REAL WORLD EVENT DISCUSSIONS

Why terrorists will ultimately fail...

POSTED BY: CHRISISALL
UPDATED: Saturday, April 29, 2006 13:35
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Friday, April 28, 2006 5:04 AM

GEEZER

Keep the Shiny side up


Quote:

Originally posted by citizen:
Oh and the only person who's done any obvious insultin' here would be you, I'm not full of shit, I await your apology for the unsolicited personal insult.



Never said you were full of shit. Learn to read please.
"So if I were to say "You're full of sh*t, Citizen." You would just take it as "I respectfully disagree" and not consider it personal? Cool."
I was asking a question. I take it your answer would be No, then.
Quote:

I didn't define anything, you're having that conversation with SignyM,

Hey, that's right. SignyM and I were discussing the definition of terrorism. Are you Signym?

Quote:

do try to keep up please. I said the situations of WW2, the Korean War, the Vietnam War and hell the first Gulf War bear no relation to the current situation in Iraq.

Neither did I. So?
Quote:

But since you want to drag me in too the "Is Bush a terrorist?" argument, for whatever reason I don't know:

Seems to me I was discussing it with SignyM, and you butted in, but whatever.
Quote:

A terrorist is someone who specifically TARGETS civilians in order to produce fear in a civilian population to bring pressure to that populations governing body, in order to satisfy a political end.

Pretty good. Similar to what I came up with in another post here. I think they both need a bit of work still, though.
Quote:

Simply put Bush doesn't need to be a terrorist. If the IRA or Al qaeda had the resources of the American Military they wouldn't be Terrorists either.

Yet various totalitarian governments who had massive armies have waged campaigns of terror, sometimes against their own citizens. I'm not sure availability of means is as important as intention in the definition.

Quote:

Is Bush a Terrorist? I don't think so, for a start he lacks the subtlety (yes it requires a degree of subtlety) and intelligence to operate a terrorist network. Secondly the coalition forces aren't specifically targeting civilians, though that having been said the coalition forces have attacked civilians, whether this is a case of mistaken identity or actual targeting of civilians, or whether that puts the coalition in the realm of 'terrorists' is something I'll leave to the reader to decide.


Well, at least we agree that Bush is not a terrorist. Champagne all round!

"Keep the Shiny side up"

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Friday, April 28, 2006 5:05 AM

SIGNYM

I believe in solving problems, not sharing them.


Quote:

Having seen firsthand what the Viet Cong did to innocent civilians on a daily basis, I agree, there is no way to justify what they did.
And of course our mass bombings and support of a regime that put people in tiger cages and threw lye on them was better!

So here we go again with the same old argument: They did it too, so that makes us better.

I wonder, just on sheers numbers of civilians killed- who killed more? "Them" or "us"?

---------------------------------
Free as in freedom, not beer.

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Friday, April 28, 2006 5:12 AM

SIGNYM

I believe in solving problems, not sharing them.


Hey Fletch- I gotta get to work. But your scenarios are pretty limited. I brought up several more that you didn't discuss that I think would have a good chance of working, altho it would take a few more years than invasion. (Altho at the rate that Iraq is going and seeming to draw in the nations aruond it, it may be decades before the area stabilizes post-invasion.)

---------------------------------
Free as in freedom, not beer.

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Friday, April 28, 2006 5:16 AM

GEEZER

Keep the Shiny side up


Quote:

Originally posted by chrisisall:
Quote:

Originally posted by Geezer:

Terrorist - A person who uses violence, terror, and intimidation, primarily against non-combatants, or one who supports, directly or indirectly with full knowledge, such a person or organization, to achieve an end.


I'd go with this.

Chrisisall



Funny. That seems to have changed from what I originally typed. Maybe a virus?

But seriously, I'd prefer to limit "terrorist" to the person or organization taking the action. The "...or one who supports, directly or indirectly with full knowledge, such a person or organization," gets us on a real slippery slope. Does a country's recognition of the Hamas-led Palastinian government make that country terrorist? If they send humanitarian aid to the earthquake victims in Pakistan, quite aware that some of it may be diverted to Taliban fighters, are they terrorists? If you have a way around this, please feel free.

So I'll stick with this one for now, although I know it needs work.

Terrorist - A person who uses violence, terror, and intimidation, primarily against non-combatants, to achieve an end.



"Keep the Shiny side up"

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Friday, April 28, 2006 5:26 AM

GEEZER

Keep the Shiny side up


Quote:

Originally posted by SignyM:
And of course our mass bombings and support of a regime that put people in tiger cages and threw lye on them was better!

So here we go again with the same old argument: They did it too, so that makes us better.

I wonder, just on sheers numbers of civilians killed- who killed more? "Them" or "us"?



...as SignyM once again puts words in my mouth. Not better, just not worse.

"Keep the Shiny side up"

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Friday, April 28, 2006 5:30 AM

CITIZEN


Quote:

Originally posted by Geezer:
Never said you were full of shit. Learn to read please.
"So if I were to say "You're full of sh*t, Citizen." You would just take it as "I respectfully disagree" and not consider it personal? Cool."
I was asking a question. I take it your answer would be No, then.


That was an insult directed at me as much as anything I've said here was an insult directed at you. What's the matter, don't you like it when someone else uses the "waaa! stop insulting me card"? I take it you now accept the fact that nothing I said was actually an insult and you made the whole insult thing up.
Quote:

Hey, that's right. SignyM and I were discussing the definition of terrorism. Are you Signym?

Nope, but I'm beginning to think you can't quite manage that fact. You started talking to me about defining terrorism, you were having that conversation with Signym not me. You're the one having trouble telling the difference, it would seem.
Quote:

Neither did I. So?

Err, yes you did. That was the point I was replying to and talking about in the first place.
Quote:

Seems to me I was discussing it with SignyM, and you butted in, but whatever.

Nope, I pulled you up on your attempt to draw a parrellel between the current situation in Iraq and WW2, I wasn't jumping into the terrorism thing at all, not until you started 'refuting' my 'definition' of terrorism that I never made in the first place. What are you on, and can you pass it over here please?
Quote:

Pretty good. Similar to what I came up with in another post here. I think they both need a bit of work still, though.

It's better than the standard one:
A terrorist is someone who attacks us.
Quote:

Yet various totalitarian governments who had massive armies have waged campaigns of terror, sometimes against their own citizens. I'm not sure availability of means is as important as intention in the definition.

It's dishonest of you too try and equat the two, but to coin a phrase, whatever.
Quote:

Well, at least we agree that Bush is not a terrorist. Champagne all round!

Yes, Bush isn't a terrorist, so everything he does is okay, he's a goody, everyone else are baddies, maybe we could get the A-Team or He-Man and the Masters of the Universe to take out the baddies .

Quote:

Does a country's recognition of the Hamas-led Palastinian government make that country terrorist?

If we define the Hamas-led government as Terrorists why can't we also define the Israelli government as such?



More insane ramblings by the people who brought you beeeer milkshakes!
And as you know, these are open forums, you're able to come and listen to what I have to say.

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Friday, April 28, 2006 5:54 AM

CHRISISALL


Quote:

Originally posted by Geezer:

But seriously, I'd prefer to limit "terrorist" to the person or organization taking the action. The "...or one who supports, directly or indirectly with full knowledge, such a person or organization," gets us on a real slippery slope.
If you have a way around this, please feel free.


I mean, the Red Cross giving food to civilians is way different than the U.S. giving arms to Saddam...

just sayin' Chrisisall

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Friday, April 28, 2006 6:19 AM

GEEZER

Keep the Shiny side up


Quote:

Originally posted by chrisisall:
Quote:

Originally posted by Geezer:

But seriously, I'd prefer to limit "terrorist" to the person or organization taking the action. The "...or one who supports, directly or indirectly with full knowledge, such a person or organization," gets us on a real slippery slope.
If you have a way around this, please feel free.


I mean, the Red Cross giving food to civilians is way different than the U.S. giving arms to Saddam...



Exactly. But the "or one who supports..." clause could be interpreted (with a little work) to include both situations. How about this?

Terrorist - A person who uses, or provides support for the use of, violence, terror, and intimidation, primarily against non-combatants, to achieve an end.

So now it's direct support of the use of terror, not the support of an organization which uses terror. A small but, to me, significant difference.

Still need to address that "...to achieve an end" part. Is there an end which justifies the means of "...violence, terror, and intimidation, primarily against non-combatants"? Tamil Tigers? Chechen separatists? Continental partisan groups burning Tory homes in the South during the Revolutionary War? Various indigenous groups vs. the government of Myanmar? Is one man's terrorist really another man's freedom fighter?


"Keep the Shiny side up"

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Friday, April 28, 2006 6:20 AM

SIGNYM

I believe in solving problems, not sharing them.


I'm not sure I'd agree with the "primarily" part of the definition. Civilians don't generally expect to be targeted- they're not psychologically conditioned or trained- so taking out 3000 civilians may have a much more profound effect on mass psychology than taking out 10,000 soldiers.

As far as the March to the Sea
Quote:

Sherman's March to the Sea followed his successful Atlanta Campaign of May to September 1864. He and U.S. Army commander Ulysses S. Grant believed that the Civil War would end only if the Confederacy's strategic, economic, and psychological capacity for warfare were decisively broken. Sherman therefore applied the principles of scorched earth, ordering his troops to burn crops, kill livestock, consume supplies, and destroy civilian infrastructure along their path. This policy is often also referred to as total war.
Isn't this where "war is hell" came from? I suppose this could be compared to the Gulf War bombing, which targeted infrastructure like water treatment plants, power generating stations, bridges etc. Is that terrorism? I don't know. It's borderline. Civilian (humans lives) aren't being taken, but civilian assets are being targeted.

---------------------------------
Free as in freedom, not beer.

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Friday, April 28, 2006 6:32 AM

GEEZER

Keep the Shiny side up


OK. Just to move things along, I apologize for any unintentional slight or insult you may have preceived in anything I have ever said.

I'll also skip over the you said/I said aout who is butting into who's post.

Now.
Quote:

Originally posted by citizen:

Quote:

Does a country's recognition of the Hamas-led Palastinian government make that country terrorist?

If we define the Hamas-led government as Terrorists why can't we also define the Israelli government as such?



Because the Israeli government has that massive military force which you say disqualifies them as terrorists.

Quote:

Originally posted by citizen:

Simply put Bush doesn't need to be a terrorist. If the IRA or Al qaeda had the resources of the American Military they wouldn't be Terrorists either.



This is not to say that I consider the Israeli government's actions aganst the Palestinians acceptable by any means.


"Keep the Shiny side up"

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Friday, April 28, 2006 6:48 AM

CITIZEN


Quote:

Originally posted by Geezer:
OK. Just to move things along, I apologize for any unintentional slight or insult you may have preceived in anything I have ever said.


Golly gosh, that's awfully big of you old man. Annoying when people decide you've insulted them for no reason and won't let it drop, ain't it .

But sorry if anything I said came across as a personal attack, it was never my intent.
Quote:

I'll also skip over the you said/I said aout who is butting into who's post.

I'm afraid this sounds just like blah blah blah, so read into whatever, whatever you will. Whatever .
Quote:

Because the Israeli government has that massive military force which you say disqualifies them as terrorists.

Now now, I never said it disqualifies them from being terrorists, I said they don't need to be terrorists in order to further their goals. Come-on if the Palestinians had as many tanks planes helicopters and guns as the Israeli’s, do you really think they’d be walking into cafes with C4 strapped to their chests?

Bush doesn't need to resort to those tactics to further his goals, so he doesn't, and given the international scrutiny he can't.
Quote:

This is not to say that I consider the Israeli government's actions aganst the Palestinians acceptable by any means.

So what do you consider the actions of the Israeli government to be?



More insane ramblings by the people who brought you beeeer milkshakes!
And as you know, these are open forums, you're able to come and listen to what I have to say.

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Friday, April 28, 2006 6:52 AM

GEEZER

Keep the Shiny side up


Quote:

Originally posted by SignyM:
I'm not sure I'd agree with the "primarily" part of the definition. Civilians don't generally expect to be targeted- they're not psychologically conditioned or trained- so taking out 3000 civilians may have a much more profound effect on mass psychology than taking out 10,000 soldiers.



But that's where the "Primarily" part comes in. Terrorism is much more effective if applied primarily to civilians. Or do you mean you'd prefer something like "...almost exclusively targets civilians"?

Quote:

As far as the March to the Sea
Quote:

Sherman's March to the Sea followed his successful Atlanta Campaign of May to September 1864. He and U.S. Army commander Ulysses S. Grant believed that the Civil War would end only if the Confederacy's strategic, economic, and psychological capacity for warfare were decisively broken. Sherman therefore applied the principles of scorched earth, ordering his troops to burn crops, kill livestock, consume supplies, and destroy civilian infrastructure along their path. This policy is often also referred to as total war.
Isn't this where "war is hell" came from? I suppose this could be compared to the Gulf War bombing, which targeted infrastructure like water treatment plants, power generating stations, bridges etc. Is that terrorism? I don't know. It's borderline. Civilian (humans lives) aren't being taken, but civilian assets are being targeted.



Large numbers of civilians died as a result of disease, starvation, and indisciriminate shelling during the sieges of Vicksburg, Atlanta, Richmond, and other Southern cities.

Sherman's orders for the "March to the Sea" commanded the destruction of all homes, buildings, livestock, and food in a 40 mile swath from Atlanta to Savannah, say 10,000 square miles. Many civilians in this area later died from hunger and exposure.

Sherman was considered a hero for this, as it also hastened the end of the war. So, is the greater good justification for this destruction? Perhaps that's our next stop in defining a terrorist.

"Keep the Shiny side up"

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Friday, April 28, 2006 7:04 AM

GEEZER

Keep the Shiny side up


Quote:

Originally posted by citizen:
So what do you consider the actions of the Israeli government to be?



Towards the Palestinians? Let's say just currently and in the recent past, to keep it simple, and since I'm not up on every nuance back to 1948. Heavy-handed. Oppressive. Clumsy. Stupid. Excessively and often indiscriminately violent.

This is not to say the Palestinians haven't been just as clumsy, stupid, and violent.

I am sure there are good people who want a peaceful solution on both sides, but they can't seem to get the traction to reach a solution. The haters win again.

"Keep the Shiny side up"

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Friday, April 28, 2006 7:24 AM

FLETCH2


Quote:

Originally posted by SignyM:
Hey Fletch- I gotta get to work. But your scenarios are pretty limited. I brought up several more that you didn't discuss that I think would have a good chance of working, altho it would take a few more years than invasion.



I'm sorry, I didn't think they were real suggestions, I just thought you were being snarky to Finn.

Okie Dokie.....

Quote:



What if we imposed tarrifs that would be lifted for "good behavior"?




Well we had sanctions that would be lifted in the case of good behavior. Since they are more extreme and complete than a tariff and they were shown to be failing how exactly would a tariff system be any better?

I'm serious. The point about sanctions was that trade was supposedly limited and so we knew what went in and out, kinda like prisons searching incoming parcels for weapons. Your idea is equivalent to letting the prisoners go shopping but putting sales tax on what they buy. You might find a knife in a cake from home, but a guy coming back with several shopping bags full of goods is harder to search. As trade increases the chances of smuggling in militarily usefull supplies increase. Right now the US cant even search 5% of the cargo coming into it's own country where it has a home field advantage. What chance do you have thousands of miles away. The idea of sanctions wasn't to starve Iraqi's it was to try and control what Saddam could get hold of. Your scheme is equivalent to no sanctions, which is what he would have gotten anyway if he starved the Iraqi people long enough and made sure CNN screened the corpses.


Quote:



What if we retained the "no-fly" zones?




If you lift sanctions and kept the no fly zones you would lose pilots. The planes patrolling the no fly zone were shot at every few days the only reason none of them came down was because the Iraqis had too few missiles to do more than sabre rattle. With sanctions lifted it's only a matter of time before they gained enough missiles to fire in earnest.

Quote:



What if we expanded inspections? What if we placed area nations in charge of inspections in various regions?




Saddam has to agree to inspections. Remember he turned away the UN, folks that didn't mean him any harm. Do you really imagine he would let Iran and Syria inspect his weapons fascilities. I cant imagine the Kuwaitis or the Saudi's being neutral either. You can't come up with ideas he wouldn't agree too or you may as well add "ask him very very nicely to resign" to your list.

Quote:



What if we used increased trade and the attendant increased presence of foreigners to infiltrate Iraq?




How? Iraq was still a soverign nation, it still controlled it's own borders and still decided who came in or went out, hell they could throw out the UN. So how will they infiltrate without Iraq's help and what will they do when they get there?

I'm sorry that makes little or no sense. For 50 years the Soviet union remained isolated and repressive, it only openned up to the west when it needed to. This is not sending a gunboat to Japan and demanding they trade with you......




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Friday, April 28, 2006 7:53 AM

CHRISISALL


Quote:

Originally actually posted by Geezer:


Terrorist - A person who uses, or provides support for the use of, violence, terror, and intimidation, primarily against non-combatants, to achieve an end.


I think you've gotten as close there to a workable and brief definition as possible. Props.
Quote:


Is one man's terrorist really another man's freedom fighter?




I would say no; targeting innocents means you're part of the Dark Side, and once you start down that path...well, only George Lucas can bring you back .

You don't know the POWER... Chrisisall

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Friday, April 28, 2006 8:03 AM

FLETCH2


Except the French Resistance --- surely the most recognisable "Freedom Fighters" punished and killed collaborators even after hostilities were ended. The number of people they executed runs into 1000's and they all represent a civillian population.

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Friday, April 28, 2006 8:36 AM

CITIZEN


Quote:

Originally posted by Fletch2:
Except the French Resistance --- surely the most recognisable "Freedom Fighters" punished and killed collaborators even after hostilities were ended. The number of people they executed runs into 1000's and they all represent a civillian population.


I thought of bringing them up myself.

Not sure I know why I didn't off hand...



More insane ramblings by the people who brought you beeeer milkshakes!
And as you know, these are open forums, you're able to come and listen to what I have to say.

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Friday, April 28, 2006 8:59 AM

GEEZER

Keep the Shiny side up


Quote:

Originally posted by Fletch2:
Except the French Resistance --- surely the most recognisable "Freedom Fighters" punished and killed collaborators even after hostilities were ended. The number of people they executed runs into 1000's and they all represent a civillian population.



Collaborators may have been civilians, but hardly innocent bystanders. They provided aid, comfort, and information to the enemy, which is usually considered treason. Not that I sanction illegal punishment or executions, but they certainly had crimes to pay for, though it should have been before a court.

"Keep the Shiny side up"

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Friday, April 28, 2006 9:00 AM

KHYRON


http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/business/4955418.stm



Other people can occasionally be useful, especially as minions. I want lots of minions.

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Friday, April 28, 2006 9:41 AM

SIGNYM

I believe in solving problems, not sharing them.


Quote:

What if we imposed tarrifs that would be lifted for "good behavior"?- signy
Well we had sanctions that would be lifted in the case of good behavior. Since they are more extreme and complete than a tariff and they were shown to be failing how exactly would a tariff system be any better? -Fletch

What do you mean "they were shown to be failing"? Sanctions worked. Saddam was so desperate to have sanctions lifted that he destroyed remaining WMD and dismantled WMD programs. Lesser goals (UN oversight of food distribution, for example) might be accomplished with lesser means.

But since my concept was an integrated program of inspections, military restraint, economic incentives etc. I'm not trying to argue point by point but lay out a potential alternative.

There are several things we wanted Saddam to refrain from doing (such as not making WMD) and several things we might want him to do (such as holding free elections). Some of these things would be out of Saddam's control. For example, continued arms and weapons technology embargo based on inspections done outside of Iraq. Continued enforcement of no-fly zones would be outside of Saddam's control. Some things- like internal inspections- would depend on Saddam's cooperation and would have significant "negative incentives" attached if not complied with.

Oops, time's up. Later.

---------------------------------
Free as in freedom, not beer.

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Friday, April 28, 2006 10:56 AM

FLETCH2


They "worked" by killing thousands of Iraqi civilians. This is the "blood on our hands" that folk like Dreamtrove like to add in to our total headcount.

I'm puzzled as to what you are saying here. You throw around various figures for loss of life from the war and tish tish that that is appauling and our fault and yet the alternative to the war, the thing you say was working killed many more than that in a single year?

So what is it?

My feeling, coming out of left field so to speak is that your opposition to the war has nothing to do with concern for the Iraqis, you are feeling guilt by association for what you see as a failed policy. Had Rumsfeld been right (how ever unlikely that seems) and we were now on our second year of reconstruction I think you'd be rar raring with the best of them. The only consistant part to your many arguments is the assertion that somehow there HAD to have been a bloodless alternative that absolves us from all responsability. There wasn't, in fact there was "blood on our hands" almost every year since 1991 you just never looked for it until now. No matter what we did it was never going to be clean. Our only real hope was that we could make it final.

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Friday, April 28, 2006 11:06 AM

FLETCH2


Quote:

Originally posted by Geezer:
Quote:

Originally posted by Fletch2:
Except the French Resistance --- surely the most recognisable "Freedom Fighters" punished and killed collaborators even after hostilities were ended. The number of people they executed runs into 1000's and they all represent a civillian population.



Collaborators may have been civilians, but hardly innocent bystanders. They provided aid, comfort, and information to the enemy, which is usually considered treason. Not that I sanction illegal punishment or executions, but they certainly had crimes to pay for, though it should have been before a court.

"Keep the Shiny side up"



Oh indeed, but then the French had surrendered and as such technically were no longer at war with Germany. And while I would be the first to condem people like the Frenchmen that helped the SS round up French Jews, does rightious retribution extend as far as girls that date German soldiers, or to businessmen often compelled to work with the Germans?

The problem I have is that were I an Iraqi Baathist I could make an equally compelling case that killing people working for the Americans was equally justified.

That's the problem with this question, that's why I don't know that you can nescessarily create a psudo legalistic definition that you can make stick. If we accept that what the French Resistance did was right and proper in WW2, there will be groups in Iraq who have done nothing worse than that. If we write a definition that makes the French case OK then we write one that makes some of the Iraqi insurgency ok, I cant see a way around it.

Personally I'm far more comfortable viewing this as an eye of the beholder issue, there are two sides to every story and each side has to see themselves as the heroes. I personally take sides but understand that I'm motivated in part by national and cultural norms to see my side as the only "good" guys.

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Friday, April 28, 2006 11:21 AM

CHRISISALL


Quote:

Originally posted by Fletch2:


Personally I'm far more comfortable viewing this as an eye of the beholder issue, there are two sides to every story and each side has to see themselves as the heroes. I personally take sides but understand that I'm motivated in part by national and cultural norms to see my side as the only "good" guys.

Well, I'm motivated by the quest for truth, which may or may not have me seeing my side as even very good, let alone heroes.
It's more like the pawns (both civilian and military) are the innocents, and the Kings and Queens are the cold, calculating 'bad' guys.

Evil pawn Chrisisall

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Friday, April 28, 2006 11:30 AM

CITIZEN


Quote:

Originally posted by Fletch2:
Personally I'm far more comfortable viewing this as an eye of the beholder issue, there are two sides to every story and each side has to see themselves as the heroes. I personally take sides but understand that I'm motivated in part by national and cultural norms to see my side as the only "good" guys.


Sooo, as I said earlier, a Terrorist is someone who attacks us...



More insane ramblings by the people who brought you beeeer milkshakes!
And as you know, these are open forums, you're able to come and listen to what I have to say.

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Friday, April 28, 2006 12:09 PM

FLETCH2


Quote:

Originally posted by citizen:
Quote:

Originally posted by Fletch2:
Personally I'm far more comfortable viewing this as an eye of the beholder issue, there are two sides to every story and each side has to see themselves as the heroes. I personally take sides but understand that I'm motivated in part by national and cultural norms to see my side as the only "good" guys.


Sooo, as I said earlier, a Terrorist is someone who attacks us...




Indeed.

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Friday, April 28, 2006 12:23 PM

SIGNYM

I believe in solving problems, not sharing them.


Fletch- I did some quick internet research on the effect of sanctions on child mortality. It seems that the widely quoted figures (0.5-1.5 million) were wildly erroneous.
Quote:

In October 1997 the authors of the initial letter wrote again to The Lancet, this time reporting that mortality rates in the follow-up study were "several-fold lower than the estimate for 1995--for unknown reasons." While the initial report of more than 567,000 deaths attracted major news coverage, the subsequent disavowal of those numbers passed unnoticed in the press. The two most reliable scientific studies on sanctions in Iraq are the 1999 report "Morbidity and Mortality Among Iraqi Children," by Columbia University's Richard Garfield, and "Sanctions and Childhood Mortality in Iraq," a May 2000 article by Mohamed Ali and Iqbal Shah in The Lancet. Garfield, an expert on the public-health impact of sanctions, conducted a comparative analysis of the more than two dozen major studies that have analyzed malnutrition and mortality figures in Iraq during the past decade. He estimated the most likely number of excess deaths among children under five years of age from 1990 through March 1998 to be 227,000.
www.thenation.com/doc/20011203/cortright who tells you more children will perish in Iraq this month than Americans died on September 11 is cutting and pasting inflated mid-1990s statistics onto a country that has changed significantly since then. Knowingly or not, these critics are mangling the facts to prove a debatable point
www.reason.com/0203/fe.mw.the.shtml

The actual average was more like 27,000 per year, but this was declining steeply as sanctions were progressively lifted to become more like an arms enbargo. Estimated post-invasion deaths (from similar cause such as malnutrition, disease, crime, and- of course- warfare) are at about that level. (I can go into detail on that if you want.) So level-of-harm-wise it's likely that 'smart sanctions' as the UN proposed would probably have cost fewer lives than outright invasion.

IF the invasion had been successful (toppling Saddam with few civilian lives lost) I probably would be saying 'job well done'. Doesn't meet the definition of terrorism because the civilian population would be benefitted, not harmed. But I knew even BEFORE the invasion that it wasn't going to work and the way the administraiotn f*cked it up guaranteed the results would be more gruesome than necessary.

---------------------------------
Free as in freedom, not beer.

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Friday, April 28, 2006 12:40 PM

FLETCH2


Interesting, be sure to lob those figures at DT should he pop up again.

I'm not trying to whitewash this, I fully understand that the situation there is dangerous and perilous all I'm saying is that there was almost nothing that could be done (or not done) that would not have resulted in more Iraqi dead. We know the numbers for the course of action we decided on and we know the numbers for doing nothing (assuming sanctions held) we have no idea what it might have been had sanctions failed without adiquate safeguards, if covert action had created a power vacuum or any of the other scenarios. We can hope that the numbers would be better but that's a road not taken and to be honest the road we are on looked ok if you made certain assumptions.

Assuming that there was a shiny happy option where everyone is ok and we head home at warp speed only happens in Star Trek. Real life is messy. Ask Malcolm Reynolds.

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Saturday, April 29, 2006 12:43 AM

SIGNYM

I believe in solving problems, not sharing them.


You and I look at options... perhaps if we tried... there might be a better outcome if...

Bush & Co? NAAAHHH. Bush and the PNAC have wanted to invade Iraq since the previous Gulf War! All they were doing was looking for an excuse, their "Pearl Harbor", to go ahead with the invasion... even if they had to cook up the intelligence (aluminum "centrifuge" tubes, yellow cake) and make phony connections (Iraq= 9-11) in order to do so. Which they did.

The war in Iraq WAS optional. Iraq had no WMD, they were about th be certified by the UN, contracts in Euros were going to be signed with Russia and France. There was no talk of ending the "no fly" zone protection. Death rates were going down and likely to go down further. But Bush had to rush in before Blix could come out with that all-important report. Don't you rmember the "rush to war"? I certainly do!

The rationalization for war drifted around like a fog. It was WMD. No, it was 9-11. It was to stop genocide in Iraq. It was to bring democracy. One thing I know as parent- when you hear multiple excuses you KNOW you're hearing a lie! (The dog ate it. Beside, the computer stopped working. It wasn't really homework anyway.)

So Bush prosecuted an unecessary war that killed tens of thousands of civilians directly- possibly a hundred thousand indirectly- and he didn't even have the excuse "They started it first". "Shock and awe"- what would you call that? Terrorism, as far as I can tell.

---------------------------------
Free as in freedom, not beer.

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Saturday, April 29, 2006 1:19 AM

SIGNYM

I believe in solving problems, not sharing them.


Quote:

Personally I'm far more comfortable viewing this as an eye of the beholder issue, there are two sides to every story and each side has to see themselves as the heroes. I personally take sides but understand that I'm motivated in part by national and cultural norms to see my side as the only "good" guys.
Huh. Usually it's the antiwar faction that's accused of moral relativism. I'm NOT comfortable with "eye of the beholder" interpretations.

So, to get back to that definition of terrorism.
Quote:

Terrorist - A person who uses violence, terror, and intimidation, primarily against non-combatants, to achieve an end.
I like the fact that the definition currently makes no distinction on the basis of means or funding. Just because Stalin had the entire secret police at his disposal didn't make his actions less terrifying to many Russians. In my opinion, state-sponsored terrorism is still terrorism. I also like that the definition includes torture as well as death. I like the exclusion of the whole "assisting" part. Too much of a slippery slope. I have two issues with the defintion:

1) I'm not comfortable playing a numbers game with words like "primarily" or "almost exclusively". Do we look at the victims and parse out how many were combatants, how many were civilians and then if more than half were civilians do we then call it terrorism? What if 46% were civilians? (In Iraq, 46% of the dead were children under 15.)

2) "For an end" While I was ready to exclude self-defense or defense of others, now that I think about it maybe there isn't ANY legitimate reason to target civilians. Excluding self-defense or the defense of others from the list of "permissible" reasons to target civilians would place Sherman's March to the Sea, and the bombings of Dresden, Hiroshima and Nagasaki, and Israel's Palestinian policy into the category of "terrorism". Perhaps that's where they legitimately belong.

So, if the definition becomes Terrorist - A person who uses or orders violence, terror, and intimidation against non-combatants is that overly broad? It would include ObL, Stalin, Saddam, Sharon, Kennedy, Milosevic, Lincoln, Hilter etc. as well as the soldiers, secret police etc who carried it out. Or do we give a "pass" the leaders who didn't use terrorism as their primary MO, but include the soldiers whose unfortunate duty was to drop "the bombs"?

Also- one more question: Where do we place entities that cause massive death without causing massive fear? It's not terrorism because it doesn't cause fear, but it IS death-dealing.

---------------------------------
Free as in freedom, not beer.

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Saturday, April 29, 2006 4:42 AM

GEEZER

Keep the Shiny side up


Quote:

Originally posted by SignyM:
So, to get back to that definition of terrorism.
Quote:

Terrorist - A person who uses violence, terror, and intimidation, primarily against non-combatants, to achieve an end.
I like the fact that the definition currently makes no distinction on the basis of means or funding. Just because Stalin had the entire secret police at his disposal didn't make his actions less terrifying to many Russians. In my opinion, state-sponsored terrorism is still terrorism. I also like that the definition includes torture as well as death. I like the exclusion of the whole "assisting" part. Too much of a slippery slope.


I pretty much agree. A terrorist state is just a terrorist organization writ large.
Quote:

have two issues with the defintion:

1) I'm not comfortable playing a numbers game with words like "primarily" or "almost exclusively". Do we look at the victims and parse out how many were combatants, how many were civilians and then if more than half were civilians do we then call it terrorism? What if 46% were civilians? (In Iraq, 46% of the dead were children under 15.)


I think that what seperates terrorism from military action is that intimidation by terror is the terrorist's primary goal. He has little interest in engaging in combat with military forces, unless cornered, and prefers to hit civilian targets, usually those with as much shock and horror value as possible: mosques, schools, markets. The terrorist also prefers to use the most brutal methods possible:nail bombs, beheadings, mutilations.

So, I think leaving "primarily" in is justified.

Quote:

2) "For an end" While I was ready to exclude self-defense or defense of others, now that I think about it maybe there isn't ANY legitimate reason to target civilians. Excluding self-defense or the defense of others from the list of "permissible" reasons to target civilians would place Sherman's March to the Sea, and the bombings of Dresden, Hiroshima and Nagasaki, and Israel's Palestinian policy into the category of "terrorism". Perhaps that's where they legitimately belong.

I think there's actually two points here. The first is "Is terrorism ever justified?" I'm still trying to come to grips with this one.

The second point - are military campaigns that target civilians as well as military targets terrorism? - goes back to the inclusion of "Primarily" in the definition as discussed above. The terrorist avoids military action if at all posible, and prefers to attack non-combatants. Maybe we should move the "primary", like this.

Terrorist - A person who uses violence, terror, and intimidation against non-combatants as their primary means to achieve an end.

Quote:

So, if the definition becomes Terrorist - A person who uses or orders violence, terror, and intimidation against non-combatants is that overly broad? It would include ObL, Stalin, Saddam, Sharon, Kennedy, Milosevic, Lincoln, Hilter etc. as well as the soldiers, secret police etc who carried it out. Or do we give a "pass" the leaders who didn't use terrorism as their primary MO, but include the soldiers whose unfortunate duty was to drop "the bombs"?

As covered above, I think it is overly broad. I think it's important to strictly define terrorist as one who's main method of achieving their goal is commiting horrific acts against the civilian population. So, for example, Stalin's fight against Germany, although it included many barbaric acts against the German population isn't terrorism, but his repression of ethnic minorities within the Soviet Union was.

Quote:

Also- one more question: Where do we place entities that cause massive death without causing massive fear? It's not terrorism because it doesn't cause fear, but it IS death-dealing.

I'll have to think about this some.

"Keep the Shiny side up"

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Saturday, April 29, 2006 6:33 AM

FINN MAC CUMHAL


Quote:

Originally posted by Fletch2:
My feeling, coming out of left field so to speak is that your opposition to the war has nothing to do with concern for the Iraqis, you are feeling guilt by association for what you see as a failed policy. Had Rumsfeld been right (how ever unlikely that seems) and we were now on our second year of reconstruction I think you'd be rar raring with the best of them. The only consistant part to your many arguments is the assertion that somehow there HAD to have been a bloodless alternative that absolves us from all responsability. There wasn't, in fact there was "blood on our hands" almost every year since 1991 you just never looked for it until now. No matter what we did it was never going to be clean. Our only real hope was that we could make it final.

That’s an excellent analysis. And sums up to a tee what I meant by a lack of perspective. Although I suspect there is more to it then just the Western condescension, I think there is a specific hatred of Bush among some who feel they were jilted in the 2001 election, and irrationally blame Bush for every ill they perceive since then. I started to make a similar comment several times, but I just don’t have the patience.



Nihil est incertius vulgo, nihil obscurius voluntate hominum, nihil fallacius ratione tota comitiorum.

Nothing is more unpredictable than the mob, nothing more obscure than public opinion, nothing more deceptive than the whole political system.

-- Cicero

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Saturday, April 29, 2006 7:04 AM

SIGNYM

I believe in solving problems, not sharing them.


Quote:

My feeling, coming out of left field so to speak is that your opposition to the war has nothing to do with concern for the Iraqis, you are feeling guilt by association for what you see as a failed policy-Fletch
That’s an excellent analysis. And sums up to a tee what I meant by a lack of perspective. Although I suspect there is more to it then just the Western condescension, I think there is a specific hatred of Bush among some who feel they were jilted in the 2001 election, and irrationally blame Bush for every ill they perceive since then. I started to make a similar comment several times, but I just don’t have the patience.-Finn

Um, it was the 2000 election. But while I don't think we can blame Bush for terrorism (US embassies and warships and cities were being targeted already. The problems was long-simmering.) it's not irrational to blame him for his irrelevant, unsuccessful and inflmmatory invasion of Iraq.

---------------------------------
Don't piss in my face and tell me it's raining.

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Saturday, April 29, 2006 7:27 AM

FINN MAC CUMHAL


Yeah, there are lots of good reason to criticize this administration and this war, but that’s not what you’re doing. What you’re doing is calling Bush a terrorist because of some number of collateral damage, while advocating policies that would result in as many if not more deaths and ignoring the fact that no action taken including taking no action would be without a significant human cost. Effectively, whatever criticism you have for the war is secondary to attacking Bush, and as such it devalues whatever real criticism you may have for this war. And as I stated earlier, that is the problem with these kinds of anti-war arguments. It’s hard to take you seriously.

And yes, it was the 2000 election, my bad. That 1 snuck in there.



Nihil est incertius vulgo, nihil obscurius voluntate hominum, nihil fallacius ratione tota comitiorum.

Nothing is more unpredictable than the mob, nothing more obscure than public opinion, nothing more deceptive than the whole political system.

-- Cicero

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Saturday, April 29, 2006 8:39 AM

FLETCH2


Quote:

Originally posted by SignyM:
Quote:

Personally I'm far more comfortable viewing this as an eye of the beholder issue, there are two sides to every story and each side has to see themselves as the heroes. I personally take sides but understand that I'm motivated in part by national and cultural norms to see my side as the only "good" guys.
Huh. Usually it's the antiwar faction that's accused of moral relativism. I'm NOT comfortable with "eye of the beholder" interpretations.
.




Actually what I'm saying is not relativism. I'm saying in effect that who the Terrorists are is dependent in large part to where you are on the question.

I raised the French Resistance because they are generally seen as freedom fighters. They were recognised as a legitimate group by the Allies at the time and where trained and armed by them. After the war members received medals as servicemen would. For a time in France having been a member of the Free French or the Resistance was nescessary if you wanted to run for political office. Historically they are seen as using justifiable means in response to invasion.

Now if you look at Iraq a lot of what goes on there has parallels with the French, ---roadside bombings, targeting of civilian "collaborators" etc --- if it was justified for the French then equivancy suggests that it's ok for the Iraqi's it's just unfortunate this time someone is doing it to us. So by definition groups that limit themselves to that kind of activity can not be considered terrorist organisations.

And that's basically where I hit a bump. I'm pretty sure that the Germans saw the French as Terrorists, we didn't because the French were on our side and we saw their action as justified. In Iraq the bombers are not on our side and we don't think it justified. The point about the law is that it should be equitable but it is clear that this definition varies depending on your point of view. I therefore argue that this somewhat legalistic definition you are attempting to build is inherrently flawed because I don't believe it can be equitably applied.




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Saturday, April 29, 2006 10:58 AM

GEEZER

Keep the Shiny side up


Quote:

Originally posted by Fletch2:
And that's basically where I hit a bump. I'm pretty sure that the Germans saw the French as Terrorists, we didn't because the French were on our side and we saw their action as justified. In Iraq the bombers are not on our side and we don't think it justified. The point about the law is that it should be equitable but it is clear that this definition varies depending on your point of view. I therefore argue that this somewhat legalistic definition you are attempting to build is inherrently flawed because I don't believe it can be equitably applied.



OK, hair-splitting time here, perhaps.

The French maquis was waging a guerrilla war againt the Nazis and their supporters. The classic unconventional warfare. Kill the enemy and their support system, including collaborators, by stealth. Apply terror against those who actively oppose you.

If the insurgency in Iraq, to use your example, was only targeting Coalition forces and the Iraqis who provide support to them, no matter the means, I'd call them guerrillas. However, if they attack civilians who have no connection with Coalition or Iraqi government forces, in the most horrific ways possible, for the purpose of spreading fear and divisiveness - that I'd call terrorism. So that's where my concept of attacking primarily civilian populations being a criteria for terrorism originates.

"Keep the Shiny side up"

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Saturday, April 29, 2006 1:24 PM

FLETCH2


The problem here is that the people fighting us in Iraq are not a single group with unified objectives and a single command but a number of groups with differing objectives. Therefore if group A kills civilians but group B only targets the coalition then I don't see that it's fair to brand group B because of group A's action. I deliberately limited my point by specifying a group whose actions were limited to French resistance level activities.

I'm reminded of an interview before the Iraqi election with a leader of a Sunni militia. This guy was a former Baathist who broke with Saddam before the war to become an Islamist militant. On poling day his men would be stopping every car going near the square where the poling station was and searching anyone in bulky clothes. The reason? The Sunni's were afraid that Al Queda would suicide bomb poling stations during the elections. He said something to the effect of "these men are killing OUR people" and had to be stopped. Now I'm not saying this man is a noble soul or that he would feel the same way towards the Shiites in the next town, but he wasn't willing to see other Sunni's killed by outsiders or kill them himself for political points.

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Saturday, April 29, 2006 1:35 PM

GEEZER

Keep the Shiny side up


Quote:

Originally posted by Fletch2:
The problem here is that the people fighting us in Iraq are not a single group with unified objectives and a single command but a number of groups with differing objectives. Therefore if group A kills civilians but group B only targets the coalition then I don't see that it's fair to brand group B because of group A's action.



Absolutely. I have no problem stating some factions in Iraq are guerrillas and some terrorists. I do think you can diffrentiate between the two by their actions. If a group is attacking valid Coalition and Coalition support targets and also committing targeted killings of random civilians to further their agenda, they are terrorists.

"Keep the Shiny side up"

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