REAL WORLD EVENT DISCUSSIONS

The facts about the growth of spending under Obama

POSTED BY: GEEZER
UPDATED: Friday, June 8, 2012 05:44
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Tuesday, June 5, 2012 1:52 AM

GEEZER

Keep the Shiny side up


Quote:

Originally posted by m52nickerson:
Geezer how is that chart wrong or bias?




Aside from the fact there's no link to substantuating data, just a note that it's from the CBPP? (one assumes that's the Center on Budget and Policy Priorities) That it apparently assumes that the Bush-era tax cuts never go away? That it has nothing to do with discretionary spending, which seems to be what we've been discussing?

It'd be like me inserting a chart showing the number of folks who believe Pres. Obama wasn't born in the U.S. into a discussion of immigration.


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Tuesday, June 5, 2012 3:38 AM

KWICKO

"We'll know our disinformation program is complete when everything the American public believes is false." -- William Casey, Reagan's presidential campaign manager & CIA Director (from first staff meeting in 1981)


Quote:

That it apparently assumes that the Bush-era tax cuts never go away?



I'm told by conservatives that they were always intended to be permanent.





"I supported Bush in 2000 and 2004 and intellegence [sic] had very little to do with that decision." - Hero


"I've not watched the video either, or am incapable of intellectually dealing with the substance of this thread, so I'll instead act like a juvenile and claim victory..." - Rappy

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Tuesday, June 5, 2012 6:10 AM

KPO

Sometimes you own the libs. Sometimes, the libs own you.


Quote:

just a note that it's from the CBPP?

Not good enough. You have to show that it's wrong, or biased. Before that you can suspect, but you can't assume.

Quote:

That it apparently assumes that the Bush-era tax cuts never go away?

That doesn't make it wrong, or biased. If the graph were to assume the Bush tax cuts will be repealed in 2013, well that would be an assumption too, wouldn't it? The graph shows a particular future where the Bush tax cuts are kept indefinitely; part of the purpose of the graph I suspect is to make the case that this shouldn't happen.

Quote:

That it has nothing to do with discretionary spending, which seems to be what we've been discussing?

Discretionary spending wasn't the original topic of the thread (you ought to know, you started it). You're reaching.

It's not personal. It's just war.

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Tuesday, June 5, 2012 7:56 AM

M52NICKERSON

DALEK!


Quote:

Originally posted by Geezer:
Aside from the fact there's no link to substantuating data, just a note that it's from the CBPP? (one assumes that's the Center on Budget and Policy Priorities) That it apparently assumes that the Bush-era tax cuts never go away? That it has nothing to do with discretionary spending, which seems to be what we've been discussing?

It'd be like me inserting a chart showing the number of folks who believe Pres. Obama wasn't born in the U.S. into a discussion of immigration.




Should not be hard to find the data on their website...oh here it is...

http://www.cbpp.org/cms/?fa=view&id=3490

The assumption on the graph is that the Bush tax cuts will continue. The graph is laid out in such a way that you can see the affect they have, or would not have if they are let to end.

We where talking about discretionary spending. Take off the economic downturn and the tax cuts and you are left with discretionary spending items. It very much fits.


I do not fear God, I fear the ignorance of man.

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Tuesday, June 5, 2012 6:03 PM

6IXSTRINGJACK


Well thanks Nick, don't mind you calling me Jack either

Gas is increased pricewise very simply off of Government spending, thanks for asking...



REASON Number 1: The Dollar now, compared to history....

To fully explain it (and I'll try to be short), there was a day when American currency was above reproach because it was backed by gold and silver. One day (you can google it) our currency was backed only by a promise and finely woven paper we'd be proud to wipe our ass with. In the age of the internet, our dollars are just 1's and 0's floating around in the internet and we'd be lucky if they're backed up by paper 10%.

Zero 3rd world countries were denying it when we went and spent vacations there and their people lived like drones for the weekend servicing us. For about 15 years after the Mexicans demanded more, we just outsourced our textile industry to China while outsourcing most of our phone customer service jobs to India (Little known secret from somebody formerly in the "BIZ", China has about 50 years of learning to do before they can speak "American" on the phone before riots happen here.... SERIOUSLY... THEY'RE THAT BAD!!!!.... India's children will be completely passable American in 15 years, but China is terrible, and that's why we pay India more money).


THAT is only part of the reason, although in my own mind, it's the most important part.... why pay us more when you can pay somebody else less (manufacturing and customer service). Keep in mind that a pack of smokes in India still costs 25 cents.....

Remember, I'm an un-certified Six Sigma Black Belt (Google it). The only reason I'm not certified is because I can't fire people because of "downsizing"......




REASON 2, what will Americans pay for gas??????

Apparently anything, if you let enough "high price" phases shadow the legit prices...

Panic selling in the "Industry" always pushes Gold and Oil higher... I guess we pay more now for oil because of the "rich" people dumping money into oil "futures".

I can't speak for you, but the price of Gold never effected me.... not when it was 200 an ounce, not when it was 1,600 an ounce....

Fuck Gold...

It doesn't keep my house warm in the winter or power my car to go to work....







Iranian President... HajabaLookPrettyAwesomeInAWesternSuita I'mAGodda himself said that American dollars tied to the price of oil were screwing everything up....

Being a patriot, I HATE to admit he's right about that... but it's only because of our lack of leadership (Bush Jr. definately included).

A world where America isn't in charge of the price of oil is a scary one indeed....

Could you imagine how cut-throat we might be stateside all-over if OPEC controlled completely the price of oil???



As for my parents business.... If they were based in North Dakota, or even Indiana, they'd be fine. Not only are they in Illinois, but they're in Crook County Illinois. The "Birthplace" of Obama's political campaign.

Yanno... the place where They Ousted George Ryan (R) 9 or so years ago, only to oust media-whore-monguering Blagoivich (D) and put him on Donald Trumps reality show?????

Meanwhile, IL has been the leader in the entire country for property tax increases, cigarette tax increases, and the former Mayor Daily sold all of the parking meters to a private 3rd party company for 99 years and spent the profits off of that before Rahm was in office so there is nearly 100 years left before the city makes a cent off of parking......





It's unfortunate my parents and their clientele are located in IL, for sure.....

It's not easy to just up and move....

All I'm saying is the 140% increase in their rent dues wasn't because their landlord was greedy. In fact, they went bankrupt....

They're paying these rediculous rents now to some un-caring 3rd party company....

Illinois is FUCKED man...

Google it...

California doesn't have SHIT on Illinois in the FUCKED department.


Quote:

Originally posted by m52nickerson:
You can call me Nick, I don't mind at all.

Okay you are going to have to explain to me how government spending has increased the price of gas. To my knowledge oil, from which we get gasoline, is bought and sold on an open market around the world and has nothing to do with government spending.

Now about your parent's business I don't know enough about it to comment past this. If it was a long term business and went under after the economy went to hell you really can't blame business taxes on that. You can blame a lot of factors that lean to the tanking economy, but the taxes have stayed pretty much the same. Unless you are talking about state taxes.

I do not fear God, I fear the ignorance of man.


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Tuesday, June 5, 2012 6:16 PM

M52NICKERSON

DALEK!


Wow that is a lot of misunderstanding.

The US has been off the gold standard since the 30's. Plus the gold standard had it's own problems. At this point all industrialized countries use fiat currency.

As was said sigma-six is a joke and has been known to be for awhile.

Fuck gold? After talking about the gold standard.

You know, you really did not make a lick of sense and did not answer my question. US government spending has zero to do with the price of gas.

I do not fear God, I fear the ignorance of man.

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Wednesday, June 6, 2012 2:10 AM

GEEZER

Keep the Shiny side up


Quote:

Originally posted by kpo:
Quote:

just a note that it's from the CBPP?

Not good enough. You have to show that it's wrong, or biased. Before that you can suspect, but you can't assume.



Don't think so. I just have to note your differing responses to pretty thorough Washington Post and Politifact (not really hotbeds of Republican thought) articles that suggest Obama might be somwhat responsible for some increased spending - vs. an unsupported graph, blaming someone else for the deficit, with no clear cites or indication of how its figures were arrived at.


Quote:

Quote:

That it apparently assumes that the Bush-era tax cuts never go away?

That doesn't make it wrong, or biased. If the graph were to assume the Bush tax cuts will be repealed in 2013, well that would be an assumption too, wouldn't it? The graph shows a particular future where the Bush tax cuts are kept indefinitely; part of the purpose of the graph I suspect is to make the case that this shouldn't happen.



So then it's not analysis, it's opinion and editorializing.

Quote:

Quote:

That it has nothing to do with discretionary spending, which seems to be what we've been discussing?

Discretionary spending wasn't the original topic of the thread (you ought to know, you started it



Yep. And spending overall was the topic. But I did bring up discretionary spending as well, citing a Politifact article. Nickerson also provided figures for it. No mention of deficit, however.

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Wednesday, June 6, 2012 2:37 AM

M52NICKERSON

DALEK!


I also provided the info on were the graph got it's information in a previous post...seems someone missed that.

I do not fear God, I fear the ignorance of man.

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Wednesday, June 6, 2012 5:12 PM

6IXSTRINGJACK


Misunderstanding maybe, probably more talking over each other's heads is more likely....

The problem with the gold standard was obvious.... the price of gold wasn't going up at the time, and since everyone was having 8 kids back in those days, there had to be a way to split the stock without paying dividends....

The only problem with that, what's called "fiat currency" is that it doesn't mean anything more than a "promise"... and once we give all of our gold and steel and copper to China as we've been doing behind the scenes for the last 15 or so years, that promise doesn't mean anything more than the crops our farmlands can bear, since it wouldn't be economically feesable to ship our farm lands and farmers to China when they could just make us a 3rd world country growing food for them....

With the debt we have now, I wouldn't be surprised if before I die many people here are starving even though we grow so much food but we need to send 70% of our official crop to China....

As bad as that sounds... even though I think it will be a reality, it's no excuse to go hungry. That's why I'm starting my first year with the Raised Square Foot Gardening method. I've only got a 4'x4' plot devoted to it this year, but I plan to double that every year for the next 3 or so years....

I'm paying ridiculous property taxes.... I think it's time this property starts paying for itself.



As for Six-Sigma being a joke, give me legitimate links about that. My old company fired me from a 55k a year job without hesitation after the buyout based off of those principals.... and that was only 2 years ago... It started with GE and has made its way everywhere since then. I'm not joking, I know just about everything about Six Sigma there is to know. The only reason I don't have a "black belt" in it is because I'm not on board.....

The fact that I worked in an environment free to learn the system inside and out while never believing a word of it was for the benefit of mankind was a mistake of my old company which I'm sure the buyers "fixed" after I was released....

You might not agree with Six Sigma, and I commend you for that, but the fact is that it's real, and for any large company looking to improve the bottom line, they're all jumping on board....



As for Fuck Gold, after talking about the Gold Standard, well sure Nick....

When the US Dollar was tied to Gold, the US dollar meant something....

Today, US dollars aren't even backed up on the fabric they're printed on.

Today, I own ZERO grams of gold.

Today, I have 10,000 dollars of worthless, unbacked US currency to my name.

Today, Every day that goes by my worthless US dollars are worth less every 24 hour cycle that passes.




All of that being said, US spending has EVERYTHING to do with the price of Gas.

If we were tied to Gold, then when gold was 800 bucks an ounce and gas was 4 bucks a gallon, well.... at over 1,600 bucks an ounce for gold today, we'd be paying only 2 bucks a gallon for gas (given no external forces changing those 4 years)....

Hope that explains it for you...


Quote:

Originally posted by m52nickerson:
Wow that is a lot of misunderstanding.

The US has been off the gold standard since the 30's. Plus the gold standard had it's own problems. At this point all industrialized countries use fiat currency.

As was said sigma-six is a joke and has been known to be for awhile.

Fuck gold? After talking about the gold standard.

You know, you really did not make a lick of sense and did not answer my question. US government spending has zero to do with the price of gas.

I do not fear God, I fear the ignorance of man.


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Thursday, June 7, 2012 3:50 AM

M52NICKERSON

DALEK!


Quote:

Originally posted by 6IXSTRINGJACK:
Misunderstanding maybe, probably more talking over each other's heads is more likely....

The problem with the gold standard was obvious.... the price of gold wasn't going up at the time, and since everyone was having 8 kids back in those days, there had to be a way to split the stock without paying dividends....

The only problem with that, what's called "fiat currency" is that it doesn't mean anything more than a "promise"... and once we give all of our gold and steel and copper to China as we've been doing behind the scenes for the last 15 or so years, that promise doesn't mean anything more than the crops our farmlands can bear, since it wouldn't be economically feesable to ship our farm lands and farmers to China when they could just make us a 3rd world country growing food for them....

With the debt we have now, I wouldn't be surprised if before I die many people here are starving even though we grow so much food but we need to send 70% of our official crop to China....



Gold and dollars have value simply because we place value on them.

We have not been giving china gold and steele, they have been buying it. Yes they are buying it with our own dollars. Largely not because of US government spending debt, but because of all they export to us. China is not even the lergest holder of US debt.

The idea that we will have to ship them food is ridiculus. As it is now the import/export gap is closing. It should also be noted that China also has a lot of government debt.

Quote:

Originally posted by 6IXSTRINGJACK:
I'm paying ridiculous property taxes.... I think it's time this property starts paying for itself.


My sure you are. Thing is property taxes are nto federal, and that is what we were discussing.


Quote:

Originally posted by 6IXSTRINGJACK:
As for Six-Sigma being a joke, give me legitimate links about that. My old company fired me from a 55k a year job without hesitation after the buyout based off of those principals.... and that was only 2 years ago... It started with GE and has made its way everywhere since then. I'm not joking, I know just about everything about Six Sigma there is to know. The only reason I don't have a "black belt" in it is because I'm not on board.....

The fact that I worked in an environment free to learn the system inside and out while never believing a word of it was for the benefit of mankind was a mistake of my old company which I'm sure the buyers "fixed" after I was released....

You might not agree with Six Sigma, and I commend you for that, but the fact is that it's real, and for any large company looking to improve the bottom line, they're all jumping on board....



http://www.destinationcrm.com/Articles/Columns-Departments/The-Tipping
-Point/Six-Sigma-What-Went-Wrong-51394.aspx


http://online.wsj.com/article/SB10001424052748703298004574457471313938
130.html


http://blogs.hbr.org/davenport/2008/01/why_six_sigma_is_on_the_downsl.
html




Quote:

Originally posted by 6IXSTRINGJACK:
As for Fuck Gold, after talking about the Gold Standard, well sure Nick....

When the US Dollar was tied to Gold, the US dollar meant something....

Today, US dollars aren't even backed up on the fabric they're printed on.

Today, I own ZERO grams of gold.

Today, I have 10,000 dollars of worthless, unbacked US currency to my name.

Today, Every day that goes by my worthless US dollars are worth less every 24 hour cycle that passes.



Worthless? So you can't buy food with $10,000? You can, so it still has worth. As I said, dollars and gold are only worth something because we all agree they are. That is how any type of currency works.




Quote:

Originally posted by 6IXSTRINGJACK:
All of that being said, US spending has EVERYTHING to do with the price of Gas.

If we were tied to Gold, then when gold was 800 bucks an ounce and gas was 4 bucks a gallon, well.... at over 1,600 bucks an ounce for gold today, we'd be paying only 2 bucks a gallon for gas (given no external forces changing those 4 years)....

Hope that explains it for you...



No, because you are talking about the gold standard and not spending. They are two different things. Plus had the US and other countries continued to use the gold standard there is no telling how much gold would be worth, or not worth today. Since oil is needed for many things and gold is not, we would just see oil priced to value of gold instead of the dollar. Meaning oil may very well be more expencive.

I do not fear God, I fear the ignorance of man.

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Friday, June 8, 2012 4:53 AM

KPO

Sometimes you own the libs. Sometimes, the libs own you.


Quote:

You have to show that it's wrong, or biased. Before that you can suspect, but you can't assume.
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------



Don't think so.


Well ok. You're an anonymous guy on the internet; nobody can force you to have intellectual standards.

Quote:

I just have to note your differing responses to pretty thorough Washington Post and Politifact (not really hotbeds of Republican thought) articles


I don't know why the word 'thorough' is suddenly validating. I seem to remember I agreed with the Politifact article. I also seem to remember I largely agreed with Cato's analysis (hardly a hotbed of Democratic thought). And I seem to remember that my objections to the Washington Post article were based on specific criticisms (which I stand by) - unlike your lazy, cover-your-eyes-and-ears rejection of Kiki's graph.

Quote:

vs. an unsupported graph, blaming someone else for the deficit, with no clear cites or indication of how its figures were arrived at.

For the third time, it's very clear how its figures were arrived at - they're CBO figures, it labels that clearly. All the CBPP did was collate the CBO data to put it onto a graph. Here's the CBPP report, it took me about thirty seconds to find: http://www.cbpp.org/cms/?fa=view&id=3036

Quote:

So then it's not analysis, it's opinion and editorializing.

You don't seem to know what 'opinion' means. "Bush was a bad president" is an opinion. "The Bush tax cuts are very bad for the deficit" is an opinion. Data and facts used to support an opinion are NOT opinion. They're data and facts.

Quote:

spending overall was the topic. But I did bring up discretionary spending as well, citing a Politifact article. Nickerson also provided figures for it. No mention of deficit, however.

Oh Geezer, you're still reaching. You don't think people should be allowed to bring up the deficit in a discussion on spending?

It's not personal. It's just war.

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Friday, June 8, 2012 5:11 AM

GEEZER

Keep the Shiny side up


Quote:

Originally posted by m52nickerson:
Should not be hard to find the data on their website...oh here it is...

http://www.cbpp.org/cms/?fa=view&id=3490]

Or not.

Here's the graph from your cite.



Here's Kiki's graph.



So which one's correct? The figures never lie, right?

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Friday, June 8, 2012 5:44 AM

KPO

Sometimes you own the libs. Sometimes, the libs own you.


Both can be correct. Kiki's graph showed 'Stimulus' where the second graph has 'Recovery Measures' instead - which is stimulus + payroll tax cuts + other temporary tax cuts (explained in the report). That explains some of the difference in 2011, and 2016 as well. Also the graph that is newer may reflect some updated/revised data. All in all the graphs are pretty similar, and no more different than one would expect.

It's not personal. It's just war.

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