CINEMA

The Blue Beetle Failure Thread

POSTED BY: 6IXSTRINGJACK
UPDATED: Friday, October 20, 2023 00:03
SHORT URL:
VIEWED: 2233
PAGE 2 of 2

Saturday, September 9, 2023 12:17 PM

6IXSTRINGJACK


Continued from the last page...

Quote:
Originally posted by 6ixStringJack:
Quote:
Originally posted by 6ixStringJack:

If it only sees a 40% drop the next three days, it grosses $7,778,921 Domestic since Labor Day.


Bruce seems to think it's only going to drop 38% which would add $142,295 to that number, if true.

Quote:
Its drops after raising 167% on the holiday from the week before were 55% on Tuesday, 56% on Wednesday, and 59% on Thursday.

If it drops 55% on average this weekend, it grosses $6,711,709 Domestic since Labor Day.

With $4.5 to $5.5 Million likely internationally, its range is between $11.2M and $13.3M added to the figure of just shy of $102 Million it had after Sunday night's and the international numbers were calculated after the weekend.

That's going to put it between $113.2 Million to $115.3 Million after Sunday night.


So $115.5 worldwide is the high end prediction now.

I don't think Bruce is right, but I'm not going to argue it because of how weak the box office is suddenly looking. He's already not even mentioning The Equalizer 3 once in his weekly prediction article, and if you look at the weekdays this week for all the movies after Monday it looks like everybody in the country just collectively said "meh... I don't feel like going out to see a movie anymore".

I mean, really... Thursday's entire box office is probably the most pathetic thing I've ever seen on the-numbers.

34 different movies on offer and they couldn't even crack $10 Million nationwide. It wasn't all that long ago where Barbie was making that or close to it by itself on a weekday.

31 of the movies pulled in $625k or less. 26 of them pulled in less than $100k. 14 of them pulled in less than $50k. 10 of them pulled in less than $10k. 8 of them pulled in less than $5k.

And Insidious, Super Mario Bros, The Little Mermaid and Spider-Man: Across the Spider-Verse are all a part of that sub $5k crowd. First of all, I thought Spider-verse was pulled from the theaters a week ago, and I've been saying for weeks all 4 of those need to be retired. Now they're all grossing $10 to $35 per theater. Not even worth keeping the lights on. Embarrassing.

The Nun II is going to be this weekends winner, but it pulled in less on previews than Blue Beetle did. Equalizer 3 made half of that last night. My Big Fat Greek Wedding 3 got just $550k on previews.

Blue Beetle could get a bump higher this weekend just from bored people who want to see a movie but aren't into action or horror flicks and just don't see anything else even worth paying for that they haven't already seen.

--------------------------------------------------

How you do anything is how you do everything.



Blue Beetle projection for Friday: $850,000 or a 45% drop.

Last Friday Blue Beetle got a 41% drop on Friday, a 34% drop on Saturday and a 48% drop on Sunday. It actually was a very good Sunday that did more business than Saturday because of the Holiday, and only was so high because for some reason Sunday, August 27th only had a 17% drop and did $1.3 Million more business than Saturday, August 26th. Movies almost never do as well on Sunday as they do Saturday, and I fully expect this weekend to be the correction to this strange trend Blue Beetle has had up until now.

Saturday's week-to-week drop should be higher than last weeks 34% too, with maybe only a 30-35% increase over Friday's numbers. Let's call it $1.4 Million on the high end to be safe.

Sunday will pull in roughly what Friday does, give or take 15%. I think it's about a $3.2 to $3.5 Million weekend for Blue Beetle domestically, which would be right in line with my -55% prediction. It probably won't do much better than a -50% drop, but it's not going to get only -45%.



In movies that need to be retired news...

The Little Mermaid embarrasses once again with $44 per theater on Friday.

Elemental gets a pathetic $66 per theater.

Indy 5 manages to defy expectations and actually gross $160 per theater with its 100 theater count. Good for you. The little movie that never could.




Barbie still justified being in the theaters by pulling in exactly 1% of its production budget on Friday.


Gran Turismo's going to ultimately flop, I'm afriad. $900k on Friday, with $56.5 Million still needed to break even on only the 2.0x Rule of Thumb.

The Equalizer needs to really get some good international numbers to be saved. $3,425,000 on its second Friday in the Domestic box office is a virtual death sentence for the movie.

--------------------------------------------------

How you do anything is how you do everything.

NOTIFY: Y   |  REPLY  |  REPLY WITH QUOTE  |  TOP  |  HOME  

Sunday, September 10, 2023 7:30 PM

6IXSTRINGJACK


Quote:
Originally posted by 6ixStringJack:
Quote:


If it only sees a 40% drop the next three days, it grosses $7,778,921 Domestic since Labor Day.


Bruce seems to think it's only going to drop 38% which would add $142,295 to that number, if true.

Quote:
Its drops after raising 167% on the holiday from the week before were 55% on Tuesday, 56% on Wednesday, and 59% on Thursday.

If it drops 55% on average this weekend, it grosses $6,711,709 Domestic since Labor Day.

With $4.5 to $5.5 Million likely internationally, its range is between $11.2M and $13.3M added to the figure of just shy of $102 Million it had after Sunday night's and the international numbers were calculated after the weekend.

That's going to put it between $113.2 Million to $115.3 Million after Sunday night.


So $115.5 worldwide is the high end prediction now.

I don't think Bruce is right, but I'm not going to argue it because of how weak the box office is suddenly looking. He's already not even mentioning The Equalizer 3 once in his weekly prediction article, and if you look at the weekdays this week for all the movies after Monday it looks like everybody in the country just collectively said "meh... I don't feel like going out to see a movie anymore".


Yeah. Bruce wasn't right. He predicted $4,410,000 for Blue Beetle this weekend. Projections for this weekend are only $3,775,000, for a 47% drop.

Quote:
If you look at Bruce's charts, Blue Beetle had just shy of $46 Million on Day 10 (Sunday). So we had another $18 Million for 7 days after the first $18 Million for 3 days internationally, which adds up to $82 Million. (And we can easily infer that the new international numbers had been posted by Bruce by afternoon on Sunday the 27th because that's when I said the worldwide total for 10 days was $82 Million and that $18 Million didn't exist the week before).


As of Sunday, September 3rd, Blue Beetle had $56,418,800 Domestically, and internationally it's currently at $45,900,000. $46-$18-$18 = $10 Million added for the next 7 days internationally.

$10 Million from $18 Million is a 45% drop from the previous week.

To be conservative, let's assume another 45% drop this week for $5.5 Million to be posted on Sunday, September 10th.


With the $7,336,938 Domestic assuming only a 40% drop every day from Thursday to Sunday, that will total $12,836,938 worldwide once Sunday's numbers are reported.

That's $1,436,938 more than I predicted on September 3rd that Blue Beetle would add to its total over the next 7 days, but that also includes a Holiday Monday where it got $2,312,258 which was +167% from the prior Monday. Had it not been a holiday and got a 40% drop instead, it would have only grossed $518,838. $2,312,258 - $518,838 = $1,793,420.


Domestic box office is now $63,703,555 as of Sunday with the projections. It shouldn't vary much from that when the actual numbers come in this long into BB's run.

That's an increase of only $6,434,755 since Labor Day Monday, which is much more in line with my predictions. And yes, as I mentioned before, Sunday made quite a bit less than Saturday for Blue Beetle, braking that strange trend it started the week before a holiday weekend of having a larger Sunday. Sunday was 35% less than Saturday this weekend.

International numbers are $50,300,000, which is only a $4,400,000 gain over last weekend, or a 56% drop from last weekend.


If no new international numbers are added by Monday and the projections don't change much, Blue Beetle now has $114,003,555 worldwide.


On September 3rd, without taking into account Labor Day and the holiday effect, I said this:

Quote:
After 4 weeks it's got $113,274,000 worldwide.



Even with the extra million it got on Sunday and the extra 1.5 Million or so it got on the holiday that it wouldn't have otherwise, my prediction was only about $750k lower than what it ended up getting. But this is because I was giving BB only 40% drops from week to week knowing full well it would be having much larger drops than that.

Here's what I said about week 5:

Quote:
After 5 weeks it's got $120,114,000.


Yeah. That's probably high by maybe a half a million to a full million or so with the real drops that it will get by next weekend, offsetting the extra money it got on the holiday weekend plus some.

After that, my weekly predictions based off of 40% will be further and further from reality when Blue Beetle loses 50% or more per week.


Unless Australia and NZ (and China and Japan if it's even showing there) put up some huge numbers, Blue Beetle likely will not outgross Shazam II, since they're probably going to get it out of theaters well before 12 weeks go by. It will be close. But a huge flop either way.


--------------------------------------------------

How you do anything is how you do everything.

NOTIFY: Y   |  REPLY  |  REPLY WITH QUOTE  |  TOP  |  HOME  

Sunday, September 10, 2023 10:54 PM

6IXSTRINGJACK


Quote:
Originally posted by 6ixStringJack: (September 8th)

Bruce seems to think it's only going to drop 38% which would add $142,295 to that number, if true.

...

I don't think Bruce is right, but I'm not going to argue it because of how weak the box office is suddenly looking. He's already not even mentioning The Equalizer 3 once in his weekly prediction article, and if you look at the weekdays this week for all the movies after Monday it looks like everybody in the country just collectively said "meh... I don't feel like going out to see a movie anymore".

I mean, really... Thursday's entire box office is probably the most pathetic thing I've ever seen on the-numbers.

34 different movies on offer and they couldn't even crack $10 Million nationwide. It wasn't all that long ago where Barbie was making that or close to it by itself on a weekday.

31 of the movies pulled in $625k or less. 26 of them pulled in less than $100k. 14 of them pulled in less than $50k. 10 of them pulled in less than $10k. 8 of them pulled in less than $5k.

And Insidious, Super Mario Bros, The Little Mermaid and Spider-Man: Across the Spider-Verse are all a part of that sub $5k crowd. First of all, I thought Spider-verse was pulled from the theaters a week ago, and I've been saying for weeks all 4 of those need to be retired. Now they're all grossing $10 to $35 per theater. Not even worth keeping the lights on. Embarrassing.



Bruce had something to say about this in his new artice on the projections this weekend....

https://www.the-numbers.com/news/255080830-Weekend-projections-The-Nun
-II-kicks-off-Fall-season-with-32-6-million-debut

Quote:
Aside from another decent hold by Barbie, returning films are underperforming this weekend. That’s partly due to the comparison against the Labor Day Holiday weekend last weekend, but mostly because the market as a whole is weakening as we hit the slowest time of the year for movies in theaters. The good news is that the $90-million-or-so that will be generated by all movies playing in theaters this weekend compares to a dismal $42-million weekend this time last year. Barbarian topped the box office chart that weekend with just $10.5 million on debut. We’ve come a long way since then.


Interesting. I never looked this deeply into film numbers for this long. I wasn't aware that this was traditionally the slowest time all year for the Box Office.

And boy... He wasn't kidding.

Check this article out from September 11th of last year:

https://www.the-numbers.com/news/252580830-Weekend-projections-Barbari
an-wins-on-slowest-weekend-since-January


I thought last week looked bad. This weekend just saw the Top 10 movies pull in over $81 Million. The same weekend last year the Top 10 movies only pulled in $33 Million.

--------------------------------------------------

How you do anything is how you do everything.

NOTIFY: Y   |  REPLY  |  REPLY WITH QUOTE  |  TOP  |  HOME  

Tuesday, September 12, 2023 1:25 AM

6IXSTRINGJACK


Legit numbers are in and as of Sunday, September 11th, Blue Beetle has $114,049,642 worldwide. My prediction based off of a 40% worldwide drop weekly going forward was $113,274,000 worldwide, and despite Labor Day's Weekend's insane take, it only beat that prediction by $806k.

Now that reality is set in, I'm going to put what I actually think happens going forward, rather than 40% drops.

To be conservative, we're going with 55% drops from here on out. And that's going to be 55% from what it would have gotten on Monday if it weren't a holiday and not what it ended up getting, so $518,838 instead of $2,312,258.



That's $5,537,422 Domestic for this week, with another $4.4 Million International, so let's just call it $10 Million in total.

Week 5 +$4,500,000 (Worldwide Total: $118,549,642)
Week 6 +$2,475,000 (Worldwide Total: $121,024,642)
Week 7 +$1,113,750 (Worldwide Total: $122,138,392)
Week 8 +$501,187 (Worldwide Total: $122,639,579)
Week 9 +$225,534 (Worldwide Total: $122,865,113)
Week 10 +$101,490 (Worldwide Total: $122,966,603)
Week 11 +$45,671 (Worldwide Total: $123,012,274)
Week 12 +$20,552 (Worldwide Total: $123,032,826)


Not only isn't this movie Black Adam, but now that the novelty and media hype around it has more or less died, I predict its' going to behave more like Shazam II did than Black Adam did going forward. But I'm not going to predict 70% and 80% weekly drops. 55% sounds about right.

There will be additional money in there, however. It still gets a release for sure in Australia and New Zealand on the 14th (this Thursday), and although there's no proof of it by any legitimate source, there are still rumors that it will also be getting a release in Japan and China on the same day.

I will not base any of my predictions off of rumors, so if it DOES get a release in China and Japan this will mess my numbers up. The online release date for purchase (not streaming) is also rumored to be on September 19th or September 26th, but some still say it won't be until October. This will also play into the numbers and I won't be factoring it in here.

However, since it is being released in Australia and New Zealand so late (and nearer to the online release date regardless), I have to give it Shazam II numbers for those countries. I think Blue Beetle would have done better than Shazam II did there if it were released simultaneously with the US like Shazam was, although it wouldn't have performed nearly as well as Black Adam did with The Rock heading up that show.

Shazam II made $3,554,532 in Australia and $554,512 in New Zealand. Assuming Blue Beetle doesn't just get yanked on week 7 like Shazam II did, Let's just say it will make $4.5 Million in total in those two countries to be conservative.

With this in mind...

Add $2.5 Million to Week 5 = $121,049,642
Add $1.125 Million to Week 6 = $124,649,642
Add $506,250 to Week 7 = $126,269,642
Add $227,813 to Week 8 = $127,034,642
Add $102,516 to Week 9 = $127,326,692
Add $46,132 to Week 10 = $127,474,314
Add $20,759 to Week 11 = $127,540,744
Add $9,342 to Week 12 = $127,570,638


My prediction, barring releases in countries like China and Japan that aren't yet confirmed by any legitimate news source, is that Blue Beetle does not make the $132 Million + that Shazam II made this spring.

I also think we're going to have our final answer long before a full 12 weeks has passed as well because unlike Disney who loves to overstay their welcome and still keep their flop movies in the theaters long after it's gotten embarrassing, Warner Bros. doesn't seem to like to F-around and gets them out of theaters and onto streaming ASAP.

--------------------------------------------------

How you do anything is how you do everything.

NOTIFY: Y   |  REPLY  |  REPLY WITH QUOTE  |  TOP  |  HOME  

Tuesday, September 12, 2023 11:09 AM

6IXSTRINGJACK


Quote:
Originally posted by 6ixStringJack:
To be conservative, we're going with 55% drops from here on out. And that's going to be 55% from what it would have gotten on Monday if it weren't a holiday and not what it ended up getting, so $518,838 instead of $2,312,258.


Monday's projection: $230,000

56% drop from what I said last Monday would have been if not for the holiday. 90% drop from what it made on Labor Day.

--------------------------------------------------

How you do anything is how you do everything.

NOTIFY: Y   |  REPLY  |  REPLY WITH QUOTE  |  TOP  |  HOME  

Wednesday, September 13, 2023 10:58 PM

6IXSTRINGJACK


Blue Beetle surprises with $373,894 on Cheap Seat Tuesday, only a 34% drop from last week.

When I look at the entire list for the day, the mid-30's seems to be the normal for the drop from last week. What I'm thinking here is that there's actually a hardcore moviegoing base that also overlaps with people who want to go to the theater when it's cheap as well.

We've already mentioned that after Labor Day last week attendance to the theaters for Tuesday through Thursday just fell off a cliff. Maybe Tuesday in particular won't see as large drops for the movies as the other weekdays?

It's too early to tell if (what I thought was a conservative) prediction of 55% drops week to week was actually high for Blue Beetle. I think for sure that it will be once it is released online. I've heard September 19th and September 26th will be the day it's released for online purchase, but still no solid confirmation of that from any legitimate movie news sources.



The $75k or so more it got yesterday than I expected means almost nothing to its gross on face value, but if it is indicative of its performance this weekend then it might have better end-of-shelf-life legs than I was giving it credit for. We'll have to see if my prediction of a 55% drop was too hard on the movie or not. I think it still drops that hard on Wednesday and Thursday, but the weekend might prove kinder to BB and even it out somewhere around the high 40's. The less it drops this week, the less it needs to drop the following weeks to outperform my predictions, even if we are talking about small amounts that don't add up to much compared to the first couple of weeks. I'm really interested in seeing if this movie makes more than Shazam II or not in the end. And I don't even really know why since it will still be a major failure for WB either way at this point.

--------------------------------------------------

How you do anything is how you do everything.

NOTIFY: Y   |  REPLY  |  REPLY WITH QUOTE  |  TOP  |  HOME  

Thursday, September 14, 2023 10:56 PM

6IXSTRINGJACK


Blue Beetle loses 400 theaters this weekend.

It only dropped 30% from last Wednesday night this Wednesday, so there may be some life left in it yet, although the big-number days are long behind it.

We'll see what Bruce predicts this for this weekend, but I'm going to give it $1 Million more for the week than I said on Monday. If it weren't for the Australia and New Zealand releases, I still don't imagine it would have cracked $120 Million by Sunday night after the international numbers rolled in.

I don't really have any clue how it's going to play in Australia or New Zealand, but my guess is that it doesn't have more than $122.5 Million as the absolute ceiling with the two of them in mind.

If it doesn't manage $122.5 Million by Sunday night with International numbers, I don't think it will manage to beat Shazam II.

--------------------------------------------------

How you do anything is how you do everything.

NOTIFY: Y   |  REPLY  |  REPLY WITH QUOTE  |  TOP  |  HOME  

Friday, September 15, 2023 11:21 AM

6IXSTRINGJACK


Yeah... Boy... I'm really surprised at Blue Beetle's performance this week.

Last week, after the holiday, it did -55% on Tuesday, -56% on Wednesday, -59% on Thursday during the week. Then it followed that up with -45%, -35% and -57% on the weekend.

I'd thought for sure we were in for at least -50% every day this week, and the only day that would have been true so far was Monday's 90% drop which would have been only about -55% had the prior Monday not been Labor Day.

Tuesday this week was only -35%. Wednesday was -30%. And projections for Thursday now show only -23% from last week, and it is probably only 21 or 22% since every projection this week was slightly lower than reality when the actual numbers came in.


Not only that, but the 57% drop it got on Sunday is not expected to be duplicated since that was just a correction from the last two weeks where Sunday was higher than Saturday, which is usually a thing that doesn't happen.


At least for this weekend, I'm backing way off on my prediction for the drop. From -55% to only -35% for the entire week.

That will be $1.329 Million more for the week Domestic than I predicted on Monday. This might prove to be too high a prediction now with the loss of 400 theaters, but it's still going to be showing in 2,386 theaters, which is roughly 6/7ths of the amount it had up until yesterday and with how little it dropped during the week I can't bring myself to predict it will do any worse than that over the weekend.

According to Collider, it dropped -48% internationally from the previous weekend to this past weekend. (The movie sites only seem to bother tracking weekend drops, and not drops for the whole week). I have the full week drop from the previous week at -56%.

Just to be safe, I'm going to go with -48% drop international for the whole week, so that's another $2.288 Million.

Without Australia and NZ, that comes out to $5,829,564 for Sunday Worldwide. With a guess of $2.5 Million in Australia and NZ opening weekend, that's $8,329,564 in addition to the $114 Million + that it had last Sunday, or around $122.5 Million, which is what I said my new prediction would be last night off the top of my head without putting any math into it.

I don't think it will get any higher than that by Sunday, but we're really not going to know anything until all those international numbers come in. Even if it were to do less business this weekend than my revised numbers, it could have a great opening weekend in Australia to offset that. It's pretty hard to speculate these weird international release schedules they've been doing this year.


At the end of the day, this is all textbook too little too late and we're just quibbling over a few million bucks here and there. The drops we're seeing this week would have been much more impactful and great news for Warner Bros. if they were going on during week 2 and week 3 instead of week 4. But with how little it grossed opening weekend it still wouldn't have amounted to more than about $10 Million extra for the movie which wasn't going to save it anyway.



--------------------------------------------------

How you do anything is how you do everything.

NOTIFY: Y   |  REPLY  |  REPLY WITH QUOTE  |  TOP  |  HOME  

Friday, September 15, 2023 8:34 PM

6IXSTRINGJACK


Quote:
Originally posted by 6ixStringJack:
At least for this weekend, I'm backing way off on my prediction for the drop. From -55% to only -35% for the entire week.

That will be $1.329 Million more for the week Domestic than I predicted on Monday. This might prove to be too high a prediction now with the loss of 400 theaters, but it's still going to be showing in 2,386 theaters, which is roughly 6/7ths of the amount it had up until yesterday and with how little it dropped during the week I can't bring myself to predict it will do any worse than that over the weekend.


Bruce is apparently feeling ballzier than I am this weekend.

His prediction for BB this weekend Domestic is only $2,170,000, which is a 43% drop from the previous weekend.

That would be $3,226,140 for the 7 days, which would be $315,424 less than my 35% drop I stated this morning.



--------------------------------------------------

How you do anything is how you do everything.

NOTIFY: Y   |  REPLY  |  REPLY WITH QUOTE  |  TOP  |  HOME  

Sunday, September 17, 2023 11:48 AM

6IXSTRINGJACK


Quote:
Originally posted by 6ixStringJack:
Quote:
Originally posted by 6ixStringJack:
At least for this weekend, I'm backing way off on my prediction for the drop. From -55% to only -35% for the entire week.

That will be $1.329 Million more for the week Domestic than I predicted on Monday. This might prove to be too high a prediction now with the loss of 400 theaters, but it's still going to be showing in 2,386 theaters, which is roughly 6/7ths of the amount it had up until yesterday and with how little it dropped during the week I can't bring myself to predict it will do any worse than that over the weekend.


Bruce is apparently feeling ballzier than I am this weekend.

His prediction for BB this weekend Domestic is only $2,170,000, which is a 43% drop from the previous weekend.

That would be $3,226,140 for the 7 days, which would be $315,424 less than my 35% drop I stated this morning.


Projections are in, and they appear to be $2,475,000, or exactly a 35% drop.

That would be $3,531,140 for the last 7 days if accurate.

That's $1,039,300 more than my Monday prediction of $2,491,840 with 55% drops for the week, but perfectly lines up with my Friday afternoon revised prediction of only 35% drops.


Still no word on the date when BB will be available to purchase online yet from any legitimate news sources, although there are quite a few copy and paste articles saying that they moved it back from 9/19 to 9/26. This should give it a little bit of time to make some money in Australia and New Zealand before it face plants.

Now we just wait until the International numbers roll on in. Hopefully today, but probably not until tomorrow.


--------------------------------------------------

How you do anything is how you do everything.

NOTIFY: Y   |  REPLY  |  REPLY WITH QUOTE  |  TOP  |  HOME  

Monday, September 18, 2023 4:58 AM

JAYNEZTOWN


Blue Beetle To Hit VOD As Lackluster Box Office Begins To Wind Down
https://gamerant.com/blue-beetle-vod-release-date/
Blue Beetle takes its first step towards leaving the theatrical stage as it gets a release date for VOD services.

and Marvel Disney have something worse than WB DC

Big Brie Larson Superhero Movie Will Flop far worse than Blue Beetle?

NOTIFY: N   |  REPLY  |  REPLY WITH QUOTE  |  TOP  |  HOME  

Monday, September 18, 2023 11:08 AM

6IXSTRINGJACK


Quote:
Originally posted by JAYNEZTOWN:
Blue Beetle To Hit VOD As Lackluster Box Office Begins To Wind Down
https://gamerant.com/blue-beetle-vod-release-date/
Blue Beetle takes its first step towards leaving the theatrical stage as it gets a release date for VOD services.


Nah. I've seen that article before. It's based off this When To Stream article that came out on the 1st.

https://www.whentostream.com/news/blue-beetle-digital-release-date-con
firmed

That site looks sketch to me.

They're the ones who first announced the September 19th release date, but if you look now you'll see other articles based off of just as dubious sources that say it was moved back a week to the 26th.

Game rant also said "Despite the initial disappointment, Blue Beetle’s box office is on track to surpass Shazam 2: Fury Of The Gods", which is something I've been arguing that it probably isn't going to do. The only thing that can save it from losing that near-pointless battle is the Australian and New Zealand box offices.

And Game Rant also says that it made its production budget back. This is also not true. The Production Budget was $120 Million. Not $104 Million.

https://www.the-numbers.com/movie/Blue-Beetle#tab=summary

It will finally make its production budget back whenever Bruce updates the international numbers today, so it didn't make the budget back until day 30 or day 31.



The Direct (?) says that it was moved to the 26th, and based it off of a youtube video that is no longer available.

https://thedirect.com/article/blue-beetle-movie-online-release

Who knows?


Quote:
and Marvel Disney have something worse than WB DC

Big Brie Larson Superhero Movie Will Flop far worse than Blue Beetle?


I can't imagine that anybody is going to care about that movie. I wonder how big the budget was.

--------------------------------------------------

How you do anything is how you do everything.

NOTIFY: Y   |  REPLY  |  REPLY WITH QUOTE  |  TOP  |  HOME  

Monday, September 18, 2023 11:31 AM

SECOND

The Joss Whedon script for Serenity, where Wash lives, is Serenity-190pages.pdf at https://www.mediafire.com/two


Quote:
Originally posted by 6ixStringJack:

The Direct (?) says that it was moved to the 26th, and based it off of a youtube video that is no longer available.

https://thedirect.com/article/blue-beetle-movie-online-release

Who knows?
These people know. They are providing a free download of Blue Beetle on Sept 19th: https://psa.wf/movie/blue-beetle/

Blue Beetle opened August 16th, 2023 in France. Only 1 month later a Web Rip is online.

Skipping past many intermediate steps before downloading will bring you to this:

Blue.Beetle.2023.720p.10bit.WEBRip.6CH.x265.HEVC-PSA

https://uptobox.com/0yfqkgo8iaue
I prefer this as fastest: https://mega.nz/file/fZEBRJQR#iNuYZOpAF2-K5TpQ18r4dUdSt09ykw5_JUlG1ENB
VmM
https://katfile.com/ypnd9rsumta9
https://clicknupload.vip/l96tjfu2o8m8
https://nitroflare.com/view/5E15D6180844BA6
https://megaup.net/2DiM8/Blue.Beetle.2023.720p.10bit.WEBRip.6CH.x265.H
EVC-PSA.zip
https://gofile.io/d/ayuW03
https://ddownload.com/f12pddalkq49
https://hexupload.net/tvpyeaycx8tv
https://send.cm/p79byexrorce
https://down.fast-down.com/xodzqhc8jine
https://drop.download/8wfand9fiy2e

The Joss Whedon script for Serenity, where Wash lives, is Serenity-190pages.pdf at
https://www.mediafire.com/folder/1uwh75oa407q8/Firefly

NOTIFY: Y   |  REPLY  |  REPLY WITH QUOTE  |  TOP  |  HOME  

Monday, September 18, 2023 4:12 PM

6IXSTRINGJACK


It's not the 19th yet, so what are those?

Bootlegs, or did somebody leak it illegally?

--------------------------------------------------

How you do anything is how you do everything.

NOTIFY: Y   |  REPLY  |  REPLY WITH QUOTE  |  TOP  |  HOME  

Monday, September 18, 2023 5:43 PM

SECOND

The Joss Whedon script for Serenity, where Wash lives, is Serenity-190pages.pdf at https://www.mediafire.com/two


Quote:
Originally posted by 6ixStringJack:
It's not the 19th yet, so what are those?

Bootlegs, or did somebody leak it illegally?

--------------------------------------------------

How you do anything is how you do everything.
I guess some group called ETHEL claims responsibility for this 2160p version Blue.Beetle.2023.2160p.HDR10Plus.DV.WEBRip.6CH.x265.HEVC-PSA
https://www.google.com/search?q=Blue.Beetle.2023.HDR.2160p.WEB.h265-ET
HEL

File size : 3.47 GB
Duration : 2h 07mn 25sc
IMDB : https://www.imdb.com/title/tt9362930/
Source : Blue.Beetle.2023.HDR.2160p.WEB.h265-ETHEL | 22.4 GB
Source : Blue.Beetle.2023.DV.2160p.WEB.h265-ETHEL | 13.4 GB
Audio
Format : AAC
Format/Info : HE-AAC
Channel(s) : 6 Channels
Language : English

https://psa.wf/movie/blue-beetle/

The Joss Whedon script for Serenity, where Wash lives, is Serenity-190pages.pdf at
https://www.mediafire.com/folder/1uwh75oa407q8/Firefly

NOTIFY: Y   |  REPLY  |  REPLY WITH QUOTE  |  TOP  |  HOME  

Monday, September 18, 2023 8:09 PM

6IXSTRINGJACK


When I asked if somebody leaked it illegally, I mean did somebody from the studio or a movie theater leak it illegally?

The answer appears to be, "yes".

https://www.reddit.com/r/movieleaks/comments/16lrvho/blue_beetle_2023/
https://archive.ph/Rp7eR

RRNN92: "Woop woop"
Murky_Ad6343: "Nice, thanks!"
darthyogi: "No way really?"
-experfailist: "you're surprised?"
--darthyogi: "Yeah i guess things don't usually leak this early."
Beldub: "Restorethesnyderverse :)"



Wow. Warner Bros. can't be happy about that.

I know it's going to be taken down immediately, but the full movie has been uploaded to YouTube only 4 hours ago.


Thanks for that, actually.

I can't believe that we wouldn't have been reading about this leak soon, unless WB tried to cover up the leak and just go forward with releasing it online tomorrow instead of the 26th and deleting the reddit and YouTube thread.

But you heard it here first, folks!



Somebody is probably going to prison. Hope it was worth it. I got my entertainment for the day.

--------------------------------------------------

How you do anything is how you do everything.

NOTIFY: Y   |  REPLY  |  REPLY WITH QUOTE  |  TOP  |  HOME  

Tuesday, September 19, 2023 8:29 AM

6IXSTRINGJACK


Welp... Stick a fork in 'er, she's done.

Any extra money Blue Beetle might have made from the better than I expected Domestic box office last week was lost and then some with the Australia/New Zealand numbers that came out for opening weekend. $717,019 in Australia, $182,245 in New Zealand... about half of what Shazam II did.

It doesn't look like much international reporting has come out for this movie over the weekend too. It's been a real bad weekend all around for international reporting so far.

We're at $120,418,050 Worldwide right now. It may have cracked $122 Million once the numbers do come in.

It still needs $11.7 Million to beat Shazam II. And with the news of an illegal leak of the movie going online yesterday, I doubt very much that's going to happen.

The only hope that it's got is that there are a lot of international receipts out there that haven't been counted yet. If you saw my update to the Disney thread late last night, Disney just got about $28 Million in international receipts for half a dozen movies that have been out of theaters anywhere from a week to 6 months this weekend. It could be that Blue Beetle gets a few extra million long after it's out of theaters to get enough it would need to not be Warner Bros. least successful Superhero movie in the box office.

--------------------------------------------------

How you do anything is how you do everything.

NOTIFY: Y   |  REPLY  |  REPLY WITH QUOTE  |  TOP  |  HOME  

Wednesday, September 20, 2023 6:25 AM

SECOND

The Joss Whedon script for Serenity, where Wash lives, is Serenity-190pages.pdf at https://www.mediafire.com/two


Quote:
Originally posted by 6ixStringJack:

Somebody is probably going to prison. Hope it was worth it. I got my entertainment for the day.

--------------------------------------------------

How you do anything is how you do everything.
The first person deserving arrest and imprisonment is the screenplay writer of Blue Beetle.

One place to download Blue Beetle from a bittorrent:
https://yts.mx/movies/blue-beetle-2023

A review says:

Childish as Teletubbies meets Henry Danger

This is the worst thing I have ever seen.

The stereotypical Latino family thing that reminds me of a Fast and Furious surrogate scenario but with clowns instead of braindead glorified criminals.

My eight year old was bored like hell. She is way smarter that the guys who thought this was a good idea. The portrayal of the Latin community showed here isn't very serious.

The Joss Whedon script for Serenity, where Wash lives, is Serenity-190pages.pdf at
https://www.mediafire.com/folder/1uwh75oa407q8/Firefly

NOTIFY: Y   |  REPLY  |  REPLY WITH QUOTE  |  TOP  |  HOME  

Wednesday, September 20, 2023 10:26 AM

6IXSTRINGJACK


Stop posting illegal links to shit here, idiot. Just because it's woke crap nonsense doesn't make it alright.

--------------------------------------------------

How you do anything is how you do everything.

NOTIFY: Y   |  REPLY  |  REPLY WITH QUOTE  |  TOP  |  HOME  

Friday, September 22, 2023 12:21 PM

6IXSTRINGJACK


Blue Beetle BOM archive 9/22 morning: https://archive.ph/SUWfv
Blue Beetle the-numbers 9/22 morning: https://archive.ph/JvdGa

Still behind on international reporting for this one too, but the Domestic numbers are all up-to-date at least. Looks like 34% drop across the board over the last 7 days in the states.

From what we can see of the few internationals updated and the bad performance in Australia and New Zealand, it doesn't look good for Blue Beetle in the race to be the 2nd worst performing DC comic book movie.

The last possible saving grace for this movie now is how long it takes Bruce to get international numbers sorted on movies. I don't see $10 Million hiding anywhere like one of the Disney films that has long been retired, especially since unlike Sound of Freedom and Talk To Me, Bruce actually has more money reported so far than BoxOfficeMojo does, but it could happen.


Blue Beetle loses only 433 theaters this week and still remains in an almost inexplicable 1,953 theaters, when it just barely cracked $100 per theater on Cheap Seat Tuesday and made $57 per theater yesterday.

I say almost inexplicable, because nobody goes to the movies this time of year and it doesn't really matter what they're showing. Barbie was still in 3,012 theaters last night and only made $315k. Expend4bles just had a pathetic $750k preview night and couldn't even beat The Nun II's third Thursday $925k.

But looking back on the other Expendables movies, low preview nights seem to be a thing. The first one only got $870k on preview night and still grossed nearly $35 Million. Returns were diminishing from there though, and Expendables 3 only grossed $16 Million with $875,000k on preview Thursday.

I think it's going to beat The Nun II this weekend, but probably not by all that much. It has been 9 years since the last movie though (wow)... Maybe people are hungry for more with all that time in between.



--------------------------------------------------

How you do anything is how you do everything.

NOTIFY: Y   |  REPLY  |  REPLY WITH QUOTE  |  TOP  |  HOME  

Monday, September 25, 2023 11:25 AM

6IXSTRINGJACK


Well... International reporting continues to be abysmal on all the movies across the board for the 3rd week in a row...

Let's check in and see how Blue Beetle is doing compared to my September 3rd predictions....

Quote:
Originally posted by 6ixStringJack (September 3rd):

After 4 weeks it's got $113,274,000 worldwide.

After 5 weeks it's got $120,114,000.

After 6 weeks it's got $124,218,000.


Remember... My "weeks" were just AFTER the weekend on these predictions, where Bruce calculates the week ending on Thursday of every week (I really wish he wouldn't do that since the movies START on Thursday/Friday night, and International numbers tend to come in on Sunday/Monday. IMO, Opening Weekend should be considered its own week because of this).

Also, I made this projection just before Labor Day Weekend, so BB did get quite a bump I didn't calculate for, especially on the following Sunday and Monday.

Current Worldwide BO for BB: $122,917,883.

My prediction for today on September 3rd: $124,218,000

That's $1,300,117 less than my prediction for Today, made 22 Days ago.

Though we know that Blue Beetle is up-to-date on the Domestic numbers through Sunday, it's hard to tell what the International total really is, or even if international numbers for the weekend have come in yet. Quite a few countries on his international tabs are still numbers all the way back from 8/21 (opening weekend numbers), or haven't gotten any money updates at all. But at the same time, the "Rest of World" shows $24,666,030 that has been un-allocated. I used to think that this field meant countries that he didn't have on the list, but we've already seen with other movies that Bruce just uses that field as a placeholder for money that has been reported by the Studios that he hasn't gotten around to allocating to their proper countries yet... some/many/all of which are already on his board.

So there could be $5 million that hasn't been reported internationally for all I know. I recently witnessed Disney gain $28 Million over 4 or 5 films that were already out of theaters weeks ago up to over 6 months ago from international numbers finally being reconciled. With this just being a singular movie and only having $53 Million international receipts so far, I don't expect anything nearly as dramatic here, but since it is still in the theaters and we haven't given this film nearly enough time for international numbers to come in, I'm willing to give that at least around $5 Million internationally so far that hasn't been accounted for.





These predictions were made in reply to Jaynez' post on September 3rd when he claimed Blue Beetle had $95 Million Worldwide (It was actually $102 Million at the time) and he questioned my early predictions that Blue Beetle would be a failure:

Quote:
Can it get another 100 Million, now it is in contest with another film The Equalizer 3 a horror movie Birth/Rebirth and Gran Turismo Starts Strong, Columbia Pictures and Sony


And like I said in my two replies... No. It couldn't possibly.

To be fair to Jaynez though, earlier in his post he said the following:

Quote:
It seems to have staying power, I'm not sure you're wrong but

Seems to be doing better than Black Adam, The Flash and new 'Shazam! Fury of the Gods.'


Not trying to call you out here buddy... Just trying to teach you how this stuff works. I happen to know a bit about these things after a few years of following them and really getting down and dirty with the numbers over the course of 2023. I knew very early on that my pre-release prediction was right and Blue Beetle was going to be another major failure for Warner Bros.

It didn't do close to the business that Black Adam OR The Flash did, not even in regards to the production budget vs. WW Gross.

Blue Beetle [CURRENT] WW Gross vs. Production Budget: 102% ($123M over $120M, rounding up).

Black Adam [FINAL] WW Gross vs. Production Budget: 200% ($391M over $200M, rounding up).

The Flash [FINAL] WW Gross vs. Production Budget: 136% ($267M over $200M, rounding up).

Shazam II [FINAL] WW Gross vs. Production Budget: 106% ($132M over $125M, rounding up).


My only real question here always was "will it be a bigger flop that Shazam II or not?"

I still don't know the answer to that. Too many variables.

Because of the additional $5 Million production budget that Shazam II had, I'm almost certain that it will actually beat Shazam II on the WW Gross vs. Production Budget scale, but right now I'm 50/50 on whether it can actually generate more money worldwide than Shazam II did. And even if it does manage that, it's nothing for anybody to celebrate. Especially not anybody working at Warner Bros. in general and anybody who was involved in the production itself in particular.

If woke is truly dead, don't ever expect a sequel to Blue Beetle. If it's not, there will be a sequel regardless.

Though it has nothing else to its name, the Blue Beetle's franchise's future has actually now become the unsung bellwether for the idea of woke being dead or not in the last quarter of 2023.

--------------------------------------------------

Political correctness is just tyranny, with a smiley face.

NOTIFY: Y   |  REPLY  |  REPLY WITH QUOTE  |  TOP  |  HOME  

Monday, September 25, 2023 7:32 PM

6IXSTRINGJACK


Quote:
Originally posted by 6ixStringJack:
Well... International reporting continues to be abysmal on all the movies across the board for the 3rd week in a row...

Let's check in and see how Blue Beetle is doing compared to my September 3rd predictions....

Quote:
Originally posted by 6ixStringJack (September 3rd):

After 4 weeks it's got $113,274,000 worldwide.

After 5 weeks it's got $120,114,000.

After 6 weeks it's got $124,218,000.


Remember... My "weeks" were just AFTER the weekend on these predictions, where Bruce calculates the week ending on Thursday of every week (I really wish he wouldn't do that since the movies START on Thursday/Friday night, and International numbers tend to come in on Sunday/Monday. IMO, Opening Weekend should be considered its own week because of this).

Also, I made this projection just before Labor Day Weekend, so BB did get quite a bump I didn't calculate for, especially on the following Sunday and Monday.

Current Worldwide BO for BB: $122,917,883.

My prediction for today on September 3rd: $124,218,000

That's $1,300,117 less than my prediction for Today, made 22 Days ago.

Though we know that Blue Beetle is up-to-date on the Domestic numbers through Sunday, it's hard to tell what the International total really is, or even if international numbers for the weekend have come in yet. Quite a few countries on his international tabs are still numbers all the way back from 8/21 (opening weekend numbers), or haven't gotten any money updates at all. But at the same time, the "Rest of World" shows $24,666,030 that has been un-allocated. I used to think that this field meant countries that he didn't have on the list, but we've already seen with other movies that Bruce just uses that field as a placeholder for money that has been reported by the Studios that he hasn't gotten around to allocating to their proper countries yet... some/many/all of which are already on his board.

So there could be $5 million that hasn't been reported internationally for all I know. I recently witnessed Disney gain $28 Million over 4 or 5 films that were already out of theaters weeks ago up to over 6 months ago from international numbers finally being reconciled. With this just being a singular movie and only having $53 Million international receipts so far, I don't expect anything nearly as dramatic here, but since it is still in the theaters and we haven't given this film nearly enough time for international numbers to come in, I'm willing to give that at least around $5 Million internationally so far that hasn't been accounted for.



Oh...

And Box Office Mojo (an IMDB subsidiary) currently reports that BB has made $55 Million Internationally, vs. The-Numbers.com saying $53,099,648.

https://archive.ph/toszF

The worldwide total according to BOM is $124,818,235.

Now I don't use BOM for my tables and consider The-Numbers to be the ultimate source for legitimate Box Office accounting, but there are times like right now where Bruce falls behind on more than one movie when it comes to International reporting. He's behind over $4 Million on Talk To Me and somewhere around $1.5 Million for Sound of Freedom on the international numbers and has been for about three weeks now.

This current Blue Beetle WW total of $124,218,235 reported at BOM is itself $1,900,352 more than what the-numbers is reporting.

BOM's current number of $124,218,235 WW is also only $600,235 higher than my prediction for Blue Beetle would be worldwide from 22 days ago.

So I'm $1,300,117 above The-Numbers and $600,235 below Box Office Mojo reporting for yesterday.


I'm sure that there's AT LEAST as much international as BOM is reporting though, so I know my prediction was low (by at least $600k), but as I've stated several times before that was due to the extra couple of million it got on Labor Day and the holiday weekend that I hadn't accounted for in my predictions. I'm still happy with it.

--------------------------------------------------

Political correctness is just tyranny, with a smiley face.

NOTIFY: Y   |  REPLY  |  REPLY WITH QUOTE  |  TOP  |  HOME  

Wednesday, September 27, 2023 12:42 AM

6IXSTRINGJACK


Quote:
Originally posted by 6ixStringJack:
This current Blue Beetle WW total of $124,218,235 reported at BOM is itself $1,900,352 more than what the-numbers is reporting.

BOM's current number of $124,218,235 WW is also only $600,235 higher than my prediction for Blue Beetle would be worldwide from 22 days ago.

So I'm $1,300,117 above The-Numbers and $600,235 below Box Office Mojo reporting for yesterday.


I'm sure that there's AT LEAST as much international as BOM is reporting though, so I know my prediction was low (by at least $600k), but as I've stated several times before that was due to the extra couple of million it got on Labor Day and the holiday weekend that I hadn't accounted for in my predictions. I'm still happy with it.


In a rare turn of events, Bruce updated the international total at The-Numbers and is now showing exactly the same amount Worldwide to the dollar as BoxOfficeMojo.

Blue Beetle The-Numbers Archive 09/26: https://archive.ph/SRgHV

$124,988,677

So minus the $170,442 it pulled in on Monday in the states, my prediction from September 3rd was exactly $600,235 less than both sites show for the 22nd.



And even though it's still doing quite a bit better than I thought it would in the states this late in the game, it doesn't appear to be getting that much traction internationally. Unless there are some international surprises that neither site is reporting right now, I think I'll be even closer on Sunday/Monday or it might actually fall behind my week 7 prediction.

--------------------------------------------------

Political correctness is just tyranny, with a smiley face.

NOTIFY: Y   |  REPLY  |  REPLY WITH QUOTE  |  TOP  |  HOME  

Friday, September 29, 2023 12:35 PM

6IXSTRINGJACK


Blue Beetle started the week off strong. I mean, not a lot of money this late in the game, but it gained 10% on Monday, lost 34% on Tuesday, and 35% on Wednesday. Not bad, especially considering that a high def version of the movie leaked online.

But it appears that the dual releases of Saw X and the sci-fi The Creator may have taken a bite out of what was left of its Domestic audience since it lost 48% on Thursday.


BOM and The-Numbers are even on their reporting now, with the only difference being Thursday's projection of $70,000 stateside.


Going into Weekend 7, Blue Beetle now has $125,324,308 worldwide.


It's impossible to tell how far behind the reporting is internationally. Unlike some other movies I'm tracking, BOM and The-Numbers are showing the same amount internationally. Clicking on the individual countries at BOM that had large box offices, most of them haven't been updated in a while, but most of them have had huge drops in numbers to the point where it's possible that they just didn't show it anymore beyond the last week reported.

This isn't the case with Brazil though. The last week it was updated was August 24-27, and it pulled in $1.4 Million that weekend (for a total of $4.2 Million). However, BOM also reports that Brazil has pulled in $7.9 Million in total for BB, so there is $3.7 Million extra reported that hasn't been put into a weekly breakdown. If we were to carry the known first weekend drop of 36% week to week off of the $2M it made in Brazil in its second week, that would only amount to $2.959 Million through Sunday the 24th, so I think it's pretty safe to say that Brazil is actually up to date.

Mexico hasn't been reported since Sep 8-10 and the money there matches the Mexico total, so there probably is more money yet to be reported. But it only made $375k on the weekend of Sep 8-10, so maybe it made another $1 Million through Sunday?

Columbia is up to date, and it only made $3.3k there last weekend, so it's probably not even being shown there anymore by this weekend.

I'd give it maybe $1.5 Million everywhere else tops from perusing the charts at BOM.


So I'd expect we're probably looking at a true figure of around $127M to $127.750 Million if everything were up to date.


At this point, I think the only way that Blue Beetle can beat Shazam II's box office dollar-wise is if we get some international reporting surprises after it's dumped from the US Box Office since it would still need about $5 Million.




Blue Beetle lost 1006 theaters in the States this weekend, dropping to 948 theaters. It was already making end-stage money despite the low losses week to week the last several weeks, but I imagine that after losing 50% of its theaters this weekend those losses will be quite a bit larger going forward.

--------------------------------------------------

Political correctness is just tyranny, with a smiley face.

NOTIFY: Y   |  REPLY  |  REPLY WITH QUOTE  |  TOP  |  HOME  

Saturday, September 30, 2023 1:42 AM

6IXSTRINGJACK


Quote:
Originally posted by 6ixStringJack:
BOM and The-Numbers are even on their reporting now, with the only difference being Thursday's projection of $70,000 stateside.

Going into Weekend 7, Blue Beetle now has $125,324,308 worldwide.

It's impossible to tell how far behind the reporting is internationally.

...

Mexico hasn't been reported since Sep 8-10 and the money there matches the Mexico total, so there probably is more money yet to be reported. But it only made $375k on the weekend of Sep 8-10, so maybe it made another $1 Million through Sunday?

...

I'd give it maybe $1.5 Million everywhere else tops from perusing the charts at BOM.

So I'd expect we're probably looking at a true figure of around $127M to $127.750 Million if everything were up to date.


There was an update on BOM today for Blu Beetle.

Worldwide it's now $126,124,919, which is $800,611 more than the $125,324,308 it was showing this morning when I made the previous post.

All I know is that it did not come from Mexico. So that's half the money I said BOM was likely to be behind internationally everywhere else besides Mexico.

New archive for 9/29 here: https://archive.ph/YDUA1

At $126,124,919, Blue Beetle needs $6,067,443 to beat Shazam II.

It has now made 105% of its production budget. Shazam II made 106%. Like I said before, BB's going to beat Shazam II on the WW Gross vs. Production budget, but it's still unknown if it's going to go down in history as DC's biggest flop by pure dollars in ticket sales or not.

--------------------------------------------------

Political correctness is just tyranny, with a smiley face.

NOTIFY: Y   |  REPLY  |  REPLY WITH QUOTE  |  TOP  |  HOME  

Sunday, October 1, 2023 1:42 PM

6IXSTRINGJACK


Quote:
Originally posted by 6ixStringJack:
Blue Beetle started the week off strong. I mean, not a lot of money this late in the game, but it gained 10% on Monday, lost 34% on Tuesday, and 35% on Wednesday. Not bad, especially considering that a high def version of the movie leaked online.

But it appears that the dual releases of Saw X and the sci-fi The Creator may have taken a bite out of what was left of its Domestic audience since it lost 48% on Thursday.

BOM and The-Numbers are even on their reporting now, with the only difference being Thursday's projection of $70,000 stateside.

Going into Weekend 7, Blue Beetle now has $125,324,308 worldwide.

...

Blue Beetle lost 1006 theaters in the States this weekend, dropping to 948 theaters. It was already making end-stage money despite the low losses week to week the last several weeks, but I imagine that after losing 50% of its theaters this weekend those losses will be quite a bit larger going forward.


Yup... Weekend 7 losses were quite a bit more severe. The worst weekend loss by far.

Friday: $170k (-59%)
Saturday: $330k (-60%)
Sunday: $215k (-63%)

Total: $710k (-61%)


BOM and The-Numbers were even on Domestic/International reporting until BOM added $800k on Friday to the international totals for $126,124,919. Bruce still hasn't updated this $800k international, so he's behind on that, but BOM doesn't have Saturday and Sunday added yet where Bruce does.

Taking the international from BOM and the Domestic from Bruce, Blue Beetle now has $127,374,919 worldwide. Rounding up the percentage, it is now 106% of the Production Budget for a virtual tie with Shazam II, with more money still coming both Domestic and International, albeit not that much.

It is now $4,817,443 behind Shazam II's worldwide gross.

I don't imagine any scenario where there is still nearly $5 Million of new money that Blue Beetle makes going forward, but there will still be international updates through the weekend and there's also a probability that there is at least some international money that remains unreported.

We're close enough now where I can't really give a prediction on which movie comes out on top in the race to the bottom. It's pretty much a coin flip at this point.

But with my experience on the way international numbers are handled late in a movie's run, I'd probably have to give a slight edge to Blue Beetle here, simply because Shazam II has been out of the theaters so long it is basically a 0% chance that they'd find any more money there and we could be seeing sporadic international additions to Blue Beetle as late as December.







--------------------------------------------------

Political correctness is just tyranny, with a smiley face.

NOTIFY: Y   |  REPLY  |  REPLY WITH QUOTE  |  TOP  |  HOME  

Tuesday, October 3, 2023 3:04 PM

6IXSTRINGJACK


Quote:
Week 7 = $126,269,642
Week 8 = $127,034,642
Week 9 = $127,326,692
Week 10 = $127,474,314
Week 11 = $127,540,744
Week 12 = $127,570,638


Due to higher than expected Domestic numbers the last few weeks, it appears that we're 2 weeks ahead of schedule on my predictions (about $1.1 Million) that included the Australia/New Zealand money.

After Weekend 7's numbers came in, we're at $127,339,537 worldwide.

And even though we had a 73% drop from last Monday this week, it was still $45k, so we're not going to see next to nothing numbers like I thought we'd be seeing now until next week.

We are at the end stage of the box office for this though, regardless, and I doubt very much that BB gets 12 weeks in the theaters like Black Adam did.

After Monday, Blue Beetle needs $4,807,210 to beat Shazam II.

--------------------------------------------------

Political correctness is just tyranny, with a smiley face.

NOTIFY: Y   |  REPLY  |  REPLY WITH QUOTE  |  TOP  |  HOME  

Wednesday, October 4, 2023 3:00 AM

6IXSTRINGJACK


Given the fact that the $4.5 Million movie Talk To Me just got a surprise $15 Million added internationally, which was about a 40% addition to its previous international numbers, I'm going to have to guess that Blue Beetle beats Shazam II.

International reporting has been terrible for the last 4 to 5 weeks. There could be another $15 Million in there for Blue Beetle too for all I know.

--------------------------------------------------

Political correctness is just tyranny, with a smiley face.

NOTIFY: Y   |  REPLY  |  REPLY WITH QUOTE  |  TOP  |  HOME  

Thursday, October 5, 2023 9:21 PM

6IXSTRINGJACK


Just saw Bruce's theater count update for next week. Blue Beetle will still be playing in 538 theaters starting tomorrow, so it officially gets at least 1 more week in theaters than Shazam II did.

I doubt it will make 12 weeks like Black Adam, but I can't imagine that they're going to just yank it next week if it's still playing in over 500 this week. It should get at least 9 if not 10 weeks. Next week it will be making about $20k per day after the weekend.

--------------------------------------------------

Political correctness is just tyranny, with a smiley face.

NOTIFY: Y   |  REPLY  |  REPLY WITH QUOTE  |  TOP  |  HOME  

Tuesday, October 10, 2023 6:09 PM

6IXSTRINGJACK


Quote:
Originally posted by 6ixStringJack:
Quote:
Week 7 = $126,269,642
Week 8 = $127,034,642
Week 9 = $127,326,692
Week 10 = $127,474,314
Week 11 = $127,540,744
Week 12 = $127,570,638


Due to higher than expected Domestic numbers the last few weeks, it appears that we're 2 weeks ahead of schedule on my predictions (about $1.1 Million) that included the Australia/New Zealand money.

After Weekend 7's numbers came in, we're at $127,339,537 worldwide.

And even though we had a 73% drop from last Monday this week, it was still $45k, so we're not going to see next to nothing numbers like I thought we'd be seeing now until next week.

We are at the end stage of the box office for this though, regardless, and I doubt very much that BB gets 12 weeks in the theaters like Black Adam did.

After Monday, Blue Beetle needs $4,807,210 to beat Shazam II.

--------------------------------------------------

Political correctness is just tyranny, with a smiley face.



8 weeks in and we're at $128,062,513 Worldwide, or $722,976 more than last week.

Somehow, beyond all logic, this one is stubbornly persisting at the very tail end of its run, even in the Domestic box office. Yesterday it made $77,390. That doesn't even make any sense. It only made $45,615 last Monday, so it's up 70% this Monday.

Oh... Nevermind. It was Columbus Day (or what most government employees probably refer to as Indigenous People's Day). You know that crowd is the type that would go see Blue Beetle for the 4th time.

Tuesday should be about $30-$35k and Wednesday and Thursday should be in the $20-$25k range.



We're quibbling over pennies at this point though. It ultimately did better than I predicted it would, but not by much. It's still lost Warner Bros a ton of money and it still could make less than Shazam II.


Blue Beetle still needs $4,129,849 to beat Shazam II.


NOTE: BoxOfficeMojo reports that Blue Beetle's Worldwide Gross is $128,563,796. In that case, Blue Beetle needs $3,628,566 to beat Shazam II.

--------------------------------------------------

Political correctness is just tyranny, with a smiley face.

NOTIFY: Y   |  REPLY  |  REPLY WITH QUOTE  |  TOP  |  HOME  

Saturday, October 14, 2023 6:41 PM

6IXSTRINGJACK


Quote:
Originally posted by 6ixStringJack:
Week 7 = $126,269,642
Week 8 = $127,034,642
Week 9 = $127,326,692
Week 10 = $127,474,314
Week 11 = $127,540,744
Week 12 = $127,570,638


Blue Beetle loses 182 theaters and still remains in 391 this week.

Worldwide Box Office going into the 9th weekend is $128,172,075 ($845,383 ahead of where I predicted it would be AFTER the 9th weekend).

Aside from Australia, New Zealand, Croatia and Romania, it doesn't appear that any other countries have been updated after last weekend. There remains $26.3 Million in the "Rest of World" kitty though, which is close to half of the total recorded international money so far, so it's likely most of that has already been covered at least up through last Sunday.


BoxOfficeMojo reports $128,673,358, which is about $500k more than The-Numbers. (And about $1.35 Million more than I predicted at the end of this weekend).

Using BOM's current (higher) reporting, Blue Beetle still needs $3,519,004 to beat Shazam II's Worldwide Gross.

It will likely make around another $280k in the States this weekend.

--------------------------------------------------

Political correctness is just tyranny, with a smiley face.

NOTIFY: Y   |  REPLY  |  REPLY WITH QUOTE  |  TOP  |  HOME  

Sunday, October 15, 2023 7:10 PM

6IXSTRINGJACK


It appears we've reached that late-stage problem where the studio stops giving regular reporting on their movies. By evening on Sunday, there are still no Domestic projections for Blue Beetle's 9th weekend on either The-Numbers or BoxOfficeMojo.

This is something I'm actually not used to seeing for major films from the big studios. I'm not saying that it hasn't happened before, but it hasn't been a thing with any of the Disney movies, or with Barbie or Super Mario Bros.

Maybe they're just hoping this one goes away while Warner Bros. is panicking about word that Aquaman 2 might be a flop.

--------------------------------------------------

Political correctness is just tyranny, with a smiley face.

NOTIFY: Y   |  REPLY  |  REPLY WITH QUOTE  |  TOP  |  HOME  

Tuesday, October 17, 2023 1:53 PM

6IXSTRINGJACK


Bringing out the bag again...






COLLIDER: 'Blue Beetle' Ends Theatrical Run as Lowest-Grossing DCEU Movie at the Global Box Office

https://collider.com/blue-beetle-global-box-office-128-million/


ComicBookMovie.com: BLUE BEETLE Will End Its Theatrical Run As The Lowest-Grossing DCEU Movie Of All Time

https://comicbookmovie.com/blue-beetle/blue-beetle-will-end-its-theatr
ical-run-as-the-lowest-grossing-dceu-movie-of-all-time-a206072#gs.72g94h



CBR: Blue Beetle Ends Theatrical Run With a Disappointing DCEU Record

https://www.cbr.com/blue-beetle-theatrical-run-disappointing-dceu-reco
rd/



Looper: Blue Beetle's Final Box Office Numbers Are A Total Disaster For DC

https://www.looper.com/1421563/blue-beetle-final-box-office-numbers-dc
-disaster/



Even woker than woke Wikipedia isn't going to bother hiding the facts here...

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Blue_Beetle_(film)

Quote:
Blue Beetle premiered in El Paso on August 15, 2023, and was released in the United States on August 18, by Warner Bros. Pictures. The film received generally favorable reviews but emerged as a box-office bomb, grossing $129 million worldwide against a production budget of $104 million and became the lowest-grossing film in the DCEU


Although...

FACT CHECK: Blue Beetle's Production Budget was $120 Million, not $104 Million.

It also hasn't made $129 Million yet. It's only made $128,440,009.

https://www.the-numbers.com/movie/Blue-Beetle#tab=summary




--------------------------------------------------

Political correctness is just tyranny, with a smiley face.

NOTIFY: Y   |  REPLY  |  REPLY WITH QUOTE  |  TOP  |  HOME  

Friday, October 20, 2023 12:03 AM

6IXSTRINGJACK


According to BOM, Blue Beetle now made $129,029,130. The-Numbers has it at $128,527,847.

It's still playing in 241 theaters this week.

It made $23,332 on Wednesday.

So far this week (6 days) it's made $355,772. Today should be around $20 to $25k more, so $380k for the week, so a 40% drop from last week which is just around the 38% and 39% drops for the last two weekends.

If that holds this weekend and next week, it will gross another $161k over the weekend and $228k by next Thursday. Including the $20 to $25k it will get tonight, that's around $250k more by next Thursday.

My last archive for Blue Beetle was from September 27th, here: https://archive.ph/VfjNF

BB had $55 Million even international 3 weeks ago (obviously an estimate). It has $56,298,717 today.

This leads me to believe that BB is either flat out done outside of America, or it's making so little it won't even matter anymore. There has been enough time for me to feel confident that the International numbers are up to date from that $55 Million number.

Can it break $130 Million?





--------------------------------------------------

Political correctness is just tyranny, with a smiley face.

NOTIFY: Y   |  REPLY  |  REPLY WITH QUOTE  |  TOP  |  HOME  

YOUR OPTIONS

NEW POSTS TODAY

USERPOST DATE

OTHER TOPICS

DISCUSSIONS
Hollywood's Abysmal 2024 in Numbers
Sat, November 23, 2024 13:13 - 157 posts
Good Low Budget and Independent Flicks
Fri, November 22, 2024 15:05 - 152 posts
A cancellation wave is coming, but it is not a woke one.
Fri, November 22, 2024 09:20 - 13 posts
Elevation
Thu, November 21, 2024 22:34 - 1 posts
Horror movies and Scary Tv making a comeback?
Thu, November 21, 2024 11:36 - 41 posts
Beatlejuice Beatlejuice blows everything else out of the water this weekend.
Thu, November 21, 2024 07:54 - 45 posts
Reagan
Mon, November 18, 2024 12:25 - 8 posts
'Napoleon' liked, disliked ...or ...has Ridley Scott Lost the Ability to Make Great Movies?
Mon, November 18, 2024 07:26 - 22 posts
What Films Are You Looking Forward To In Cinema 2024?
Mon, November 18, 2024 07:22 - 88 posts
Hollywood Fatigue...people flee California and is Hollyweird finished?
Sat, November 16, 2024 19:49 - 18 posts
The Snow White Failure Thread
Sat, November 16, 2024 16:20 - 17 posts
The Joker 2: The Musical Doo Deux failure thread
Sun, November 10, 2024 12:35 - 84 posts
 VIEW MORE TOPICS 

FFF.NET SOCIAL