Quote:

---

Last week, inside tracking numbers had “Bad Boys: Ride or Die” potentially opening in the $60M range. Also, according to a survey, it was the movie for which general U.S. audiences were most aware of, besting any other summer movie, including “Deadpool 3.”

Deadline is now sounding the alarm that tickets are not selling as well as they thought for this latest ‘Bad Boys’ flick. One look at local AMC/Regal seating charts and you might notice that there aren’t a lot of tickets sold for the movie.

---

Quote:

---

Originally posted by JAYNEZTOWN:
Some stuff to factor in here, the economy the US economy and World Economy is starting to feel more screwed up
Will Smith slap, he burnt a lot of bridges, Jada Pinkett Smith and her weird psycho humiliation rituals the son's friend? Chris Rock–Will Smith slapping incident a lot of studios hated that whole event. According to the Academy, Smith was asked to leave the ceremony but refused
https://web.archive.org/web/20220330005504/https://www.washingtonpost.
com/arts-entertainment/2022/03/28/oscars-slap-editing/
they are going to lose a lot of shipping and promotion, without the usual studios and teams that support you and then trying to get your product out there with less help I expect costs to be even higher than initially reported.
He has been burned or 'burnt' by other celebs, some supported him but most hated what he did, Would Wanda Sykes host the Oscars again? 'Oh hell no,' she says Jim Carrey Was SICKENED by Will Smith Oscar Moment
https://web.archive.org/web/20230307101928/https://ew.com/awards/oscar
s/wanda-sykes-wouldnt-host-oscars-again-hell-no/

---

Quote:

---

Originally posted by whozit:
If this flops then just stick a fork in 2024

---

Quote:

---

Originally posted by 6ixStringJack:
The question mark will be removed from this thread title after we know for sure the budget is $100 million and it's clear the reports of only seeing a $30 Million opening weekend potential aren't bunk. Which in that case, this film is finished before it started even with its comparatively low budget to most of the other flops so far this year.

---

Quote:

---

Bad Boys: Ride or Die Expected to earn between 38 cents and $1 trillion in its opening weekend. We’ll be back Monday to claim victory on our prediction.

---

Quote:

---

Originally posted by JAYNEZTOWN:
Some stuff to factor in here, the economy the US economy and World Economy is starting to feel more screwed up
Will Smith slap, he burnt a lot of bridges, Jada Pinkett Smith and her weird psycho humiliation rituals the son's friend? Chris Rock–Will Smith slapping incident a lot of studios hated that whole event. According to the Academy, Smith was asked to leave the ceremony but refused
https://web.archive.org/web/20220330005504/https://www.washingtonpost.
com/arts-entertainment/2022/03/28/oscars-slap-editing/
they are going to lose a lot of shipping and promotion, without the usual studios and teams that support you and then trying to get your product out there with less help I expect costs to be even higher than initially reported.
He has been burned or 'burnt' by other celebs, some supported him but most hated what he did, Would Wanda Sykes host the Oscars again? 'Oh hell no,' she says Jim Carrey Was SICKENED by Will Smith Oscar Moment
https://web.archive.org/web/20230307101928/https://ew.com/awards/oscar
s/wanda-sykes-wouldnt-host-oscars-again-hell-no/

---

Quote:

---

Originally posted by whozit:
'Bad Boys' opened Thursday previews at 5.875 million, it's on it's way to do just OK.

---

Quote:

---

Originally posted by 6ixStringJack:
Bruce is predicting $44 Million opening weekend, with the possibility of $50 Million.

I think that's probably still too high, but after those preview numbers I knew it would do better than $30 Million.

---

It appears I was wrong. It appears that Bruce was probably wrong as well.

Friday's take for Ride or Die is projected at $15.725 Million after you remove the $5.875 Thursday Previews. It should make more than that today, and somewhere in between Friday and Saturday's numbers on Sunday.

This is probably a $50 to $55 Million opening weekend in the US. It won't come close to the $62 Million opening that BBFL had in 2020, right before Democrats destroyed cinema over a case of the sniffles, but that should be considered a huge win in 2024.

Quote:

---

Bad Boys For Life had a 48% Domestic / 52% International split of $424 Million in 2020.

If it does make at least $40 Million in the US and sees the same international split that BBFL had, we're up over $80 Million opening and we'll be somewhere between 80% and 100% of the production budget. Giving that it's 2024, that may not be enough to get it to break even territory, but being a Bad Boys movie it will probably be able to overcome that in the end.

---

If we hit $50 Million now and the international split remains close to 50/50, Ride or Die made its production budget back this weekend. In 2023 that would have guaranteed that the movie made decent money. I think it will probably break even with little trouble if we hit $100 Million come Monday morning.

--------------------------------------------------

Trump will be fine.
He will also be your next President.

Quote:

---

Originally posted by 6ixStringJack:

Quote:

---

Originally posted by 6ixStringJack:
Bruce is predicting $44 Million opening weekend, with the possibility of $50 Million.

I think that's probably still too high, but after those preview numbers I knew it would do better than $30 Million.

---

It appears I was wrong. It appears that Bruce was probably wrong as well.

Friday's take for Ride or Die is projected at $15.725 Million after you remove the $5.875 Thursday Previews. It should make more than that today, and somewhere in between Friday and Saturday's numbers on Sunday.

This is probably a $50 to $55 Million opening weekend in the US. It won't come close to the $62 Million opening that BBFL had in 2020, right before Democrats destroyed cinema over a case of the sniffles, but that should be considered a huge win in 2024.

Quote:

---

Bad Boys For Life had a 48% Domestic / 52% International split of $424 Million in 2020.

If it does make at least $40 Million in the US and sees the same international split that BBFL had, we're up over $80 Million opening and we'll be somewhere between 80% and 100% of the production budget. Giving that it's 2024, that may not be enough to get it to break even territory, but being a Bad Boys movie it will probably be able to overcome that in the end.

---

If we hit $50 Million now and the international split remains close to 50/50, Ride or Die made its production budget back this weekend. In 2023 that would have guaranteed that the movie made decent money. I think it will probably break even with little trouble if we hit $100 Million come Monday morning.

--------------------------------------------------

Trump will be fine.
He will also be your next President.

---

Quote:

---

Originally posted by 6ixStringJack:

Quote:

---

Originally posted by 6ixStringJack:
Bruce is predicting $44 Million opening weekend, with the possibility of $50 Million.

I think that's probably still too high, but after those preview numbers I knew it would do better than $30 Million.

---

It appears I was wrong. It appears that Bruce was probably wrong as well.

Friday's take for Ride or Die is projected at $15.725 Million after you remove the $5.875 Thursday Previews. It should make more than that today, and somewhere in between Friday and Saturday's numbers on Sunday.

This is probably a $50 to $55 Million opening weekend in the US. It won't come close to the $62 Million opening that BBFL had in 2020, right before Democrats destroyed cinema over a case of the sniffles, but that should be considered a huge win in 2024.

---

$56 Million, actually...

I don't imagine the studio had any reason to highball those numbers here since they should be very happy with them, so we might see as much as $57 Million+ when the actual numbers come in.

Quote:

---

Quote:

---

Bad Boys For Life had a 48% Domestic / 52% International split of $424 Million in 2020.

If it does make at least $40 Million in the US and sees the same international split that BBFL had, we're up over $80 Million opening and we'll be somewhere between 80% and 100% of the production budget. Giving that it's 2024, that may not be enough to get it to break even territory, but being a Bad Boys movie it will probably be able to overcome that in the end.

---

If we hit $50 Million now and the international split remains close to 50/50, Ride or Die made its production budget back this weekend. In 2023 that would have guaranteed that the movie made decent money. I think it will probably break even with little trouble if we hit $100 Million come Monday morning.

---

Not as good news for Ride or Die is the muted International take this weekend, but still not bad at all, considering the higher than everyone expected US opening weekend. Currently, 53% of the gross is US, with only 47% being international.



Total projected opening weekend: $104,600,000

You've started out your run with 105% of the production budget made on opening weekend. A rare feat in 2024. You should be among the 4 or 5 big budget Hollywood flicks to break even or make some money nearly halfway into the year. You might not make a whole lot of money, but in a year where everyone is losing simply not being a loser is winning.

Quote:

---

Originally posted by whozit:
I'm just glad a non woke flick is a hit, this is a good sign for 'Deadpool'

---

"Hit" might be overstating things a bit, but even though I don't imagine it's going to make a lot of money for Sony Pictures, I give it about a zero percent chance of losing any more money for them.

--------------------------------------------------

Trump will be fine.
He will also be your next President.

Quote:

---

Originally posted by 6ixStringJack:
I don't imagine the studio had any reason to highball those numbers here since they should be very happy with them, so we might see as much as $57 Million+ when the actual numbers come in.

---

Quote:

---

Originally posted by JAYNEZTOWN:
These Profits will save the studios?

---

Quote:

---

So its a hit for Columbia Pictures / Sony Pictures

Can it save the studios and how does it compare to the profits from Avengers Endgame, Titanic, Jurassic Park, Barbie, Oppenheimer, Ironman, Thor Ragnarok, Batman Begins, Independence Day, Harry Potter, Spider-Man No Way Home or foreign or low indie Paranormal Activity, FNAF, Super Size Me, M3GAN, Godzilla Minus One, Halloween.

---

Quote:

---

Originally posted by 6ixStringJack (June 7th):
Extremely long story short, based off of Thursday Previews, if you predicted that Bad Boys would finish its run at 4th place in the 2024 Box Office (excluding Chinese movies and disregarding Kung Fu Panda 4's higher showing), it would make somewhere between what Ghostbusters: Frozen Empire and Kingdom of the Planet of the Apes made.

Or in other words, somewhere between $200 Million and $370 Million.

That could be good news for this movie. I don't think it would make anywhere close to what Apes ends up pulling in, but if it can split the above difference, it could walk away making in the area of $25 Million profit.

--------------------------------------------------

---

Quote:

---

Originally posted by 6ixStringJack:
Bruce is predicting an almost unheard of drop of only -17% from last weekend on Ride or Die. At least I don't see it practically ever, except when a film is running on empty (like Kingdom of the Planet of the Apes and Bruce's -21% prediction this weekend).

But we're still talking a $28 Million+ third weekend here if Bruce is right.

---

Quote:

---

$230,433,597 worldwide right now. Probably be fairly close to $300 Million by Monday morning.

---

Quote:

---

Originally posted by 6ixStringJack:
In any event, it's easily going to see a 300%+ return on its production budget, which means at least a $50 Million profit for Sony. Should have that before next weekend. Everything else it makes is gravy, which is good news because you know that Sony like most of the other studios started out the gates heavily in the red in 2023.

---

Quote:

---

Originally posted by 6ixStringJack (June 7th... regarding thoughts on the preview Thursday results on the top movies in the worldwide box offices for 2024):

...

Extremely long story short, based off of Thursday Previews, if you predicted that Bad Boys would finish its run at 4th place in the 2024 Box Office (excluding Chinese movies and disregarding Kung Fu Panda 4's higher showing), it would make somewhere between what Ghostbusters: Frozen Empire and Kingdom of the Planet of the Apes made.

Or in other words, somewhere between $200 Million and $370 Million.

That could be good news for this movie. I don't think it would make anywhere close to what Apes ends up pulling in, but if it can split the above difference, it could walk away making in the area of $25 Million profit.

---