REAL WORLD EVENT DISCUSSIONS

Act of War

POSTED BY: HERO
UPDATED: Monday, January 23, 2023 12:44
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Friday, July 7, 2006 1:59 PM

RUE

I have a vote and I'm not afraid to use it!


Regarding N Korea, here's a great quote from Bush:

"Diplomacy takes a long time, sometimes."

Here are some other general notable quotes:

"Being the president is hard work."
"It's hard work.
" ... and it's hard work".
"It is hard work."
"Hard work."
"You know, It's hard work.
"Everybody knows it's hard work."
"We've done a lot of hard work."
"I've seen on the TV screens how hard it is.
"Yeah, I, I, I, I, uh ....."

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Friday, July 7, 2006 2:04 PM

GEEZER

Keep the Shiny side up


Quote:

Originally posted by rue:
The thing you keep sliding over is that:
"In May 1994, North Korea shut down the reactor and removed about 8,000 fuel rods, which could be reprocessed into enough plutonium for 4-6 nuclear weapons. North Korea started operating the reactor again in February 2003."

"U.S. intelligence reportedly detected North Korean preparations to restart the plutonium reprocessing plant in February and March 2003."




"The Bush Administration disclosed on October 16, 2002, that North Korea had revealed
to U.S. Assistant Secretary of State James Kelly in Pyongyang that it was conducting a secret
nuclear weapons program based on the process of uranium enrichment. North Korea
admitted the program in response to U.S. evidence presented by Kelly. The program is
based on the process of uranium enrichment, in contrast to North Korea’s pre-1995 nuclear
program based on plutonium reprocessing. North Korea began a secret uranium enrichment
program after 1995 reportedly with the assistance of Pakistan.
North Korea provided
Pakistan with intermediate range ballistic missiles in the late 1990s. The Central Intelligence Agency issued a statement in December 2002 that North Korea likely could produce two or more atomic bombs annually through uranium enrichment after 2004."

Note the part that goes, "North Korea
admitted the program in response to U.S. evidence presented by Kelly." and, "North Korea began a secret uranium enrichment program after 1995...".
Quote:

I point the finger at Bush.

Why am I not surprised?
Quote:

No one ever said just let's just trust the N Koreans and go along with whatever. SignyM argued for muscular multilateral action. I said sanctions are a vital tool.

So you both agree with Bush. He, along with Japan, South Korea, and most of Europe, is pursuing a U.N. resolution imposing sanctions on North Korea, and at the same time trying to re-start the six-party talks aimed at reducing nuclear tensions in the region.
Quote:

So, what do you suggest?


I agree with you and Bush. Sanctions and negotitions. I'm not too sure China, and maybe Russia, will support this. Let's see.

"Keep the Shiny side up"

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Friday, July 7, 2006 2:19 PM

HERO


Quote:

Originally posted by rue:
Here are some other general notable quotes:

"Being the president is hard work."
"It's hard work.
" ... and it's hard work".
"It is hard work."
"Hard work."
"You know, It's hard work.
"Everybody knows it's hard work."
"We've done a lot of hard work."
"I've seen on the TV screens how hard it is.
"Yeah, I, I, I, I, uh ....."


Can't disagree with any of the above statements. Turns out, and I have this on good authority, being President is hard work.

H

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Friday, July 7, 2006 3:03 PM

CHRISISALL


Quote:

Originally posted by Geezer:
Quote:

Originally posted by SignyM:
"Some experts believe... Your results may vary"



So you believe North Korea wants...what?


North Korea knows this is their best and maybe only chance to thumb their nose at us and get away with it w/out a scratch; we are spread thin these days. This gains them international face, and sets them up as a world player (locally, anyway). It's a chess move. To understand it's ultimate, long range meaning, you have to get inside Kim's head, and I know I can't do that.

Wanna try, Checkmate fans?

Knightly takes Chrisisall

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Friday, July 7, 2006 3:10 PM

RUE

I have a vote and I'm not afraid to use it!


Quote:

The Bush Administration disclosed on October 16, 2002, that North Korea had revealed to U.S. Assistant Secretary of State James Kelly in Pyongyang that it was conducting a secret nuclear weapons program based on the process of uranium enrichment.
What happened was this - during talks with Korea Kelly said: we have info you're enriching uranium. The delegates went off to consult with Dear Leader, came back the next day and said: yes, we are, and even more dangerous things as well !

Bluff or admission?

Hard to tell. But if N Korea had uranium enrichment, why would they immediately restart plutonium processing? The other reason this 'factoid' smells is that it's unconfirmed. This is all based on one statement made at (essentially) a negotiating table. There appears to be NO substantiating data. And having been at more negotiations than I'd like, from observation I can say there is always a negotiating strategy at work. You never start with your bottom line.

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Friday, July 7, 2006 3:20 PM

RUE

I have a vote and I'm not afraid to use it!


Zero,

"Turns out, and I have this on good authority, being President is hard work." Oh yeah. You chat with the shrub all the time.

swallowing pretzels is hard ...
hard swallowing work ...
swallowing hard pretezels is hard ...
pretzels work me hard ...

AWWWWwwwww NUTS !!!

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Friday, July 7, 2006 3:40 PM

GEEZER

Keep the Shiny side up


Quote:

Originally posted by rue:
"The Bush Administration disclosed on October 16, 2002, that North Korea had revealed to U.S. Assistant Secretary of State James Kelly in Pyongyang that it was conducting a secret nuclear weapons program based on the process of uranium enrichment."

What happened was this - during talks with Korea Kelly said: we have info you're enriching uranium. The delegates went off to consult with Dear Leader, came back and said: yes we do, and even more dangerous things as well !

Bluff or admission? Hard to tell. But if N Korea had uranium enrichment, why would they restart plutonium processing?



Well, we have the defector telling us they started uranium enrichment in 1996, and then the North Korean government admits starting enrichment after 1995. Even if they are both lying about it, they are still professing that they violated the 1994 treaty by 1996. Sort of supports my point that they can't be trusted.

And why restart plutonium processing? They already have the plants built, and can produce more weapons-grade material using both processes. More nukes for L'il Kim.

Quote:

The other reason this 'factoid' smells is that it's unconfirmed. This is all based on one statement made at (essentially) a negotiating table.


Plus the defector. And it's rather difficult to confirm anything about North Korea, since you can't just waltz in and check stuff. Remember that this is the country which would rather ban free relief supplies and let its citizens starve rather than let the World Food Program monitor food deliveries to assure it's going to the hungry rather than to military stockpiles.

I realize that you have a bias towards anyone who might stick it to Bush, but trying to make North Korea seem like anything but a danger to everyone around it just ain't gonna fly.

And, hey! You and Dubya do agree on the sanctions and multi-party negotiations track. What's up with that?

"Keep the Shiny side up"

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Friday, July 7, 2006 4:05 PM

RUE

I have a vote and I'm not afraid to use it!


Now see, there you go again, misquoting me. Where did I ever say the world or the US should trust N Korea? Please feel free to quote me. Search the entire database. I'd welcome it.

I just think that hysterical gibbering over N Korea's supposed past activities is 'the dog ate my homework' type of lame. 2003 is when NK verifiably re-started its plutonium work in direct response to Bush's policies. It doesn't take a genius to figure Bush screwed up.

And when it comes to diplomacy, as far as I can figure out, the US has no other choice. The big problem is that it now has no currency with China or Russia. That is also a Bush screw-up.

PS Keep it up and I'll be calling you "Slick" again. You're backsliding into mis-quoting, mis-stating and baiting. Stick to the topic, if you can.

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Friday, July 7, 2006 4:48 PM

GEEZER

Keep the Shiny side up


Quote:

Originally posted by rue:
Now see, there you go again, misquoting me. Where did I ever say the world or the US should trust N Korea? Please feel free to quote me. Search the entire database. I'd welcome it.


Probably because I never said that. I stated that their deviousness supports my contention that they can't be trusted. Where did I ever say you think the world or the US should trust North Korea? Please feel free to quote me. Search the entire database. I'd welcome it.
Quote:

I just think that hysterical gibbering over N Korea's supposed past activities is 'the dog ate my homework' type of lame. 2003 is when NK verifiably re-started its plutonium work in direct response to Bush's policies. It doesn't take a genius to figure Bush screwed up.

Hey, maybe they were just BSing us then too. You can't have it both ways. "Oh, they were just kidding about starting uranium enrichment during the Clinton administration in 1996, but it's for sure they really started up their plants when they said in 2003, under Bush." The word "disengenuous" comes to mind.
Quote:

PS Keep it up and I'll be calling you "Slick" again. You're backsliding into mis-quoting, mis-stating and baiting. Stick to the topic, if you can.

Rue, everything is Bush to you. It doesn't matter that North Korea is actually an evil place. People are escaping from there to Communist China, for heaven's sake. It doesn't matter that they share borders with China, who are their major trading partners and Commie buddies, and South Korea, which only wants peace and re-unification, and they still maintain a million man army (1 out of every 23 people in the country). It doesn't matter who is the US president. North Korea has been working the exact same plan for the past 55 years. They have no reason to change. But as far as you can see, it's all Bush's fault. Call me Slick, call me Ray, call me Jay, call me Johnson, but please figure out that Bush isn't the problem here, North Korea is.


"Keep the Shiny side up"

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Friday, July 7, 2006 5:03 PM

PIRATENEWS

John Lee, conspiracy therapist at Hollywood award-winner History Channel-mocked SNL-spoofed PirateNew.org wooHOO!!!!!!


North Korea fired a missile and hit Alaska 5 years, so Bush Jr and Rumsfeld sold North Korea nuclear weapons. Google if you dare.

Act of Civil War Video: CNN Lou Dobbs reports Bush's North American Union has overthrown USA



Act of Civil War: FBI and Bill Clinton-Blythe bombed World Trade Center in 1993. NY Times reports that FBI paid its terrorist ringleader Emad Salem $1-million and the FBI gave him the explosives used in the successful homicide bombing. FBI refused to substitute harmless fake powder instead of explosives, so Salem got 100 hours of hidden tape recordings of his FBI bosses ordering the bombing to take place. These tapes were entered into evidence in US District Court. Google to listen to the tapes, if you dare.
www.whatreallyhappened.com/RANCHO/POLITICS/OK/wtcbomb.html

Act of Civil War: George Bush Jr bombed the World Trade Center and Pentagon on 9/11/2001
www.september911surprise.com

"You can't stop the signal!"
-Mr Universe, Pirate TV

FIREFLY SERENITY PILOT MUSIC VIDEO V2
Tangerine Dream - Thief Soundtrack: Confrontation
http://radio.indymedia.org/news/2006/03/8912.php
www.myspace.com/piratenewsctv

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Friday, July 7, 2006 5:16 PM

RUE

I have a vote and I'm not afraid to use it!


Quote:

North Korea has been working the exact same plan for the past 55 years. They have no reason to change. But as far as you can see, it's all Bush's fault.
OK, show me where I said N Korea is a good place with well-intentioned honest leaders; ... or anything approaching that, or even implying that.

What I'm getting at is that the problem that is N Korea needs to be dealt with intelligently. That means keeping allies you can work with, refraining from needlessly escalating the pissing match, and not making threats you can't back up.

Like it or not, Clinton actually got N Korea to back down from plutonium processing with the support of BOTH China and Russia.

Now under Bush's goading, N Korea is (allegedly) pursuing uranium enrichment, is definitively restarting the plutonium work it shelved, and is now launching missiles. On top of that, China and Russia aren't supporting the US. That looks like going backwards to me on many fronts.

Of course Dear Leader is a bad and possibly crazy man. But this immediate crisis (that's been brewing since 2003) is a result of Bush's ineptitude. Like Iraq, N Korea could have been contained with global support. But Bush blew it, and this is the consequence.

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Saturday, July 8, 2006 3:15 AM

GEEZER

Keep the Shiny side up


Quote:

Originally posted by rue:
OK, show me where I said N Korea is a good place with well-intentioned honest leaders; ... or anything approaching that, or even implying that.


Never said that either. Just that the current situation is North Korea's fault, and part of their plan.

Quote:

hat I'm getting at is that the problem that is N Korea needs to be dealt with intelligently. That means keeping allies you can work with, refraining from needlessly escalating the pissing match, and not making threats you can't back up.

US led six-party talks, including Russia and China, have been going on since 2003. In 2005 all parties agreed to the goal of de-nuclearization of the Korean peninsula. The US has offered a security assurance that it has no nukes in South Korea and that it has no intention to attack or invade the North with nuclear or other weapons. Sounds pretty intelligent and diplomatic to me.

Quote:

Like it or not, Clinton actually got N Korea to back down from plutonium processing with the support of BOTH China and Russia.

Now under Bush's goading, N Korea is (allegedly) pursuing uranium enrichment, is definitively restarting the plutonium work it shelved, and is now launching missiles. On top of that, China and Russia aren't supporting the US. That looks like going backwards to me on many fronts.


You're trying to have it both ways again. Twice. #1. Clinton offered incentives (oil, trade, light-water reactors), not sanctions. Why wouldn't China and Russia support that? Russia and China don't want sanctions because it doesn't fit in with THEIR political agendas, not because Bush pissed them off. If only it WERE so easy to push their buttons.
#2. If North Korea is (allegedly) pursuing uranium enrichment, then they say they were (allegedly) pursuing it in 1996, well before Bush's watch.

And I assume that Bush's goading was the "axis of evil" remark, back after 9/11. I guess the years of six-party talks and pledges to not attack or invade don't carry any weight with you. Got your "Bush is Evil" goggles on there, Rue?
Quote:

Of course Dear Leader is a bad and possibly crazy man. But this immediate crisis (that's been brewing since 2003) is a result of Bush's ineptitude. Like Iraq, N Korea could have been contained with global support. But Bush blew it, and this is the consequence.

Yep. No country has its own policies, plans, and agendas. They all just blindly react to whatever Bush does. What power.

Of course it's not really like that. Nations have free will, and pursue their own goals. But if you want to blame Bush for everything hard enough, and hold your eyes just right, it may look that way to you.

"Keep the Shiny side up"

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Saturday, July 8, 2006 4:40 AM

HERO


Quote:

Originally posted by rue:
Now see, there you go again, misquoting me. Where did I ever say the world or the US should trust N Korea? Please feel free to quote me. Search the entire database. I'd welcome it.


Ah, so your policy would be to sit down, talk to, and strike a deal with people you already acknowledge can't be trusted.

Do you work for the Carter Institute or the UN Weapon Inspectors?

H

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Saturday, July 8, 2006 5:53 AM

FREMDFIRMA


Quote:

BTW we have still not figured out who made such highly weaponized anthrax


Untrue - it was our Anthrax, right from Ft Detrick stores.

They tried like hell to blame Hatfill for the theft, involving some pretty out-there accusations, but that is primarily because the best suspect is Zack, who was observed on camera, and physically recorded, entering the storage area unauthorised shortly after his firing for a racially motivated attack on a co-worker.

Problem is, Zack is of a belief and nationality the press finds 'inconvenient' to link with terrorism (i.e. he's neither arabic nor muslim) and thus it didn't fit with the picture of the way things are they wish to present to us - this is all proven facts, and enough hard evidence is laying around to send PN into fits of orgasmic joy about it, believe it.

Anyhow, it was our own Anthrax, right from our own WMD labs, that fact is undeniable

As for N Korea.

Let's be brutally honest, current american leadership is the most gutless pansies since milquetoast - for all their posturing and arrogant cowboy swagger, they're naught more than than the school bullies of the world playground, quickly defeated by even the *perception* of effective retaliation.

You're damned right Kim wants some nukes he can point at us that we take seriously - it's the ONLY defense that keeps our nasty little nose out of someone's country, cause the cowards in our high command wouldn't dare take on a military engagement with a country who could actually shoot back, oh hell no.

Given our own actions, is it any damned surprise that any folks without nukes want them really, really bad right now ?

-Frem

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Saturday, July 8, 2006 7:47 AM

SIMONF


If you don't mind me asking, where are the reports that the missile was aimed at Hawaii?

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Saturday, July 8, 2006 9:46 AM

RUE

I have a vote and I'm not afraid to use it!


Slick,
Now you're just being an asshole. I let some things slide on the notion that you could control your worst instincts. But you apparently can't. You misrepresented the debate. So let's start on that.

Slick:
Try finding anything of substance which has successfully been negotiated with North Korea.

Rue:
.. how did Jimmy Carter get the N Koreans to shutter their nuclear facilites and put them under 24 hour surveillance?

Slick:
we don't have anything to worry about. ... a secret program in April 2003 to have processed 8000 fuel rods into plutonium and created nuclear weapons

Rue:
... "in April 2003" What does that have to do with Clinton and Carter?
Clinton/ Carter were successful containing N Korea by leveraging sanctions - and Bush was not.

Slick:
North Korea can't be trusted to hold up their end of any deal.

Rue:
No one ever said just let's just trust the N Koreans and go along with whatever.

Slick:
I realize that you have a bias towards anyone who might stick it to Bush, but trying to make North Korea seem like anything but a danger to everyone around it just ain't gonna fly.

Rue:
Now see, there you go again, misquoting me. Where did I ever say the world or the US should trust N Korea? Please feel free to quote me. Search the entire database. I'd welcome it.
2003 is when NK verifiably re-started its plutonium work in direct response to Bush's policies.

Slick:
Hey, maybe they were just BSing us then too. You can't have it both ways. The word "disengenuous" comes to mind.

Rue:
OK, show me where I said N Korea is a good place with well-intentioned honest leaders; ... or anything approaching that, or even implying that.

Slick:
Never said that either. (except here: SLICK: "but trying to make North Korea seem like anything but a danger to everyone around it just ain't gonna fly.")

Rue:
Of course Dear Leader is a bad and possibly crazy man. (but) N Korea could have been contained with global support. Bush blew it, and this is the consequence.

Slick:
Yep. No country has its own policies, plans, and agendas. They all just blindly react to whatever Bush does. What power.



So let's see. You said I said things I didn't. You said you didn't say things you did. You misreprsented my positions. Yup, an asshole.

For the record:

I NEVER SAID N KOREA SHOULD BE TRUSTED.
I NEVER SAID THEY DIDN'T HAVE THEIR OWN AGENDA.
I DISTINGUISHED N KOREA'S CLAIMS (URANIUM ENRICHMENT) FROM VERIFIED ACTIVITIES (PLUTONIUM REPROCESSING).
MY POSITION WAS THAT N KOREA WAS COMING UNDER CONTAINMENT IN RESPONSE TO CLINTON'S THREAT OF SANCTIONS SUPPORTED BY BOTH THE RUSSIANS AND CHINESE.
THE US DOESN'T HAVE THAT SUPPORT NOW DUE TO BUSH.
I NEVER SAID BUSH HAD COMPLETE POWER. WHAT I SAID WAS THAT GLOBAL COOPERATION WOULD SOLVE THE PROBLEM AND BUSH LOST IT.




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Saturday, July 8, 2006 10:30 AM

RUE

I have a vote and I'm not afraid to use it!


SimonF

I have not seen any direct reports. What I have read is that the Japanese said the missiles were aimed at Hawaii. But the source was unspecified. It didn't say if it was Japanese intelligence, defense, or just generic news reports.

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Saturday, July 8, 2006 12:00 PM

SIGNYM

I believe in solving problems, not sharing them.


Quote:

Ah, so your policy would be to sit down, talk to, and strike a deal with people you already acknowledge can't be trusted. Do you work for the Carter Institute or the UN Weapon Inspectors?
I dunno "Hero", ask Geezer 'cause this is what HE said:
Quote:

There's not much to negotiate about except what kind of a bribe we'll offer North Korea to make nice this time.
So when you geniuses have this all figured out, let me know.

---------------------------------
Don't piss in my face and tell me it's raining.

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Saturday, July 8, 2006 2:29 PM

AURAPTOR

America loves a winner!


Quote:

Originally posted by rue:
"I vote we get together a battalion of sabre-rattling chairborne rangers led by Hero and Auraptor and drop them in North Korea ..."

HA HA HA HA HA HA HA HA HA HA HA HA Ha Ha Ha Ha Ha Ha Ha Ha ha ha ha ha ha .... LMAOROTF



N.Korea fires off 7 or so missles, one long distance version that was reportedly targeted just off of Hawaii. The world universally condemns the acts by N.Korea

And you call Hero and me 'sabre-rattling' ... ?



Does that seem right to you?


People love a happy ending. So every episode, I will explain once again that I don't like people. And then Mal will shoot someone. Someone we like. And their puppy. - Joss

" They don't like it when you shoot at 'em. I worked that out myself. "

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Saturday, July 8, 2006 4:05 PM

GEEZER

Keep the Shiny side up


Wow. Take you long to put that together? But back to the point.

Quote:

Originally posted by rue:
MY POSITION WAS THAT N KOREA WAS COMING UNDER CONTAINMENT IN RESPONSE TO CLINTON'S THREAT OF SANCTIONS SUPPORTED BY BOTH THE RUSSIANS AND CHINESE.


Well, actually, the Clinton/Carter negotiations were trying bring North Korean back under containment after they had violated a previous treaty they signed during the Bush I administration. Since those violations occurred on Clinton's watch, was that his fault? Hmm.
Quote:

THE US DOESN'T HAVE THAT SUPPORT NOW DUE TO BUSH.
I NEVER SAID BUSH HAD COMPLETE POWER. WHAT I SAID WAS THAT GLOBAL COOPERATION WOULD SOLVE THE PROBLEM AND BUSH LOST IT.


I'd really like to see some proof, or even just a good argument, rather than just the bald assertion of an obviously biased person (that would be you, Rue) that Bush:
1. Took some action which forced North Korea to violate the Clinton/Carter agreement. (Assuming they hadn't already violated it by enriching uranium since 1996.)
2. Took some action that lost the cooperation of Russia and China, considering they are still involved in the six-party talks. Consider that China in 1994 was trying to become a major trading partner with the US, and may have felt withholding a veto then would get them an in. They are now in and don't need to do a deal like that any more.
3. Has lost global cooperation on the issue, considering that a large chunk of the globe is signing on to chastize North Korea in the UN.

Rather than argue about this and hear the "Bush is Evil" Chorus yet again, maybe I should just wait and see how it plays out in the UN. If a sanctions resolution does get passed, cool. If not and we eventually re-negotiate with North Korea, it'll be 1994 all over again. Also cool.

"Keep the Shiny side up"

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Saturday, July 8, 2006 5:30 PM

RUE

I have a vote and I'm not afraid to use it!


Unwrapped,

If you'll notice I didn't call you sabre-rattlers, I was quoting someone else. And I was laughing at the "chairborne rangers" phrase which I carefully put in italics.

When you learn to read, please let me know.

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Saturday, July 8, 2006 5:32 PM

RUE

I have a vote and I'm not afraid to use it!


No Slick, it's up to you to explain your position, rather than mis-characterize mine.

Besides, I'm done dealing with you. You can't help your snakey-ness, and I'm tired of it.

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Saturday, July 8, 2006 5:48 PM

SHADOWFLY


You're both pathetic.

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Sunday, July 9, 2006 2:38 AM

RUE

I have a vote and I'm not afraid to use it!


Your fly is open.

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Sunday, July 9, 2006 2:54 AM

OLDENGLANDDRY


And your Shadow's showing.

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Sunday, July 9, 2006 5:47 AM

DKE


first of all I find it very disturbing that the people that seem to be of a liberal slant tend to be seeing things through a 'I hate bush' lenz. They have no credibility in my not so very humble oppinion. If you want some credible informaion may I sujest a web site, www.stratfor.com its an inteligence serve that has got the nickname 'the shaddow cia' and they are that good. To get the full feed you have to pay a rather nice sum of cash for it. They may thier money by being right - and they are usually (but not aways) right in thier predictions and such.

If you look at north Korea since the armisice was signed you will find a paranoid dictator that has been scared to death of the US - and well he should be. The rest of the international community basically has shuned north Korea and thats not surprizing as they realy dont have that much in the form of goods and services to trade.
Seing as we are - in the leagal sence- at war with north Korea the dictators have been trying to do what opponents do - wrangle conessions out of thier opponent. If you look at the North Korean situation they've been trying it with South Korea as well as the US. It appears (in my oppinion) that North Korea wants reunification on its terms only. You can imation how that goes over in South Korea. So South Korea has been working on limited economic ties with North Korea so the people get a taste of it and it would create a dependancy on South Korea - if the north throws another temper tantrum the south shuts things down.
Moving forward to the US, if we look at the Carter administration and the Clinton administrations they pursued a policies of negoation and giving NK some concessions in turn for promices they they would behave. This is one of the reasons that madeline albright was recantly refered to as "the mother of our bomb" by NK sources. The sad fact of the matter is North Korea as not kept the armistice, nor has it kept any of the aggreements with the US. This puts our current president in a rather annoying situation. The Bushes seem to like this colition thing and thats exactaly what he did in the further discussions with the NK. It also puts the NKs in a much harder position to ask for money/food/technology like they have in the past.
I think thats why Bush basically ignores them and only meets with the NKs as part of the 6 party talks.

If past behavior of Bush is any indication of what he is likely to do, He seems to like to go through the diplomatic route as much as he can, as long as he can, but when he sees that is not accomplishing anything he will not hesitate to use military force. the classic example is how he waited 14 months with sadam husain...
I also find it interisting that recantly declassified doccuments show that we DID find weapons of mass distruction when we invaided :)
gee wiz, since the wire services where reporting him using them on his own people years ago (the kurds) why was this a debait item?

Finaly, the missile.
There is an internationaly recognised protocol when you test launch a missile:
1. You publicaly announce the date.
2. You publish notices to airmen so planes dont get in the way.
3. You publish notices to mariners so no boats are in the intended splash down area.

The russians, the chinise, the East Indians, the us - everyone does this.
North Korea did not give any notice at all. Launching a ICBM with no advance notice is generally considdered an act of war. In this case (my oppinion again) I believe that the Nks knew that it was unlikely that the missile would work, but since (again my oppinion) i think thier objective is to get consessions out of the us in terms of food, fuel and technology, its purpose was to get us back to unilateral negoations.
As to the discussions of "can we get a good target from 40 seconds of flight"?
well, the DSP satelites will pick up the guy about 5-15 seconds after launch. I figure that various forms of radar had it pretty much from the time it cleared its tower to the time it blew up so the parties of iterist had maby 20 to 30 seconds of observation to get a trajectory. I suspect they had at *least* a general idea of its trajectory - direction for sure, but (my oppinion) i *suspect* if they had to predict a target area, the circular err would be rather large, because I dont suspect they had enough time to refine the trajectory plot to give a realy good idea of where it was going to go.

My 50 cents worth.
anyone comments on my lack of spelling gets laughed at :)

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Sunday, July 9, 2006 6:01 AM

GEEZER

Keep the Shiny side up


Quote:

Originally posted by rue:
No Slick, it's up to you to explain your position, rather than mis-characterize mine.

Besides, I'm done dealing with you. You can't help your snakey-ness, and I'm tired of it.



C'mon, Rue. You claim it's all Bush's fault. Got Proof? Even a good argument?

But OK. Once again I'll explain my position.

The current North Korean saber-rattling is yet another chapter in their history of broken treaties, lying, threats and bluster. Every few years they make some sort of grand-stand play. They know that China won't let anything bad through the Security Council, so they expect that sooner or later "Diplomacy" will lead to the rest of the world offering them some sort of incentives if they'll just make nice. In 1994 it was oil and trade; this time they might go for food, or the light-water reactors again. Who knows?

Note that the 1994 treaty was prompted by their 1992-93 violations of the Bush I treaty, and the current situation started pretty much in 2002 with admissions of the violation of the 1994 treaty. I wonder if they don't schedule these things so as to try out each new president's administration.

I think you got nothing to either disprove this explanation, or to prove it's all Bush's fault. You always get insulting when you got nothing valid to support your arguments.


"Keep the Shiny side up"

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Sunday, July 9, 2006 7:57 AM

RIGHTEOUS9



DKE - we all see things through a certain slant - I guess yours is 'liberals bad.'

For me personally, Bush is just the highest profile asshole. He's not really in charge either, but he represents and is usually directly associated by his policies, endorsements and actions, to this government of corruption, cronyism, corporate cock-sucking and incompitence.


I'm only a fan of Clinton in that he was preferable to the current administration, but as I understand it(correct me if you have evidence to the contrary), North Korea had like 1 to 2 bombs worth of nuclear material, which it procured during Bush 1's administration. They still had the same amount going into Bush 2's administration, but now they have about 5 bomb's worth. That would suggest that if the policy under Clinton had remained in place, we would not be having this problem today.


'nk sources' - solid evidence you cite there.

So under Bush, this is the situation we have. A crazy dictator has nuclear bombs, and yet we are overextended in the disaster over in Iraq.

And no, Iraq did not have weapons of mass destruction. Good God Man - if you don't believe what we on the left tell you, then at least believe the administration itself and the Pentagon. They are the ones who could gain the most by proving to the american people that they were right. Why would they not do this, if indeed there was this hard evidence? Yes, we know they HAD chemical weapons. that is not what we predicated our invasion on.

Bush has ignored North Korea since the begining of his term because there was no money in it for his contributers. NOw its a problem - a real world threat - and bush takes a wait and see approach.

Where do you get that our administration is big on diplomacy?

Jon Bolton is greatly disliked by the international community as far as I understand it, yet Bush appointed him as our representative to the UN.

After backing down from our non-negotiable stance on Iran's uranium enrichment program, the administration has chosen 'diplomacy' and told Iran that they will negotiate with them on their program, if they stop their program. That's as logical as saying 'I'll teach you how to swim, but you'll have to swim over to my side of the lake first.'

Realizing how hell-bent on invasion of Iraq our adminisration was, Hussein finally gave in and told Bush he would let the inspectors back in. Bush said "too late".

But sure, now he's Mister wait and see, "can't know their intentions," etc.

Where were any kind of reservations on his part before the Iraq invasion?

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Sunday, July 9, 2006 9:29 AM

TELRICH


Meh. I find any discussion of a new war moot. We can't afford one or we implode economically.

Personally, I don't care whos in charge so long as they are compitent and stand for what our country has stood for for a long time.

Sadly, Bush 2 does not appear to have either of those. A sad track record. Maybe its not his fault, maybe its the people he has work under him. Regardless, he is in charge and its his responsibility. Not the liberals (they honestly haven't done jack... much to my irritation). Then again, the liberals aren't in charge. At all. His policies have weakened our country to a great degree. A strong diplomatic and economic presonce is at least as important as military strength.

Bringing us into heavy Dept with China, a situation not entirely his fault but something his policies have compounded, reduce our leverage with China. As does having most of the world pissed at us, and it most certainly is now. Which in turn reduces our leverage with North K, and what happens when you give a spoiled bully with a inferiority complex an inch? They take a mile.

Things are almost never black and white. Bush is not the badguy... he is, however, a liability. Yes you don't like it when people talk bad of the President. Doesn't stop you from talking about Clinton, who had amazing success (likely at best half of it can actually be attributed to him but its something... as compared to nothing) or Carter for that matter. Neither had to deal with the utter disaster that Bush has had to... but they never let it get that far either. Face it, you are at least as biased as any liberal.

We used to have this thing called negotiation and comprimise. Thats out the window now. Sometimes taking hard stance is a good thing, but you must be careful about picking your battles. You are not the only person with something on the line. We are all in this together, and disregarding much of the population can only end in disaster. A great number of people disagree with your sentiment, Hero, and discarding what they say by saying "Oh, they're just liberals, they don't know anything except that they hate Bush" is a mistake.

I don't hate Bush, simply his policies and where they have led us. If they had WORKED, then I would have not cared a bit about wether he's conservative or not. They don't work, so here I am.

You know what I do care about? Our country, its ideals, and its future. You likely do too. So do our current policies seem to be making a better future, or are we simply overextending ourselves with Imperialism just like the once great Romans?

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Sunday, July 9, 2006 5:11 PM

CHRISISALL


Quote:

Originally posted by Telrich:

So do our current policies seem to be making a better future, or are we simply overextending ourselves with Imperialism just like the once great Romans?

The latter, sadly.

But we can always reverse course...Chrisisall

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Monday, July 10, 2006 11:36 AM

AURAPTOR

America loves a winner!


Quote:

Originally posted by rue:
Unwrapped,

If you'll notice I didn't call you sabre-rattlers, I was quoting someone else. And I was laughing at the "chairborne rangers" phrase which I carefully put in italics.

When you learn to read, please let me know.




Sure thing, penis breath. Were it not for your inability to accuratly post quotes from others on this board, I'd not make such an grevious error.

But the point of my post still stands, for you, Hardware, or anyone willing to respond.

People love a happy ending. So every episode, I will explain once again that I don't like people. And then Mal will shoot someone. Someone we like. And their puppy. - Joss

" They don't like it when you shoot at 'em. I worked that out myself. "

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Monday, July 10, 2006 12:21 PM

GEEZER

Keep the Shiny side up


Looks like Japan may be doing some saber-rattling of its own. Considering that the medium-range missles North Korea successfully launched could reach Japan, I guess they do have something to worry about.

Quote:

The Japanese draft, under Chapter 7 of the U.N. Charter which allows military enforcement, demands that North Korea immediately stop developing, testing, deploying and selling ballistic missiles.

It would ban all U.N. member states from acquiring North Korean missiles or weapons of mass destruction _ or the parts or technology to produce them _ and order all countries to take steps to prevent any material, technology or money for missile or weapons programs from reaching the North.

The draft resolution also urges North Korea to immediately return to six-party talks, which have been stalled since September.

Japanese officials also said Monday that negotiations may not be enough, using rhetoric unprecedented in the country that adopted a pacifist constitution after its defeat in World War II.

"If we accept that there is no other option to prevent an attack ... there is the view that attacking the launch base of the guided missiles is within the constitutional right of self-defense. We need to deepen discussion," Japan's Chief Cabinet Secretary Shinzo Abe said.

"It's irresponsible to do nothing when we know North Korea could riddle us with missiles," echoed Tsutomu Takebe, secretary general of the ruling Liberal Democratic Party. "We should consider measures, including legal changes" required for such an attack, he said.



http://northernvirginia.cox.net/cci/newsnational/national?_mode=view&_
state=maximized&view=article&id=D8IPBRGO0


Interesting that the sanctions the Russians and Chinese oppose boil down to stopping missle and WMD trade with North Korea. Makes you wonder who sells the most missle and WMD technology to them.



"Keep the Shiny side up"

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Tuesday, July 11, 2006 12:29 PM

RUE

I have a vote and I'm not afraid to use it!


DKE,

What Clinton did (with the aid of President Jimmy Carter) was take up the task of actively dealing with N Korea in an ongoing way. (And not, as Slick suggests, striking a deal then taking the N Koreans on trust.) The advantage Clinton had is that at the time both Russia and China supported US policy and UN sanctions. He was operating with both carrot and stick, applied as needed.

I'd like to point out that part of the agreement w/ N Korea was that the US would supply the country with light-water reactors (which do not generate plutonium) to replace NK's graphite reactors. The US has not kept up with its part of the bargain either, a point of friction and complaint on N Korea's side in 2000. So it's not quite fair to say N Korea broke the agreement first.

The problem now is that that Bush lacks Russia's and China's support for sanctions. Bush lost Russia's support in part due to Iraq. And he lost leverage over China because they hold a lot of US debt. So at this point neither China nor Russia support sanctions, and there is nothing the US can do about it.

(I heard a funny description of the US scolding China to deal with the N Koreans - it was called 'out-sourcing foreign policy'. But China has no interest in increasing US influence over N Korea. So they're not going to go after it in a serious way. Russia also disfavors increased US influence over NK.)

Hussein did not have the WMD the US claimed, and he did not constitute a threat to the US. I don't know what kind of information you think you have.

If Bush unilaterally uses military force on N Korea, he will provoke a response from Russia AND China. Neither wants US military action on their doorstep. And N Korea has promised they will slag Seoul. So military force is not an option. (Whether or not NK can 'slag' anything is uncertain. N Korea has traditionally been long on bluff, but short on results. But even using conventional weapons, N Korea could destroy the city.)

As to whether or not a target was determinable, I surmise it depends on how the missile malfunctioned. If it launched straight you could get direction. If it launched crooked you might think you have direction but be wrong. If it wobbled obviously out of control, then all best are off. IMHO.

Rue

PS As pointed out in a previous post, the fact that N Korea was kept at 1-2 bombs during the Clinton administration validates the approach. But now N Korea has gone ballistic, so to speak, continuously escalating the situation. That does not speak well of Bush's approach.

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Tuesday, July 11, 2006 1:03 PM

SIGNYM

I believe in solving problems, not sharing them.


Quote:

Interesting that the sanctions the Russians and Chinese oppose boil down to stopping missle and WMD trade with North Korea. Makes you wonder who sells the most missle and WMD technology to them.
Make ME wonder what do the N Koreans pay with? Starving babies? Kimchi?

As I understand it N Korea and Pakistan (our current ally) had a lively missile- nuclear technology trade. That makes sense but I can't imagine the N Koreans having anything that the Russians and Chinese actually want to trade for.


---------------------------------
Don't piss in my face and tell me it's raining.

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Tuesday, July 11, 2006 1:19 PM

RUE

I have a vote and I'm not afraid to use it!


Hey SignyM,

AFAIK, Russia and China oppose sanctions for only one reason - they will be used to increase US influence over N Korea. Apparently they prefer to have a semi-crazy person with nuclear weapons in their backyards to having Bush there.

Oh, the ironies in that statement ...

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Saturday, July 15, 2006 10:12 PM

OLDENGLANDDRY


I have several Bush's in my back yard. There very pretty.

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Sunday, July 16, 2006 12:43 AM

CITIZEN


Quote:

Originally posted by oldenglanddry:
I have several Bush's in my back yard. There very pretty.

And have the same IQ as the man himself, and some of his supporters on these boards *cough*AU*cough*.



More insane ramblings by the people who brought you beeeer milkshakes!
No one can see their reflection in running water. It is only in still water that we can see.

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Monday, January 23, 2023 12:44 PM

JAYNEZTOWN

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