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REAL WORLD EVENT DISCUSSIONS
Unemployment Rate Facts
Saturday, July 6, 2024 1:54 AM
JEWELSTAITEFAN
Quote:Originally posted by JEWELSTAITEFAN: BLS currently defines the Want A Job category as not being part of the Labor Force. So I will post some actual numbers and let the comparisons and discussion follow. The documented shenanigans of Obamabots deliberately refusing to Report jobless data in the months before the 2012 Election are a different matter, I will just use the Fake Data they produced and pretend it was real. I will use only the Unadjusted numbers, to help maintain clarity and transparency.
Quote:The Civilian Adult Population steadily Increases, suggesting that figure is not manipulated. The Unemployment Rate after 2008 was able to be artificially less by shifting more unemployed into the Want A Job category, which Obamanomics managed to increase to over 7 Million for the only time in the BLS tables. This Jan figure (Want A Job) didn't return to within 0.1% of 2008 level until 2018, after Trump's first year. The figure of Unemployed plus Want A Job is indisputably the real Unfake Unemployment figure. The Labor Force Participation Rate steadily dropped each year until finally reversing in 2017, Trump's first year. The Want A Job count maxxed out in Aug 2012, just as Obama was proclaiming that Unemployment Rates had dropped, which he needed to get below 8.0% by October, in order to win re-election.
Quote:I will post some actual numbers and let the comparisons and discussion follow. The documented shenanigans of Obamabots deliberately refusing to Report jobless data in the months before the 2012 Election are a different matter, I will just use the Fake Data they produced and pretend it was real. The BLS uses both Seasonally Adjusted figures and Unadjusted figures, and interchanges them without clearly identifying so. For example, the current Rate of 4.1% (for 4 months straight) is SeasAdj, and the real Rate is 4.5% for Jan 2018. I will use only the Unadjusted numbers, to help maintain clarity and transparency. Some numbers may have a 0 placed as first digit, to maintain column form in this format. The 1st column of numbers is the unemployed. The 2nd column is the Rate. The 3rd column is what is called Marginally Attached to the Labor Force, which is included in the Want A Job Now category but NOT included in the Labor Force category and therefore excluded from the reported Unemployment category. The 5th column is the sum of Unemployed plus Marginally Attached - which more accurately represents the Actual Unemployed. The 6th column is the Rate for column 5 figure. The 7th column is the Involuntary Part-Time workers, who are Not Employed Full Time due to poor Economy, and want, are able to work FT. The 8th column is the Rate for column 7. The 9th column is the sum of the 5th column plus 7th column. 10th column is the Rate for column 9 figure. The Rates in columns 2, 4, 6, 8, 10 have the denominator of Labor Force. The 11th column is the Civilian Population. 12th column is Labor Force, 13th column is Participation Rate. 14th column is the published U-6 figure.
Quote:Comparing to The Great Depression: the Unemployment peaked in 1933 at 24.75% with 12.830 Million unemployed. In 1932 there were 12.060 M unemployed, and 11.340M in 1934, 10.610 in 1935. The 5 year stretch from 2009 to 2014 exceeded 12.9 Million each year, more Unemployed than the Great Depression. And 2014 was only less with the Fake figure, but including Marginally Attached was still more than Great Depression. The Civilian Adult Population steadily Increases, suggesting that figure is not manipulated. The Unemployment Rate was almost doubled by Jan 2010, and the Fake figure didn't return to 2008 level until Jan 2016. This figure after 2008 was able to be artificially less by shifting more unemployed into the Marginally Attached category, which Obamanomics managed to almost double. This Jan figure didn't return to 2008 level until 2017, after Trump was Elected. With 10 Million in 2008, this count did not fall back to sub-10 Million until 2017.
Saturday, July 6, 2024 1:55 AM
Quote:Comparing to The Great Depression: the Unemployment peaked in 1933 at 24.75% with 12.830 Million unemployed. In 1932 there were 12.060 M unemployed, and 11.340M in 1934, 10.610 in 1935. The 5 year stretch from 2009 to 2014 exceeded 12.9 Million each year, more Unemployed than the Great Depression. And 2014 was only less with the Fake figure, but including Marginally Attached was still more than Great Depression. The Civilian Adult Population steadily Increases, suggesting that figure is not manipulated. The Unemployment Rate was almost doubled by Jan 2010, and the Fake figure didn't return to 2008 level until Jan 2016. This figure after 2008 was able to be artificially less by shifting more unemployed into the Marginally Attached category, which Obamanomics managed to almost double. This Jan figure didn't return to 2008 level until 2017, after Trump was Elected. With 10 Million in 2008, this count did not fall back to sub-10 Million until 2017. With Obamanomics pushing more into the Involuntary Part-Time group, this also got bloated to disguise the horrible Unemployment problems, and this Rate did not return to 2008 level until 2018. The Jan Rate of all 3 categories combined of Obamanomics Unemployment did not fall back to 2008 level until 2018. The Labor Force Participation Rate steadily dropped each year until finally reversing in 2017, Trump's first year.
Quote:Originally posted by JEWELSTAITEFAN: The shadowstats site is lean on actual data, requiring a subscription to access what it claims as database. However, I will make attempt to add in some of the data it presents. This does make assumption that their methodology and counting methods are valid, which I cannot find clear information about. There also may be comingling of Seasonally Adjusted figures from shadowstats without clarity, but this will be the only series of Tables I post which veer from Not Seasonally Adjusted figures. The charts they present do show that Unemployment under Trump is better than any time under Obamanomics, so it may be a worthwhile endeavor to investigate. I will refer to this set of data as Table JSF-URF-5 I will post some actual numbers and let the comparisons and discussion follow. The documented shenanigans of Obamabots deliberately refusing to Report jobless data in the months before the 2012 Election are a different matter, I will just use the Fake Data they produced and pretend it was real. The 1st column of numbers is the unemployed. The 2nd column is the Rate. The 3rd column is the sum of the Unemployed plus Marginally Attached plus Involuntary Part-time. 4th column is the Rate for column 3 figure. The Rates in columns 2 and 4 have the denominator of Labor Force. The 5th column is the Civilian Population. 6th column is Labor Force, 7th column is Participation Rate. 8th column is the published U-6 figure. The 9th column is the Real Unemployment figure, as presented by shadowstats. The 10th column is the underreported, the difference between the U-6 figure from BLS and the Real figure from shadowstats. Figures in thousands. MoYr Unem Pcnt Total Prcnt CivPop LbrForc Prtc% U6% Real Separation Ja93 09911 07.9 16575 12.8 192644 126034 65.4 Ja94 09492 07.3 16575 12.8 195953 129393 66.0 12% 15.3% 2.3% Ja95 08101 06.2 14504 11.1 197753 130698 66.1 10% 13.5% 3.5% Ja96 08270 06.3 14110 10.7 199634 131396 65.8 10.8% 13.5% 2.7% Ja97 07933 05.9 13886 10.3 202285 134317 66.4 10.4% 13% 2.6% Ja98 07069 05.2 12638 09.3 204238 135951 66.6 09.3% 12% 2.7% Ja99 06604 04.8 11607 08.4 206719 137943 66.7 08.5% 11.5% 3.0% Ja00 06316 04.5 10868 07.8 208782 139621 66.9 07.8% 11% 3.2% Ja01 06647 04.7 11496 08.2 210889 141049 66.9 08.1% 10.5% 2.4% Ja02 08935 06.3 14693 10.4 213089 141074 66.2 10.5% 13% 2.5% Ja02 09051 06.3 15036 10.5 216506 143228 66.2 10.5% 13% 2.5% Ja03 09395 06.5 15996 11.0 219897 145301 66.1 11.0% 13% 2.0% Ja04 09144 06.3 15966 10.9 222161 146068 65.7 10.9% 14% 3.1% Ja05 08444 05.7 15041 10.2 224837 147125 65.4 10.2% 13% 2.8% Ja06 07608 05.1 13765 09.2 227553 149090 65.5 09.2% 12% 2.8% Ja07 07649 05.0 13846 09.1 230650 151924 65.9 09.1% 12% 2.9% Ja08 08221 05.4 15185 09.9 232616 152828 65.7 09.9% 13% 3.1% Ja09 13009 08.5 23814 15.5 234739 153445 65.4 15.4% 20% 4.6% Ja10 16147 10.6 27847 18.2 236832 152957 64.6 18.0% 22% 4.0% Ja11 14937 09.8 26764 17.5 238704 152536 63.9 17.3% 22.5% 5.2% Ja12 13541 08.8 25097 16.4 242269 153485 63.4 16.2% 22.5% 6.3% Ja13 13181 08.5 24130 15.6 244663 154794 63.3 15.4% 23% 7.6% Ja14 10855 07.0 21064 13.6 246915 154381 62.5 13.5% 23.5% 10% Ja15 09498 06.1 18857 12.1 249723 156050 62.5 12.0% 23.5% 11.5% Ja16 08309 05.3 16632 10.6 252397 157347 62.3 10.5% 23% 12.5% Ja17 08149 05.1 16028 10.1 254082 158676 62.5 10.1% 23% 12.9% Ja18 07189 04.5 14222 08.9 256780 160037 62.3 08.9% 22% 13.1% Ja19 07140 04.4 14297 08.8 258239 162104 62.8 08.8% 21.8% 13.0% Ja20 06504 04.0 12573 07.7 259502 163497 63.0 07.7% 21.0% 13.3% Ja21 10851 06.8 19188 12.1 260851 159234 61.0 12.0% 25.7% 13.7% Ja22 07207 04.4 12924 07.9 263202 162825 61.9 07.9% 24.5% 16.6% Ja23 06378 03.9 12213 07.4 265962 165070 62.1 07.4% 24.5% 17.1% Ja18 07189 04.5 14222 08.9 256780 160037 62.3 08.9% 22% 13.1% Fb18 07091 04.4 13934 08.6 256934 161494 62.9 08.6% 21.9% 13.3% Mr18 06671 04.1 13100 08.1 257097 161548 62.8 08.1% 21.8% 13.7% Ap18 05932 03.7 11925 07.4 257272 161280 62.7 07.4% 21.5% 14.1% My18 05657 03.6 11789 07.3 257454 161765 62.8 07.3% 21.4% 14.1% Jn18 06812 04.2 13223 08.1 257642 163277 63.4 08.1% 21.5% 13.4% J l 18 06730 04.1 12929 07.9 257843 163734 63.5 07.9% 21.3% 13.4% Au18 06370 03.9 12076 07.4 258066 161909 62.7 07.4% 21.2% 13.8% Se18 05766 03.6 11581 07.2 258290 161958 62.7 07.1% 21.3% 14.2% Oc18 05771 03.5 11431 07.0 258514 162723 62.9 07.0% 21.2% 14.2% Nv18 05650 03.5 11840 07.3 258708 162665 62.9 07.2% 21.4% 14.2% Dc18 06029 03.7 12206 07.4 258888 162510 62.8 07.5% 21.4% 13.9% Ja19 07140 04.4 14297 08.8 258239 162104 62.8 08.8% 21.8% 13.0% Fe19 06625 04.1 12526 07.7 258392 162793 63.0 07.7% 21.1% 13.4% Mr19 06382 03.9 12287 07.5 258537 162823 63.0 07.5% 21.2% 13.7% Ap19 05387 03.3 11228 06.9 258693 162097 62.7 06.9% 21.2% 14.3% My19 05503 03.4 10968 06.7 258861 162655 62.8 06.7% 21.1% 14.4% Jn19 06292 03.8 12392 07.5 259037 164120 63.4 07.5% 21.2% 13.7% J l 19 06556 04.0 12051 07.3 259225 164941 63.6 07.3% 21.0% 13.7% Au19 06203 03.8 12004 07.3 259432 164019 63.2 07.3% 21.2% 13.9% Se19 05465 03.3 10689 06.5 259638 163943 63.1 06.5% 20.9% 14.4% Oc19 05510 03.3 10700 06.5 259845 164576 63.3 06.5% 21.0% 14.5% Nv19 05441 03.3 10740 06.5 260020 164386 63.2 06.5% 20.9% 14.4% Dc19 05503 03.4 10919 06.7 260181 164007 63.0 06.7% 20.8% 14.1% Ja20 06504 04.0 12573 07.7 259502 163497 63.0 07.7% 21.0% 13.3% Fe20 06218 03.8 12213 07.4 259628 164235 63.3 07.4% 21.1% 13.7% Mr20 07370 04.5 14538 08.9 259758 162537 62.6 08.9% 22.9% 14.0% Ap20 22504 14.4 35239 22.6 259896 155830 60.0 22.4% 39.3% 16.9% My20 20514 13.0 33092 20.9 260047 157975 60.7 20.7% 36.5% 15.8% Jn20 18072 11.2 29768 18.5 260204 160883 61.8 18.3% 31.2% 12.9% J l20 16882 10.5 27430 17.0 260373 161374 62.0 16.8% 30.0% 13.2% Au20 13742 08.5 23212 14.4 260558 160966 61.8 14.3% 28.0% 13.7% Se20 12277 07.7 20099 12.6 260742 160073 61.4 12.4% 26.9% 14.5% Oc20 10620 06.6 18780 11.7 260925 161053 61.7 11.6% 26.3% 14.7% No20 10264 06.4 18755 11.7 261085 160468 61.5 11.6% 26.3% 14.7% De20 10404 06.5 18732 11.7 261230 160017 61.3 11.6% 26.2% 14.6% Ja21 10851 06.8 19188 12.1 260851 159234 61.0 12.0% 25.7% 13.7% Fe21 10486 06.6 19743 12.3 260918 160008 61.3 11.6% 25.8% 14.2% Mr21 09905 06.2 17547 10.9 261003 160397 61.5 10.9% 25.7% 14.8% Ap21 09220 05.7 15951 09.9 261103 160379 61.4 09.9% 25.5% 15.6% My21 08829 05.5 15717 09.8 261210 160607 61.5 09.7% 26.0% 16.3% Jn21 09883 06.1 16515 10.2 261338 162167 62.1 10.1% 25.8% 15.7% J l21 09221 05.7 15670 09.6 261469 162817 62.3 09.6% 25.4% 15.8% Au21 08556 05.3 14423 08.9 261611 161788 61.8 08.9% 25.4% 16.5% Se21 07366 04.6 13175 08.2 261766 161392 61.7 08.1% 25.1% 17.0% Oc21 06896 04.3 12532 07.7 261908 161863 61.8 07.7% 25.1% 17.4% No21 06302 03.9 12017 07.4 262029 162099 61.9 07.4% 24.8% 17.4% De21 05964 03.7 11629 07.2 262136 161696 61.7 07.2% 24.5% 17.3% Ja22 07207 04.4 12924 07.9 263202 162825 61.9 07.9% 24.5% 16.6% Fe22 06782 04.1 12556 07.7 263324 163725 62.2 07.6% 24.6% 17.0% Mr22 06168 03.8 11660 07.1 263444 164274 62.4 07.1% 24.4% 17.3% Ap22 05458 03.3 10805 06.6 263559 163449 62.0 06.6% 24.5% 17.9% My22 05548 03.4 10998 06.7 263679 164157 62.3 06.7% 24.6% 17.9% Jn22 06334 03.8 11688 07.1 263835 165012 60.1 07.0% 24.3% 17.3% J l22 06255 03.8 11936 07.2 264012 165321 60.2 07.2% 24.4% 17.2% Au22 06256 03.8 11664 07.1 264184 164973 62.4 07.0% 24.6% 17.6% Se22 05460 03.3 10558 06.4 264356 164463 62.2 06.4% 24.4% 18.0% Oc22 05609 03.4 10379 06.3 264535 164753 62.3 06.3% 24.5% 18.2% No22 05523 03.4 10522 06.4 264708 164272 62.1 06.4% 24.4% 18.0% De22 05352 03.3 10521 06.4 264844 164224 62.0 06.4% 24.4% 18.0% Ja23 06378 03.9 12213 07.4 265962 165070 62.1 07.4% 24.5% 17.1% Fe23 06465 03.9 12031 07.2 266112 166178 62.4 07.3% 24.6% 17.3% Mr23 06043 03.6 11348 06.8 266272 166783 62.6 06.8% 24.6% 17.8% Ap23 05146 03.1 10234 06.2 266443 166221 62.4 06.1% 24.6% 18.5% My23 05700 03.4 10695 06.4 266618 166702 62.5 06.4% 24.7% 18.3% Jn23 06351 03.8 12167 07.2 266801 167910 62.9 07.2% 24.9% 17.7% J l23 06372 03.8 11921 07.1 267002 168354 63.1 07.1% 24.9% 17.8% Au23 06623 03.9 12207 07.3 267213 168049 62.9 07.2% Se23 06049 03.6 11239 06.7 267428 167718 62.7 06.7% Oc23 06098 03.6 11412 267642 167774 62.7 06.8% No23 05827 03.5 1625 1.0 07452 04.4 3796 2.3 11248 06.7 267822 167977 62.7 06.7 De23 05907 03.5 1567 7474 4229 11703 267991 166661 62.2 07.0 Fe24 06970 04.2 1559 0.9 08529 05.1 4479 2.7 13008 07.8 267711 167285 62.5 07.8 Mr24 06604 03.9 1439 0.9 08043 04.8 4343 2.6 12386 07.4 267884 167960 62.7 07.4 May24 06235 03.7% 6259 12496 4152 16648 268248 167536 62.5 07.1 Jn24 07233 04.3 1548 0.9 08781 05.2 4350 2.6 13131 07.8 268438 169007 63.0 07.7 J l 12 13400 08.6 24147 15.4 243354 156526 64.3 Au12 12696 08.2 22980 14.8 243566 155255 63.7 Se12 11742 07.6 22262 14.4 243772 155075 63.6 Oc12 11741 07.5 21942 14.1 243983 155779 63.8 Nv12 11404 07.4 21807 14.1 244174 154953 63.5 General color-coding guidelines: This color mostly highlights the most favorable figure of it's column in the Table. This color mostly highlights the most favorable figure of it's column since 9/11, or else since the Rock-The-Vote Democrat Recession. This color highlights the worst figures in it's column in the Table, including loss of Labor Force count. Quote:Comparing to The Great Depression: the Unemployment peaked in 1933 at 24.75% with 12.830 Million unemployed. In 1932 there were 12.060 M unemployed, and 11.340M in 1934, 10.610 in 1935. The 5 year stretch from 2009 to 2014 exceeded 12.9 Million each year, more Unemployed than the Great Depression. And 2014 was only less with the Fake figure, but including Marginally Attached was still more than Great Depression. The Civilian Adult Population steadily Increases, suggesting that figure is not manipulated. The Unemployment Rate was almost doubled by Jan 2010, and the Fake figure didn't return to 2008 level until Jan 2016. This figure after 2008 was able to be artificially less by shifting more unemployed into the Marginally Attached category, which Obamanomics managed to almost double. This Jan figure didn't return to 2008 level until 2017, after Trump was Elected. With 10 Million in 2008, this count did not fall back to sub-10 Million until 2017. A key factor that shadowstats points out is that the feeder category, the category which generates the discrepancy between BLS Fiction and reality, is the Marginally Attached. When Obamanomics doubled this figure, it was able to permanently exclude these Unemployed from the stats for the remainder of the Obamanomics Stagnation Extended Recession. It was much more difficult for Obama to expell his victims from the BLS rolls around 2011 when Unemployment was so bad there were Extended Benefits, (so applicants were required to document work searches before getting Unemployment Insurance Payments) - and this part of the Work Force could not be deleted from the Labor Force until they stopped documenting their search for work. The figure of Unemployed plus Marginally Attached is indisputably the real Unfake Unemployment figure since the Redefining of 1994 (which shadowstats states was to cover up the Losses of Employment from NAFTA). It does not return to Jan 2008 level until 2017, after Trump was Elected. For April 2018 this figure is lower than any January figure since it was created in 1994. The Jan Rate of all 3 categories combined of Obamanomics Unemployment did not fall back to 2008 level until 2018.
Quote: The Civilian Adult Population steadily Increases, suggesting that figure is not manipulated. Except possibly 2010, 2011, 2016. The Labor Force Participation Rate steadily dropped each year until finally reversing in 2017, Trump's first year.
Saturday, August 3, 2024 4:48 PM
Quote:Originally posted by JEWELSTAITEFAN: Quote:Originally posted by JEWELSTAITEFAN: The shadowstats site is lean on actual data, requiring a subscription to access what it claims as database. However, I will make attempt to add in some of the data it presents. This does make assumption that their methodology and counting methods are valid, which I cannot find clear information about. There also may be comingling of Seasonally Adjusted figures from shadowstats without clarity, but this will be the only series of Tables I post which veer from Not Seasonally Adjusted figures. The charts they present do show that Unemployment under Trump is better than any time under Obamanomics, so it may be a worthwhile endeavor to investigate. I will refer to this set of data as Table JSF-URF-5 I will post some actual numbers and let the comparisons and discussion follow. The documented shenanigans of Obamabots deliberately refusing to Report jobless data in the months before the 2012 Election are a different matter, I will just use the Fake Data they produced and pretend it was real. The 1st column of numbers is the unemployed. The 2nd column is the Rate. The 3rd column is the sum of the Unemployed plus Marginally Attached plus Involuntary Part-time. 4th column is the Rate for column 3 figure. The Rates in columns 2 and 4 have the denominator of Labor Force. The 5th column is the Civilian Population. 6th column is Labor Force, 7th column is Participation Rate. 8th column is the published U-6 figure. The 9th column is the Real Unemployment figure, as presented by shadowstats. The 10th column is the underreported, the difference between the U-6 figure from BLS and the Real figure from shadowstats. Figures in thousands. MoYr Unem Pcnt Total Prcnt CivPop LbrForc Prtc% U6% Real Separation Ja93 09911 07.9 16575 12.8 192644 126034 65.4 Ja94 09492 07.3 16575 12.8 195953 129393 66.0 12% 15.3% 2.3% Ja95 08101 06.2 14504 11.1 197753 130698 66.1 10% 13.5% 3.5% Ja96 08270 06.3 14110 10.7 199634 131396 65.8 10.8% 13.5% 2.7% Ja97 07933 05.9 13886 10.3 202285 134317 66.4 10.4% 13% 2.6% Ja98 07069 05.2 12638 09.3 204238 135951 66.6 09.3% 12% 2.7% Ja99 06604 04.8 11607 08.4 206719 137943 66.7 08.5% 11.5% 3.0% Ja00 06316 04.5 10868 07.8 208782 139621 66.9 07.8% 11% 3.2% Ja01 06647 04.7 11496 08.2 210889 141049 66.9 08.1% 10.5% 2.4% Ja02 08935 06.3 14693 10.4 213089 141074 66.2 10.5% 13% 2.5% Ja02 09051 06.3 15036 10.5 216506 143228 66.2 10.5% 13% 2.5% Ja03 09395 06.5 15996 11.0 219897 145301 66.1 11.0% 13% 2.0% Ja04 09144 06.3 15966 10.9 222161 146068 65.7 10.9% 14% 3.1% Ja05 08444 05.7 15041 10.2 224837 147125 65.4 10.2% 13% 2.8% Ja06 07608 05.1 13765 09.2 227553 149090 65.5 09.2% 12% 2.8% Ja07 07649 05.0 13846 09.1 230650 151924 65.9 09.1% 12% 2.9% Ja08 08221 05.4 15185 09.9 232616 152828 65.7 09.9% 13% 3.1% Ja09 13009 08.5 23814 15.5 234739 153445 65.4 15.4% 20% 4.6% Ja10 16147 10.6 27847 18.2 236832 152957 64.6 18.0% 22% 4.0% Ja11 14937 09.8 26764 17.5 238704 152536 63.9 17.3% 22.5% 5.2% Ja12 13541 08.8 25097 16.4 242269 153485 63.4 16.2% 22.5% 6.3% Ja13 13181 08.5 24130 15.6 244663 154794 63.3 15.4% 23% 7.6% Ja14 10855 07.0 21064 13.6 246915 154381 62.5 13.5% 23.5% 10% Ja15 09498 06.1 18857 12.1 249723 156050 62.5 12.0% 23.5% 11.5% Ja16 08309 05.3 16632 10.6 252397 157347 62.3 10.5% 23% 12.5% Ja17 08149 05.1 16028 10.1 254082 158676 62.5 10.1% 23% 12.9% Ja18 07189 04.5 14222 08.9 256780 160037 62.3 08.9% 22% 13.1% Ja19 07140 04.4 14297 08.8 258239 162104 62.8 08.8% 21.8% 13.0% Ja20 06504 04.0 12573 07.7 259502 163497 63.0 07.7% 21.0% 13.3% Ja21 10851 06.8 19188 12.1 260851 159234 61.0 12.0% 25.7% 13.7% Ja22 07207 04.4 12924 07.9 263202 162825 61.9 07.9% 24.5% 16.6% Ja23 06378 03.9 12213 07.4 265962 165070 62.1 07.4% 24.5% 17.1% Ja18 07189 04.5 14222 08.9 256780 160037 62.3 08.9% 22% 13.1% Fb18 07091 04.4 13934 08.6 256934 161494 62.9 08.6% 21.9% 13.3% Mr18 06671 04.1 13100 08.1 257097 161548 62.8 08.1% 21.8% 13.7% Ap18 05932 03.7 11925 07.4 257272 161280 62.7 07.4% 21.5% 14.1% My18 05657 03.6 11789 07.3 257454 161765 62.8 07.3% 21.4% 14.1% Jn18 06812 04.2 13223 08.1 257642 163277 63.4 08.1% 21.5% 13.4% J l 18 06730 04.1 12929 07.9 257843 163734 63.5 07.9% 21.3% 13.4% Au18 06370 03.9 12076 07.4 258066 161909 62.7 07.4% 21.2% 13.8% Se18 05766 03.6 11581 07.2 258290 161958 62.7 07.1% 21.3% 14.2% Oc18 05771 03.5 11431 07.0 258514 162723 62.9 07.0% 21.2% 14.2% Nv18 05650 03.5 11840 07.3 258708 162665 62.9 07.2% 21.4% 14.2% Dc18 06029 03.7 12206 07.4 258888 162510 62.8 07.5% 21.4% 13.9% Ja19 07140 04.4 14297 08.8 258239 162104 62.8 08.8% 21.8% 13.0% Fe19 06625 04.1 12526 07.7 258392 162793 63.0 07.7% 21.1% 13.4% Mr19 06382 03.9 12287 07.5 258537 162823 63.0 07.5% 21.2% 13.7% Ap19 05387 03.3 11228 06.9 258693 162097 62.7 06.9% 21.2% 14.3% My19 05503 03.4 10968 06.7 258861 162655 62.8 06.7% 21.1% 14.4% Jn19 06292 03.8 12392 07.5 259037 164120 63.4 07.5% 21.2% 13.7% J l 19 06556 04.0 12051 07.3 259225 164941 63.6 07.3% 21.0% 13.7% Au19 06203 03.8 12004 07.3 259432 164019 63.2 07.3% 21.2% 13.9% Se19 05465 03.3 10689 06.5 259638 163943 63.1 06.5% 20.9% 14.4% Oc19 05510 03.3 10700 06.5 259845 164576 63.3 06.5% 21.0% 14.5% Nv19 05441 03.3 10740 06.5 260020 164386 63.2 06.5% 20.9% 14.4% Dc19 05503 03.4 10919 06.7 260181 164007 63.0 06.7% 20.8% 14.1% Ja20 06504 04.0 12573 07.7 259502 163497 63.0 07.7% 21.0% 13.3% Fe20 06218 03.8 12213 07.4 259628 164235 63.3 07.4% 21.1% 13.7% Mr20 07370 04.5 14538 08.9 259758 162537 62.6 08.9% 22.9% 14.0% Ap20 22504 14.4 35239 22.6 259896 155830 60.0 22.4% 39.3% 16.9% My20 20514 13.0 33092 20.9 260047 157975 60.7 20.7% 36.5% 15.8% Jn20 18072 11.2 29768 18.5 260204 160883 61.8 18.3% 31.2% 12.9% J l20 16882 10.5 27430 17.0 260373 161374 62.0 16.8% 30.0% 13.2% Au20 13742 08.5 23212 14.4 260558 160966 61.8 14.3% 28.0% 13.7% Se20 12277 07.7 20099 12.6 260742 160073 61.4 12.4% 26.9% 14.5% Oc20 10620 06.6 18780 11.7 260925 161053 61.7 11.6% 26.3% 14.7% No20 10264 06.4 18755 11.7 261085 160468 61.5 11.6% 26.3% 14.7% De20 10404 06.5 18732 11.7 261230 160017 61.3 11.6% 26.2% 14.6% Ja21 10851 06.8 19188 12.1 260851 159234 61.0 12.0% 25.7% 13.7% Fe21 10486 06.6 19743 12.3 260918 160008 61.3 11.6% 25.8% 14.2% Mr21 09905 06.2 17547 10.9 261003 160397 61.5 10.9% 25.7% 14.8% Ap21 09220 05.7 15951 09.9 261103 160379 61.4 09.9% 25.5% 15.6% My21 08829 05.5 15717 09.8 261210 160607 61.5 09.7% 26.0% 16.3% Jn21 09883 06.1 16515 10.2 261338 162167 62.1 10.1% 25.8% 15.7% J l21 09221 05.7 15670 09.6 261469 162817 62.3 09.6% 25.4% 15.8% Au21 08556 05.3 14423 08.9 261611 161788 61.8 08.9% 25.4% 16.5% Se21 07366 04.6 13175 08.2 261766 161392 61.7 08.1% 25.1% 17.0% Oc21 06896 04.3 12532 07.7 261908 161863 61.8 07.7% 25.1% 17.4% No21 06302 03.9 12017 07.4 262029 162099 61.9 07.4% 24.8% 17.4% De21 05964 03.7 11629 07.2 262136 161696 61.7 07.2% 24.5% 17.3% Ja22 07207 04.4 12924 07.9 263202 162825 61.9 07.9% 24.5% 16.6% Fe22 06782 04.1 12556 07.7 263324 163725 62.2 07.6% 24.6% 17.0% Mr22 06168 03.8 11660 07.1 263444 164274 62.4 07.1% 24.4% 17.3% Ap22 05458 03.3 10805 06.6 263559 163449 62.0 06.6% 24.5% 17.9% My22 05548 03.4 10998 06.7 263679 164157 62.3 06.7% 24.6% 17.9% Jn22 06334 03.8 11688 07.1 263835 165012 60.1 07.0% 24.3% 17.3% J l22 06255 03.8 11936 07.2 264012 165321 60.2 07.2% 24.4% 17.2% Au22 06256 03.8 11664 07.1 264184 164973 62.4 07.0% 24.6% 17.6% Se22 05460 03.3 10558 06.4 264356 164463 62.2 06.4% 24.4% 18.0% Oc22 05609 03.4 10379 06.3 264535 164753 62.3 06.3% 24.5% 18.2% No22 05523 03.4 10522 06.4 264708 164272 62.1 06.4% 24.4% 18.0% De22 05352 03.3 10521 06.4 264844 164224 62.0 06.4% 24.4% 18.0% Ja23 06378 03.9 12213 07.4 265962 165070 62.1 07.4% 24.5% 17.1% Fe23 06465 03.9 12031 07.2 266112 166178 62.4 07.3% 24.6% 17.3% Mr23 06043 03.6 11348 06.8 266272 166783 62.6 06.8% 24.6% 17.8% Ap23 05146 03.1 10234 06.2 266443 166221 62.4 06.1% 24.6% 18.5% My23 05700 03.4 10695 06.4 266618 166702 62.5 06.4% 24.7% 18.3% Jn23 06351 03.8 12167 07.2 266801 167910 62.9 07.2% 24.9% 17.7% J l23 06372 03.8 11921 07.1 267002 168354 63.1 07.1% 24.9% 17.8% Au23 06623 03.9 12207 07.3 267213 168049 62.9 07.2% Se23 06049 03.6 11239 06.7 267428 167718 62.7 06.7% Oc23 06098 03.6 11412 267642 167774 62.7 06.8% No23 05827 03.5 1625 1.0 07452 04.4 3796 2.3 11248 06.7 267822 167977 62.7 06.7 De23 05907 03.5 1567 7474 4229 11703 267991 166661 62.2 07.0 Fe24 06970 04.2 1559 0.9 08529 05.1 4479 2.7 13008 07.8 267711 167285 62.5 07.8 Mr24 06604 03.9 1439 0.9 08043 04.8 4343 2.6 12386 07.4 267884 167960 62.7 07.4 May24 06235 03.7% 6259 12496 4152 16648 268248 167536 62.5 07.1 Jn24 07233 04.3 1548 0.9 08781 05.2 4350 2.6 13131 07.8 268438 169007 63.0 07.7 Jl24 07685 04.5 1628 1.0 09313 05.5 4661 2.7 13974 08.2 268644 169723 63.2 08.2 J l 12 13400 08.6 24147 15.4 243354 156526 64.3 Au12 12696 08.2 22980 14.8 243566 155255 63.7 Se12 11742 07.6 22262 14.4 243772 155075 63.6 Oc12 11741 07.5 21942 14.1 243983 155779 63.8 Nv12 11404 07.4 21807 14.1 244174 154953 63.5 General color-coding guidelines: This color mostly highlights the most favorable figure of it's column in the Table. This color mostly highlights the most favorable figure of it's column since 9/11, or else since the Rock-The-Vote Democrat Recession. This color highlights the worst figures in it's column in the Table, including loss of Labor Force count. Quote:Comparing to The Great Depression: the Unemployment peaked in 1933 at 24.75% with 12.830 Million unemployed. In 1932 there were 12.060 M unemployed, and 11.340M in 1934, 10.610 in 1935. The 5 year stretch from 2009 to 2014 exceeded 12.9 Million each year, more Unemployed than the Great Depression. And 2014 was only less with the Fake figure, but including Marginally Attached was still more than Great Depression. The Civilian Adult Population steadily Increases, suggesting that figure is not manipulated. The Unemployment Rate was almost doubled by Jan 2010, and the Fake figure didn't return to 2008 level until Jan 2016. This figure after 2008 was able to be artificially less by shifting more unemployed into the Marginally Attached category, which Obamanomics managed to almost double. This Jan figure didn't return to 2008 level until 2017, after Trump was Elected. With 10 Million in 2008, this count did not fall back to sub-10 Million until 2017. A key factor that shadowstats points out is that the feeder category, the category which generates the discrepancy between BLS Fiction and reality, is the Marginally Attached. When Obamanomics doubled this figure, it was able to permanently exclude these Unemployed from the stats for the remainder of the Obamanomics Stagnation Extended Recession. It was much more difficult for Obama to expell his victims from the BLS rolls around 2011 when Unemployment was so bad there were Extended Benefits, (so applicants were required to document work searches before getting Unemployment Insurance Payments) - and this part of the Work Force could not be deleted from the Labor Force until they stopped documenting their search for work. The figure of Unemployed plus Marginally Attached is indisputably the real Unfake Unemployment figure since the Redefining of 1994 (which shadowstats states was to cover up the Losses of Employment from NAFTA). It does not return to Jan 2008 level until 2017, after Trump was Elected. For April 2018 this figure is lower than any January figure since it was created in 1994. The Jan Rate of all 3 categories combined of Obamanomics Unemployment did not fall back to 2008 level until 2018.
Quote:Originally posted by JEWELSTAITEFAN: The shadowstats site is lean on actual data, requiring a subscription to access what it claims as database. However, I will make attempt to add in some of the data it presents. This does make assumption that their methodology and counting methods are valid, which I cannot find clear information about. There also may be comingling of Seasonally Adjusted figures from shadowstats without clarity, but this will be the only series of Tables I post which veer from Not Seasonally Adjusted figures. The charts they present do show that Unemployment under Trump is better than any time under Obamanomics, so it may be a worthwhile endeavor to investigate. I will refer to this set of data as Table JSF-URF-5 I will post some actual numbers and let the comparisons and discussion follow. The documented shenanigans of Obamabots deliberately refusing to Report jobless data in the months before the 2012 Election are a different matter, I will just use the Fake Data they produced and pretend it was real. The 1st column of numbers is the unemployed. The 2nd column is the Rate. The 3rd column is the sum of the Unemployed plus Marginally Attached plus Involuntary Part-time. 4th column is the Rate for column 3 figure. The Rates in columns 2 and 4 have the denominator of Labor Force. The 5th column is the Civilian Population. 6th column is Labor Force, 7th column is Participation Rate. 8th column is the published U-6 figure. The 9th column is the Real Unemployment figure, as presented by shadowstats. The 10th column is the underreported, the difference between the U-6 figure from BLS and the Real figure from shadowstats. Figures in thousands. MoYr Unem Pcnt Total Prcnt CivPop LbrForc Prtc% U6% Real Separation Ja93 09911 07.9 16575 12.8 192644 126034 65.4 Ja94 09492 07.3 16575 12.8 195953 129393 66.0 12% 15.3% 2.3% Ja95 08101 06.2 14504 11.1 197753 130698 66.1 10% 13.5% 3.5% Ja96 08270 06.3 14110 10.7 199634 131396 65.8 10.8% 13.5% 2.7% Ja97 07933 05.9 13886 10.3 202285 134317 66.4 10.4% 13% 2.6% Ja98 07069 05.2 12638 09.3 204238 135951 66.6 09.3% 12% 2.7% Ja99 06604 04.8 11607 08.4 206719 137943 66.7 08.5% 11.5% 3.0% Ja00 06316 04.5 10868 07.8 208782 139621 66.9 07.8% 11% 3.2% Ja01 06647 04.7 11496 08.2 210889 141049 66.9 08.1% 10.5% 2.4% Ja02 08935 06.3 14693 10.4 213089 141074 66.2 10.5% 13% 2.5% Ja02 09051 06.3 15036 10.5 216506 143228 66.2 10.5% 13% 2.5% Ja03 09395 06.5 15996 11.0 219897 145301 66.1 11.0% 13% 2.0% Ja04 09144 06.3 15966 10.9 222161 146068 65.7 10.9% 14% 3.1% Ja05 08444 05.7 15041 10.2 224837 147125 65.4 10.2% 13% 2.8% Ja06 07608 05.1 13765 09.2 227553 149090 65.5 09.2% 12% 2.8% Ja07 07649 05.0 13846 09.1 230650 151924 65.9 09.1% 12% 2.9% Ja08 08221 05.4 15185 09.9 232616 152828 65.7 09.9% 13% 3.1% Ja09 13009 08.5 23814 15.5 234739 153445 65.4 15.4% 20% 4.6% Ja10 16147 10.6 27847 18.2 236832 152957 64.6 18.0% 22% 4.0% Ja11 14937 09.8 26764 17.5 238704 152536 63.9 17.3% 22.5% 5.2% Ja12 13541 08.8 25097 16.4 242269 153485 63.4 16.2% 22.5% 6.3% Ja13 13181 08.5 24130 15.6 244663 154794 63.3 15.4% 23% 7.6% Ja14 10855 07.0 21064 13.6 246915 154381 62.5 13.5% 23.5% 10% Ja15 09498 06.1 18857 12.1 249723 156050 62.5 12.0% 23.5% 11.5% Ja16 08309 05.3 16632 10.6 252397 157347 62.3 10.5% 23% 12.5% Ja17 08149 05.1 16028 10.1 254082 158676 62.5 10.1% 23% 12.9% Ja18 07189 04.5 14222 08.9 256780 160037 62.3 08.9% 22% 13.1% Ja19 07140 04.4 14297 08.8 258239 162104 62.8 08.8% 21.8% 13.0% Ja20 06504 04.0 12573 07.7 259502 163497 63.0 07.7% 21.0% 13.3% Ja21 10851 06.8 19188 12.1 260851 159234 61.0 12.0% 25.7% 13.7% Ja22 07207 04.4 12924 07.9 263202 162825 61.9 07.9% 24.5% 16.6% Ja23 06378 03.9 12213 07.4 265962 165070 62.1 07.4% 24.5% 17.1% Ja18 07189 04.5 14222 08.9 256780 160037 62.3 08.9% 22% 13.1% Fb18 07091 04.4 13934 08.6 256934 161494 62.9 08.6% 21.9% 13.3% Mr18 06671 04.1 13100 08.1 257097 161548 62.8 08.1% 21.8% 13.7% Ap18 05932 03.7 11925 07.4 257272 161280 62.7 07.4% 21.5% 14.1% My18 05657 03.6 11789 07.3 257454 161765 62.8 07.3% 21.4% 14.1% Jn18 06812 04.2 13223 08.1 257642 163277 63.4 08.1% 21.5% 13.4% J l 18 06730 04.1 12929 07.9 257843 163734 63.5 07.9% 21.3% 13.4% Au18 06370 03.9 12076 07.4 258066 161909 62.7 07.4% 21.2% 13.8% Se18 05766 03.6 11581 07.2 258290 161958 62.7 07.1% 21.3% 14.2% Oc18 05771 03.5 11431 07.0 258514 162723 62.9 07.0% 21.2% 14.2% Nv18 05650 03.5 11840 07.3 258708 162665 62.9 07.2% 21.4% 14.2% Dc18 06029 03.7 12206 07.4 258888 162510 62.8 07.5% 21.4% 13.9% Ja19 07140 04.4 14297 08.8 258239 162104 62.8 08.8% 21.8% 13.0% Fe19 06625 04.1 12526 07.7 258392 162793 63.0 07.7% 21.1% 13.4% Mr19 06382 03.9 12287 07.5 258537 162823 63.0 07.5% 21.2% 13.7% Ap19 05387 03.3 11228 06.9 258693 162097 62.7 06.9% 21.2% 14.3% My19 05503 03.4 10968 06.7 258861 162655 62.8 06.7% 21.1% 14.4% Jn19 06292 03.8 12392 07.5 259037 164120 63.4 07.5% 21.2% 13.7% J l 19 06556 04.0 12051 07.3 259225 164941 63.6 07.3% 21.0% 13.7% Au19 06203 03.8 12004 07.3 259432 164019 63.2 07.3% 21.2% 13.9% Se19 05465 03.3 10689 06.5 259638 163943 63.1 06.5% 20.9% 14.4% Oc19 05510 03.3 10700 06.5 259845 164576 63.3 06.5% 21.0% 14.5% Nv19 05441 03.3 10740 06.5 260020 164386 63.2 06.5% 20.9% 14.4% Dc19 05503 03.4 10919 06.7 260181 164007 63.0 06.7% 20.8% 14.1% Ja20 06504 04.0 12573 07.7 259502 163497 63.0 07.7% 21.0% 13.3% Fe20 06218 03.8 12213 07.4 259628 164235 63.3 07.4% 21.1% 13.7% Mr20 07370 04.5 14538 08.9 259758 162537 62.6 08.9% 22.9% 14.0% Ap20 22504 14.4 35239 22.6 259896 155830 60.0 22.4% 39.3% 16.9% My20 20514 13.0 33092 20.9 260047 157975 60.7 20.7% 36.5% 15.8% Jn20 18072 11.2 29768 18.5 260204 160883 61.8 18.3% 31.2% 12.9% J l20 16882 10.5 27430 17.0 260373 161374 62.0 16.8% 30.0% 13.2% Au20 13742 08.5 23212 14.4 260558 160966 61.8 14.3% 28.0% 13.7% Se20 12277 07.7 20099 12.6 260742 160073 61.4 12.4% 26.9% 14.5% Oc20 10620 06.6 18780 11.7 260925 161053 61.7 11.6% 26.3% 14.7% No20 10264 06.4 18755 11.7 261085 160468 61.5 11.6% 26.3% 14.7% De20 10404 06.5 18732 11.7 261230 160017 61.3 11.6% 26.2% 14.6% Ja21 10851 06.8 19188 12.1 260851 159234 61.0 12.0% 25.7% 13.7% Fe21 10486 06.6 19743 12.3 260918 160008 61.3 11.6% 25.8% 14.2% Mr21 09905 06.2 17547 10.9 261003 160397 61.5 10.9% 25.7% 14.8% Ap21 09220 05.7 15951 09.9 261103 160379 61.4 09.9% 25.5% 15.6% My21 08829 05.5 15717 09.8 261210 160607 61.5 09.7% 26.0% 16.3% Jn21 09883 06.1 16515 10.2 261338 162167 62.1 10.1% 25.8% 15.7% J l21 09221 05.7 15670 09.6 261469 162817 62.3 09.6% 25.4% 15.8% Au21 08556 05.3 14423 08.9 261611 161788 61.8 08.9% 25.4% 16.5% Se21 07366 04.6 13175 08.2 261766 161392 61.7 08.1% 25.1% 17.0% Oc21 06896 04.3 12532 07.7 261908 161863 61.8 07.7% 25.1% 17.4% No21 06302 03.9 12017 07.4 262029 162099 61.9 07.4% 24.8% 17.4% De21 05964 03.7 11629 07.2 262136 161696 61.7 07.2% 24.5% 17.3% Ja22 07207 04.4 12924 07.9 263202 162825 61.9 07.9% 24.5% 16.6% Fe22 06782 04.1 12556 07.7 263324 163725 62.2 07.6% 24.6% 17.0% Mr22 06168 03.8 11660 07.1 263444 164274 62.4 07.1% 24.4% 17.3% Ap22 05458 03.3 10805 06.6 263559 163449 62.0 06.6% 24.5% 17.9% My22 05548 03.4 10998 06.7 263679 164157 62.3 06.7% 24.6% 17.9% Jn22 06334 03.8 11688 07.1 263835 165012 60.1 07.0% 24.3% 17.3% J l22 06255 03.8 11936 07.2 264012 165321 60.2 07.2% 24.4% 17.2% Au22 06256 03.8 11664 07.1 264184 164973 62.4 07.0% 24.6% 17.6% Se22 05460 03.3 10558 06.4 264356 164463 62.2 06.4% 24.4% 18.0% Oc22 05609 03.4 10379 06.3 264535 164753 62.3 06.3% 24.5% 18.2% No22 05523 03.4 10522 06.4 264708 164272 62.1 06.4% 24.4% 18.0% De22 05352 03.3 10521 06.4 264844 164224 62.0 06.4% 24.4% 18.0% Ja23 06378 03.9 12213 07.4 265962 165070 62.1 07.4% 24.5% 17.1% Fe23 06465 03.9 12031 07.2 266112 166178 62.4 07.3% 24.6% 17.3% Mr23 06043 03.6 11348 06.8 266272 166783 62.6 06.8% 24.6% 17.8% Ap23 05146 03.1 10234 06.2 266443 166221 62.4 06.1% 24.6% 18.5% My23 05700 03.4 10695 06.4 266618 166702 62.5 06.4% 24.7% 18.3% Jn23 06351 03.8 12167 07.2 266801 167910 62.9 07.2% 24.9% 17.7% J l23 06372 03.8 11921 07.1 267002 168354 63.1 07.1% 24.9% 17.8% Au23 06623 03.9 12207 07.3 267213 168049 62.9 07.2% Se23 06049 03.6 11239 06.7 267428 167718 62.7 06.7% Oc23 06098 03.6 11412 267642 167774 62.7 06.8% No23 05827 03.5 1625 1.0 07452 04.4 3796 2.3 11248 06.7 267822 167977 62.7 06.7 De23 05907 03.5 1567 7474 4229 11703 267991 166661 62.2 07.0 Fe24 06970 04.2 1559 0.9 08529 05.1 4479 2.7 13008 07.8 267711 167285 62.5 07.8 Mr24 06604 03.9 1439 0.9 08043 04.8 4343 2.6 12386 07.4 267884 167960 62.7 07.4 May24 06235 03.7% 6259 12496 4152 16648 268248 167536 62.5 07.1 Jn24 07233 04.3 1548 0.9 08781 05.2 4350 2.6 13131 07.8 268438 169007 63.0 07.7 Jl24 07685 04.5 1628 1.0 09313 05.5 4661 2.7 13974 08.2 268644 169723 63.2 08.2 J l 12 13400 08.6 24147 15.4 243354 156526 64.3 Au12 12696 08.2 22980 14.8 243566 155255 63.7 Se12 11742 07.6 22262 14.4 243772 155075 63.6 Oc12 11741 07.5 21942 14.1 243983 155779 63.8 Nv12 11404 07.4 21807 14.1 244174 154953 63.5 General color-coding guidelines: This color mostly highlights the most favorable figure of it's column in the Table. This color mostly highlights the most favorable figure of it's column since 9/11, or else since the Rock-The-Vote Democrat Recession. This color highlights the worst figures in it's column in the Table, including loss of Labor Force count. Quote:Comparing to The Great Depression: the Unemployment peaked in 1933 at 24.75% with 12.830 Million unemployed. In 1932 there were 12.060 M unemployed, and 11.340M in 1934, 10.610 in 1935. The 5 year stretch from 2009 to 2014 exceeded 12.9 Million each year, more Unemployed than the Great Depression. And 2014 was only less with the Fake figure, but including Marginally Attached was still more than Great Depression. The Civilian Adult Population steadily Increases, suggesting that figure is not manipulated. The Unemployment Rate was almost doubled by Jan 2010, and the Fake figure didn't return to 2008 level until Jan 2016. This figure after 2008 was able to be artificially less by shifting more unemployed into the Marginally Attached category, which Obamanomics managed to almost double. This Jan figure didn't return to 2008 level until 2017, after Trump was Elected. With 10 Million in 2008, this count did not fall back to sub-10 Million until 2017. A key factor that shadowstats points out is that the feeder category, the category which generates the discrepancy between BLS Fiction and reality, is the Marginally Attached. When Obamanomics doubled this figure, it was able to permanently exclude these Unemployed from the stats for the remainder of the Obamanomics Stagnation Extended Recession. It was much more difficult for Obama to expell his victims from the BLS rolls around 2011 when Unemployment was so bad there were Extended Benefits, (so applicants were required to document work searches before getting Unemployment Insurance Payments) - and this part of the Work Force could not be deleted from the Labor Force until they stopped documenting their search for work. The figure of Unemployed plus Marginally Attached is indisputably the real Unfake Unemployment figure since the Redefining of 1994 (which shadowstats states was to cover up the Losses of Employment from NAFTA). It does not return to Jan 2008 level until 2017, after Trump was Elected. For April 2018 this figure is lower than any January figure since it was created in 1994. The Jan Rate of all 3 categories combined of Obamanomics Unemployment did not fall back to 2008 level until 2018.
Thursday, August 22, 2024 10:36 PM
Friday, September 6, 2024 5:51 PM
Quote:Originally posted by JEWELSTAITEFAN: The shadowstats site is lean on actual data, requiring a subscription to access what it claims as database. However, I will make attempt to add in some of the data it presents. This does make assumption that their methodology and counting methods are valid, which I cannot find clear information about. There also may be comingling of Seasonally Adjusted figures from shadowstats without clarity, but this will be the only series of Tables I post which veer from Not Seasonally Adjusted figures. The charts they present do show that Unemployment under Trump is better than any time under Obamanomics, so it may be a worthwhile endeavor to investigate. I will refer to this set of data as Table JSF-URF-5 I will post some actual numbers and let the comparisons and discussion follow. The documented shenanigans of Obamabots deliberately refusing to Report jobless data in the months before the 2012 Election are a different matter, I will just use the Fake Data they produced and pretend it was real. The 1st column of numbers is the unemployed. The 2nd column is the Rate. The 3rd column is the sum of the Unemployed plus Marginally Attached plus Involuntary Part-time. 4th column is the Rate for column 3 figure. The Rates in columns 2 and 4 have the denominator of Labor Force. The 5th column is the Civilian Population. 6th column is Labor Force, 7th column is Participation Rate. 8th column is the published U-6 figure. The 9th column is the Real Unemployment figure, as presented by shadowstats. The 10th column is the underreported, the difference between the U-6 figure from BLS and the Real figure from shadowstats. Figures in thousands. MoYr Unem Pcnt Total Prcnt CivPop LbrForc Prtc% U6% Real Separation Ja93 09911 07.9 16575 12.8 192644 126034 65.4 Ja94 09492 07.3 16575 12.8 195953 129393 66.0 12% 15.3% 2.3% Ja95 08101 06.2 14504 11.1 197753 130698 66.1 10% 13.5% 3.5% Ja96 08270 06.3 14110 10.7 199634 131396 65.8 10.8% 13.5% 2.7% Ja97 07933 05.9 13886 10.3 202285 134317 66.4 10.4% 13% 2.6% Ja98 07069 05.2 12638 09.3 204238 135951 66.6 09.3% 12% 2.7% Ja99 06604 04.8 11607 08.4 206719 137943 66.7 08.5% 11.5% 3.0% Ja00 06316 04.5 10868 07.8 208782 139621 66.9 07.8% 11% 3.2% Ja01 06647 04.7 11496 08.2 210889 141049 66.9 08.1% 10.5% 2.4% Ja02 08935 06.3 14693 10.4 213089 141074 66.2 10.5% 13% 2.5% Ja02 09051 06.3 15036 10.5 216506 143228 66.2 10.5% 13% 2.5% Ja03 09395 06.5 15996 11.0 219897 145301 66.1 11.0% 13% 2.0% Ja04 09144 06.3 15966 10.9 222161 146068 65.7 10.9% 14% 3.1% Ja05 08444 05.7 15041 10.2 224837 147125 65.4 10.2% 13% 2.8% Ja06 07608 05.1 13765 09.2 227553 149090 65.5 09.2% 12% 2.8% Ja07 07649 05.0 13846 09.1 230650 151924 65.9 09.1% 12% 2.9% Ja08 08221 05.4 15185 09.9 232616 152828 65.7 09.9% 13% 3.1% Ja09 13009 08.5 23814 15.5 234739 153445 65.4 15.4% 20% 4.6% Ja10 16147 10.6 27847 18.2 236832 152957 64.6 18.0% 22% 4.0% Ja11 14937 09.8 26764 17.5 238704 152536 63.9 17.3% 22.5% 5.2% Ja12 13541 08.8 25097 16.4 242269 153485 63.4 16.2% 22.5% 6.3% Ja13 13181 08.5 24130 15.6 244663 154794 63.3 15.4% 23% 7.6% Ja14 10855 07.0 21064 13.6 246915 154381 62.5 13.5% 23.5% 10% Ja15 09498 06.1 18857 12.1 249723 156050 62.5 12.0% 23.5% 11.5% Ja16 08309 05.3 16632 10.6 252397 157347 62.3 10.5% 23% 12.5% Ja17 08149 05.1 16028 10.1 254082 158676 62.5 10.1% 23% 12.9% Ja18 07189 04.5 14222 08.9 256780 160037 62.3 08.9% 22% 13.1% Ja19 07140 04.4 14297 08.8 258239 162104 62.8 08.8% 21.8% 13.0% Ja20 06504 04.0 12573 07.7 259502 163497 63.0 07.7% 21.0% 13.3% Ja21 10851 06.8 19188 12.1 260851 159234 61.0 12.0% 25.7% 13.7% Ja22 07207 04.4 12924 07.9 263202 162825 61.9 07.9% 24.5% 16.6% Ja23 06378 03.9 12213 07.4 265962 165070 62.1 07.4% 24.5% 17.1% Ja18 07189 04.5 14222 08.9 256780 160037 62.3 08.9% 22% 13.1% Fb18 07091 04.4 13934 08.6 256934 161494 62.9 08.6% 21.9% 13.3% Mr18 06671 04.1 13100 08.1 257097 161548 62.8 08.1% 21.8% 13.7% Ap18 05932 03.7 11925 07.4 257272 161280 62.7 07.4% 21.5% 14.1% My18 05657 03.6 11789 07.3 257454 161765 62.8 07.3% 21.4% 14.1% Jn18 06812 04.2 13223 08.1 257642 163277 63.4 08.1% 21.5% 13.4% J l 18 06730 04.1 12929 07.9 257843 163734 63.5 07.9% 21.3% 13.4% Au18 06370 03.9 12076 07.4 258066 161909 62.7 07.4% 21.2% 13.8% Se18 05766 03.6 11581 07.2 258290 161958 62.7 07.1% 21.3% 14.2% Oc18 05771 03.5 11431 07.0 258514 162723 62.9 07.0% 21.2% 14.2% Nv18 05650 03.5 11840 07.3 258708 162665 62.9 07.2% 21.4% 14.2% Dc18 06029 03.7 12206 07.4 258888 162510 62.8 07.5% 21.4% 13.9% Ja19 07140 04.4 14297 08.8 258239 162104 62.8 08.8% 21.8% 13.0% Fe19 06625 04.1 12526 07.7 258392 162793 63.0 07.7% 21.1% 13.4% Mr19 06382 03.9 12287 07.5 258537 162823 63.0 07.5% 21.2% 13.7% Ap19 05387 03.3 11228 06.9 258693 162097 62.7 06.9% 21.2% 14.3% My19 05503 03.4 10968 06.7 258861 162655 62.8 06.7% 21.1% 14.4% Jn19 06292 03.8 12392 07.5 259037 164120 63.4 07.5% 21.2% 13.7% J l 19 06556 04.0 12051 07.3 259225 164941 63.6 07.3% 21.0% 13.7% Au19 06203 03.8 12004 07.3 259432 164019 63.2 07.3% 21.2% 13.9% Se19 05465 03.3 10689 06.5 259638 163943 63.1 06.5% 20.9% 14.4% Oc19 05510 03.3 10700 06.5 259845 164576 63.3 06.5% 21.0% 14.5% Nv19 05441 03.3 10740 06.5 260020 164386 63.2 06.5% 20.9% 14.4% Dc19 05503 03.4 10919 06.7 260181 164007 63.0 06.7% 20.8% 14.1% Ja20 06504 04.0 12573 07.7 259502 163497 63.0 07.7% 21.0% 13.3% Fe20 06218 03.8 12213 07.4 259628 164235 63.3 07.4% 21.1% 13.7% Mr20 07370 04.5 14538 08.9 259758 162537 62.6 08.9% 22.9% 14.0% Ap20 22504 14.4 35239 22.6 259896 155830 60.0 22.4% 39.3% 16.9% My20 20514 13.0 33092 20.9 260047 157975 60.7 20.7% 36.5% 15.8% Jn20 18072 11.2 29768 18.5 260204 160883 61.8 18.3% 31.2% 12.9% J l20 16882 10.5 27430 17.0 260373 161374 62.0 16.8% 30.0% 13.2% Au20 13742 08.5 23212 14.4 260558 160966 61.8 14.3% 28.0% 13.7% Se20 12277 07.7 20099 12.6 260742 160073 61.4 12.4% 26.9% 14.5% Oc20 10620 06.6 18780 11.7 260925 161053 61.7 11.6% 26.3% 14.7% No20 10264 06.4 18755 11.7 261085 160468 61.5 11.6% 26.3% 14.7% De20 10404 06.5 18732 11.7 261230 160017 61.3 11.6% 26.2% 14.6% Ja21 10851 06.8 19188 12.1 260851 159234 61.0 12.0% 25.7% 13.7% Fe21 10486 06.6 19743 12.3 260918 160008 61.3 11.6% 25.8% 14.2% Mr21 09905 06.2 17547 10.9 261003 160397 61.5 10.9% 25.7% 14.8% Ap21 09220 05.7 15951 09.9 261103 160379 61.4 09.9% 25.5% 15.6% My21 08829 05.5 15717 09.8 261210 160607 61.5 09.7% 26.0% 16.3% Jn21 09883 06.1 16515 10.2 261338 162167 62.1 10.1% 25.8% 15.7% J l21 09221 05.7 15670 09.6 261469 162817 62.3 09.6% 25.4% 15.8% Au21 08556 05.3 14423 08.9 261611 161788 61.8 08.9% 25.4% 16.5% Se21 07366 04.6 13175 08.2 261766 161392 61.7 08.1% 25.1% 17.0% Oc21 06896 04.3 12532 07.7 261908 161863 61.8 07.7% 25.1% 17.4% No21 06302 03.9 12017 07.4 262029 162099 61.9 07.4% 24.8% 17.4% De21 05964 03.7 11629 07.2 262136 161696 61.7 07.2% 24.5% 17.3% Ja22 07207 04.4 12924 07.9 263202 162825 61.9 07.9% 24.5% 16.6% Fe22 06782 04.1 12556 07.7 263324 163725 62.2 07.6% 24.6% 17.0% Mr22 06168 03.8 11660 07.1 263444 164274 62.4 07.1% 24.4% 17.3% Ap22 05458 03.3 10805 06.6 263559 163449 62.0 06.6% 24.5% 17.9% My22 05548 03.4 10998 06.7 263679 164157 62.3 06.7% 24.6% 17.9% Jn22 06334 03.8 11688 07.1 263835 165012 60.1 07.0% 24.3% 17.3% J l22 06255 03.8 11936 07.2 264012 165321 60.2 07.2% 24.4% 17.2% Au22 06256 03.8 11664 07.1 264184 164973 62.4 07.0% 24.6% 17.6% Se22 05460 03.3 10558 06.4 264356 164463 62.2 06.4% 24.4% 18.0% Oc22 05609 03.4 10379 06.3 264535 164753 62.3 06.3% 24.5% 18.2% No22 05523 03.4 10522 06.4 264708 164272 62.1 06.4% 24.4% 18.0% De22 05352 03.3 10521 06.4 264844 164224 62.0 06.4% 24.4% 18.0% Ja23 06378 03.9 12213 07.4 265962 165070 62.1 07.4% 24.5% 17.1% Fe23 06465 03.9 12031 07.2 266112 166178 62.4 07.3% 24.6% 17.3% Mr23 06043 03.6 11348 06.8 266272 166783 62.6 06.8% 24.6% 17.8% Ap23 05146 03.1 10234 06.2 266443 166221 62.4 06.1% 24.6% 18.5% My23 05700 03.4 10695 06.4 266618 166702 62.5 06.4% 24.7% 18.3% Jn23 06351 03.8 12167 07.2 266801 167910 62.9 07.2% 24.9% 17.7% J l23 06372 03.8 11921 07.1 267002 168354 63.1 07.1% 24.9% 17.8% Au23 06623 03.9 12207 07.3 267213 168049 62.9 07.2% Se23 06049 03.6 11239 06.7 267428 167718 62.7 06.7% Oc23 06098 03.6 11412 267642 167774 62.7 06.8% No23 05827 03.5 1625 1.0 07452 04.4 3796 2.3 11248 06.7 267822 167977 62.7 06.7 De23 05907 03.5 1567 7474 4229 11703 267991 166661 62.2 07.0 Fe24 06970 04.2 1559 0.9 08529 05.1 4479 2.7 13008 07.8 267711 167285 62.5 07.8 Mr24 06604 03.9 1439 0.9 08043 04.8 4343 2.6 12386 07.4 267884 167960 62.7 07.4 May24 06235 03.7% 6259 12496 4152 16648 268248 167536 62.5 07.1 Jn24 07233 04.3 1548 0.9 08781 05.2 4350 2.6 13131 07.8 268438 169007 63.0 07.7 Jl24 07685 04.5 1628 1.0 09313 05.5 4661 2.7 13974 08.2 268644 169723 63.2 08.2 Au24 07415 04.4 1359 0.8 08774 05.2 4677 2.8 13451 08.0 268856 168763 62.8 08.0 J l 12 13400 08.6 24147 15.4 243354 156526 64.3 Au12 12696 08.2 22980 14.8 243566 155255 63.7 Se12 11742 07.6 22262 14.4 243772 155075 63.6 Oc12 11741 07.5 21942 14.1 243983 155779 63.8 Nv12 11404 07.4 21807 14.1 244174 154953 63.5 General color-coding guidelines: This color mostly highlights the most favorable figure of it's column in the Table. This color mostly highlights the most favorable figure of it's column since 9/11, or else since the Rock-The-Vote Democrat Recession. This color highlights the worst figures in it's column in the Table, including loss of Labor Force count. Quote:Comparing to The Great Depression: the Unemployment peaked in 1933 at 24.75% with 12.830 Million unemployed. In 1932 there were 12.060 M unemployed, and 11.340M in 1934, 10.610 in 1935. The 5 year stretch from 2009 to 2014 exceeded 12.9 Million each year, more Unemployed than the Great Depression. And 2014 was only less with the Fake figure, but including Marginally Attached was still more than Great Depression. The Civilian Adult Population steadily Increases, suggesting that figure is not manipulated. The Unemployment Rate was almost doubled by Jan 2010, and the Fake figure didn't return to 2008 level until Jan 2016. This figure after 2008 was able to be artificially less by shifting more unemployed into the Marginally Attached category, which Obamanomics managed to almost double. This Jan figure didn't return to 2008 level until 2017, after Trump was Elected. With 10 Million in 2008, this count did not fall back to sub-10 Million until 2017. A key factor that shadowstats points out is that the feeder category, the category which generates the discrepancy between BLS Fiction and reality, is the Marginally Attached. When Obamanomics doubled this figure, it was able to permanently exclude these Unemployed from the stats for the remainder of the Obamanomics Stagnation Extended Recession. It was much more difficult for Obama to expell his victims from the BLS rolls around 2011 when Unemployment was so bad there were Extended Benefits, (so applicants were required to document work searches before getting Unemployment Insurance Payments) - and this part of the Work Force could not be deleted from the Labor Force until they stopped documenting their search for work. The figure of Unemployed plus Marginally Attached is indisputably the real Unfake Unemployment figure since the Redefining of 1994 (which shadowstats states was to cover up the Losses of Employment from NAFTA). It does not return to Jan 2008 level until 2017, after Trump was Elected. For April 2018 this figure is lower than any January figure since it was created in 1994. The Jan Rate of all 3 categories combined of Obamanomics Unemployment did not fall back to 2008 level until 2018.
Friday, October 4, 2024 5:40 PM
Quote:Originally posted by JEWELSTAITEFAN: The shadowstats site is lean on actual data, requiring a subscription to access what it claims as database. However, I will make attempt to add in some of the data it presents. This does make assumption that their methodology and counting methods are valid, which I cannot find clear information about. There also may be comingling of Seasonally Adjusted figures from shadowstats without clarity, but this will be the only series of Tables I post which veer from Not Seasonally Adjusted figures. The charts they present do show that Unemployment under Trump is better than any time under Obamanomics, so it may be a worthwhile endeavor to investigate. I will refer to this set of data as Table JSF-URF-5 I will post some actual numbers and let the comparisons and discussion follow. The documented shenanigans of Obamabots deliberately refusing to Report jobless data in the months before the 2012 Election are a different matter, I will just use the Fake Data they produced and pretend it was real. The 1st column of numbers is the unemployed. The 2nd column is the Rate. The 3rd column is the sum of the Unemployed plus Marginally Attached plus Involuntary Part-time. 4th column is the Rate for column 3 figure. The Rates in columns 2 and 4 have the denominator of Labor Force. The 5th column is the Civilian Population. 6th column is Labor Force, 7th column is Participation Rate. 8th column is the published U-6 figure. The 9th column is the Real Unemployment figure, as presented by shadowstats. The 10th column is the underreported, the difference between the U-6 figure from BLS and the Real figure from shadowstats. Figures in thousands. MoYr Unem Pcnt Total Prcnt CivPop LbrForc Prtc% U6% Real Separation Ja93 09911 07.9 16575 12.8 192644 126034 65.4 Ja94 09492 07.3 16575 12.8 195953 129393 66.0 12% 15.3% 2.3% Ja95 08101 06.2 14504 11.1 197753 130698 66.1 10% 13.5% 3.5% Ja96 08270 06.3 14110 10.7 199634 131396 65.8 10.8% 13.5% 2.7% Ja97 07933 05.9 13886 10.3 202285 134317 66.4 10.4% 13% 2.6% Ja98 07069 05.2 12638 09.3 204238 135951 66.6 09.3% 12% 2.7% Ja99 06604 04.8 11607 08.4 206719 137943 66.7 08.5% 11.5% 3.0% Ja00 06316 04.5 10868 07.8 208782 139621 66.9 07.8% 11% 3.2% Ja01 06647 04.7 11496 08.2 210889 141049 66.9 08.1% 10.5% 2.4% Ja02 08935 06.3 14693 10.4 213089 141074 66.2 10.5% 13% 2.5% Ja02 09051 06.3 15036 10.5 216506 143228 66.2 10.5% 13% 2.5% Ja03 09395 06.5 15996 11.0 219897 145301 66.1 11.0% 13% 2.0% Ja04 09144 06.3 15966 10.9 222161 146068 65.7 10.9% 14% 3.1% Ja05 08444 05.7 15041 10.2 224837 147125 65.4 10.2% 13% 2.8% Ja06 07608 05.1 13765 09.2 227553 149090 65.5 09.2% 12% 2.8% Ja07 07649 05.0 13846 09.1 230650 151924 65.9 09.1% 12% 2.9% Ja08 08221 05.4 15185 09.9 232616 152828 65.7 09.9% 13% 3.1% Ja09 13009 08.5 23814 15.5 234739 153445 65.4 15.4% 20% 4.6% Ja10 16147 10.6 27847 18.2 236832 152957 64.6 18.0% 22% 4.0% Ja11 14937 09.8 26764 17.5 238704 152536 63.9 17.3% 22.5% 5.2% Ja12 13541 08.8 25097 16.4 242269 153485 63.4 16.2% 22.5% 6.3% Ja13 13181 08.5 24130 15.6 244663 154794 63.3 15.4% 23% 7.6% Ja14 10855 07.0 21064 13.6 246915 154381 62.5 13.5% 23.5% 10% Ja15 09498 06.1 18857 12.1 249723 156050 62.5 12.0% 23.5% 11.5% Ja16 08309 05.3 16632 10.6 252397 157347 62.3 10.5% 23% 12.5% Ja17 08149 05.1 16028 10.1 254082 158676 62.5 10.1% 23% 12.9% Ja18 07189 04.5 14222 08.9 256780 160037 62.3 08.9% 22% 13.1% Ja19 07140 04.4 14297 08.8 258239 162104 62.8 08.8% 21.8% 13.0% Ja20 06504 04.0 12573 07.7 259502 163497 63.0 07.7% 21.0% 13.3% Ja21 10851 06.8 19188 12.1 260851 159234 61.0 12.0% 25.7% 13.7% Ja22 07207 04.4 12924 07.9 263202 162825 61.9 07.9% 24.5% 16.6% Ja23 06378 03.9 12213 07.4 265962 165070 62.1 07.4% 24.5% 17.1% Ja18 07189 04.5 14222 08.9 256780 160037 62.3 08.9% 22% 13.1% Fb18 07091 04.4 13934 08.6 256934 161494 62.9 08.6% 21.9% 13.3% Mr18 06671 04.1 13100 08.1 257097 161548 62.8 08.1% 21.8% 13.7% Ap18 05932 03.7 11925 07.4 257272 161280 62.7 07.4% 21.5% 14.1% My18 05657 03.6 11789 07.3 257454 161765 62.8 07.3% 21.4% 14.1% Jn18 06812 04.2 13223 08.1 257642 163277 63.4 08.1% 21.5% 13.4% J l 18 06730 04.1 12929 07.9 257843 163734 63.5 07.9% 21.3% 13.4% Au18 06370 03.9 12076 07.4 258066 161909 62.7 07.4% 21.2% 13.8% Se18 05766 03.6 11581 07.2 258290 161958 62.7 07.1% 21.3% 14.2% Oc18 05771 03.5 11431 07.0 258514 162723 62.9 07.0% 21.2% 14.2% Nv18 05650 03.5 11840 07.3 258708 162665 62.9 07.2% 21.4% 14.2% Dc18 06029 03.7 12206 07.4 258888 162510 62.8 07.5% 21.4% 13.9% Ja19 07140 04.4 14297 08.8 258239 162104 62.8 08.8% 21.8% 13.0% Fe19 06625 04.1 12526 07.7 258392 162793 63.0 07.7% 21.1% 13.4% Mr19 06382 03.9 12287 07.5 258537 162823 63.0 07.5% 21.2% 13.7% Ap19 05387 03.3 11228 06.9 258693 162097 62.7 06.9% 21.2% 14.3% My19 05503 03.4 10968 06.7 258861 162655 62.8 06.7% 21.1% 14.4% Jn19 06292 03.8 12392 07.5 259037 164120 63.4 07.5% 21.2% 13.7% J l 19 06556 04.0 12051 07.3 259225 164941 63.6 07.3% 21.0% 13.7% Au19 06203 03.8 12004 07.3 259432 164019 63.2 07.3% 21.2% 13.9% Se19 05465 03.3 10689 06.5 259638 163943 63.1 06.5% 20.9% 14.4% Oc19 05510 03.3 10700 06.5 259845 164576 63.3 06.5% 21.0% 14.5% Nv19 05441 03.3 10740 06.5 260020 164386 63.2 06.5% 20.9% 14.4% Dc19 05503 03.4 10919 06.7 260181 164007 63.0 06.7% 20.8% 14.1% Ja20 06504 04.0 12573 07.7 259502 163497 63.0 07.7% 21.0% 13.3% Fe20 06218 03.8 12213 07.4 259628 164235 63.3 07.4% 21.1% 13.7% Mr20 07370 04.5 14538 08.9 259758 162537 62.6 08.9% 22.9% 14.0% Ap20 22504 14.4 35239 22.6 259896 155830 60.0 22.4% 39.3% 16.9% My20 20514 13.0 33092 20.9 260047 157975 60.7 20.7% 36.5% 15.8% Jn20 18072 11.2 29768 18.5 260204 160883 61.8 18.3% 31.2% 12.9% J l20 16882 10.5 27430 17.0 260373 161374 62.0 16.8% 30.0% 13.2% Au20 13742 08.5 23212 14.4 260558 160966 61.8 14.3% 28.0% 13.7% Se20 12277 07.7 20099 12.6 260742 160073 61.4 12.4% 26.9% 14.5% Oc20 10620 06.6 18780 11.7 260925 161053 61.7 11.6% 26.3% 14.7% No20 10264 06.4 18755 11.7 261085 160468 61.5 11.6% 26.3% 14.7% De20 10404 06.5 18732 11.7 261230 160017 61.3 11.6% 26.2% 14.6% Ja21 10851 06.8 19188 12.1 260851 159234 61.0 12.0% 25.7% 13.7% Fe21 10486 06.6 19743 12.3 260918 160008 61.3 11.6% 25.8% 14.2% Mr21 09905 06.2 17547 10.9 261003 160397 61.5 10.9% 25.7% 14.8% Ap21 09220 05.7 15951 09.9 261103 160379 61.4 09.9% 25.5% 15.6% My21 08829 05.5 15717 09.8 261210 160607 61.5 09.7% 26.0% 16.3% Jn21 09883 06.1 16515 10.2 261338 162167 62.1 10.1% 25.8% 15.7% J l21 09221 05.7 15670 09.6 261469 162817 62.3 09.6% 25.4% 15.8% Au21 08556 05.3 14423 08.9 261611 161788 61.8 08.9% 25.4% 16.5% Se21 07366 04.6 13175 08.2 261766 161392 61.7 08.1% 25.1% 17.0% Oc21 06896 04.3 12532 07.7 261908 161863 61.8 07.7% 25.1% 17.4% No21 06302 03.9 12017 07.4 262029 162099 61.9 07.4% 24.8% 17.4% De21 05964 03.7 11629 07.2 262136 161696 61.7 07.2% 24.5% 17.3% Ja22 07207 04.4 12924 07.9 263202 162825 61.9 07.9% 24.5% 16.6% Fe22 06782 04.1 12556 07.7 263324 163725 62.2 07.6% 24.6% 17.0% Mr22 06168 03.8 11660 07.1 263444 164274 62.4 07.1% 24.4% 17.3% Ap22 05458 03.3 10805 06.6 263559 163449 62.0 06.6% 24.5% 17.9% My22 05548 03.4 10998 06.7 263679 164157 62.3 06.7% 24.6% 17.9% Jn22 06334 03.8 11688 07.1 263835 165012 60.1 07.0% 24.3% 17.3% J l22 06255 03.8 11936 07.2 264012 165321 60.2 07.2% 24.4% 17.2% Au22 06256 03.8 11664 07.1 264184 164973 62.4 07.0% 24.6% 17.6% Se22 05460 03.3 10558 06.4 264356 164463 62.2 06.4% 24.4% 18.0% Oc22 05609 03.4 10379 06.3 264535 164753 62.3 06.3% 24.5% 18.2% No22 05523 03.4 10522 06.4 264708 164272 62.1 06.4% 24.4% 18.0% De22 05352 03.3 10521 06.4 264844 164224 62.0 06.4% 24.4% 18.0% Ja23 06378 03.9 12213 07.4 265962 165070 62.1 07.4% 24.5% 17.1% Fe23 06465 03.9 12031 07.2 266112 166178 62.4 07.3% 24.6% 17.3% Mr23 06043 03.6 11348 06.8 266272 166783 62.6 06.8% 24.6% 17.8% Ap23 05146 03.1 10234 06.2 266443 166221 62.4 06.1% 24.6% 18.5% My23 05700 03.4 10695 06.4 266618 166702 62.5 06.4% 24.7% 18.3% Jn23 06351 03.8 12167 07.2 266801 167910 62.9 07.2% 24.9% 17.7% J l23 06372 03.8 11921 07.1 267002 168354 63.1 07.1% 24.9% 17.8% Au23 06623 03.9 12207 07.3 267213 168049 62.9 07.2% Se23 06049 03.6 11239 06.7 267428 167718 62.7 06.7% Oc23 06098 03.6 11412 267642 167774 62.7 06.8% No23 05827 03.5 1625 1.0 07452 04.4 3796 2.3 11248 06.7 267822 167977 62.7 06.7 De23 05907 03.5 1567 7474 4229 11703 267991 166661 62.2 07.0 Fe24 06970 04.2 1559 0.9 08529 05.1 4479 2.7 13008 07.8 267711 167285 62.5 07.8 Mr24 06604 03.9 1439 0.9 08043 04.8 4343 2.6 12386 07.4 267884 167960 62.7 07.4 May24 06235 03.7% 6259 12496 4152 16648 268248 167536 62.5 07.1 Jn24 07233 04.3 1548 0.9 08781 05.2 4350 2.6 13131 07.8 268438 169007 63.0 07.7 Jl24 07685 04.5 1628 1.0 09313 05.5 4661 2.7 13974 08.2 268644 169723 63.2 08.2 Au24 07415 04.4 1359 0.8 08774 05.2 4677 2.8 13451 08.0 268856 168763 62.8 08.0 Se24 06524 03.9 *756 0.4 *7280 *4.3 4227 2.5 11507 06.8 269080 168569 62.6 07.3 J l 12 13400 08.6 24147 15.4 243354 156526 64.3 Au12 12696 08.2 22980 14.8 243566 155255 63.7 Se12 11742 07.6 22262 14.4 243772 155075 63.6 Oc12 11741 07.5 21942 14.1 243983 155779 63.8 Nv12 11404 07.4 21807 14.1 244174 154953 63.5 General color-coding guidelines: This color mostly highlights the most favorable figure of it's column in the Table. This color mostly highlights the most favorable figure of it's column since 9/11, or else since the Rock-The-Vote Democrat Recession. This color highlights the worst figures in it's column in the Table, including loss of Labor Force count. Quote:Comparing to The Great Depression: the Unemployment peaked in 1933 at 24.75% with 12.830 Million unemployed. In 1932 there were 12.060 M unemployed, and 11.340M in 1934, 10.610 in 1935. The 5 year stretch from 2009 to 2014 exceeded 12.9 Million each year, more Unemployed than the Great Depression. And 2014 was only less with the Fake figure, but including Marginally Attached was still more than Great Depression. The Civilian Adult Population steadily Increases, suggesting that figure is not manipulated. The Unemployment Rate was almost doubled by Jan 2010, and the Fake figure didn't return to 2008 level until Jan 2016. This figure after 2008 was able to be artificially less by shifting more unemployed into the Marginally Attached category, which Obamanomics managed to almost double. This Jan figure didn't return to 2008 level until 2017, after Trump was Elected. With 10 Million in 2008, this count did not fall back to sub-10 Million until 2017. A key factor that shadowstats points out is that the feeder category, the category which generates the discrepancy between BLS Fiction and reality, is the Marginally Attached. When Obamanomics doubled this figure, it was able to permanently exclude these Unemployed from the stats for the remainder of the Obamanomics Stagnation Extended Recession. It was much more difficult for Obama to expell his victims from the BLS rolls around 2011 when Unemployment was so bad there were Extended Benefits, (so applicants were required to document work searches before getting Unemployment Insurance Payments) - and this part of the Work Force could not be deleted from the Labor Force until they stopped documenting their search for work. The figure of Unemployed plus Marginally Attached is indisputably the real Unfake Unemployment figure since the Redefining of 1994 (which shadowstats states was to cover up the Losses of Employment from NAFTA). It does not return to Jan 2008 level until 2017, after Trump was Elected. For April 2018 this figure is lower than any January figure since it was created in 1994. The Jan Rate of all 3 categories combined of Obamanomics Unemployment did not fall back to 2008 level until 2018.
Friday, October 4, 2024 5:43 PM
Tuesday, October 8, 2024 9:15 PM
Monday, November 4, 2024 2:06 PM
Quote:Originally posted by JEWELSTAITEFAN: The shadowstats site is lean on actual data, requiring a subscription to access what it claims as database. However, I will make attempt to add in some of the data it presents. This does make assumption that their methodology and counting methods are valid, which I cannot find clear information about. There also may be comingling of Seasonally Adjusted figures from shadowstats without clarity, but this will be the only series of Tables I post which veer from Not Seasonally Adjusted figures. The charts they present do show that Unemployment under Trump is better than any time under Obamanomics, so it may be a worthwhile endeavor to investigate. I will refer to this set of data as Table JSF-URF-5 I will post some actual numbers and let the comparisons and discussion follow. The documented shenanigans of Obamabots deliberately refusing to Report jobless data in the months before the 2012 Election are a different matter, I will just use the Fake Data they produced and pretend it was real. The 1st column of numbers is the unemployed. The 2nd column is the Rate. The 3rd column is the sum of the Unemployed plus Marginally Attached plus Involuntary Part-time. 4th column is the Rate for column 3 figure. The Rates in columns 2 and 4 have the denominator of Labor Force. The 5th column is the Civilian Population. 6th column is Labor Force, 7th column is Participation Rate. 8th column is the published U-6 figure. The 9th column is the Real Unemployment figure, as presented by shadowstats. The 10th column is the underreported, the difference between the U-6 figure from BLS and the Real figure from shadowstats. Figures in thousands. MoYr Unem Pcnt Total Prcnt CivPop LbrForc Prtc% U6% Real Separation Ja93 09911 07.9 16575 12.8 192644 126034 65.4 Ja94 09492 07.3 16575 12.8 195953 129393 66.0 12% 15.3% 2.3% Ja95 08101 06.2 14504 11.1 197753 130698 66.1 10% 13.5% 3.5% Ja96 08270 06.3 14110 10.7 199634 131396 65.8 10.8% 13.5% 2.7% Ja97 07933 05.9 13886 10.3 202285 134317 66.4 10.4% 13% 2.6% Ja98 07069 05.2 12638 09.3 204238 135951 66.6 09.3% 12% 2.7% Ja99 06604 04.8 11607 08.4 206719 137943 66.7 08.5% 11.5% 3.0% Ja00 06316 04.5 10868 07.8 208782 139621 66.9 07.8% 11% 3.2% Ja01 06647 04.7 11496 08.2 210889 141049 66.9 08.1% 10.5% 2.4% Ja02 08935 06.3 14693 10.4 213089 141074 66.2 10.5% 13% 2.5% Ja02 09051 06.3 15036 10.5 216506 143228 66.2 10.5% 13% 2.5% Ja03 09395 06.5 15996 11.0 219897 145301 66.1 11.0% 13% 2.0% Ja04 09144 06.3 15966 10.9 222161 146068 65.7 10.9% 14% 3.1% Ja05 08444 05.7 15041 10.2 224837 147125 65.4 10.2% 13% 2.8% Ja06 07608 05.1 13765 09.2 227553 149090 65.5 09.2% 12% 2.8% Ja07 07649 05.0 13846 09.1 230650 151924 65.9 09.1% 12% 2.9% Ja08 08221 05.4 15185 09.9 232616 152828 65.7 09.9% 13% 3.1% Ja09 13009 08.5 23814 15.5 234739 153445 65.4 15.4% 20% 4.6% Ja10 16147 10.6 27847 18.2 236832 152957 64.6 18.0% 22% 4.0% Ja11 14937 09.8 26764 17.5 238704 152536 63.9 17.3% 22.5% 5.2% Ja12 13541 08.8 25097 16.4 242269 153485 63.4 16.2% 22.5% 6.3% Ja13 13181 08.5 24130 15.6 244663 154794 63.3 15.4% 23% 7.6% Ja14 10855 07.0 21064 13.6 246915 154381 62.5 13.5% 23.5% 10% Ja15 09498 06.1 18857 12.1 249723 156050 62.5 12.0% 23.5% 11.5% Ja16 08309 05.3 16632 10.6 252397 157347 62.3 10.5% 23% 12.5% Ja17 08149 05.1 16028 10.1 254082 158676 62.5 10.1% 23% 12.9% Ja18 07189 04.5 14222 08.9 256780 160037 62.3 08.9% 22% 13.1% Ja19 07140 04.4 14297 08.8 258239 162104 62.8 08.8% 21.8% 13.0% Ja20 06504 04.0 12573 07.7 259502 163497 63.0 07.7% 21.0% 13.3% Ja21 10851 06.8 19188 12.1 260851 159234 61.0 12.0% 25.7% 13.7% Ja22 07207 04.4 12924 07.9 263202 162825 61.9 07.9% 24.5% 16.6% Ja23 06378 03.9 12213 07.4 265962 165070 62.1 07.4% 24.5% 17.1% Ja18 07189 04.5 14222 08.9 256780 160037 62.3 08.9% 22% 13.1% Fb18 07091 04.4 13934 08.6 256934 161494 62.9 08.6% 21.9% 13.3% Mr18 06671 04.1 13100 08.1 257097 161548 62.8 08.1% 21.8% 13.7% Ap18 05932 03.7 11925 07.4 257272 161280 62.7 07.4% 21.5% 14.1% My18 05657 03.6 11789 07.3 257454 161765 62.8 07.3% 21.4% 14.1% Jn18 06812 04.2 13223 08.1 257642 163277 63.4 08.1% 21.5% 13.4% J l 18 06730 04.1 12929 07.9 257843 163734 63.5 07.9% 21.3% 13.4% Au18 06370 03.9 12076 07.4 258066 161909 62.7 07.4% 21.2% 13.8% Se18 05766 03.6 11581 07.2 258290 161958 62.7 07.1% 21.3% 14.2% Oc18 05771 03.5 11431 07.0 258514 162723 62.9 07.0% 21.2% 14.2% Nv18 05650 03.5 11840 07.3 258708 162665 62.9 07.2% 21.4% 14.2% Dc18 06029 03.7 12206 07.4 258888 162510 62.8 07.5% 21.4% 13.9% Ja19 07140 04.4 14297 08.8 258239 162104 62.8 08.8% 21.8% 13.0% Fe19 06625 04.1 12526 07.7 258392 162793 63.0 07.7% 21.1% 13.4% Mr19 06382 03.9 12287 07.5 258537 162823 63.0 07.5% 21.2% 13.7% Ap19 05387 03.3 11228 06.9 258693 162097 62.7 06.9% 21.2% 14.3% My19 05503 03.4 10968 06.7 258861 162655 62.8 06.7% 21.1% 14.4% Jn19 06292 03.8 12392 07.5 259037 164120 63.4 07.5% 21.2% 13.7% J l 19 06556 04.0 12051 07.3 259225 164941 63.6 07.3% 21.0% 13.7% Au19 06203 03.8 12004 07.3 259432 164019 63.2 07.3% 21.2% 13.9% Se19 05465 03.3 10689 06.5 259638 163943 63.1 06.5% 20.9% 14.4% Oc19 05510 03.3 10700 06.5 259845 164576 63.3 06.5% 21.0% 14.5% Nv19 05441 03.3 10740 06.5 260020 164386 63.2 06.5% 20.9% 14.4% Dc19 05503 03.4 10919 06.7 260181 164007 63.0 06.7% 20.8% 14.1% Ja20 06504 04.0 12573 07.7 259502 163497 63.0 07.7% 21.0% 13.3% Fe20 06218 03.8 12213 07.4 259628 164235 63.3 07.4% 21.1% 13.7% Mr20 07370 04.5 14538 08.9 259758 162537 62.6 08.9% 22.9% 14.0% Ap20 22504 14.4 35239 22.6 259896 155830 60.0 22.4% 39.3% 16.9% My20 20514 13.0 33092 20.9 260047 157975 60.7 20.7% 36.5% 15.8% Jn20 18072 11.2 29768 18.5 260204 160883 61.8 18.3% 31.2% 12.9% J l20 16882 10.5 27430 17.0 260373 161374 62.0 16.8% 30.0% 13.2% Au20 13742 08.5 23212 14.4 260558 160966 61.8 14.3% 28.0% 13.7% Se20 12277 07.7 20099 12.6 260742 160073 61.4 12.4% 26.9% 14.5% Oc20 10620 06.6 18780 11.7 260925 161053 61.7 11.6% 26.3% 14.7% No20 10264 06.4 18755 11.7 261085 160468 61.5 11.6% 26.3% 14.7% De20 10404 06.5 18732 11.7 261230 160017 61.3 11.6% 26.2% 14.6% Ja21 10851 06.8 19188 12.1 260851 159234 61.0 12.0% 25.7% 13.7% Fe21 10486 06.6 19743 12.3 260918 160008 61.3 11.6% 25.8% 14.2% Mr21 09905 06.2 17547 10.9 261003 160397 61.5 10.9% 25.7% 14.8% Ap21 09220 05.7 15951 09.9 261103 160379 61.4 09.9% 25.5% 15.6% My21 08829 05.5 15717 09.8 261210 160607 61.5 09.7% 26.0% 16.3% Jn21 09883 06.1 16515 10.2 261338 162167 62.1 10.1% 25.8% 15.7% J l21 09221 05.7 15670 09.6 261469 162817 62.3 09.6% 25.4% 15.8% Au21 08556 05.3 14423 08.9 261611 161788 61.8 08.9% 25.4% 16.5% Se21 07366 04.6 13175 08.2 261766 161392 61.7 08.1% 25.1% 17.0% Oc21 06896 04.3 12532 07.7 261908 161863 61.8 07.7% 25.1% 17.4% No21 06302 03.9 12017 07.4 262029 162099 61.9 07.4% 24.8% 17.4% De21 05964 03.7 11629 07.2 262136 161696 61.7 07.2% 24.5% 17.3% Ja22 07207 04.4 12924 07.9 263202 162825 61.9 07.9% 24.5% 16.6% Fe22 06782 04.1 12556 07.7 263324 163725 62.2 07.6% 24.6% 17.0% Mr22 06168 03.8 11660 07.1 263444 164274 62.4 07.1% 24.4% 17.3% Ap22 05458 03.3 10805 06.6 263559 163449 62.0 06.6% 24.5% 17.9% My22 05548 03.4 10998 06.7 263679 164157 62.3 06.7% 24.6% 17.9% Jn22 06334 03.8 11688 07.1 263835 165012 60.1 07.0% 24.3% 17.3% J l22 06255 03.8 11936 07.2 264012 165321 60.2 07.2% 24.4% 17.2% Au22 06256 03.8 11664 07.1 264184 164973 62.4 07.0% 24.6% 17.6% Se22 05460 03.3 10558 06.4 264356 164463 62.2 06.4% 24.4% 18.0% Oc22 05609 03.4 10379 06.3 264535 164753 62.3 06.3% 24.5% 18.2% No22 05523 03.4 10522 06.4 264708 164272 62.1 06.4% 24.4% 18.0% De22 05352 03.3 10521 06.4 264844 164224 62.0 06.4% 24.4% 18.0% Ja23 06378 03.9 12213 07.4 265962 165070 62.1 07.4% 24.5% 17.1% Fe23 06465 03.9 12031 07.2 266112 166178 62.4 07.3% 24.6% 17.3% Mr23 06043 03.6 11348 06.8 266272 166783 62.6 06.8% 24.6% 17.8% Ap23 05146 03.1 10234 06.2 266443 166221 62.4 06.1% 24.6% 18.5% My23 05700 03.4 10695 06.4 266618 166702 62.5 06.4% 24.7% 18.3% Jn23 06351 03.8 12167 07.2 266801 167910 62.9 07.2% 24.9% 17.7% J l23 06372 03.8 11921 07.1 267002 168354 63.1 07.1% 24.9% 17.8% Au23 06623 03.9 12207 07.3 267213 168049 62.9 07.2% Se23 06049 03.6 11239 06.7 267428 167718 62.7 06.7% Oc23 06098 03.6 11412 267642 167774 62.7 06.8% No23 05827 03.5 1625 1.0 07452 04.4 3796 2.3 11248 06.7 267822 167977 62.7 06.7 De23 05907 03.5 1567 7474 4229 11703 267991 166661 62.2 07.0 Fe24 06970 04.2 1559 0.9 08529 05.1 4479 2.7 13008 07.8 267711 167285 62.5 07.8 Mr24 06604 03.9 1439 0.9 08043 04.8 4343 2.6 12386 07.4 267884 167960 62.7 07.4 May24 06235 03.7% 6259 12496 4152 16648 268248 167536 62.5 07.1 Jn24 07233 04.3 1548 0.9 08781 05.2 4350 2.6 13131 07.8 268438 169007 63.0 07.7 Jl24 07685 04.5 1628 1.0 09313 05.5 4661 2.7 13974 08.2 268644 169723 63.2 08.2 Au24 07415 04.4 1359 0.8 08774 05.2 4677 2.8 13451 08.0 268856 168763 62.8 08.0 Se24 06524 03.9 *756 0.4 *7280 *4.3 4227 2.5 11507 06.8 269080 168569 62.6 07.3 Oc24 06631 03.9 1547 0.9 08178 04.9 4122 2.4 12300 07.3 269289 168569 62.6 07.3 J l 12 13400 08.6 24147 15.4 243354 156526 64.3 Au12 12696 08.2 22980 14.8 243566 155255 63.7 Se12 11742 07.6 22262 14.4 243772 155075 63.6 Oc12 11741 07.5 21942 14.1 243983 155779 63.8 Nv12 11404 07.4 21807 14.1 244174 154953 63.5 General color-coding guidelines: This color mostly highlights the most favorable figure of it's column in the Table. This color mostly highlights the most favorable figure of it's column since 9/11, or else since the Rock-The-Vote Democrat Recession. This color highlights the worst figures in it's column in the Table, including loss of Labor Force count. Quote:Comparing to The Great Depression: the Unemployment peaked in 1933 at 24.75% with 12.830 Million unemployed. In 1932 there were 12.060 M unemployed, and 11.340M in 1934, 10.610 in 1935. The 5 year stretch from 2009 to 2014 exceeded 12.9 Million each year, more Unemployed than the Great Depression. And 2014 was only less with the Fake figure, but including Marginally Attached was still more than Great Depression. The Civilian Adult Population steadily Increases, suggesting that figure is not manipulated. The Unemployment Rate was almost doubled by Jan 2010, and the Fake figure didn't return to 2008 level until Jan 2016. This figure after 2008 was able to be artificially less by shifting more unemployed into the Marginally Attached category, which Obamanomics managed to almost double. This Jan figure didn't return to 2008 level until 2017, after Trump was Elected. With 10 Million in 2008, this count did not fall back to sub-10 Million until 2017. A key factor that shadowstats points out is that the feeder category, the category which generates the discrepancy between BLS Fiction and reality, is the Marginally Attached. When Obamanomics doubled this figure, it was able to permanently exclude these Unemployed from the stats for the remainder of the Obamanomics Stagnation Extended Recession. It was much more difficult for Obama to expell his victims from the BLS rolls around 2011 when Unemployment was so bad there were Extended Benefits, (so applicants were required to document work searches before getting Unemployment Insurance Payments) - and this part of the Work Force could not be deleted from the Labor Force until they stopped documenting their search for work. The figure of Unemployed plus Marginally Attached is indisputably the real Unfake Unemployment figure since the Redefining of 1994 (which shadowstats states was to cover up the Losses of Employment from NAFTA). It does not return to Jan 2008 level until 2017, after Trump was Elected. For April 2018 this figure is lower than any January figure since it was created in 1994. The Jan Rate of all 3 categories combined of Obamanomics Unemployment did not fall back to 2008 level until 2018.
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