean up "easy" like light crude or other kinds of crude - it sinks into rivers and lakes, meaning instead of skimming it off the top, you have to dredge up the bottom as well.

It's a win/win for oil companies, and a lose/lose for taxpayers.

Now, add to that the fact that it's being pumped to refineries in the U.S. (because we're so lax on laws and regulations compared to places like that bad old "People's Republic of Kanada"), and it's going to be refined here (which means all the toxic waste that comes out of that refining process will be here in the U.S.), but then it's going to be sold on the world market to places like China and Japan.

What's that going to do for us? We keep hearing that building the pipeline will lower our gas prices here in the U.S., but that's actually the opposite of what it will do. We get hit with gas price spikes every time a refinery blows up, catches fire, has a spill, or the supervisor on duty that day catches a cold, it seems - so what do you think is going to happen when our refineries, which are already operating at capacity, or so we're told, are tasked with refining even more product? And dirtier product at that, meaning more refining is necessary?

It's going to mean we get LESS gas out of that refinery, is what it's going to mean. And that drives up prices.

Of course, that's exactly what oil companies want. And people like Rappy are playing perfectly into their hands.



"I supported Bush in 2000 and 2004 and intellegence [sic] had very little to do with that decision." - Hero

"I was wrong" - Hero, 2012

Mitt Romney, introducing his running mate: "Join me in welcoming the next President of the United States, Paul Ryan!"

Rappy's response? "You're lying, gullible ( believing in some BS you heard on msnbc ) or hard of hearing."

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Saturday, April 6, 2013 3:41 AM

DREAMTROVE


I've already said my point about spills being a drop in a bucket of bad here, but I thought I'd add a couple notes here.

First, Fareed Zakaria credibility reference, for those who don't already know:
http://articles.washingtonpost.com/2012-08-10/lifestyle/35492294_1_zak
aria-jill-lepore-time-magazine-and-cnn

It's not like some school paper when he was 19, this was taken from the New Yorker, which is read by, well, everyone, and published in Time, which is read by, well, everyone. That's more than dishonesty and criminal bad judgment, it's also a sign of either mental illness or monumental stupidity.

Anyway, this argument is also dishonest. We would get our oil from Canada vs. getting it from Mexico. That doesn't affect the ownership of the oil. If we buy from the Saudis, they usually just trade futures contracts with the people who actually deliver the oil. We don't buy from the Saudis because "that's where the oil is," we buy from the Saudi's because of our relationship with Saudi Arabia. It's similar to why we pour so much of our military defense into Israel. It's not a locale we're defending because someone might invade the US by way of Israel, it's because of our relationship with the nation of Israel.

What would truly happen if this project got completed has already been determined: the oil would go to China. Who would then probably trade much of it for oil in Iran, in fact, the Chinese govt. has already indicated it would. Which would mean that when we got that "Canadian" oil, or rather, oil in Canada, we would be paying Iran for it. If that is your idea of energy independence and security, then, sobeit.

This forum should probably have a thread-merge function.

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Saturday, April 6, 2013 4:05 AM

NEWOLDBROWNCOAT


I'm not clear on why we want to build a pipeline from Canada all the way to Brownsville, Texas for oil to use domestically. Isn't there refinery capacity somewhere closer, Like Chicago or the Great Lakes area? If not, why not? Why not build some? ( I know the answer to that one , of course-- money.)

The real reason seems to be that Brownsville is a seaport on the Gulf of Mexico so it'll be easy to export the stuff. If it's going to be exported, that renders ANY argument about the benefits of domestic use, MOOT. And if they're going to export the stuff, why not build the pipeline to Seattle , or the St Lawrence River, and export from there?

Only logic here seems to be that the "oil bidness" is already in Texas, and that this is to benefit those already rich guys, at the risk and expense of everybody else along the way.

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Saturday, April 6, 2013 5:10 AM

KWICKO

"We'll know our disinformation program is complete when everything the American public believes is false." -- William Casey, Reagan's presidential campaign manager & CIA Director (from first staff meeting in 1981)


NOBC: There's another reason for the pipeline being built through here: regulations. See, it would be most efficient for TransCanada to simply build a pipeline from the tar sands to their western coast, Vancouver, or nearby, to have it refined there and then shipped on to China, Japan, or wherever.

So why don't they just do that? Because the Canadians have stricter regulations than we do. It's cheaper and easier for them to pump it across the United States, because there's really no downside for them environmentally. Anything goes wrong, fuck it, that's our problem, not theirs. If it all goes to hell, it's tar sands oil, so it doesn't even qualify as "oil" in the regulations, and they're not even responsible for the costs of the cleanup!

Simply put, it's cheaper, less of a regulatory hurdle, and less of a liability for the company to pump oil into the Gulf of Mexico than it is for them to risk spilling it on their own soil. And we made it that way for them, and now the so-called "conservative" movement wants to make it even easier.



"I supported Bush in 2000 and 2004 and intellegence [sic] had very little to do with that decision." - Hero

"I was wrong" - Hero, 2012

Mitt Romney, introducing his running mate: "Join me in welcoming the next President of the United States, Paul Ryan!"

Rappy's response? "You're lying, gullible ( believing in some BS you heard on msnbc ) or hard of hearing."

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Saturday, April 6, 2013 5:49 AM

NEWOLDBROWNCOAT


Quote:

Originally posted by Kwicko:
NOBC: There's another reason for the pipeline being built through here: regulations. See, it would be most efficient for TransCanada to simply build a pipeline from the tar sands to their western coast, Vancouver, or nearby, to have it refined there and then shipped on to China, Japan, or wherever.

So why don't they just do that? Because the Canadians have stricter regulations than we do. It's cheaper and easier for them to pump it across the United States, because there's really no downside for them environmentally. Anything goes wrong, fuck it, that's our problem, not theirs. If it all goes to hell, it's tar sands oil, so it doesn't even qualify as "oil" in the regulations, and they're not even responsible for the costs of the cleanup!

Simply put, it's cheaper, less of a regulatory hurdle, and less of a liability for the company to pump oil into the Gulf of Mexico than it is for them to risk spilling it on their own soil. And we made it that way for them, and now the so-called "conservative" movement wants to make it even easier.





Yeah, that makes sense for them. And we should go along because?

Still makes better sense for us to pipe it to Seattle or the Great Lakes, once it's on our side of the border, and refine it there.

It's gonna get exported, not used here, Anything other than piping it to the closest seaport puts America at greater risk, and benefits no one but foreigners and already rich American oil companies.

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Saturday, April 6, 2013 10:54 AM

KWICKO

"We'll know our disinformation program is complete when everything the American public believes is false." -- William Casey, Reagan's presidential campaign manager & CIA Director (from first staff meeting in 1981)


Quote:

Originally posted by NewOldBrownCoat:
Quote:

Originally posted by Kwicko:
NOBC: There's another reason for the pipeline being built through here: regulations. See, it would be most efficient for TransCanada to simply build a pipeline from the tar sands to their western coast, Vancouver, or nearby, to have it refined there and then shipped on to China, Japan, or wherever.

So why don't they just do that? Because the Canadians have stricter regulations than we do. It's cheaper and easier for them to pump it across the United States, because there's really no downside for them environmentally. Anything goes wrong, fuck it, that's our problem, not theirs. If it all goes to hell, it's tar sands oil, so it doesn't even qualify as "oil" in the regulations, and they're not even responsible for the costs of the cleanup!

Simply put, it's cheaper, less of a regulatory hurdle, and less of a liability for the company to pump oil into the Gulf of Mexico than it is for them to risk spilling it on their own soil. And we made it that way for them, and now the so-called "conservative" movement wants to make it even easier.





Yeah, that makes sense for them. And we should go along because?



Oh, we shouldn't, by any stretch. But we WILL, I'm sure. Because oil companies are insisting on it. And because they're raising prices in order to put pressure on Congress and the president to push the pipeline through (which will raise gas prices more, but never mind that - we'll worry about burning that bridge when we get to it! )

Quote:


Still makes better sense for us to pipe it to Seattle or the Great Lakes, once it's on our side of the border, and refine it there.



It does, *unless* there are stricter regulations in Michigan, Illinois, Washington state, etc., than there are in North Dakota, South Dakota, Nebraska, Kansas, Oklahoma, and Texas, at which point its cheaper to pipe it down to existing refineries in Texas. Money and markets don't flow where it "makes better sense" to go - they flow where it's cheapest, in terms of regulations, taxes, and labor. If it's cheaper for an oil company's bottom line to pollute and ruin an entire shoreline than it is to mix their cement the proper way, then guess what? That shoreline is getting ruined, toot-sweet, like yesterday.

Oil companies do not care about you, your family, your health, your environment, or your economy. They don't have to. They only have to worry about money: theirs (how to get more of it) and yours (how to get more of it).

As Signy or Rue use to say in her sig line, "Never think they give a shit." We only have a very few ways to MAKE THEM give a shit, and that's through force of law and regulation and taxes. Relying on their goodwill and the purity of self-interest and the free market is a one-way ticket to an oil-soaked grave.


Quote:

It's gonna get exported, not used here, Anything other than piping it to the closest seaport puts America at greater risk, and benefits no one but foreigners and already rich American oil companies.



And that is the entire point. It's American oil companies that are pushing so hard for this to happen, because it benefits THEM. And it's a few congresspeople who are pushing for it, because they are being paid by those oil companies to push it, and therefore it benefits THEM directly, in their pocketbook.


You've laid out an excellent case why the American people shouldn't be behind this pipeline, and I agree with you 100%.

What you haven't done, though, is show us why the oil companies shouldn't do it.

I know, and you know, and anyone thinking about it knows, that this is a disaster waiting to happen. We're buying death and destruction, and we're paying at the pump for it. We're being sold a bill of goods, promises of cheap oil and happy days and zero risk, and it's all a load of horseshit. I've heard it all before - whether it be invading Iraq ("It's about WMD! I mean, it's about saving Saddam's own people from tyranny! I mean, it's about cheap oil!" - nothing about it was worth six trillion dollars, no matter how you slice it) or raping the Arctic, and it's a pack of lies designed to get you to sign off on paying to destroy yet another environment. It only works if you play along or remain silent.



"I supported Bush in 2000 and 2004 and intellegence [sic] had very little to do with that decision." - Hero

"I was wrong" - Hero, 2012

Mitt Romney, introducing his running mate: "Join me in welcoming the next President of the United States, Paul Ryan!"

Rappy's response? "You're lying, gullible ( believing in some BS you heard on msnbc ) or hard of hearing."

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Saturday, April 6, 2013 11:05 AM

KWICKO

"We'll know our disinformation program is complete when everything the American public believes is false." -- William Casey, Reagan's presidential campaign manager & CIA Director (from first staff meeting in 1981)


Quote:

Originally posted by Niki2:
I hate that argument!
Truly a case of "bad, or worse", with nothing better to contemplate. Like there's a chance in hell of ever "putting in place a carbon tax or a cap-and-trade system"--we've been there/done that, and we saw how the right did on THAT!

Give me something to hope for, something to work toward, something that had a chance in hell of changing anything...but I know you can't...






It *IS* a terrible argument, because it's a false choice: Either build the pipeline or run the risk of lots of spills because of tanker trucks crashing, or trains derailing. The inherent supposition in such arguments is that *we have to have this oil no matter what*.

Fracking arguments tend to run the same course. "Hey, fracking is cleaner than ________!" And while that may be, it's also dirtier and worse for the environment - especially in that particular area where you're fracking - than NOT fracking.

My old hometown, San Angelo, is undergoing a severe drought right now. So in order to deal with the drought and the fact that they have less than 60 days' supply of water in the reservoirs and a severe shortage of rain with nothing on the horizon, they're fracking like crazy, and pumping millions of gallons of water mixed with highly-toxic "fracking solution" (a.k.a., hazardous waste which would render any refinery site a Superfund cleanup candidate if this stuff were found on the ground there) into the ground, and into the rapidly-depleting aquifer, which is being depleted even more rapidly because while drilling these fracking wells, they must first drill a water well to suck water out of the aquifer to pump down the fracking hole, all mixed with toxic waste that would - and should - cost billions to dispose of properly, if anyone were the least bit interested in disposing of it properly.

But they aren't; it's cheaper and easier to just shove it down a deep hole, much like conservatives tend to do with their heads when facts don't play along with their ideology, and hope it all works out for the best. Or at least hope that some entrepreneurial oil company (which they just happen to own stock in, natch) will invent a new and expensive way to get rid of the problem in an innovative and ever-more toxic and dangerous way.

Because, y'know... 'Murrica!


ExxonMobil and other oil companies should change their slogans to something more honest: "If you're not appalled, you're not paying attention."





"I supported Bush in 2000 and 2004 and intellegence [sic] had very little to do with that decision." - Hero

"I was wrong" - Hero, 2012

Mitt Romney, introducing his running mate: "Join me in welcoming the next President of the United States, Paul Ryan!"

Rappy's response? "You're lying, gullible ( believing in some BS you heard on msnbc ) or hard of hearing."

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Saturday, April 6, 2013 3:23 PM

DREAMTROVE


Quote:

Originally posted by NewOldBrownCoat:
I'm not clear on why we want to build a pipeline from Canada all the way to Brownsville, Texas for oil to use domestically.



We have a winner!

Yes, esp. as the alternate plans for the end point of the pipeline in the event of too much opposition have been NY and Seattle, with a definite favoritism for Seattle. Seattle would be a much better place for shipping to China, along with the Alaska oil. Of course, they don't need us, they could just do it to Vancouver. By this I assume the point of including us is that we're dumb, and we would agree to pay to build the thing, or the govt. would, which means we the taxpayers would.


Mike,

Good point on regulations, but there's also the issue of who's going to pay for it. If we're paying, then there's no way that the US politicians are going to survive its being built strictly in Canada with US funds.


By rights, of course, China should pay for it, but I'm so opposed to the project for environmental reasons that I'd be in favor of any US or Canadian regulatory obstacle to stop the resource rape.



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Sunday, April 7, 2013 5:32 AM

DEVERSE

Hey, Ive been in a firefight before! Well, I was in a fire. Actually, I was fired from a fry-cook opportunity.


Not sure if I am reading wrong or what in this thread, but just to clarify some things in case.

Tar sands oil is currently being piped from Canada to at least the mid US. The Keystone is proposed because the current pipe system doesn't have the capacity to move all the oil that is being produced and production at the tar sands is increasing. They are producing over a million barrels a day currently out of the tar sands (I think they are at 1.6 million a day currently up from ~800,000 barrels and estimate to hit 5 million a day by 2030).
All that oil is not being stored somewhere in hopes of the Keystone being built, its being piped or shipped to US refineries in the mid US now. Those mid US refineries are also near capacity so the Keystone is to take excess capacity oil to additional refineries.
The storage capacity at the various upgraders is only about 11 million barrels.

Not all the tar sands oil goes to the US, and a portion is refined in Canada for domestic use. Yes, Canada does refine its own oil and does have refineries - it ain't all igloos and dog sleds here. Canada also has upgraders and bitumen upgraders that deal with heavy oil (such as the tar sands) and all are either just finishing or currently undergoing expansion and upgrading to increase capacity. The 5 or 6 bitumen upgraders right at the tar sands currently can handle the majority of tar sand production, but expansion of these is almost a continuous process as production increases. Just look up OPTI, Syncrude and Suncor if you want.

Currently, there is no pipeline that transports oil from west to east in Canada. All the western pipelines go south or to the west coast. There is a reasonably serious proposal to build a pipeline to the east coast to eastern refineries that is being looked at now. No clear indication of the potential this would be done though.
There is already a pipeline through the Rockies to the west coast, but it doesn't have the capacity to carry all the oil being produced. The company that owns the west coast pipeline is currently working on increasing capacity of the system from 80,000 bbl/day to 400,000 bbl/day in order to take some of the oil produced in western Canada to markets in Asia and to California. Why not big protest or news? It's an existing pipeline and everyone is getting their money anyway.

The problems in placing a pipeline to the west coast is not technological, it's political. The pipeline is estimated to cost ~4 billion. Take a look at the profits for just Athabasca Oil and 4 billion is likely petty cash pocket change for the CEO.

Do you really believe that the money to be made in shipping oil to the west coast is going to be overwhelmed by environmental protests?

The political arguments are not about pollution or spills - they are about profit sharing and paying rent or lease or compensation for the pipeline to cross land to the coast. Those protesting potential pollution the most are 1st Nations and have you been to a BC reserve lately? Not exactly the most eco-friendly places in the world and it's always good to use the "friend of mother earth" argument so the $ signs in their eyes don't look too conspicuous. Don't believe? Go here http://www.cbc.ca/news/canada/british-columbia/story/2011/12/02/bc-fir
st-nation-signs-pipeline-deal.html

The profits to be made are not in the millions, billions or even tens of billions. It's in the hundreds of billions and into the trillions. Sooner than later a pipeline will be going to the west coast.

Yes, the exact and specific location of pipelines isn't widely advertised and there is some security surrounding the locations. But, want to know where they are and run approximately? Go here http://www.capp.ca/canadaIndustry/oil/Pages/PipelineMap.aspx.
Really want to know where they are in your community? Even though underground, the pipelines must be marked by signage and if you know what to look for, they are not that hard to find and trace. I have no idea about the US, but local authority have up-to-date and detailed maps that are available to look at because the oil companies don't want someone dropping a pile or deep foundation into their pipeline as cities expand and new buildings are built. It's not like these pipes are 80 feet underground. Some are only 3-6 feet underground.
Where pipelines run through communities, look for green space, a right of way or unused land. Then look for the signs. They are there. Want to know what the signs look like? Google "oil pipeline signage".

Canada has to ship oil to the US under NAFTA and cost is regulated. If the oil can't be piped to the US, then it still has to go to the US under NAFTA. Keystone or not, tar sands oil will still be going to the US. Given the number of semis and trains I see each day running down the CanAm corridor with a red placard and UN1288, the oil is already moving and has been for some time (years actually) and with no pipeline the number of semis and trains running oil tanks south is not going to remain the same or decrease.

Build the pipeline or not, oil is moving and is going to continue to move in increasing amounts so long as there is money to be made and people need fuel.

Sorry to wreck your day with all this.


Oh let the sun beat down upon my face
With stars to fill my dream
I am a traveler of both time and space
To be where I have been

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Sunday, April 7, 2013 6:11 AM

DREAMTROVE


True, it's possible that the real opposition is US oil producers who want to keep the price high.

But on the point of "increasing production" the production is being increased to meet demand. The pipeline would increase demand. If the oil is not "produced" it stays in the bitumen ecoystem where it does the same nothing that it's been doing for many millions of years. Which is to say, okay, it gets converted into various kinds of flora and microflora, and then back into bitumen, so it does a net of nothing. Ergo, there's no run in annihilating the bitumen ecosystem to produce more oil.

There also is no shortage of oil. Oil can be synthetically produced out of water and air for $80 a barrel. This is what Exxon is currently working on, and others are starting up. There is still no need to destroy Alberta, or the Gulf of Mexico, or the Appalachian mountains, or rural America, Poland and South Africa.

The logical goal of environmentalists should probably be to be enough of a pain in the ass that it costs more than $80 a barrel to destroy the Earth for oil.

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Sunday, April 7, 2013 6:29 AM

KWICKO

"We'll know our disinformation program is complete when everything the American public believes is false." -- William Casey, Reagan's presidential campaign manager & CIA Director (from first staff meeting in 1981)


DT, the tar sands pipeline will actually RAISE the price of oil and gas in the U.S., because it is taking refinery capacity away from refineries that are already at peak capacity (or so we're told every time gas prices are raised by oil companies).

If you take capacity away to dedicate it to refining tar sands oil to sell overseas, then you are shrinking the supply available within the U.S. to consumers, and thus prices go UP, not down, when you build that pipeline.

Oil companies desperately want that pipeline because they want you and me paying more for gas and oil, because if we're paying more, that also means they get to charge everyone else more, too.



"I supported Bush in 2000 and 2004 and intellegence [sic] had very little to do with that decision." - Hero

"I was wrong" - Hero, 2012

Mitt Romney, introducing his running mate: "Join me in welcoming the next President of the United States, Paul Ryan!"

Rappy's response? "You're lying, gullible ( believing in some BS you heard on msnbc ) or hard of hearing."

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