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REAL WORLD EVENT DISCUSSIONS
"Breaking News": SENATE DEAL REACHED
Wednesday, October 16, 2013 3:52 PM
NIKI2
Gettin' old, but still a hippie at heart...
Quote:Washington (CNN) - Senate leaders on Wednesday announced a deal to end the partial government shutdown and avoid a possible U.S. default as soon as the end of this week, and a key GOP conservative said he wouldn't try to block the measure. The news of a deal brought some relief to Wall Street as well as Washington, where the shutdown reached a 16th day with the government poised to lose its ability to borrow more money to pay bills on Thursday. Senate Majority Leader Harry Reid hailed the agreement he worked out with his GOP counterpart Mitch McConnell as "historic," saying that "in the end, political adversaries put aside their differences." Now the question becomes whether the agreement can win approval in the Senate and then the House to reach President Barack Obama's desk, perhaps by the end of Wednesday to ensure there is enough cash on hand for all U.S. debt obligations and bills. Obama praised Senate leaders for reaching a compromise, and urged Congress to act quickly, White House spokesman Jay Carney said. "As soon as possible is essentially the recommendation we have from here," he said. Republican and Democratic members of the House were to meet separately in the afternoon to hear details of the proposal as well as weigh the next steps. House Speaker John Boehner has failed to corral his caucus around any remedy, while House Democrats have solidly supported their leaders. A senior GOP Senate aide said the Senate vote could come sometime Wednesday evening and a House leadership aide said the House could vote "as early as tonight" following the Senate. But both chambers will have to take special steps to get the legislation passed that quickly, raising concerns that tea party conservatives led by Sen. Ted Cruz of Texas would block or delay it in a final effort to include provisions intended to harm Obama's signature health care reforms. However, Cruz told reporters that he wouldn't mount a filibuster or employ other procedural moves against the agreement. At the same time, he criticized his Senate colleagues for what he called their failure to listen to the American people and said the fight against Obamacare will continue. National polls conducted since the start of the shutdown on October 1 indicate that while all sides are feeling the public's anger over the partisan political impasse, more blame is pointed at the Republicans in Congress rather than Democrats or Obama. U.S. stocks opened sharply higher on news of the Senate agreement with the benchmark Dow Jones Industrial Average jumping 200 points at one point. Short-term plan Reid said the Senate deal under discussion would reopen the government, funding it until January 15. It also would raise the debt limit until February 7 to avert a possible default on U.S. debt obligations for the first time. Also, the White House supports a provision in the deal that strengthens verification measures for people getting subsidies under Obamacare, spokesman Jay Carney said. Carney called the change "a modest adjustment," and said it didn't amount to "ransom" for raising the federal debt ceiling because both sides agreed to it and the White House supported it. In addition, the Senate agreement would set up budget negotiations between the House and Senate for a long-term spending plan. McConnell fired an opening salvo for those talks, expected to begin soon and continue until December, when he said any ensuing budget deal should adhere to spending caps set in a 2011 law that included forced cuts known as sequestration. "Preserving this law is critically important to the future of our country," McConnell said of the Budget Control Act, which resulted from the previous debt ceiling crisis in Washington. The focus on an agreement shifted to the Senate after House Republicans failed on Tuesday to come up with a plan their majority could support, stymied again by demands from tea party conservatives for outcomes unacceptable to Obama and Senate Democrats, as well as some fellow Republicans. Cruz, despite being in the Senate, is credited with spearheading the House Republican effort to attach amendments that would dismantle or defund the health care reforms known as Obamacare to previous proposals intended to end the shutdown. All were rejected by the Democratic-led Senate, and Obama also pledged to veto them, meaning there was no chance they ever would have succeeded. Republican Sen. Kelly Ayotte of New Hampshire called the House GOP tactic of tying Obamacare to the shutdown legislation "an ill-conceived strategy from the beginning, not a winning strategy." However, Republican Rep. Steve King of Iowa advocated continued brinksmanship to try to change Obamacare, which conservatives detest as a big-government overreach. "If we're not willing to take a stand now, then when will we take this stand?" he told CNN's "New Day," adding that if "the conservative Republican plan had been implemented five years ago, say at the inception of what is now the Obama presidency, we would have far less debt and deficit." Warnings of default Despite warnings by Obama and economists that a U.S. default would spike interest rates and could have catastrophic impacts at home and abroad, King said he's not too concerned if the government passes Thursday's deadline to raise the borrowing limit. "It's just a date they picked on the calendar," he said, adding that the government will still be able to pay the interest on its debt. "I'm more concerned about market reaction than I am of default itself." Thursday marks the day the Treasury Department will run out of special accounting maneuvers to keep the nation under the legal borrowing limit. From that point on, it will have to pay the country's incoming bills and other legal obligations with an estimated $30 billion in cash, plus whatever daily revenue comes in. The White House had said that the U.S. would lose its borrowing authority on Thursday, leaving it only with cash on hand to pay bills and therefore at risk of default. Carney clarified Wednesday that the borrowing authority would continue through Thursday. The expectation is that the Treasury will be able to pay bills in full for a short time after Thursday, but exactly how long remains unclear. According to the best outside estimates, the first day the government will run short of cash could come between October 22 and November 1. Officials warn that an unknown is whether creditors such as foreign countries that traditionally roll over their U.S. bond holdings could decide to instead cash out, creating a potentially major payout that the government would lack funds to fulfill. A break from tradition If the Senate passes the agreement, Boehner will probably face the decision of whether to allow a vote that he knows can only pass with virtually all Democrats and only a few of his fellow Republicans supporting it. That would break a Republican tradition known as the Hastert rule. The informal tenet, named after former House Speaker Dennis Hastert, says that the House speaker does not introduce legislation unless a majority of Republicans say they will vote for it first. It has served to keep proposals off the floor, even if they have the prospect of passing via the votes of Democrats combined with those of some moderate Republicans. House Republicans have expected Boehner to uphold the rule, which asserts the party's interests in the chamber, and he has pledged to do so. However, Boehner has previously allowed votes on measures lacking full Republican support at times of similar brinksmanship, such as the fiscal cliff negotiations in late December and early January that raised tax rates on wealth Americans. "I believe that John Boehner will likely be in a position, where he will have to essentially pass the bill that is negotiated between Sens. McConnell and Reid," said Republican Rep. Charlie Dent of Pennsylvania, who added that he would vote for the Senate plan. About 20 Republicans would have to back the Senate plan for it to pass, assuming that virtually all of the chamber's 200 Democrats also would support it. Slow process Even so, it could take a day or two more for a deal to make it through the legislative process. By then, the nation will have run out of borrowing authority. While tax revenues will continue to stream in, that money will be enough to pay only part of the government's obligations over time. The impact is unclear in the immediate short term, but over days and weeks, it would mean that government officials would have to pick and choose which bills to pay and which to leave for another day. The prospect of the U.S. government running out of money to pay its bills and, eventually, finding it difficult to make payments on the debt itself, has economists around the world prophesying dire consequences. Mutual funds, which are not allowed to hold defaulted securities, may have to dump masses of U.S. treasuries. Ratings agency Fitch fired a warning shot Tuesday that it may downgrade the country's AAA credit rating to AA+ over the political brinksmanship and bickering in Washington that have brought the government to this point. That could help raise interest rates on U.S. debt, putting the country deeper into the red. Rating agency Standard & Poor's cut the U.S. credit rating from AAA to AA+ after the 2011 debt ceiling crisis. Moody's still has the U.S. rated AAA. Investors around the world appeared to be sitting on the sidelines Wednesday waiting out the day's debate. Asian markets ended with mixed results, European markets were down slightly Friday afternoon and U.S. stock futures - frequently taken as an indicator for how U.S. markets will open - were up marginally before trading began Wednesday. Emergency brake? Some scholars have suggested that the 14th Amendment to the Constitution gives Obama an emergency brake to stop the default by ignoring what Congress does and borrowing in spite of having reached the debt ceiling. Section 4 of the amendment states: "The validity of the public debt of the United States, authorized by law, including debts incurred for payment of pensions and bounties for services in suppressing insurrection or rebellion, shall not be questioned." Obama has rejected such claims, the Congressional Research Service has said. And other scholars say that by invoking the 14th Amendment in this way, the President would risk breaking other laws. But the same scholars who say this say they believe that section 4 was formulated to keep politicians from holding the debt hostage in order to impose their political will on the natio Muddled plan Disarray among House Republicans caused confusion on Tuesday, with Boehner having to pull a proposed agreement from the floor because conservatives found it too weak. The House proposal dropped some provisions on Obamacare but prohibited federal subsidies to the President and his administration officials as well as federal lawmakers and their staff receiving health insurance through the Affordable Care Act programs. It also would have forbidden the Treasury from taking what it calls extraordinary measures to prevent the federal government from defaulting as cash runs low, in effect requiring hard deadlines to extend the federal debt ceiling. House Democrats opposed the GOP proposal, which meant it couldn't pass without support from the 40 or so tea party conservatives, who wanted more spending cuts. "It just kicks the can down the road another six weeks or two months," said Rep. Joe Barton, R-Texas. Time running out Obama met Wednesday with Treasury Secretary Jack Lew, who has been looking for creative ways to cover U.S. financial obligations as the debt ceiling comes down. On Tuesday, Obama called for House Republicans to "do what's right" by reopening government and ensuring the United States can pay its bills. "We don't have a lot of time," he said. But he acknowledged Boehner's difficulty in getting his fellow House Republicans on the same page. "Negotiating with me isn't necessarily good for the extreme faction in his caucus," Obama said, referring to the tea party and its conservative allies. "It weakens him, so there have been repeated situations where we have agreements. Then he goes back, and it turns out that he can't control his caucus." [Breaking news update 3:25 p.m. ET] House Speaker John Boehner said Wednesday that "we fought the good fight, we just didn't win," adding he would encourage his Republican caucus to support a Senate agreement to reopen the government and avert a possible U.S. default. Boehner's comments came in an interview with WLW radio in his home state of Ohio. http://politicalticker.blogs.cnn.com/2013/10/16/senate-reaches-deal-to-end-shutdown-avoid-default/?hpt=hp_t1
Wednesday, October 16, 2013 4:19 PM
STORYMARK
Wednesday, October 16, 2013 4:39 PM
AURAPTOR
America loves a winner!
Quote:Originally posted by Storymark: Interesting that the right wing regulars have been quiet today. Like they always are after the GOP shows its ass. We are sure to hear the "I was too busy" excuse again.
Wednesday, October 16, 2013 4:43 PM
Wednesday, October 16, 2013 4:46 PM
Quote:Originally posted by Storymark: See, called it. He replies virtually instantly when he's got something to attack with. But the GOP eats it - each and every time, the boy gets a case of the "busies." It's a hoot.
Wednesday, October 16, 2013 4:59 PM
KPO
Sometimes you own the libs. Sometimes, the libs own you.
Wednesday, October 16, 2013 5:01 PM
Quote:Originally posted by kpo: What the GOP got from this deal: Nothing. And rightly so. It's not personal. It's just war.
Wednesday, October 16, 2013 5:06 PM
Quote:Originally posted by AURaptor: Genius, you attacked ME!
Quote:And I can't reply before I read something, so your logic is lacking, as always.
Quote:I'm here, dumb ass. How can I be 'busy' and replying at the same time ?
Quote:25 minutes after the thread, YOU posted, then 20 more minutes after that, I read the thread and replied. How is that 'virtually instantly ' ???
Quote:It's been suggested that those who have no internal concept of the passage of time are nuts. ( or drunk ) You just proved at least one of those to be true. Bravo.
Wednesday, October 16, 2013 5:09 PM
Quote:That'll teach them to try to do the right thing.
Wednesday, October 16, 2013 5:16 PM
Wednesday, October 16, 2013 5:18 PM
Quote:Originally posted by kpo: Quote:That'll teach them to try to do the right thing. Hard to see how the stupid thing is the right thing. All Republicans have achieved with it is a nose dive in the polls. What was the good outcome you were hoping for, a US default on its debt? The US might still get downgraded as a result of this btw. It's not personal. It's just war.
Wednesday, October 16, 2013 5:28 PM
Quote:Originally posted by Niki2: The party of "fiscal conservatism" just screwed our country over financially BIG TIME (again), may have worsened our credit rating (again), has hurt how many thousands of people who've been out of work (again), gained absolutely NOTHING (again), and are probably ready to do it all over AGAIN in a couple of months. Obama's right: There Are No Winners.
Wednesday, October 16, 2013 5:32 PM
JONGSSTRAW
Wednesday, October 16, 2013 5:35 PM
Wednesday, October 16, 2013 5:45 PM
CHRISISALL
Quote:Originally posted by AURaptor: May have been on the losing side. Still not convinced it was the wrong one.
Wednesday, October 16, 2013 5:47 PM
Quote:Originally posted by Storymark: Apparently, the majority of Republicans are now RINOs.... at least according to the crazy American Taliban side.
Wednesday, October 16, 2013 5:58 PM
Quote:Originally posted by Jongsstraw: That's NOT a majority of Republicans, not by a long shot.
Wednesday, October 16, 2013 6:08 PM
Quote:Originally posted by chrisisall: Zombies WILL however find a tasty snack in your skull, Vulcan elements notwithstanding.
Wednesday, October 16, 2013 6:21 PM
Quote:Originally posted by Jongsstraw: As of 5:26 pm est the Senate had not yet voted. When it passes, the House will vote. There's no certainty the House wil pass it. If it passes, all Obama has gained is a 3 month extension on his overdrawn checking account. What Conservatives have gained is a clear exposition of the RINOs and gutless puke libs within the Republican Party. They will all be targeted with primary challenges in 2014. The purge will be glorious!
Wednesday, October 16, 2013 6:23 PM
WHOZIT
Quote:Originally posted by Storymark: Interesting that the right wing regulars have been quiet today. Like they always are after the GOP shows its ass. We are sure to hear the "I was too busy" excuse again. "Goram it kid, let's frak this thing and go home! Engage!"
Wednesday, October 16, 2013 10:25 PM
GEEZER
Keep the Shiny side up
Thursday, October 17, 2013 6:53 AM
Thursday, October 17, 2013 8:22 AM
M52NICKERSON
DALEK!
Thursday, October 17, 2013 8:30 AM
Quote:There's language allowing more spending for upgrading a lock in the Ohio River between Illinois and Kentucky; money to help Colorado rebuild roads washed away by last month's catastrophic floods; extra money to help the Veterans Affairs Department whittle down a backlog of disabilities claims; and permission for the Pentagon to keep helping African nations hunt a notorious warlord. The measure, approved Wednesday by the House and Senate, has one lump of coal for lawmakers: For the sixth consecutive year it would deny them the annual cost-of-living pay raise that by law they automatically receive unless they vote to block it. Members of Congress earn $174,000 annually, and some leaders receive more. The 35-page bill had only a handful of such narrowly aimed provisions. That's a far cry from years ago, when spending bills would be studded with hundreds of "earmarks," or projects for specific states or congressional districts, often designed to ensure the votes of lawmakers.
Thursday, October 17, 2013 9:53 AM
Quote:From county chairmen to national party luminaries, veteran Republicans across the country are accusing tea party lawmakers of staining the GOP with their refusal to bend in the budget impasse in Washington. ..... Now, they’re lashing out with polls showing Republicans bearing most of the blame for the federal shutdown, which entered its 11th day Friday. In some places, they’re laying the groundwork to take action against the tea party in the 2014 congressional elections. Iowa Republicans are recruiting a pro-business Republican to challenge six-term conservative Rep. Steve King, a leader in the push to defund the health care law. Disgruntled Republicans are further ahead in Michigan, where second-term, tea party-backed Rep. Justin Amash is facing a Republican primary challenger who is more in line with — and being encouraged by — the party establishment. And business interest groups, long aligned with the Republican Party, also are threatening to recruit and fund strong challengers to tea party House members. ..... Even among Republicans, those who don’t support the tea party mostly disapprove of how the GOP is handling the budget issue. Just 17 percent of Americans overall consider themselves tea party backers. And tea party allies are fighting back. The Senate Conservatives Fund, an independent political action committee, has run ads asking tea party supporters to recruit primary election opponents for Republicans who voted for a measure that would have kept the government running with modifications in the health care law. Excerpts from http://www.capitolhillblue.com/node/49532
Thursday, October 17, 2013 10:47 AM
Quote:Originally posted by Niki2: Nick, the last thing I want is for the DEMS to have a free hand, either. Tho' it's possible they're smart enough to have watched what's been happening and behave (more) responsibly (I wouldn't hold my breath). Mostly I just wish we could get more intelligent, somewhat moderate people from either side...hey, I can dream!
Thursday, October 17, 2013 11:59 AM
Thursday, October 17, 2013 12:11 PM
Quote:Originally posted by Jongsstraw: McConnell got $3 billion in pork for Kentucky. The widow of former NJ Senator Lautenberg got his salary of $174,000. She's worth $53 million. And all the furloughed Govt. employees, even the ones who didn't work through it, are getting all their pay retroactively. Must be nice. It's rainin' tax dollars, hallelujah It's rainin' tax dollars, amen.
Thursday, October 17, 2013 12:16 PM
BYTEMITE
Quote:Originally posted by m52nickerson: Quote:Originally posted by Niki2: Nick, the last thing I want is for the DEMS to have a free hand, either. Tho' it's possible they're smart enough to have watched what's been happening and behave (more) responsibly (I wouldn't hold my breath). Mostly I just wish we could get more intelligent, somewhat moderate people from either side...hey, I can dream! I agree. The US does need moderates on both sides. At one time Republicans dids have a lot of members that were not afraid of compromise or moving forword. These folks were often the ones that simply wanted to do so in a responcible matter and make sure the government was not over reaching. That however is far different than what we have now. The only good thing is we still have Blue Dog Dems that could fill that role.
Thursday, October 17, 2013 12:26 PM
Thursday, October 17, 2013 12:58 PM
FREMDFIRMA
Quote:Originally posted by chrisisall: This feel-good political stunt only cost us an estimated 24 billion. THAT'S fiscally responsible T-Partiers for ya.
Thursday, October 17, 2013 1:09 PM
Quote:Originally posted by BYTEMITE: Oh no. The Utah "Blue Dog" is a total douchebag who's only consideration on whether he votes for anything or not is if it'll let him get reelected in Utah.
Thursday, October 17, 2013 1:10 PM
Thursday, October 17, 2013 1:41 PM
Quote:Originally posted by AURaptor: Oh, and psycho Frem? Obama owes you money, not the brave tea party Americans. He's the one who shut down the govt. Never forget that.
Thursday, October 17, 2013 2:06 PM
Quote:Originally posted by m52nickerson: Quote:Originally posted by AURaptor: Oh, and psycho Frem? Obama owes you money, not the brave tea party Americans. He's the one who shut down the govt. Never forget that. I still see that Rappy is posting from some alternate reality. I do not fear God, I fear the ignorance of man.
Thursday, October 17, 2013 3:08 PM
Thursday, October 17, 2013 4:08 PM
Thursday, October 17, 2013 5:04 PM
Quote:Originally posted by AURaptor: Obama owes you money, not the brave tea party Americans. He's the one who shut down the govt. Never forget that.
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