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REAL WORLD EVENT DISCUSSIONS
THIS explains it!
Tuesday, November 27, 2007 2:37 PM
SIGNYM
I believe in solving problems, not sharing them.
Tuesday, November 27, 2007 2:38 PM
FLETCH2
Quote:Originally posted by rue: Fletch Knowing" there were no WMD's in Iraq. Rue Based on evidence, not on opinion. Fletch You could not "know" you could not. You did not have enough information to "know" 100% sure. Rue Not 100% sure, though in the larger sense no one is ever 100% sure of anything, even their own existence. If you are looking for a 'standard' of certainty, it would have met the criminal standard of 'beyond a reasonable doubt'.
Quote: Fletch The policy said that they could remove him. Rue The ruling was this: "the school's campus speech policy, which requires speakers to obtain on-campus sponsors, is legal and not a burden on Gilles." Any more distractions to toss around ?
Tuesday, November 27, 2007 2:39 PM
CHRISISALL
Tuesday, November 27, 2007 2:41 PM
Quote:So you are now saying that you believed based on the evidence that there were no WMD's?
Tuesday, November 27, 2007 2:55 PM
Quote:Originally posted by SignyM: Quote:So you are now saying that you believed based on the evidence that there were no WMD's? Fletch2, you're being a dick. One of the tactics that disinformationalists use is to insist on absolute surety. It's either a dead certainty OR it's nothing? C'mon man. --------------------------------- Always look upstream.
Tuesday, November 27, 2007 2:59 PM
RUE
I have a vote and I'm not afraid to use it!
Tuesday, November 27, 2007 3:00 PM
Tuesday, November 27, 2007 3:03 PM
Tuesday, November 27, 2007 3:18 PM
Tuesday, November 27, 2007 3:30 PM
Tuesday, November 27, 2007 3:38 PM
Quote:Originally posted by SignyM: Fletch2- While I wasn't sure whether Saddam had a WMD program or not (I doubted that he did and was waiting for Blix to finalize his report) there were a few of things I knew for sure: Saddam didn't have a delivery system capable of being our problem. Saddam wasn't involved in 9-11. Saddam wasn't about to give WMD to jihadists, who could have posed a threat to him. Now, given all that, I resented the hysteria that Bush & Co. was foisting on us. And furthermore, I was deeply suspicious that Bush couldn't wait for Blix to finish. In fact, it looked very much like Bush was trying to prevent Blix from finishing. It's all just a matter of putting 2 and 2 together. .
Tuesday, November 27, 2007 3:43 PM
Quote:Originally posted by Fletch2: I admit I didn't know in 2003 if there were WMD's or not.
Tuesday, November 27, 2007 3:44 PM
ANTHONYT
Freedom is Important because People are Important
Tuesday, November 27, 2007 3:45 PM
Quote:Originally posted by Fletch2: A very fallible, human double post.
Tuesday, November 27, 2007 3:56 PM
Quote:Originally posted by chrisisall: Quote:Originally posted by Fletch2: A very fallible, human double post.That will cost you two thousand Quatloos.
Tuesday, November 27, 2007 4:02 PM
FREDGIBLET
Quote:Originally posted by Fletch2: Quote:Originally posted by chrisisall: Quote:Originally posted by Fletch2: A very fallible, human double post.That will cost you two thousand Quatloos. Help, I'm being repressed!
Tuesday, November 27, 2007 4:12 PM
KIRKULES
Quote:Originally posted by Fletch2: It is not a natural state for us to always be logical or objective. And that’s not a bad thing. The ability to compute the world around us with complex schemes, instead of Boolean logic, makes our brains infinitely superior to computers. We don’t have infinite knowledge of our environment, so we could never analyze the world around us to the depth that we do with logic alone, but our ability to think in terms of schema instead of 0s and 1s, means that we don’t always need complete knowledge of our environment, we can infer, deduce and conjecture. And we can have confidence in these deduction because unlike computers and Boolean logic, it is a far simpler matter for us to interpret complicated patterns from background noise. We can make leaps of faith that are impossible for computers. -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Originally posted by chrisisall: I've changed my mind on Bush- there was a time when I pegged him as an outright evil liar..I don't think he's evil anymore. --------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Tuesday, November 27, 2007 4:22 PM
Tuesday, November 27, 2007 5:02 PM
Tuesday, November 27, 2007 5:09 PM
Quote:Originally posted by Kirkules: Quote:Originally posted by Fletch2: It is not a natural state for us to always be logical or objective. And that’s not a bad thing. The ability to compute the world around us with complex schemes, instead of Boolean logic, makes our brains infinitely superior to computers. We don’t have infinite knowledge of our environment, so we could never analyze the world around us to the depth that we do with logic alone, but our ability to think in terms of schema instead of 0s and 1s, means that we don’t always need complete knowledge of our environment, we can infer, deduce and conjecture. And we can have confidence in these deduction because unlike computers and Boolean logic, it is a far simpler matter for us to interpret complicated patterns from background noise. We can make leaps of faith that are impossible for computers. -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Originally posted by chrisisall: I've changed my mind on Bush- there was a time when I pegged him as an outright evil liar..I don't think he's evil anymore. --------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Tuesday, November 27, 2007 5:16 PM
Tuesday, November 27, 2007 5:19 PM
Wednesday, November 28, 2007 4:31 AM
Quote:Originally posted by Kirkules: When I read Chrisisall's post above my brain immediately used it 's ability to "infer, deduce and conjecture" that reading further would just piss me off. So I made a "leap of faith" that no reasoning would follow and scrolled to the next post.
Wednesday, November 28, 2007 5:05 AM
CITIZEN
Quote:Originally posted by Fletch2: Help, I'm being repressed!
Wednesday, November 28, 2007 6:49 AM
FREMDFIRMA
Wednesday, November 28, 2007 7:08 AM
Wednesday, November 28, 2007 7:12 AM
Wednesday, November 28, 2007 7:41 AM
Wednesday, November 28, 2007 8:03 AM
Quote:Originally posted by rue: Ahem. Technically the first part isn't true. Trainable systems that use fuzzy logic are far superior to humans when it comes to picking a pattern out of noise. And humans use mental shortcuts that tend to skip past the correct answers. 'Expert systems' - though built and trained by people, are far better at solving problems because they don't forget or get tired. http://www.fireflyfans.net/thread.asp?b=18&t=31276 Predicting the future with 90% accuracy... and Iran However, humans do make 'leaps of faith'.
Wednesday, November 28, 2007 8:19 AM
Wednesday, November 28, 2007 8:28 AM
Quote:Originally posted by rue: The applications are pretty specific, but they out-do humans (after they are trained, of course).
Wednesday, November 28, 2007 8:34 AM
Wednesday, November 28, 2007 9:18 AM
Quote:Even the best 'expert systems' usually using neural nets, aren't anywhere near as versatile or fast as the human brain at pattern matching.
Wednesday, November 28, 2007 9:31 AM
Quote:Originally posted by SignyM: Unfortunately no. Human thought is based in the "lizard brain" which involves prejudices, emotions etc. One really bad experience can outweigh a hundred good ones, and that one will be the deciding factor. In addition, human thought is very context-sensitive. That's why the average person sucks at logic: They don't recognize the very same pattern in a different context. So far, all of the great discoveries have been made by humans, but computers haven't been around very long.
Wednesday, November 28, 2007 9:37 AM
Quote:I'd refute the idea that Human thought results from the 'lizard brain'. The 'lizard brain' is largely concerned with basic emotional reactions and the flight or fight response, it's the most animalistic behaviours, not really our thinking side.
Wednesday, November 28, 2007 9:39 AM
Wednesday, November 28, 2007 9:46 AM
Quote:Originally posted by SignyM: I know that computers are really stupid. My SO is an expert, and his view of computers is that they're the only thing that can do 1,000,000 mistakes per second. Yes, they have to be programmed. But nonetheless, they don't have our confused, emotion-ridden motives and they remember really really well.
Wednesday, November 28, 2007 10:17 AM
Wednesday, November 28, 2007 10:45 AM
Quote:Originally posted by SignyM: You sure you want to go with that? "Ever" is a long, long time.
Quote:Besides, I don't really see anything fundamentally different between human brains and computers (except human emotion, of course). We share many of the same functions: "working memory", "long term memory", comparison functions. The brain even has a "clock" (thalamus).
Quote:I don't think we'll ever be able to do what computers do, but we do our BEST thinking when we disengage our emotions. We have to be quiet enough inside to let the data speak to us, instead of constantly imposing our opinions on it and confabulating about ourselves.
Wednesday, November 28, 2007 10:52 AM
Wednesday, November 28, 2007 11:13 AM
Quote:Originally posted by rue: Technically I think the only thing they can do is add, compare, store and delete. I could be wrong though. It's been a long time.
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