TV_Vote Contest: Predict when Firefly will go over 125,000 and win a prize! by leadb

GENERAL DISCUSSIONS

TV_Vote Contest: Predict when Firefly will go over 125,000 and win a prize!

POSTED BY: LEADB
UPDATED: Friday, January 26, 2007 13:06
SHORT URL:
VIEWED: 10051
PAGE 1 of 2

Sunday, December 24, 2006 8:36 AM

Free TV_Vote Contest: Predict when Firefly will go over 125,000 and win a prize!

Over the past months, you may have seen one or more of these threads like:
Vote for Firefly! http://www.fireflyfans.net/thread.asp?b=2&t=26017
and the actual vote tabluation is done here:
http://www.richlabonte.net/tvvote/index.html

This is a "fan power" survey, where you can vote once an hour as many times as you wish for your favorite shows. Firefly has been doing very well here. In an effort to keep interest up, I've decided to run this -fun- little contest.

Winner may select a prize from any of the retailers listed here, maximum value (including shipping and handling!) of $20.
** http://www.fireflyfans.net/thread.asp?b=2&t=25916

If winner does not specify a prize, they will receive a copy of the Done the Impossible DVD from here:
http://www.donetheimpossible.com/

Rules: one entry per human being, posted here. If you have multiple FFF accounts, please only make one prediction. Once you predict, no changes. In the event of a tie, winner will be selected by die roll, said die roll to be audited by my lovely wife. No fee to enter. Entry must be made by midnight EST Dec 31; no entries accepted after that.
No obligation to buy anything. If you lose, you can't sue me. All decisions final.
Winner will have to provide me a shipping address or address to send check to **.
No trick, no gimmick, I have nothing to gain from this (and $20 to lose ;-) ). Exactly one prize will be given away; no more.

How to play: Pick the date that you think firefly will go over 125,000 votes; then estimate what the "total votes" we will have that day, without going over ("total votes" will be the first tie breaker). In the event of a tie, the person who guesses the closest, without going over, to the number of "total votes" recorded for the day will win; if that's a tie, winner will be selected at random.

Suggestions: There's been a number of threads discussing the TV_vote; latest being. Check out some of the stats before picking a date.
http://www.fireflyfans.net/thread.asp?b=2&t=26017

Eg: If you go to this URL, you will see that there's a date at the top: http://richlabonte.net/tvvote/index.html
The winning date will the date at the top of the page where the page shows 125,000 -or more- votes for firefly. Say this date is January 3, 2007 (hey, I can dream!), and the vote total for that date is 125,444. Four people guess this date with the following "total vote that day" guesses:
a) 125,445
b) 125,400
c) 125,400
d) 125,111
Person a) will be out of contention; as they "went over". person d) is out of contention because there's two people who were closer in their guess than he/she. Persons b) and c) will enter a random selection process, and one will be chosen as the winner of the prize.

** I've never done business with any of these retailers and I reserve the right to send a check for $20 to the winner if I have a hard time either meeting payment method requirements (ie: I don't have paypal) or have trouble getting them to ship to an alternative address.

One final note; if those that run this site determine this contest is problematic in any way, the contest is immediately cancelled and no prize will be awarded.

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Sunday, December 24, 2006 8:41 AM

LEADB

Again... this is a -fun- contest. Feel free to help stump the statistians by voting like crazy and moving in the "hit" date :-)

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Sunday, December 24, 2006 8:50 AM

LEADB

Dang, I knew I'd forget something. If no one picks the correct date; again, we will go with "closest without going over". Thus if the correct date is Jan 3, some folks guess Jan 1, other guess Jan 4; it will be the folks on Jan 1 (closest without going over); then ties broken by total vote guess, etc.

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Sunday, December 24, 2006 9:43 AM

ECGORDON

There's no place I can be since I found Serenity.

My guess is January 9.

wo men ren ran zai fei xing.

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Sunday, December 24, 2006 11:47 AM

FIREFLYGAL

I'm going with January 21 with 125,088 votes. Right shiny of you to do this by the way LeadB

I aim to misbehave!

Firefly items:
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Sunday, December 24, 2006 11:57 AM

LEADB

Quote:
Originally posted by ecgordon:
My guess is January 9.

wo men ren ran zai fei xing.

You didn't guess a "total" for the tie breaker. If folks don't put in a total guess, then their guess is -exactly- on the money; ie: 125,000.

Ecgordon... feel free to ammend with a total guess for the day if you want something besides exactly 125,000; but you can't change the day.

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Sunday, December 24, 2006 1:00 PM

ECGORDON

There's no place I can be since I found Serenity.

January 9 - 125, 231

wo men ren ran zai fei xing.

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Monday, December 25, 2006 9:45 AM

DERANGEDMILK

January 18th...125,237.

Keep voting browncoats!!!
-e

"Storms getting worse."
"We'll pass through it soon enough."

Vote for Firefly at http://richlabonte.net/tvvote/index.html

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Monday, December 25, 2006 10:10 AM

YINYANG

You were busy trying to get yourself lit on fire. It happens.

January 23rd; 125,083

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Tuesday, December 26, 2006 3:47 AM

LEADB

-- 4 entries and counting!

Remember, you don't need to participate in the tv_vote survey to participate in this contest... it is open to everyone (of course, if you do start participating, all the better in my book :-); but it will not factor into the winning selection).

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Tuesday, December 26, 2006 5:05 AM

JLIN

I pick Jan 25th with 125151 votes.

Thank Universal for airing Firefly in HD at
http://universalhd.com/Firefly/

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Tuesday, December 26, 2006 6:26 AM

SCARECROW866

I pick January 18 with 125,036 votes.

Annie

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Tuesday, December 26, 2006 7:30 AM

PSANDS

January 31 125064

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Tuesday, December 26, 2006 8:07 AM

FLATTOP

Quote:
Originally posted by leadb:
Again... this is a -fun- contest. Feel free to help stump the statistians by voting like crazy and moving in the "hit" date :-)

Damned shiney of you LeadB!

Bein one of the afore mentioned statisticians, I'm of two minds here...
1) Wait for more data (default statistician position).
2) The holidays are skewing the data, guess now before it gets worse.

----------
Vote for Firefly http://www.richlabonte.net/tvvote/index.html

Sign up NOW! http://fireflyfans.net/thread.asp?b=11&t=25704
More Information: http://76thbattalion.homestead.com/index.html

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Tuesday, December 26, 2006 8:22 AM

FLYVOTE

Feb 1
125,125

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Tuesday, December 26, 2006 10:40 AM

DEWRASTLER

Here's my guess:

January 16 with 125,087 votes.

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Tuesday, December 26, 2006 11:09 AM

MRSCOBB

This is a most excellent contest!! I vote hourly at work, I just don't have time to go into the voting forums to bump it. I am proud of my 8 votes a day

I am going with January 19, 125,100

___________________________________________________________________________________________________
My sister's a ship. We had a complicated childhood.

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Tuesday, December 26, 2006 11:33 AM

RMMC

This is gonna involve math, isn't it?

*tries to check brain pilot light-encounters lots of fuzzy batting*

I am so screwed.

Feb 2 125,591

*******
RMMC

When we're down, don't frown. Come join the camp-out at serenitymovie.org.

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Tuesday, December 26, 2006 8:50 PM

DERANGEDMILK

Quote:
Originally posted by MrsCobb:
This is a most excellent contest!! I vote hourly at work, I just don't have time to go into the voting forums to bump it. I am proud of my 8 votes a day

I am always so glad when yet another person comes on just once to say that they've been voting regularly!!! Thankyou for your votes Mrs. Cobb (and for Jayne's shiney hat as well!).

Any more takers?????
-e

"Storms getting worse."
"We'll pass through it soon enough."

Vote for Firefly at http://richlabonte.net/tvvote/index.html

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Tuesday, December 26, 2006 10:39 PM

EVILBUNGLE

I predict 24th at a total of 125,151

at least that's what my calculations make it, it will be cool to see how close I am, just my luck that some wheadon site will hold a feature on it and push us over the 1000 a day mark again, still at least we would catch bonanza quicker so everyones a winner!

http://richlabonte.net/tvvote/index.html
Together we will triumph.

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Tuesday, December 26, 2006 11:43 PM

MAI

My guess is Feb 6 with 125,101

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Wednesday, December 27, 2006 5:36 AM

FEDEXXX

Let's see... February 12th 125 125 ;)

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Wednesday, December 27, 2006 5:42 AM

SWEETSERENDIPITY

January 20- 125,238

Deb

http://serendipityagain.com/

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Wednesday, December 27, 2006 6:47 AM

DAVESHAYNE

January 30th 125011

David

"Not completely as well as the series of Firefly..." - From a review of Serenity at amazon.de

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Thursday, December 28, 2006 7:14 AM

LEADB

Quote:
Originally posted by MrsCobb:
This is a most excellent contest!! I vote hourly at work, I just don't have time to go into the voting forums to bump it. I am proud of my 8 votes a day

Well thank you. And I'd say 8 votes a day is right respectable!

All:
Still time to get your guesses in. Closing the doors midnight US EST on Dec 31.

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Friday, December 29, 2006 8:07 AM

DEWRASTLER

*bump*

This is a great idea.

________________________________
"There's no I in team."
"Well there's no you in team eitther, and if I'm not on the team, and you're not on the team, who's on the damn team! This team sucks."

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Saturday, December 30, 2006 8:23 AM

ANDERS

Jan 30th. 125,126

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Sunday, December 31, 2006 5:13 AM

GREENFAERIE

Feb 5: 125,177

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Sunday, December 31, 2006 6:04 AM

LEADB

Remember, get your guesses in by Midnight US ET tonight. For reference, it is now 11am US ET.

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Sunday, December 31, 2006 5:34 PM

TRAEVYNN

I'm gonna go with Feb. 19th and 125,048 votes.

"...I'm still free, you can't take the sky from me."

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Sunday, December 31, 2006 5:52 PM

DRU

I'll say Feb 13, 2007 at 125,001.

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Sunday, December 31, 2006 6:09 PM

BLUEEYEDBRIGADIER

Well...I am gonna tap January 14th with a closing total of 125, 521

BEB

Literature has shown us some of humanity's greatest achievements; history, some of our greatest failures -- Alun Lewis

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Sunday, December 31, 2006 6:32 PM

LEADB

About 30 minutes to close, if you got a guess, put in here!

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Sunday, December 31, 2006 7:01 PM

LEADB

And the contest entry phase closes. Thanks to all who guessed; we'll provide periodic updates on how things are progressing and who seems to be in a good shot to win, all that rot.

And remember, vote often! Vote proudly! Vote Firefly!

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Sunday, December 31, 2006 7:29 PM

YINYANG

You were busy trying to get yourself lit on fire. It happens.

So, is this all of it, then?

Ecgordon – January 9; 125,231
BlueEyedBrigadier - January 14; 125,521
Dewrastler - January 16; 125,087
Scarecrow866 - January 18; 125,036
Derangedmilk - January 18; 125,237
MrsCobb - January 19; 125,100
Sweetserendipity - January 20; 125,238
Fireflygal – January 21; 125,088
Yinyang - January 23; 125,083
EvilBungle – January (?) 24; 125,151
Jlin - January 25; 125,151
Daveshayne – January 30; 125,011
Anders – January 30; 125,126
Psands - January 31; 125,064

Flyvote - February 1; 125,125
RMMC - February 2; 125,591
GreenFaerie - February 5; 125,177
Mai - February 6; 125,101
Fedexxx - February 12; 125,125
DRU - February 13; 125,001
Traevynn - February 19; 125,048

Rules on voting here: http://www.fireflyfans.net/thread.asp?b=2&t=22892

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Monday, January 1, 2007 5:10 PM

LEADB

:-) Well thank you for doing that! I was planning on compiling such a list, but had not gotten to it yet. I will do a double check, though!

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Wednesday, January 3, 2007 4:59 PM

LEADB

I've double checked Yinyang's work, and find it to be accurate. This is the contestant - guess list:

Ecgordon – January 9; 125,231
BlueEyedBrigadier - January 14; 125,521
Dewrastler - January 16; 125,087
Scarecrow866 - January 18; 125,036
Derangedmilk - January 18; 125,237
MrsCobb - January 19; 125,100
Sweetserendipity - January 20; 125,238
Fireflygal – January 21; 125,088
Yinyang - January 23; 125,083
EvilBungle – January 24; 125,151
Jlin - January 25; 125,151
Daveshayne – January 30; 125,011
Anders – January 30; 125,126
Psands - January 31; 125,064

Flyvote - February 1; 125,125
RMMC - February 2; 125,591
GreenFaerie - February 5; 125,177
Mai - February 6; 125,101
Fedexxx - February 12; 125,125
DRU - February 13; 125,001
Traevynn - February 19; 125,048

And "makes official" the interpretation of EvilBungle's guess as being "January" 24.

Folks... if you want Ecgordon to win, we gots to get voting! We only have 11 days left and 17 thousand votes to go! I'm all for an optomist winning this, since the more of an optomist wins, that means the faster Firefly got votes!

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Wednesday, January 3, 2007 5:36 PM

FLYVOTE

I'm gonna lose, 'cause we'll be well past 125k by Feb 1st. But that is a GOOD THING.

If I had (or were to) win, I would have upped the ante by tossing in $20 of my own for the 150k mark. Perhaps the winner will do that.

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Wednesday, January 10, 2007 9:33 AM

FLYVOTE

Since I'm going to lose anyway, I may as well provide the means.

FlyVote 1.1 will help you vote for FireFly by popping up the vote page for your vote, then sleeping for 60 minutes.

Give it a try. Let me know if you have any troubles with the program. Windows/Linux/Mac.

The Windows program does not requite an install - it is just an .exe. Can be run from a USB drive to take from PC to PC.

---- ---- ---- ---- ----

Flyvote:
http://www.usbmicro.com/misc/winflyvote.zip
http://www.usbmicro.com/misc/linuxflyvote.zip
http://www.usbmicro.com/misc/macflyvote.zip

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Wednesday, January 10, 2007 11:33 AM

GREENFAERIE

great little app there! now i won't forget to vote so much!

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Wednesday, January 10, 2007 11:41 AM

FLYVOTE

Thanks!

Sorry that it will screw up your chances of winning...

(Edit: I could watch that little gif animation wiggle for an hour. Is that a bad thing?

)

---- ---- ---- ---- ----

Flyvote:
http://www.usbmicro.com/misc/winflyvote.zip
http://www.usbmicro.com/misc/linuxflyvote.zip
http://www.usbmicro.com/misc/macflyvote.zip

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Wednesday, January 10, 2007 3:16 PM

GREENFAERIE

I don't mind losing if we get to the top of that list!

I think so much of the program that I posted your links to the SCIFI Firefly forum. I hope you don't mind. If it turns out to be spyware, you're a dead man. Of course, no browncoat would do something like that, so I trust you!

(shakes hips again just for Flyvote)

P.S. I love the quotes!

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Wednesday, January 10, 2007 3:35 PM

FLYVOTE

Quote:
Originally posted by GreenFaerie:
I don't mind losing if we get to the top of that list!

Same here...

Quote:

I think so much of the program that I posted your links to the SCIFI Firefly forum. I hope you don't mind. If it turns out to be spyware, you're a dead man. Of course, no browncoat would do something like that, so I trust you!

The programs are not malicious. Just include a few quotes from Mal, in latin: "bad".

Quote:

(shakes hips again just for Flyvote)

P.S. I love the quotes!

If you use FlyVote 1.1 click the FlyVote picture to update the random quote.

---- ---- ---- ---- ----

Flyvote:
http://www.usbmicro.com/misc/winflyvote.zip
http://www.usbmicro.com/misc/linuxflyvote.zip
http://www.usbmicro.com/misc/macflyvote.zip

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Wednesday, January 10, 2007 5:46 PM

LEADB

Jan 10... so I fear Ecgordon is out of the contest...
We are up to..
Firefly 114826
votes. That means 10174 votes to go...
BlueEyedBrigadier... Jan 14... hmmm, well, be happy to see that take the win spot... but that might be a bit optomistic at this point... Of course, you all feel free to prove me wrong!

Maybe that reminder tool up there is what we all need to make this happen ;-) Nice work Flyvote!

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Saturday, January 13, 2007 11:37 AM

LEADB

Jan 14 is looking pretty unlikely. But these folks have a pretty decent shot...

125,000
-117659
-------
7,341

Dewrastler - January 16; 125,087
Scarecrow866 - January 18; 125,036
Derangedmilk - January 18; 125,237
MrsCobb - January 19; 125,100

But we are going to have hold tight to 1,000 a day... but we -could- do that. Let's just do it! Let's make one of these folks a winner. Vote, you know you want to!

http://richlabonte.net/tvvote/index.html

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Tuesday, January 16, 2007 5:16 PM

LEADB

Well, 1/16 and...

Firefly 120432
4,568 to go...

I think we are narrowing down to...

MrsCobb - January 19; 125,100
Sweetserendipity - January 20; 125,238
Fireflygal – January 21; 125,088
Yinyang - January 23; 125,083

Are the likely winners at this point... we'll need to push a bit for MrsCobb to win; but it's not impossible. Push the button for MrsCobb!!!!

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Tuesday, January 16, 2007 5:24 PM

FLYVOTE

Traevynn - February 19; 125,048

We could potentially be at 155,000 by then.

Gorram nice! (sorry Traevynn)

---- ---- ---- ---- ----

Flyvote (version 1.2):
http://www.usbmicro.com/misc

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Wednesday, January 17, 2007 8:12 AM

FIREFLYGAL

It's going to happen on 22 January because no one predicted 22 Jan...

I aim to misbehave!

Firefly items:
For lapel pins and badge holder lanyards
e-mail FireflyGal1@hotmail.com
www.outtotheblack.com
www.cafepress.com/fillies
www.cafepress.com/mssquarepeg.com
www.cafepress.com/mrsquarepeg.com

Sign up NOW! http://fireflyfans.net/thread.asp?b=11&t=25704
More Information: http://76thbattalion.homestead.com/index.html

I love my Colonel!

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Wednesday, January 17, 2007 1:26 PM

MRSCOBB

Quote:
we'll need to push a bit for MrsCobb to win; but it's not impossible. Push the button for MrsCobb!!!!

I am starting my mantra of 1000+ votes over and over in my head!

___________________________________________________________________________________________________
My sister's a ship. We had a complicated childhood.

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Thursday, January 18, 2007 4:10 AM

FIREFLYGAL

Wow, still over 1,000. C'mon Jan 21!

I aim to misbehave!

Firefly items:
For lapel pins and badge holder lanyards
e-mail FireflyGal1@hotmail.com
www.outtotheblack.com
www.cafepress.com/fillies
www.cafepress.com/mssquarepeg.com
www.cafepress.com/mrsquarepeg.com

Sign up NOW! http://fireflyfans.net/thread.asp?b=11&t=25704
More Information: http://76thbattalion.homestead.com/index.html

I love my Colonel!

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