REAL WORLD EVENT DISCUSSIONS

The VP debate

POSTED BY: KPO
UPDATED: Monday, October 15, 2012 17:05
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Monday, October 8, 2012 1:16 PM

KPO

Sometimes you own the libs. Sometimes, the libs own you.


Call me crazy but I don't think Biden will lose the VP debate - and might even edge it. Reasons why:

* The Obama campaign knows they have to fight back after the first debate
* The job of VP is not very demanding, so Biden will have had better preparation than Obama
* Biden will be willing to get down and dirty and go on the attack and counter-attack, without having to worry about 'appearing presidential'.
* Ryan will struggle to position himself as a centrist as Romney was able to do - he has no moderate history

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Monday, October 8, 2012 1:29 PM

STORYMARK


If he can stay on point, and not ramble, yeah, I think it could well play out like that. But we'll see, Ryan has no moderate background, but he's very good at acting it.


Note to anyone - Please pity the poor, poor wittle Rappyboy. He's feeling put upon lately, what with all those facts disagreeing with what he believes.

"We will never have the elite, smart people on our side." -- Rick "Frothy" Santorum


"Goram it kid, let's frak this thing and go home! Engage!"

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Monday, October 8, 2012 3:25 PM

JONGSSTRAW


I think Biden will win this debate. I say that because Ryan doesn't have nearly the same aura of likeability as Biden. Ryan's basically a slick numbers wonk, and his oratory is somewhat stilted. He starts in on financial stuff and everyone falls asleep. Biden's going to be fired up, and therein lies the real potential for high drama and great entertainment.










Hmmm, better than Reuben's.
..One more.
Ben!
..My last one.
Okay.

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Monday, October 8, 2012 4:42 PM

KWICKO

"We'll know our disinformation program is complete when everything the American public believes is false." -- William Casey, Reagan's presidential campaign manager & CIA Director (from first staff meeting in 1981)


If Ryan's always being touted as such a policy and numbers guy, why the hell can't he ever explain his numbers or policies when asked? He dissembles from "we haven't really run the numbers" to admitting his budget *might* start to balance the budget somewhere around 2040, maybe, if no new spending comes up between now and then, to claiming he doesn't have time to explain the math.


For a numbers guy, he totally sucks at numbers.



"I supported Bush in 2000 and 2004 and intellegence [sic] had very little to do with that decision." - Hero

"I was wrong" - Hero, 2012

Mitt Romney, introducing his running mate: "Join me in welcoming the next President of the United States, Paul Ryan!"

Rappy's response? "You're lying, gullible ( believing in some BS you heard on msnbc ) or hard of hearing."

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Monday, October 8, 2012 6:10 PM

JONGSSTRAW



Bill Clinton's White House Chief of Staff, who was also the Democrat budget guy Obama picked to come up with an economic plan with Republicans was fairly impressed with Ryan's fiscal acumen. It all can't be so horrible, but who knows. I have trouble balancing my checkbook.

Bowles' own words....
http://educationviews.org/clinton-chief-of-staff-paul-ryan-is-amazing/

"Have any of you all met Paul Ryan? We should get him to come to the university. I’m telling you this guy is amazing. … He is honest, he is straightforward, he is sincere. And the budget that he came forward with is just like Paul Ryan. It is a sensible, straightforward, serious budget and it cut the budget deficit just like we did, by $4 trillion. … The president as you remember, came out with a budget and I don’t think anybody took that budget very seriously. The Senate voted against it 97 to nothing.”






Hmmm, better than Reuben's.
..One more.
Ben!
..My last one.
Okay.

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Tuesday, October 9, 2012 6:31 AM

FREMDFIRMA



All Biden needs to do is turtle it - encourage Ryan to start talking, and keep talking, and the guanopsychotic idiot will hang HIMSELF, really.

-F

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Tuesday, October 9, 2012 6:58 AM

NIKI2

Gettin' old, but still a hippie at heart...


Big question to me is, can Ryan play the same game as Romney did and make a 180-degree spin to the middle? From what I"m hearing, Ryan is pretty proud of his rep and pretty solid in his beliefs, so it'll be harder for him than for Mr. "I'll Say Whatever You Want To Hear" Romney. Should be interesting to watch, if he tries!

Will be fun if he pulls his recent "can't explain, would take too long" and the moderator came back with "take all the time you want". That would be good for a giggle.


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Tuesday, October 9, 2012 7:01 AM

JONGSSTRAW


Quote:

Originally posted by FREMDFIRMA:

All Biden needs to do is turtle it..




When has Biden ever played turtle? They will have had him sequestered away, out of public view for six days in preparation for this. He's gonna come out swinging and he's not taking prisoners.







Hmmm, better than Reuben's.
..One more.
Ben!
..My last one.
Okay.

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Friday, October 12, 2012 3:40 AM

KPO

Sometimes you own the libs. Sometimes, the libs own you.


Some good predictions in this thread:

"Call me crazy but I don't think Biden will lose the VP debate - and might even edge it."

"Biden will be willing to get down and dirty and go on the attack and counter-attack, without having to worry about 'appearing presidential'."

"Ryan has no moderate background, but he's very good at acting it."

"Biden's going to be fired up, and therein lies the real potential for high drama and great entertainment."



It's not personal. It's just war.

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Friday, October 12, 2012 3:53 AM

M52NICKERSON

DALEK!


Bill Maher summed it up when he tweeted...

Hello 9 1 1? There s an old man beating a child on my tv



I do not fear God, I fear the ignorance of man.

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Friday, October 12, 2012 4:07 AM

KWICKO

"We'll know our disinformation program is complete when everything the American public believes is false." -- William Casey, Reagan's presidential campaign manager & CIA Director (from first staff meeting in 1981)


Quote:

Originally posted by m52nickerson:
Bill Maher summed it up when he tweeted...

Hello 9 1 1? There s an old man beating a child on my tv




Indeed. That hit my feed about a half hour into the debate, and it's pretty apt.


I'm still trying to figure out why people keep referring to Ryan as "a numbers guy" and "a policy wonk", because I've yet to see him willing to come out and discuss his actual policies or the numbers behind them. Any time anyone tries to nail him down on an actual stand or on actual budget numbers for his proposals, he gets very wishy-washy about it, and starts claiming to have "not really run the numbers" or to not have the time to go into them.

If I didn't know better, I'd think he either has something to hide, or has no real policies at all, or knows that they will be harmful to the vast majority of the American people, so isn't willing to reveal what they really are.



"I supported Bush in 2000 and 2004 and intellegence [sic] had very little to do with that decision." - Hero

"I was wrong" - Hero, 2012

Mitt Romney, introducing his running mate: "Join me in welcoming the next President of the United States, Paul Ryan!"

Rappy's response? "You're lying, gullible ( believing in some BS you heard on msnbc ) or hard of hearing."

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Friday, October 12, 2012 5:08 AM

CAVETROLL


Yeah, just like Obama got all into specific details on his new policies during the presidential debate and... oh, yeah. That didn't happen.

Nobody every lays out specifics. The format isn't geared toward that.

But once again Laughing Joe stuck his foot in his mouth by interrupting Ryan repeatedly. Rather than getting upset and interrupting the laughingstock, Ryan kept his cool and came out ahead.

Biden insisting that training Afghani troops to take over flies in the face of historical precedent. It didn't work in our last asymmetric war, Vietnam. We pulled out and a couple of years later we were evacuating the American embassy by helicopter as the country collapsed. I don't care how many of your allies concur. Besides, the only "allies" we have over there conducting combat operations are the British, Italians, Australians and the Poles. The rest of our allies are occupying bases and not patrolling. Plus, just last month, we suspended joint operations with Afghani troops due to the high number of "green on blue" incidents where Afghani troops fired on US or allied troops.

I will say that Biden did better than expected. Much better than his boss in fact. But it was a draw at best.


Kwindbago, hot air and angry electrons

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Friday, October 12, 2012 5:18 AM

STORYMARK


Biden kicked ass.

You can tell which side won when Fox's entire narrative, since literally 30 seconds after the debate ended, was 'He was sooooo mean to poor little Ryan!"

Joe came with specifics. Ryan came with platitudes, and got owned.


Note to anyone - Please pity the poor, poor wittle Rappyboy. He's feeling put upon lately, what with all those facts disagreeing with what he believes.

"We will never have the elite, smart people on our side." -- Rick "Frothy" Santorum


"Goram it kid, let's frak this thing and go home! Engage!"

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Friday, October 12, 2012 5:23 AM

KWICKO

"We'll know our disinformation program is complete when everything the American public believes is false." -- William Casey, Reagan's presidential campaign manager & CIA Director (from first staff meeting in 1981)


Quote:

Originally posted by Storymark:
Biden kicked ass.

You can tell which side won when Fox's entire narrative, since literally 30 seconds after the debate ended, was 'He was sooooo mean to poor little Ryan!"

Joe came with specifics. Ryan came with platitudes, and got owned.


"We will never have the elite, smart people on our side." -- Rick "Frothy" Santorum


"Goram it kid, let's frak this thing and go home! Engage!"




Yup. I posted about 30 minutes in that the rhetoric from the right was going to be about "Angry Biden" and how he was just "being mean" to poor widdle Paulie.


FauxNews's Gretchen Carlson suggested that Ryan should have punched Biden. “Have you ever felt that way where you just want to deck somebody?”



"I supported Bush in 2000 and 2004 and intellegence [sic] had very little to do with that decision." - Hero

"I was wrong" - Hero, 2012

Mitt Romney, introducing his running mate: "Join me in welcoming the next President of the United States, Paul Ryan!"

Rappy's response? "You're lying, gullible ( believing in some BS you heard on msnbc ) or hard of hearing."

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Friday, October 12, 2012 5:26 AM

KWICKO

"We'll know our disinformation program is complete when everything the American public believes is false." -- William Casey, Reagan's presidential campaign manager & CIA Director (from first staff meeting in 1981)


Quote:

Originally posted by CaveTroll:
Yeah, just like Obama got all into specific details on his new policies during the presidential debate and... oh, yeah. That didn't happen.



So your defense of Ryan is that he was just emulating the guy who lost the last debate?


Well, at least he got the same results by doing that!



"I supported Bush in 2000 and 2004 and intellegence [sic] had very little to do with that decision." - Hero

"I was wrong" - Hero, 2012

Mitt Romney, introducing his running mate: "Join me in welcoming the next President of the United States, Paul Ryan!"

Rappy's response? "You're lying, gullible ( believing in some BS you heard on msnbc ) or hard of hearing."

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Friday, October 12, 2012 5:35 AM

STORYMARK


CBS Poll of undecided voters on the debate:

Biden win - 50%
Ryan win - 31%
Draw - 19%


Of course, everyone on the left says Biden won, and everyone on the right says (rather inexplicably) that Ryan won - but amongst the undecided, the result is a bit more one-sided.


Note to anyone - Please pity the poor, poor wittle Rappyboy. He's feeling put upon lately, what with all those facts disagreeing with what he believes.

"We will never have the elite, smart people on our side." -- Rick "Frothy" Santorum


"Goram it kid, let's frak this thing and go home! Engage!"

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Friday, October 12, 2012 5:37 AM

M52NICKERSON

DALEK!


Quote:

Originally posted by Storymark:
CBS Poll of undecided voters on the debate:

Biden win - 50%
Ryan win - 31%
Draw - 19%


Of course, everyone on the left says Biden won, and everyone on the right says (rather inexplicably) that Ryan won - but amongst the undecided, the result is a bit more one-sided.



I think that it is telling that after the first debate the Democrats and the left admitted that the President lost, yet the right and the GOP can never seem to admit that.

I do not fear God, I fear the ignorance of man.

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Friday, October 12, 2012 5:51 AM

KWICKO

"We'll know our disinformation program is complete when everything the American public believes is false." -- William Casey, Reagan's presidential campaign manager & CIA Director (from first staff meeting in 1981)


Quote:

Originally posted by m52nickerson:
Quote:

Originally posted by Storymark:
CBS Poll of undecided voters on the debate:

Biden win - 50%
Ryan win - 31%
Draw - 19%


Of course, everyone on the left says Biden won, and everyone on the right says (rather inexplicably) that Ryan won - but amongst the undecided, the result is a bit more one-sided.



I think that it is telling that after the first debate the Democrats and the left admitted that the President lost, yet the right and the GOP can never seem to admit that.

I do not fear God, I fear the ignorance of man.




It would imply a fallibility on the part of their candidates that they just are not capable of accepting.


Rappy is a perfect example. You proved him wrong, and he promised to send you a thousand bucks if you could do so. You'll never see a penny of it, I'm sure.

Similarly, even though Romney himself says he was "completely wrong" about the 47% - not just wrong, mind you, but COMPLETELY wrong - Rappy still stands here and insists that Romney was "100% accurate" in his original claims about the 47%.



"I supported Bush in 2000 and 2004 and intellegence [sic] had very little to do with that decision." - Hero

"I was wrong" - Hero, 2012

Mitt Romney, introducing his running mate: "Join me in welcoming the next President of the United States, Paul Ryan!"

Rappy's response? "You're lying, gullible ( believing in some BS you heard on msnbc ) or hard of hearing."

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Friday, October 12, 2012 8:39 AM

HKCAVALIER


Quote:

Originally posted by Kwicko:
Similarly, even though Romney himself says he was "completely wrong" about the 47% - not just wrong, mind you, but COMPLETELY wrong - Rappy still stands here and insists that Romney was "100% accurate" in his original claims about the 47%.


And that's because Romney's "admitting" he was wrong was merely a political expedient. Everyone knows he didn't really mean that he was wrong. We all know that he absolutely meant what he said on that tape. All of it. He was wrong to get caught is all. AURaptor is being perfectly consistent.

HKCavalier

Hey, hey, hey, don't be mean. We don't have to be mean, because, remember, no matter where you go, there you are.

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Friday, October 12, 2012 11:31 AM

KPO

Sometimes you own the libs. Sometimes, the libs own you.


Quote:

Yeah, just like Obama got all into specific details on his new policies during the presidential debate and... oh, yeah. That didn't happen.

Nobody ever lays out specifics. The format isn't geared toward that.


The reason why people are (rightly) hammering on Romney for specifics is because unlike Obama, he has promised a list of things which altogether defy arithmetic. So the natural question is 'How?'. Even assuming miraculous levels of economic growth, there's no way the plan can meet all the stated criteria, and be revenue neutral.

http://www.theatlantic.com/business/archive/2012/10/the-6-studies-paul
-ryan-cited-prove-mitt-romneys-tax-plan-is-impossible/263541
/

It's not personal. It's just war.

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Friday, October 12, 2012 5:36 PM

KWICKO

"We'll know our disinformation program is complete when everything the American public believes is false." -- William Casey, Reagan's presidential campaign manager & CIA Director (from first staff meeting in 1981)


KPO: Indeed. And it turns out that those "six studies" they keep blabbing on and on about turn out to be three blog posts, two op-ed pieces, and a "working paper" from the Romney campaign.



Ryan's six studies backing up Romney's tax plan turn out not to be six studies

Quote:

While being pummeled on his ticket's tax plans in the debate Thursday night, Congressman Paul Ryan told Vice President Joe Biden that there are the six studies that back up the proposal to cut taxes and close loopholes in a revenue-neutral way.
I don't know about you, but when I hear the term "study," and especially "tax study," I picture a 15- or 40- or 100-page document, bound in metal rings or in the pdf format, and filled with charts and tables and footnotes. I don't think of op-eds in The Wall Street Journal or blog posts. Nothing against either, you understand. I used to make a living editing and writing for op-ed pages and I now make one as a blogger. But I'd be rotflmao at myself if I ever referred to this work as "studies."

Yet that is exactly the mischaracterization Ryan gave to three blog-posts, one op-ed and one Romney campaign white paper. Although its author calls it a "working paper," one of the studies, a 15-page document by Harvey S. Rosen at Princeton University's Griswold Center for Economic Policy Studies, actually qualifies for the term. Not that it makes a good case. But at least it actually can be considered an honest-to-goodness study of the Romney (Ryan) plan.

The other five "studies" are analyses or sheer propaganda and riddled with problems.

The controversy arose when The Tax Policy Center published a paper Aug. 1 saying the Romney plan was a no-go because the rate cuts the candidate was proposing would provide $86 billion more tax givebacks for people earning $200,000 or more than would be covered by eliminating tax expenditures for that tier of Americans. TPC said that to keep from boosting the deficit, as he promised not to do, he would have to raise taxes, significantly, on the middle class, something he also promised not to do.

The inadequacies of the plan flashed around the media and blogosphere. But Thursday night Ryan tried to tart it up with those six-studies-credentials.

Matthew O'Brien at The Atlantic has a succinct, linked overview of the study and five analyses, taking them apart in a paragraph each. Ultimately, he writes:

Romney's plan only works if you assume he has a different plan or use a magic growth asterisk. And that means we have no idea what he would do if he wins. Does he care more about his tax rate cuts, about not hiking taxes on the middle class, or not increasing the deficit? His adviser Kevin Hassett suggested they would back off the high-end tax rate cuts if it would increase the deficit, but Romney quickly denied that. He's also denied reality, by relying on studies that only prove his critics' point.
Economist Josh Barro, hardly a liberal, has been hammering away on Romney's economic plan since exactly a year ago when he suggested for the first time that perhaps Romney had something secret in mind for the economy because the candidate's 160-page proposal with its 59 bullet points didn't provide the right prescription in spite of all its verbiage.
A year later, on Friday, Barro had the most thorough smackdown of the six "studies." He dissected them with scalpel and ax.

Here is what he wrote about an op-ed and blog post by Martin Feldstein:

Feldstein ran the numbers and said Romney can cut tax rates by 20 percent and eliminate enough tax expenditures to balance the budget without raising taxes on the middle class. But Feldstein defines "middle class" differently than Romney does.
Feldstein allows for tax increases on people making more than $100,000. But on Sept. 14, Romney told ABC's George Stephanopoulos that he would hold people making less than $200,000 or $250,000 harmless from tax increases.

The Romney campaign, therefore, is dishonest in saying Feldstein's analyses "confirm the soundness" of Romney's tax plan. Feldstein is analyzing a different tax plan, which would allow tax increases on taxpayers making between $100,000 and $200,000. That's a large group, accounting for 24 percent of all adjusted gross income in 2009. But it's a group Romney has pledged not to touch.

The trouble with such analyses-of-the-analyses is that they pretty much accept the terms of discussion as set forth by the campaign and centrist or center-right economists in general. That's a narrow band. For progressives, critiques ought to go further, including the ideas of the Modern Monetary Theorists and others who want something fresh that soars beyond the conventional thought of economists who merely reject the perspective of the Right.
We know Mitt Romney and Paul Ryan's plans are retrograde blueprints for returning us to the halcyon days of the Gilded Age. Ditching those is a no-brainer. But we need a lot more discussion from more diverse perspectives of what we think a truly progressive economy—an environmentally sustainable, financially equitable and dynamic economy—would look like. And of how we get there.




I'll note for irony's sake that this is taken from a blog. And as such, you should give it the full weight of authority that you'd give any of Romney/Lyin' Ryan's "six studies".


ETA: This is essentially a retelling of the Atlantic article that KPO posted the link to above.



"I supported Bush in 2000 and 2004 and intellegence [sic] had very little to do with that decision." - Hero

"I was wrong" - Hero, 2012

Mitt Romney, introducing his running mate: "Join me in welcoming the next President of the United States, Paul Ryan!"

Rappy's response? "You're lying, gullible ( believing in some BS you heard on msnbc ) or hard of hearing."

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Friday, October 12, 2012 5:52 PM

KWICKO

"We'll know our disinformation program is complete when everything the American public believes is false." -- William Casey, Reagan's presidential campaign manager & CIA Director (from first staff meeting in 1981)








"I supported Bush in 2000 and 2004 and intellegence [sic] had very little to do with that decision." - Hero

"I was wrong" - Hero, 2012

Mitt Romney, introducing his running mate: "Join me in welcoming the next President of the United States, Paul Ryan!"

Rappy's response? "You're lying, gullible ( believing in some BS you heard on msnbc ) or hard of hearing."

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Monday, October 15, 2012 9:48 AM

RIONAEIRE

Beir bua agus beannacht


I thought they both did good. I don't normally watch these, but I was with my dad and he wanted to watch it, so we did. Paul Ryan drank way too much water, probably had to take a piss halfway through and had to hold it. And Byden was sneery and giggled too much. But other than that I thought they did well enough.

"A completely coherant River means writers don't deliver" KatTaya

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Monday, October 15, 2012 1:04 PM

JONGSSTRAW




Real time debate commentary:












Hmmm, better than Reuben's.
..One more.
Ben!
..My last one.
Okay.

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Monday, October 15, 2012 1:26 PM

NIKI2

Gettin' old, but still a hippie at heart...


Quote:

If I didn't know better, I'd think he either has something to hide, or has no real policies at all, or knows that they will be harmful to the vast majority of the American people, so isn't willing to reveal what they really are.

BING-go! That last part, just like Romney hiding his tax returns. Better to duck the details and be called on it than get stung by 'em.
Quote:

I think that it is telling that after the first debate the Democrats and the left admitted that the President lost, yet the right and the GOP can never seem to admit that.

Telling, yes, but then who needed to be told? They'd DIE rather than admit they ever lose anything...not REPUBLICANS, mind you, but FauxNews, right-wing pundits, the GOP, ultra-right-wingers, Rap, Geez, Woolf...not real Republicans.
Quote:

And that's because Romney's "admitting" he was wrong was merely a political expedient. Everyone knows he didn't really mean that he was wrong. We all know that he absolutely meant what he said on that tape. All of it. He was wrong to get caught is all. AURaptor is being perfectly consistent.

In a nutshell.

Okay, Jong, you get the prize for the first (and biggest) guffaws of the day...the Fallon thing was great. And nicely even-handed, as well...best kind!


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Monday, October 15, 2012 5:05 PM

JONGSSTRAW


SNL debate skit. I think they really captured the essence.














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