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REAL WORLD EVENT DISCUSSIONS
The facts about the growth of spending under Obama
Monday, May 28, 2012 3:39 AM
GEEZER
Keep the Shiny side up
Quote:“I simply make the point, as an editor might say, to check it out; do not buy into the BS that you hear about spending and fiscal constraint with regard to this administration. I think doing so is a sign of sloth and laziness.” — White House spokesman Jay Carney, remarks to the press gaggle, May 23, 2012 The spokesman’s words caught our attention because here at The Fact Checker we try to root out “BS” wherever it occurs. Carney made his comments while berating reporters for not realizing that “the rate of spending — federal spending — increase is lower under President Obama than all of his predecessors since Dwight Eisenhower, including all of his Republican predecessors.” He cited as his source an article by Rex Nutting, of MarketWatch, titled, “Obama spending binge never happened,” which has been the subject of lots of buzz in the liberal blogosphere. But we are talking about the federal budget here. That means lots of numbers — numbers that are easily manipulated. Let’s take a look. The Facts First of all, there are a few methodological problems with Nutting’s analysis — especially the beginning and the end point. Nutting basically takes much of 2009 out of Obama’s column, saying it was the “the last [year] of George W. Bush’s presidency.” Of course, with the recession crashing down, that’s when federal spending ramped up. The federal fiscal year starts on Oct. 1, so the 2009 fiscal year accounts for about four months of Bush’s presidency and eight of Obama’s. In theory, one could claim that the budget was already locked in when Obama took office, but that’s not really the case. Most of the appropriations bills had not been passed, and certainly the stimulus bill was only signed into law after Obama took office. Bush had rescued Fannie and Freddie Mac and launched the Troubled Asset Relief Program, which depending on how you do the math, was a one-time expense of $250 billion to $400 billion in the final months of his presidency. (The federal government ultimately recouped most of the TARP money.) So if you really want to be fair, perhaps $250 billion of that money should be taken out of the equation — on the theory that it would have been spent no matter who was president. Nutting acknowledges that Obama is responsible for some 2009 spending but only assigns $140 billion for reasons he does not fully explain. (Update: in an email Nutting says he attributed $120 billion to stimulus spending in 2009, $5 billion for an expansion of children’s health care and $16 billion to an increase in appropriations bills over 2008 levels.) On the other end of his calculations, Nutting says that Obama plans to spend $3.58 trillion in 2013, citing the Congressional Budget Office budget outlook. But this figure is CBO’s baseline budget, which assumes no laws are changed, so this figure gives Obama credit for automatic spending cuts that he wants to halt. The correct figure to use is the CBO’s analysis of the president’s 2013 budget, which clocks in at $3.72 trillion. So this is what we end up with: 2008: $2.98 trillion 2009: $3.27 trillion 2010: $3.46 trillion 2011: $3.60 trillion 2012: $3.65 trillion 2013: $3.72 trillion Under these figures, and using this calculator, with 2008 as the base year and ending with 2012, the compound annual growth rate for Obama’s spending starting in 2009 is 5.2 percent. Starting in 2010 — Nutting’s first year — and ending with 2013, the annual growth rate is 3.3 percent. (Nutting had calculated the result as 1.4 percent.) Of course, it takes two to tangle — a president and a Congress. Obama’s numbers get even higher if you look at what he proposed to spend, using CBO’s estimates of his budgets: 2012: $3.71 trillion (versus $3.65 trillion enacted) 2011: $3.80 trillion (versus $3.60 trillion enacted) 2010: $3.67 trillion (versus $3.46 trillion enacted) So in every case, the president wanted to spend more money than he ended up getting. Nutting suggests that federal spending flattened under Obama, but another way to look at it is that it flattened at a much higher, post-emergency level — thanks in part to the efforts of lawmakers, not Obama. Another problem with Nutting’s analysis is that the figures are viewed in isolation. Even 5.5 percent growth would put Obama between Bill Clinton and George W. Bush in terms of spending growth, but that does not take into account either inflation or the relative size of the U.S. economy. At 5.2 percent growth, Obama’s increase in spending would be nearly three times the rate of inflation. Meanwhile, Nutting pegs Ronald Reagan with 8.7 percent growth in his first term — we get 12.5 percent CAGR — but inflation then was running at 6.5 percent. One common way to measure federal spending is to compare it to the size of the overall U.S. economy. That at least puts the level into context, helping account for population growth, inflation and other factors that affect spending. Here’s what the White House’s own budget documents show about spending as a percentage of the U.S. economy (gross domestic product): 2008: 20.8 percent 2009: 25.2 percent 2010: 24.1 percent 2011: 24.1 percent 2012: 24.3 percent 2013: 23.3 percent In the post-war era, federal spending as a percentage of the U.S. economy has hovered around 20 percent, give or take a couple of percentage points. Under Obama, it has hit highs not seen since the end of World War II — completely the opposite of the point asserted by Carney. Part of this, of course, is a consequence of the recession, but it is also the result of a sustained higher level of spending. We sent our analysis to Carney but did not get a response. (For another take, Daniel Mitchell of the Cato Institute has an interesting tour through the numbers, isolating various spending categories. For instance, he says debt payments should be excluded from the analysis because that is the result of earlier spending decisions by other presidents.) The Pinocchio Test Carney suggested the media were guilty of “sloth and laziness,” but he might do better next time than cite an article he plucked off the Web, no matter how much it might advance his political interests. The data in the article are flawed, and the analysis lacks context — context that could easily could be found in the budget documents released by the White House. The White House might have a case that some of the rhetoric concerning Obama’s spending patterns has been overblown, but the spokesman should do a better job of checking his facts before accusing reporters of failing to do so. The picture is not as rosy as he portrayed it when accurate numbers, taken in context, are used. Three Pinocchios
Monday, May 28, 2012 5:42 AM
KWICKO
"We'll know our disinformation program is complete when everything the American public believes is false." -- William Casey, Reagan's presidential campaign manager & CIA Director (from first staff meeting in 1981)
Monday, May 28, 2012 7:58 AM
Quote:Originally posted by Kwicko: The author states "But we are talking about the federal budget here. That means lots of numbers — numbers that are easily manipulated," and then proceeds to manipulate them. What a surprise.
Monday, May 28, 2012 3:16 PM
1KIKI
Goodbye, kind world (George Monbiot) - In common with all those generations which have contemplated catastrophe, we appear to be incapable of understanding what confronts us.
Quote:Originally posted by Geezer: Interesting take on Rex Nutting's "Obama spending binge never happened" article in MarketWatch.
Tuesday, May 29, 2012 6:57 AM
KPO
Sometimes you own the libs. Sometimes, the libs own you.
Quote:One common way to measure federal spending is to compare it to the size of the overall U.S. economy. That at least puts the level into context
Quote:Under Obama, it has hit highs not seen since the end of World War II — completely the opposite of the point asserted by Carney
Tuesday, May 29, 2012 8:21 AM
M52NICKERSON
DALEK!
Wednesday, May 30, 2012 1:45 AM
Quote:Originally posted by kpo: Wow, what a dishonest fact-check.
Quote: The Cato one is better (but still flawed in my book):
Quote:In other words, Obama’s track record does show that he favors an expanding social welfare state. Outlays on those programs have jumped by 7.0 percent annually. And that’s after adjusting for inflation! Not as bad as Nixon, but that’s not saying much since he was one of America’s most statist presidents. Allow me to conclude with some caveats. None of the tables perfectly captures what any president’s fiscal record. Even my first table may be wrong if you want to blame or credit presidents for the inflation that occurs on their watch. And there certainly are strong arguments that bailout spending and defense spending are affected by presidential policies rather than external events. And keep in mind that presidents don’t have full power over fiscal policy. The folks on Capitol Hill are the ones who actually enact the bills and appropriate the money. Moreover, the federal government is akin to a big rusty cargo ship that is traveling in a certain direction, and presidents are like tugboats trying to nudge the boat one way or the other. But enough equivocating. The four different tables at least show more clearly which presidents presided over faster-growing government or slower-growing government. More importantly, the various tables provide a good idea of where most of the new spending was taking place. We can presumably say Reagan and Clinton were comparatively frugal, and we can also say that Nixon, LBJ, and Bush 43 were relatively profligate. As for Obama, I think his tugboat is pushing in the wrong direction, but it’s only apparent when you strip out the distorting budgetary impact of TARP.
Wednesday, May 30, 2012 4:53 AM
Quote:Quote: -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Originally posted by kpo: Wow, what a dishonest fact-check. -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Because it doesn't agree with your opinion?
Quote:Because of this bit, I'd bet.
Quote:Obama’s track record does show that he favors an expanding social welfare state. Outlays on those programs have jumped by 7.0 percent annually.
Wednesday, May 30, 2012 3:17 PM
DREAMTROVE
Wednesday, May 30, 2012 4:18 PM
6IXSTRINGJACK
Quote:Originally posted by 1kiki: Quote:Originally posted by Geezer: Interesting take on Rex Nutting's "Obama spending binge never happened" article in MarketWatch. Of course the fact that Bush kept his Afghanistan and Iraq adventures off the books (unlike Obama who includes them in his budgets) at a total cost of at least 3.7 trillion ( http://www.reuters.com/article/2011/06/29/us-usa-war-idUSTRE75S25320110629), and the 16 or so trillion dollars shoveled over to banks when the Bush's housing bubble blew up ( http://www.forbes.com/sites/traceygreenstein/2011/09/20/the-feds-16-trillion-bailouts-under-reported/) don't reflect well on Bush's spending. Too bad your source didn't discuss them.
Thursday, May 31, 2012 2:10 AM
Quote: Cory Booker claims Obama has overseen nation’s “lowest discretionary spending we’ve had in decades” Newark Mayor Cory Booker drew national attention last week for criticizing a campaign ad from President Barack Obama, but even praising the president was problematic for the Brick City leader. Before weighing in on the campaign ad, Booker argued May 20 in a roundtable discussion on NBC’s "Meet The Press" that Obama needs to remind Americans of his accomplishments, such as overseeing the lowest level of discretionary spending in decades. "First of all, I think it’s a race for President Obama to remind the American public (of) the kind of things he’s been doing and stop letting the other side steal his narrative," said Booker, a Democrat and a representative for the Obama campaign. "He’s a guy that’s cut taxes on small business, the lowest discretionary spending we’ve had in decades in the United States." It’s actually the other way around, PolitiFact New Jersey found. As a percentage of gross domestic product -- which is a measure of the nation’s economy -- discretionary spending under Obama reached its highest level in about two decades, according to figures released by the White House’s Office of Management and Budget. Discretionary spending is projected to drop to a level not seen at any point in the last several decades, but that would not occur for a few more years. Booker spokeswoman Anne Torres acknowledged that the mayor’s statement was wrong. "You’re correct," Torres told us. "He misspoke." First, let’s explain discretionary spending. There are two main categories of federal spending: discretionary and mandatory. Discretionary spending is controlled by lawmakers through annual appropriation acts. Mandatory spending is generally based on program parameters, such as those for Social Security and Medicare, without specific amounts being appropriated each year. Discretionary spending represents nearly 40 percent of all federal outlays, and is comprised of defense and non-defense items. Over the last decade, military operations in Iraq and Afghanistan have largely contributed to the growth in defense spending, according to the nonpartisan Congressional Budget Office. Non-defense spending has increased during Obama’s tenure, in part, because of the stimulus bill he approved in February 2009, the budget office said. Since Booker’s claim refers to discretionary spending in general, we’ll look at the total amount. In fiscal year 2010 -- Obama’s first complete fiscal year as president -- discretionary spending hit 9.4 percent of GDP, marking the highest amount since fiscal year 1987. In fiscal year 2011, which ended last September, discretionary spending dropped to 9 percent. Before fiscal years 2010 and 2011, discretionary spending had not reached 9 percent since fiscal year 1991. In a deal to raise the nation’s debt ceiling, Obama and Congress agreed last summer to set caps on certain types of future discretionary spending. Due in large part to those caps, discretionary spending is projected to reach historic lows in the years ahead. According to the White House, discretionary spending would fall to 5.9 percent of GDP in fiscal year 2016, marking the lowest level since at least the early 1960s. The Congressional Budget Office has offered slightly different estimates, placing discretionary spending at 6.5 percent in fiscal year 2016 and 5.9 percent in fiscal year 2019. Our ruling In his May 20 appearance on NBC’s "Meet The Press," Booker cited a couple of Obama’s accomplishments, including "the lowest discretionary spending we’ve had in decades in the United States." But during Obama’s tenure, discretionary spending hit 9 percent of GDP for the first time in about two decades. Discretionary spending is projected to drop significantly in the years ahead, but Booker made it sound like that had already occurred. We rate the statement False. To comment on this ruling, go to NJ.com.
Thursday, May 31, 2012 4:32 AM
Quote:Originally posted by Geezer: And just for fun, another take, from Politifact. Quote: Cory Booker claims Obama has overseen nation’s “lowest discretionary spending we’ve had in decades” Newark Mayor Cory Booker drew national attention last week for criticizing a campaign ad from President Barack Obama, but even praising the president was problematic for the Brick City leader. Before weighing in on the campaign ad, Booker argued May 20 in a roundtable discussion on NBC’s "Meet The Press" that Obama needs to remind Americans of his accomplishments, such as overseeing the lowest level of discretionary spending in decades. "First of all, I think it’s a race for President Obama to remind the American public (of) the kind of things he’s been doing and stop letting the other side steal his narrative," said Booker, a Democrat and a representative for the Obama campaign. "He’s a guy that’s cut taxes on small business, the lowest discretionary spending we’ve had in decades in the United States." It’s actually the other way around, PolitiFact New Jersey found. As a percentage of gross domestic product -- which is a measure of the nation’s economy -- discretionary spending under Obama reached its highest level in about two decades, according to figures released by the White House’s Office of Management and Budget. Discretionary spending is projected to drop to a level not seen at any point in the last several decades, but that would not occur for a few more years. Booker spokeswoman Anne Torres acknowledged that the mayor’s statement was wrong. "You’re correct," Torres told us. "He misspoke." First, let’s explain discretionary spending. There are two main categories of federal spending: discretionary and mandatory. Discretionary spending is controlled by lawmakers through annual appropriation acts. Mandatory spending is generally based on program parameters, such as those for Social Security and Medicare, without specific amounts being appropriated each year. Discretionary spending represents nearly 40 percent of all federal outlays, and is comprised of defense and non-defense items. Over the last decade, military operations in Iraq and Afghanistan have largely contributed to the growth in defense spending, according to the nonpartisan Congressional Budget Office. Non-defense spending has increased during Obama’s tenure, in part, because of the stimulus bill he approved in February 2009, the budget office said. Since Booker’s claim refers to discretionary spending in general, we’ll look at the total amount. In fiscal year 2010 -- Obama’s first complete fiscal year as president -- discretionary spending hit 9.4 percent of GDP, marking the highest amount since fiscal year 1987. In fiscal year 2011, which ended last September, discretionary spending dropped to 9 percent. Before fiscal years 2010 and 2011, discretionary spending had not reached 9 percent since fiscal year 1991. In a deal to raise the nation’s debt ceiling, Obama and Congress agreed last summer to set caps on certain types of future discretionary spending. Due in large part to those caps, discretionary spending is projected to reach historic lows in the years ahead. According to the White House, discretionary spending would fall to 5.9 percent of GDP in fiscal year 2016, marking the lowest level since at least the early 1960s. The Congressional Budget Office has offered slightly different estimates, placing discretionary spending at 6.5 percent in fiscal year 2016 and 5.9 percent in fiscal year 2019. Our ruling In his May 20 appearance on NBC’s "Meet The Press," Booker cited a couple of Obama’s accomplishments, including "the lowest discretionary spending we’ve had in decades in the United States." But during Obama’s tenure, discretionary spending hit 9 percent of GDP for the first time in about two decades. Discretionary spending is projected to drop significantly in the years ahead, but Booker made it sound like that had already occurred. We rate the statement False. To comment on this ruling, go to NJ.com. http://www.politifact.com/new-jersey/statements/2012/may/28/cory-booker/cory-booker-claims-obama-has-overseen-nations-lowe/] Well that statement is clearly factually wrong (even his spokesperson admitted it); quite an easy one for the fact checker. There is a worthwhile point to be made about discretionary spending under Obama though, if you look at the graph (you can find it here, page 5: http://www.fas.org/sgp/crs/misc/RL34424.pdf ) one sees a big spike in discretionary spending that began before Obama, and then a sharp recent fall, easing into a Clinton-esque decline. It's not personal. It's just war.
Thursday, May 31, 2012 4:41 AM
Quote:Or alternatively, very simply, list government programs that Obama has started, or by direct policy inflated, along with their total % of the federal budget. That should be easy to do, right? How come I've never seen that analysis...?
Thursday, May 31, 2012 4:54 AM
NIKI2
Gettin' old, but still a hippie at heart...
Quote:The battling interpretations of who spent most seems to me to verify the old saw about "Lies, damned lies, and statistics". Depending on what you include, exclude, emphasize, or soft-pedal, you can "prove" just about anything, especially with something as resistant to objective analysis as the Federal Budget.
Thursday, May 31, 2012 5:06 AM
Quote:Originally posted by kpo: I forgot, I have seen that analysis...
Thursday, May 31, 2012 8:03 AM
Quote:Interesting chart. Apparently our involvement in Iraq and Afghanistan ended in 2009, since there's no costs for it past then
Quote:Also interesting how Obama's $874 billion "American Reinvestment and Recovery Act" box is sorta flattened so it looks smaller than Bush's $853 billion "Iraq and Afghanistan" box. More spin?
Quote:Seems to be another example of what I've been saying. You can spin these numbers any way you want, just by picking and choosing what you leave in and what you leave out.
Thursday, May 31, 2012 9:53 AM
Thursday, May 31, 2012 3:07 PM
Quote:Originally posted by m52nickerson: If you go by %of GDP yes discretionary spending has gone up. Thing is percentages are not real numbers. Discretionary spending has been as follows... 2008 - $1,179,650,000 2009 - $1,492,032,000 2010 - $1,264,264,000 2011 - $1,220,716,000 2012 - $1,195,457,000(estimate) So since 2009 discretionary spending has gone down. No spin, just pure real numbers. Source Table 5.6—Budget Authority for Discretionary Programs: 1976–2017 here http://www.whitehouse.gov/omb/budget/Historicals I do not fear God, I fear the ignorance of man.
Thursday, May 31, 2012 3:26 PM
Quote:Originally posted by 6IXSTRINGJACK: What does discretionary spending even mean?
Thursday, May 31, 2012 3:59 PM
Quote:Originally posted by m52nickerson: Quote:Originally posted by 6IXSTRINGJACK: What does discretionary spending even mean? If you do not know what discretionary spending means in terms of the federal budget you are ill equipped to have a discussion about the federal budget. Discretionary spending is the government spending on all items which funding is not mandated by federal law. The entitlement programs such as medicare, medicaid and social security are non-discretionary spending. Discretionary spending is just about everything else. Now you also have to realize that discretionary spending and non-discretionary spending can go down and we still see and increase in deficit spending. Why? Simply because the government is taking in less taxes. The single biggest reason that deficit spending has increased so much has noting to do with what Obama or Congress has done during the last few years. It has everything to do with the recession which happened before Obama took office. I do not fear God, I fear the ignorance of man.
Thursday, May 31, 2012 4:23 PM
Thursday, May 31, 2012 4:40 PM
Quote:Originally posted by m52nickerson: Property taxes and the others you spoke of are local taxes and have nothing to do with the federal government. As for Obama lowing taxes, your impossible task was competed with a single Google search... http://www.politifact.com/truth-o-meter/statements/2011/feb/07/barack-obama/barack-obama-said-he-lowered-taxes-over-past-two-y/ Now I was talking about government revenue being down. You can leave the tax rate exactly where they are and still see less money coning into the government. When people are out of work they do not pay taxes. That means less money coming in. I do not fear God, I fear the ignorance of man.
Friday, June 1, 2012 1:37 AM
Friday, June 1, 2012 2:36 AM
Quote:Originally posted by m52nickerson: If you go by %of GDP yes discretionary spending has gone up. Thing is percentages are not real numbers. Discretionary spending has been as follows... 2008 - $1,179,650,000 2009 - $1,492,032,000 2010 - $1,264,264,000 2011 - $1,220,716,000 2012 - $1,195,457,000(estimate) So since 2009 discretionary spending has gone down. No spin, just pure real numbers.
Friday, June 1, 2012 8:45 AM
Quote:Originally posted by Geezer: Then again, you could note that discretionary spending has been higher every year of the Obama Administration than the last full year (2008) of the Bush administration, or ever before in history. No spin. Just pure real numbers.
Friday, June 1, 2012 10:32 AM
Quote:Originally posted by m52nickerson: Quote:Originally posted by Geezer: Then again, you could note that discretionary spending has been higher every year of the Obama Administration than the last full year (2008) of the Bush administration, or ever before in history. No spin. Just pure real numbers. You're right, they have been. I think everyone can agree that 2009 was a pretty fucked up year and not a good starting point to argue from.
Quote:Obama's spending since than has been higher. It has not been this massive increase that some people yell about.
Friday, June 1, 2012 10:45 AM
Quote:Originally posted by Geezer: Which is why I noted "or ever before in history". Obama's discretionary spending in 2010-12 is still higher than ever before.
Quote:Originally posted by Geezer: As I've noted, that depends on how you parse the numbers. You apparently want to parse them so Obama hasn't made a "massive increase" in spending. Republicans want to parse them so he has. I can parse them either way with little trouble. I figure both ways are equally (in)valid.
Friday, June 1, 2012 4:27 PM
Quote:Originally posted by m52nickerson: I'm not parsing anything. Those are the raw numbers. You want to add non-discretionary spending in as well we can do that. It will make the increase bigger. That's true for every year because the cost of non-discretionary programs goes up every year. I'm curious what you think is a valid way of expressing the numbers if not just as they are?
Saturday, June 2, 2012 6:28 AM
Quote:Without breaking a sweat, I can prove that for the years President Obama has been in office, he has averaged more discretionary spending to waste the taxpayers dollars per year than any president in history.
Quote:And with nothing up my sleeve, I can show that he has averaged more discretionary spending to help people in need than any president in history. It's right there in the figures. All the social welfare folks cheer his progressiveness.
Saturday, June 2, 2012 8:27 AM
Quote:Originally posted by kpo: Quote:Without breaking a sweat, I can prove that for the years President Obama has been in office, he has averaged more discretionary spending to waste the taxpayers dollars per year than any president in history. Can we lose this 'any president in history' crap? Since we're talking about total dollars spent now it's foolish to compare with 1976 or whenever, when GDP and revenue were several times smaller. By all means spin, but don't be disingenuous. Quote:And with nothing up my sleeve, I can show that he has averaged more discretionary spending to help people in need than any president in history. It's right there in the figures. All the social welfare folks cheer his progressiveness. I'd like to see those figures. All in all your point seems to be that people should be cynical about statistics, and what they purportedly show. My own personal view is that statistics (even in politics) can be used to further truth, as well as to obscure it, and each set of statistics should be taken on their merits. Cynically dismissing all statistics is a poor second best to actually taking the time to understand all statistics (provided one is able). And I wonder if cynics are consistent in dismissing all statistics, rather than just the ones they disagree with...
Saturday, June 2, 2012 11:43 AM
Quote:Originally posted by kpo: Can we lose this 'any president in history' crap? Since we're talking about total dollars spent now it's foolish to compare with 1976 or whenever, when GDP and revenue were several times smaller. By all means spin, but don't be disingenuous.
Saturday, June 2, 2012 11:45 AM
Quote:Originally posted by Kwicko: Certainly Geezer tends to accept as gospel any statistics which show Hugo Chavez in a bad light. He would never try to discount any such statistics, because the agree with what he already "knows". Also, if you show statistics which show that the U.S. has markedly more gun murders than some other country, he'll jump to insist that it's not the guns that are making things so fucked up in the U.S., it's just that the American people are really, really horrible awful people who would gleefully kill each other with anything that fell to hand.
Saturday, June 2, 2012 12:44 PM
Quote:Originally posted by Geezer: Quote:Originally posted by Kwicko: Certainly Geezer tends to accept as gospel any statistics which show Hugo Chavez in a bad light. He would never try to discount any such statistics, because the agree with what he already "knows". Also, if you show statistics which show that the U.S. has markedly more gun murders than some other country, he'll jump to insist that it's not the guns that are making things so fucked up in the U.S., it's just that the American people are really, really horrible awful people who would gleefully kill each other with anything that fell to hand. C'mon, Mike. You're not even TRYING to make your trolling look like it belongs in the discussion any more. Sad, really.
Saturday, June 2, 2012 3:01 PM
Quote:Originally posted by Geezer: Without breaking a sweat, I can prove that for the years President Obama has been in office, he has averaged more discretionary spending to waste the taxpayers dollars per year than any president in history. Numbers don't lie. All the small government folks cheer his waste. And with nothing up my sleeve, I can show that he has averaged more discretionary spending to help people in need than any president in history. It's right there in the figures. All the social welfare folks cheer his progressiveness.
Saturday, June 2, 2012 4:38 PM
Quote:Originally posted by m52nickerson: The long and the short of it is you can't have it both ways. You can't call for less taxes and reduce the size of the debt.
Sunday, June 3, 2012 2:56 AM
Quote:Originally posted by m52nickerson: No you can't. You may thing you can but that would mean that you don't understand what subjective means. /b]
Sunday, June 3, 2012 4:42 AM
Quote:Originally posted by 6IXSTRINGJACK: Can you agree, for a moment that something needs to be done though? What we're seeing now is politicians who on either side, no matter what they promise, is that they tax us more and they spend more, all the while the interest on our deficit grows and grows. My suggestion is to do one or the other at first for a year or so, and then whittle away the other way. One year, we make don't decrease taxes, but we take existing taxes and find a way to make enough of a surplus to keep them from being raised the next year and start paying the deficit.... After that, maybe we just keep that up for a few years and pay it down more, while also continuing to find ways to Six Sigma our own Government and make it WORK. After there have been some meaningful decreases in the deficit, we can then give a "dividend" to taxpayers by actually decreasing taxes overall to the point of that first year where our spending was bridaled to the point of solvency..... Then the cycle would continue. It took a LONG time for us to get this bad, and it will take 4 times as long for us to get out of it without riots or bloodshed. But if we're going to do it, taxes need to be distributed in a fair manner and the hundreds of billions of wasted dollars every year need to be reigned in.
Quote:Originally posted by Geezer: Quote:Originally posted by kpo: Can we lose this 'any president in history' crap? Since we're talking about total dollars spent now it's foolish to compare with 1976 or whenever, when GDP and revenue were several times smaller. By all means spin, but don't be disingenuous. I'm trying to show that exactly the same numbers can be spun to show whatever folks from any sides want, depending on how it's done. You seem to be resisting this concept.
Sunday, June 3, 2012 4:45 AM
Quote:Originally posted by Geezer: Everyone's viewpoint on politics is subjective. Liberals can, and will, tout increased discretionary spending as proof that Obama is looking out for the 99%. Conservatives can, will, damn increased discretionary spending as proof that Obama is running the country deeper into debt. You keep trying to make it all about the numbers, but once people do more than simply list the numbers by trying to interpret them, their subjective biases take over. Now if I were looking at numbers to help decide Obama's record, instead of looking at how much he spent, I'd look at where he spent, at a pretty granular level. Then I'd have a better idea of his priorities and how they matched with mine.
Sunday, June 3, 2012 7:19 AM
Quote:Originally posted by kpo: You are not only making the point that the same set of numbers can be interpreted different ways, you are also seemingly suggesting that different interpretations are 'equally (in)valid'. But while some of your interpretations are merely 'spun', others are critically flawed. What I'm 'resisting' is your false equivalence.
Sunday, June 3, 2012 7:51 AM
Sunday, June 3, 2012 9:52 AM
Quote:I'm not trying to defend any particuilar point of view...just saying that folks should be aware that interpretations - even of something as apparently neutral as budget figures - are subject to the preconceptions and bias of the person doing the interpreting.
Quote:False equivalence based on what? The numbers are the numbers. Your interpretation of them, or an arch-conservative's interpretation of them, are informed by your points of view.
Sunday, June 3, 2012 3:37 PM
Quote:Originally posted by 1kiki:
Sunday, June 3, 2012 3:42 PM
Sunday, June 3, 2012 3:43 PM
Sunday, June 3, 2012 3:56 PM
Sunday, June 3, 2012 4:53 PM
Quote:Originally posted by m52nickerson: Something does need to be done. We can agree on this all day. Right now with a slow economy it is not the time to reduce spending and take money out of the economy. The time to cut spending is when the economy is doing well. That might even mean running a surplus to pay down the debt. Taxes, I agree the tax code needs to be changed. I think the problem is more on the state level than the federal level. Taxing things like tobacco and alcohol is easy for politicians and that is a problem. Personally I don't agree with property taxes. So I can agree taxes need to be changed. I do not fear God, I fear the ignorance of man.
Sunday, June 3, 2012 6:08 PM
Monday, June 4, 2012 11:15 AM
Quote:Originally posted by Geezer: Quote:Originally posted by 1kiki: Wow!!! A chart from BIGBRASSBLOG.COM. How could anyone possibly doubt that this is the ABSOLUTE TRUTH.
Monday, June 4, 2012 1:10 PM
Quote:Originally posted by 6IXSTRINGJACK: I'm glad we at least agree that something needs to be done Nick (if you don't mind me calling you Nick) At the same time, we've had a slow economy since about 2003 and WELL before anyone even heard of Obama outside of Illinois, GWB was already greasing those gears. I really believe we're just fighting over each other's heads here.... and that's really the only problem. Where I see a Government (Democrat or Republican run... it doesn't matter) that rapes businesses, I see my parents who have lost any frills of living they ever had, and they've now got a larger mortgage on their personal house than they did when they originally bought it back in 1993, just to keep the business going. When you see our Government (Republican or Democrat run... it doesn't matter) raping businesses, you only see the CEO bastards of the huge corps, and I think we can agree that they're way overpaid and that most of them probably belong behind bars rather than living it up with their golden parachutes. Government spending is not the answer Nick, simply because they're only spending money in the supposed budget, year after year, that all of the combined labor of every single tax paying American cannot foot the bill for. THIS is the real reason that since 2000 Gas has become 4 times as expensive and a gallon of Milk has become 3 times as expensive... and everything else in between. GOVERNMENT SPENDING, at the very least, haphazardly, is just exaserbating the problem. Are you aware of GE's "Six Sigma" program Nick???? I was very well educated on it through online courses at my prior employer, and because I didn't "play ball" like they wanted to after the merger, they probably (rightfully so) used that training against me. When I'm friends with all of my co-workers, I'm the last guy you want to send in to fire everyone to make a tighter ship. Why don't we "Six Sigma" the Government? Relieve them of their 3 personal assistants? Make them enjoy the same health care benefits in retirement that Obama was trying to push through for the rest of us (which will be publically known it's shot down in several weeks). Make them enjoy the same meager pay raises, or even pay reductions the rest of us in the real world need to endure..... BOTTOM LINE..... Let's go back to our roots.... Let's make every Public Offical Post become so unattractive and lucrative for anyone who has it that only the people truly selfless of heart would ever seek it out because they truly love their country and, more importantly, their own circle of family and friends. In that world, in Another Earth, GWB.... Obama.... Pelosi.... Rush.... They'd all be two-bit ambulance chasers, awash in a world that already is over-saturated with unscrupulous lawyers. This world could happen man..... I'm struggling just to get a job that would support my meager, single existance in this shit-hole economy. I'm settling next week for a 24 hour a week position at near minimum wage that will allow me to live the next 5 or so years without taking on credit I can't afford. If the White House offered me meager health benefits and paid me over 20k a year, on top of the free room and board, I'd jump on that plane. Think about it.... 3 years of my salary and room and board wouldn't have cost what Obama's date with his wife on Broadway via helicopter and all the security that entailed on one single night...... Six Sigma baby..... Six Sigma Google it.... Quote:Originally posted by m52nickerson: Something does need to be done. We can agree on this all day. Right now with a slow economy it is not the time to reduce spending and take money out of the economy. The time to cut spending is when the economy is doing well. That might even mean running a surplus to pay down the debt. Taxes, I agree the tax code needs to be changed. I think the problem is more on the state level than the federal level. Taxing things like tobacco and alcohol is easy for politicians and that is a problem. Personally I don't agree with property taxes. So I can agree taxes need to be changed. I do not fear God, I fear the ignorance of man.
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