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5 reasons why Obama will hike middle-class taxes
Tuesday, August 4, 2009 8:16 AM
SKYWALKEN
Quote:1) Obama knows the budget math doesn’t work. Put aside today’s budget mess. It’s gospel among center-left wonks (the kind of folks who give Obama economic advice) that structural government spending as a percentage of GDP is headed sharply higher over the long term because of entitlements — and there’s little that can be done about it. The ratio has been around 20 percent or so the past few decades, and number crunchers forecast a sharp rise to 25 percent (best case scenario) to 30 percent (worst case) of GDP over the next few decades. Tax revenues typically hover around 18 percent of GDP. That gap — representing $500 billion to $1 trillion a year — will need to be closed or else cause economic chaos. The possible answers: a) less spending, b) higher tax revenues from higher growth, or c) higher tax revenues from higher rates on the non-wealthy. Oh, and the wonks are convinced “a” is a political impossibility and “b” an economic one. They’re wrong, but that’s what they think. 2) Obama seems to prefer tax hikes to spending cuts. Reduced future healthcare spending needs to be a huge part of the budget solution, and ObamaCare doesn’t make the grade at this point. Right now the various Obamacrat plans actually make things worse by failing to “bend the curve.” What’s more, Obama has proposed nothing as president to make Social Security solvent. And during the campaign, his preferred fix was higher payroll taxes rather than commonsense measures like extending the retirement age or changing how benefits are calculated. Of course, Obama has also proposed raising income, investment, corporate and energy taxes. Cut spending or raise taxes – for Obama it’s an easy pick, unfortunately. 3) Obama has already tried raising taxes. Let’s, for the sake of argument, ignore the increased federal cigarette tax that would certainly seem to be a violation of Obama’s tax pledge. Call it a misdemeanor offense. But what about his cap-and-trade proposal, a de facto energy tax on everyone? Before the plan was modified in the House, the White House expected the plan to bring in some $80 billion a year from 2012 to 2019 by auctioning off carbon emission permits (probably to pay for healthcare reform). And making energy more costly is as about as broad-based a tax as you can get. 4) Obama’s advisers are for higher taxes. Let’s review, for example, what White House economic adviser and guru Larry Summers said on Sunday about tax hikes: “There is a lot that can happen over time. It is never a good idea to absolutely rule things out no matter what.” Indeed, Summers won’t rule it out because he thinks all the Bush tax cuts need to go, not just the ones for so-called rich folks. Here is Summers from earlier this year on Meet the Press when he put no qualifiers on letting the Bush tax cuts expire at the end of 2010: “I don’t think there’s any question they have to be repealed. The country can’t afford them for the long run. … They can’t be, they can’t be part of the long-run budget picture.” Not for anyone, it seems. 5) Obama doesn’t seem to think high taxes are harmful. Think about this: Not only was the top income tax rate a stratospheric 70 percent when President Reagan took office in1981, the tax code was not indexed to inflation. A lethal combo for economic growth. But here’s what Obama wrote about the Reagan tax cuts in The Audacity of Hope: “The high marginal tax rates that existed when Reagan took office may not have curbed incentives to work or invest, but they did distort investment decisions — and did lead to the wasteful industry of setting up tax shelters.” That’s it! Heavens, if Obama doesn’t think the pre-Reagan tax code wasn’t a disincentive to working, saving and investing, is there any tax system that he would find anti-growth? Bottom line: The belief in the need for higher, European-style taxes (like a VAT) fills the policy cloud that surrounds Obama. It’s hard to overstate this. It’s right up there with global warming. Obama knows he faces a looming fiscal crisis and higher taxes will be his weapon of choice. To paraphrase Mondale, “Obama will raise middle-class taxes. He won’t tell you (yet). I just did.
Tuesday, August 4, 2009 8:18 AM
RUE
I have a vote and I'm not afraid to use it!
Tuesday, August 4, 2009 11:24 AM
FREMDFIRMA
Tuesday, August 4, 2009 11:55 AM
SIMONWHO
Tuesday, August 4, 2009 12:09 PM
Tuesday, August 4, 2009 12:14 PM
ANTHONYT
Freedom is Important because People are Important
Tuesday, August 4, 2009 4:53 PM
KWICKO
"We'll know our disinformation program is complete when everything the American public believes is false." -- William Casey, Reagan's presidential campaign manager & CIA Director (from first staff meeting in 1981)
Quote:Yes to Israeli Independence
Wednesday, August 5, 2009 2:01 AM
BIGDAMNNOBODY
Wednesday, August 5, 2009 5:24 AM
Wednesday, August 5, 2009 5:31 AM
Quote:Originally posted by BigDamnNobody: QED Anthony.
Wednesday, August 5, 2009 5:47 AM
HERO
Quote:Originally posted by rue: And the reason to NOT be upset over Bush's enormous failures ? Can you name a few ? Or even just one ?
Wednesday, August 5, 2009 5:48 AM
Quote:Originally posted by Kwicko: What other ideas have you got? Anyone?
Wednesday, August 5, 2009 5:49 AM
Quote:Originally posted by Skywalken: http://blogs.reuters.com/james-pethokoukis/2009/08/04/5-reasons-why-obama-will-hike-middle-class-taxes
Wednesday, August 5, 2009 5:51 AM
SIGNYM
I believe in solving problems, not sharing them.
Wednesday, August 5, 2009 6:21 AM
Quote:Originally posted by Hero: Quote:Originally posted by Kwicko: What other ideas have you got? Anyone? Tax abortions. H "Hero. I have come to respect you"- Chrisisall, 2009.
Wednesday, August 5, 2009 6:22 AM
Quote:Originally posted by Hero: Quote:Originally posted by Skywalken: http://blogs.reuters.com/james-pethokoukis/2009/08/04/5-reasons-why-obama-will-hike-middle-class-taxes Only need one reason...he's a Democrat. Turns out, historically speaking, Democrats raise taxes. H "Hero. I have come to respect you"- Chrisisall, 2009.
Wednesday, August 5, 2009 6:24 AM
Quote:Originally posted by Hero: Quote:Originally posted by rue: And the reason to NOT be upset over Bush's enormous failures ? Can you name a few ? Or even just one ? Just one? Ok, no domestic terrorist attacks on 9/12/2001. I can name another 2600 more or less off the top of my head. H "Hero. I have come to respect you"- Chrisisall, 2009.
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