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REAL WORLD EVENT DISCUSSIONS
Amnesty Bill for illegal immigrants defeated in Senate.
Thursday, June 28, 2007 6:20 AM
AURAPTOR
America loves a winner!
Thursday, June 28, 2007 6:54 AM
SIGNYM
I believe in solving problems, not sharing them.
Thursday, June 28, 2007 7:03 AM
Thursday, June 28, 2007 7:51 AM
Thursday, June 28, 2007 1:26 PM
FINN MAC CUMHAL
Thursday, June 28, 2007 2:07 PM
KANEMAN
Thursday, June 28, 2007 2:30 PM
Quote:Every time the minimum wage is raised America loses jobs.
Quote:But illegals who largely work under the table would not necessarily be affected.
Thursday, June 28, 2007 3:25 PM
Quote:Originally posted by SignyM: Quote:Every time the minimum wage is raised America loses jobs. Both historically and geographically, every time the minimum wage is raised the economy goes UP and so does employment. I can link studies if you wish.
Thursday, June 28, 2007 5:07 PM
Quote:It’s not true. The vast majority of economists will tell you that, and the vast majority of studies bare that out.
Quote: A 1998 EPI study failed to find any systematic, significant job loss associated with the 1996-97 minimum wage increase. In fact, following the most recent increase in the minimum wage in 1996-97, the low-wage labor market performed better than it had in decades (e.g., lower unemployment rates, increased average hourly wages, increased family income, decreased poverty rates). Studies of the 1990-91 federal minimum wage increase, as well as studies by David Card and Alan Krueger of several state minimum wage increases, also found no measurable negative impact on employment. New economic models that look specifically at low-wage labor markets help explain why there is little evidence of job loss associated with minimum wage increases. These models recognize that employers may be able to absorb some of the costs of a wage increase through higher productivity, lower recruiting and training costs, decreased absenteeism, and increased worker morale. A recent Fiscal Policy Institute (FPI) study of state minimum wages found no evidence of negative employment effects on small businesses.
Quote:Both overall employment and retail employment rose in 1997, although at a somewhat slower rate than in 1996. The change in employment growth between 1996 and 1997 reflects a modest general slowdown in the state's rate of economic growth, not the increase in the minimum wage. If the minimum wage increase had reduced job growth significantly, it is likely that the trend in retail trade employment would have been significantly worse than the trend in overall employment. The Oregon findings have implications for the debate over raising the federal minimum wage.
Quote:The argument that state minimum wages have had a substantially negative effect on a state's labor market is an extreme repackaging of the perennial claim that minimum wages do more harm than good because they cause many low-wage workers to lose their jobs. While this argument was once more prevalent among economists, recent studies with improved methodologies have reached the opposite conclusion.
Thursday, June 28, 2007 5:55 PM
6IXSTRINGJACK
Thursday, June 28, 2007 6:37 PM
SERGEANTX
Quote:Originally posted by SignyM: Both historically and geographically, every time the minimum wage is raised the economy goes UP and so does employment.
Friday, June 29, 2007 2:04 AM
Quote:Originally posted by SignyM: Quote:It’s not true. The vast majority of economists will tell you that, and the vast majority of studies bare that out. The vast majority of economists are so steeped in ideology that they don't recognize fact when it bites them. Honestly. But the studies bear out that a rise in the minimum wage doesn't have a negative effect on employment.
Friday, June 29, 2007 3:16 AM
Friday, June 29, 2007 3:37 AM
Quote:Originally posted by SignyM: ...your opinion of the minimum wage is misguided.
Friday, June 29, 2007 3:51 AM
Quote:Now, the Clinton Administration is advancing the novel economic theory that modest increases in the minimum wage will have no impact whatsoever on employment. This proposition is based entirely on the work of three economists: David Card and Alan Krueger of Princeton, and Lawrence Katz of Harvard. Their studies of increases in the minimum wage in California, Texas and New Jersey apparently found no loss of jobs among fast food restaurants that were surveyed before and after the increase [See Card (1992b), Card and Krueger (1994), and Katz and Krueger (1992)]. While it is not yet clear why Card, Katz and Krueger got the results that they did it is clear that their findings are directly contrary to virtually every empirical study ever done on the minimum wage. These studies were exhaustively surveyed by the Minimum Wage Study Commission, which concluded that a 10% increase in the minimum wage reduced teenage employment by 1% to 3%.
Quote: Summary of Research on the Minimum Wage The minimum wage reduces employment. Currie and Fallick (1993), Gallasch (1975), Gardner (1981), Peterson (1957), Peterson and Stewart (1969) The minimum wage reduces employment more among teenagers than adults. Adie (1973); Brown, Gilroy and Kohen (1981a, 1981b); Fleisher (1981); Hammermesh (1982); Meyer and Wise (1981, 1983a); Minimum Wage Study Commission (1981); Neumark and Wascher (1992); Ragan (1977); Vandenbrink (1987); Welch (1974, 1978); Welch and Cunningham (1978). The minimum wage reduces employment most among black teenage males. Al-Salam, Quester, and Welch (1981), Iden (1980), Mincer (1976), Moore (1971), Ragan (1977), Williams (1977a, 1977b). The minimum wage hurts blacks generally. Behrman, Sickles and Taubman (1983); Linneman (1982). The minimum wage hurts the unskilled. Krumm (1981). The minimum wage hurts low wage workers. Brozen (1962), Cox and Oaxaca (1986), Gordon (1981). The minimum wage hurts low wage workers particularly during cyclical downturns. Kosters and Welch (1972), Welch (1974). The minimum wage increases job turnover. Hall (1982). The minimum wage reduces average earnings of young workers. Meyer and Wise (1983b). The minimum wage drives workers into uncovered jobs, thus lowering wages in those sectors. Brozen (1962), Tauchen (1981), Welch (1974). The minimum wage reduces employment in low-wage industries, such as retailing. Cotterman (1981), Douty (1960), Fleisher (1981), Hammermesh (1981), Peterson (1981). The minimum wage causes employers to cut back on training. Hashimoto (1981, 1982), Leighton and Mincer (1981), Ragan (1981). The minimum wage encourages employers to install labor-saving devices. Trapani and Moroney (1981). The minimum wage encourages employers to hire illegal aliens. Beranek (1982). Few workers are permanently stuck at the minimum wage. Brozen (1969), Smith and Vavrichek (1992).
Friday, June 29, 2007 3:53 AM
Quote:The higher that minimum is, the more people will be affected. You've acknowledged this effect yourself, in your eagerness to use it as a tool to punish illegal immigrants. But of course that's nonsense because these people are outside the law to begin with.
Quote: It will primarily punish legal workers and employers who deal in unskilled, part-time labor
Friday, June 29, 2007 7:29 AM
Quote:Originally posted by SignyM: Sarge- but you can make poverty go away by reducing company profits and spreading it out among the many
Friday, June 29, 2007 7:51 AM
FLETCH2
Friday, June 29, 2007 7:56 AM
Friday, June 29, 2007 8:17 AM
Quote:Originally posted by SignyM: Yes, I saw that study referenced. The question is, what happens to overall employment? If an increase in minimum wage pulls adults into that labor market who would not have previously considered those jobs, then all we're seeing is a shift from teenage to adult employment, and focusing strictly on teens becomes misleading. But they never answered that question. So here are the reaminder of the relevant citations (I'm going to skip the ones unrelated to employment since that is what wer'e considering, but my comments apply to all of the cited studies)
Quote:Originally posted by SignyM: First of all these are for the most part very old studies which need revisting. At the time that many of these studies were done, the minimum wage did not cover as large a percentage of the working population as it does today. In addition, monetary policy, study design, unionization, welfare policy, average wages, and other factors have changed, leading to a different economic milieu.
Quote:Originally posted by SignyM: Secondly, as poor as those studies are, most of them contradict the notion that raising the minimum wage encourages hiring illegals. Title after title says that raising the minimum wages hurts the poor, unskilled, racially dispossesed... the essential illegal alien.
Friday, June 29, 2007 8:59 AM
Quote:I think you have a rather biased view of where those profits go. I think you have this vision of fat cats in board rooms lighting cigars with $100 bills. That's not the way it is at all.
Friday, June 29, 2007 9:00 AM
Quote:If the logic of minimum wage laws truly holds, why not just guarantee every citizen $30k base salary? That'd give the economy a boost, right? Signym, seriously, is there are reason not to this?
Friday, June 29, 2007 9:10 AM
Quote:Socialism. Income redistribution. This is the true crux of your whole opinion, I suspect
Quote:Some of them are old studies some of them are from the 90’s. The point of the article is to demonstrate what you have already decided to blanketly dismiss: that for 50 years the majority of economics and the majority of studies have demonstrated that increasing the minimum wage harms the economy and that harm is felt most strongly by unskilled laborers, who are largely poor and minorities
Quote:No. The question is not “overall employment.” The question is employment of illegal immigrants who are mostly at the lower end of the spectrum, and this lower end is where the minimum wage will impact employment. Teenagers are also in this group, along with much of the poor and many minorities. Whom I might add, you don’t seem to concerned with right now. When poor blacks can’t find work, I guess we’ll just blame it all on “whitey” later, and selectively ignore the damage done to the employment of unskilled laborers by minimum wage laws.
Friday, June 29, 2007 9:11 AM
Friday, June 29, 2007 9:15 AM
Friday, June 29, 2007 9:53 AM
JONGSSTRAW
Friday, June 29, 2007 9:55 AM
Friday, June 29, 2007 9:58 AM
RUE
I have a vote and I'm not afraid to use it!
Friday, June 29, 2007 10:11 AM
Quote:Originally posted by SignyM: Yes, I know. It's not just profits, it's income distribution. Like I said, I'm perfectly happy with the idea of taking money away from the guy who does squat and giving it to the folks who do real work. --------------------------------- Always look upstream.
Friday, June 29, 2007 10:12 AM
Quote:Originally posted by SignyM: Quote:If the logic of minimum wage laws truly holds, why not just guarantee every citizen $30k base salary? That'd give the economy a boost, right? Signym, seriously, is there are reason not to this? Not really. Lots of European countries have done it.
Friday, June 29, 2007 10:21 AM
Quote:Originally posted by SignyM: Yep. Take the money away from people who do nothing except light cigars with $100 bills and distribute it to people who do something productive. That sounds fair to me. What about you?
Quote:Originally posted by SignyM: If 12 million unskilled jobs open up at less than starvation wages, a whole lot of people will be a whole lot happier. Illegal immigrants are working (key word here) illegally. Simple law enforcement should be able to stop that.
Friday, June 29, 2007 10:39 AM
Friday, June 29, 2007 11:10 AM
Friday, June 29, 2007 11:37 AM
Quote: no, not so much. It’s already been tried with horrible consequences.
Quote:And all those people who “light cigars with $100 bills” also pay the salaries for most people in the country. So their money is already productive and going to people who are productive.
Quote: Stealing from the rich and giving to the poor only works in fairy tails. In reality, unearned incomes from government entitlements and welfare do not produce incentive to be productive. Earned incomes do.
Quote:Furthermore, the more money you steal from the rich the less willing they will be to invest it in employees and the economy.
Quote:So I want those rich people producing jobs and paying salaries.
Quote:I don’t want the money coming as entitlements.
Quote: I like my capitalism.
Friday, June 29, 2007 11:49 AM
Friday, June 29, 2007 11:51 AM
Friday, June 29, 2007 11:53 AM
Quote:Originally posted by SignyM: Bull. "Human nature", especially "greedy human nature", is one of the biggest myths foisted on us. Human nature being what it is, there will always be some sociopaths who spend their entire lives thinking how to screw the 99% others. It is our societal systems which run amuck by rewarding and encouraging sociopathic behavior.
Friday, June 29, 2007 12:00 PM
Friday, June 29, 2007 12:01 PM
Friday, June 29, 2007 12:04 PM
Friday, June 29, 2007 12:05 PM
Quote:Originally posted by SignyM: You don't even know what capitalism is. Some day I should explain it to you starting with Adam Smith.
Friday, June 29, 2007 12:06 PM
Friday, June 29, 2007 12:08 PM
Friday, June 29, 2007 12:30 PM
BIGDAMNNOBODY
Quote:Originally posted by SignyM: BTW- none of you have figured out the conundrum that I proposed so I'm going to re-propose it, highlighted, so y'all don't miss it. If historically low wages guarantee high employment, why does all of Africa, Central and South America, most of southern Asia (India, Pakistan, Bangladesh etc.) and China have such high unemployment? If high wages are the death-knell to employment, why does Europe have relatively low unemployment?
Friday, June 29, 2007 12:51 PM
Quote:Originally posted by rue: See Finn, when you talk about "human nature" you're talking about one particular set of learned behaviors in a particular structure. Like the chimps that fought over fruit in a pile but resumed their normal ways when the fruit was spread out, humans many be reacting to resource cornering with aberrant behaviors, not the other way around.
Friday, June 29, 2007 1:05 PM
Quote:Originally posted by BigDamnNobody: Quote:Originally posted by SignyM: BTW- none of you have figured out the conundrum that I proposed so I'm going to re-propose it, highlighted, so y'all don't miss it. If historically low wages guarantee high employment, why does all of Africa, Central and South America, most of southern Asia (India, Pakistan, Bangladesh etc.) and China have such high unemployment? If high wages are the death-knell to employment, why does Europe have relatively low unemployment?
Friday, June 29, 2007 1:30 PM
Friday, June 29, 2007 1:38 PM
Quote:Places like China and India have spent government money on education and infrastructure to make that happen. Once you have an educated workforce, once you have political stability and basic infrastructure
Friday, June 29, 2007 1:39 PM
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