Quote:

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Originally posted by SIGNYM:
We watched Air Disasters while votes were being tallied.

Quote:

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Democrats Win Control Of US House As Republicans Keep Senate

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https://www.zerohedge.com/news/2018-11-06/first-exit-polls-arrive-all-
eyes-are-indiana-and-kentucky

That means that Nunes' investigation will be stalled. I hope the Senate can take over what he was doing. The House will probably dog Trump over what I think of as trivia, but I also hope Trump can shake that off and continue with his meetings with Putin and Xi Jinping and his other (peace) initiatives and immigration policies.

Aside from that, what might make a big difference in 2020 is who controls the state legislatures and governorships, because THAT will make a difference for redistricting when the Census results come out. I need to look at when (in the year) redistricting happens as opposed to when the elections happen.

Gonna go look at the results for my state and hometown. I got called by a volunteer asking me if I had any questions for XXX, a candidate for city council, and I said I wanted to know was her thoughts on McMansions, and he said ... "That's a good question, I'll put her on", so I got to talk to her directly! She won my vote.

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Quote:

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Originally posted by 6IXSTRINGJACK:
Remaining key Senate races and where they stand (according to CNN):

LIKELY GOP:

Montana: 48.8% R, 48.3% D - 95% counted

Florida: 50.2% R, 49.8% D - 99% counted

Mississippi Special Election: 41.5% R, 40.6% D - 99% counted

TOSS UP:

Arizona 49.3% R, 48.4% D - 75% counted.




Likely Senate Outcome: 54R, 45D - 1 Toss Up.





I'd like to add that my prediction for the senate was 54R and 46D.



Do Right, Be Right. :)

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Quote:

---

Originally posted by JEWELSTAITEFAN:
Sounds like a repeat of 2006. Trump is the new MTV, bringing a huge voter surge, which draws the most illiterate, uneducated, gullible, immature voters to sway the Election.

The so-called Tossups for Senate were:
FL - R
IN - R
TN - R
TX - R
MO - R
MT - R
AZ - R
ND - R
NV - NC
WV - D
NJ - D

That sounds like it will be D44 R56.

---

Quote:

---

Originally posted by JEWELSTAITEFAN:
Updated with new polls:
Michigan Senate. Stabenow 3%, 49-46.
Montana Senate. Dem 1%, 50-49.



So while reading polls which already have a Lib/Dem bias, if GoP has only a 16% lead, they are not considered Safe. But if a Dem has 8% or 14% lead, they are considered Safe.
As well, if GoP has a measly 6% lead, with more than 50%, that is proclaimed to be a Tossup. But if Dems have a whopping 3% lead, with no more than 46%, that is proclaimed to be a Dem win. (Even with less than 41%)
No bias here, folks. Just ignore that man behind the curtain.



With 9 days to go, this seems a decent time to summarize. I'll try the Senate first.

No Senate races:
NH, OR, ID, SD, AL, GA, SC, NC, CO, KS, OK, AR, LA, IL, IA, KY, AK.
D23, R42 Senate Seats not up for Election in 2018.


Senate Seats most pundits consider Safe for Dems (12):
WA 14%, 53-39
NM 8%, 40-28-32
MN(1) 9%, 50-41
VA, NY, MD, DE, MA, CT, RI, CA, HI.

Safe for Independents (2):
VT,
ME 9%, 41-27-32

Safe for GoP (4):
UT, WY,
NE 15%, 54-39
MS(1) 28%, 60-32

So, if those Predictions are to be believed, D37 R46 is the total without Battlegrounds.



Seats most pundits are calling for Dem win, not included above (8):
PA 5%, 51-46
MN(S) 3%, 46-43
MI 3%, 49-46
WV 5%, 45-40 this was moved to Tossup after this summary was originally posted
MT 1%, 50-49 this was moved to tossup after this summary was originally posted
NJ 5%, 47-42 this was moved to tossup after this summary was originally posted
WI 9%, 53-44 (Conservative was underpolled 14% in the Primary)
OH 6%, 49-43

Seats most pundits are calling for GoP win, not including above (2):
MS(S) 9%, 38-29
ND(FLIP) 16%, 56-40

Without Tossups, pundit consensus is D45 R48. D42 R48
Without the obvious bias highlighted above, this would be D41 R48. D40 R48.



Which leaves the Tossups, which Liberals must tweek and filter to conjure a Dem Majority (meaning no more than 1 of these Tossups is won by GoP):
FL Tied, 46-46
AZ GoP 7%, 52-45
NV GoP 6%, 47-41
MO GoP 4%, 48-44
IN GoP 4%, 47-43
TX GoP 10%, 52-42
TN GoP 8%, 52-44

FL polls are bouncing all over.
So, what are the odds that these 6 "tossup" States which all have GoP leading will have most flip to Dem?
If those figures continue, we would have D45 R55 or D46 R54, dependant upon FL.
If the 4 States highlighted above are in the midst of their "shifted left" biased polling, then Senate could be D41 R59. D40 R60. Oooops.
That would preserve the Dems avoidance of GoP Supermajority.
With WA lost to the weak-minded Mail Voting, it will likely stay Dem.
If ME, PA, NJ vote GoP, then they would become part of the Supermajority and get all kinds of prosperity.

---

Quote:

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Originally posted by 1kiki:
going to try to get to this later when final results are in

Quote:

---

Originally posted by JEWELSTAITEFAN:
Updated with new polls:
Michigan Senate. Stabenow 3%, 49-46.
Montana Senate. Dem 1%, 50-49.



So while reading polls which already have a Lib/Dem bias, if GoP has only a 16% lead, they are not considered Safe. But if a Dem has 8% or 14% lead, they are considered Safe.
As well, if GoP has a measly 6% lead, with more than 50%, that is proclaimed to be a Tossup. But if Dems have a whopping 3% lead, with no more than 46%, that is proclaimed to be a Dem win. (Even with less than 41%)
No bias here, folks. Just ignore that man behind the curtain.



With 9 days to go, this seems a decent time to summarize. I'll try the Senate first.

No Senate races:
NH, OR, ID, SD, AL, GA, SC, NC, CO, KS, OK, AR, LA, IL, IA, KY, AK.
D23, R42 Senate Seats not up for Election in 2018.


Senate Seats most pundits consider Safe for Dems (12):
WA 14%, 53-39
NM 8%, 40-28-32
MN(1) 9%, 50-41
VA, NY, MD, DE, MA, CT, RI, CA, HI.

Safe for Independents (2):
VT,
ME 9%, 41-27-32

Safe for GoP (4):
UT, WY,
NE 15%, 54-39
MS(1) 28%, 60-32

So, if those Predictions are to be believed, D37 R46 is the total without Battlegrounds.



Seats most pundits are calling for Dem win, not included above (8):
PA 5%, 51-46
MN(S) 3%, 46-43
MI 3%, 49-46
WV 5%, 45-40 this was moved to Tossup after this summary was originally posted
MT 1%, 50-49 this was moved to tossup after this summary was originally posted
NJ 5%, 47-42 this was moved to tossup after this summary was originally posted
WI 9%, 53-44 (Conservative was underpolled 14% in the Primary)
OH 6%, 49-43

Seats most pundits are calling for GoP win, not including above (2):
MS(S) 9%, 38-29
ND(FLIP) 16%, 56-40

Without Tossups, pundit consensus is D45 R48. D42 R48
Without the obvious bias highlighted above, this would be D41 R48. D40 R48.



Which leaves the Tossups, which Liberals must tweek and filter to conjure a Dem Majority (meaning no more than 1 of these Tossups is won by GoP):
FL Tied, 46-46
AZ GoP 7%, 52-45
NV GoP 6%, 47-41
MO GoP 4%, 48-44
IN GoP 4%, 47-43
TX GoP 10%, 52-42
TN GoP 8%, 52-44

FL polls are bouncing all over.
So, what are the odds that these 6 "tossup" States which all have GoP leading will have most flip to Dem?
If those figures continue, we would have D45 R55 or D46 R54, dependant upon FL.
If the 4 States highlighted above are in the midst of their "shifted left" biased polling, then Senate could be D41 R59. D40 R60. Oooops.
That would preserve the Dems avoidance of GoP Supermajority.
With WA lost to the weak-minded Mail Voting, it will likely stay Dem.
If ME, PA, NJ vote GoP, then they would become part of the Supermajority and get all kinds of prosperity.

---

---

Quote:

---

Originally posted by JEWELSTAITEFAN:

Quote:

---

Originally posted by JEWELSTAITEFAN:
Sounds like a repeat of 2006. Trump is the new MTV, bringing a huge voter surge, which draws the most illiterate, uneducated, gullible, immature voters to sway the Election.

The so-called Tossups for Senate were:
FL - R
IN - R
TN - R
TX - R
MO - R
MT - R
AZ - R
ND - R
NV - NC
WV - D
NJ - D

That sounds like it will be D44 R56.

---

OK, I had felt unease but didn't really see clearly where this would lead - but it is certainly Trump's social media which has served to engage the youth vote, instead of MTV.

Unless Trump stops the tweeter biz, the results will be even worse (for Conservatives) in 2020. If Dems find a credible candidate for 2020 while Trump continues the tweeter storm, he will be the cause of his own downfall. His only hope is if Dems prop up somebody as horrifying as Hilliary.

I had considered the tweeter snippets to be distraction, a sidebar. But that is the purview of the most brainwashed, intolerant, least knowledgeable of the Electorate, and Trump spurred them to vote because he has never understood the dynamic.

So, no real reason for Trump to not be Impeached, but for Senate to convict will depend upon how many Trump has ticked off.

America will be better off if Pelosi does not realize the Political reason to not Impeach Trump is to allow him to implode. So here is hoping she goes for it. Trump is likely toast either way, Pence would be harder to attack, but Trump could collapse the House and Senate races for 2020, which do not favor GoP.

---

Quote:

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Originally posted by 6IXSTRINGJACK:
Had to drive through the ghetto today to get home because of an accident on the expressway.

Thought it was interesting to see all the signs up for the election. They weren't actually for any candidate. They all just said "Vote Democrat November 6th".

One of the rare occasions I wish I had a cell phone with a camera.

I wonder how long those signs are going to stay up.


I'm sure there not going anywhere soon. If I remember to bring my tablet with me I'll take that route home again tomorrow and snap some pics.

Do Right, Be Right. :)

---

Quote:

---

Originally posted by JEWELSTAITEFAN:
Some notes about voter surge, which resulted in this disaster.

In Wisconsin:
2014 Governor race had 2.4 million votes cast.
2016 President race had almost 3 million votes cast.
2018 Governor race had over 2.67 million votes cast, last I saw.

That is a huge turnout for a Mid-term. It is no mystery that this results in a Dem shift.
That extra 270,000 votes explains both the Senate results, and the State races like Gov and AG.


The counting of Military Ballots is apparently not completed in WI.
And golly gee, there were apparently thousands of Ballots which were "damaged" and had to be "re-created" (most likely by Liberals). Surprise, surprise.

---

Quote:

---

Originally posted by JEWELSTAITEFAN:

Quote:

---

Originally posted by JEWELSTAITEFAN:
Some notes about voter surge, which resulted in this disaster.

In Wisconsin:
2014 Governor race had 2.4 million votes cast.
2016 President race had almost 3 million votes cast.
2018 Governor race had over 2.67 million votes cast, last I saw.

That is a huge turnout for a Mid-term. It is no mystery that this results in a Dem shift.
That extra 270,000 votes explains both the Senate results, and the State races like Gov and AG.


The counting of Military Ballots is apparently not completed in WI.
And golly gee, there were apparently thousands of Ballots which were "damaged" and had to be "re-created" (most likely by Liberals). Surprise, surprise.

---

Now the facts are leaking out.
After waiting for the Statewide totals to come in (to find out how many Ballots had to be manufactured), the EARLY VOTING Ballots of Milwaukee started to get counted, after Walker had won the honest votes. And SHAZAAM! all of these Ballots were "damaged" and needed to be "re-created" in the heart of Libtard Milwaukee.
45,000 uncounted Ballots. All going to Dems, looked like all straight tickets. Probably in alphabetical order, or in sequence of cemetary plots.
Yep, Standard Operating Practice for Democrat Election Fraud. Although you might think they develop a new method of Election Fraud, it is more amazing that the Honest Electorate puts up with this Criminal Fraud.

---

Quote:

---

Originally posted by JEWELSTAITEFAN:

Quote:

---

Originally posted by JEWELSTAITEFAN:

Quote:

---

Originally posted by JEWELSTAITEFAN:
Some notes about voter surge, which resulted in this disaster.

In Wisconsin:
2014 Governor race had 2.4 million votes cast.
2016 President race had almost 3 million votes cast.
2018 Governor race had over 2.67 million votes cast, last I saw.

That is a huge turnout for a Mid-term. It is no mystery that this results in a Dem shift.
That extra 270,000 votes explains both the Senate results, and the State races like Gov and AG.


The counting of Military Ballots is apparently not completed in WI.
And golly gee, there were apparently thousands of Ballots which were "damaged" and had to be "re-created" (most likely by Liberals). Surprise, surprise.

---

Now the facts are leaking out.
After waiting for the Statewide totals to come in (to find out how many Ballots had to be manufactured), the EARLY VOTING Ballots of Milwaukee started to get counted, after Walker had won the honest votes. And SHAZAAM! all of these Ballots were "damaged" and needed to be "re-created" in the heart of Libtard Milwaukee.
45,000 uncounted Ballots. All going to Dems, looked like all straight tickets. Probably in alphabetical order, or in sequence of cemetary plots.
Yep, Standard Operating Practice for Democrat Election Fraud. Although you might think they develop a new method of Election Fraud, it is more amazing that the Honest Electorate puts up with this Criminal Fraud.

---

And the same tactics are happening in Broward and Palm Beach Counties where Democrat Criminals are toiling feverishly to steal all Florida Elections. They are manufacturing votes in secret and sorting which votes they want to count and which to ignore/discard.
Amazingly, all votes are adding to the Dem totals.

No Fraud going on here folks.

---

Quote:

---

Originally posted by JEWELSTAITEFAN:

Quote:

---

Originally posted by 6IXSTRINGJACK:
Had to drive through the ghetto today to get home because of an accident on the expressway.

Thought it was interesting to see all the signs up for the election. They weren't actually for any candidate. They all just said "Vote Democrat November 6th".

One of the rare occasions I wish I had a cell phone with a camera.

I wonder how long those signs are going to stay up.


I'm sure there not going anywhere soon. If I remember to bring my tablet with me I'll take that route home again tomorrow and snap some pics.

Do Right, Be Right. :)

---

Yup, the uninformed and gullible must be told there is an Election imminent, and how they must vote.
The Democrat Voter in a nutshell. Not anybody who is aware or knowledgeable.

---

Quote:

---

Originally posted by JEWELSTAITEFAN:

I guess The Theft Election is the most appropriate name for this cycle.

---

Stupid jsf. That's what you are. Wow, you're a drone.

T

Quote:

---

Originally posted by 6IXSTRINGJACK:

Quote:

---

Originally posted by JEWELSTAITEFAN:

Quote:

---

Originally posted by 6IXSTRINGJACK:
Had to drive through the ghetto today to get home because of an accident on the expressway.

Thought it was interesting to see all the signs up for the election. They weren't actually for any candidate. They all just said "Vote Democrat November 6th".

One of the rare occasions I wish I had a cell phone with a camera.

I wonder how long those signs are going to stay up.


I'm sure there not going anywhere soon. If I remember to bring my tablet with me I'll take that route home again tomorrow and snap some pics.

Do Right, Be Right. :)

---

Yup, the uninformed and gullible must be told there is an Election imminent, and how they must vote.
The Democrat Voter in a nutshell. Not anybody who is aware or knowledgeable.

---

I just think it speaks volumes about the party and how insulting they are to the intelligence of their voter base and the intended demographic these signs were designed for.

Never in my life have I seen signs like these for either party. Personally, I don't have any respect for anybody who presses the buttons to vote for a party on either side.

These signs imply the following.

1. Don't bother educating yourself. We know reading is hard and boring.
2. Let us make the decisions for you.
3. You've already done the hard part of getting to the polling place. Now just shut your brain off and press that party line button and let us take care of the rest.


Do Right, Be Right. :)

---

Quote:

---

Originally posted by THG:
Lets not forget folks, they are still counting votes across the country and the dems are still picking up seats. I'm so happy...

T

---

Quote:

---

The dems won many many local state legislative seats as well as gaining a majority in congress.

---

Quote:

---

They also came out on top in winning governorship's.

---

Quote:

---

Originally posted by 6IXSTRINGJACK:

Quote:

---

Originally posted by THG:
Lets not forget folks, they are still counting votes across the country and the dems are still picking up seats. I'm so happy...

T

---

I didn't forget.

I already laid it out in a previous post several days ago.

Final house tally should be 229D 206R or 228D 207R, depending how Maine swings. Apparently they're counting the votes with an abacus there.


Final senate tally should be 54R 46D or 55R 45D depending on Arizona. The Arizona race seems to have swung a few points in the Dem's favor over the last few days with only 17% of the votes left to tally.

I'm actually hoping the Dems pick that one up so that my prediction for the Senate was perfect.


Do Right, Be Right. :)

---

Quote:

---

Originally posted by JEWELSTAITEFAN:

Quote:

---

Originally posted by 6IXSTRINGJACK:

Quote:

---

Originally posted by THG:
Lets not forget folks, they are still counting votes across the country and the dems are still picking up seats. I'm so happy...

T

---

I didn't forget.

I already laid it out in a previous post several days ago.

Final house tally should be 229D 206R or 228D 207R, depending how Maine swings. Apparently they're counting the votes with an abacus there.


Final senate tally should be 54R 46D or 55R 45D depending on Arizona. The Arizona race seems to have swung a few points in the Dem's favor over the last few days with only 17% of the votes left to tally.

I'm actually hoping the Dems pick that one up so that my prediction for the Senate was perfect.


Do Right, Be Right. :)

---

Endorsing Election Fraud.
I hadn't thought you would stoop that low. But you will support any Criminal activity needed to get your much desired 2nd Great Recession.

Maybe I was crazy to expect more from you.

Your glee for anarchy and chaos is disturbing.

---

Quote:

---

Originally posted by 6IXSTRINGJACK:
"... our wacko Leftist/Socialists on the board aren't the only ones who specialize on hyperbole."

---

Quote:

---

Originally posted by captaincrunch:

Quote:

---

Originally posted by 6IXSTRINGJACK:
"... our wacko Leftist/Socialists on the board aren't the only ones who specialize on hyperbole."

---

Like THAT isn't hyperbole. The stupid sh*t you post.

---

Quote:

---

Originally posted by JEWELSTAITEFAN:
I guess The Theft Election is the most appropriate name for this cycle.

---

Quote:

---

Originally posted by JEWELSTAITEFAN:

Quote:

---

Originally posted by JEWELSTAITEFAN:

Quote:

---

Originally posted by JEWELSTAITEFAN:
Sounds like a repeat of 2006. Trump is the new MTV, bringing a huge voter surge, which draws the most illiterate, uneducated, gullible, immature voters to sway the Election.

The so-called Tossups for Senate were:
FL - R
IN - R
TN - R
TX - R
MO - R
MT - R
AZ - R
ND - R
NV - NC
WV - D
NJ - D

That sounds like it will be D44 R56.

---

OK, I had felt unease but didn't really see clearly where this would lead - but it is certainly Trump's social media which has served to engage the youth vote, instead of MTV.

Unless Trump stops the tweeter biz, the results will be even worse (for Conservatives) in 2020. If Dems find a credible candidate for 2020 while Trump continues the tweeter storm, he will be the cause of his own downfall. His only hope is if Dems prop up somebody as horrifying as Hilliary.

I had considered the tweeter snippets to be distraction, a sidebar. But that is the purview of the most brainwashed, intolerant, least knowledgeable of the Electorate, and Trump spurred them to vote because he has never understood the dynamic.

So, no real reason for Trump to not be Impeached, but for Senate to convict will depend upon how many Trump has ticked off.

America will be better off if Pelosi does not realize the Political reason to not Impeach Trump is to allow him to implode. So here is hoping she goes for it. Trump is likely toast either way, Pence would be harder to attack, but Trump could collapse the House and Senate races for 2020, which do not favor GoP.

---

I may be a little wrong about part of this.

Now that Hilliary and her Clinton Cadre of Criminal Cohorts can see that they have gotten away with all their crimes, and easily snookered American lemmings, she might feel ready to take on Trump in a rematch. If she shoehorns and jury-rigs her way to the nomination, maybe Trump can win again.

---

Quote:

---

Originally posted by JEWELSTAITEFAN:
And I just heard today that Hilliary is gearing up her 2020 campaign. Not sure if that will survive 2 years.

---

Quote:

---

Originally posted by 6IXSTRINGJACK:

Quote:

---

Originally posted by JEWELSTAITEFAN:
And I just heard today that Hilliary is gearing up her 2020 campaign. Not sure if that will survive 2 years.

---

This would be worse for the Democrats in 2020 than if Nancy Pelosi gets speaker of the house.

Do Right, Be Right. :)

---

Quote:

---

Originally posted by JEWELSTAITEFAN:
If Trump and Hilliary are still alive in 2020:

Hilliary's campaign slogan is simple: Impeach Trump.

And Trump's campaign slogan is also simple: Impeach Hilliary.

Imagine the fun.

---

Quote:

---

Originally posted by captaincrunch:

Quote:

---

Originally posted by 6IXSTRINGJACK:
"... our wacko Leftist/Socialists on the board aren't the only ones who specialize on hyperbole."

---

Like THAT isn't hyperbole. The stupid sh*t you post.

---

Quote:

---

Originally posted by 1kiki:

Quote:

---

Originally posted by JEWELSTAITEFAN:
If Trump and Hilliary are still alive in 2020:

Hilliary's campaign slogan is simple: Impeach Trump.

And Trump's campaign slogan is also simple: Impeach Hilliary.

Imagine the fun.

---

OMG. I literally laughed out loud. Sad ... but true, and at the same time hysterically funny.

---

Quote:

---

Originally posted by JEWELSTAITEFAN:
I had not seen the (Democrap) campaign ads in Dane County (Madison) or Milwaukee, but they had been against the FOXCONN Project bringing in 13,000 new, hi-tech, high-paying jobs to Wisconsin - the first facility of its kind in USA - and now Tony Evers is trying to find a way to sabotage prosperity, just like they promised.

Like I had already said, Liberals voted to get rid of jobs.

---

Quote:

---

Originally posted by 1kiki:
Which races and states are still outstanding? I can't find anything with a complete summary. Can you?

---

Quote:

---

Originally posted by 1kiki:
Hey, I appreciate the reply.

Have too much fun on Thanksgiving!

---

Quote:

---

Originally posted by JEWELSTAITEFAN:

Quote:

---

Originally posted by 1kiki:
Hey, I appreciate the reply.

Have too much fun on Thanksgiving!

---

Yeah, Voting was legally required to end on Election Day, but only Republicans stopped Voting when polls closed, as always.

So total counts are a moving target, just like The Constitution, for them.

---

Quote:

---

Originally posted by JEWELSTAITEFAN:

Quote:

---

Originally posted by 1kiki:
Which races and states are still outstanding? I can't find anything with a complete summary. Can you?

---

Depends on who you ask. Democrats are still Voting in FL, GA. Dems might still be voting in those 2 Counties in AZ, but McSally conceded after winning on Election Day and only 6 days of continued Dem Voting afterwards.

If I was going to look, I would check Dave Leips Election Atlas and/or ballotpedia.

I'm sorry, but I am too busy at work.

---

Quote:

---

Originally posted by JEWELSTAITEFAN:
Last Tuesday Scott and DeSantis won Election in Florida. Since then the Criminal Democrats have stolen the Election by creating tens of thousands of Fake Votes, maybe 100,000. Now Florida is in recount, so the Democrat Criminals can manufacture even more Fake Votes.

---

Quote:

---

Originally posted by JEWELSTAITEFAN:

Quote:

---

Originally posted by 1kiki:
Which races and states are still outstanding? I can't find anything with a complete summary. Can you?

---

Depends on who you ask. Democrats are still Voting in FL, GA. Dems might still be voting in those 2 Counties in AZ, but McSally conceded after winning on Election Day and only 6 days of continued Dem Voting afterwards.

If I was going to look, I would check Dave Leips Election Atlas and/or ballotpedia.

I'm sorry, but I am too busy at work.

---