Early Election Indicators by Storymark

REAL WORLD EVENT DISCUSSIONS

Early Election Indicators

POSTED BY: STORYMARK
UPDATED: Sunday, November 11, 2012 03:35
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Tuesday, November 6, 2012 7:21 AM

So, just for fun (not saying any of these are really reliable - they just happen to have been in the past), there are a number of completely non-scientific predictors which tend to reflect the winner ahead of time, 9 times out of 10. And this year, while they certainly do lean one way, they are not lining up as nicely as they usually do.

Dixville Notch/Hart's Location - These two small communities start voting at Midnight on the 5th, and close the ballots once everyone is done. They are usually a strong indicator of where the election will go. This year, Obama won Hart's Location (23 to 8), but Dixville ended up tied(5 to 5.... because apparently only one family in that town votes or something).

Scholastic Books - Children's book publisher, holds a vote with grade school kids weeks before the election, and have correctly called the winner every time since the 1940's. They picked Obama.

The Redskins - The last Redskins home game before the vote has a great track record for predictions - if they win, the incumbant wins - if they lose, the incumbant loses. The exception being 2000 - when they won, but the incumbant party did not. However - the incumbant DID win the popular vote. The Redskins lost the game Sunday - which indicates either an outright Romney win, or an electoral loss, but popular win.

Halloween Masks - In every election since the early 70's, whichever candidate's mask sells best will win. Sales reports from this Halloween peg Obama as the winner.

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Saturday, November 10, 2012 10:16 PM

OONJERAH

Quote Storymark, "completely non-scientific predictors"

I suspect there are any number of sciences of which we
Earthlings know nothing.

A very interesting post.

=========================

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Sunday, November 11, 2012 3:35 AM

KPO

Sometimes you own the libs. Sometimes, the libs own you.

I like these indicators, and they held up pretty well. The Redskins one is obviously completely random, so that one doesn't matter.

It's not personal. It's just war.

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