REAL WORLD EVENT DISCUSSIONS

Senate Race 2020

POSTED BY: JEWELSTAITEFAN
UPDATED: Thursday, September 5, 2019 20:07
SHORT URL:
VIEWED: 305
PAGE 1 of 1

Tuesday, July 2, 2019 5:45 PM

JEWELSTAITEFAN


Next year the General Election will include Class 2 of the 3 Senate groups.
Including Mr. Elaine Chao.

The following Senate Seats of Class 2 have not changed Party in 2008 (General Election) or 2014 (mid-terms):
Democrat (6):
DE, IL, MA, MI, NJ, RI.
Republican (13):
AL (Sessions), GA, ID, KS, KY (McConnell), ME, MS, NE, OK, SC, TN, TX, WY.

And the rest had some Party flippings (14):

ST 07 09 13 15

AK R-->D D-->R
AR D Rel D-->R
CO R-->D D-->R
IA D Rel D-->R
LA D Rel D-->R

MN R-->D D Rel
MT D Rel D-->R
NH R-->D D Rel
NM R-->D D Rel
NC R-->D D-->R

OR R-->D D Rel
SD D Rel D-->R
VA R-->D D Rel
WV D Rel D-->R

HI had a Special Election on 2014, shouldn't have one in 2020.

AZ is currently the only Special Election for this cycle.


That Seat for MN was stolen by Franken, which he no longer has.
That AL Seat was Sessions, which he gave up to pretend to be AG. And it is D now, part of the 45 Dem minority in the Senate.
And Mr. Elaine Chow has that KY Seat, so we could always hope he gets Primaried.

NOTIFY: Y   |  REPLY  |  REPLY WITH QUOTE  |  TOP  |  HOME  

Tuesday, July 2, 2019 6:26 PM

JONGSSTRAW


I hope McConnell gets beat in a primary. His time is up.

NOTIFY: N   |  REPLY  |  REPLY WITH QUOTE  |  TOP  |  HOME  

Tuesday, July 2, 2019 6:38 PM

1KIKI

Goodbye, kind world (George Monbiot) - In common with all those generations which have contemplated catastrophe, we appear to be incapable of understanding what confronts us.


THANKS! for the info.

According to wiki, https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2020_United_States_Senate_elections , it looks like all but 2 incumbent R senate seats are most likely reelected w/ 2 tossup, and all but 1 D are most likely reelected, with the 1 tossup. In general the D seats more often fall into the 'likely' or 'lean' categories than the 'safe' one.

NOTIFY: N   |  REPLY  |  REPLY WITH QUOTE  |  TOP  |  HOME  

Wednesday, July 3, 2019 6:06 PM

JEWELSTAITEFAN


Quote:

Originally posted by 1KIKI:
THANKS! for the info.

According to wiki, https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2020_United_States_Senate_elections , it looks like all but 2 incumbent R senate seats are most likely reelected w/ 2 tossup, and all but 1 D are most likely reelected, with the 1 tossup. In general the D seats more often fall into the 'likely' or 'lean' categories than the 'safe' one.

In the past half-century, I've seen that in threshhold States, General Elections tend to favor Democrats (higher turnout of the Low-Information Voter), and Mid-terms tend to favor Conservatives (lower turnout of Low-Information Voters).

NOTIFY: Y   |  REPLY  |  REPLY WITH QUOTE  |  TOP  |  HOME  

Wednesday, July 10, 2019 5:03 PM

JEWELSTAITEFAN


Quote:

Originally posted by 1KIKI:
THANKS! for the info.

According to wiki, https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2020_United_States_Senate_elections , it looks like all but 2 incumbent R senate seats are most likely reelected w/ 2 tossup, and all but 1 D are most likely reelected, with the 1 tossup. In general the D seats more often fall into the 'likely' or 'lean' categories than the 'safe' one.

GOP Senators retiring are for WY, TN, KS.
None of those Seats changed Party in the past 2 Elections (GOP since at least 2003).

Dem Senator retiring is from NM.
That Seat was GOP in 2008.


AL has been R, is now D, and is leaning R for a flip.
AZ and CO are considered tossup.
MI is a lean D.
ME is a lean R, but we could hope she gets Primaried. As a RINO in a State that leans D, this might need to be accepted.
NC is a lean R, GA is lean/likely R.


AL is the only one currently suggesting a lean opposite of the Incumbent, and he won with 50.0% last time.

AK (R) garnered 48.0% in the last Election.
CO (R) had 48.2%.
NC (R) had 48.8%.
SD (R) had 50.4%.

VA (D) had 49.1%.
NH (D) had 51.5%.

Currently, Senate has 53 GOP. With Trump plowing through the Election on a wave of Illegal Alien backlash, AL, NH, and VA could flip, making the Senate 56 GOP.
If Dems could hold those, and flip AK, CO, NC, SD, then they could have 49 Dem, plus 2 Independents for a Majority Caucus.

NOTIFY: Y   |  REPLY  |  REPLY WITH QUOTE  |  TOP  |  HOME  

Tuesday, July 23, 2019 3:11 PM

JEWELSTAITEFAN


Quote:

Originally posted by 1KIKI:
THANKS! for the info.

According to wiki, https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2020_United_States_Senate_elections , it looks like all but 2 incumbent R senate seats are most likely reelected w/ 2 tossup, and all but 1 D are most likely reelected, with the 1 tossup. In general the D seats more often fall into the 'likely' or 'lean' categories than the 'safe' one.

I had thought that I asked if the information I found had matched what you had found, but upon review it looks like I failed to make that query.

Is the assessment I drew out so far seem plausible?

I often use uselectionatlas.com as a reference for data (horrible track record for predictions), but it does not seem to be covering Senate 2020 yet.

NOTIFY: Y   |  REPLY  |  REPLY WITH QUOTE  |  TOP  |  HOME  

Wednesday, August 28, 2019 5:59 PM

JEWELSTAITEFAN


Senator Johnny Isakson, GA-R has announced retirement, due to health issues from Parkinson's.

Apparently this will be filled during the General Election of 2020, so then both GA Senators will be up for Election at the same time.

He held the seat since 2004.

NOTIFY: Y   |  REPLY  |  REPLY WITH QUOTE  |  TOP  |  HOME  

Thursday, September 5, 2019 8:07 PM

JEWELSTAITEFAN


I heard Gillibrand is running, following her failed President bid.

NOTIFY: Y   |  REPLY  |  REPLY WITH QUOTE  |  TOP  |  HOME  

YOUR OPTIONS

NEW POSTS TODAY

USERPOST DATE

OTHER TOPICS

DISCUSSIONS
President Trump: good, bad, and ugly
Fri, September 20, 2019 16:26 - 173 posts
Who Is Running In 2020?
Fri, September 20, 2019 16:19 - 226 posts
jawn
Fri, September 20, 2019 15:38 - 1 posts
More lies :)
Fri, September 20, 2019 15:10 - 31 posts
Intercepted communications between Russia, Trump
Fri, September 20, 2019 15:06 - 36 posts
In the garden, and RAIN!!!!
Fri, September 20, 2019 15:02 - 2821 posts
Chicago is Bankrupting! Chicago-metropolitan area Illinois $679 billion Economy is now Bankrupt!!
Fri, September 20, 2019 14:55 - 4 posts
Donald Trump Likely Being Blackmailed
Fri, September 20, 2019 14:31 - 33 posts
1,000 Paid Russian Trolls
Fri, September 20, 2019 14:06 - 114 posts
Russia used mainstream media to manipulate American voters
Fri, September 20, 2019 13:54 - 28 posts
How CIA-Backed Palantir Is Helping Police Root Out 'Thought Crimes'
Fri, September 20, 2019 13:17 - 11 posts
Who, What is Zero Hedge
Fri, September 20, 2019 13:16 - 45 posts

FFF.NET SOCIAL