REAL WORLD EVENT DISCUSSIONS

Iran Drone: Obama Asks For Return Of US Spy Aircraft

POSTED BY: AURAPTOR
UPDATED: Saturday, December 17, 2011 02:32
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Monday, December 12, 2011 11:33 AM

AURAPTOR

America loves a winner!


Quote:



WASHINGTON — The Obama administration said Monday it has delivered a formal request to Iran for the return of a U.S. surveillance drone captured by Iranian armed forces, but is not hopeful that Iran will comply.

President Barack Obama said that the U.S. wants the top-secret aircraft back. "We have asked for it back. We'll see how the Iranians respond," Obama said during a White House news conference with Iraqi Prime Minister Nouri al-Maliki on Monday.

He wouldn't comment on what the Iranians might learn from studying the downed aircraft.

Secretary of State Hillary Rodham Clinton said she was not optimistic about getting the drone back because of recent Iranian behavior that she said indicated "that the path that Iran seems to be going down is a dangerous one for themselves and the region."

"We submitted a formal request for the return of our lost equipment as we would in any situation to any government around the world," Clinton told reporters at a State Department news conference with British Foreign Secretary William Hague.

"Given Iran's behavior to date we do not expect them to comply but we are dealing with all of these provocations and concerning actions taken by Iran in close concert with our closest allies and partners," she said.

Neither Obama nor Clinton would provide details of the drone request, but diplomatic exchanges between Washington to Tehran are often handled by Switzerland, which represents U.S. interests in Iran. The State Department said Monday that the Swiss ambassador to Iran met with Iranian foreign ministry officials last week but refused to say what they discussed.

Iran TV reported earlier Monday that Iranian experts were in the final stages of recovering data from the RQ-170 Sentinel, which went down in Iran earlier this month. Tehran has cited the capture as a victory for Iran and displayed the nearly intact drone on state TV. U.S. officials say the aircraft malfunctioned and was not brought down by Iran.

Despite the incident, Clinton said the administration and its allies would continue to push Iran to engage over its nuclear program while at the same time increasing pressure on the regime with new, enhanced sanctions.

http://www.huffingtonpost.com/2011/12/12/iran-drone-obama_n_1143926.ht
ml


Frackin' great.

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Monday, December 12, 2011 11:46 AM

CANTTAKESKY


That IS pretty funny.

-----
"Christmas is a time when kids tell Santa what they want and adults pay for it. Deficits are when adults tell the government what they want - and their kids pay for it." - Richard Lamm

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Monday, December 12, 2011 12:22 PM

AURAPTOR

America loves a winner!


Oh yeah, that's a real hoot. One of our most top secret military vehicles ends up in hands of the Iranians, intact, and our President has the nerve to ask for it back?

I guess it's like we were told when we were young.... " It doesn't hurt to ask ".





"The world is a dangerous place. Not because of the people who are evil; but because of the people who don't do anything about it." - Albert Einstein

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Monday, December 12, 2011 12:58 PM

PIRATENEWS

John Lee, conspiracy therapist at Hollywood award-winner History Channel-mocked SNL-spoofed PirateNew.org wooHOO!!!!!!


Obama wants to find his birth certificate too.

And folks in Hell want ice water.

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Monday, December 12, 2011 7:00 PM

RIONAEIRE

Beir bua agus beannacht


When it dropped I don't see why we didn't,
A. Go get it or
B. Blow it up so they couldnt' learn from it.



"A completely coherant River means writers don't deliver" KatTaya

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Monday, December 12, 2011 7:12 PM

BYTEMITE


Riona: right on. The fact that we didn't do the obvious, or, indeed, what I believe is supposed to be standard operating proceedure here, makes me wonder if there isn't more going on than the surface story.

I can't tell yet if this is factions we can't see in our own government in conflict with each other, collaboration between the three major nations under a veneer of hostility, or actual incompetence on our part. We may never know.

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Tuesday, December 13, 2011 2:42 AM

KWICKO

"We'll know our disinformation program is complete when everything the American public believes is false." -- William Casey, Reagan's presidential campaign manager & CIA Director (from first staff meeting in 1981)


Thing is, that's pretty much exactly what diplomacy says you're supposed to do - ask for the return of your property. We're supposed to ask for it back, and they're supposed to either refuse, or work out a "trade". It's this side of diplomacy that I find particularly scummy: we have to keep smiling at each other and shaking hands while we're trying to use the other hand to sharpen the knives to plunge into each other's backs again...

That the controllers weren't able to auto-destruct the drone says to me that they may not have actually been in control of it at the time. Also, it looks to be in remarkably good condition, considering its "crash" - they keep the undercarriage and bottom of the wing surface hidden from view, so at a guess I'd say it was lightly bellied in - and probably not under CIA control when that happened.

And if you don't want your highly-classified, very special military toys to fall into the hands of your rivals, then you probably shouldn't be playing around in their airspace. Finders, keepers, and all that.

"Although it is not true that all conservatives are stupid people, it is true that most stupid people are conservatives." - John Stuart Mill

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Tuesday, December 13, 2011 3:12 AM

AURAPTOR

America loves a winner!



What I don't understand is how they were able to detect it in the first place.

Did we fly the gorram thing in broad daylight ? Seems to me ya can't jam its signal unless you know its there...

There's so much wrong w/ this story.



"The world is a dangerous place. Not because of the people who are evil; but because of the people who don't do anything about it." - Albert Einstein

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Tuesday, December 13, 2011 3:39 AM

CANTTAKESKY


Quote:

Originally posted by Bytemite:
Riona: right on. The fact that we didn't do the obvious, or, indeed, what I believe is supposed to be standard operating proceedure here, makes me wonder if there isn't more going on than the surface story.

I can't tell yet if this is factions we can't see in our own government in conflict with each other, collaboration between the three major nations under a veneer of hostility, or actual incompetence on our part. We may never know.



As I understand it, there is a cloak and dagger saga going on right now between Iran and the USA and Israel that can be made into a James Bond / Tom Clancy movie.

http://www.nationaljournal.com/nationalsecurity/drone-incident-highlig
hts-u-s-efforts-against-iran-20111212



-----
"Christmas is a time when kids tell Santa what they want and adults pay for it. Deficits are when adults tell the government what they want - and their kids pay for it." - Richard Lamm

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Tuesday, December 13, 2011 3:41 AM

JONGSSTRAW


A few months ago both Obama and Hillary Clinton told America and the world that Iran had engaged in a secret plot to carry out the assassinations of Saudi and other diplomats in the U.S. They both made big bold televised threats that Iran "would pay" for their actions. I guess they meant we'd give 'em a free drone plane, 'cause after all, it's the fair thing to do.









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Tuesday, December 13, 2011 5:22 AM

BYTEMITE


Kwicko and AU both bring up a good point: what if the Iranians hacked it?

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Tuesday, December 13, 2011 5:42 AM

KWICKO

"We'll know our disinformation program is complete when everything the American public believes is false." -- William Casey, Reagan's presidential campaign manager & CIA Director (from first staff meeting in 1981)


There's also the flipside of the equation - we already unleashed the Stuxnet virus/worm into their nuclear programs (allegedly); suppose this is another method of getting yet another computer worm into the Iranian defense systems? Take a somewhat-less-than-fully-serviceable drone, remove most of its main (classified) systems, substitute worm code that LOOKS like the highly-classified stuff, and "let" the Iranians capture it, shoot it down, hack it, or whatever.

Definitely something to think about.

"Although it is not true that all conservatives are stupid people, it is true that most stupid people are conservatives." - John Stuart Mill

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Tuesday, December 13, 2011 5:43 AM

AURAPTOR

America loves a winner!


Either it was hacked, or someone on our side straight out delivered it to the mullah's front door. Maybe as an early christmas present? Neither scenario is very comforting.


" I do not love the bright sword for its sharpness, nor the arrow for its swiftness, nor the warrior for his glory. I love only that which they defend. "

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Tuesday, December 13, 2011 6:32 AM

HERO


The obvious solution to is blow it up. We don't know where it is? Thats ok, we have lots of very, very big bombs and Iran has lots of things worth blowing up.

Its simple, we call up Iran and say, "give me my drone", they say "no", we say "or else", they say "or else what", we give them satalite picture of every Iranian military facility and the homes of every Iranian Mullah and the President and say "24 hours then boom" along with the location of a nice quiet spot in the desert to park our drone.

Then they either put the drone where we can safely blow it up or we systematically flatten Iran. Slowly. With running commentary. "Oh, sorry was that your house...too bad." "Oops, was your airforce using that airfield, gosh, thats so unfortunate." "Those naval vessels were yours, oh my..." "Did you need that Revolutionary Guard barracks? Cause I was aiming for the drone and assumed when it said 'training facility' it meant 'infidel drone storage center', Persian is such a complicated language."

And we bill them for the weapons we use, because really this is all their fault.

H

"Hero. I have come to respect you." "I am forced to agree with Hero here."- Chrisisall, 2009.
"I agree with Hero." Niki2, 2011.

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Tuesday, December 13, 2011 7:00 AM

BYTEMITE


Totally how diplomacy works. Weren't you all afraid that Iran might have a nuclear bomb? I mean, just because they're trying to engineer the technology doesn't mean that they haven't just bought one from Russia or China.

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Tuesday, December 13, 2011 7:23 AM

RIONAEIRE

Beir bua agus beannacht


Was it hacked? That's what my dad said a few days ago, he thinks that Iran hacked into the drone's computers and jammed the signal that we send so it would only find the Iranian signal, which was to land neatly in a convenient location so the Iranians could take it apart and figure it out.

I think Quicko's theory might be a valid one too, about how we rigged it so it would mess up their system with a virus.

"A completely coherant River means writers don't deliver" KatTaya

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Tuesday, December 13, 2011 7:37 AM

KPO

Sometimes you own the libs. Sometimes, the libs own you.


Quote:

Originally posted by Hero:
The obvious solution to is blow it up. We don't know where it is? Thats ok, we have lots of very, very big bombs and Iran has lots of things worth blowing up.

Its simple, we call up Iran and say, "give me my drone", they say "no", we say "or else", they say "or else what", we give them satalite picture of every Iranian military facility and the homes of every Iranian Mullah and the President and say "24 hours then boom" along with the location of a nice quiet spot in the desert to park our drone.

Then they either put the drone where we can safely blow it up or we systematically flatten Iran. Slowly. With running commentary. "Oh, sorry was that your house...too bad." "Oops, was your airforce using that airfield, gosh, thats so unfortunate." "Those naval vessels were yours, oh my..." "Did you need that Revolutionary Guard barracks? Cause I was aiming for the drone and assumed when it said 'training facility' it meant 'infidel drone storage center', Persian is such a complicated language."

And we bill them for the weapons we use, because really this is all their fault.

H

"Hero. I have come to respect you." "I am forced to agree with Hero here."- Chrisisall, 2009.
"I agree with Hero." Niki2, 2011.



6 months later Iran conducts its first successful nuclear bomb test, and declares itself a nuclear power. America never gets its drone back, but China and Russia get to have a good look...

It's not personal. It's just war.

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Tuesday, December 13, 2011 8:42 AM

NIKI2

Gettin' old, but still a hippie at heart...


What I've been hearing is that they lost control of it--the hacking thing--in which case they wouldn't have been able to blow it up, yes? As to blowing it up once on the ground, I think that's something they'd think twice about, given it means bombing Iran...

Then you have to weigh bombing Iran against letting Iran/China/Russia have such important technolog...

The other thing is that Iran is making a lot of noise that they can reverse engineer it or use it or something, but that in actuality they will share it with Russia/China, who CAN.

Both sound plausable to me.

As to asking for it back, I found that amusing, too...but if it's protocol, it's just more of same old, same old. Pretty silly, nonetheless.



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Tuesday, December 13, 2011 10:00 AM

AURAPTOR

America loves a winner!


Guess someone picked the wrong week to stop sniffin' glue...





Quote:


(Reuters) - A U.S. drone aircraft crashed at Seychelles International Airport on Tuesday, the U.S. embassy in Mauritius said.

"A U.S. Air Force remote-piloted MQ-9 crashed at the Seychelles International Airport in Mahe. The MQ-9 was not armed and no injuries were reported," the embassy said in a statement.

The Seychelles Civil Aviation Authority (SCAA) confirmed the incident and said that the plane was on a "routine patrol" and had crashed because of mechanical failure.

The U.S. embassy did not comment on the plane's mission and said that the cause of the crash was unknown.

Iran announced on December 4 it had downed a U.S. drone in the eastern part of the country, near Afghanistan. It has since shown the plane on television and said it is close to cracking its technological secrets.

(Reporting by George Thande; Writing by Barry Malone)




" I do not love the bright sword for its sharpness, nor the arrow for its swiftness, nor the warrior for his glory. I love only that which they defend. "

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Tuesday, December 13, 2011 10:39 AM

ANTHONYT

Freedom is Important because People are Important


Hello,

My understanding is that we were violating foreign airspace by flying spycraft over it. They are probably well within their rights to keep the craft.

Starting hostilities to recover a craft (that was probably captured while doing something we would consider illegal were it done to us) seems wrong.

It's like shooting someone and demanding the return of the bullet, then warning them that you'll become violent if the bullet isn't returned.

Violating foreign airspace could be construed as a hostile action.

We got caught, they have our technology, we're idiots. We should move on.

--Anthony





_______________________________________________

"In every war, the state enacts a tax of freedom upon the citizenry. The unspoken promise is that the tax shall be revoked at war's end. Endless war holds no such promise. Hence, Eternal War is Eternal Slavery." --Admiral Robert J. Henner


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Tuesday, December 13, 2011 10:54 AM

AURAPTOR

America loves a winner!



Obama's asking the Iranians to give our drone back is nothing short of demoralizing. It smacks of a kid, asking the neighbor for his baseball back, after having knocked it through the neighbor's window.

Sorry kid, now go play hop scotch w/ your kid sister.




"The world is a dangerous place. Not because of the people who are evil; but because of the people who don't do anything about it." - Albert Einstein

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Tuesday, December 13, 2011 11:00 AM

KWICKO

"We'll know our disinformation program is complete when everything the American public believes is false." -- William Casey, Reagan's presidential campaign manager & CIA Director (from first staff meeting in 1981)


Leave it to Rappy to find a way to be angry at Obama about it.

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Tuesday, December 13, 2011 11:09 AM

AURAPTOR

America loves a winner!


Quote:

Originally posted by Kwicko:
Leave it to Rappy to find a way to be angry at Obama about it.



Every American should be upset at this, regardless of who is President.

There are wild rumors being spread now that we could have destroyed the drone, before the Iranians recovered it, but Obama chose not to.

If THAT'S true, this literally falls at his feet, as a major screw up on his part.



" I do not love the bright sword for its sharpness, nor the arrow for its swiftness, nor the warrior for his glory. I love only that which they defend. "

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Tuesday, December 13, 2011 11:16 AM

KWICKO

"We'll know our disinformation program is complete when everything the American public believes is false." -- William Casey, Reagan's presidential campaign manager & CIA Director (from first staff meeting in 1981)


Quote:

Originally posted by AURaptor:
Quote:

Originally posted by Kwicko:
Leave it to Rappy to find a way to be angry at Obama about it.



Every American should be upset at this, regardless of who is President.



Why?

Quote:


There are wild rumors being spread now that we could have destroyed the drone, before the Iranians recovered it, but Obama chose not to.




That's what you're basing your anger on? "Wild" rumors?

Quote:


If THAT'S true, this literally falls at his feet, as a major screw up on his part.




Yes, because we all know that the President has his finger on The Button every time the U.S. flies a drone...

What we've learned from recent events is this: If the "wild rumors" are true, you'll blame Obama; if they aren't true... you'll blame Obama.

Now go light your "candle opera", kid.

"Although it is not true that all conservatives are stupid people, it is true that most stupid people are conservatives." - John Stuart Mill

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Tuesday, December 13, 2011 11:58 AM

HERO


Quote:

Originally posted by Bytemite:
Totally how diplomacy works. Weren't you all afraid that Iran might have a nuclear bomb? I mean, just because they're trying to engineer the technology doesn't mean that they haven't just bought one from Russia or China.


Iran "might" have a bomb and they "might" use it. We have a different kind of "might", as in we will use our might to crush Iran if they use a nuclear bomb against us.

The Iranian Memorial Parking Lot would be a great place to drive through on the way to Afganistan and we would no longer have to upset the Pakistanis.

Poor Iran. All this money and effort to make a handful of bombs...when we could simply give them hundreds. Give the drone back...those drones are dangerous, just having one when it does not belong to you can cause random large booms around your country. Nobody wants that, safer just to give it back.

H

"Hero. I have come to respect you." "I am forced to agree with Hero here."- Chrisisall, 2009.
"I agree with Hero." Niki2, 2011.

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Tuesday, December 13, 2011 12:07 PM

HERO


Quote:

Originally posted by AnthonyT:
My understanding is that we were violating foreign airspace by flying spycraft over it. They are probably well within their rights to keep the craft.

Violating foreign airspace could be construed as a hostile action.


Your right, but that assumes the US and Iran are equal. They are not. We have every right to violate their airspace...because we can and will and if they are really all that upset they can declare war on us (which is their sole remedy) and see what that gets them.

I know it sounds harsh and unfair, but my approach and reasoning has solid basis in both history and international law. Your the one who wants to create a fiction of soveriegn equality that has no basis in reality. Luxemburg cannot dictate to France, Kuwait cannot dictate to China, Rhode Island can't tell New York what to do.

But people will hate us? Wow, wonder what that would be like. The Iranians will resort to terror? Again, we're already there. People will protest in the streets? Eh, the 99% thing was getting old and those kids needs to keep warm anyway this time of year.

H

"Hero. I have come to respect you." "I am forced to agree with Hero here."- Chrisisall, 2009.
"I agree with Hero." Niki2, 2011.

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Tuesday, December 13, 2011 12:09 PM

KWICKO

"We'll know our disinformation program is complete when everything the American public believes is false." -- William Casey, Reagan's presidential campaign manager & CIA Director (from first staff meeting in 1981)


"Hero", you talk the big talk, but you fail to realize that this country can't even beat a stone-age country like Afghanistan in a war. You've been consistently wrong on U.S. military might and outcome of hostilities for as long as you've been posting here.

"Although it is not true that all conservatives are stupid people, it is true that most stupid people are conservatives." - John Stuart Mill

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Tuesday, December 13, 2011 12:10 PM

HERO


Quote:

Originally posted by AURaptor:

Obama's asking the Iranians to give our drone back is nothing short of demoralizing. It smacks of a kid, asking the neighbor for his baseball back, after having knocked it through the neighbor's window.


Its exactly like that. Once they had it there was no harm in asking, the problem is there was no harm to Iran for saying "no".

We should have used the carrot/stick approach. You know, where you beat them with the stick after shoving the carrot up their ass. Works every time and makes everyone involved feel better.

H

"Hero. I have come to respect you." "I am forced to agree with Hero here."- Chrisisall, 2009.
"I agree with Hero." Niki2, 2011.

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Tuesday, December 13, 2011 12:11 PM

KWICKO

"We'll know our disinformation program is complete when everything the American public believes is false." -- William Casey, Reagan's presidential campaign manager & CIA Director (from first staff meeting in 1981)


Quote:

Your right, but that assumes the US and Iran are equal. They are not. We have every right to violate their airspace...because we can and will and if they are really all that upset they can declare war on us (which is their sole remedy) and see what that gets them.



Well, that DOES explain why America jumps every time China tells them to...

By the way, that's not exactly their *sole remedy*, is it? As has been shown, they can also down the drone or hack it and take it over, reverse engineer it, and sell the goodies off to Russia and China if they want. I think you call that "capitalism".

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Tuesday, December 13, 2011 12:12 PM

KWICKO

"We'll know our disinformation program is complete when everything the American public believes is false." -- William Casey, Reagan's presidential campaign manager & CIA Director (from first staff meeting in 1981)


Quote:

We should have used the carrot/stick approach. You know, where you beat them with the stick after shoving the carrot up their ass. Works every time and makes everyone involved feel better.



I'm guessing you don't get a lot of second dates...

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Tuesday, December 13, 2011 12:16 PM

BYTEMITE


I doubt they'd use it on us. I'm not even sure they've developed the missile technology to launch a warhead, though I guess they could park it in a New York subway and rig a remote detonator. But ISRAEL on the other hand, who we're ostensibly supposed to be helping and defending, that's another story.

But hey, what do I know? Who cares about an easily avoidable escalation and mutually assured destruction and potentially millions of deaths when we've got MACHISMO on our side?

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Tuesday, December 13, 2011 3:00 PM

RIONAEIRE

Beir bua agus beannacht


I think Iran already has a nuc.

"A completely coherant River means writers don't deliver" KatTaya

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Tuesday, December 13, 2011 3:07 PM

DREAMTROVE


Jong, that was pretty funny.

Hacked? Unlikely, but if it is, we're in a lot worse shape than I think.

I suspect we sent it on an unofficial spying mission, like with the U2, and, like the U2, it got shot down, and now we have the embarrassment of explaining what we were doing in the first place.

I doubt it was sabotage or treason from our side. I think it was on a mission over Iran.

Virus? I doubt it. I think the whole virus story was a fantasy to begin with.

Anthony's right, of course, spoils of war.

Rap, I think you've been underestimating your opponent. The phrase sniffing glue would only have occurred to me in reference to Hero.

Quote:

Anthony:


We got caught, they have our technology, we're idiots. We should move on.



Nailed it.

Quote:

Rap:
Obama's asking the Iranians to give our drone back is nothing short of demoralizing.



I agree.

Quote:

Mike:

Leave it to Rappy to find a way to be angry at Obama about it.


Not sure. Yes, he makes a lot of jabs about the prez, but he has also defended him against a lot of our jabs. This time, I think he's right.


Quote:

Rap:

There are wild rumors being spread now that we could have destroyed the drone, before the Iranians recovered it, but Obama chose not to.


I find this unlikely. If we could have destroyed the drone, it would have been a decision at the tactical level not the strategic, and I think you know this would mean local commands and not the CiC. (one of the areas of my serious ignorance)

We're involved in a truly hopeless conflict, and in the process, we could potentially create a monster. If we had never been a threat to Iran, I'm not sure they ever would have had a nuclear program. I can see Iran with predator drones now, possibly armed ones. Maybe we should start talking before the shooting starts. This bit with the euroweenies taking their ambassadors and going home is making me nervous.

I feel the same way about our stupidity in Pakistan. We were so hell bent on getting western pakistan under control so we could surround Iran with bases that we completely missed the fact that pakistan was a very unstable country that has a strong communist front and could become part of china's military empire, and that perhaps it was a more valuable playing piece by itself than Iran was, and now we've seriously fucked ourselves.

That's what a ship is, you know - it's not just a keel and a hull and a deck and sails, that's what a ship needs.

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Tuesday, December 13, 2011 6:24 PM

AURAPTOR

America loves a winner!


" Why ?" - Not even worthy of a response, so stupid is the question.

"That's what you're basing your anger on? "Wild" rumors? " - No, and as usual, you distort what I said and go running down a completely different path, one having nothing to do w/ what I said.

" Yes, because we all know that the President has his finger on The Button every time the U.S. flies a drone.. "

This wasn't any drone. And judging from the tone of those who work in D.C, and have covered that town for many years, this isn't a small matter.

What was that drone doing there in the 1st place? Out top military stealth technology ? This was no mere Predator, scouting out anti missile batteries.... I have to think we were up to something, something significant. Maybe doing prep work for Israel? So they can attack some nuke sites ? Or is there something else going on in Iran which is top secret?

I know your small mind likes to only deal in partisan politics, but I'm looking past all that b.s. Try and keep up, if ya can.


And yes, DT, I've heard some rumors which simply don't add up, and even I don't buy them. Also, some have gone to mixing 2 different rumors into one, making it even harder to see the truth.

Someone dropped the ball here, and we may never know who. With out question, the drone SHOULD have been destroyed, first, and then sort out the political mess later. Easier to ask for forgiveness than permission. Always.


" I do not love the bright sword for its sharpness, nor the arrow for its swiftness, nor the warrior for his glory. I love only that which they defend. "

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Wednesday, December 14, 2011 1:09 AM

DREAMTROVE


My basic take on the situation is that Iran is plenty smart, smart enough to realize that it's not really a match for the US. However, we have our foot seriously within their area of influence, and they want us gone. They'd like to play the whole mideast thing out as a cold war, something they feel comfortable with, and may see themselves winning.

Basically I see everything they have done as moving towards this position, and away from war coming to their front door, which they definitely don't want. I also think that they've put a lot of effort into trying to put themselves in a situation where if war *does* come to their door, it will also come to *ours*. It doesn't really matter how much they can bring the war to our door, as long as they can, because I think they suspect that it's been a long time since any major ground warfare touched down on US soil and that we've grown a weak stomach for it. (Remember, it's well within living memory for the Iranians.)

I think what happened here is, yeah, sure, the drone undoubtedly has a self-destruct, and americans felt either confident, or like it was a fair risk and tried to get as much of the data as they could, which, yes, was I suspect an act of war, and prepwork for some attack like the planned Israeli assault. I think it was a calculated risk, albeit a poorly calculated one.

I also suspect the very early in the confrontation we lost the signal, and we weren't able to do anything like a self destruct. After the craft disappeared, hope probably took over, and Washington decided not to risk going after it hoping it had crashed somewhere in the desert due to mechanical failure, or simply been destroyed by a Russian anti-aircraft battery. Going after it would have been obvious.

My guess would be that if we do bring the war to Iran, they actually can bring the war here, though not full scale, perhaps enough to seriously test whether America does have a stomach for open war on her home turf. If it were up to me, I'd back off and not do it, I think it's a poor strategic decision, and I think that's why Bush didn't do it. While I may think that overall American empire is a waste of US resources when we should be focusing on being able to compete economically with China and India, I can see that if you're going to do it, attacking something you can easily squash like Iraq makes more sense than this, or the nonsense with trying to pacify places like remote provinces in Afghanistan or Somalia.

Arab Spring is probably something else I think is a bad idea, but if you're going to do it, you're accepting that cold war game. There's a possibility here to keep it a cold war game, because, after all, we did so after the U2 incident that this seems so similar to, mainly because both the US and Russia did not want the war to touch on their own back yards, something which I feel confident the Iranians don't want and I would hope that the CiC doesn't want, but I'm less sure of that. If it comes to that, I feel fairly confident that the Iranians will be able to bring it here to some extent, in part because I think they have shown a fairly strong awareness of precedent (in particular, I think this would have been a good move for Japan, which they could have done, and for some reason Tojo decided not to pursue it, too bent, I suspect, on building empire, which can be distracting as we are currently seeing: I mean, yes, sure, when you're a superpower you *can* invade or start revolutions in a dozen countries as once, but is it really a good idea, when you will not be able to focus you efforts? Even without total war, I see some nasty regimes coming out of this game. We have some very major players in amongst the dominoes, like Egypt, Turkey and Pakistan.

As for the reverse engineering of the drone, I suspect they can't do it themselves, but I think they have friends that can, and will share it with them for the information. I suspect these friends are Russia, and maybe China. I think the Russians and the Iranians understand each other quite well: Russians are brutal imperialists who have invaded Iran in the past, and "talking to Iran is like beating your head against a wall" as the Russian foreign minister put it. People who are basically nice to one another might think that two such personalities would not get along, but I think they would. Negatives sometimes work very well together. They are perpetually suspicious, and they like it that way. It's a relationship built on suspicion, and not on trust, like the relationship between the US and Britain.

Meanwhile, pursuing this nonsense agenda will sap american dry

That's what a ship is, you know - it's not just a keel and a hull and a deck and sails, that's what a ship needs.

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Wednesday, December 14, 2011 2:44 AM

KWICKO

"We'll know our disinformation program is complete when everything the American public believes is false." -- William Casey, Reagan's presidential campaign manager & CIA Director (from first staff meeting in 1981)


Interesting graphic, showing U.S. bases in the area.



Iran is clearly the threatening one here... [/sarcasm]



"Although it is not true that all conservatives are stupid people, it is true that most stupid people are conservatives." - John Stuart Mill

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Wednesday, December 14, 2011 4:17 AM

DREAMTROVE


That's the map that has me worried. That's not an invasion plan, it's idiocy. If it is an invasion plan, it has no army.

We also "have" these:



But there's a serious error that was made here. We don't have these by force, like the others, we have these because we rented them. The central asian republics aren't like Eastern Europe in terms of independence, if we find ourselves in a conflict on which Russia is on the other side, we have a problem.



In addition to purchased loyalty, we have some very tentative loyalty that might not stand up to this war, given the ethnic backgrounds, which have their roots here.

We intended to use these

But the political situation at the moment is making that idea look a little weak.



If any of those side with Iran, we have more of a problem, which is nothing compared to the problem we have if Russia and China do, as we would be at war with the entire continent.



Everyone west of the River is ethnically iranian, and speaks a persian dialect. East of the River are people who really don't want this war, they're indo-aryan muslims. North of this map, everyone is a muslim who speaks Russian.

West of here of course are arabs, but you see where we've made a case that Iran is an isolated nation surrounded by the arab world, which isn't really the case. It's not as sewn up as the ring of US air bases make it look. At the moment, we've had three failed flyovers. It's not that Iran by itself is impossible to conquer, it's just going to be very very difficult, and that China and Russia and India are all quite sure that they don't want us to have it.

Once again, we have our nose in someone else's business, but as you can also see on the above map, compared to afghanistan, we're asking for a much larger war with 5 times the population, so we might want to reflect back on how we are doing in our current war (pink is unfriendly, red is hostile) map in afghanistan.



That's what a ship is, you know - it's not just a keel and a hull and a deck and sails, that's what a ship needs.

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Wednesday, December 14, 2011 4:53 AM

ANTHONYT

Freedom is Important because People are Important


Quote:

Originally posted by Hero:
Quote:

Originally posted by AnthonyT:
My understanding is that we were violating foreign airspace by flying spycraft over it. They are probably well within their rights to keep the craft.

Violating foreign airspace could be construed as a hostile action.


Your right, but that assumes the US and Iran are equal. They are not. We have every right to violate their airspace...because we can and will and if they are really all that upset they can declare war on us (which is their sole remedy) and see what that gets them.

I know it sounds harsh and unfair, but my approach and reasoning has solid basis in both history and international law. Your the one who wants to create a fiction of soveriegn equality that has no basis in reality. Luxemburg cannot dictate to France, Kuwait cannot dictate to China, Rhode Island can't tell New York what to do.

But people will hate us? Wow, wonder what that would be like. The Iranians will resort to terror? Again, we're already there. People will protest in the streets? Eh, the 99% thing was getting old and those kids needs to keep warm anyway this time of year.

H

"Hero. I have come to respect you." "I am forced to agree with Hero here."- Chrisisall, 2009.
"I agree with Hero." Niki2, 2011.



Hello,

This is a remarkable point of view. Apparently, you feel that the U.S. should do whatever it likes wherever it likes and damn everything and everyone.

Incidentally, their 'sole remedy' is not to declare war on us. Their 'sole remedy' is to spit in our faces, say no, and watch us rail impotently. Because the U.S. simply can't afford a new war as we struggle to implement austerity measures at home. Any attempt to start up a new war will see this country spiral into additional debt we can't afford, additional anger at politicians, and additional empowerment of protesters against them.

--Anthony



_______________________________________________

"In every war, the state enacts a tax of freedom upon the citizenry. The unspoken promise is that the tax shall be revoked at war's end. Endless war holds no such promise. Hence, Eternal War is Eternal Slavery." --Admiral Robert J. Henner


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Wednesday, December 14, 2011 8:45 AM

KWICKO

"We'll know our disinformation program is complete when everything the American public believes is false." -- William Casey, Reagan's presidential campaign manager & CIA Director (from first staff meeting in 1981)


Quote:

If any of those side with Iran, we have more of a problem, which is nothing compared to the problem we have if Russia and China do, as we would be at war with the entire continent.



Oh, darn - and here I was trying to bite my tongue. I was wondering how long it would take for those little issues to come up. Russia does indeed have signed treaties with Iran, and China is thought to have their back as well. And for all we know, India may, too.

All three of them have a vested interest in seeing us bogged down in yet another foreign misadventure, because all three of them are either superpowers already, or on the cusp of becoming so. So what happens if we decide to do this?

Y'all go on ahead with your war. It will mean the end of your country, of course, but go right ahead. But please stop all your whining about how "broke" we are.

"Although it is not true that all conservatives are stupid people, it is true that most stupid people are conservatives." - John Stuart Mill

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Wednesday, December 14, 2011 9:24 AM

HERO


Quote:

Originally posted by AnthonyT:
Incidentally, their 'sole remedy' is not to declare war on us. Their 'sole remedy' is to spit in our faces, say no, and watch us rail impotently.


When a country violates your soveriegnty you can fuss, complain, refuse to trade with them, but if they continue to do it...war is the only solution.

Its like 1812 with the British seizing American sailors off American ships. Sure they pushed us for years before that and were not going to stop, so at some point its fight or bend over.

Now the US is pretty nice about things. We don't ask for a lot, we tend to give our allies a lot, despite this Iran continues to make us angry...clearly they don't like us when we are all nice and snuggly, so like the man says, "its time to be not nice" and see if that works out better for everyone.

You also mentioned that I think the US can do what it wants when it wants...yes, that is true of the US and every country including Iran. When you follow the logic of that, you'll see that a country having the freedom to act is how the world really works. For example. Nazi Germany was free to attack Poland. Poland was free to fight back if they wanted. Britain and France were free to fight Germany if they chose...and on and on. Canada was free to sign the Kyoto Treaty...then free to withdraw from it. Other countries can then be free to react to Canada...or not as they choose. Right now the US is choosing to be weak in confronting Iran. Iran is choosing to push the situation.

Also, in my scenario the choice is entirely up to Iran as to if they would be attacked. Since they know they can't win...forcing the issue makes no sense. Hence Iranian leaders are either insane or irresponsible or incompetent and deserve to be removed...for the good of the entire region.

H

"Hero. I have come to respect you." "I am forced to agree with Hero here."- Chrisisall, 2009.
"I agree with Hero." Niki2, 2011.

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Wednesday, December 14, 2011 9:34 AM

ANTHONYT

Freedom is Important because People are Important



Hello,

I suppose I hold my country to a higher standard of responsibility than you do. What they are free to do is what we allow them to do, and I would strongly oppose any more belligerences aimed at Iran.

There is a foolish bully in this scenario, but I'm not convinced that the bully is the nation of Iran, who dares exercise sovereignty in the face of the world. I find it telling that you think merely opposing the wishes of the United States is an irresponsible act, and a choice so poor that it is enough to earn the Iranian leadership a removal from office.

I will posit a counterpoint.

Going to war with Iran is so fiscally irresponsible that it should earn the United States leadership a removal from office.

I don't care if they have our remote-controlled airplane. We need to get off their lawn. Indeed, we need to stop vandalizing the whole neighborhood. We can't afford to pay the fines.

In my opinion.

--Anthony


_______________________________________________

"In every war, the state enacts a tax of freedom upon the citizenry. The unspoken promise is that the tax shall be revoked at war's end. Endless war holds no such promise. Hence, Eternal War is Eternal Slavery." --Admiral Robert J. Henner


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Wednesday, December 14, 2011 10:20 AM

HERO


Quote:

Originally posted by AnthonyT:
I suppose I hold my country to a higher standard of responsibility than you do. What they are free to do is what we allow them to do, and I would strongly oppose any more belligerences aimed at Iran.


Actually its not a standard of responsibility, its a moral judgement. You are not willing to fight. Iran knows this and so they feel free to act without fear of reprisal or consequence.

Its the same calculation that resulted in the Iraq War. Saddam knew he could not defeat the US. He believed that the US could not attack because of internal and external resistance. Therefore he refused to back down and was shocked when we actually attacked.

If instead people had rallied to President Bush's support and a united country and world had demanded he comply, then he likely would have complied and we'd have been saved this long drawn out conflict.

In other words, your moral stand on issues like this can result in more conflict, cost, death, and destruction then if you had supported those whose policies your opposed.
Quote:


I will posit a counterpoint.

Going to war with Iran is so fiscally irresponsible that it should earn the United States leadership a removal from office.


You make a good point, one I already addressed.

We bomb them, then bill them.

H

"Hero. I have come to respect you." "I am forced to agree with Hero here."- Chrisisall, 2009.
"I agree with Hero." Niki2, 2011.

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Wednesday, December 14, 2011 10:25 AM

KWICKO

"We'll know our disinformation program is complete when everything the American public believes is false." -- William Casey, Reagan's presidential campaign manager & CIA Director (from first staff meeting in 1981)


So, um... "Hero",


Why do you assume that "they can't win"?


The U.S. has already been beaten by lesser foes.

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Wednesday, December 14, 2011 10:59 AM

STORYMARK


Havn't you already answered that? Because he is *always* wrong.

"Goram it kid, let's frak this thing and go home! Engage!"

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Wednesday, December 14, 2011 11:41 AM

HERO


Quote:

Originally posted by Kwicko:
So, um... "Hero",


Why do you assume that "they can't win"?


The U.S. has already been beaten by lesser foes.


Really? Name two.

H

"Hero. I have come to respect you." "I am forced to agree with Hero here."- Chrisisall, 2009.
"I agree with Hero." Niki2, 2011.

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Wednesday, December 14, 2011 11:42 AM

KWICKO

"We'll know our disinformation program is complete when everything the American public believes is false." -- William Casey, Reagan's presidential campaign manager & CIA Director (from first staff meeting in 1981)


1) Viet Nam.

2) Cuba.

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Wednesday, December 14, 2011 11:47 AM

DREAMTROVE


Quote:

Hero:

When a country violates your soveriegnty you can fuss, complain, refuse to trade with them, but if they continue to do it...war is the only solution.



I feel quite blessed that the Iranians don't think the way Hero does.

Quote:

Originally posted by AnthonyT:

I don't care if they have our remote-controlled airplane. We need to get off their lawn. Indeed, we need to stop vandalizing the whole neighborhood. We can't afford to pay the fines.



That was awesome.

That's what a ship is, you know - it's not just a keel and a hull and a deck and sails, that's what a ship needs.

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Wednesday, December 14, 2011 12:05 PM

ANTHONYT

Freedom is Important because People are Important


"In other words, your moral stand on issues like this can result in more conflict, cost, death, and destruction then if you had supported those whose policies your opposed."

Hello,

Actually, I supported the Iraq war. It turned out that virtually everything about the Iraq war was a lie, and the region is less stable than it was before we invaded.

I managed to learn from the affair.

Now I am being urged to support another baseless war? Against a foe who has done nothing to us? This is your argument? "Step aboard the war wagon or you will be responsible for unnecessary bloodshed?"

I dismiss such charges with extreme prejudice.

--Anthony


_______________________________________________

"In every war, the state enacts a tax of freedom upon the citizenry. The unspoken promise is that the tax shall be revoked at war's end. Endless war holds no such promise. Hence, Eternal War is Eternal Slavery." --Admiral Robert J. Henner


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Wednesday, December 14, 2011 12:52 PM

KWICKO

"We'll know our disinformation program is complete when everything the American public believes is false." -- William Casey, Reagan's presidential campaign manager & CIA Director (from first staff meeting in 1981)


Quote:

Originally posted by dreamtrove:
Quote:

Hero:

When a country violates your soveriegnty you can fuss, complain, refuse to trade with them, but if they continue to do it...war is the only solution.



I feel quite blessed that the Iranians don't think the way Hero does.

Quote:

Originally posted by AnthonyT:

I don't care if they have our remote-controlled airplane. We need to get off their lawn. Indeed, we need to stop vandalizing the whole neighborhood. We can't afford to pay the fines.



That was awesome.

That's what a ship is, you know - it's not just a keel and a hull and a deck and sails, that's what a ship needs.




Indeed, to both of your responses.

"Although it is not true that all conservatives are stupid people, it is true that most stupid people are conservatives." - John Stuart Mill

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Wednesday, December 14, 2011 1:06 PM

DREAMTROVE


Quote:

Originally posted by AnthonyT:

I managed to learn from the affair.



This is how you differ from those in our govt. I guess these are little things in the mysterious soup called "electability"

That's what a ship is, you know - it's not just a keel and a hull and a deck and sails, that's what a ship needs.

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