The predictions thread

POSTED BY: kpo
UPDATED: Wednesday, August 26, 2026 18:54
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BYTEMITE

Tuesday, August 27, 2013 4:48 PM (P)

Actually Jong, AuRaptor and River/kaneman are pretty distinct, and so are Sig, 1kiki, Niki, and Mal4Prez.

The nuances can be subtle because most of the compared posters do have some similar political beliefs, but they also differ in places as well.

AuRaptor claims to be an atheist (though still defensive about there being a war on Christians), I don't recall I've ever heard Jong claim to be atheist.

Neither one likes gay marriage but for different reasons. AuRaptor dislikes it because he sees it as another part of that war on christians freedom of religion free speech thing - though he never really talks about common law marriage. My impression is that Jongstraw doesn't approve because he thinks there's something unethical or disturbing about it.

kaneman/River tends to be more shocking with insults. AUraptor and Jongstraw may sometimes drop a "shithead" or an "asshole", maybe even skank and bitch and others. But I think you're all forgetting just what kaneman/River insults are like. Those insults were like... The work of an artist, or a wizard, but rendered entirely in profanity and horrifying images. Words like "flies" and "uterus" constructed a mental image of depravities being born, then eaten, and squeezed out again on a desolate barren background in an endless surreal loop of what-the-fuckery. There are insults, and then there are insults that can damage your sanity.

Niki writes long posts. Sig and Mal4Prez both write medium-ish length posts with an overview process then progression/speculation, but as an argument goes on they differ in their styles, where Sig tends to hammer at a point and be more serious, and Mal4Prez tends to be more jokey. 1kiki writes short posts that focus on a particular detail.

There are also slight political differences here and there, like I think for example there was a thread where people were discussing rights in the context of a protest that deliberately blocked off streets and obstructed traffic, and they had different opinions, and there was another thread about burqas and Muslim women were they had different opinions, and another thread about Muslim violence in response to cartoons.

Like I said, differences are subtle, but there. None of the groups seem like a sockpuppet army to me, they appear to all be legitimately separate people. However, I do think it's possible that 1kiki and Sig know each other in real life.

JAYNEZTOWN

Wednesday, August 28, 2013 12:37 AM (P)

Quote:
Originally posted by kpo:

Wulfenstar: "The case of Trayvon Martin is done.

It is starting to sound more, and more, like a good shoot."

Originally posted by kpo:

Aura

Originally posted by kpo:
I'm going to go somewhat against Riona and predict: Egypt and Libya will be stable, functioning democracies within 5-10 years - but Iraq won't.

Anthony thinks that an Islamic 'Reformation' is likely, and perhaps inevitable. kpo disagrees.

It's not personal. It's just war.

yeah

MAL4PREZ

Sunday, October 13, 2013 9:15 PM (P)

Quote:
Originally posted by Jongsstraw:
What goes around comes around. Obama and the Dems will learn that in 2014 as they did in 2010.

First post of http://www.fireflyfans.net/mthread.aspx?bid=18&tid=56419

I can only hope that Jongs is back on meds by election returns, November 2014, or things could get ugly around here. Oh never mind, the RWAs will just ignore it like they ignore 2012 and 2008.

*---------------------------------------*
The French Revolution would have never happened if Marie Antoinette had just given every peasant an iPhone.

NIKI2

Sunday, October 13, 2013 10:55 PM (P)

Oh, Jong's done even better than that:

Quote:
Jong, 10/11/2013: "When Republicans take the Senate and keep the House a year from now, that will be the end of Obama's Reign of Error." http://www.fireflyfans.net/mreply.aspx?mid=950088
_______________________________

Jong, 10/11/2013: "The Tea Party is the ONLY hope for America's economic future. The 2014 election will be worse for Obama, Dems, and RINOs than 2010 was. And they got crushed by the Tea Party in 2010. The Restoration is at hand." http://www.fireflyfans.net/mthread.aspx?tid=56402

STORYMARK

Thursday, October 17, 2013 12:57 AM (P)

As a result of the shutdown debacle, this prediction was posted this morning:

"Speaker Pelosi Part 2: Opening Jan 5. 2015"

This comes from noted lefty Matt Drudge....

"Goram it kid, let's frak this thing and go home! Engage!"

KPO

Wednesday, November 6, 2013 4:10 AM (P)

Jongsstraw - "So it will come out for all the world to see that the Obama Admin. actively helped the Muslim Brotherhood topple Mubarak who was friendly to the West."

Frem - "Hilary has *ALREADY* bagged up 2016, bought and paid for, so you better just start learning to deal with it"

It's not personal. It's just war.

KPO

Friday, November 15, 2013 6:39 PM (P)

"As long as Obama is in the White House the ACA is not in trouble. By the time he is out the problems will be memories and the program will be like Medicare and Social Security...near untouchable." - M52Nick

"Krauthammer said earlier this week that the collapse of Obamacare is inevitable. He also made another statement that was even more shocking; so shocking that I dare not mention it." (via Jongs)

It's not personal. It's just war.

CAVETROLL

Tuesday, November 19, 2013 9:07 PM (P)

Quote:
Originally posted by kpo:
Hey you're welcome JS, but I try to document every interesting prediction I find, and I try to do so faithfully. Thank you for sticking your neck out and making predictions so often.

CTS, in the 'Iran's currency plummets in value' thread - "We shouldn't gloat, cause our turn is next."

ETA:

Cavetroll reports on $16T of secret bailouts to foreign and US banks by the Fed, and asks "Can Weimar style inflation be far off?"

Cavetroll on the surprise drop in the unemployment rate a month before the election - "I'm sure in a month or so, quietly, on a Friday afternoon, the numbers will be adjusted to their actual point."

It's not personal. It's just war.

Based on this NY Post article,
http://nypost.com/2013/11/18/census-faked-2012-election-jobs-report/

Quote:

In the home stretch of the 2012 presidential campaign, from August to September, the unemployment rate fell sharply — raising eyebrows from Wall Street to Washington.
The decline — from 8.1 percent in August to 7.8 percent in September — might not have been all it seemed. The numbers, according to a reliable source, were manipulated...

This is my shocked face.

Now we'll see if this gets more play in the news or goes in the memory hole with all the other news that is offensive to Chicago Jesus.

Kwindbago, hot air and angry electrons

KPO

Tuesday, November 19, 2013 10:09 PM (P)

http://www.businessinsider.com/report-on-unemployment-rate-being-faked
-2013-11

You made the "Best and worst of the predictions thread" with that prediction CaveTroll ;-)

http://www.fireflyfans.net/mthread.aspx?tid=54818

It's not personal. It's just war.

STORYMARK

Tuesday, November 19, 2013 10:41 PM (P)

Wow, the troll found the entrance to its cave. Took a whole year, but, uh.... good for you!

"Goram it kid, let's frak this thing and go home! Engage!"

KPO

Wednesday, November 20, 2013 8:36 PM (P)

On Obamacare (and states' website successes):

kpo - "Still,to know it CAN work, when the governors implement it well... This could backfire on Republican governors who have sought to stop the law working, and whose constituents will suffer as a result."

It's not personal. It's just war.

BYTEMITE

Wednesday, November 20, 2013 11:20 PM (P)

Quote:
Frem - "Hilary has *ALREADY* bagged up 2016, bought and paid for, so you better just start learning to deal with it"

I want a piece of that action.

He's probably right, if there's a lot of hype around a candidate even if they haven't declared (and it's likely they're going to declare) they tend to have enough momentum and energy to steamroller other candidates as they rise and fall. Hillary will probably be the democratic candidate, because her democratic opponents and the Republican alternatives right now are crickets.

This is why Mitt Romney was the obvious Republican candidate, but also why it was obvious Obama was going to win again. Comparatively Mitt Romney was an unknown (and mormon) - he had the early momentum to surmount the other republican candidates, but not enough to surmount Obama.

KPO

Friday, December 6, 2013 5:20 AM (P)

Geezer (on Obamacare): "Looks like the Administration may have made overly optimistic estimates of enrollment by the young and fit."

It's not personal. It's just war.

JAYNEZTOWN

Monday, December 30, 2013 10:41 AM (P)

People get tired of political correctness and multi culturalism

China and India and Russia start launching commercial flights to the Moon

KPO

Wednesday, January 29, 2014 6:58 AM (P)

Geezer thinks the growth of China's CO2 emissions, which slowed last year, will go 'right back up' - citing past trends, and dismissing the analysis in articles such as this one: http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/science-environment-24742770

It's not personal. It's just war.

KPO

Sunday, February 23, 2014 4:40 AM (P)

Signy predicts deepening violence in Ukraine following the vote of the Ukrainian parliament to remove President Yanukovych from power:

http://fireflyfans.net/mthread.aspx?tid=57554

"As I've been saying for many posts now, Yanukovych has support. He is in the Russian-speaking southeast of the Ukraine, rounding up support. Civil war may be the next step. The Ukraine may be split in two. I think this was the goal of the west all along."

It's not personal. It's just war.

KPO

Wednesday, April 2, 2014 6:30 AM (P)

Auraptor on Obamacare hitting its 7 million sign up target:

"Funny how the administration is touting 7.1 MILLION!! on April's Fools Day.

Seriously, you'd have to be a gorram fool to believe this President."

JSF agrees with him:

"How asleep at the wheel must one be to belive this?
How brain dead must one be to belive this as truth?"

It's not personal. It's just war.

KPO

Wednesday, April 2, 2014 6:38 AM (P)

Signy on Fukushima:

"...Northeastern Japan is hopelessly contaminated for the next century..."

"...We've contaminated the West Coast of North America with iodine and cesium, and have graduated to hemorrhaging cesium, strontium, and tritium-contaminated water into the Pacific. And we know that we will cause millions in excess cancers and unpredictable ecological damage to the Pacific..."

Edited to underline the bit that's actually a prediction.

It's not personal. It's just war.

KPO

Wednesday, April 2, 2014 6:42 AM (P)

Jongsstraw: "January 20th Repubs take over the Senate. Bye-bye Harry, and bye-bye Barry!"

It's not personal. It's just war.

REAVERFAN

Wednesday, April 2, 2014 7:14 AM (P)

They were so sure...

The schadenfreude has been abundant among liberals.

The reichwing response was 50 votes to repeal Obamacare, and millions spent to lie about it.

You poor things.

SIGNYM

Friday, April 4, 2014 9:58 PM (P)

KPO_ the following were not predictions, they've already happened:

Quote:
(1) Northeastern Japan is hopelessly contaminated for the next century... (2) We've contaminated the West Coast of North America with iodine and cesium, and have graduated to (3) hemorrhaging cesium, strontium, and tritium-contaminated water into the Pacific.

(1) SURVEY OF STRONGLY CONTAMINATED AREAS IN JAPAN

Quote:
We show that 137Cs strongly contaminated the soils in large areas of eastern and northeastern Japan, whereas western Japan was sheltered by mountain ranges. The soils around Fukushima NPP and neighboring prefectures have been extensively contaminated with depositions of more than 100,000 and 10,000 MBq km-2, respectively.

http://www.pnas.org/content/108/49/19530.abstract

(2) USGS SURVEY: SIGNIFICANT FALLOUT IN USA

Quote:
The study found concentrations (activity) and fallout (deposition) of radioactive iodine and radioactive cesium in significant number of samples. Detectable quantities of Iodine-131, Cesium-137, and Cesium-134 were observed at 21% of the 167 tested locations

http://nadp.isws.illinois.edu/fukushima/

(3) FUKUSHIMA LEAKING TONS OF RADIOACTIVE WATER INTO THE OCEAN EACH DAY

Quote:
A government official told reporters Wednesday that an estimated 300 metric tons (330 tons) of contaminated water was leaking into the ocean every day from the Daiichi plant, which was devastated by the March 2011 earthquake and tsunami, Reuters reported.

http://www.nbcnews.com/news/other/wrecked-fukushima-nuke-plant-leaking
-330-tons-contaminated-water-day-f6C10865611

Those items should never have been listed as predictions, since they were in the category of well-known occurrences. So please move those items from the "predictions" category to the "been there, done that" list, if there is such a thing.

SIGNYM

Friday, April 4, 2014 10:03 PM (P)

Quote:
"As I've been saying for many posts now, Yanukovych has support. He is in the Russian-speaking southeast of the Ukraine, rounding up support. Civil war may be the next step. The Ukraine may be split in two. I think this was the goal of the west all along."

Ukraine has been split, but without civil war (so far).

I call this a halfway-met prediction.

JEWELSTAITEFAN

Saturday, April 5, 2014 3:31 AM (P)

GOP will win enough Senate seats in Nov 2014 to have Senate majority.
White House will "revise" Obamacare enrollment figures downward to admit that 7.1 million was pure fabrication, like the employment figures.

JEWELSTAITEFAN

Saturday, April 5, 2014 3:36 AM (P)

Quote:
Originally posted by kpo:

Jongsstraw: "January 20th Repubs take over the Senate. Bye-bye Harry, and bye-bye Barry!"

It's not personal. It's just war.

I'll call fail on this one. New Congress is ussually sworn in the first week of January. I don't think they will wait til the 20th.

JEWELSTAITEFAN

Saturday, April 5, 2014 3:51 AM (P)

Quote:
Originally posted by Storymark:
As a result of the shutdown debacle, this prediction was posted this morning:

"Speaker Pelosi Part 2: Opening Jan 5. 2015"

This comes from noted lefty Matt Drudge....

"Goram it kid, let's frak this thing and go home! Engage!"

I'll take this action. Is it claimed by Storymark?

KPO

Saturday, April 5, 2014 8:37 AM (P)

Quote:
Those items should never have been listed as predictions, since they were in the category of well-known occurrences. So please move those items from the "predictions" category to the "been there, done that" list, if there is such a thing.

I've underlined the bit that was a prediction, and left the rest for context.

It's not personal. It's just war.

JEWELSTAITEFAN

Tuesday, April 8, 2014 5:59 AM (P)

No sure how this will come out. Facts will be denied as lies, truth will be denied as having never been said. Right?

KPO

Tuesday, April 8, 2014 6:49 AM (P)

You can see for yourself how it came out: http://www.fireflyfans.net/mthread.aspx?tid=54818

Quote:
Facts will be denied as lies,

It depends on the nature of the prediction. Specific predictions like 'Romney will be elected' and 'Obamacare will be ruled unconstitutional' can be easily classed as wrong.

Quote:
truth will be denied as having never been said. Right?

Witness Auraptor back tracking on his quotes in hindsight, and fooling no one.

It's not personal. It's just war.

JEWELSTAITEFAN

Friday, April 11, 2014 6:48 AM (P)

No Best Of 2013?

KPO

Friday, April 11, 2014 8:07 AM (P)

No, I only post occasional predictions now. I kind of feel I already achieved what I set out to achieve :-/

It's not personal. It's just war.

SIGNYM

Friday, April 11, 2014 7:36 PM (P)

Which is?

OONJERAH

Saturday, April 12, 2014 2:47 AM (P)

To show that many posters here are clairvoyant?

SIGNYM

Saturday, April 12, 2014 7:15 PM (P)

OONJ: Hahahaha!!

Anyway, saw this... in Slaviansk

Quote:
Armed pro-Russian activists carrying riot shields occupy a police station on Saturday, April 12.... Ukraine has seen a sharp rise in tensions since a new pro-European government took charge of the country in February.

http://www.cnn.com/2014/04/12/world/europe/ukraine-crisis/index.html?h
pt=hp_t2
This is in addition to Donetsk, Luhansk, and Kharkiv.

KPO

Sunday, April 13, 2014 5:46 AM (P)

Quote:
Originally posted by SIGNYM:
Which is?

Well what better way to test the validity and accuracy of someone's worldview, than by their predictions?

When Auraptor, Whozit, Hero etc. predicted that Obama would be crushed in 2012, and that Romney would win in a landslide, etc., etc., that was a prediction that came out of their worldview - that Obama is a marxist, an AlQaeda sympathiser, an America hater, a race-baiter, etc., and that the country had gone halfway to hell in his first 4 years. The ONLY prediction that can come out of such a worldview is that Obama would never be re-elected. Hence their complete disbelief when he won.

When I hear a poster claiming things like 'Benghazi will be Obama's Watergate', I think to myself this person has been whipped up into a frenzy by her partisan media. She's not living in the real world. So I post the prediction here, and it's stored for posterity, and people can see how the prediction bears out.

My aim was to show a thoroughly terrible track record of conservative predictions, pointing to the fact that modern conservatives have hyper-ideological, partisan media-warped worldviews. And that they don't live in the real world.

It's not personal. It's just war.

SIGNYM

Sunday, April 13, 2014 9:41 PM (P)

Well I agree. The best way to test someone's "mental model" is to see how well it predicts what happens next. Sorry to say I've not been following this thread, it's so very long. I like the idea, though, and I have to say- Hat's off to you for your persistence.

KPO

Monday, April 14, 2014 4:57 AM (P)

I like experiments, in case you hadn't noticed

It's not personal. It's just war.

CHRISISALL

Monday, April 14, 2014 5:09 AM (P)

Quote:
Originally posted by kpo:
My aim was to show a thoroughly terrible track record of conservative predictions, pointing to the fact that modern conservatives have hyper-ideological, partisan media-warped worldviews. And that they don't live in the real world.

I would accept that as an axiom at this point.

NEWOLDBROWNCOAT

Monday, April 14, 2014 8:11 AM (P)

Quote:
Originally posted by kpo:

Paul Krugman predicts a Greek exit from the Euro within months ('very possibly next month'), and possibly, the end of the Euro.

http://krugman.blogs.nytimes.com/2012/05/13/eurodammerung-2/

It's not personal. It's just war.

Jumped back into this thread to see the new posts in the last few days and found this one. Heard a piece on the radio the other night-- the Euro is still going strong, somebody else is now predicted about to bail out, Greece is still in, and has recovered.

Isn't Krugman, once he gets over his conservative bias, supposed to actually be an economist?

NEWOLDBROWNCOAT

Monday, April 14, 2014 8:35 AM (P)

Quote:
Originally posted by MAL4PREZ:
Quote:
Originally posted by Jongstraw:
Besides, Republicans are gonna be in real good shape with Hispanics for the next national election with popular Hispanic politicians like Rubio and Cruz, and Martinez. Even Jeb Bush, 'cause Hispanics love him and his Mexican-American wife. Think about that...Jeb Bush winning the Presidency....the next phase of the Bush dynasty! The ultimate payback for the Obama debacle.

http://www.fireflyfans.net/mthread.aspx?bid=18&tid=55492&p=1#9
41421

I don't know though. I suspect that River/Jong posted this with full knowledge of how ironic/ridiculous it is. Cause really, it is so over the top, and even River isn't that stupid.

Oh my, that's a good one. Saw a piece somewhere the other day comparing Ol' Jeb to Hillary-- as in, they're both the closet favorites of the party members, and they'd both be the leaders right now if they were announced candidates.

OONJERAH

Monday, April 14, 2014 9:28 AM (P)

Quote KPO: "Well what better way to test the validity and accuracy
of someone's worldview, than by their predictions?"

And to show that some posters here are Not clairvoyant.

OK. We all know people who are like that ... People who
know everything, and know it so well, so solid ... that
the Truth can never catch them with their mind open.

Since it is futile to discuss reality with them, you let
their own predictions show the way.

====================== :>

All I suggest is a man hears what he wants to hear and disregards the rest. ~Paul Simon

JEWELSTAITEFAN

Friday, April 18, 2014 5:21 AM (P)

I'll predict that the number of uninsured in America will miraculously drop, if it wasn't already announced today - haven't checked news yet.
After Obamination White House massages numbers, anybody who does not heartily believe the fiction will be known as racists.

KPO

Friday, April 18, 2014 6:39 AM (P)

The Obamacare trutherism is just so laughably predictable.

It's not personal. It's just war.

KPO

Wednesday, April 23, 2014 10:51 PM (P)

Quote:
Originally posted by NewOldBrownCoat:
Quote:
Originally posted by kpo:

Paul Krugman predicts a Greek exit from the Euro within months ('very possibly next month'), and possibly, the end of the Euro.

http://krugman.blogs.nytimes.com/2012/05/13/eurodammerung-2/

It's not personal. It's just war.

Jumped back into this thread to see the new posts in the last few days and found this one. Heard a piece on the radio the other night-- the Euro is still going strong, somebody else is now predicted about to bail out, Greece is still in, and has recovered.

Isn't Krugman, once he gets over his conservative bias, supposed to actually be an economist?

Yes Krugman is an economist but no, not a conservative - he's solidly liberal. I find his predictions are generally good when they're purely economics; where he falls down (sometimes) is on his judgment of the politics. In the above quote he made the mistake (like a lot of American commentators) of underestimating European politicians' commitment to make the Euro work, and European countries willingness to suffer the pain of austerity.

Here's his latest prediction:

Krugman predicts that Sweden is going to find it 'very hard' to get out of its deflation trap.

It's not personal. It's just war.

STORYMARK

Thursday, April 24, 2014 3:09 AM (P)

This is my favorite thread on the whole site, by the way. For all the mountains of bullshit the right heaps on us - its nice to have a running record of how consistently they are proven wrong.

Its also just purely amusing that they avoid this thread like the plague.

"Goram it kid, let's frak this thing and go home! Engage!"

JEWELSTAITEFAN

Friday, May 9, 2014 5:35 AM (P)

Quote:
Originally posted by kpo:
Quote:
Originally posted by SIGNYM:
Which is?

Well what better way to test the validity and accuracy of someone's worldview, than by their predictions?

When Auraptor, Whozit, Hero etc. predicted that Obama would be crushed in 2012, and that Romney would win in a landslide, etc., etc., that was a prediction that came out of their worldview - that Obama is a marxist, an AlQaeda sympathiser, an America hater, a race-baiter, etc., and that the country had gone halfway to hell in his first 4 years. The ONLY prediction that can come out of such a worldview is that Obama would never be re-elected. Hence their complete disbelief when he won.

When I hear a poster claiming things like 'Benghazi will be Obama's Watergate', I think to myself this person has been whipped up into a frenzy by her partisan media. She's not living in the real world. So I post the prediction here, and it's stored for posterity, and people can see how the prediction bears out.

My aim was to show a thoroughly terrible track record of conservative predictions, pointing to the fact that modern conservatives have hyper-ideological, partisan media-warped worldviews. And that they don't live in the real world.

It's not personal. It's just war.

OK. How valid to have a pre-drawn conclusion to cherry pick your evaluations to support. How unbiased, neutral, balanced, and scientific.

KPO

Friday, May 9, 2014 6:48 AM (P)

Post accidentally deleted.

KPO

Monday, May 12, 2014 4:22 AM (P)

A Signy post, from March 14th:

Quote:
Plausible future news... with additions

KIEV AND THE WEST CALL CRIMEAN VOTE A "SHAM"
The government in Kiev called the Crimean referendum a "sham". Citing territorial integrity, the government in Kiev - which has yet to stand for election- said it would refuse to recognize the vote, and that Crimea should be returned to the Ukraine.

KIEV SEEKS CONTROL OF EASTERN UKRAINE
Through a series of coordinated actions by the far-right Kiev government security appointees, the Secretary of National Security and Defence Parubiy (Svoboda), The Secretary of National Security Yarsoh (Right Sector), Deputy Rrime Minister Sych (Svoboda), Acting Chief Prosecutor Makhnitskyy (Svoboda), Security Services Chief Nalyvaichencko, and Minister of Defence Tenhyuk (Svoboda) have embarked on a prgram of troop repositioning and preventive indictments against potential pro-Russian movements.
http://www.channel4.com/news/svoboda-ministers-ukraine-new-government-
far-right

MORE RUSSIAN-SPEAKING PROVINCES ARRANGE FOR REFERENDA
Russian-speaking Ukrainian troops battle Ukrainian-speaking troops from Kiev and take control of government buildings in Donetsk and other eastern Urkainian cities. Newly appointed "people's governors" arrange for referenda on thefuture of their city, or province.

KIEV CLAIMS RUSSIAN INTERFERENCE IN DONETSK AND OTHER EASTERN CITIES, SENDS IN MORE TROOPS
Kiev has claimed that Russian troops, disguised as pro-Russian militants, have taken over government buildings and have shot several Ukrainian citizens. Kiev sends in additional troops from western Ukraine to quell these disturbances and oust the invaders.

ON REQUEST FROM PROVISIONAL GOVERNMENTS OF EAST UKRAINE, RUSSIA SENDS IN TROOPS
These troops cross the border to "protect Russian citizens".

THE WEST PLACES ADDITIONAL SANCTIONS ON RUSSIA
In addition to visa restrictions and asset freezes, the West places a general banking freeze on Russian transactions.

RUSSIA PLACES COUNTER-SANCTIONS ON THE WEST
The sale of natural gas is restricted. Russian businesses owing money to western banks and enterprises default. Russia begins a massive US Treasury sale.

KIEV DELAYS NATIONAL ELECTIONS
Citing national security, the transitional government of Kiev has canceled national elections indefinitely. When asked whether this would effect aid and loan guarantees from the West, and IMF loans, western sources and IMF head Christine Lagarde said they did not foresee any difficulty with the Ukrainian government being able to maintain its financial authority over the nation. There are many upcoming agreements to be signed with the EU.

KIEV ANNOUNCES AUSTERITY
Because of the cutoff of natural gas deliveries and the subsequent price hike, the transitional Prime Minister, Arseniy Yatseniuk, has announced that natural gas subsidies would be cut back significantly. The IMF has insisted, as it has done with most of its governmental loans, that subsidies be cut in order to shore up governmental finances. Yatseniuk, himself a banker and favored by the United States to head the transitional government, has full authority to obtain loans and sign international agreements, according to the EU and the USA.

MAIDAN SQUARE ERUPTS AGAIN

THE SVOBODA-PARTY IN CHARGE OF INTERNAL SECURITY BEGINS THE ROUNDUP OF DISAFFECTED UKRAINIANS

It's not personal. It's just war.

KPO

Monday, May 12, 2014 4:22 AM (P)

double

SIGNYM

Monday, May 12, 2014 4:45 AM (P)

Thank you, at least it's here.

How many of you thought that Saddam had WMD?
Who among you thought that Assad used chemical weapons in Syria?
How many of you were surprised by 9-11?
Did any of you predict the meltdown of 2008?
Who thought that Russia invaded Georgia unprovoked?

KPO

Thursday, June 19, 2014 5:19 AM (P)

Jongstraw: "If Barry loses the Senate, he will be impeached, convicted, and removed from office. Holder and Rice will be right behind him. Could all be wrapped up by February or March."

It's not personal. It's just war.

THGRRI

Thursday, June 19, 2014 7:35 AM (P)

Quote:
Originally posted by kpo:

Jongstraw: "If Barry loses the Senate, he will be impeached, convicted, and removed from office. Holder and Rice will be right behind him. Could all be wrapped up by February or March."

It's not personal. It's just war.

No one will be impeached.

si shen

CHRISISALL

Thursday, June 19, 2014 8:02 AM (P)

Quote:
Originally posted by SIGNYM:
How many of you thought that Saddam had WMD?

Not me.

Quote:

Who among you thought that Assad used chemical weapons in Syria?

I doubted it.

Quote:

How many of you were surprised by 9-11?

I was surprised at the magnitude, but not the fact of it.

Quote:

Did any of you predict the meltdown of 2008?

I'd seen it coming since about 2000.

Quote:

Who thought that Russia invaded Georgia unprovoked?

I plead ignorance on this one.

KPO

Tuesday, July 1, 2014 6:08 AM (P)

Paul Krugman rounds up 6 conservative predictions on Obamacare: http://krugman.blogs.nytimes.com/2014/06/26/zero-for-six/?_php=true&am
p;_type=blogs&module=BlogPost-Title&version=Blog%20Main&contentCollection=Opinion&action=Click&pgtype=Blogs®ion=Body&_r=0

It's not personal. It's just war.

THGRRI

Tuesday, July 1, 2014 6:10 AM (P)

Nicely done KPO. I missed a lot of the shit you guys must have caught during the years of this debate. I predict none will admit being wrong and will call this all a lie, or not even respond to it at all.

si shen

1KIKI

Tuesday, July 1, 2014 6:24 AM (P)

Is this a prediction?

Quote:
Originally posted by Jongsstraw:
Ok River, Rue, Signy, Kiki, Magons and whatever other names you use to spread your liberal whoredom around here. And yes, we'll see if you're still a useless piece of shit on 6/28/14.

SAGAN: We are releasing vast quantities of carbon dioxide, increasing the greenhouse effect. It may not take much to destabilize the Earth's climate, to convert this heaven, our only home in the cosmos, into a kind of hell.

KPO

Saturday, July 5, 2014 2:02 AM (P)

Geezer on Obamacare: "What's going to be interesting is seeing what the government will do when it ... finds out that there are large numbers of folks who aren't eligible for all or part of the health care subsidies they've received."

It's not personal. It's just war.

BYTEMITE

Monday, July 7, 2014 8:12 PM (P)

Quote:
Geezer on Obamacare: "What's going to be interesting is seeing what the government will do when it ... finds out that there are large numbers of folks who aren't eligible for all or part of the health care subsidies they've received."

Wow, that's almost kind of zen. Most of the concerns I've heard have been about people who fall in the coverage gap, not about people defrauding the system.

It's an interesting comment on us that this is the first place our minds go - a belief that the healthcare system is terrible (admittedly, it is) coupled with an assumption that people want that terrible healthcare so badly that they'll steal and game the system in the service of their own health.

Considering how much abuse the insurance companies heaped on us all, the pendulum was bound to swing the other way eventually. It'll utterly screw over the economics of it though, I grant you.

JEWELSTAITEFAN

Tuesday, July 8, 2014 4:30 AM (P)

Quote:
Originally posted by BYTEMITE:
Quote:
Geezer on Obamacare: "What's going to be interesting is seeing what the government will do when it ... finds out that there are large numbers of folks who aren't eligible for all or part of the health care subsidies they've received."

Wow, that's almost kind of zen. Most of the concerns I've heard have been about people who fall in the coverage gap, not about people defrauding the system.

What world do you live in?
Do you avoid all news outlets? Avoid reality?
Mainline MSM news? Intravenous drip Obamination talking points?

REAVERFAN

Tuesday, July 8, 2014 4:33 AM (P)

Quote:
Originally posted by JEWELSTAITEFAN:
Quote:
Originally posted by BYTEMITE:
Quote:
Geezer on Obamacare: "What's going to be interesting is seeing what the government will do when it ... finds out that there are large numbers of folks who aren't eligible for all or part of the health care subsidies they've received."

Wow, that's almost kind of zen. Most of the concerns I've heard have been about people who fall in the coverage gap, not about people defrauding the system.

What world do you live in?
Do you avoid all news outlets? Avoid reality?
Mainline MSM news? Intravenous drip Obamination talking points?

Oh, do show us your sources. This should be funny.

This thread is making you reichwingers look as dumb and deluded as you always were.

BYTEMITE

Tuesday, July 8, 2014 4:47 AM (P)

Quote:
Originally posted by JEWELSTAITEFAN:
Quote:
Originally posted by BYTEMITE:
Quote:
Geezer on Obamacare: "What's going to be interesting is seeing what the government will do when it ... finds out that there are large numbers of folks who aren't eligible for all or part of the health care subsidies they've received."

Wow, that's almost kind of zen. Most of the concerns I've heard have been about people who fall in the coverage gap, not about people defrauding the system.

What world do you live in?
Do you avoid all news outlets? Avoid reality?
Mainline MSM news? Intravenous drip Obamination talking points?

When even Jack is complaining about falling in the coverage gap, and he's drunk most of the time and not sure what's going on, then I am led to conclude that's the bigger problem.

Also what about all that stuff people were bitching about the expense to small businesses due to the coverage gap? Come on.

And I don't watch any news, I mostly just feel what's going on in the world through osmotic learning and logic based predictions. Despite this, I'm usually more on point more often than not - at least when I'm not trolling or lying my ass off about something. Like watching the news.

KPO

Friday, July 25, 2014 9:33 AM (P)

Jongstraw (Jul/14) - "Does any of it matter now? A full scale Russian invasion of Ukraine appears imminent, and Obama, Kerry, and the Eurotards can't do a damn thing about it."

It's not personal. It's just war.

SIGNYM

Saturday, July 26, 2014 10:10 PM (P)

Hey, most of my predictions are coming true! Just not in the order I expected.

Once austerity really starts to bite, it will be interesting to see how long Kiev stands, and what it will do to its citizens in the meantime to stay afloat.

BYTEMITE

Thursday, July 31, 2014 8:30 PM (P)

Quote:
Originally posted by G:
G: Complaining and/or predicting an action or outcome, has no effect on that action or outcome.

Ooh. You'd actually be surprised. I can think of numerous times people have made a "leak" in the form of prediction and speculation, and it stopped some black op or another because now people would be watching for it.

It's called "feeding the lunatic fringe" and it works surprisingly well considering the "fringe" you're leaking to tries to attribute most everything to aliens and sasquatch.

KPO

Wednesday, August 6, 2014 8:00 PM (P)

Auraptor - "Glenn Beck says to buy gold! He just may be onto something."

Gold price today, per ounce:

$1,288.50
€964.27

It's not personal. It's just war.

BYTEMITE

Wednesday, August 6, 2014 8:19 PM (P)

Yeah, I imagine Beck made a killing off that.

So apparently in the century before last there were numerous recessions caused by inflation of gold and silver prices.

HMM gee, I wonder what the ramifications of that are. Maybe gold and silver aren't a safe infallible investment after all? Maybe there ARE no safe investments (real estate was also thought to be a safe investment before 2008)?

Maybe stocking up gold and silver in case the economy collapses is a load of patooey because if it's really so bad the dollar is no longer a standard of currency, gold and silver will be equally worthless because you can't EAT them.

KPO

Friday, September 26, 2014 4:59 AM (P)

kpo, on MH17 - "I'm cautiously optimistic that analysis of shrapnel fragments will show that a BUK missile was used. Of course at that point pro-Kremlin media will just switch to blaming the Ukrainian army for firing it."

kpo - "I would even guess that Donetsk Airport is a strategic objective that Putin has signed off on.

Fighting has been constant around the airport over the past few weeks. I won't be surprised if the airport changes hands over the course of this 'ceasefire' - or is what leads to its unravelling."

It's not personal. It's just war.

KPO

Friday, September 26, 2014 5:19 AM (P)

Quote:
Originally posted by kpo:

Auraptor - "Glenn Beck says to buy gold! He just may be onto something."

Gold price today, per ounce:

$1,288.50
€964.27

It's not personal. It's just war.

Gold price today, per ounce:

$1,222.10
€958.53

I guess it's a long term investment...

It's not personal. It's just war.

JEWELSTAITEFAN

Wednesday, October 1, 2014 5:24 AM (P)

Quote:
Originally posted by BYTEMITE:
Quote:
Originally posted by G:
G: Complaining and/or predicting an action or outcome, has no effect on that action or outcome.

Ooh. You'd actually be surprised. I can think of numerous times people have made a "leak" in the form of prediction and speculation, and it stopped some black op or another because now people would be watching for it.

It's called "feeding the lunatic fringe" and it works surprisingly well considering the "fringe" you're leaking to tries to attribute most everything to aliens and sasquatch.

Also called self-fulfilling prophecy.

JO753

Wednesday, October 1, 2014 7:18 AM (P)

Quote:
Originally posted by SIGNYM:
How many of you thought that Saddam had WMD?

They fooled me.

Quote:
Who among you thought that Assad used chemical weapons in Syria?

Didnt he?

Quote:
How many of you were surprised by 9-11?

I wuz.

It worked out well for me tho. I showed up for court completely unaware. Hardly anybody wuz there, including the party pressing chargez, so case dismissed! Didnt find out wut wuz going on till I got home & turned on the TV.

Quote:
Did any of you predict the meltdown of 2008?

I knew the real estate bubble had to pop eventually, but didnt know it woud precipitate a colapse uv the financial system.

Looked at my predictionz. Total faliure.

----------------------------
DUZ XaT SEM RiT TQ YQ? - Jubal Early

http://www.nooalf.com

JEWELSTAITEFAN

Thursday, October 2, 2014 6:00 AM (P)

Quote:
Originally posted by JO753:
Quote:
Originally posted by SIGNYM:
How many of you thought that Saddam had WMD?

They fooled me.
Quote:
Who among you thought that Assad used chemical weapons in Syria?

Didnt he?

Quote:
How many of you were surprised by 9-11?

I wuz.

It worked out well for me tho. I showed up for court completely unaware. Hardly anybody wuz there, including the party pressing chargez, so case dismissed! Didnt find out wut wuz going on till I got home & turned on the TV.

Quote:
Did any of you predict the meltdown of 2008?

I knew the real estate bubble had to pop eventually, but didnt know it woud precipitate a colapse uv the financial system.

Looked at my predictionz. Total faliure.

I sold out of the market beginning of Feb 2008 - how do you rate that as "prediction" - and I also convinced many of my friends to do the same.

JO753

Thursday, October 2, 2014 6:52 AM (P)

I rate it excellent. How did you know?

----------------------------
DUZ XaT SEM RiT TQ YQ? - Jubal Early

http://www.nooalf.com

JEWELSTAITEFAN

Friday, October 3, 2014 3:45 AM (P)

Quote:
Originally posted by JO753:
I rate it excellent. How did you know?

----------------------------
DUZ XaT SEM RiT TQ YQ? - Jubal Early

http://www.nooalf.com

Prior to Obamanomics, the trigger hit end of Jan.

JEWELSTAITEFAN

Friday, October 3, 2014 5:00 AM (P)

Quote:
Originally posted by JEWELSTAITEFAN:
Quote:
Originally posted by JO753:
I rate it excellent. How did you know?

Prior to Obamanomics, the trigger hit end of Jan.

Sorry, I was running out of time.

For the century prior to Obamanomics ruining the US Economy, there was an excellent triggering indicator for significant Bear market. I was highly interested in this during the late 80s and all of the 90s, since I wanted to know when to time the market to avoid Bear. I wanted to partake in Bull, and avoid Bear.
Take the high market closing price of DJIA. Whenever a Bear market is about to hit, it will be predicated by a 15% drop from the high of the cycle. Then, at least historically, there will be a profit-taking bump, followed by the Bear.
During the 80s, before the juggernaut of Reaganomics took full effect, DJIA was at 777.
By early 2001 the DJIA had already hit a high of about 12,000. I think it was about April 2001 when the Dow dropped to about 10,200 - or at least 15% below it's high. I didn't notice until May or June, and at the time I had restrictions on my retirement account with something like a 2 month delay before interfund transfers could take effect. Plus I was away from home for a month, and my passwords were at home. However, I did inform friends and coworkers that a Bear market was imminent. Those that took my advice got out in July. My sellout took effect in August, with Dow still above 10,000. I forget how high the bump was, something like 8%, which I missed out on. By September 10th, Dow was dropping rapidly and under 10,000.

Those who took my advice did not lose the 45% of their life's savings like most did. I got a lot of free dinners in 2002 and 03.

In October 2007 the Rock the Vote Congress' first budget took effect, Dow peaked at 14,000.

JO753

Friday, October 3, 2014 7:22 AM (P)

Interesting stuff. In sum other universe in wich I moved to Wall Street wen I wuz 18, I'm all about that shiz. Here, I'm just a poor working chump with the foolish notion that making real products shoud be a lucrativ endevour. Therefor, I never had any money to invest.

You say 'Obamanomics'. Do you mean your 15% formula duznt work anymore?

Back in 07 or 8, I correctly predicted that the price uv gas woud drop below 2$ per gallon and won a bet agenst a fend who had gotten pulled in by the Fox Newz vortex. If you recall, Glen Beck wuz frothing at the mouth with predictionz uv 5, 8 10$ gas!!!

Its not too hard to tell the difference between actual value in a commodity and a bubble. The problem iz that our financial system iz not based on reality, so both bubblez and real stuff can get deflated equally.

----------------------------
DUZ XaT SEM RiT TQ YQ? - Jubal Early

http://www.nooalf.com

JEWELSTAITEFAN

Saturday, October 4, 2014 3:58 AM (P)

Quote:
Originally posted by JEWELSTAITEFAN:
Quote:
Originally posted by JEWELSTAITEFAN:
Quote:
Originally posted by JO753:
I rate it excellent. How did you know?

Prior to Obamanomics, the trigger hit end of Jan.

Sorry, I was running out of time.

For the century prior to Obamanomics ruining the US Economy, there was an excellent triggering indicator for significant Bear market. I was highly interested in this during the late 80s and all of the 90s, since I wanted to know when to time the market to avoid Bear. I wanted to partake in Bull, and avoid Bear.
Take the high market closing price of DJIA. Whenever a Bear market is about to hit, it will be predicated by a 15% drop from the high of the cycle. Then, at least historically, there will be a profit-taking bump, followed by the Bear.
During the 80s, before the juggernaut of Reaganomics took full effect, DJIA was at 777.
By early 2001 the DJIA had already hit a high of about 12,000. I think it was about April 2001 when the Dow dropped to about 10,200 - or at least 15% below it's high. I didn't notice until May or June, and at the time I had restrictions on my retirement account with something like a 2 month delay before interfund transfers could take effect. Plus I was away from home for a month, and my passwords were at home. However, I did inform friends and coworkers that a Bear market was imminent. Those that took my advice got out in July. My sellout took effect in August, with Dow still above 10,000. I forget how high the bump was, something like 8%, which I missed out on. By September 10th, Dow was dropping rapidly and under 10,000.

Those who took my advice did not lose the 45% of their life's savings like most did. I got a lot of free dinners in 2002 and 03.

In October 2007 the Rock the Vote Congress' first budget took effect, Dow peaked at 14,000.

Ran out of time again.
At the end of Jan 2008, like 28th or so, DJIA dropped to about 12,460 - or a 15% drop.
Now, the concern for me was, this was now the era of computer trading, and programs. Previously the bump and subsequent Bear took months, but could this all happen in a matter of weeks or days? So I got out around 4 or 6 Feb, and missed out on the profits of 6-8% during Feb and March.

So, me and the friends who listened to me in 2001 saved about 40% of our money (actually, we earned that 40% when we got back in at the bottom of Bear), and rode the wave from about 7,400 up to 14,000 - and then again saved in 2008 about 55% of our money, and again rode the wave from about 5 or 6,000 in 2009 up to, what, 17,000 now?

But under Obamanomics, the market is no longer a US economy, and may never be again.

JONGSSTRAW

Saturday, October 4, 2014 5:00 AM (P)

Funny that only you and George Soros knew when the market was gonna tank.

"A hundred million miracles,
a hundred million miracles,
are happening every day."

JEWELSTAITEFAN

Saturday, October 4, 2014 5:28 AM (P)

Quote:
Originally posted by Jongsstraw:
Funny that only you and George Soros knew when the market was gonna tank.

"A hundred million miracles,
a hundred million miracles,
are happening every day."

I never told Soros anything.
Funny?

JEWELSTAITEFAN

Saturday, October 4, 2014 5:36 AM (P)

Quote:
Originally posted by JO753:
Interesting stuff. In sum other universe in wich I moved to Wall Street wen I wuz 18, I'm all about that shiz. Here, I'm just a poor working chump with the foolish notion that making real products shoud be a lucrativ endevour. Therefor, I never had any money to invest.

You say 'Obamanomics'. Do you mean your 15% formula duznt work anymore?

Correct. Except it was not "my" formula.
Obamanomics has destroyed the American Economy. The Markets used to be an indicator of the economy, the tail wagged by the dog of economic power. Under Obamanomics, the US economy is the tiny dog being wagged by the giant tail of markets - we now hear that huge changes in the market, tripping the market circuit breakers over and over again, are caused not by some real world event, but somebody burped in Athens, and then another passed wind in Amsterdam, etc, etc, etc.
Under the cycle from Mar 2009 to I think it was July 2011, the peak had dropped to a 15% trough on July 2 of that year (maybe it was 2010, I forget now). Under the 100-year formuls, that would have been the onset of Bear, but under obamanomics, it has become a false flag.

KPO

Saturday, October 4, 2014 6:52 AM (P)

Damn it JSF - stop giving yourself credit for predictions you allegedly made and make new ones.

Signy - "but -when all is said and done- eventually we'll probably find out that it was USA-hired mercs who sniped the Maidan, Kiev neo-Nazis who killed people in Odessa, and neo-Nazis who brought down MH17."

It's not personal. It's just war.

KPO

Tuesday, October 7, 2014 9:47 PM (P)

With respect to Arctic sea ice, Auraptor asserts repeatedly:

Auraptor - "It's growing, not melting."

http://fireflyfans.net/mthread.aspx?bid=18&tid=58555&p=1

It's not personal. It's just war.

KPO

Sunday, November 30, 2014 4:39 PM (P)

Signy's thread: "Ukraine: Closer and closer to major-powers war"

http://fireflyfans.net/mthread.aspx?tid=58859

It's not personal. It's just war.

KPO

Sunday, November 30, 2014 4:43 PM (P)

Quote:
Originally posted by kpo:
Quote:
Originally posted by kpo:

Auraptor - "Glenn Beck says to buy gold! He just may be onto something."

Gold price today, per ounce:

$1,288.50
€964.27

It's not personal. It's just war.

Gold price today, per ounce:

$1,222.10
€958.53

I guess it's a long term investment...

It's not personal. It's just war.

Gold price today, per ounce:

$1168.50
€937.22

It's not personal. It's just war.

SIGNYM

Sunday, November 30, 2014 8:20 PM (P)

Glad to see someone is keeping track! It keeps us all honest, which surely is a necessary but thankless task on FFF! So, a belated "I'm thankful for KPO's diligent effort in the predictions thread".

--------------
You can't build a nation with bombs. You can't create a society with guns.

JEWELSTAITEFAN

Monday, December 1, 2014 12:58 AM (P)

Quote:
Originally posted by kpo:
Damn it JSF - stop giving yourself credit for predictions you allegedly made and make new ones.

I didn't take credit, just the fundage added to my accounts.

JEWELSTAITEFAN

Monday, December 1, 2014 1:05 AM (P)

Quote:
Originally posted by kpo:
With respect to Arctic sea ice, Auraptor asserts repeatedly:

Auraptor - "It's growing, not melting."

http://fireflyfans.net/mthread.aspx?bid=18&tid=58555&p=1

It's not personal. It's just war.

So, you are supporting AURaptor's predictions? You are acknowledging his superior ability to observe the truth instead of your libtard delusions?
I suppose a 29% growth in only one year was difficult for even the likes of you to ignore.

http://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-2415191/And-global-COOLING-Ret
urn-Arctic-ice-cap-grows-29-year.html

https://nsidc.org/arcticseaicenews/

Although the following is from Sept 2013, I was not sure when AURaptor started mentioning the truth to your disbelieving ears.
http://guardianlv.com/2013/09/arctic-ice-cap-growing-at-tremendous-rat
e/

MAGONSDAUGHTER

Friday, December 5, 2014 2:10 AM (P)

Quote:
Originally posted by kpo:
Damn it JSF - stop giving yourself credit for predictions you allegedly made and make new ones.

It's like the psychic who says "i knew that was going to happen' AFTER the event.

AURAPTOR

Friday, December 5, 2014 4:30 AM (P)

Quote:
Originally posted by kpo:

Auraptor on Obamacare hitting its 7 million sign up target:

"Funny how the administration is touting 7.1 MILLION!! on April's Fools Day.

Seriously, you'd have to be a gorram fool to believe this President."

JSF agrees with him:

"How asleep at the wheel must one be to belive this?
How brain dead must one be to belive this as truth?"

It's not personal. It's just war.

They failed. What else is new ?

HHS Admits Error in ACA Enrollment Numbers, Revises Figure to 6.7M

Friday, November 21, 2014

http://www.californiahealthline.org/articles/2014/11/21/hhs-admits-err
or-in-aca-enrollment-numbers-revises-figure-to-6-7m

Only took them 6+ months, and right after the mid-term elections, to come clean on that minor detail. Most dishonest, corrupt admin - EVER !

And as for the Glenn Beck says buy gold quote, I don't recall when I said it. He's been pitching gold for I don't know how long. One of the ads I hear frequently has the prediction that gold will top $2k an ounce by years end. Best I can tell, it's not even sniffed $ 1,500.

Smart or dumb, I don't have $ in gold. For what ever that's worth to anyone.

JEWELSTAITEFAN

Saturday, December 6, 2014 2:55 AM (P)

Quote:
Originally posted by AURaptor:
Quote:
Originally posted by kpo:
Auraptor on Obamacare hitting its 7 million sign up target:

"Funny how the administration is touting 7.1 MILLION!! on April's Fools Day.

Seriously, you'd have to be a gorram fool to believe this President."

JSF agrees with him:

"How asleep at the wheel must one be to belive this?
How brain dead must one be to belive this as truth?"

They failed. What else is new ?

HHS Admits Error in ACA Enrollment Numbers, Revises Figure to 6.7M

Friday, November 21, 2014

http://www.californiahealthline.org/articles/2014/11/21/hhs-admits-err
or-in-aca-enrollment-numbers-revises-figure-to-6-7m

Only took them 6+ months, and right after the mid-term elections, to come clean on that minor detail. Most dishonest, corrupt admin - EVER !

It only took 7 2/3 months to admit the truth?
And in the past 2 weeks, kpo has not rushed to point out how you were correct, that he was wrong, that this thread really is unbiased, and points out the conservative actual real predictions are valid instead of merely propping up his fake predictions?
Oh, wait - he did not, it had to wait for a reasonable person to post this obvious truth. Another opportunity for the libtards to claim balance, fairness, non-bias is squandered.

JEWELSTAITEFAN

Saturday, December 6, 2014 2:59 AM (P)

Quote:
Originally posted by Magonsdaughter:
Quote:
Originally posted by kpo:
Damn it JSF - stop giving yourself credit for predictions you allegedly made and make new ones.

It's like the psychic who says "i knew that was going to happen' AFTER the event.

I knew she was going to post that. I mean, really, who didn't see that coming? But if I had posted, she would have reversed her inclination, creating a paradox.

AURAPTOR

Saturday, December 6, 2014 4:21 AM (P)

What never ceases to amaze me is , no matter how many times they're shown to be factually wrong - WMD in Iraq ( there were ) , if you like your plan, you can keep it ( no, you really can't ) , Benghazi was about a video ( it wasn't ), 7 million sign ups by March 31st ( which was the bare minimum they were expecting ) the Left continue to get it wrong and to fail.

Miserably.

Fathom the hypocrisy of a government that requires every citizen to prove they are insured... but not everyone must prove they are a citizen

I'm just a red pill guy in a room full of blue pill addicts.

" AU, that was great, LOL!! " - Chrisisall

JEWELSTAITEFAN

Sunday, December 7, 2014 3:54 AM (P)

Quote:
Originally posted by JEWELSTAITEFAN:
Quote:
Originally posted by Magonsdaughter:
Quote:
Originally posted by kpo:
Damn it JSF - stop giving yourself credit for predictions you allegedly made and make new ones.

It's like the psychic who says "i knew that was going to happen' AFTER the event.

I knew she was going to post that. I mean, really, who didn't see that coming? But if I had posted, she would have reversed her inclination, creating a paradox.

And another thing: When uber-libtards McCain selected Sarah Palin as running mate, I evaluated if he might die soon enough after being elected, so I could justify voting for her in spite of him. I judged that he would not have enough likelihood of dying, so I could not vote for his ticket. I was right. Same with liberal Romney after selecting Ryan. Both of those tards are still among the living.

KPO

Monday, December 15, 2014 3:32 AM (P)

It seems safe at this point to predict that Russia will suffer a recession next year. There's also the serious possibility of a financial crisis there...

It's not personal. It's just war.

AURAPTOR

Monday, December 15, 2014 4:41 AM (P)

Quote:
Originally posted by kpo:

It seems safe at this point to predict that Russia will suffer a recession next year. There's also the serious possibility of a financial crisis there...

It's not personal. It's just war.

So, no need for any incursions into Ukraine then, right ?

JEWELSTAITEFAN

Wednesday, December 17, 2014 5:58 AM (P)

I'll make a conditional prediction.
IF the DJIA (Dow Jones Industrial Average) drops to 15,257; then I predict that there will be a bump up to between 16,155-17,050 which might take a week or month to occur, and then at some point (weeks or months) after bumping up to 16,150 or so, it will drop far below 15,000 for an extended period (months or years).

KPO

Wednesday, December 17, 2014 11:49 PM (P)

I think there's a significant chance there could be a major international incident caused by a Russian military plane (or some other vessel) flying aggressively near to or in Western airspace, in the next year.

It's not personal. It's just war.

KPO

Sunday, December 21, 2014 7:11 AM (P)

Signy, on Greece:

The current troika-friendly Samaras government is in a throw-down with Tsipras (head of Syriza) over whether to accept Samaras' choice of President. If the Parliament doesn't agree to Samaras' choice, new elections must be held - elections which Syriza is likely to win.

It's not personal. It's just war.

KPO

Sunday, December 21, 2014 7:20 AM (P)

Signy on the ruble crisis - http://fireflyfans.net/mthread.aspx?tid=58918

Several predictions, including these:

"The one thing that Putin is NOT going to do (he says) is waste his foreign reserves on propping up the ruble."

"In the end, it's anybody's guess what happens to the Russian economy and finances. Or the USA's for that matter. Too much depends on political decision made a top levels, this is not an area that can be predicted by economics. My crystal ball is cloudy; I'm taking a wait-and-see approach."

That last one isn't really a prediction, but it contrasts well with the confident predictions by some of us that Russia will have a recession, and probably a serious one.

It's not personal. It's just war.

KPO

Tuesday, December 23, 2014 9:35 PM (P)

Signy - "Russia is not bowed down under a huge debt ratio. Their fundamentals ... both economic and financial .... are fairly sound, probably even better than the USAs after years of "quantitative easing". A 50% drop in the price of oil should lead to a 20% drop in the ruble (because oil and gas aren't the ONLY components to the Russian economy), not 50%. That's why I believe this is politically-driven and is already reverting back to something financially sensible."

It's not personal. It's just war.

ELVISCHRIST

Wednesday, December 24, 2014 3:58 AM (P)

I predicted that there would be no new Ebola cases linked to the doctor in New York or the nurse in Maine.

Looks like I nailed that one.

It almost seems like following the proper protocols negates the risk of contracting Ebola, but nobody on the right wants to talk about that now.

KPO

Wednesday, December 24, 2014 4:01 AM (P)

Signy:

"Meanwhile, Kiev is continuing to do everything it can to start a full-scale war between NATO and/or individual NATO members, and Russia:
Ukraine votes to drop neutral status
http://www.bbc.com/news/world-europe-30587924

Time to tally up "who's got what" and start thinking about who is going to win this war."

It's not personal. It's just war.

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