REAL WORLD EVENT DISCUSSIONS

What we do with despots

POSTED BY: SIGNYM
UPDATED: Tuesday, May 17, 2005 09:33
SHORT URL:
VIEWED: 4583
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Friday, March 18, 2005 4:21 PM

SIGNYM

I believe in solving problems, not sharing them.


Oh wow. Your worst-case scenario is so much ROSIER than mine! (Is there an icon for popeyes???) My worst-case scenario, which is not restricted to us ignoring Uzbekistan but all "tyrannical" nations in the Mideast, goes something like this-

Saudi Arabia falls to Wahhabism (I know that's not what they call themselves but I can't remember their real name).

Iran, under protection of China and Russia, takes over southern Iraq.

Syria and Uzbekistan, as the two secular governments (that I know about) decide to make common cause in their anti-Americanism- just out of sheer cussedness. Alternately, the Uzbekistan government falls and sides with Afghan Taliban.

Pakistan decides to throw its lot in with China.

Eventually, only Yemen, Qatar, UAE, and northern Iraq will have any friendly dealings with us. It's not a pretty sight. So...what then? I mean- how does that affect us? Your thoughts, please. Don't be shy with your imagination.


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Friday, March 18, 2005 6:05 PM

FINN MAC CUMHAL


Then I think you’d be looking at World War III. The US and Britain, probably also Western Europe in general, aren’t likely to allow Iran to invade Iraq, and I don’t think China and Russia would protect them. What does China and Russia have to gain that is worth risking war with the West in backing an Iranian invasion of Iraq?

Saudi Arabia is already Wahhabist, and if Iran were ballsy enough to invade Iraq, the Saudis are likely to believe, perhaps accurately, that they’ll be next or on the list somewhere. Saudi Arabia will likely side with whoever is against Iran. Jordan, Iraq, Egypt and Israel will probably side with the West. Turkey will also side with the West. As far as the former Soviet Asian nations, like Uzbekistan, Tajikistan, etc, you could probably flip a coin and get as accurate prediction as anyone could say, but my guess is they would want to stay out of it. Syria is in a bad place. Geographically, they don’t have a strategic position, if Turkey sides with the West as they are likely to do. An Iranian invasion of US backed Iraq would likely be very concerning to them, since they wouldn’t want to get drawn into something where they are essentially fighting a four front war. I can’t see Syria getting into it, unless they really believed they would be protected by Russia or China. But I can’t imagine why Russia or China would go that far.

Basically, I think Iran would not invade Iraq, but Middle Eastern countries have done stranger things. Hussein’s invasion of Kuwait was considered, even by Middle East politicians, to be the one of the dumbest military movies in history.

Although, honestly, I’ve never really thought about it.

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Friday, March 18, 2005 6:27 PM

RUE

I have a vote and I'm not afraid to use it!


I've been staying on the sidelines b/c I'm curious as to what you two hash out.

Rue

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Friday, March 18, 2005 11:22 PM

SOUPCATCHER


Please continue this discussion guys. I'm learning a great deal just ghosting.

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Saturday, March 19, 2005 1:11 AM

SIGNYM

I believe in solving problems, not sharing them.


YOU know, I haven't thought about this either, so I guess we're both in new territory. I wasn't thinking about Iran invading Iraq- more like Iran and Iraq forming a coalition, with Iran being the senior partner. But assuming that we're talking about an invasion.... hmmm...

Iran and Iraq are both Shia. If they made common cause, Sunni nations would probably form an instantaneous bloc in the face of an overt Shia threat: Saudi Arabia, Jordan, Pakistan and southern Afghan Taliban. Bahrain (Shia majority) would probably get sucked in on the Iran/Iraq side, and so might Syria (Shias in power). You might even see some nations -like Iraq and Afghanistan- fracturing.

The region is divided by ethnic (Arab/ non-Arab), religious (Sunni/Shia), political (pro/anti-American) language and other "identity" factors that do NOT neatly line up with each other, so exactly how things polarize would depend on which kind of bloc formed first, but given the specter of Iran plus Iraq, the primary response would be Sunni.

But... and this is important... while you've done a great job detailing who would land on what side, you have not convinced me why WE should care. What does it matter to us who sits in the seats of government in the Mideast, and why should we and the EU even get involved? Why don't we just let them sort it out, and if it means a rather long period of instability... well.. so what?

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Sunday, March 20, 2005 2:13 AM

SIGNYM

I believe in solving problems, not sharing them.


Finn- I'm not going to pile on you if you say the most obvious thing that comes to everybody's mind. Actually, I'm trying to get past this point.

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Monday, March 21, 2005 12:48 AM

SIGNYM

I believe in solving problems, not sharing them.


Hello??? I'm not going jump you, screaming RUNNING DOG IMPERIALIST PIG!!! (Oh wait...dog... pig.... does that work?)

Can we get past this point please?

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Monday, March 21, 2005 4:51 AM

FINN MAC CUMHAL


I've been visiting with my sister all weekend in Florence. She is on leave before she deploys to Iraq. This is the last time I'll see her for a while, so I wanted to spend as much time with her as possible. I'll write a response tonight. Right now I have to go to the lab.
Quote:

Originally posted by SignyM:
Hello??? I'm not going jump you, screaming RUNNING DOG IMPERIALIST PIG!!! (Oh wait...dog... pig.... does that work?)

I think the preferred term is ‘dog.’ Some Greek woman in London told me ‘Americans are imperialist dogs who should be killed like dogs.’ Radical European Anti-Americanism! It’s so much fun.

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Monday, March 21, 2005 9:34 AM

SIGNYM

I believe in solving problems, not sharing them.


I hope your sister comes home safe. Looking forward to your reply.

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Monday, March 21, 2005 9:34 AM

SIGNYM

I believe in solving problems, not sharing them.


GRRRR. double post!

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Monday, March 21, 2005 7:42 PM

FINN MAC CUMHAL


On Iran/Iraq Coalition? I think it is likely that a democratic Iraq will share many similar ideologies with Iran largely due to the Shia majority. Though I’m not sure that religion is enough to bring these two countries together. Shiite religious beliefs not withstanding, there is still a strong ethnic division between the Persian Iranians and Arabic Iraqis. If Shiite Iraq was going to defect to Iran I would have expected that such a defection would have been more likely during the Iran-Iraq War. Despite Hussein’s oppression of the Shiites, they still fought against the Iranians for eight years, so I think the Shiite Iraqis are certainly as much Iraqi nationalists as they are Shiites, and not likely to simply adopt an Iranian or even a Persio-Iraqi nationality. Furthermore, while Iran is certainly a Shiite nation, I don’t believe its religious government experiences wide support from the people of Iran, and I don’t think that on average, even religious Iraqi Shiites, are likely to share much more then a spiritual agreement with the leadership of Iran. If one could expect that the Shiite religion were influential enough to completely obscure national, political and ethnic lines between Iraq and Iran, (or indeed between Iran, Iraq and Syria) then one might ask why such a huge socio-political rift exists between the Kurds and Sunni Arabs. Religion is often brought up in the Middle East as a polarizing factor, but in practice it rarely represents the influence that I think it is given. True, the Middle East is a hotbed of religions extremism, and political policy within a nation is often attributed to Islamic religious doctrine, but international policy is still government by economics, nationality and political borders. There is plenty of Sunni and Shiite religious unity in the Middle East, yet that rarely translates into political cooperation between Arabs. (Jordanians (Sunni) oppressed Palestinians (Sunni). Syrian (Shiite ruling class) oppressed Lebanese (Shiites.))


In addition, the Shiites of Iraq represent only 60% of the nation, which is certainly a policy making majority, but not one that is likely to eclipse the Kurds or the Sunni Arabs, and they will certainly have something to say about an Iran/Iraq Coalition. Iraq may politically realign itself as an ally to Iran. Certainly there have been people in Iraq, (United Iraqi Alliance recently voted into power) who have demonstrated a relationship with Iran. But a Shiite-dominated democratic Iraq is not likely to be similar to the undemocratic Iran. In a worst case scenario might be something like an oppressive Shiite aristocracy taking control of the government and dissolving whatever democratic reform that may have developed, in favor of a theocracy. This threat has been something of specter for while now. In such case, Iran and Iraq may begin to look very similar from a US point of view. But even in that case, I still think it is not certain that there will be very much cooperation between Iran and Iraq. Stalinist Russia and Maoist China were, ideologically, quite similar, and so appeared to represent a cooperative threat to the West, but in reality, they were as likely to go to war with one another as with the US.

Why we should care? The short answer is that we are invested. The US and Britain have spent an enormous amount of political capital, resources and human life, liberating, stabilizing and hopefully democratizing Iraq to become a liberal independent nation. We aren’t going to do all that just to watch a dictatorial theocratic regime walk in and take it away. Most of the EU would support or even participate in the defense of Iraq for similar reasons. Of course I could be wrong. While the West has a strong tract record of supporting and encouraging the growth of democracy they do sometimes get caught in political and economic ‘ditches,’ for lack of better word. It’s more of a tendency then a strict policy. So if the West is ruled by a Chamberlain sort of philosophy then we may look the other way. But I think, on average, that is unlikely.

It depends also on weighing the odds, as it were. If Iran has nuclear weapons, and they play a successful game of brinkmanship, we may back down. An unequivocal mistake, in my opinion, but the fear of nuclear war, can lead people to run and hide. Then again, dictators are notorious for become overconfident with a little success. If Iran successfully invades Iraq, this is very likely to lead Middle Eastern countries to view Iran as a serious threat, and so Iran becomes a huge destabilizing factor. In cases like that, even the staunchest critics of so-called “American Imperialism” become fast friends of the US. (e.g. Syria following the Iraqi invasion of Kuwait.) Middle Eastern nations begin shoring up support with the EU and the US. Even if the US wanted to stay out of it, I don’t know that they could.

A third possibility is if Russia and China really were, for some unforeseen reason, supporting an Iranian invasion of Iraq, then the US and EU are likely to begin viewing Russia and China as a serious threat, (more so then they already are.) Ironically, Russian and Chinese support may appear to discourage a Western reaction; it is likely to have the complete opposite effect.

Well, I suppose I need to stop at this point. I don’t know how much sense this makes. I’m mostly just brainstorming at this point. I hope I’ve addressed your questions.

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Monday, March 21, 2005 8:33 PM

PIRATEJENNY


Those pictures are just creepy
Rummy and all of them just smiling and patting eachother on the back

you know the blinders will have to come off slowly and painfully, most I'm sure will just embrace the hypocrisy and shrug their shoulders while they go on with their life

But this is what we are, what we've always been really, sure will denounce such behavior publically, while supporting it privately..only now their not really even trying to hide it..eat your heart out America

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Tuesday, March 22, 2005 4:03 AM

FINN MAC CUMHAL


Quote:

Originally posted by SignyM:
I hope your sister comes home safe.

Thank you. I'm sure she will.

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Saturday, March 26, 2005 6:35 PM

RUE

I have a vote and I'm not afraid to use it!


I too think the US is too heavily invested in Iraq to walk away. But it's not for freedom, that's just sop for the mindless.
Quote:

http://news.bbc.co.uk/1/hi/programmes/newsnight/4354269.stm
Secret U.S. Plans For Iraq's Oil
by Greg Palast
The Bush administration made plans for war and for Iraq's oil before the 9/11 attacks sparking a policy battle between neo-cons and Big Oil, BBC's Newsnight has revealed.
Two years ago today - when President George Bush announced US, British and Allied forces would begin to bomb Baghdad - protestors claimed the US had a secret plan for Iraq's oil once Saddam had been conquered.
In fact there were two conflicting plans, setting off a hidden policy war between neo-conservatives at the Pentagon, on one side, versus a combination of "Big Oil" executives and US State Department "pragmatists."
"Big Oil" appears to have won. The latest plan, obtained by Newsnight from the US State Department was, we learned, drafted with the help of American oil industry consultants.
Insiders told Newsnight that planning began "within weeks" of Bush's first taking office in 2001, long before the September 11th attack on the US.
...
Secret sell-off plan
The industry-favored plan (coup d'etat, replacing Hussein with a compliant leader) was pushed aside by yet another secret plan, drafted just before the invasion in 2003, which called for the sell-off of all of Iraq's oil fields. The new plan, crafted by neo-conservatives intent on using Iraq's oil to destroy the Opec cartel through massive increases in production above Opec quotas.
The sell-off was given the green light in a secret meeting in London headed by Ahmed Chalabi shortly after the US entered Baghdad, according to Robert Ebel. Mr. Ebel, a former Energy and CIA oil analyst, now a fellow at the Center for Strategic and International Studies in Washington, flew to the London meeting, he told Newsnight, at the request of the State Department.
...
Privatization blocked by industry
Philip Carroll, the former CEO of Shell Oil USA who took control of Iraq's oil production for the US Government a month after the invasion, stalled the sell-off scheme.
Mr Carroll told us he made it clear to Paul Bremer, the US occupation chief who arrived in Iraq in May 2003, that: "There was to be no privatization of Iraqi oil resources or facilities while I was involved."
Ari Cohen, of the neo-conservative Heritage Foundation, told Newsnight that an opportunity had been missed to privatize Iraq's oil fields. He advocated the plan as a means to help the US defeat Opec, and said America should have gone ahead with what he called a "no-brainer" decision.
Mr Carroll hit back, telling Newsnight, "I would agree with that statement. To privatize would be a no-brainer. It would only be thought about by someone with no brain."
New plans, obtained from the State Department by Newsnight and Harper's Magazine under the US Freedom of Information Act, called for creation of a state-owned oil company favored by the US oil industry. It was completed in January 2004, Harper's discovered, under the guidance of Amy Jaffe of the James Baker Institute in Texas. Former US Secretary of State Baker is now an attorney. His law firm, Baker Botts, is representing ExxonMobil and the Saudi Arabian government.
Jaffe said "There is no question that an American oil company ... would not be enthusiastic about a plan that would privatize all the assets with Iraq companies and they (US companies) might be left out of the transaction."

View segments of Iraq oil plans at: www.GregPalast.com/opeconthemarch.html






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Saturday, March 26, 2005 7:08 PM

FINN MAC CUMHAL


I'm not sure I would dismiss the value of democracy in Iraq as "sop for the mindless." I happen to believe that liberal governments are quite valuable, in terms of both freedom and economics. If the US were only interested in Iraqi oil, the hundreds of billions of dollars that have gone into liberating Iraq would have been put to better use buying Iraqi Oil and investing in Iraqi Oil fields.

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Saturday, March 26, 2005 7:31 PM

RUE

I have a vote and I'm not afraid to use it!


Ah, yes. If only US companies had contracts with Iraq.

But the US and Britain (BP) were shut out of the Iraq oil business on account of their bombing to enforce the no-fly zone.

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Saturday, March 26, 2005 7:47 PM

FINN MAC CUMHAL


Once again, if the US were only interested in Iraqi Oil we wouldn't have put restrictions on US oil companies to begin with. In the end the US made the choices it made with regard to Iraq because, clearly, there were other things of interest then oil, which the US can, did and does get from many other countries besides Iraq. The “it’s all for oil” conspiracy theories just don’t hold water.

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Saturday, March 26, 2005 8:10 PM

RUE

I have a vote and I'm not afraid to use it!


Quote:

if the US were only interested in Iraqi Oil we wouldn't have put restrictions on US oil companies to begin with.
I have NO idea what you mean by this. Do you mean before the war? (when the US was locked-out by Iraq.) Or do you think it was after the war? (Not then either - the US oil companies wanted national ownership to keep an in, AND to protect the price of oil.)
What ARE you referring to?

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Saturday, March 26, 2005 8:26 PM

SIGNYM

I believe in solving problems, not sharing them.


WHOAA there! Let's take a couple of steps back. I prposed the scenario where Iran takes over Iraq, and Finn basically responded that the US and EU would respond militarily. But right now, I'm just trying to get Finn's ideas on WHY we would intervene. What would be the reason for jumping in, why wouldn't we just wait it out?

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Sunday, March 27, 2005 4:15 AM

FINN MAC CUMHAL


Quote:

Originally posted by rue:
I have NO idea what you mean by this. Do you mean before the war? (when the US was locked-out by Iraq.) Or do you think it was after the war? (Not then either - the US oil companies wanted national ownership to keep an in, AND to protect the price of oil.)What ARE you referring to?

I was about to ask you the same thing. You claimed that the US was “shut out” because of the “no-fly zones.” The first problem is that the US instigated the no-fly zones in order to protect Kurds and Shiites from Hussein. If you actually believed that the Oil was all the US was interested in then why would the US instigate the very thing you claimed was shutting us away from that Oil? Secondly, you have your facts wrong. Iraq was not shutting out anybody. The sell of Iraq Oil was administrated by the UN Oil-for-Food program, not Iraq, which seems to have sold oil rather more liberally then even their own regulations permitted. According to the USDoE, 20% of the US petroleum imports from the Persian Gulf (which includes Saudi Arabia) between 1996 and 2003 came form Iraq. That’s a pretty big chunk of oil for being shut out of the market, wouldn’t you think?

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Tuesday, March 29, 2005 10:08 AM

SIGNYM

I believe in solving problems, not sharing them.


HEY! Are you still interested in discussing (not arguing... for a change) this topic?

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Tuesday, March 29, 2005 12:28 PM

FINN MAC CUMHAL


What do you want? An invitation? I just wrote a thousand word response last week.

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Tuesday, March 29, 2005 1:11 PM

RUE

I have a vote and I'm not afraid to use it!


What I read of Finns' response, in sum: Finn thinks the US is in Iraq for freedom, which is why the US so generously invested taxpayer money, time and lives.

I thought you two were done, or at least had given up. Now that I see you are not, I'll keep my response off the board for now.


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Thursday, March 31, 2005 5:27 PM

RUE

I have a vote and I'm not afraid to use it!


Just a bump.
I am looking forward to reading more on this topic.
Rue

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Thursday, March 31, 2005 9:36 PM

SIGNYM

I believe in solving problems, not sharing them.


Sorry Finn- I scrolled down very quickly to the end, and missed your post along the way. I hope to get to it this weekend- after I do my taxes.

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Friday, May 13, 2005 3:37 AM

SIGNYM

I believe in solving problems, not sharing them.


If you scroll thru my vars posts on tyranny and Iraq, every now and again you'll see something about our good buddy, Islam Karimov, tyrant of Uzbekistan, one of the desposts we feed "in order" to advance democracy. Well DANG!! It looks like we wound up on the wrong side AGAIN!
How DOES that happen??

Quote:



Uzbek troops shoot at protesters

ANDIJAN, Uzbekistan (CNN) -- Soldiers have opened fire on protesters in an eastern Uzbekistan town where anti-government rebels were holding hostages in a regional headquarters, witnesses have said.

Journalists said the shooting came from a tank and a truck full of soldiers which had sped to the center of Andijan where the protesters had gathered. A Reuters correspondent later said he saw one body lying on the ground.

The Uzbekistan government said the rebels had refused to compromise during talks with authorities. {mmm-hmmmm. SignyM}

Thousands had been demonstrating, calling for the resignation of Uzbek President Islam Karimov and his authoritarian government. The president's office described them as criminals and extremists.



Maybe it has something to do with short-sighted, unprincipled decisions???

Nah.......

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Saturday, May 14, 2005 5:11 AM

SIGNYM

I believe in solving problems, not sharing them.


D*mn I hate being right! But, if anyone had bothered to look at the real situation in Uzbekistan- the corruption, torture, poverty and nation-wide intimidation you would have known that this was just a rebellion waiting to happen.


Quote:

Thousands of refugees today fled fierce fighting in eastern Uzbekistan -- where human rights monitors say clashes between soldiers and rebels have left hundreds dead.



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Sunday, May 15, 2005 1:27 AM

SIGNYM

I believe in solving problems, not sharing them.


Something you will not see in USA newspapers. All hail the Alliance!

Quote:

Heated criticism was growing last night over 'double standards' by Washington over human rights, democracy and 'freedom' as fresh evidence emerged of just how brutally Uzbekistan, a US ally in the 'war on terror', put down Friday's unrest in the east of the country.... Critics said the US was prepared to support pro-democracy unrest in some states, but condemn it in others where such policies were inconvenient.

Witnesses and analysts familiar with the region said most protesters were complaining about government corruption and poverty, not espousing Islamic extremism. ...

Washington has often been accused of being involved in a conspiracy of silence over Uzbekistan's human rights record since that country was declared an ally in the 'war on terror' in 2001.

Uzbekistan is believed to be one of the destination countries for the highly secretive 'renditions programme'... The CIA has never officially commented on the programme. But flight logs obtained by the New York Times earlier this month show CIA-linked planes landing in Tashkent with the same serial numbers as jets used to transfer prisoners around the world....

Critics say the US double standards are evident on the State Department website, which accuses Uzbek police and security services of using 'torture as a routine investigation technique' while giving the same law enforcement services $79 million in aid in 2002. .

The aid paradox was highlighted by the former British Ambassador to Uzbekistan, Craig Murray, who criticised coalition support for Uzbekistan when they were planning invading Iraq, using similar abuses as justification.... The support continues, seen by many as a 'pay-off' for the Khanabad base.


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Sunday, May 15, 2005 7:14 AM

GINOBIFFARONI


SignyM, this is really nothing new, if you check out the Human Rights Watch or Amnesty international websites they report that up to 5000 pro democracy demonstrators have " vanished " between 2001 - 2003. With similar reports from Egypt really makes you wonder that if the Americans belived their own rhetoric why aren't they on the otherside of this " war "



http://web.amnesty.org/library/engworld/2md

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Sunday, May 15, 2005 4:39 PM

GINOBIFFARONI


Mind you, it is even worse to be in a country without a despot " owned " by the US.

Chile in the 70's, Venezuela and Cuba present day, ...........

and now Burma ?

'Superpower behind' Burma blasts

The government says the terrorists and explosive came from abroad
Burma's government says rebels trained abroad by a "superpower" were behind last week's bombings at three shopping centres in the capital, Rangoon.

http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/asia-pacific/4549109.stm

Kind of reminds me of a really excellent movie,

The Quiet American, starring Michael Caine and Brendan Fraser.

http://www.imdb.com/title/tt0258068/

Plot Summary for
The Quiet American (2002)
Saigon, 1952, a beautiful, exotic, and mysterious city caught in the grips of the Vietnamese war of liberation from the French colonial powers. New arrival Alden Pyle (Brendan Fraser), an idealistic American aid worker, befriends London Times correspondent Thomas Fowler (Michael Caine). When Fowler introduces Pyle to his beautiful young Vietnamese mistress Phuong (Hai Yen) the three become swept up in a tempestuous love triangle that leads to a series of startling revelations and finally - murder. Nothing, and no one, is as it seems, in this adaptation of Graham Greene's classic and prophetic story of love, betrayal, murder and the origin of the American war in Southeast Asia.

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Monday, May 16, 2005 7:53 AM

SIGNYM

I believe in solving problems, not sharing them.


Quote:

Mind you, it is even worse to be in a country without a despot " owned " by the US


I dunno. Suharto managed to kill offf upwards of 300,00 ppl with the express permission of Kissinger, and with US arms and materiel:

Quote:

Kissinger, who does not find room to mention East Timor even in the index of his three-volume memoir, has more than once stated that the invasion came to him as a surprise, and that he barely knew of the existence of the Timorese question. He was obviously lying. But the breathtaking extent of his mendacity has only just become fully apparent, with the declassification of a secret State Department telegram. The document, which has been made public by the National Security Archive at George Washington University, contains a verbatim record of the conversation among Suharto, Ford and Kissinger. "We want your understanding if we deem it necessary to take rapid or drastic action," Suharto opened bluntly. "We will understand and will not press you on the issue;' Ford responded. "We understand the problem you have and the intentions you have." Kissinger was even more emphatic, but had an awareness of the possible "spin" problems back home. "It is important that whatever you do succeeds quickly," he instructed the despot. "We would be able to influence the reaction if whatever happens, happens after we return.... If you have made plans, we will do our best to keep everyone quiet until the President returns home." Micromanaging things for Suharto, he added: "The President will be back on Monday at 2 PM Jakarta time. We understand your problem and the need to move quickly but I am only saying that it would be better if it were done after we returned." As ever, deniability supersedes accountability.


Now I'm not saying that the root of ALL tyrannies lies with the USA. Pol Pot, as far as I can tell, was an entirely home-grown creation. (However, if you read "Confesssions of an Economic Hit Man" you'll get a view of how we engineered their creation.)

But we so often find ourselves on the side of tyranny that, since WWI reconstruction- and with the exception of our involvement in Serbia- I cannot find a single instance in which we actually supported democracy over tyranny. That's a pretty sad record. With our economic and military might, we could have done some good but we threw our weight behind the dark side.

AFA Burma is concerned - I can't imagine why the USA would want to destabilize the Burmese government -except possibly to light a little fire under China's *ss (Since they don't cooperate or trade extensively, that doesn't seem like much of a reason.) I think that like all unpopular governments it's easier to point to a "enemy", even a fictitious one -dubya does this all the time- to whip up support than it is to address the root causes of the problem. Look how they managed to tie their resident cause celebre to the explosions.

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Monday, May 16, 2005 8:50 AM

SIGNYM

I believe in solving problems, not sharing them.


The evolving story-

Quote:

Uzbek toll rises as unrest spreads
Unrest is the bloodiest in Uzbekistan's post-Soviet history.

ANDIJAN, Uzbekistan -- The death toll from a crackdown by Uzbekistan security forces is mounting amid reports that unrest has spread from Andijan to at least three other towns.

More than 700 people reportedly have been killed in clashes last week in the region bordering Kyrgyzstan, The Associated Press reported Monday.




Quote:

U.S., UK Split Over Uzbek Violence
Condemnation by Britain of Uzbek soldiers who opened fire on protesters contrasts markedly to the near silence coming from its allies in Washington.

In London, Foreign Secretary Jack Straw on Sunday slammed the violence in the city of Andijan as "a clear abuse of human rights."

He was speaking as witnesses described how Uzbek soldiers fired into a crowd, including women, children and their own police comrades begging them not to shoot./quote]




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Monday, May 16, 2005 8:52 AM

SIGNYM

I believe in solving problems, not sharing them.


Finn, we started a discussion that I promised to continue. Up until a couple of day ago, my life was like a motorcycle with the throttle stuck wide open. If you're still interested, I would like to pursue it.

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Monday, May 16, 2005 4:49 PM

GINOBIFFARONI


Quote:

Originally posted by SignyM:


Now I'm not saying that the root of ALL tyrannies lies with the USA. Pol Pot, as far as I can tell, was an entirely home-grown creation. (However, if you read "Confesssions of an Economic Hit Man" you'll get a view of how we engineered their creation.)



I seem to recall reading that the US engineered the overthrow of the Cambodian Royal Family with the intent of trying to buy off whomever came to power later. Pol Pot simply stepped into this vacuum before anyone else making it impossible for the US to install their guy.


Quote:


But we so often find ourselves on the side of tyranny that, since WWI reconstruction- and with the exception of our involvement in Serbia- I cannot find a single instance in which we actually supported democracy over tyranny.



I am very cynical over Serbia as well, the West... Brits and Americans in particular helped to give post Tito Yugoslavia a big push in the wrong direction.

Quote:


That's a pretty sad record. With our economic and military might, we could have done some good but we threw our weight behind the dark side.



Or young Skywalker, you have become the darkside.

Quote:


AFA Burma is concerned - I can't imagine why the USA would want to destabilize the Burmese government -except possibly to light a little fire under China's *ss (Since they don't cooperate or trade extensively, that doesn't seem like much of a reason.) I think that like all unpopular governments it's easier to point to a "enemy", even a fictitious one -dubya does this all the time- to whip up support than it is to address the root causes of the problem. Look how they managed to tie their resident cause celebre to the explosions.



I would hazard a guess to one of two reasons:

1. " Burma is the world's largest exporter of teak and is a principal source of jade, pearls, rubies and sapphires. It is endowed with extremely fertile soil and has important offshore oil and gas deposits. However, its people remain very poor and are getting poorer. "

and / or

2. " The armed forces - and former rebels co-opted by the government - have been accused of large-scale trafficking in heroin, of which Burma is a major exporter.Prostitution and Aids are major problems. "

Maybe Bush doesn't want the competiton for his new Afgan poppy fields ?

http://news.bbc.co.uk/1/hi/world/asia-pacific/country_profiles/1300003
.stm


" Looking for a place to happen
Making stops along the way "

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Monday, May 16, 2005 5:07 PM

SIGNYM

I believe in solving problems, not sharing them.


Looking a little further, I googled "burma china oil" figuring that Burma might be one pearl in China's "string of pearls" which is to guarantee them China an oil supply and came up with this on the first hit:

Quote:

Burma: China has developed close ties to the military regime in Rangoon and turned a nation wary of China into a "satellite" of Beijing close to the Strait of Malacca, through which 80 percent of China's imported oil passes.

China is building naval bases in Burma and has electronic intelligence gathering facilities on islands in the Bay of Bengal and near the Strait of Malacca. Beijing also supplied Burma with "billions of dollars in military assistance to support a de facto military alliance," the report said.



www.littlespeck.com/region/CForeign-China-050119.htm

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Monday, May 16, 2005 5:13 PM

GINOBIFFARONI


So your saying it's not the Heroin....

Damn, I thought I was on to something there



" Looking for a place to happen
Making stops along the way "

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Tuesday, May 17, 2005 9:33 AM

SIGNYM

I believe in solving problems, not sharing them.


Oh, well... that TOO!

Finn- I read your reply. Still wondering if you have the time or interest to continue.

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