REAL WORLD EVENT DISCUSSIONS

A New Hope: Stomping Out Corporatism

POSTED BY: AURAPTOR
UPDATED: Wednesday, April 1, 2009 20:53
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Friday, March 27, 2009 2:23 PM

ANTHONYT

Freedom is Important because People are Important


Hello,

Well, which Socialism do you advocate?

--Anthony

"Liberty must not be purchased at the cost of Humanity." --Captain Robert Henner

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Friday, March 27, 2009 2:28 PM

RUE

I have a vote and I'm not afraid to use it!


None of the above !

But that's just me. If I HAD to pick out of the three, I'd pick the wealth-distribution model (which is not really socialist, but a mixed-economy).

***************************************************************
ETA
Anyway, insofar as it is capitalist the same things happen, only more slowly. Wealth accumulates, the economy needs to exploit to cheaper labor sources, poverty is exported. I think as far as 'inevitable consequences' of socialism, however, Sweden and similar countries are a good indication that the end reult of socialism is not necessarily bad.

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Friday, March 27, 2009 2:34 PM

STARTROOP


There! He said it!

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Friday, March 27, 2009 2:50 PM

ANTHONYT

Freedom is Important because People are Important


Hello,

Can you describe the wealth distribution model?

We might have talked about this in months or years gone by, and I apologize if this is so and I forgot.

--Anthony

"Liberty must not be purchased at the cost of Humanity." --Captain Robert Henner

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Friday, March 27, 2009 3:33 PM

KWICKO

"We'll know our disinformation program is complete when everything the American public believes is false." -- William Casey, Reagan's presidential campaign manager & CIA Director (from first staff meeting in 1981)


Quote:

Originally posted by startroop:
There! He said it!



?




Who said it? And said WHAT?

Now I'm on pins and needles.

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Friday, March 27, 2009 3:46 PM

RUE

I have a vote and I'm not afraid to use it!


I think you missed it during your hiatus.

Just some background first - it started as a discussion of what is socialism - some people pointing to Hitler, some to Russia and some to Sweden as examples. So, as I recall, the Hitler example was quickly disposed of, while the USSR and Sweden examples were competitively proffered.

"1. a theory or system of social organization that advocates the vesting of the ownership and control of the means of production and distribution, of capital, land, etc., in the community as a whole."

Since the USSR sort of had the means of control of production covered (though it was by the state, and not by the community as a whole), and Sweden had the distribution covered through social services (again by the state, and not by the community as a whole), either one could be a viable candidate.

I think that's where it ended up, since neither had a lock on the entire definition, and both were by government, not 'community'. (Though I would suggest that since Sweden is a democracy, the government on the whole might be considered an extension of the 'community'.)

Anyway, in Sweden production is often private (though there are many government-run businesses, and businesses run under the strict oversight of government and labor). That's the capitalist portion.
A lot (but not all) of the profit is recycled through taxes and distributed through social services. That's the socialist distribution portion.

That's where it ended, I think.


***************************************************************

Silence is consent.

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Friday, March 27, 2009 3:51 PM

SIGNYM

I believe in solving problems, not sharing them.


Quote:

But what of the cruelties generated in human attempts at Socialist societies? Do they demonstrate that Socialism is bad?
Needs some thought as to what they demonstrate, exactly. I guess it's like fetal development... a million ways to go wrong, only afew ways to go right.

To go back to the law of efficiency of undivided power.... There are two parts to the idea (1)undivided and (2) power.

The more people you have in a system, the more potential power behind that system. People aggregate into very large systems simply because it provides a more efficient division of labor and greater productivity. (That's why societies at a certain stage of development with centralized peace-keeping may have an advantage over societies without: Others have a chance to farm, build, research etc without always keeping a gun at their hip and one eye looking behind them.)

But the power has to be UNDIVIDED in order to head off in any particular direction. Maybe the answer is never to create centralized postions of power in the first place. No CEOs, CIOs, CFOs. No Presidents. No Boards of Very Important People.

Just a thought.

---------------------------------
It's the end of the world as we know it, and I feel fine.

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Friday, March 27, 2009 4:12 PM

MAGONSDAUGHTER


Quote:

Originally posted by rue:
None of the above !
Anyway, insofar as it is capitalist the same things happen, only more slowly. Wealth accumulates, the economy needs to exploit to cheaper labor sources, poverty is exported. I think as far as 'inevitable consequences' of socialism, however, Sweden and similar countries are a good indication that the end reult of socialism is not necessarily bad.


Sweden is not a socialist country. It's a monarchy for a start, a parliamentary democracy, and has a market economy. It also has a strong trade union movement and a comprehensive welfare system.

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Friday, March 27, 2009 4:20 PM

RUE

I have a vote and I'm not afraid to use it!


That was part of the discussion. Someone, I don't remember who, suggested that Sweden be called 'soft socialism'. As for not being a democracy, neither is the US, but we certainly call ourselves one ! So, I propose that any place where people select what gets done by who they vote for be called a deomcracy. OK by you ?

***************************************************************

Silence is consent.

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Friday, March 27, 2009 4:31 PM

SERGEANTX


Quote:

Originally posted by SignyM:
Quote:

But what of the cruelties generated in human attempts at Socialist societies? Do they demonstrate that Socialism is bad?
Needs some thought as to what they demonstrate, exactly. I guess it's like fetal development... a million ways to go wrong, only afew ways to go right.



Indeed. As well as any number of ways to attribute success and failure. As much as it chagrins me, I have to admit that it all comes down to our subjective, favored narratives. You can look at the expansionist militarism and corporatism of recent western history and see it as a condemnation of capitalism. Others of us see it as just the opposite. In the end it seems each of us looks at the "facts" and chooses a story that plausibly accounts for them, but expresses the values we prefer.

Quote:

Maybe the answer is never to create centralized postions of power in the first place. No CEOs, CIOs, CFOs. No Presidents. No Boards of Very Important People.

Just a thought.



And a pleasant thought at that. But then, do "we" create them? Or do they create themselves?

SergeantX

"Dream a little dream or you can live a little dream. I'd rather live it, cause dreamers always chase but never get it." Aesop Rock

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Friday, March 27, 2009 4:37 PM

RUE

I have a vote and I'm not afraid to use it!


"You can look at the expansionist militarism and corporatism of recent western history and see it as a condemnation of capitalism. Others of us see it as just the opposite."

Do you mean that the expansionist militarism and corporatism of recent western history be seen as a commendation of capitalism ?

Or that the expansionist militarism and corporatism of recent western history be seen as a condemnation of socialism ?

***************************************************************

Silence is consent.

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Friday, March 27, 2009 4:42 PM

RUE

I have a vote and I'm not afraid to use it!


"Maybe the answer is never to create centralized postions of power in the first place. No CEOs, CIOs, CFOs. No Presidents. No Boards of Very Important People."

If I may liken this to the economy - you know, the meltdown that didn't happen till recently even though the safeties had been removed years ago. It's kind of like an explosion - you can have the fuel, you can have the oxidizer, but nothing will happen till you have the spark. In the case of the economy, the spark was the predatory lending that was allowed under Bush. In the case of people, the spark would be the accumulation of resources that allows the centralized groups leverage over everyone else.


***************************************************************

Silence is consent.

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Friday, March 27, 2009 4:47 PM

SERGEANTX


Quote:

Originally posted by rue:
"You can look at the expansionist militarism and corporatism of recent western history and see it as a condemnation of capitalism. Others of us see it as just the opposite."

Do you mean that the expansionist militarism and corporatism of recent western history be seen as a commendation of capitalism ?

Or that the expansionist militarism and corporatism of recent western history be seen as a condemnation of socialism ?



heh... I don't suppose that sentence rings with clarity. What I meant is that some may see recent history as the inevitable outcome of a free market capitalism, while some of us may as it as the folly of indulging statist intervention. There are plenty of "facts" to support either story. It just depends on what assumptions you start with and which explanation highlights your favored values.

SergeantX

"Dream a little dream or you can live a little dream. I'd rather live it, cause dreamers always chase but never get it." Aesop Rock

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Friday, March 27, 2009 4:50 PM

RUE

I have a vote and I'm not afraid to use it!


Hey - thanks for the clarification ! I was wondering what you meant.

***************************************************************

Silence is consent.

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Friday, March 27, 2009 5:00 PM

KWICKO

"We'll know our disinformation program is complete when everything the American public believes is false." -- William Casey, Reagan's presidential campaign manager & CIA Director (from first staff meeting in 1981)


Quote:

Originally posted by Magonsdaughter:
Quote:

Originally posted by rue:
None of the above !
Anyway, insofar as it is capitalist the same things happen, only more slowly. Wealth accumulates, the economy needs to exploit to cheaper labor sources, poverty is exported. I think as far as 'inevitable consequences' of socialism, however, Sweden and similar countries are a good indication that the end reult of socialism is not necessarily bad.


Sweden is not a socialist country. It's a monarchy for a start, a parliamentary democracy, and has a market economy. It also has a strong trade union movement and a comprehensive welfare system.



Shall I take it then, that you would view a move by our market economy into areas of stronger trade union involvement and more comprehensive welfare systems to NOT be any kind of move towards "socialism"?

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Friday, March 27, 2009 5:03 PM

SERGEANTX


I will say this much in regard to the role of deregulation in the current debacle. Once you start down the regulation path, it can be very dangerous to start pulling back. Once the government steps in and says "we got it. We'll keep an eye on things and make sure that all deals are reasonably safe and free from unseen risk", well from then on, people are basing decisions on the assumption that the government is doing what they claim. Without the presumption of government oversight, investors would be more dubious when presented with investment "products" that seemed questionable.

This is the point that Ron Paul and others are making when they say that regulation causes more harm then it prevents. It diminishes the notion of "buyer beware" and sets up expectations of safety that might not be warranted.

But like I said, pulling back from regulatory responsibilities once they've become the presumptive norm is dangerous and looks to have contributed to the current crisis.

SergeantX

"Dream a little dream or you can live a little dream. I'd rather live it, cause dreamers always chase but never get it." Aesop Rock

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Friday, March 27, 2009 5:09 PM

ANTHONYT

Freedom is Important because People are Important


Hello,

Human beings being social animals, I think we will always eventually form into large organizations.

And large organizations being unmanageable by committee (particularly if a swift decision is ever called for) there will eventually be a few people charged with responsibility over the many.

How could this possibly be avoided?

--Anthony

"Liberty must not be purchased at the cost of Humanity." --Captain Robert Henner

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Friday, March 27, 2009 5:19 PM

RUE

I have a vote and I'm not afraid to use it!


There have been large, thriving civilizations that seem to have avoided concentrating wealth and power, and also war. I'm racking my brain trying to remember the names. One was in the Mediterranean, one was Mohenjo-Daro, and one was in South America. But I'm drawing a blank on two of three names.
***************************************************************

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Friday, March 27, 2009 5:28 PM

RUE

I have a vote and I'm not afraid to use it!


"Without the presumption of government oversight, investors would be more dubious when presented with investment "products" that seemed questionable."

I know this is a 'thing' of yours, but recent history doesn't support your idea at all.

The three biggest failures - AIG, Citigroup and BankofAmerica, were all conglomerate commercial/investment/insurance purveyors formed after the repeal of Glass-Steagall, the passage of the Financial Services Modernization Act (which deregulated banking even more), the approval of CDS and naked CDS, etc.

They knew, in fact everyone in finance knew, that the raison d'etre of these places and products was a lack of regulation. Did they get MORE careful ? MORE dubious ?

If anything, they went even crazier. As SignyM pointed out, even Greenspan got it. Deregulation doesn't work.


***************************************************************

Silence is consent.

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Friday, March 27, 2009 5:36 PM

ANTHONYT

Freedom is Important because People are Important


Hello,

It should be notable that there have been large, thriving civilizations of every kind. Even the very bad kinds.

--Anthony

"Liberty must not be purchased at the cost of Humanity." --Captain Robert Henner

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Friday, March 27, 2009 6:01 PM

SERGEANTX


Quote:

Originally posted by rue:
I know this is a 'thing' of yours, but recent history doesn't support your idea at all.


It's supporting it right now, in real time.

Quote:


The three biggest failures - AIG, Citigroup and BankofAmerica, were all conglomerate commercial/investment/insurance purveyors formed after the repeal of Glass-Steagall, the passage of the Financial Services Modernization Act (which deregulated banking even more), the approval of CDS and naked CDS, etc.

They knew, in fact everyone in finance knew, that the raison d'etre of these places and products was a lack of regulation. Did they get MORE careful ? MORE dubious ?


I think I was clear that deregulation in a culture of regulation is dangerous. Once the concept of government oversight is entrenched, as it has been for decades, piecemeal deregulation is a game of pulling the supports out from underneath the current foundation.

Deregulation requires that we make it abundantly clear that risk is real and there won't be bailouts when it takes it's toll. Investors didn't believe that the government would let things fail and they were right. That's the "moral hazard" aspect that Ron Paul was referring to. We've only compounded that problem with the current bailouts.

We can't deregulate if we don't let bad decisions lead to bad consequences.

SergeantX

"Dream a little dream or you can live a little dream. I'd rather live it, cause dreamers always chase but never get it." Aesop Rock

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Friday, March 27, 2009 6:27 PM

MAGONSDAUGHTER


Quote:

Originally posted by Kwicko:
Shall I take it then, that you would view a move by our market economy into areas of stronger trade union involvement and more comprehensive welfare systems to NOT be any kind of move towards "socialism"?


Correct.

Socialism is a term thrown around in the US to engender panic about any changes which involve things like universal healthcare, higher taxes, or trade union activity. Plenty of free market economies have those traits, they just operate differently to the US, but they're not socialist states.

It's a bit like, "Oh, no, universal healthcare, next they'll be sending us to gulags" Not so much a leap, as a rocket into space.

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Friday, March 27, 2009 6:42 PM

ANTHONYT

Freedom is Important because People are Important


"We can't deregulate if we don't let bad decisions lead to bad consequences."

Hello,

This is something I meant to allude to when I indicated we were not seeing the end game of 'pure capitalism.' Which maybe was a bad choice of words to properly show my meaning.

The bad horrible depression has to be allowed to happen. We have to see if people recover from it. And then we have to see if they learn from it, before capitalism can be properly branded.

--Anthony



"Liberty must not be purchased at the cost of Humanity." --Captain Robert Henner

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Friday, March 27, 2009 7:04 PM

SIGNYM

I believe in solving problems, not sharing them.


Quote:

piecemeal deregulation is a game of pulling the supports out from underneath the current foundation.
Bull

---------------------------------
It's the end of the world as we know it, and I feel fine.

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Friday, March 27, 2009 7:17 PM

SERGEANTX


Quote:

Originally posted by SignyM:
Quote:

piecemeal deregulation is a game of pulling the supports out from underneath the current foundation.
Bull


Hamster

SergeantX

"Dream a little dream or you can live a little dream. I'd rather live it, cause dreamers always chase but never get it." Aesop Rock

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Friday, March 27, 2009 7:18 PM

ANTHONYT

Freedom is Important because People are Important


Hello,

We can do better than 'bull' I think.

We are having a good conversation where I am learning things. I'd like to keep having it.

--Anthony

"Liberty must not be purchased at the cost of Humanity." --Captain Robert Henner

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Friday, March 27, 2009 8:40 PM

SIGNYM

I believe in solving problems, not sharing them.


I was in the middle of stuff and didn't have time for more.

Here's the REAL deal: Investment bankers pushed for YEARS to get deregulation. Thanks to Phil Gramm and the SEC, they got it. When it came to capitalization, they got a buy-off from the SEC to leverage themselves out to the hilt (2004). When it came to collateralized debt obligations (CDOs) the investment bankers convinced the rating firms (Moodys, S&P) that since the combined debts would never actually default, they were AAA-grade paper.
Quote:

Suddenly, thanks to this financial seal of approval, banks had a way to turn their shittiest mortgages and other financial waste into investment-grade paper and sell them to institutional investors like pensions and insurance companies, which were forced by regulators to keep their portfolios as safe as possible. Because CDOs offered higher rates of return than truly safe products like Treasury bills, it was a win-win: Banks made a fortune selling CDOs, and big investors made much more holding them. The problem was, none of this was based on reality.

“The banks knew they were selling crap,” says a London-based trader from one of the bailed-out companies. To get AAA ratings, the CDOs relied not on their actual underlying assets but on crazy mathematical formulas that the banks cooked up to make the investments look safer than they really were. “They had some back room somewhere where a bunch of Indian guys who’d been doing nothing but math for God knows how many years would come up with some kind of model saying that this or that combination of debtors would only default once every 10,000 years,” says one young trader who sold CDOs for a major investment bank. “It was nuts.”
Now that even the crappiest mortgages could be sold to conservative investors, the CDOs spurred a massive explosion of irresponsible and predatory lending. In fact, there was such a crush to underwrite CDOs that it became hard to find enough subprime mortgages



Then, the insurance companies (lie AIG) decided they could "underwrite" these CDOs by selling a form of insurance called Credit Default Swaps (CDSs)... thus,,, making more MONEY!!! WHEEEE!!!!

AIG went on a selling spree.
Quote:

The very next year, Gramm compounded the problem by writing a sweeping new law called the Commodity Futures Modernization Act that made it impossible to regulate credit swaps as either gambling or securities.
In addition, AIG London managed to convince EU regulators - who were about to rein it it- that it was going to be regulated by the Office of Thrift regulation and therefore not to be bothered. But the Office of Thrift Regulation was so underpowered that AIG wound up not being regulated at all.


EVERY STEP OF THE WAY, investment bankers, commercial bankers, insurances, mortgage machines... made decision after decision to loosen, evade, or avoid regulation, and to stuff money as fast as they could into complex, unregulated, dangerous investments.

This wasn't a mistake by financial interest lulled into complacency by past regulations and government insurances. The fuckers knew what they were doing, and I'm sick and tired of Sarge making excuses for those poor, defenseless, innocent pricks.

---------------------------------
It's the end of the world as we know it, and I feel fine.

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Friday, March 27, 2009 11:57 PM

CITIZEN


Quote:

Originally posted by Magonsdaughter:

Sweden is not a socialist country. It's a monarchy for a start, a parliamentary democracy, and has a market economy. It also has a strong trade union movement and a comprehensive welfare system.


It's a mixed economy, meaning it's economic principles include some socialist principles (i.e. Regulation) and it has a strong welfare state, again socialist.

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Saturday, March 28, 2009 12:07 AM

CITIZEN


Quote:

Originally posted by AnthonyT:
Hello,

Human beings being social animals, I think we will always eventually form into large organizations.

And large organizations being unmanageable by committee (particularly if a swift decision is ever called for) there will eventually be a few people charged with responsibility over the many.

How could this possibly be avoided?


I remember reading a book called the business, which centred around an ancient company that had started out as a sort of trade union of merchants in Ancient Rome. It had expanded to a huge mostly benign multinational looking to buy a country, so that it could get a seat on the UN. And know one knows it exists. I think they were primarily concerned with keeping conspiracy theorists in work.

Anyway, they operated a sort of popular meritocracy (as opposed to the false meritocracy of most businesses) where by a person would be nominated for promotion, and their colleagues would have to vote for them.

Which means the ultimate CEO is there because all the way down the hierarchy of the Business their colleagues had wanted them to be in charge, rather than them trampling their colleagues to get there. Which would seem to be the ultimate difference between some form of Representative Democracy, and Dictatorial Fascism.

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Saturday, March 28, 2009 12:10 AM

CITIZEN


Quote:

Originally posted by AnthonyT:
The bad horrible depression has to be allowed to happen. We have to see if people recover from it. And then we have to see if they learn from it, before capitalism can be properly branded.


Was the Great Depression not enough?

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Saturday, March 28, 2009 2:40 AM

KWICKO

"We'll know our disinformation program is complete when everything the American public believes is false." -- William Casey, Reagan's presidential campaign manager & CIA Director (from first staff meeting in 1981)


Quote:

Originally posted by Magonsdaughter:
Quote:

Originally posted by Kwicko:
Shall I take it then, that you would view a move by our market economy into areas of stronger trade union involvement and more comprehensive welfare systems to NOT be any kind of move towards "socialism"?


Correct.

Socialism is a term thrown around in the US to engender panic about any changes which involve things like universal healthcare, higher taxes, or trade union activity. Plenty of free market economies have those traits, they just operate differently to the US, but they're not socialist states.

It's a bit like, "Oh, no, universal healthcare, next they'll be sending us to gulags" Not so much a leap, as a rocket into space.




Thanks for clarifying. And I find myself widely in agreement with you.

When people bring up universal healthcare as being "socialism", and claim that it will force independent doctors out of business, I bring up auto repair shops. Most of us are forced to carry auto insurance, yes? Do small repair shops and independent paint & body shops still exist? If so, how can that be? Didn't "universal car insurance" run them out of business?

By the way, would those gulags have universal health care? 'Cause that's a deal-breaker for me...



\m/

I'm something of a ne'er-do-well
even though that's something I could never do well...




The "On Fire" Economy -
The Dow closed at 10,587.60 on January 20, 2001, the day GW Bush took office. Eight years later, it closed below 8000 on the day he left office - a net loss of 25%. That's what conservatives call an economic "success".

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Saturday, March 28, 2009 2:51 AM

KWICKO

"We'll know our disinformation program is complete when everything the American public believes is false." -- William Casey, Reagan's presidential campaign manager & CIA Director (from first staff meeting in 1981)


Quote:

Originally posted by SignyM:
I was in the middle of stuff and didn't have time for more.

Here's the REAL deal: Investment bankers pushed for YEARS to get deregulation. Thanks to Phil Gramm and the SEC, they got it. When it came to capitalization, they got a buy-off from the SEC to leverage themselves out to the hilt (2004). When it came to collateralized debt obligations (CDOs) the investment bankers convinced the rating firms (Moodys, S&P) that since the combined debts would never actually default, they were AAA-grade paper.
Quote:

Suddenly, thanks to this financial seal of approval, banks had a way to turn their shittiest mortgages and other financial waste into investment-grade paper and sell them to institutional investors like pensions and insurance companies, which were forced by regulators to keep their portfolios as safe as possible. Because CDOs offered higher rates of return than truly safe products like Treasury bills, it was a win-win: Banks made a fortune selling CDOs, and big investors made much more holding them. The problem was, none of this was based on reality.

“The banks knew they were selling crap,” says a London-based trader from one of the bailed-out companies. To get AAA ratings, the CDOs relied not on their actual underlying assets but on crazy mathematical formulas that the banks cooked up to make the investments look safer than they really were. “They had some back room somewhere where a bunch of Indian guys who’d been doing nothing but math for God knows how many years would come up with some kind of model saying that this or that combination of debtors would only default once every 10,000 years,” says one young trader who sold CDOs for a major investment bank. “It was nuts.”
Now that even the crappiest mortgages could be sold to conservative investors, the CDOs spurred a massive explosion of irresponsible and predatory lending. In fact, there was such a crush to underwrite CDOs that it became hard to find enough subprime mortgages



Then, the insurance companies (lie AIG) decided they could "underwrite" these CDOs by selling a form of insurance called Credit Default Swaps (CDSs)... thus,,, making more MONEY!!! WHEEEE!!!!

AIG went on a selling spree.
Quote:

The very next year, Gramm compounded the problem by writing a sweeping new law called the Commodity Futures Modernization Act that made it impossible to regulate credit swaps as either gambling or securities.
In addition, AIG London managed to convince EU regulators - who were about to rein it it- that it was going to be regulated by the Office of Thrift regulation and therefore not to be bothered. But the Office of Thrift Regulation was so underpowered that AIG wound up not being regulated at all.


EVERY STEP OF THE WAY, investment bankers, commercial bankers, insurances, mortgage machines... made decision after decision to loosen, evade, or avoid regulation, and to stuff money as fast as they could into complex, unregulated, dangerous investments.

This wasn't a mistake by financial interest lulled into complacency by past regulations and government insurances. The fuckers knew what they were doing, and I'm sick and tired of Sarge making excuses for those poor, defenseless, innocent pricks.

---------------------------------
It's the end of the world as we know it, and I feel fine.





[sarcasm] No, no, no, NO, Sig - Phil Gramm couldn't have had ANYTHING to do with this mess; after all, he'd been out of office for YEARS! Just ask 'Rappo. Nope, this is all Bill Clinton's fault. Or Barney Frank's.

[/sarcasm]

BTW, thanks for bringing this up.

And if you don't think Phil Gramm had any part in this, you should note that in 2000, the CDS market was essentially zero. In December 2000, Gramm snuck an amendment into a budget bill which let CDSs be completely unregulated. It was the last major bill that Bill Clinton signed. Gramm's amendment went in hours before the vote, and was never even debated.

By the end of 2007, on the back of that single little piece of "unimportant" legislation, the CDS market had gone from zero to over $55 TRILLION dollars - almost FOUR TIMES THE ENTIRE U.S. GDP. And all of it was an illusion - it was money that didn't exist, buying "value" that didn't exist. Because of regulation that didn't exist.




\m/

I'm something of a ne'er-do-well
even though that's something I could never do well...




The "On Fire" Economy -
The Dow closed at 10,587.60 on January 20, 2001, the day GW Bush took office. Eight years later, it closed below 8000 on the day he left office - a net loss of 25%. That's what conservatives call an economic "success".

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Saturday, March 28, 2009 3:23 AM

SERGEANTX


Quote:

Originally posted by SignyM:
This wasn't a mistake by financial interest lulled into complacency by past regulations and government insurances. The fuckers knew what they were doing, and I'm sick and tired of Sarge making excuses for those poor, defenseless, innocent pricks.



I honestly have no idea what you're going on about here, but if that's what you think I was doing than either I'm a woefully poor communicator, or your reading comprehension could use some work.

SergeantX

"Dream a little dream or you can live a little dream. I'd rather live it, cause dreamers always chase but never get it." Aesop Rock

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Saturday, March 28, 2009 3:45 AM

KWICKO

"We'll know our disinformation program is complete when everything the American public believes is false." -- William Casey, Reagan's presidential campaign manager & CIA Director (from first staff meeting in 1981)


Quote:

Originally posted by SergeantX:
Quote:

Originally posted by SignyM:
This wasn't a mistake by financial interest lulled into complacency by past regulations and government insurances. The fuckers knew what they were doing, and I'm sick and tired of Sarge making excuses for those poor, defenseless, innocent pricks.



I honestly have no idea what you're going on about here, but if that's what you think I was doing than either I'm a woefully poor communicator, or your reading comprehension could use some work.

SergeantX

"Dream a little dream or you can live a little dream. I'd rather live it, cause dreamers always chase but never get it." Aesop Rock



I *think* I get what you're talking about, Sarge, but I'm still not sure how to get there.

One HUGE problem we seem to keep running into is that:

1) Politician X becomes convinced that deregulation of a certain area of a certain market is a Good Thing™ - because he's had the lobbyists of that market area whispering in his ear for quite some time.

2) Politician X then convinces others in his party that his Good Thing™ will be a boon for all of them, and for the nation.

3) Politician X's party then convinces the people to support this Good Thing™ at the polls, and then they get enough power to actually do it.

4) Investment Firm Y then takes their newfound unregulated market and goes apeshit with it, trumpeting to all that this Good Thing™ is an all-but-guaranteed investment that can't possibly go wrong, and you'd be crazy NOT to put your money into this part of the market. The only reason it's unregulated, they say, is because it's so new and revolutionary that bureaucracies can't keep up with them, and governments are so far behind that they'll never "get it", and thus will never be able to ride this money train to Richville.

5) Investors jump in, and as with any pyramid scheme, the first ones in really DO make a fortune - which feeds the frenzy to get others investing in this new, better-than-ever Good Thing™.

6) At some point, the market is saturated, and that's when people stop, think, look around, and say "oh FUCK!", when they realize they've been hoodwinked. And then the Good Thing™ becomes a Very Bad Thing™.



The bottom line is, it's not necessarily the deregulation that's the culprit - it's WHAT is deregulated, and WHY, and WHO is behind it being deregulated. And from there, it's also a matter of HOW it's packaged and sold to an unwitting public. The issue isn't deregulation, but rather who stands to benefit from it, and what means they'll use to achieve those ends. It's not as if some politician just got it into his head to deregulate something (like Phil Gramm just deciding one day to deregulate the CDS market), and suddenly the markets noticed that there was a loophole in the rules now that could make them rich if they acted quickly. No, the deregulation is specifically DESIGNED BY SPECIAL INTERESTS with a specific goal of helping them get richer. And when one group gets richer, it's generally at the expense of another group, or several other groups, who end up poorer because of it.

Overly simplistic, I know, but it might help a few folks get their heads around the ideas being bandied about.

\m/

I'm something of a ne'er-do-well
even though that's something I could never do well...




The "On Fire" Economy -
The Dow closed at 10,587.60 on January 20, 2001, the day GW Bush took office. Eight years later, it closed below 8000 on the day he left office - a net loss of 25%. That's what conservatives call an economic "success".

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Saturday, March 28, 2009 3:58 AM

ANTHONYT

Freedom is Important because People are Important


"EVERY STEP OF THE WAY, investment bankers, commercial bankers, insurances, mortgage machines... made decision after decision to loosen, evade, or avoid regulation, and to stuff money as fast as they could into complex, unregulated, dangerous investments.

This wasn't a mistake by financial interest lulled into complacency by past regulations and government insurances. The fuckers knew what they were doing..."


Hello,

As someone who saw things from the front lines (from inside a home equity lender) I have to agree with you that unbridled greed was definitely going on. Some have asserted that the banks were forced to lend badly, and I've often emphatically stated that such was not the case for my institution.

They made loans they never should have made (in my opinion) and I feel they did it to remain competitive with all the other banks who were making loans they never should have made. In fact, the bank where I work was one of the most conservative lenders around during the equity bubble. I know what they did that made me cringe at the time. I can only begin to imagine what some of the 'faster and looser' players were up to.

I'd also like to note that as the roller-coaster of profit was running away with the competition, my bank was gradually loosening its conservative grip on the lending process. I think in another 2-5 years, we would have been indistinguishable from any other shady lender. The lure of remaining competitive is just too strong to resist in a runaway market.


"Was the Great Depression not enough?"


No. The Great Depression was an 'interfered with' crisis that resulted in things like bank deposits insured by the government, and other interventions. I have no idea what the country would look like today (or if even we'd have a country today) if the government had responded to the Depression with a great big 'caveat emptor' and gone on about its business. Since every economic crisis has been interfered with, I don't know 'what happens next' in a natural cycle. It may be something digustingly horrible. But I recognize that I can't say for sure.


--Anthony

"Liberty must not be purchased at the cost of Humanity." --Captain Robert Henner

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Saturday, March 28, 2009 4:08 AM

CITIZEN


Quote:

Originally posted by AnthonyT:

"Was the Great Depression not enough?"


No. The Great Depression was an 'interfered with' crisis that resulted in things like bank deposits insured by the government, and other interventions. I have no idea what the country would look like today (or if even we'd have a country today) if the government had responded to the Depression with a great big 'caveat emptor' and gone on about its business. Since every economic crisis has been interfered with, I don't know 'what happens next' in a natural cycle. It may be something digustingly horrible. But I recognize that I can't say for sure.


Those measures came years after the start of the crisis, and were rather light. So were the previous years before such measures (4-5 between 1929 and 1933-34+) not enough to show that the market wasn't going to magically fix itself?

The reason FDR was elected and able to put these mostly regulatory rather than active interventionist policies in to action was because 'caveat emptor' simply wasn't working.

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Saturday, March 28, 2009 4:10 AM

SERGEANTX


Quote:

Originally posted by Kwicko:
The bottom line is, it's not necessarily the deregulation that's the culprit - it's WHAT is deregulated, and WHY, and WHO is behind it being deregulated. And from there, it's also a matter of HOW it's packaged and sold to an unwitting public. The issue isn't deregulation, but rather who stands to benefit from it, and what means they'll use to achieve those ends. It's not as if some politician just got it into his head to deregulate something (like Phil Gramm just deciding one day to deregulate the CDS market), and suddenly the markets noticed that there was a loophole in the rules now that could make them rich if they acted quickly. No, the deregulation is specifically DESIGNED BY SPECIAL INTERESTS with a specific goal of helping them get richer. And when one group gets richer, it's generally at the expense of another group, or several other groups, who end up poorer because of it.



That sounds about right. I was also making that point that being against regulation in the first place isn't necessarily the same as being for deregulation, especially not willy nilly deregulation without properly preparing the people who will be affected. ie, even though I think regulation can be harmful in the long run, removing it haphazardly can be disastrous.

The "moral hazard" concept seems to be particularly contentious and I don't understand why. It seems a pretty staightforward observation of human psychology: People will be less discriminating about risk if they believe they are protected from it somehow. I guess this rankles some folks because it points to a weakness in the practice of "regulation", but it doesn't condemn it wholesale. You could make the same argument against stop signs, but I'm not out there campaigning for deregulating intersections.


SergeantX

"Dream a little dream or you can live a little dream. I'd rather live it, cause dreamers always chase but never get it." Aesop Rock

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Saturday, March 28, 2009 4:17 AM

AURAPTOR

America loves a winner!


For anyone who wants to start their own thread, by all means, have at it. But I started this thread to express a specific point of view - that we are being fed this line of false outrage by the Government on purpose, so we don't get angry at them - THEY are the ones who did this, not A.I.G.

Agree or not, but this business of changing the thread title is childish and takes away from the discussion at hand.

"As much as I respect what he's doing, really the economy is something he should focus on more than the brackets. "
- Duke University basketball coach Mike Krzyzewski, after Obama snubbed Duke in his Final Four picks.



The U.S. economy WAS on fire under Bush, for 6 years. Until the Democrats took control of Congress. It's been all down hill since then.

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Saturday, March 28, 2009 4:24 AM

SERGEANTX


Quote:

Originally posted by AURaptor:
For anyone who wants to start their own thread, by all means, have at it. But I started this thread to express a specific point of view - that we are being fed this line of false outrage by the Government on purpose, so we don't get angry at them - THEY are the ones who did this, not A.I.G.



Agreed to a point, depending on what you mean by "this". But AIG went completely off the rails and lobbied aggressively for government to make the mistakes it did.

Quote:

Agree or not, but this business of changing the thread title is childish and takes away from the discussion at hand.

Yeah, the thread title stuff is getting ridiculous. I'd hope we could all agree to be adults and stop doing it.

But as far as OT discussion, well, thread drift happens and sometimes leads to better discussions than the original topic. Should we start another thread? Maybe, but not necessarily. Tangents work for me.

SergeantX

"Dream a little dream or you can live a little dream. I'd rather live it, cause dreamers always chase but never get it." Aesop Rock

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Saturday, March 28, 2009 4:38 AM

FREMDFIRMA


Quote:

You could make the same argument against stop signs, but I'm not out there campaigning for deregulating intersections.

Nope, that'd be me.

Anarchist Traffic Control ?
http://www.fireflyfans.net/mthread.asp?b=18&t=36987

-F

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Saturday, March 28, 2009 4:41 AM

AURAPTOR

America loves a winner!


AIG lobbied, and who was the biggest recipient of that lobbying effort?


Name Office Total Contributions
Obama, Barack (D-IL) Senate $104,332
Dodd, Chris (D-CT) Senate $103,900
McCain, John (R-AZ) Senate $59,499
Clinton, Hillary (D-NY) Senate $37,965
Baucus, Max (D-MT) Senate $24,750
Biden, Joseph R Jr (D-DE) Senate $19,975
Larson, John B (D-CT) House $19,750
Sununu, John E (R-NH) Senate $18,500
Kanjorski, Paul E (D-PA) House $12,000
Durbin, Dick (D-IL) Senate $11,000
Perlmutter, Edwin G (D-CO) House $10,500

http://www.opensecrets.org/orgs/recips.php?id=D000000123&type=P&state=
&sort=A&cycle=2008


"As much as I respect what he's doing, really the economy is something he should focus on more than the brackets. "
- Duke University basketball coach Mike Krzyzewski, after Obama snubbed Duke in his Final Four picks.



The U.S. economy WAS on fire under Bush, for 6 years. Until the Democrats took control of Congress. It's been all down hill since then.

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Saturday, March 28, 2009 8:36 AM

KWICKO

"We'll know our disinformation program is complete when everything the American public believes is false." -- William Casey, Reagan's presidential campaign manager & CIA Director (from first staff meeting in 1981)


Quote:


Yeah, the thread title stuff is getting ridiculous. I'd hope we could all agree to be adults and stop doing it.



It seems to come in flurries. It was on EVERY thread in RWED for a while, and then it died down. Now it's back.

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Saturday, March 28, 2009 8:52 AM

SIGNYM

I believe in solving problems, not sharing them.


Rapo... but the deregulation occurred in 1999, which made it impossible to regulate AIG's CDSs at all. And what exactly did AIG's recipients do (including McCain) that makes you think they were responsible for the mess?

Now, if you were to say that Geithner was responsible for the bailout, I'd agree! But his name is nowhere in your list!

Okay, maybe they "could have" written laws to rein in AIG, but (as I recall), when this was all peaking (2002-2007) it was the REPUBS in power. Right?

I find it fascinating, in a sad kind of way, how you always manage to pin everything wrong on "the Dems" despite all evidence to the contrary.

Are you sure "Blame the Dems" isn't one of your core beliefs?

---------------------------------
It's the end of the world as we know it, and I feel fine.

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Saturday, March 28, 2009 10:53 AM

SERGEANTX


Quote:

Originally posted by Kwicko:
Quote:


Yeah, the thread title stuff is getting ridiculous. I'd hope we could all agree to be adults and stop doing it.



It seems to come in flurries. It was on EVERY thread in RWED for a while, and then it died down. Now it's back.



It's worth noting that whenever you edit a previous post, the title will revert to whatever is showing as the thread title in that post - which may be in correct if you posted while someone was monkeying around.

SergeantX

"Dream a little dream or you can live a little dream. I'd rather live it, cause dreamers always chase but never get it." Aesop Rock

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Saturday, March 28, 2009 11:14 AM

SIGNYM

I believe in solving problems, not sharing them.


Musta not noticed. I only saw two titles: kristallnacht and new direction. The first seems overblown* but what the hell- it was the one selected by the original poster (*Kristallnacht was triggered by the assassination of German diplomat Ernst vom Rath by Herschel Grynszpan, a German-born Polish Jew. In a coordinated attack on Jewish people and their property, 91 Jews were murdered and 25,000 to 30,000 were arrested and deported to concentration camps. More than 200 synagogues were destroyed and thousands of homes and businesses were ransacked.) The second adequately described the new thread direction, I thought. Didn't seem snarky or like misdirection to me.

Did I miss something?

---------------------------------
It's the end of the world as we know it, and I feel fine.

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Sunday, March 29, 2009 9:07 AM

RUE

I have a vote and I'm not afraid to use it!


SergeantX

I just have time for one more quick post, then I gotta' get going ...

You claim (and it is only a claim) that somehow a 'regulated' environment leads to recklessness.

Regulations are simply limits on actions, generally with punitive consequences for going beyond bounds. As such, regulations imply no bailout, no safety net, no positive consequence for going too far.

Still, given that, for the sake of the discussion I'll move forward with your rather sloppy description of a regulated environment: the situation is instructive.
Here we have large financial institutions going crazy when regulations are lifted, in precisely those unregulated areas. Further, there was nothing is the Rolling Stone article indicating that they thought the government would be there if it went bad. What drove them forward, by all accounts, was greed. But then it DID go bad. And when government in the guise of Georgie and cohorts stepped in a shoveled TRILLIONS to those institutions, no strings attached, no regulations to get in the way - did they go even crazier ? After all, that is exactly the scenario you claim makes for people taking too much risk - a proven safety net and an unregulated arena in a regulated environment.

No, they got really, really conservative. Lending stopped, not just to consumers but to each other.

You can't have it both ways - a regulated environment creating risky behavior, and also creating cautious behavior. And yet, there it is.

Something is wrong here - and it is your argument.


***************************************************************

BTW: just 'cause your hero uses the term moral risk inappropriately doesn't mean you have to, too.

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Sunday, March 29, 2009 10:16 AM

SERGEANTX


rue, once again (actually I guess it was Signym before, but anyway) you're chasing ghosts that have little to do with what I'm saying. Perhaps you're missing the part where I'm am acknowledging that in the current context the deregulation that occurred was a bad idea - and that it encouraged more reckless behavior by the bankers and traders that drove us into the ground. In any case, it's hard to say whether you've shown my argument to be faulty because you don't seem to have read it.

When I read about the bizarrely convoluted investment "products" that these people were dealing with I can't help but wonder why anyone would invest their money in such a scam. And I'm not talking about the bankers, traders and fund managers themselves - it wasn't merely their own money they were flushing down the toilet. I'm talking everyday investors whose money was the fuel for all of the speculation and gambling. Why would anyone willingly play Russian Roulette with their life savings? Why would they hand their money over to those who were? Why would they have so much blind trust that their money was being managed responsibly?

I'm not sure why it is such an alien concept to you, but moral hazard is a very real phenomenon. It's a common unintended consequence of any scheme that reduces perceived risk. It's not that it directly encourages investors to seek more risk, but it does reduce the incentive for scrutiny and due diligence. The presumption that a regulatory body has been tasked with making things "safe", makes it less likely that players will worry about danger. That's such a simple concept, I'm not sure how you can deny it, but it seems you are.

Anyway, lest you make the same mistake yet again I'm not defending the deregulation that happened, and I'm not saying it was a good idea. I'm saying the opposite: Once you've set up a regulatory presumption, deregulation becomes a very risky prospect and is certainly not something we should grant for political purposes, which is what seems to have happened.




SergeantX

"Dream a little dream or you can live a little dream. I'd rather live it, cause dreamers always chase but never get it." Aesop Rock

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Sunday, March 29, 2009 10:30 AM

AURAPTOR

America loves a winner!


Quote:

I find it fascinating, in a sad kind of way, how you always manage to pin everything wrong on "the Dems" despite all evidence to the contrary.

Are you sure "Blame the Dems" isn't one of your core beliefs?



Now you're assigning core beliefs for others ? Wow.

I posted the list of A.I.G. benefactors for a reason. It did not consist of ONLY Democrats, did it ? No. And to the point about A.I.G. and the bonus $$ specifically, it's vital to point out that Chris Dodd ( Democrat ) did indeed know about the bonus clause in the loophole which allowed them to keep the money.

I'm sorry you tire of me pointing out some basic truths, but there they are, and I'm not going to deny they exist simply because it annoys you or anyone else.




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Sunday, March 29, 2009 10:50 AM

SIGNYM

I believe in solving problems, not sharing them.


Quote:

I posted the list of A.I.G. benefactors for a reason
What reason was that? You didn't follow up with anything substantive (no action assigned to any of the recipients) so your only "reason" appears to be innuendo.... creating the appearance of wrongdoing by implication.

Now, if you were to say they were at fault for voting for a bailout which includes AIG, I'd say... maybe you have a point. (But then, a lot of other Congressmen voted for it too w/out the benefit of AIG contributions, so...)

So... what WAS your point, exactly? Do you have one?

Quote:

it's vital to point out that Chris Dodd ( Democrat ) did indeed know about the bonus clause
Vital to whom and for what? Wrong implications are NEVER vital! Yeah, Dodd knew about it. He knew about it and fought against it, as Congressional records prove. Had his arm twisted into it. "Knowing about" something doesn't automatically make someone a willing participant. You can know about something and be against it, be for it, be forced into it, be forced our of it, or be neutral. Again, your logic fails due to lack of actual vital information.

Try to draw some REAL connections, rapo. Go from point A to B and then to C using information and logic, instead of posting point A and Z and assuming we're' going to make those connections for you!
Quote:

I'm sorry you tire of me pointing out some basic truths
I wish they WERE truths. But, they're not. They're just.... factoids. Meaningless bits of uninteresting information with no dots connecting them except the desire on your part to make it so.

FWIW, I assign blame for creating the mess to Phil Gramm and other "deregulating, feed the rich" republicans.. But the response to the AIG mess I assign to Tim Geithner (and therefore Obama). I think their hearts are too close to Wall Street and investment banking. My view is similar to the big cardboard sign that someone put up on wall Street:

JUMP, you fuckers.
---------------------------------
It's the end of the world as we know it, and I feel fine.

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Sunday, March 29, 2009 11:16 AM

SIGNYM

I believe in solving problems, not sharing them.


Sarge, perhaps I mistake your point. But in general you seem to have this "blame the gubmint" assumption which prevails when information to the contrary lacking.
Quote:

I'm talking everyday investors whose money was the fuel for all of the speculation and gambling. Why would anyone willingly play Russian Roulette with their life savings? Why would they hand their money over to those who were? Why would they have so much blind trust that their money was being managed responsibly?
Because businesses colluded with each other to portray their products as less risky than they really were? It was very much the Wild West: a whole new frontier of previously unexplored investment gambling with little government oversight.

AFA the insurances, it took (1) lack of regulation of new "products", (2) collusion of S&P and Moody's to grant AAA status, (3) the willingness of AIG to jump into naked Credit Default Swaps (30 lots of backdoor dealings to funnel "safe" money into unsafe investments.

I suppose if commercial banks, investment banks, insurance companies, mortgage firms, and credit unions all had BUYER BEWARE posted on their doors, MAYBE people would have looked a little more deeply into the investments behind their investments.... but it seems to me with the big shroud of secrecy that the money launderers on Wall Street threw over the mess, I don't think the outcome would have been much different.

---------------------------------
It's the end of the world as we know it, and I feel fine.

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