Quote:

---

Originally posted by reaverfan:
We remain aware that the government has acknowledged Russian interference, yet the Republican congress has decided to back the fascist, rather than depose him. Looks like they all took money from the Russians.

Nothing is being done about it.

---

Quote:

---

Originally posted by 6IXSTRINGJACK:

Quote:

---

Originally posted by reaverfan:
We remain aware that the government has acknowledged Russian interference, yet the Republican congress has decided to back the fascist, rather than depose him. Looks like they all took money from the Russians.

Nothing is being done about it.

---

Yup. Everybody is a Russian dude. Or a Nazi. Or whatever...

Where you gonna run? Where you gonna hide?

Nowhere.

Because there's no one like you left.

Do Right, Be Right. :)

---

Quote:

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Originally posted by reaverfan:
Democrats just won a Wisconsin special election Scott Walker didn’t want to have
It’s another round of big wins for Democrats in the Badger State.

https://www.vox.com/2018/6/12/17455922/wisconsin-special-elections-res
ults-june

"Democrats aren’t just running up the score in already-blue areas. The party made many of its biggest improvements over the 2016 presidential in districts Trump won in the South and Midwest. This goes to show that the 2016 elections don’t at all seem to have heralded doom for Democrats in regions that tipped to Trump — in fact, it’s many Republican-held seats in those regions that suddenly seem to be flipping to Democrats for the first time in years."

Thought I'd ruin your fantasy with some actual facts. You hate facts. They always prove you wrong.

---

I predict Trump admitting his son, son in law and others conspired with the Russians to interfere with our election process, will have a negative effect on the republicans chances of keeping the house.

T

Quote:

---

Originally posted by THG:

Quote:

---

Originally posted by reaverfan:
Democrats just won a Wisconsin special election Scott Walker didn’t want to have
It’s another round of big wins for Democrats in the Badger State.

https://www.vox.com/2018/6/12/17455922/wisconsin-special-elections-res
ults-june

"Democrats aren’t just running up the score in already-blue areas. The party made many of its biggest improvements over the 2016 presidential in districts Trump won in the South and Midwest. This goes to show that the 2016 elections don’t at all seem to have heralded doom for Democrats in regions that tipped to Trump — in fact, it’s many Republican-held seats in those regions that suddenly seem to be flipping to Democrats for the first time in years."

Thought I'd ruin your fantasy with some actual facts. You hate facts. They always prove you wrong.

---

I predict Trump admitting his son, son in law and others conspired with the Russians to interfere with our election process, will have a negative effect on the republicans chances of keeping the house.

T

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Quote:

---

Originally posted by 1kiki:

Quote:

---

Quote:

---

Democrats just won a Wisconsin special election Scott Walker didn’t want to have
It’s another round of big wins for Democrats in the Badger State.

https://www.vox.com/2018/6/12/17455922/wisconsin-special-elections-res
ults-june

"Democrats aren’t just running up the score in already-blue areas. The party made many of its biggest improvements over the 2016 presidential in districts Trump won in the South and Midwest. This goes to show that the 2016 elections don’t at all seem to have heralded doom for Democrats in regions that tipped to Trump — in fact, it’s many Republican-held seats in those regions that suddenly seem to be flipping to Democrats for the first time in years."

Thought I'd ruin your fantasy with some actual facts. You hate facts. They always prove you wrong.

---

I predict Trump admitting his son, son in law and others conspired with the Russians to interfere with our election process, will have a negative effect on the republicans chances of keeping the house.

---

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Quote:

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Originally posted by 6IXSTRINGJACK:
Vukmir, huh?

Sounds suspiciously "Russian".

Muller is investigating.

Do Right, Be Right. :)

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Quote:

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Originally posted by JEWELSTAITEFAN:]What is the Troll jabbering about? The Stuttermonkey fascist who supported and engaged in Election interference was already deposed on 20 January 2017.

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Quote:

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Quote:

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Originally posted by JEWELSTAITEFAN:]What is the Troll jabbering about? The Stuttermonkey fascist who supported and engaged in Election interference was already deposed on 20 January 2017.

---

I'm an American. You're the troll, comrade. And you're lying, yet again.

You have to be as much a sociopath as Blumpy. Nothing else can explain it.

---

Quote:

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Originally posted by JEWELSTAITEFAN:
I have not been keeping track of the minor clashes very well, but this Tuesday has Primary Elections, including in WI.
If Conservative Leah Vukmir can win against the lifelong liberal, then Tammy Baldwin can be retired in November.

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Quote:

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Originally posted by JEWELSTAITEFAN:
I have not been keeping track of the minor clashes very well, but this Tuesday has Primary Elections, including in WI.
If Conservative Leah Vukmir can win against the lifelong liberal, then Tammy Baldwin can be retired in November.

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Quote:

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Originally posted by JEWELSTAITEFAN:
Is this where you posted some Mid-terms trend of Presidential party losing seats?
You may want to temper that data with the view that every Liberal since JFK had losses. Bush41, Ford, Nixon were Liberals. 2006 was Rock-The-Vote.

---

Quote:

---

Originally posted by JEWELSTAITEFAN:

Quote:

---

Quote:

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Originally posted by JEWELSTAITEFAN:]What is the Troll jabbering about? The Stuttermonkey fascist who supported and engaged in Election interference was already deposed on 20 January 2017.

---

I'm an American. You're the troll, comrade. And you're lying, yet again.

You have to be as much a sociopath as Blumpy. Nothing else can explain it.

---

Interesting.
Are you denying the Drug-Dealer-in-Chief did not ignore the Russian interference, insisting on letting it perpetuate?
Are you denying he did not feverishly conspire and interfere with Democratic Elections in other Nations, such as Israel?
Or are your delusions based on other quicksand?

---

Quote:

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Originally posted by JEWELSTAITEFAN:
I noticed that the Libtards over at Election Atlas are predicting a 3 Senator gain for Democrats. They usually don't face reality until much closer to the elections.
They even say a phantom Democrat will win a landslide against Gov Walker in WI. LOL.

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Quote:

---

Originally posted by JEWELSTAITEFAN:
This November 6 all House Representatives, or their seats, will face reelection. And about 1/3 of the 100 Senators, currently scheduled to be 34. Minnesota has the rare event that both Senate seats are up for Election.

It would be nice if we could keep this thread focused on this Election analysis, discussion or predictions.


The 34 Senate seats include 8 Republican seats, 24 Democrat seats, and 2 Independent seats, who caucus with Democrats.


Historically, Liberals lose percentage of seats in midterms because they cannot expect to ride the coattails of the surge in voters like the President cycle. Office Holders must rely upon stable, solid, sturdy voters to find their way to the voting booths, and most of the fair weather voters are Liberals.

SENATE - currently 51 R, 47 D, 2 I.
8 REPUBLICAN
3 Republican Senators are retiring, in AZ, TN, UT. Utah considered safe R. Arizona could be tossup after RINO Flake. Tennessee likely to replace RINO Corker with more solid R.
WY, TX, NE, MS expect no change.
Nevada could be a tossup.


24 DEMOCRAT - none are seeking retirement.
14 Expect no change: CA, CT, DE, HI, MD, MA, MI, MN (1), NJ, NM, NY, RI, WA, VA
4 Possible flip: FL, MN (1), OH, WI
6 Tossup: IN, MO, MT, ND, PA, WV


2 INDEPENDENT
Maine - might be tossup
Vermont - expected to remain Sanders.


So, Democrats could easily lose 11 Senators. Or they might flip 2, but certainly still lose the total count.


HOUSE OF REPRESENTATIVES
Seems to be 194 Democrat seats to 241 Republican seats. But currently 193 D seats and 238 R seats are held, with 4 vacant.
Looks like in the last midterms 2014 GOP gained 13 seats, and in 2016 Dems gained back 6 seats. 2010 midterms GOP gained 63 House seats.



What particular races do you find interesting?

In Wisconsin Speaker Ryan faces a repeated attempt to Primary him from some apparent Nazi guy. I'm not concerned with either the Primary or General Election for Ryan.

Wisconsin Junior Senator Tammy Baldwin is expected to lose her seat. She was Elected in 2012 (51%) because she had no competition running against a RINO in the General Election after the Primary wiped out 3 strong Conservatives and the RINO escaped (34% beating 31%, although 66% voted Conservative). Somewhat funny that she was running against Tommy Thompson because when she ran for either State Legislature or Congress she stole the Tommy campaign logo, making it Tammy. She has accomplished nothing, but gets plenty of play in Madison (Gay & Lesbian Capital of the World) due to being Lesbian. So Democraps would lose a seat.


So what other contests are on your radar? And how might they effect the balance in Congress?



Update from the 3 March post summary: gain of 3 for GOP, leaving 191 D to 244 R.

Update from the 16 March post: gain of 5 for GOP, leaving 186 D to 249 R.

Update after May Primaries: NC could lose 2 R, and WV-3 could lose an R. Leaving 189 D to 246 R.

---

Quote:

---

Originally posted by SHINYGOODGUY:
If the primaries are any indication, it shows that the coming "Blue Wave" is anything but a lock. Although, in many of those primaries, Republicans have lost significant ground and fears are that in deep red territory, purple may
be the new color in town.

Well, that's my analysis.

Attention All Dems - VOTE like a Motherfucker. I thank you!


SGG


\

Quote:

---

Originally posted by JEWELSTAITEFAN:
This November 6 all House Representatives, or their seats, will face reelection. And about 1/3 of the 100 Senators, currently scheduled to be 34. Minnesota has the rare event that both Senate seats are up for Election.

It would be nice if we could keep this thread focused on this Election analysis, discussion or predictions.


The 34 Senate seats include 8 Republican seats, 24 Democrat seats, and 2 Independent seats, who caucus with Democrats.


Historically, Liberals lose percentage of seats in midterms because they cannot expect to ride the coattails of the surge in voters like the President cycle. Office Holders must rely upon stable, solid, sturdy voters to find their way to the voting booths, and most of the fair weather voters are Liberals.

SENATE - currently 51 R, 47 D, 2 I.
8 REPUBLICAN
3 Republican Senators are retiring, in AZ, TN, UT. Utah considered safe R. Arizona could be tossup after RINO Flake. Tennessee likely to replace RINO Corker with more solid R.
WY, TX, NE, MS expect no change.
Nevada could be a tossup.


24 DEMOCRAT - none are seeking retirement.
14 Expect no change: CA, CT, DE, HI, MD, MA, MI, MN (1), NJ, NM, NY, RI, WA, VA
4 Possible flip: FL, MN (1), OH, WI
6 Tossup: IN, MO, MT, ND, PA, WV


2 INDEPENDENT
Maine - might be tossup
Vermont - expected to remain Sanders.


So, Democrats could easily lose 11 Senators. Or they might flip 2, but certainly still lose the total count.


HOUSE OF REPRESENTATIVES
Seems to be 194 Democrat seats to 241 Republican seats. But currently 193 D seats and 238 R seats are held, with 4 vacant.
Looks like in the last midterms 2014 GOP gained 13 seats, and in 2016 Dems gained back 6 seats. 2010 midterms GOP gained 63 House seats.



What particular races do you find interesting?

In Wisconsin Speaker Ryan faces a repeated attempt to Primary him from some apparent Nazi guy. I'm not concerned with either the Primary or General Election for Ryan.

Wisconsin Junior Senator Tammy Baldwin is expected to lose her seat. She was Elected in 2012 (51%) because she had no competition running against a RINO in the General Election after the Primary wiped out 3 strong Conservatives and the RINO escaped (34% beating 31%, although 66% voted Conservative). Somewhat funny that she was running against Tommy Thompson because when she ran for either State Legislature or Congress she stole the Tommy campaign logo, making it Tammy. She has accomplished nothing, but gets plenty of play in Madison (Gay & Lesbian Capital of the World) due to being Lesbian. So Democraps would lose a seat.


So what other contests are on your radar? And how might they effect the balance in Congress?



Update from the 3 March post summary: gain of 3 for GOP, leaving 191 D to 244 R.

Update from the 16 March post: gain of 5 for GOP, leaving 186 D to 249 R.

Update after May Primaries: NC could lose 2 R, and WV-3 could lose an R. Leaving 189 D to 246 R.

---

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Quote:

---

Originally posted by JEWELSTAITEFAN:
Elections are 38 days away.

I don't seem to hear a lot about individual races. Just a bunch of generalized discussion about one side or the other.

I've been busy at work. I'm not sure if this is why things sound different to me now, or if this really is a different kind of election.

---

Quote:

---

Originally posted by 6IXSTRINGJACK:

Quote:

---

Originally posted by JEWELSTAITEFAN:
Elections are 38 days away.

I don't seem to hear a lot about individual races. Just a bunch of generalized discussion about one side or the other.

I've been busy at work. I'm not sure if this is why things sound different to me now, or if this really is a different kind of election.

---

I haven't heard much about them yet, other than theorized results of how the Kavanaugh situation is going to play out.

I mean, this is just the mid-terms. I think if you look back through the history of mid-terms this is pretty typical outside of the Kavanaugh thing. With the presidential races it seems we have to hear about it non-stop for an entire year leading up to them. With the mid-terms I think it's only usually 3 to 4 weeks. If anything, we're probably hearing more about the mid-terms than usual this time around.

Do Right, Be Right. :)

---

Quote:

---

Originally posted by JEWELSTAITEFAN:

Quote:

---

Originally posted by 6IXSTRINGJACK:

Quote:

---

Originally posted by JEWELSTAITEFAN:
Elections are 38 days away.

I don't seem to hear a lot about individual races. Just a bunch of generalized discussion about one side or the other.

I've been busy at work. I'm not sure if this is why things sound different to me now, or if this really is a different kind of election.

---

I haven't heard much about them yet, other than theorized results of how the Kavanaugh situation is going to play out.

I mean, this is just the mid-terms. I think if you look back through the history of mid-terms this is pretty typical outside of the Kavanaugh thing. With the presidential races it seems we have to hear about it non-stop for an entire year leading up to them. With the mid-terms I think it's only usually 3 to 4 weeks. If anything, we're probably hearing more about the mid-terms than usual this time around.

Do Right, Be Right. :)

---

I recall 1994, 2002, 2010, and 2014 as more active.

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Quote:

---

Originally posted by JEWELSTAITEFAN:

Quote:

---

Originally posted by JEWELSTAITEFAN:
I noticed that the Libtards over at Election Atlas are predicting a 3 Senator gain for Democrats. They usually don't face reality until much closer to the elections.
They even say a phantom Democrat will win a landslide against Gov Walker in WI. LOL.

---

hahahahahahahaha. This was from 8 July.
Before the Primaries, a phantom unnamed Democrat was going to defeat Gov Walker by 17%.
Now that the Democraps have selected a loser and failure to be their gubernatorial candidate resulting from the Primary, Gov Scott Walker suddenly has a 2% lead, perplexing Libtards.
Libtard Tony Evers is such a failure that the only Office he's been able to hold is Supervisor for Dept of Public Instruction. He only has 2,000 of the fully funded Public Schools to try to keep up with underfunded Charter, Private, Voucher Schools. And he is able to get 120 of them to fail - which is 6% of complete failure. No word on how many are on the verge of failure. Plus he kept a teacher employed who spent his classtime watching porn and sexually harassing teen student girls. Yes, this teacher was in the 2nd District, which was Tammy Baldwin's seat.

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Quote:

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Originally posted by JEWELSTAITEFAN:
Something makes me wonder. Does reality have a bias?

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Quote:

---

Originally posted by 1kiki:
"I don't think anything is concrete." Except concrete, when, for example, you hit it after a 24 story fall. At that point I don't think opinions about mass, acceleration, distance, and the human organism will matter.

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Quote:

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Vesna Vulovic (Serbian Cyrillic: ????? ???????; pronounced ['?e?sna '?u?l??it??]; 3 January 1950 – 23 December 2016) was a Serbian flight attendant. She holds the Guinness world record for surviving the highest fall without a parachute: 10,160 metres (33,330 ft). Her fall took place after an explosion tore through the baggage compartment of JAT Flight 367 on 26 January 1972, causing it to crash near Srbská Kamenice, Czechoslovakia. She was the sole survivor of the crash that air safety investigators attributed to a briefcase bomb. The Yugoslav authorities suspected that Croatian nationalists were to blame, but no one was ever arrested.

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Quote:

---

Originally posted by 6IXSTRINGJACK:

Quote:

---

Originally posted by 1kiki:
"I don't think anything is concrete." Except concrete, when, for example, you hit it after a 24 story fall. At that point I don't think opinions about mass, acceleration, distance, and the human organism will matter.

---

lol... That was pretty funny. Nothing is concrete except, well.... concrete.

True, but then things like this happen:

Quote:

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Vesna Vulovic (Serbian Cyrillic: ????? ???????; pronounced ['?e?sna '?u?l??it??]; 3 January 1950 – 23 December 2016) was a Serbian flight attendant. She holds the Guinness world record for surviving the highest fall without a parachute: 10,160 metres (33,330 ft). Her fall took place after an explosion tore through the baggage compartment of JAT Flight 367 on 26 January 1972, causing it to crash near Srbská Kamenice, Czechoslovakia. She was the sole survivor of the crash that air safety investigators attributed to a briefcase bomb. The Yugoslav authorities suspected that Croatian nationalists were to blame, but no one was ever arrested.

---

I don't think that "laws" of physics are so much laws as they are rules that we haven't completely figured out how to bend or outright break yet.

Do Right, Be Right. :)

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Quote:

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Originally posted by JEWELSTAITEFAN:
I have been getting an inkling that all of these Record-breaking highs of the Stock Market do not bode well for Liberals come Election Day.

---

Quote:

---

Originally posted by JEWELSTAITEFAN:
Something makes me wonder. Does reality have a bias?

---

Quote:

---

Originally posted by second:

Quote:

---

Originally posted by JEWELSTAITEFAN:
I have been getting an inkling that all of these Record-breaking highs of the Stock Market do not bode well for Liberals come Election Day.

---

You'd like to believe that. I would like to believe the following story will make a difference. Both are true stories; both will mean nothing to most voters and make no difference to how they vote, since most voters are not in the stock market and don't understand the details of real estate transfers to illegally evade taxes:

Mr. Trump won the presidency proclaiming himself a self-made billionaire, and he has long insisted that his father, the legendary New York City builder Fred C. Trump, provided almost no financial help.

But The Times’s investigation, based on a vast trove of confidential tax returns and financial records, reveals that Mr. Trump received the equivalent today of at least $413 million from his father’s real estate empire, starting when he was a toddler and continuing to this day.

Much of this money came to Mr. Trump because he helped his parents dodge taxes. He and his siblings set up a sham corporation to disguise millions of dollars in gifts from their parents, records and interviews show. Records indicate that Mr. Trump helped his father take improper tax deductions worth millions more. He also helped formulate a strategy to undervalue his parents’ real estate holdings by hundreds of millions of dollars on tax returns, sharply reducing the tax bill when those properties were transferred to him and his siblings.

These maneuvers met with little resistance from the Internal Revenue Service, The Times found. The president’s parents, Fred and Mary Trump, transferred well over $1 billion in wealth to their children, which could have produced a tax bill of at least $550 million under the 55 percent tax rate then imposed on gifts and inheritances.

The Trumps paid a total of $52.2 million, or about 5 percent, tax records show.

The president declined repeated requests over several weeks to comment for this article.

But a lawyer for Mr. Trump, Charles J. Harder, sought to distance Mr. Trump from the tax strategies used by his family, saying the president had delegated those tasks to relatives and tax professionals. “President Trump had virtually no involvement whatsoever with these matters,” he said. “The affairs were handled by other Trump family members who were not experts themselves and therefore relied entirely upon the aforementioned licensed professionals to ensure full compliance with the law.”

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Quote:

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Originally posted by 1kiki:
JSF

I'm wary of polls. Though perhaps they might be useful when you track individual polls and see if they're going up or down (since their process and bias remain the same poll to poll). Anyway, Salon (rabidly neo-liberal) had an article late last week that the blue-wave is being throttled to a blue, gentle lapping, of water on the shore. It attributed that to the Kavanaugh hearings which are motivating Trump supporters.

Checking 538 out, that appears to be true. https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/

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Quote:

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Originally posted by reaverfan:
As always, the last person we can trust to tell the truth here is Blumpy.

He's guilty of multiple crimes, including child rape. Complete sociopath.

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Quote:

---

Originally posted by 6IXSTRINGJACK:

Quote:

---

Originally posted by reaverfan:
As always, the last person we can trust to tell the truth here is Blumpy.

He's guilty of multiple crimes, including child rape. Complete sociopath.

---

Comments like these coming from the extreme left are going to be viewed historically as the reason why the Democrats are doing so poorly right now.

---

I agree, and the sad thing is they can't help themselves. The far left is as much a problem as the far right. Both spread nothing but hate.

T

Quote:

---

Originally posted by THG:

Quote:

---

Originally posted by 6IXSTRINGJACK:

Quote:

---

Originally posted by reaverfan:
As always, the last person we can trust to tell the truth here is Blumpy.

He's guilty of multiple crimes, including child rape. Complete sociopath.

---

Comments like these coming from the extreme left are going to be viewed historically as the reason why the Democrats are doing so poorly right now.

---

I agree, and the sad thing is they can't help themselves. The far left is as much a problem as the far right. Both spread nothing but hate.

T

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Quote:

---

Originally posted by 6IXSTRINGJACK:

Quote:

---

Originally posted by THG:

Quote:

---

Originally posted by 6IXSTRINGJACK:

Quote:

---

Originally posted by reaverfan:
As always, the last person we can trust to tell the truth here is Blumpy.

He's guilty of multiple crimes, including child rape. Complete sociopath.

---

Comments like these coming from the extreme left are going to be viewed historically as the reason why the Democrats are doing so poorly right now.

---

I agree, and the sad thing is they can't help themselves. The far left is as much a problem as the far right. Both spread nothing but hate.

T

---

I think what we need to do is stop believing that these extreme voices are the norm for the other "side". And then we need to start being very loud about the fact that we do not condone those thoughts or behaviors, no matter what side they're coming from. "By Any Means Necessary" is a terrible way to go about things, and if we don't stop it from happening before it's completely out of control I'm afraid that it WILL usher in an Orwellian dystopia for all of us.


The very fact that you just shocked me here with your agreement of my statement gives me hope that things are starting to take a turn back towards sanity.

Hey... maybe you really do believe that I'm a racist and a sexist and an idiot. But at least you can draw the line and wouldn't call me a sociopathic child rapist just because you don't agree with me.

Thanks for that. ;)



Do Right, Be Right. :)

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Quote:

---

Originally posted by THG:

Quote:

---

Originally posted by 6IXSTRINGJACK:

Quote:

---

Originally posted by reaverfan:
As always, the last person we can trust to tell the truth here is Blumpy.

He's guilty of multiple crimes, including child rape. Complete sociopath.

---

Comments like these coming from the extreme left are going to be viewed historically as the reason why the Democrats are doing so poorly right now.

---

I agree, and the sad thing is they can't help themselves. The far left is as much a problem as the far right. Both spread nothing but hate.

T

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Quote:

---

Originally posted by reaverfan:
That's not my experience at all.

Reichwing = hate. Leftwing = logic and reason, supported by solid facts.

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Quote:

---

Originally posted by 6IXSTRINGJACK:
I've already said that I'm changing my vote for Donnelley after his party-line Kavanaugh vote.

Months ago when I said I was voting for him it didn't appear that he was even going to be contested. RCP's got him as a toss up now.


Polls don't mean anything in this race, so anything could happen anywhere. This is what happens when you pull something so outrageous that has never been done before an election. You have no idea how people are going to react.



Don't forget the October Surprise. Who can say which side has an ace up their sleeve that they're waiting to spring last minute to sway the results.



I hope you all enjoy being manipulated as much as I do.


Do Right, Be Right. :)

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Quote:

---

Originally posted by JEWELSTAITEFAN:
Tossup with 4 weeks to go, from Left-wing Extremist RCP?
Sounds like he has no hope of winning.

---