REAL WORLD EVENT DISCUSSIONS

More important than chemical weapons

POSTED BY: SIGNYM
UPDATED: Sunday, September 15, 2013 22:05
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Tuesday, September 3, 2013 10:15 PM

SIGNYM

I believe in solving problems, not sharing them.


I think we need to put a little perspective on this teapot tempest.

The USA has sent who-know-how-many warships at who-know-what-cost to strike at Syria. The rationalization is to "prevent" future deaths from chemical weapons.

And yet, far more people will be killed by the disaster at Fukushima, and far more could be killed by (yet another) disaster at Fukushima. Meanwhile, the administration is soundly asleep on this issue.

What makes Fukushima so much acceptable? That the problem was created by a big company instead of a nation-state? That death is the cost of doing business?

----------

I'm going to wind back my thinking on this so you know where I'm coming from. Of all the half-measures that Tepco has taken in Fukushima (and there are many), they ARE going full-bore on removing the nuclear fuel from the No 4 spent fuel pool. Recall that the No 4 spent fuel pool not only contains three or four loads of old nuclear rods, it also contains a full load of FRESH fuel that had been staged there for reactor refueling just b4 the catastrophic earthquake and tsunami.

Now, adding or removing fuel bundles



from a SFP is not an easy task. If you swing a fuel bundle just a few fractions of an inch too close to the next bundle, you COULD set off a catastrophic nuclear excursion. This is more of a problem with fresh fuel than spent fuel- unfortunately, exactly the kind of fuel that's in No 4. And SFPs have no containment whatsoever, so the loading/ unloading operation is usually handled by computer, which is operating from a stable, precisely aligned overhead crane system

The nice stable crane is gone and the computer-controlled system is gone, so the fuel bundles will have to be removed by a manually-operated crane. As if that didn't pose enough problems, at least some nuclear fuel bundles in the No 4 SFP are racked- bent out of alignment, stuck in the frame, broken etc.

And yet, despite the potentially catastrophic results, Tepco has been racing ahead with the unloading operation.

Why?

IMHO, there's no reason to race towards a possible cliff unless you believe that what's behind you is far worse.

I have no idea what it is that Tepco is aiming to avert. Are they concerned because Unit No 4 is sinking and could fall over? Are they worried that continuing contamination will force them to abandon the site? Are they looking forward to the next earthquake? Not being privy to their internal calculations, it's impossible to say. But clearly, Japan needs help with this disaster (whether they want it or not), and whether the continuing contamination from Fukushima happens with a loud BOOM! or a slow bleed into the ocean, sooner or later the entire northern hemisphere will be contaminated enough to kill people here and there... in total, far more than any number of people that might die in Syria as a result of chemical weapons. So some perspective is in order.


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Tuesday, September 3, 2013 11:03 PM

GEEZER

Keep the Shiny side up


So what's your suggestion as to what the Obama Administration should do about Fukushima?

Bomb the reactors?

Tell the Japanese government they don't know what they're doing and send in the Marines and the NRC to take over the reactors and fix them?

Once again, this might be a problem the U.S. can't solve.


"When your heart breaks, you choose what to fill the cracks with. Love or hate. But hate won't ever heal. Only love can do that."

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Friday, September 6, 2013 1:38 AM

SIGNYM

I believe in solving problems, not sharing them.


Quote:

So what's your suggestion as to what the Obama Administration should do about Fukushima? Bomb the reactors?
Wow, did you go out on holiday and come back stupid? This is even worse than your response about Syria.

The ONLY reason why Japan has nuclear reactors is because we pushed them into it. If we withdrew our support for nuclear reactors (and there is a lot) Japan would not be looking to restart their other reactors.

Quote:

Tell the Japanese government they don't know what they're doing and send in the Marines and the NRC to take over the reactors and fix them?
Yep, pretty much. Obviously not the Marines, they don't know any more than Japan. But there is an international cadre of nuclear cleanup experts, including Russians and Americans, plus a lot more capital than Japan can scratch up by itself. It seems to me than most Pacific nations could kick in either personnel, money, or technology.

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Friday, September 6, 2013 4:40 AM

FREMDFIRMA


Quote:

Originally posted by SIGNYM:
Tell the Japanese government they don't know what they're doing and send in the Marines and the NRC to take over the reactors and fix them?


Actually, I would send in the Navy, specifically the submarine service.

Hyman Rickover was a lot of things and not many of them very nice, but that man knew reactor safety front to back, back to front and had ZERO mercy for anyone who didn't live up to his standards... standards which so far, the Navy has held to as much as possible.

Hell, if we still had that bastard around, I'd not be half as skittish about nuclear power, yanno ?
But we DON'T, and the construction and operation of nuclear power is currently in the hands of folk we already know cannot be trusted with a fucking slide whistle, much less a reactor.

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Hyman_G._Rickover

Never thought I'd miss that fucker.

-Frem

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Friday, September 6, 2013 5:36 AM

NEWOLDBROWNCOAT


Quote:

Originally posted by SIGNYM:

But there is an international cadre of nuclear cleanup experts, including Russians and Americans, plus a lot more capital than Japan can scratch up by itself. It seems to me than most Pacific nations could kick in either personnel, money, or technology.



So we should go over there and spend American money bailing out a private Japanese for-profit company? While the Japanese economy got rich selling us cars, stereos, computers, TV's, and cell phones? Even I won't buy that one.

How 'bout the Japanese national government steps in, and spends itself into a deep trade deficit trying to clean up the mess it has made, and then has to lose face by admitting that it can't fix it itself? Maybe they could learn something about attitude from their mistake.

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Friday, September 6, 2013 8:37 AM

AURAPTOR

America loves a winner!


Quote:

Originally posted by G:
Oh, the irony of our military fixing their nuclear problems... someone tell me that isn't great writing.



All that's missing is a gigantic, radioactive behemoth to raise up out of the ocean, and the story will be complete.

Fathom the hypocrisy of a government that requires every citizen to prove they are insured... but not everyone must prove they are a citizen

Resident USA Freedom Fundie

" AU, that was great, LOL!! " - Chrisisall

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Friday, September 6, 2013 12:31 PM

SIGNYM

I believe in solving problems, not sharing them.


We should go over there and spend our money, since to NOTspend out money will mean that we will be impacted worse than we already have been. And then, present Japan with the bill.

Plutonium- which is what all modern nuclear bombs are made of- doesn't exist in nature, it can only be created by fissioning urnaium. So where do you think everyone got their plutonium from? Their assholes?

The only reason why many of our allies, enemies and frienemies have nuclear reactors is to make plutonium. Also, GE and Westinghouse convinced them it would be a good idea... the bigger, the better!

The UN World Health Organization is absolutely forbidden from investigating or discussing radiological health effects. It was specifically not written into their mandate, but belongs with the IAEA, whos mission is to promote PEACEFUL use of nuclear fuel. There is no overarching nuclear regulatory body- either national or international- which is not in some way under the thumb of a military, and which does not either tacitly or directly promote nuclear power. If you don't think I'm correct, look into whatever bodies you think should be responsible and take a look at their mandates: the IAEA, NRC, WHO, DOE- I think you'll be shocked.

If the nulcear plant operators and their host nations faced the prospect of having an internationl SWAT team swoop down and clean up after a major accident... one which crosses international boundaries... do the entombment, isolation. stabilization and/ or fuel recovery as they saw fit and then presented the host government with the bill... well, that would put the nulcear industry in a whole different light, wouldn't it?

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Monday, September 9, 2013 10:13 AM

GEEZER

Keep the Shiny side up


Quote:

Originally posted by SIGNYM:
Quote:

Tell the Japanese government they don't know what they're doing and send in the Marines and the NRC to take over the reactors and fix them?
Yep, pretty much. Obviously not the Marines, they don't know any more than Japan. But there is an international cadre of nuclear cleanup experts, including Russians and Americans, plus a lot more capital than Japan can scratch up by itself. It seems to me than most Pacific nations could kick in either personnel, money, or technology.




That would be interesting.

First, you'd have to have a multi-national force composed of Russians and Americans. How likely is that?

Second, you'd have to expect Japan to take no action when an uninvited force of probably several thousand lands on their sovereign territory, removes all their private and government staff (and probably many civilians), and does things their government has not agreed to. I'm thinking you would need the Marines.

Third, you'd have to convince the governments of this force to pony up "...a lot more capital than Japan can scratch up by itself." to pay for this. Do you want to charge Japan reparations to pay them back?

Sorry, SignyM, but this seems to me to be another of those "If only we do..." scenarios that works great until you think about it critically.


"When your heart breaks, you choose what to fill the cracks with. Love or hate. But hate won't ever heal. Only love can do that."

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Tuesday, September 10, 2013 9:53 AM

SIGNYM

I believe in solving problems, not sharing them.


The reason why I suggest these ideas, Geezer, is to point something out- something you haven't picked up on yet.

We SAY we want peace. We SAY we want to mitigate global climate shift. We SAY we want to protect the environment, or that we want a truly free market, or any number of these "goals" that we have in our heads. But we don't do what we say. Not because it's technically infeasible, but because of OTHER ideas that we have about "the way the world should work". So we quite often don't achieve goals we SAY we want because we've set up a conflict, and we just walk around with our minds abuzz with cognitive dissonace.

Now, ideas (and people) should be changeable. They (we) should be flexible enough to follow a changing understanding of our world, or changing circumstances. But what I find is that people are actually mentally quite rigid. Despite the fact that "thinking" is -in many ways- the safest activity one can undertake (certainly safer than posting online!), people refuse to do it. Although they could run through all kinds of scenarios in their heads without consequence (if they chose), they don't. Which is why they won't come up with alternatives that might be more effective than the ones that were planted in their heads.

You've certainly come up with all kinds of "legitimate" reasons to invade other nations before, and often for far less important reasons: bananas, copper, phantom WMD, dominoes. And those invasions have happened, too. It's not like they stayed in the realm of ideas. So be a mentally flexible person, and tell me why this is any worse.

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Tuesday, September 10, 2013 10:43 AM

GEEZER

Keep the Shiny side up


Quote:

Originally posted by SIGNYM:
The reason why I suggest these ideas, Geezer, is to point something out- something you haven't picked up on yet.

We SAY we want peace. We SAY we want to mitigate global climate shift. We SAY we want to protect the environment, or that we want a truly free market, or any number of these "goals" that we have in our heads. But we don't do what we say. Not because it's technically infeasible, but because of OTHER ideas that we have about "the way the world should work". So we quite often don't achieve goals we SAY we want because we've set up a conflict, and we just walk around with our minds abuzz with cognitive dissonace.

Now, ideas (and people) should be changeable. They (we) should be flexible enough to follow a changing understanding of our world, or changing circumstances. But what I find is that people are actually mentally quite rigid. Despite the fact that "thinking" is -in many ways- the safest activity one can undertake (certainly safer than posting online!), people refuse to do it. Although they could run through all kinds of scenarios in their heads without consequence (if they chose), they don't. Which is why they won't come up with alternatives that might be more effective than the ones that were planted in their heads.

You've certainly come up with all kinds of "legitimate" reasons to invade other nations before, and often for far less important reasons: bananas, copper, phantom WMD, dominoes. And those invasions have happened, too. It's not like they stayed in the realm of ideas. So be a mentally flexible person, and tell me why this is any worse.



By "We", I'm assuming you mean the U.S. And yes, "We" do want peace and security from climate change, etc. And we do have problems obtaining that because of what we consider to be "the way things work". The major "way things work" you seem to be objecting to, in the case of Fukushima, is national sovereignty. If this is correct, let me know, and we'll go on there.


"When your heart breaks, you choose what to fill the cracks with. Love or hate. But hate won't ever heal. Only love can do that."

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Sunday, September 15, 2013 1:22 PM

SIGNYM

I believe in solving problems, not sharing them.


Yes, I have an issue with national sovereignty when a nation is seriously harming other nations. It's like with people. You can't claim that your individual rights allow you to punch someone in the nose, and you can't claim your sovereign rights allow you to harm other nations.

If I had my druthers, responsibility and authority would be devolved, either upwards or downwards to the lowest level possible require to solve a problem. So if it's a neighborhood problem, then at the neighborhood level. But if a nation is contaminating the world, or wiping out fish stocks, or running amok with war-mongering... well, that creates an international problem, possibly even a global one.

And then, of course, there is the prefered response. Thanks to our recent history of attempting to solve every posisble problem with military force, Americans seem to reach for that response first. But there are a lot of other options- some helpful, some punitive- which don't involve the military.

--------------------------------

Since layperson's observations and commonsense logic seem to hold little stock with authoritarian mindsets who need the blessing of political/ economic/ scientific elites before anything is accepted as fact, here is part of a commentary from the WSJ (an authoritative source for some):

If Nuclear Disaster Strikes, Steer Clear of Japan's Playbook

Quote:

When Tokyo finally said last month it would deal with the festering Fukushima Daiichi nuclear disaster, the world might have cheered.

It didn't. Instead, the government's belated call to arms showed how dangerously haphazard the response to history's second-biggest nuclear-plant disaster has been.

We now watch as tons of contaminated water spill daily into the sea off Fukushima. It's a new phase of the crisis. It's a danger to Japan. And, fairly or not, it's a challenge to the nuclear industry's credibility.

Until its recent change of heart, Tokyo largely stiff-armed Tokyo Electric Power Co., 9501.TO +1.37% the utility that operates the plant. It kept its distance, focusing blame on the company. U.S. firms and groups sent experts to help, but that effort diminished over time, in part because of Japan's reluctance to accept outside aid.

No surprise, the broader crisis overwhelmed cash-strapped Tepco. Watching the drama unfold, some consumers, such as Germany, decided to abandon nuclear power altogether.

"There was a lot of international involvement early on assessing the situation, but I haven't seen as much saying, 'Here are the issues you now need to address,' " says Dale Klein, former chairman of the U.S. Nuclear Regulatory Commission, who now heads a panel of experts advising Tepco. "The international business community needs to give Tepco a roadmap."

"The imagination of the people in [U.S.] industry who thought about these things stopped after a few days,"
says Ed Lyman of the Union of Concerned Scientists. "You're now seeing the legacy of that short-term view. Their impression was that the crisis was over."

... But outside influence has played a less potent role with Tepco. "We've said that, if we're asked, we'll provide assistance. But there hasn't been a request," says a spokesman at the U.S. Nuclear Regulatory Commission.

So it is that the crisis never quite stopped. Two-and-a-half years after an earthquake and tsunami sent three of the six Fukushima reactors into meltdown—the result of inadequate backup systems and seawall protections—Tepco has barely begun to tackle the job of dismantling the wreckage.

Instead, the utility is frantically trying to halt hundreds of tons of groundwater that flow into the site daily. A large amount is washing through the broken buildings, picking up radioactive material and carrying it into structures or out to sea.

Tepco is pumping the contaminated water into an ever-expanding mushroom field of containment tanks—some 1,000 to date. As the world watches, the utility appears to be losing the battle. Leaks above and below ground are sprouting. Now Tepco and the government want to freeze a mile-long stretch of earth in an unparalleled experiment to block water before it reaches the site. Construction will take two years.

Sound desperate? "They're utility operators, not water managers," says Marvin Fertel, CEO of the Nuclear Energy Institute, the U.S. industry trade association.


http://online.wsj.com/article/SB10001424127887324576304579071502580086
982.html


Well, SOMEbody needs to give Japan a whack on the back of the head and assistance because what they're doing just isn't cutting it. This WSJ article seems to be recognizing the blindingly obvious.




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Sunday, September 15, 2013 2:29 PM

GEEZER

Keep the Shiny side up


Quote:

Originally posted by SIGNYM:
Yes, I have an issue with national sovereignty when a nation is seriously harming other nations. It's like with people. You can't claim that your individual rights allow you to punch someone in the nose, and you can't claim your sovereign rights allow you to harm other nations.

Well, SOMEbody needs to give Japan a whack on the back of the head and assistance because what they're doing just isn't cutting it. This WSJ article seems to be recognizing the blindingly obvious.



Okay, so once again, how do you solve this problem? And, please, no "If we only...". Propose a solution that has a chance of working.


"When your heart breaks, you choose what to fill the cracks with. Love or hate. But hate won't ever heal. Only love can do that."

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Sunday, September 15, 2013 10:05 PM

SIGNYM

I believe in solving problems, not sharing them.


There is almost no chance of a solution if most people keep the same mindset. A real solution to this problem.... and not just a continuing festering nuclear sore seeping radionuclides into the ocean ad infinitum (and assuming nothing more catastrophic happens along the way)... would require changing some notions about what is and isn't possible. Thinking the way we've been thinking got us here. Getting out of "here" will require thinking a little differently.

On the other hand... we avoided YET ANOTHER military action (for now) because people's mindsets had been changed, and they expressed that changed mindset to Congress and the President. So there you go: when faced with real choices to solve actual problems, if given the information and the chance people do make rational decisions.

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