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REAL WORLD EVENT DISCUSSIONS
Virginia, Alabama Voter Choices Show Tea Party Declining
Thursday, November 7, 2013 7:36 PM
NIKI2
Gettin' old, but still a hippie at heart...
Quote:In the closing days of his losing campaign for Virginia’s governorship, Republican Attorney General Ken Cuccinelli called the contest a referendum on Obamacare. Virginia voter Lee Killen saw it instead as a referendum on the Tea Party -- and he voted no. Killen, a Republican-turned-independent from Fairfax, cast his ballot for Terry McAuliffe less to endorse the Democrat than to lodge a protest against the small-government movement he said has hijacked his former party. “I don’t particularly like McAuliffe, but I went with him basically because I disagree with the Tea Party approach to life -- no compromise, no middle ground,” Killen, 70, a retired software engineer, said in an interview just after casting his vote yesterday. “Cuccinelli has been a Tea Party leader from the very beginning, and those values are not my values.” It’s that dynamic as much as any other that tipped the balance in Virginia against Republicans, carrying McAuliffe, 56, the former national party chairman and fundraiser, to victory. He had 48 percent of the vote to Cuccinelli’s 46 percent, with 99 percent of the precincts reporting in the Associated Press tally. The same forces were at play in Alabama, where business-backed Bradley Byrne defeated Tea Party-aligned rival Dean Young in the Republican primary for a special U.S. House election next month to fill an open seat. Byrne drew 52 percent of the vote to Young’s 48 percent, with all precincts reporting in the AP tally. McAuliffe’s win makes him the first candidate of a sitting president’s party in 40 years to win Virginia’s governorship, handing Democrats control of a politically competitive state whose demographics reflect an increasingly diverse U.S. electorate. The race became a test case for the two parties’ reputations, policy arguments and weaknesses one year out from midterm congressional elections. It also served as a cautionary tale for Republicans about the limits of the Tea Party’s appeal. “I used to be a Republican, but since the Tea Party has come into the Republican Party, I just can’t -- they’re too extreme,” said Steven Feusier, 62, another Fairfax resident who voted for McAuliffe. He said he backed Republican presidential nominee Mitt Romney in 2012 and outgoing Republican Virginia Governor Bob McDonnell in 2009 yet couldn’t bring himself to support Cuccinelli. “That’s really the overriding thing: He’s too extreme, he’s not willing to compromise, and all that other stuff just isn’t convincing in light of that,” Feusier said. In the Alabama Republican primary, the U.S. Chamber of Commerce decided to weigh in after Young spotlighted his opposition to abortion rights and gay marriage and said there was no need to raise the government’s debt ceiling, which would have risked a U.S. default. The chamber spent more than $200,000 to support Byrne, as Rob Engstrom, the chamber’s national political director, called the contest a way to send a message that it will seek to defeat Republicans who don’t share its economic interests. Young was endorsed by a Mobile, Alabama-based Tea Party group, Common Sense Campaign, and Reno-based Our Voice Pac, a super political action committee founded by former Nevada U.S. Senate candidate Sharron Angle that spent $65,000 on ads promoting his candidacy. Angle lost her 2010 race to Democrat Harry Reid, the Senate majority leader. Byrne will face Democrat Burton LeFlore, a 47-year-old Mobile real estate agent, in a Dec. 17 special election in a district that backed Romney over President Barack Obama in 2012. The Virginia contest was driven by more than strongly held opinions about the Tea Party. It was a race featuring two unpopular candidates, each roiled by ethics allegations. Preliminary exit polls showed Cuccinelli underperforming McDonnell’s 2011 showing among Republicans and independents. He lost self-described moderates to McAuliffe by 21 percent, drawing support from about one-third of them, 13 percentage points less than McDonnell. He lost women to McAuliffe by 8 percentage points, receiving support from 42 percent to the Democrat’s 50 percent. One fifth of the voters named abortion as their top issue, and McAuliffe won them by a two-to-one margin. The outcomes in Virginia and Alabama -- along with Republican Governor Chris Christie’s re-election romp in heavily Democratic New Jersey after a campaign in which he touted his bipartisan appeal -- mirror what recent national polls show is a broader repudiation of the Tea Party and its unbending approach. Declining Support “The Tea Party has lost a lot of support over time, and now in our polling, we have found the most negative views for the Tea Party that we’ve found since we started measuring” three years ago, said Carroll J. Doherty, an associate director at Pew Research Center for the People and the Press in Washington. In the center’s poll conducted Oct. 9-13, 49 percent had an unfavorable view of the Tea Party compared with 30 percent who had a positive impression. That was a marked decline in popularity driven mostly by moderate and liberal Republicans, only 27 percent of whom had a favorable view of the movement, compared to 46 percent six months ago. The poll’s margin of error was plus or minus 2.9 percentage points. “A lot of this backlash among moderate Republicans has to do with tactics, specifically related to the government shutdown and trying to tie health care to it,” Doherty said. The shift raises this question, he said: “Can the Tea Party actually recover that ground among people who really moved in a negative direction?” Negative Ratings A George Washington University Battleground Poll conducted Oct. 27-31 also found the Tea Party faring poorly across all groups, with 42 percent having a “strongly unfavorable” view. Fifty-four percent of respondents had a negative impression, including 30 percent of Republicans and 47 percent of independents. Among self-described moderates, the Tea Party brand was particularly weak, with 56 percent viewing them negatively. The survey’s margin of error was plus or minus 3.1 percentage points. “Being called a Tea-Party Republican is no longer a compliment in the public’s mind,” Democratic pollster Celinda Lake said in discussing the battleground survey. “There’s really intense negative toward the Tea Party, and even Republicans blame the Tea Party.” The dilemma for Republicans is that the movement, which mobilized in 2009 to protest the health-care law and the stimulus-driven economic recovery pushed by Obama, comprises a vital portion of its core support network. Party’s ‘Base’ “The Republican Party cannot exist without the Tea Party. It’s the base of the party. They’re the people who are going to go out and work,” said Republican strategist Greg Mueller. “If Republicans want to have a chance of winning back the Senate in 2014, they’re going to have to smoke the peace pipe with the Tea Party and conservatives -- to stop ostracizing them and find a way to start energizing them.” In a sign that the intraparty fight isn’t over, some activists argued that Cuccinelli’s loss stemmed from his unwillingness to embrace and vigorously defend his conservative record on social issues. http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2013-11-06/virginia-alabama-voter-choices-show-tea-party-declining.html
Thursday, November 7, 2013 7:41 PM
AURAPTOR
America loves a winner!
Thursday, November 7, 2013 7:55 PM
M52NICKERSON
DALEK!
Thursday, November 7, 2013 8:34 PM
Quote:The Tea Party is less popular than ever, with even many Republicans now viewing the movement negatively. Overall, nearly half of the public (49%) has an unfavorable opinion of the Tea Party. The balance of opinion toward the Tea Party has turned more negative since June, when 37% viewed it favorably and 45% had an unfavorable opinion. And the Tea Party’s image is much more negative today than it was three years ago, shortly after it emerged as a conservative protest movement against Barack Obama’s policies on health care and the economy. In February 2010, when the Tea Party was less well known, the balance of opinion toward the movement was positive (33% favorable vs. 25% unfavorable). Unfavorable opinion spiked to 43% in 2011 after Republicans won a House majority and Tea Party members played a leading role in that summer’s debt ceiling debate. The Tea Party’s favorability rating has fallen across most groups since June, but the decline has been particularly dramatic among moderate and liberal Republicans. In the current survey, just 27% of moderate and liberal Republicans have a favorable impression of the Tea Party, down from 46% in June. The new national survey by the Pew Research Center, conducted Oct. 9-13 among 1,504 adults finds wide divisions between Tea Party Republicans and non-Tea Party Republicans in how they view major issues, some leading GOP figures and even the relationship between the Republican Party and the Tea Party itself. Tea Party Republicans are more likely than non-Tea Party Republicans to say that the Tea Party is part of the GOP, rather than a separate movement (41% vs. 27%). The decline in favorable views of the Tea Party over the past four months crosses party lines – Republicans, independents and Democrats all offer more negative assessments today than in June. For Republicans, the decline is steepest among those who describe themselves as moderate or liberal. Today, Moderate Republicans Less Positive toward Tea Partyonly about a quarter (27%) of moderate and liberal Republicans have a favorable opinion of the Tea Party movement, down 19 points from June. Yet the Tea Party’s ratings have also declined among conservative Republicans, from 74% favorable in June to 65% now. Nationwide, 30% now say they have a very unfavorable opinion, up from 24% in June and just 10% in 2010. Meanwhile, the share expressing a very favorable opinion stands at 9% and is little changed over the past three years. Over the past four months, public opinion of the Tea Party also has turned more negative across many demographic groups. The decline in positive ratings is particularly notable among whites and young people. By a 50% to 31% margin, whites now have a more unfavorable than favorable view of the Tea Party; four months ago whites were about evenly divided in their opinions. More Republicans view the Tea Party as a separate movement from the GOP (51%) than as part of the Republican Party (32%). Opinion is nearly identical among independents (51% separate, 36% part of GOP). Over the past three-and-a-half years, the Pew Research Center has tracked public affiliation with the Tea Party through a simple question: asking the respondent whether they agree or disagree with the Tea Party movement or don’t have an opinion either way. In the early days of the Tea Party movement, agreement typically exceeded disagreement. In March 2010, 24% said they agreed and just 14% disagreed. Agreement with the Tea Party peaked in November 2010 at 27%, shortly after the midterm election. But the balance of opinion flipped in 2011, as many existing and newly elected Republicans in Congress formed a Tea Party Caucus and took a more active role in legislative debates. By March 2011, 25% disagreed and 19% agreed with the Tea Party, an eight-point decline in agreement from the 2010 peak. This balance of opinion held for most of the past three years. The current survey measured the highest level of disagreement over this timespan, with 32% saying they disagree with the Tea Party movement. More at http://www.people-press.org/2013/10/16/tea-partys-image-turns-more-negative/
Thursday, November 7, 2013 8:42 PM
Thursday, November 7, 2013 8:46 PM
JONGSSTRAW
Thursday, November 7, 2013 9:01 PM
Quote:Originally posted by AURaptor: Simple. The country club, Dem-lite , establishment GOP are fighting for their lives. They didn't back the GOP candidate hard at all, in VA, and totally ignored the fact that the Libertarian PARTY candidate ( not a true Libertarian, btw ) was being financed by an Obama bundler. In short, the GOP hierarchy is willing to suffer such losses to try to stop the advance of the TEA party movement. It will fail.
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