REAL WORLD EVENT DISCUSSIONS

Ideology over reality

POSTED BY: KPO
UPDATED: Saturday, November 10, 2012 15:28
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Saturday, November 3, 2012 3:53 AM

KPO

Sometimes you own the libs. Sometimes, the libs own you.


Quote:

In a brazen example of putting ideology ahead of reality, Senate Republicans seem to have pressured the Congressional Research Service to withdraw a report debunking conservative economic orthodoxy. Cutting tax rates at the top appears “to have little or no relation to the size of the economic pie,” the report said. “However, the top tax rate reductions appear to be associated with the increasing concentration of income at the top of the income distribution.” So charging the rich lower tax rates doesn’t promote economic growth; it merely increases economic inequality.

The CRS is a highly respected, independent agency that prepares reports for members of Congress and routinely issues findings that disappoint or even irritate their clients, who usually just grin and bear it, or at least bear it. But Congressional Republicans seem to think that the CRS should function like Pravda.

In recent months, Republicans have been on a paranoid tear. They attacked the private and equally authoritative Tax Policy Center because it bothered to analyze Mitt Romney’s tax plan and found that it’s pretty much impossible to cut taxes by 20 percent without increasing the deficit. And they claimed there was a conspiracy at the Bureau of Labor Statistics when it reported last month that the unemployment rate had dipped below 8 percent.

Don Stewart, a spokesman for the Senate Republican leader, Mitch McConnell, said Mr. McConnell and other senators “raised concerns about the methodology and other flaws” in the CRS report. Antonia Ferrier, a spokeswoman for the Senate Finance Committee, said the panel had relayed its objections to the CRS. “We had a good discussion,” she said, “Then it was pulled.”

In case you don’t speak fluent bureaucratese, “good discussion” means that the Republicans made it clear the report had to go. And “it was pulled” means the CRS obeyed. The Times quoted a person with knowledge of the deliberations as saying the decision on Sept. 28 to withdraw the report was “made against the advice of the research service’s economics division” and that the author, Thomas Hungerford, stood by its findings.

Whatever their substantive objections to the report, Senate Republican aides told the Times that they objected to the use of the terms “Bush tax cuts” and “tax cuts for the rich” in the document. While those may not count as strictly academic descriptions, they’re perfectly accurate. Perhaps Republicans expected the CRS to call rich people “job creators”?

3:31 p.m. | Updated
You can read the actual report here.


http://takingnote.blogs.nytimes.com/2012/11/02/ideology-over-reality/?
partner=rss&emc=rss

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Saturday, November 3, 2012 4:41 AM

AURAPTOR

America loves a winner!



There's so much perspective being ignored in all this, it's hard for some folks to come at the issue w/ any sense of reality.

The US Govt spends ( and wastes ) too much $. OUR $ . Because of that, we go into debt. Because of that, the govt claims it needs to take MORE of our money, to pay for the debt it's put us in in the first place, as well as the mounting interest that goes along w/ carrying that much debt.

The GOP ( or conservatives, at least ) feel that, to break this lunatic cycle, we must cut spending, and allow those who EARN the money in the first place to make it work for them, instead of blindly giving it to the Imperial Federal Govt, which simply uses it to entrench itself ever more deeply into the ground.

The rich do pay far more than their fair share. It's not even debatable. The PROBLEM is that too much of our $ is going to the federal govt, and which takes its cut, and then doles out tiny parcels of that money back to the non producers , via the form of welfare.

It's a complete extortion racket, played from the very top of govt, to enslave as many people as possible.

It's what gives us people like this...




" I do not love the bright sword for its sharpness, nor the arrow for its swiftness, nor the warrior for his glory. I love only that which they defend. "

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Saturday, November 3, 2012 5:10 AM

M52NICKERSON

DALEK!


The GOP has never really done well dealing with reality that does not fit their ideals. Just look at folks like Rappy. He could not even deal with this and just goes off on a talking point tangent.

I do not fear God, I fear the ignorance of man.
A warning to everyone, AURaptor is a known liar.
...and now a Fundie!
http://www.fireflyfans.net/mthread.aspx?tid=53359

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Saturday, November 3, 2012 5:21 AM

KPO

Sometimes you own the libs. Sometimes, the libs own you.


Quote:

The GOP ( or conservatives, at least ) feel that, to break this lunatic cycle, we must cut spending, and allow those who EARN the money in the first place to make it work for them, instead of blindly giving it to the Imperial Federal Govt, which simply uses it to entrench itself ever more deeply into the ground.


Yes, government spending is the problem, and tax cuts are the solution - even though BOTH add to the deficit. And it was Bush's tax cuts that took the country from surplus to deficit.

But your post sums up the conservative mentality and strategy very well: keep cutting taxes to starve the beast that is the federal government - and it will shrink to the right size. Interesting theory. It relies however on politicians making ever more painful and unpopular spending cuts - which they are always going to put off - otherwise the deficit balloons. And that's what we've seen over the past ten years. And now Romney's proposing more huge tax cuts.

In short your party's 'starve the beast' strategy is a reckless gamble with the country's finances, and if implemented will likely bankrupt the country.

It's not personal. It's just war.

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Saturday, November 3, 2012 5:25 AM

SIGNYM

I believe in solving problems, not sharing them.


Rappy, I'm going to address your post point by point from the bottom up. I doubt you'll have a cogent reply to my post.

RE the audio where people are saying "We love Obama because he gives us money", how is that any different than a banker saying "We love Romney because he's going to give us money?" Who GOT the biggest handout, poor people or the banks and insurances?

Quote:

The PROBLEM is that too much of our $ is going to the federal govt, and which takes its cut, and then doles out tiny parcels of that money back to the non producers , via the form of welfare. It's a complete extortion racket, played from the very top of govt, to enslave as many people as possible.
So, what does it take to be a "producer"? To work at a job, or to be fabulously wealthy?

And since welfare appears to be a major problem with you, what portion of Federal money goes to welfare anyway?


Quote:

The rich do pay far more than their fair share. It's not even debatable
How do you define "fair"? On what assumptions do you base this definition?

Quote:

The GOP ( or conservatives, at least ) feel that, to break this lunatic cycle, we must cut spending, and allow those who EARN the money in the first place to make it work for them, instead of blindly giving it to the Imperial Federal Govt, which simply uses it to entrench itself ever more deeply into the ground.
Ah yes, those who "earn" money. Do you mean the person who works 60 hours a week at three part-time jobs and still can't make enough money to keep the family together? Or the family where mom, dad, daughter and son all work at temporary jobs? Or do you mean the person who makes specious loans and sells questionable financial products, or who outsources jobs to China? What is "earning" money", in your book? Give examples of how money is "earned", and tell us which kind of "earning" is worth millions of dollars, and why.

Quote:

The US Govt spends ( and wastes ) too much $. OUR $ .
This is an unsupported assertion.
How much is "too much", in terms of percent GDP? On what do you base that assertion? Do you have many examples of real governments which spent over that threshold, with the economy subsequently failing? Are there as many, more, or fewer examples to the contrary? If you do not have a robust set of data to prove your point, on what grounds do you make this assertion?
Quote:

Because of that, we go into debt. Because of that, the govt claims it needs to take MORE of our money, to pay for the debt it's put us in in the first place, as well as the mounting interest that goes along w/ carrying that much debt.
I thought interest rates were at near zero. How much of the Federal budget goes to debt service?

And finally, in YOUR ideal economy, with the rich taking up the vast majority of the money supply (let's throw out a figure of 80%), how do you suppose the economy "works"? Who produces, and who consumes? And WHO do you suppose the economy works FOR?

----------

There's so many facts being ignored in all of this, it's hard for some folks to come at the issue with any sense of reality.

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Saturday, November 3, 2012 5:27 AM

AURAPTOR

America loves a winner!


Quote:

Originally posted by kpo: And it was Bush's tax cuts that took the country from surplus to deficit.


False. First, there never was a surplus. Second, excessive govt spending put us into a deficit. Both sides in DC work and live in a delusional state, that, no matter what they sign off for today, it'll all be taken care of, down the road, by some one ELSE having to do the heavy lifting.

Won't be them. Not their problem. THEY are too busy doing the people's work, and are busy getting re-elected, to fret over being 5,10,16 TRILLION dollars in the red.


" I do not love the bright sword for its sharpness, nor the arrow for its swiftness, nor the warrior for his glory. I love only that which they defend. "

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Saturday, November 3, 2012 5:28 AM

SIGNYM

I believe in solving problems, not sharing them.


Quote:

First, there never was a surplus
On what do you base this assertion?

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Saturday, November 3, 2012 5:34 AM

AURAPTOR

America loves a winner!


Quote:

Originally posted by SIGNYM:
Quote:

First, there never was a surplus
On what do you base this assertion?



Because it never happened.

http://finance.townhall.com/columnists/craigsteiner/2011/08/22/the_cli
nton_surplus_myth/page/full
/


" I do not love the bright sword for its sharpness, nor the arrow for its swiftness, nor the warrior for his glory. I love only that which they defend. "

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Saturday, November 3, 2012 5:42 AM

KPO

Sometimes you own the libs. Sometimes, the libs own you.


Quote:

How do you define "fair"? On what assumptions do you base this definition?

'Fair' to me would be everyone pays the same for the same goods and services. NB: NOT the same rate - the same *amount*. Anything other than this is redistribution.

It's not personal. It's just war.

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Saturday, November 3, 2012 5:46 AM

M52NICKERSON

DALEK!


Well it did exist. To show is did not take an awful lot of spin...



http://www.usgovernmentspending.com/debt_deficit_brief.php

I do not fear God, I fear the ignorance of man.
A warning to everyone, AURaptor is a known liar.
...and now a Fundie!
http://www.fireflyfans.net/mthread.aspx?tid=53359

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Saturday, November 3, 2012 5:51 AM

AURAPTOR

America loves a winner!


Wow. If your chart says so, then I guess it's true!

ROFLMAO !!

Also, Santa really IS true!! How else would those presents get under the tree if he weren't ?? They didn't wrap and put themselves there, now did they ???


" I do not love the bright sword for its sharpness, nor the arrow for its swiftness, nor the warrior for his glory. I love only that which they defend. "

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Saturday, November 3, 2012 6:08 AM

SIGNYM

I believe in solving problems, not sharing them.


SO, KPO... since business benefits more from patent and copyright protections than individuals, the cost being in surveillance and prosecution by the FBI and subsequent incarceration of individuals, what should their payment be for services rendered?

Oil companies, for example benefit greatly from protection of THEIR assets abroad by OUR military, what should THEIR payments be for services rendered?

Those who have banks accounts benefit from the whole system of regulations (yes, even Dodd-Frank) and insurances AND "the Fed" than those who have no accounts at all, and DEFINITELY benefited from the $17 trillion dollar bailout.

I think I could find a dozen categories in which business and/or wealthy individuals either obtain specific benefits which ordinary individuals do not, or obtain benefits in direct proportion to their holdings. I would LOVE to see them pay for services rendered!

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Saturday, November 3, 2012 6:09 AM

M52NICKERSON

DALEK!


That chart came with a link to a website with fucking tons and tons of facts and figures.

I'm sorry if you can't believes facts but can believe the right wing reality.

I do not fear God, I fear the ignorance of man.
A warning to everyone, AURaptor is a known liar.
...and now a Fundie!
http://www.fireflyfans.net/mthread.aspx?tid=53359

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Saturday, November 3, 2012 6:16 AM

SIGNYM

I believe in solving problems, not sharing them.


RAPPY what the article says is that Clinton DID generate a surplus. Please read the article carefully.

The surplus was in PUBLIC debt, "public debt" being buyers of Treasuries such as states, China and other nations, banks, retirement portfolios and individuals.

But I think whether or not Clinton generated a surplus in public debt - or not- is beside the point. The question should be whether Clinton's tax policies were more successful than GWBush's in reducing overall debt. There again, Clinton did much better than Reagan, HWBush, and GWBush in reducing overall debt.

Reagan-
Total debt at start of office $848 billion
Total debt at end $2698 billion
+218%

HW Bush
Start $$2698 billion
End $4188
+55%

Clinton
Start $4188 billion
End $5728
+37%

GWBush
Start $5728 billion
End $10627
+86%


Let's agree to stop pointing to Republican policies as being particularly successful at reducing the debt, okay? I think that point has been shown otherwise.

http://www.snopes.com/politics/politicians/nationaldebt.asp

MEANWHILE- RAPPY- you have yet to start proving even the very first assertion of you post. Time to get cracking!

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Saturday, November 3, 2012 6:44 AM

KPO

Sometimes you own the libs. Sometimes, the libs own you.


http://www.factcheck.org/2008/02/the-budget-and-deficit-under-clinton/

Quote:


Q: During the Clinton administration was the federal budget balanced? Was the federal deficit erased?

A: Yes to both questions, whether you count Social Security or not.


FULL ANSWER

This chart, based on historical figures from the nonpartisan Congressional Budget Office, shows the total deficit or surplus for each fiscal year from 1990 through 2006. Keep in mind that fiscal years begin Oct. 1, so the first year that can be counted as a Clinton year is fiscal 1994. The appropriations bills for fiscal years 1990 through 1993 were signed by Bill Clinton’s predecessor, George H.W. Bush. Fiscal 2002 is the first for which President George W. Bush signed the appropriations bills, and the first to show the effect of his tax cuts.



The Clinton years showed the effects of a large tax increase that Clinton pushed through in his first year, and that Republicans incorrectly claim is the "largest tax increase in history." It fell almost exclusively on upper-income taxpayers. Clinton’s fiscal 1994 budget also contained some spending restraints. An equally if not more powerful influence was the booming economy and huge gains in the stock markets, the so-called dot-com bubble, which brought in hundreds of millions in unanticipated tax revenue from taxes on capital gains and rising salaries.

Clinton’s large budget surpluses also owe much to the Social Security tax on payrolls. Social Security taxes now bring in more than the cost of current benefits, and the "Social Security surplus" makes the total deficit or surplus figures look better than they would if Social Security wasn’t counted. But even if we remove Social Security from the equation, there was a surplus of $1.9 billion in fiscal 1999 and $86.4 billion in fiscal 2000. So any way you count it, the federal budget was balanced and the deficit was erased, if only for a while.



It's not personal. It's just war.

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Saturday, November 3, 2012 6:59 AM

SIGNYM

I believe in solving problems, not sharing them.


KPO, you seem to be a "reasonable" conservative. But you made one point, which I wonder about- What is wrong with downwards redistribution?

I think, for example, that I can show that "redistribution" is already happening upwards. I have named three service through which the wealthy and corporations benefit far more than the average individual, and -if I were to think more about the topic- I think I could come up with a lot more, at a really fundamental level.

What do you propose? What are you suggesting?

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Saturday, November 3, 2012 7:08 AM

NIKI2

Gettin' old, but still a hippie at heart...


Oh, dear, so sad...people are actually trying to communicate with Rap, with facts and figures even. By now, who doesn't know...well, you know.

Fact is, anytime you put up anything even SLIGHTLY negative--or even questioning--about his beloved leaders and everything he hears on FauxNews, he will come back with statements which make no sense, which even thinking Republicans know is bullshit, and he'll defend them to the death. Going beyond his first response post is a waste of time, because there can be no communication, simple as that.

I appreciate that people come in to show he's wrong, and I do it myself. But engaging in it more than doing just that, once, is a total waste of energy, unless you like typing and presenting facts. It really saddense me and confuses me how anyone can be SO completely deaf, dumb and blind, and I'll never understand it, but I accept it.

Rap and I seem to enjoy communicating on dogs, Firefly and LOTR (on the latter of which I cheerfully bow to his superior knowledge), but the minute politics come into it, it's like he's got two brains, one functioning, one only able to parrot things he's heard/been told, and he throws a switch. It really makes me honestly sad; I think I might like the guy if it weren't for this very strange mentality.

Tit for tat got us where we are today. If we want to be grownups, we need to resist the ugliness. If we each did, this would be a better reflection on Firefly and a more welcome place. I will try.

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Saturday, November 3, 2012 7:30 AM

SIGNYM

I believe in solving problems, not sharing them.


KPO started the thread, and I'm responding mainly to him/her. As far as RAPPY is concerned, I don't have a lot of statements, but I DO have a lot of questions which I doubt he will answer.

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Saturday, November 3, 2012 8:30 AM

KPO

Sometimes you own the libs. Sometimes, the libs own you.


Quote:

KPO, you seem to be a "reasonable" conservative.

Haha, no. I'm a 'reasonable' liberal. At least I like to think so.

You asked what was a 'fair' amount for the rich to pay. The left says the rich have so much and can afford to pay more, the right says they already pay so much... and neither really answers the question of how much is fair. To my mind there's only one definitive answer to the question, and that's that everyone pays exactly the same . But no one on the right advocates this, as its completly impractical. So really both sides have abandoned the idea of 'fairness', and are merely arguing over different degrees of redistribution. But the right keeps appealing for 'fairness', even though they don't truly advocate it.

Quote:

What is wrong with downwards redistribution?

I'm not in love with any kind of redistribution, but recognising that it's the only way to make the system work I support it. I think our focus should not be on achieving the impossible red herring of 'fairness' in terms of how much people pay, but instead on making *opportunity* equal for all - and thereby achieving a different kind of fairness. For that to happen would require a bit more redistribution than conservatives would like.

It's not personal. It's just war.

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Saturday, November 3, 2012 9:14 AM

SIGNYM

I believe in solving problems, not sharing them.


I ask myself a few questions. and I encourage you all to ask yourselves the same questions. One of those questions is

(1) Why is it that in our system, we have some individuals who can become fabulously wealthy while doing little or no work, while some (most) people work hard but gain very little in terms of wealth? If our society were based on I made it, it's mine we could claim that production is rewarded, but clearly that is not the case.

The reality is that this would not happen if "wealth" was not served by underpinnings which our government supports and strictly enforces. The first underpinning is the notion of "property", the second is the implementation of "currency", a third is the concept of "corporation" and a forth is "private banking". These underpinnings create a class of the powerful. Without this infrastructure, supported by the weight of government enforcement, "the powerful" would cease to exist.

This is one of the points that I was making to KPO: Given that "the powerful" owe their very existence to "the government", what IS the payment due for services rendered?

2) The other question is: With people who need to be fed, healed, housed and educated; and our interaction with the environment placed on a path of long-term sustainability, why do we have unemployment?

I keep hearing about production and productivity and economic growth and efficiency as rationale for why we need certain people to be very rich while many are poor, and perhaps even more are unemployed but then the question is... who is all of this efficiency and productivity for, if the people who produced the goods can't enjoy them?

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Saturday, November 3, 2012 10:13 AM

JONGSSTRAW


Quote:

Originally posted by SIGNYM:

Reagan-
Total debt at start of office $848 billion
Total debt at end $2698 billion
+218%

HW Bush
Start $$2698 billion
End $4188
+55%

Clinton
Start $4188 billion
End $5728
+37%

GWBush
Start $5728 billion
End $10627
+86%



Those numbers are right. They show the US Debt going from $1 Trillion to $11 Trillion from Reagan to GW Bush. That's $10 Trillion of new debt in 28 years. Now the Debt is over $16 Trillion. Obama has added $5 Trillion of new debt in only four years. Only Bush comes close to that, but his was amassed over eight years. If you consider Debt-to-GDP ratios, the numbers are even more horrendous for Obama.


Quote:

The question should be whether Clinton's tax policies were more successful than GWBush's in reducing overall debt. There again, Clinton did much better than Reagan, HWBush, and GWBush in reducing overall debt.


How can you say that? The Debt went UP under Clinton according to your own chart.

Clinton
Start $4188 billion
End $5728
+37%

There's no reduction in debt there, is there? I think you confuse the annual budget deficit with debt. Yes, Clinton had some years during his term where the annual budget deficit was erased and an annual surplus came into reality. But as far as national debt, no President has reduced it overall during their terms. I'll agree that Clinton slowed the pace of debt overall due to those years of not having annual deficits. But then some would argue that Gingrich and the Republican Congress had something to do with those budgets that created those years of surpluses in the first place.






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Saturday, November 3, 2012 11:19 AM

SIGNYM

I believe in solving problems, not sharing them.


JONGSIE perhaps you missed these figures

Reagan +218%

HW Bush +55%

Clinton +37%

GWBush +86%

Clinton did better at reducing the rate of growth of indebtedness.

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Saturday, November 3, 2012 11:29 AM

JONGSSTRAW



Quote:

Clinton did better at reducing the rate of growth of indebtedness.

I didn't argue with that. I actually agreed with it in my first post above. But the tally at the end of his eight years was still an increase in US debt dollars.

Now Obama's a different story. His annual budget deficits, based on his first four years, are projected at $1 Trillion + per year over the next four years if he's elected. That will leave us with $21 Trillion of national debt by the end of his second term. Obama will have been responsible for $10 Triliion of it, about half of the total amount. He will have spent in eight years nearly as much debt money as all the Presidents in US history before him. And he's got the most anemic gdp growth in modern times to show for it. That's the real point, and that's real scary.

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Saturday, November 3, 2012 11:32 AM

1KIKI

Goodbye, kind world (George Monbiot) - In common with all those generations which have contemplated catastrophe, we appear to be incapable of understanding what confronts us.


KPO

First you say this

'fair' to me would be everyone pays the same for the same goods and services

then you say this

everyone pays exactly the same.

Which do you mean? B/c it's clear that some people are receiving different types and amounts of services than others.

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Saturday, November 3, 2012 2:19 PM

KWICKO

"We'll know our disinformation program is complete when everything the American public believes is false." -- William Casey, Reagan's presidential campaign manager & CIA Director (from first staff meeting in 1981)


Quote:

Originally posted by AURaptor:
Quote:

Originally posted by kpo: And it was Bush's tax cuts that took the country from surplus to deficit.



False. First, there never was a surplus. Second, excessive govt spending put us into a deficit. Both sides in DC work and live in a delusional state, that, no matter what they sign off for today, it'll all be taken care of, down the road, by some one ELSE having to do the heavy lifting.

Won't be them. Not their problem. THEY are too busy doing the people's work, and are busy getting re-elected, to fret over being 5,10,16 TRILLION dollars in the red.




What did you say when people asked how you planned on paying for your favorite little wars? What was your response? What was the GOP's response?



"I supported Bush in 2000 and 2004 and intellegence [sic] had very little to do with that decision." - Hero

"I was wrong" - Hero, 2012

Mitt Romney, introducing his running mate: "Join me in welcoming the next President of the United States, Paul Ryan!"

Rappy's response? "You're lying, gullible ( believing in some BS you heard on msnbc ) or hard of hearing."

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Saturday, November 3, 2012 2:25 PM

KWICKO

"We'll know our disinformation program is complete when everything the American public believes is false." -- William Casey, Reagan's presidential campaign manager & CIA Director (from first staff meeting in 1981)


Quote:

Originally posted by kpo:
Quote:

How do you define "fair"? On what assumptions do you base this definition?

'Fair' to me would be everyone pays the same for the same goods and services. NB: NOT the same rate - the same *amount*. Anything other than this is redistribution.

It's not personal. It's just war.




Does "fair" include the same tax rates on capital gains and the same payroll tax rates on any income, regardless of amount?


But it always cracks me up when Rappy starts whining about what's "fair" and what isn't, when he's the one who loves to point out that the Constitution doesn't guarantee that life will be "fair".



"I supported Bush in 2000 and 2004 and intellegence [sic] had very little to do with that decision." - Hero

"I was wrong" - Hero, 2012

Mitt Romney, introducing his running mate: "Join me in welcoming the next President of the United States, Paul Ryan!"

Rappy's response? "You're lying, gullible ( believing in some BS you heard on msnbc ) or hard of hearing."

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Saturday, November 3, 2012 3:13 PM

KPO

Sometimes you own the libs. Sometimes, the libs own you.


Quote:

Originally posted by 1kiki:
KPO

First you say this

'fair' to me would be everyone pays the same for the same goods and services

then you say this

everyone pays exactly the same.

Which do you mean? B/c it's clear that some people are receiving different types and amounts of services than others.


Ok, then everyone pays in proportional to what they get out in the form of services from the government. That's fair.

It's not personal. It's just war.

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Saturday, November 3, 2012 3:24 PM

KPO

Sometimes you own the libs. Sometimes, the libs own you.


Quote:

Does "fair" include the same tax rates on capital gains and the same payroll tax rates on any income, regardless of amount?

Agh, all these questions about my non-existent tax plan. I feel like Mitt Romney.

I don't know Kwick, in my 'fair' world how much you make doesn't determine your tax amount - it's what you get out in the form of government services. Taxes are simply a transaction for your personal use of roads, schools, the military etc. - most of which which in theory is about the same for everyone, but say if you are rich and send your kid to a private school instead of a state-run school, you get a tax rebate (because you're not using that service). You get what you pay for, and you pay for what you get.

It's not personal. It's just war.

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Saturday, November 3, 2012 3:35 PM

1KIKI

Goodbye, kind world (George Monbiot) - In common with all those generations which have contemplated catastrophe, we appear to be incapable of understanding what confronts us.


"... most of which which in theory is about the same for everyone ..."

Now here I disagree. My benefit from the Iraq War was zero, which was far less than Halliburton’s or Cheney's.

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Saturday, November 3, 2012 3:40 PM

KPO

Sometimes you own the libs. Sometimes, the libs own you.


Quote:

My benefit from the Iraq War was zero

Probably less than that, if you think about all the ill will it generated towards your country, and empowered your enemies, and generally hurt your national interest. But that's maybe an exception. I did say "most of which".

It's not personal. It's just war.

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Saturday, November 3, 2012 4:20 PM

SIGNYM

I believe in solving problems, not sharing them.


Quote:

I don't know Kwick, in my 'fair' world how much you make doesn't determine your tax amount - it's what you get out in the form of government services. Taxes are simply a transaction for your personal use of roads, schools, the military etc. - most of which which in theory is about the same for everyone, but say if you are rich and send your kid to a private school instead of a state-run school, you get a tax rebate (because you're not using that service). You get what you pay for, and you pay for what you get.
And this is where I think your thinking is so limited that you fail to see the forest for the trees.

What you describe isn't a "tax", it's a "fee for service". How is that any different than private-pay services?

I think you define "benefits" too narrowly, and will therefore never capture what taxes are supposed to do. Let me give you an example: I worked with a man whose main avocation was to be a landlord. He sneeringly referred to the property taxes that he was paying on his (many) properties, although he no longer had children in school.

So, what did he get out of those taxes? Well, as I told him, immediately his property values and net worth went UP! That's because people will pay a premium in home and rent prices for better school districts. Intermediately, that means children will not be running wild through the streets breaking (his) windows and trashing (his) property but learning how to be productive members of society. In the longer run, an educated society in which all of the members benefit is a society in which he could retire peacefully.

There is such a thing as a "commons". Studies show that even the very wealthy in unequal societies live worse than the moderately wealthy in more even societies.

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Saturday, November 3, 2012 4:51 PM

M52NICKERSON

DALEK!


Quote:

Originally posted by kpo:
[ Taxes are simply a transaction for your personal use of roads, schools, the military etc. - most of which which in theory is about the same for everyone, but say if you are rich and send your kid to a private school instead of a state-run school, you get a tax rebate (because you're not using that service). You get what you pay for, and you pay for what you get.



I can understand this point of view, but I think of taxes differently. I see taxes as a person's contribution to society as a whole. It has been said that no man is an island. I believe this. The wealth have gotten more from society. Even when it has been through there own hard work the money they have gotten has come from other, from society. So I see little reason they should pay more back in than someone who has not received as much.

I do not fear God, I fear the ignorance of man.
A warning to everyone, AURaptor is a known liar.
...and now a Fundie!
http://www.fireflyfans.net/mthread.aspx?tid=53359

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Sunday, November 4, 2012 4:06 AM

SIGNYM

I believe in solving problems, not sharing them.


So far, KPO, it seems you have no idea what a "society" is, or the notion of common interest or collective purpose. If I had to sum up your ideology, it would be "unnatural individualism". Here's a hint: people are NOT atomistic, self-interested, rational, individual economic actors. We don't think that way and we have never behaved that way on our entire evolutionary history. The reason for that is because humans progressed cooperatively but died as individuals. It's been self-selected into our genetics. So rid yourself of this notion that you can think of (or create through policy) the rational economic individual actor... it is a fallacy of neolilberal economics. That fallacy made neoliberal economics unable to predict or manage the collapse*, and therefore irrelevant in creating a basis for the future.

And RAPPY, of course, has not yet posted one fact or reference to back up his diatribe of so-called reality. His ideology, in sum, seems to be "greed, just because I want my money". Hmmm. Not very persuasive. RAPPY, do you have any facts you want to use to demonstrate your points?



* I can go into great detail if you wish as to exactly how neoliberal economic theory failed. It's a fascinating study.

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Sunday, November 4, 2012 6:44 AM

1KIKI

Goodbye, kind world (George Monbiot) - In common with all those generations which have contemplated catastrophe, we appear to be incapable of understanding what confronts us.


Please do.

It's a topic I'm attempting to learn.

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Sunday, November 4, 2012 7:38 AM

SIGNYM

I believe in solving problems, not sharing them.


I'll start with some ideas now, but will have to finish later.

1) One of the first bad assumptions on which neoliberal economics is based is the idea that economic forces always tend toward equilibrium. In other words, one force (demand) is met with an opposing force (supply) which reduces the first force. The two meet at some equilibrium point which produces an optimal outcome, and that any disturbance away from this equilibrium point will settle back towards equilibrium. This is the basis of Adam Smith's invisible hand, and the foundation of ALL "modern" economic math. This is a statement which says that economic forces are always under control of "negative feedback"... essentially, opposing forces which tend to cancel. What this doesn't take into account is the presence of "positive feedback"... for example, a force which generates more of itself. Taking housing, for example, a regular demand for housing will generate a greater supply which will reduce demand. BUT, what happens when there is a rush to buy housing, the prices goes up, and then people rush to buy even more housing because it looks like a "good investment"? This kind of positive feedback (demand creates more demand) is not mathematically modeled by the theory, which never accounts for bubbles.

The reality is that markets are NOT self-adjusting. They're subject to forces which CAN go to equilibrium or - equally possible- can spin out of control or lead to wild oscillations or multi-stable states.

2) Another bad assumption is that risk can be modeled by standard deviations... in other words, that whether this house or that house goes underwater is modeled by a series of dice rolls, which can be described by a bell curve of probabilities. Yanno, I used to read PIMCO's webiste (PIMCO being the largest trader of bonds on the West Coast, and one of the largest in the world). I would read their forecasts looking for... oh I dunno, insight... and I kept reading about the "new normal" and "fat tailed curves". Eventually, it dawned on me that they were talking about bell curves, but I always thought they were being, yanno- metaphorical- in describing the state of the various economic risks, and were basically saying it was less predictable than before. Well, duh.

It wasn't until I read Economyths that I found out that all supposedly bright, top-notch prognosticators around the world actually predict risk on the basis of a bell curve. I was horrified! Because like the theory that markets go to equilibrium, defining risk as a bell curve is equally specious. To go back the infamous example of housing, as long as the housing market is more or less in equilibrium, the risk of individual defaults in any series of mortgages can be defined by a bell curve. But once prices start to come down the entire sector loses value, and ALL investments go down like dominoes. So much for the bell curve! So much for a realistic assessment of risk!

3) The major flaw behind these two other flaws is a complete misapprehension of human behavior. People are assumed to be atomistic (in other words, the behavior of one does not affect the behavior of others), fully-informed, equally-powerful, self-interested economic actors.

The reality is that people do not behave in any way like this most of the time, and even when they do, that sort-of random, atomistic behavior is easily transformed. For example, people walking more-or-less to their individual destinations across Grand Central Station can easily be turned into a full-fledged stampede by someone yelling "FIRE!" and running across the central atrium.

Anyway, enough for now. Back to real life- hope this informs, but if you want to get the REAL story you should read the book!

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Sunday, November 4, 2012 8:06 AM

KPO

Sometimes you own the libs. Sometimes, the libs own you.


Quote:

There is such a thing as a "commons". Studies show that even the very wealthy in unequal societies live worse than the moderately wealthy in more even societies.

Good point. I believe, and I've made the argument here before, that if you were to take your typical grudging rich taxpayer and show him an alternate reality where the rich were not required to pay more, he wouldn't want to live there. I've always thought that if I were to write a futuristic sci-fi novel I would set it in such a Randian dystopia.

However, saying the rich are better off if we take more taxes off them, does not necessarily equate to 'fairness'. My whole point is that what's perfectly 'fair' is completely impractical. If everyone paid the same tax amount the average person's tax burden would be like %500 bigger (probably more, I've only done rough calculations). Cut the size of government in half, and the middle class and below would still be crippled by taxes. That's what happens if the rich don't shoulder more of the tax burden.

And so my point here is to test the right-wing idea of 'fairness' to destruction. Yes, one could say that the rich pay more than their fair share, by one definition of 'fairness'. But the world where they did pay their 'fair' share would be such a horror show, that it's pointless to argue for more 'fairness'. Imo.

It's not personal. It's just war.

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Sunday, November 4, 2012 8:12 AM

1KIKI

Goodbye, kind world (George Monbiot) - In common with all those generations which have contemplated catastrophe, we appear to be incapable of understanding what confronts us.


Makes sense so far -

1) There's nothing that says economies HAVE to be self-correcting to a middle point. Examples of self-reinforcing extremes are bubbles when things go up b/c they're going up, or depressions like the Great Depressions when things are down b/c they're down.

2) Bell curves only model random behavior. But things cause people to act like a unit (FIRE!) and the randomness completely disappears - along with the bell-curve model.

3) The assumptions on which human behavior are modeled are faulty - we are not rational, self-interested, atomistic, economic actors.

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Sunday, November 4, 2012 8:25 AM

KPO

Sometimes you own the libs. Sometimes, the libs own you.


I have to quibble with this:

Quote:

The wealthy have gotten more from society. Even when it has been through there own hard work the money they have gotten has come from other, from society.

I think we ought to preserve a distinction here. Government doesn't make people rich. The rich make themselves rich; government's job is to create conditions where that success is possible, and can be maximised. As a liberal I think this opportunity to succeed should be extended to as many people as possible. But I don't like the idea that the rich have a moral duty to 'give back', since nobody 'gave' their wealth to them - they earned it.

It's not personal. It's just war.

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Sunday, November 4, 2012 8:32 AM

SIGNYM

I believe in solving problems, not sharing them.


I sometimes pose the idea of taxes and actually ALL economic policies as issues of "fairness" because they are often talked abut that way. But I REALLY think of taxes and economic policies as a function of purpose.

I have no idea of being "fair" just to be "fair". I want the policy to DO SOMETHING. What that "something" is, and whether or not we agree on what that something is, is fundamentally wrapped up in how we see people and how we see societies and economies.

In the broadest sense, what is a society and its concomitant exchange of work and goods (economy) "for"?

Being an atheist, my concerns are pretty material... societies originally formed and continue to this day so that people can live more predictable and secure lives than they could individually. History tells me that the larger a society the greater the technical advances, so that all other things being equal larger societies will continue to evolve. So in my view an economy should be all about meeting Maslow's hierarchy of needs, or similar. But given that complex societies are easy to screw up by dedicated individuals, they require a widespread buy-in from the members.

There is a countervailing view among Randists and social Darwinists, and that is that nature is red of fang and claw, and that harsh economies will hone the human species. But really, many right-wingers don't think that far: They avoid talking about anything that sounds like eugenics but cannot be persuaded that redistribution is the only thing between then and economic ruin and social chaos, even though that is the case. And there are still many religious people out there who think that capitalism is our god-given right. All kinds of alternate views exist as to what an economy is "for".

But let's say that I want to promote MY goals, which are lives free from want, work for everyone who can, and long-term sustainability.

What will I do to promote that?

Well, first of all, I have to say our current policies and assumptions clearly haven't made the grade.

Yanno what? Sorry to say, I looked at the clock and I realized I'm running out of time. I got violently ill just in time for the weekend, but now I'm late for my chores, and this is a very complex topic. Plus, I want to get to Modern Political Economy by Yanis Veroufakis et al; it's starting out as a fascinating book and I hope it'll help me fill in the (big) gaps of my understanding of economic history. Next weekend, then.





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Sunday, November 4, 2012 8:36 AM

SIGNYM

I believe in solving problems, not sharing them.


Quote:

Government doesn't make people rich.
Oh, I have to disagree here. If we did not have the notion of "ownership", if we did not have banks and bankers, if we did not have a stable currency, if we did not have corporations fully blessed by law and treated as "more equal", and if all of this was not fully enforced by the might of law and the police, there wouldn't BE any rich people. Rich people exist only because the milieu allows/ encourages their existence.

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Sunday, November 4, 2012 8:46 AM

KPO

Sometimes you own the libs. Sometimes, the libs own you.


I don't see how the notion of "ownership" came from government, and I think wealth predates banks, bankers, currency and corporations. Even in perfect anarchy there would still be rich people - in fact they'd be the only ones able to afford security, with their own personal police forces. How I imagine it.

It's not personal. It's just war.

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Sunday, November 4, 2012 8:53 AM

M52NICKERSON

DALEK!


Quote:

Originally posted by kpo:
I have to quibble with this:

Quote:

The wealthy have gotten more from society. Even when it has been through there own hard work the money they have gotten has come from other, from society.

I think we ought to preserve a distinction here. Government doesn't make people rich. The rich make themselves rich; government's job is to create conditions where that success is possible, and can be maximised. As a liberal I think this opportunity to succeed should be extended to as many people as possible. But I don't like the idea that the rich have a moral duty to 'give back', since nobody 'gave' their wealth to them - they earned it.



I did not say government I said society. Government is part of society, that part that has been charged with protection and maintaining order.

Many wealth people did earn it, but none of them earned it on there own.

I do not fear God, I fear the ignorance of man.
A warning to everyone, AURaptor is a known liar.
...and now a Fundie!
http://www.fireflyfans.net/mthread.aspx?tid=53359

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Sunday, November 4, 2012 8:57 AM

SIGNYM

I believe in solving problems, not sharing them.


Quote:

I don't see how the notion of "ownership" came from government, and I think wealth predates banks, bankers, currency and corporations. Even in perfect anarchy there would still be rich people - in fact they'd be the only ones able to afford security, with their own personal police forces. How I imagine it.
There is a difference between "I made it so it's mine" and "I own it so it's mine". In more primitive societies, the maker IS the owner. In societies making complex products, it is possible to separate production from ownership. Indeed, "ownership" has been rarified and abstracted to the point where you can "own" the probability of future events and "make money" on them. In any case, applying either assumption will have a vastly different effect on the economy and society. Under the first, it would be more difficult to accumulate vast wealth, and encourages production. Under the second, it encourages hoarding and speculation. It depends on what you mean by "anarchy" and the conditions under which it comes about. The most anarchic society that can be found archeologically - no ramparts, walls, armories, temples, gods or palaces or any trappings of "archy" of any sort- was also the most equal.

I'm speaking of modern economies, but there are analogs in the past. ALL past governments were involved in the distribution of wealth and in the enforcement of that distribution.


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Sunday, November 4, 2012 9:28 AM

1KIKI

Goodbye, kind world (George Monbiot) - In common with all those generations which have contemplated catastrophe, we appear to be incapable of understanding what confronts us.


KPO

I get the impression that your ideal society is one that removes people from the influence of other people as much as possible in order to let them grab as much stuff as possible and make it theirs. It's all about what comes across as a snarling, grasping rage for stuff and very little about people. Am I right?

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Sunday, November 4, 2012 11:00 AM

MAGONSDAUGHTER


Quote:

Originally posted by kpo:

I don't know Kwick, in my 'fair' world how much you make doesn't determine your tax amount - it's what you get out in the form of government services. Taxes are simply a transaction for your personal use of roads, schools, the military etc. - most of which which in theory is about the same for everyone, but say if you are rich and send your kid to a private school instead of a state-run school, you get a tax rebate (because you're not using that service). You get what you pay for, and you pay for what you get.



Yes, I see this kind of argument as becoming more prominent here as well. My well off friends complain that they pay more tax and get less services for their money. I don't have much sympathy for them or their views, which strike me as unbelievably self absorbed and obsessed.

Taxes don't work like that, you don't necessarily get out what you put in. My taxes pay for roads I will never use, medical services I will never access, military intervention I never approved. That is because it aint all about me. When I pay my taxes, I pay into society building and maintenance. I pay taxes so that people who hit hard times or old age or ill health don't starve on the streets. I pay taxes so that the education level of this country can be comparable to other parts of the world. I pay taxes for a whole variety of infrastructure.

And so society ticks over...

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Sunday, November 4, 2012 11:24 AM

MAGONSDAUGHTER


Quote:

Originally posted by kpo:

I think we ought to preserve a distinction here. Government doesn't make people rich. The rich make themselves rich; government's job is to create conditions where that success is possible, and can be maximised. As a liberal I think this opportunity to succeed should be extended to as many people as possible. But I don't like the idea that the rich have a moral duty to 'give back', since nobody 'gave' their wealth to them - they earned it.



Two things, I see fairness kind of different to you. I see it not as percentage more paid, but in impact. Say you have a flat rate of 15% across the board, for the very poorest, that 15% may mean that they cannot have the essentials for living, food, a roof over their head, medical expenses. For the mega wealthy, its just a serious of zeros being moved around on their bottom line. The impact will be not even felt. So having the same percentage will be vastly unfair in my view.

Saying that the wealthy create their own wealth and that do so solely off their own bat could only be true if everyone started off at the same level ie no one inherited, no one had access to any advantage over one another through life. It simply doesn't work that way. While there are those who 'worked their way up', there are plenty born to lives of priveledge and plenty and who had advantages over others all throughout their lives. Even for those who earned it from scratch often done so on the back of particular economic conditions, ie mining booms, technological advantages.

The wealthy have power, political, economic, information dissemination - and this is as true today as anywhere in history. They run the agenda of no tax increases for the wealthy and do it so successfully that Joe Blow the cleaner has bought the ideology lock stock and barrel, even though it actively disadvantages him and makes no sense for him to support it.

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Sunday, November 4, 2012 1:57 PM

KWICKO

"We'll know our disinformation program is complete when everything the American public believes is false." -- William Casey, Reagan's presidential campaign manager & CIA Director (from first staff meeting in 1981)


Quote:

Originally posted by Jongsstraw:


He will have spent in eight years nearly as much debt money as all the Presidents in US history before him.





Where were you during the Reagan era? Or the Dubya years?

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Sunday, November 4, 2012 2:27 PM

JONGSSTRAW



Quote:

Originally posted by Kwicko:

Where were you during the Reagan era? Or the Dubya years?



Reagan era:
Working my way up in the business world.
Raising two sons and one daughter.
Going fishing and hunting in Maryland.
Going on great vacations all over America.
Making love fairly regularly to my wonderful and sexy wife.


Dubya years:
Working extra hard to keep my job.
Watching my kids become outstanding people.
Seeing all three graduate from college and build lives for themselves.
Fishing and playing golf in So. Florida.
Hiring hookers for three-ways with the wife.....well, mentally at least.


et tu Kwickte?

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Sunday, November 4, 2012 3:35 PM

KWICKO

"We'll know our disinformation program is complete when everything the American public believes is false." -- William Casey, Reagan's presidential campaign manager & CIA Director (from first staff meeting in 1981)


Do the rich have private planes?

If so, they're getting far more out of the airports than I am, since I do not fly and have no use at all for airports.

That's just me pointing out ONE instance where things aren't "fair" for me as a taxpayer who helped build the airport and gets nothing out of if.



"I supported Bush in 2000 and 2004 and intellegence [sic] had very little to do with that decision." - Hero

"I was wrong" - Hero, 2012

Mitt Romney, introducing his running mate: "Join me in welcoming the next President of the United States, Paul Ryan!"

Rappy's response? "You're lying, gullible ( believing in some BS you heard on msnbc ) or hard of hearing."

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Sunday, November 4, 2012 4:07 PM

1KIKI

Goodbye, kind world (George Monbiot) - In common with all those generations which have contemplated catastrophe, we appear to be incapable of understanding what confronts us.


Reagan era:

Working my way through college with one shit minimum-wage (or less) job after another and always two and sometimes three at a time, having my ACADEMIC scholarship payments held up for years b/c Reagan had put the word out to deny deny deny any financial assistance to anyone no matter how well earned.

Dubya years:

Watching a booming economy and financially recovering Federal government fall into a the hole dug by Dubya, and watching freedoms being taken away to the chants of jingoism.



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