REAL WORLD EVENT DISCUSSIONS

Elections; 2024

POSTED BY: THG
UPDATED: Wednesday, November 27, 2024 13:36
SHORT URL:
VIEWED: 66524
PAGE 47 of 97

Wednesday, April 24, 2024 8:02 PM

SECOND

The Joss Whedon script for Serenity, where Wash lives, is Serenity-190pages.pdf at https://www.mediafire.com/two


Donald Trump's Truth Social (stock symbol DJT) just gets scammier and scammier

https://jabberwocking.com/truth-social-just-gets-scammier-and-scammier/

Yesterday Truth Social had 136 million shares outstanding at a closing price of $32.57. Today, after Trump met the terms for a payout of 36 million new shares, they effectively have 172 million shares outstanding at a closing price of $35.67.

So in one day, in which nothing happened, the paper value of the company went from $4.4 billion to $6.1 billion. That's an increase of nearly 40% in an already valueless company for no reason whatsoever.

Trump Media & Technology Group Corp
https://www.google.com/finance/quote/DJT:NASDAQ?authuser=0&window=
YTD

The Joss Whedon script for Serenity, where Wash lives, is Serenity-190pages.pdf at
https://www.mediafire.com/folder/1uwh75oa407q8/Firefly

NOTIFY: Y   |  REPLY  |  REPLY WITH QUOTE  |  TOP  |  HOME  

Wednesday, April 24, 2024 8:12 PM

6IXSTRINGJACK


Quote:
Originally posted by THG:
Quote:
Originally posted by second:
Quote:
Originally posted by THG:
And with the abortion issues taking hold while Trump is on trial, the first of many, I predict Trumps' numbers are going to collapse; hard and soon.

OH yeah, tick tock

T
You'd be dismayed to know that 99% of Americans, despite years' worth of opportunities to learn, still are not aware that Trump is crazy, stupid, and dangerous. For one example of Trump's dismaying behavior from last week that was discussed today:

The inherent absurd comedy of these exchanges aside, this is serious stuff. The most egregious Trump post was something the former president put on Truth Social last week after the first two days of jury selection. In it, he went after jurors, which is just about the biggest no-no in the U.S. court system, even if you don’t have millions of rabid fans, some of whom have already demonstrated their willingness to commit crimes at your behest.

The concerns about witness intimidation are very real. Multiple jurors backed out at the last possible moment prior to being seated, and one even did so after being seated. Another juror tried to back out on Monday and was apparently convinced to stay on. Each of the past two days I’ve been in the court, jurors have tended to stare straight ahead without looking at Trump, even though they enter and exit the courtroom by walking right by him. How could they not be intimidated by a man who holds the loudest platform in the country and is willing to use it?

https://slate.com/news-and-politics/2024/04/trump-contempt-of-court-ju
dge-merchan-todd-blanche.html

The Joss Whedon script for Serenity, where Wash lives, is Serenity-190pages.pdf at
https://www.mediafire.com/folder/1uwh75oa407q8/Firefly


by Julia Terruso
Updated Apr. 24, 2024, 3:49 p.m. ET
|
Published Apr. 24, 2024, 12:01 p.m. ET

More than 150,000 Republicans voted for Nikki Haley in Pa.’s presidential primary

More than 16% of the state’s GOP electorate supported the former South Carolina governor over former President Donald Trump, the party’s presumptive nominee.

Former South Carolina Gov. Nikki Haley dropped out of the Republican presidential race in early March but still received more than 16% of the vote in Pennsylvania’s Republican presidential primary Tuesday, a sign of discontent with former President Donald Trump as the GOP nominee.

The vote for Haley, whose name appeared on the ballot despite her campaign suspension, was strongest in Southeastern Pennsylvania, with Montgomery County giving Haley nearly a quarter of the vote.

https://www.inquirer.com/politics/election/pennsylvania-presidential-p
rimary-results-nikki-haley-20240424.html


And, you had to have been a registered Republican to have voted. This is good news SECOND.

tick tock

T


Yeah. It's a huge deal to go online and change your party affiliation 15 days before the election.

https://www.vote.pa.gov/Register-to-Vote/Pages/How-to-Update-Your-Regi
straton.aspx

Quote:
How to change your political party

On the voter registration form, select the box that says 'Change of Party.'

You can change your political party at any time. When the change gets made in the system depends on when you make the change.

Changes made more than 15 days before an election will take effect for that election.
Changes made 15 days or less before an election will take effect for the next election.


As if there aren't plenty of TDStards with 5 minutes of spare time to "do their part".

It's heartening to know that out of a state with over 13 Million people in it, there's only 150,000 of them that are this sad.



Meanwhile, Joe* wasn't too far behind Trump's 82.8% with only 88.2% of the Democrat's vote in Pennsylvania.

That's better than he did in 2020 though when Biden* only got 79% of the Democratic vote in the primary with Bernie grabbing 18%.

https://ballotpedia.org/Presidential_election_in_Pennsylvania,_2020

Only 88% last night? Well I thought Joe Biden* wasn't running against anybody after the DNC made it clear there wasn't going to be any debates and that no other Democrat candidate would be taken seriously.

--------------------------------------------------

Political correctness is just tyranny, with a smiley face.

NOTIFY: Y   |  REPLY  |  REPLY WITH QUOTE  |  TOP  |  HOME  

Thursday, April 25, 2024 7:33 AM

SECOND

The Joss Whedon script for Serenity, where Wash lives, is Serenity-190pages.pdf at https://www.mediafire.com/two


So, 112 ignoble, infantile Republicans voted to endanger civilization

By George F. Will | April 24, 2024

https://www.washingtonpost.com/opinions/2024/04/24/ignoble-house-repub
licans-against-ukraine-aid/

Stoking the passion that is their excuse for pandering — the nihilism of a febrile minority in their party — a majority of House Republicans voted last Saturday to endanger civilization. Hoping to enhance their political security in their mostly safe seats, and for the infantile satisfaction of populist naughtiness (insulting a mostly fictitious “establishment”), they voted to assure Vladimir Putin’s attempt to erase a European nation.

The Republican Party was founded as a noble rejection of the most consequential bad thing Congress has ever done: the 1854 Kansas-Nebraska Act, which authorized territories to vote slavery up or down, thereby valuing popular sovereignty more than liberty. On Saturday, the House voted 311-112 for $61 billion for Ukraine, with 112 ignoble House Republicans voting to condemn Ukraine to death, starved of such military basics as artillery shells. How many of the 112 know or care that more than half the $61 billion will fund restocking U.S. munitions inventories, as well as Ukraine’s purchases of U.S. weapons?

President Biden has been blameworthy for what is rightly disparaged as the “drip feed” of weapons to Ukraine. It is fair to say of him what Theodore Roosevelt said of President William Howard Taft: He “means well feebly.”

Tuesday’s Senate ratification of Ukrainian aid proves that Dwight Eisenhower’s baton of Republican internationalism was passed, via Ronald Reagan, to Mitch McConnell. They are the three most important Republicans of the past 100 years.

Congress’s support for Ukraine ranks with two other nation-defining congressional acts.

In March 1941, Congress approved Lend-Lease aid to Britain and others (235 Democrats and 24 Republicans yea, 25 Democrats and 135 Republicans nay). This “most unsordid act in the history of nations” (Winston Churchill) ended the facade of U.S. neutrality. By approving aid for Greece and Turkey in May 1947, Congress affirmed (161 Democrats and 126 Republicans yea, 13 Democrats and 93 Republicans nay) the Truman Doctrine: The United States would assist democratic nations threatened by authoritarians. World War II’s end would not revive isolationism.

In today’s Republican Party, dominated by someone who repudiates the internationalism to which Eisenhower committed the party seven decades ago, the cabal of grotesques might yet predominate.

It includes Missouri’s Sen. Josh Hawley, who thinks we have given “blank checks” to Ukraine (actually, 5 percent of defense spending, and less than half the monetary value of European support). Yet Hawley says we cannot defend both Ukraine and Taiwan, so this would be an excellent time to reduce the U.S. forces in Europe that are deterring Russia from aggressions against NATO allies. Another grotesque, Ohio’s Sen. J.D. Vance, an itinerant Neville Chamberlain visiting green rooms, would welcome Ukraine’s death on the installment plan (see Czechoslovakia in 1938-1939). Georgia’s Rep. Marjorie Taylor Greene (she who wonders whether Jewish space lasers cause forest fires) expresses her loathing of Ukraine with lunatic accusations that confirm the judgment of Texas’s Rep. Michael McCaul (Republican chair of the House Foreign Affairs Committee) that Russian propaganda has “infected a good chunk of my party’s base.”

We have defined heroism so far down that it encompasses Speaker Mike Johnson (R-La.) allowing a House vote on assisting Ukrainians’ resistance to indiscriminate bombardments of population centers, ethnic cleansing, rape, torture and the abduction of children. Oleksandra Matviichuk, the Ukrainian winner of the 2022 Nobel Peace Prize, adds: “One woman I interviewed had her eye extracted with a spoon.”

Heroism is not required of Ukraine’s NATO and other allies, whose combined GDPs are 20 times that of Russia. The cost of losing, by ill-conceived parsimony, this proxy war with a barbarian power possessing the world’s largest nuclear arsenal would be steep.

The Economist columnist Charlemagne says Ukraine’s defeat would be a “Suez moment” for the West. Meaning, a humbling demonstration of waning power. Two months ago, Estonian intelligence said: “Russians in their own thinking are calculating that military conflict with NATO is possible in the next decade.” Josep Borrell, the European Union’s chief diplomat, says: “A high-intensity, conventional war in Europe is no longer a fantasy.”

Today’s Moscow-Beijing-Tehran axis is, as the 1930s Axis was, watching. Johns Hopkins foreign policy analyst Hal Brands, writing for Bloomberg, reminds us: “Italy’s invasion of Abyssinia in 1935 encouraged Hitler to send his military back into the Rhineland in 1936, just as Germany’s blitzkrieg through Western Europe in 1940 emboldened Japan to press into Southeast Asia.”

We can now see that the great unraveling that was World War II perhaps began with Japan’s 1931 invasion of Manchuria. Without the benefit of retrospection, we cannot be certain that World War III has not begun.

The Joss Whedon script for Serenity, where Wash lives, is Serenity-190pages.pdf at
https://www.mediafire.com/folder/1uwh75oa407q8/Firefly

NOTIFY: Y   |  REPLY  |  REPLY WITH QUOTE  |  TOP  |  HOME  

Thursday, April 25, 2024 8:24 AM

SECOND

The Joss Whedon script for Serenity, where Wash lives, is Serenity-190pages.pdf at https://www.mediafire.com/two


Prosecutors have finally homed in on their strategy to jail Trump

By Jeremy Stahl | April 25, 2024, 5:40 AM

https://slate.com/news-and-politics/2024/04/conspiracy-against-trump-c
harge-why-now.html

Bragg’s prosecutorial team has finally started laying out how they are going to sell this complex case to jurors: not by pitching it as a specifically illegal paperwork misfiling, but by boiling it down to a criminal “conspiracy” to illegally manipulate voters and win the 2016 election.

The word “conspiracy” was not a prominent feature of Bragg’s pretrial legal filings. But it came up again and again in the first two days of presentation to the jury this week. The idea of a “conspiracy” was so central to the prosecution’s case—and maybe so ominous-sounding—that Trump’s defense team even tried to get prosecutors to stop using the word.

It’s understandable why they’d do that. Taking part in a “criminal conspiracy” sounds a lot worse than allegedly violating Byzantine campaign finance laws that nobody really understands and that might not normally even be enforced properly anyhow.

The Joss Whedon script for Serenity, where Wash lives, is Serenity-190pages.pdf at
https://www.mediafire.com/folder/1uwh75oa407q8/Firefly

NOTIFY: Y   |  REPLY  |  REPLY WITH QUOTE  |  TOP  |  HOME  

Thursday, April 25, 2024 11:35 AM

6IXSTRINGJACK


Quote:
Originally posted by second:
Prosecutors have finally homed in on their strategy to jail Trump

By Jeremy Stahl | April 25, 2024, 5:40 AM

https://slate.com/news-and-politics/2024/04/conspiracy-against-trump-c
harge-why-now.html

Bragg’s prosecutorial team has finally started laying out how they are going to sell this complex case to jurors: not by pitching it as a specifically illegal paperwork misfiling, but by boiling it down to a criminal “conspiracy” to illegally manipulate voters and win the 2016 election.

The word “conspiracy” was not a prominent feature of Bragg’s pretrial legal filings. But it came up again and again in the first two days of presentation to the jury this week. The idea of a “conspiracy” was so central to the prosecution’s case—and maybe so ominous-sounding—that Trump’s defense team even tried to get prosecutors to stop using the word.

It’s understandable why they’d do that. Taking part in a “criminal conspiracy” sounds a lot worse than allegedly violating Byzantine campaign finance laws that nobody really understands and that might not normally even be enforced properly anyhow.

The Joss Whedon script for Serenity, where Wash lives, is Serenity-190pages.pdf at
https://www.mediafire.com/folder/1uwh75oa407q8/Firefly



In other words, it's all bullshit. But we already knew that.


Trump will be fine.

He will also be your next President.



--------------------------------------------------

Political correctness is just tyranny, with a smiley face.

NOTIFY: Y   |  REPLY  |  REPLY WITH QUOTE  |  TOP  |  HOME  

Thursday, April 25, 2024 4:15 PM

SECOND

The Joss Whedon script for Serenity, where Wash lives, is Serenity-190pages.pdf at https://www.mediafire.com/two


National Enquirer boss says Trump bragged about hush money in front of the FBI director

David Pecker, the publisher of National Enquirer, is still testifying in the Trump hush money trial. The New York Times tells us about a snippet of his testimony this morning:

Pecker has just given us a very detailed description of Jared Kushner walking him into Trump Tower, and then into Trump’s office, shortly before Trump's inauguration as president. In the office were four noteworthy people: James Comey, Sean Spicer, Reince Priebus and Mike Pompeo.

....Pecker says that in front of Comey, the head of the F.B.I., Trump thanked him for purchasing the stories — and likely committing at least one crime in the process, as Pecker well knew. It's of course not clear what Comey heard. But this is a wild, wild scene we are hearing about.

This is classic Trump: bragging about breaking the law in front of the head of the FBI because, hey, the guy works for me now and has to protect me. Also this:

Prosecutors ask David Pecker whether Trump was concerned about his wife or family finding out about his alleged affairs when he was campaigning for office. Pecker responds no. This suggests that Trump’s worries were electoral, not personal.

Pecker has already testified that the hush money paid to Stormy Daniels was "to help the campaign," but here the prosecution asks him again in more detail. Pecker is very clear: Trump didn't care about his family knowing about it. The concern was all about Trump's campaign.

This is crucial because it (potentially) makes the hush money effectively an unreported and covered-up campaign contribution. That's the underlying felony the prosecution is trying to prove.

https://jabberwocking.com/national-enquirer-boss-says-trump-bragged-ab
out-hush-money-in-front-of-the-fbi-director/

The Joss Whedon script for Serenity, where Wash lives, is Serenity-190pages.pdf at
https://www.mediafire.com/folder/1uwh75oa407q8/Firefly

NOTIFY: Y   |  REPLY  |  REPLY WITH QUOTE  |  TOP  |  HOME  

Thursday, April 25, 2024 5:29 PM

6IXSTRINGJACK


Quote:
Originally posted by second:
National Enquirer boss says Trump bragged about hush money in front of the FBI director

David Pecker, the publisher of National Enquirer, is still testifying in the Trump hush money trial. The New York Times tells us about a snippet of his testimony this morning:

Pecker has just given us a very detailed description of Jared Kushner walking him into Trump Tower, and then into Trump’s office, shortly before Trump's inauguration as president. In the office were four noteworthy people: James Comey, Sean Spicer, Reince Priebus and Mike Pompeo.

....Pecker says that in front of Comey, the head of the F.B.I., Trump thanked him for purchasing the stories — and likely committing at least one crime in the process, as Pecker well knew. It's of course not clear what Comey heard. But this is a wild, wild scene we are hearing about.


It's also of course not clear if this is just more bullshit somebody is being paid to say too.





Yanno... one day you're going to run out of court cases and then I'm really going to be able to say I told you so.

Or you could learn that they're just going to let you down again because what they're doing is unconstitutional and they will not win.



--------------------------------------------------

Political correctness is just tyranny, with a smiley face.

NOTIFY: Y   |  REPLY  |  REPLY WITH QUOTE  |  TOP  |  HOME  

Thursday, April 25, 2024 7:14 PM

SECOND

The Joss Whedon script for Serenity, where Wash lives, is Serenity-190pages.pdf at https://www.mediafire.com/two


Quote:
Originally posted by 6ixStringJack:

It's also of course not clear if this is just more bullshit somebody is being paid to say too.

Yanno... one day you're going to run out of court cases and then I'm really going to be able to say I told you so.

Or you could learn that they're just going to let you down again because what they're doing is unconstitutional and they will not win.
"Trump will be fine. He will be your next President." 6ix, why write anything more than that for everything all the time? It would save you mental effort and is as factual as anything else you write.

The Joss Whedon script for Serenity, where Wash lives, is Serenity-190pages.pdf at
https://www.mediafire.com/folder/1uwh75oa407q8/Firefly

NOTIFY: Y   |  REPLY  |  REPLY WITH QUOTE  |  TOP  |  HOME  

Thursday, April 25, 2024 8:09 PM

6IXSTRINGJACK


Quote:
Originally posted by second:
Quote:
Originally posted by 6ixStringJack:

It's also of course not clear if this is just more bullshit somebody is being paid to say too.

Yanno... one day you're going to run out of court cases and then I'm really going to be able to say I told you so.

Or you could learn that they're just going to let you down again because what they're doing is unconstitutional and they will not win.
"Trump will be fine. He will be your next President." 6ix, why write anything more than that for everything all the time? It would save you mental effort and is as factual as anything else you write.

The Joss Whedon script for Serenity, where Wash lives, is Serenity-190pages.pdf at
https://www.mediafire.com/folder/1uwh75oa407q8/Firefly



What I write is factual, because I actually investigate things for myself and don't live off of reading headlines from the news and political cartoons like Ted does, or reading blog posts from pretentious idiot assholes who can't even put links to back up the made up bullshit they post like you do.

Don't worry about my mental effort, son. I've got 10 times the synapses firing in my brain than you do at any given time, and constantly shutting you down and embarrassing you by pointing out whenever I catch you plagiarizing somebody else's work as your own thoughts takes little to no effort at all. I have an easier time doing this than you do wiping your own ass.



Oh...

Trump will be fine. He will also be your next President.



--------------------------------------------------

Political correctness is just tyranny, with a smiley face.

NOTIFY: Y   |  REPLY  |  REPLY WITH QUOTE  |  TOP  |  HOME  

Thursday, April 25, 2024 8:16 PM

6IXSTRINGJACK


Quote:
Originally posted by 6ixStringJack:
What I write is factual, because I actually investigate things for myself and don't live off of reading headlines from the news and political cartoons like Ted does, or reading blog posts from pretentious idiot assholes who can't even put links to back up the made up bullshit they post like you do.


Oh... speaking of which.

I just realized I was writing a reply to your recent post regarding idiot Kevin Drum yesterday and never posted it until just now.

Here you go, dummy...


Quote:
Originally posted by second:
Donald Trump's Truth Social (stock symbol DJT) just gets scammier and scammier

https://jabberwocking.com/truth-social-just-gets-scammier-and-scammier/

Yesterday Truth Social had 136 million shares outstanding at a closing price of $32.57. Today, after Trump met the terms for a payout of 36 million new shares, they effectively have 172 million shares outstanding at a closing price of $35.67.

So in one day, in which nothing happened, the paper value of the company went from $4.4 billion to $6.1 billion. That's an increase of nearly 40% in an already valueless company for no reason whatsoever.

Trump Media & Technology Group Corp
https://www.google.com/finance/quote/DJT:NASDAQ?authuser=0&window=
YTD


Here's what idiot Kevin Drum had to say on April 24th...

Quote:
Yesterday Truth Social had 136 million shares outstanding at a closing price of $32.57. Today, after Trump met the terms for a payout of 36 million new shares, they effectively have 172 million shares outstanding at a closing price of $35.67.

So in one day, in which nothing happened, the paper value of the company went from $4.4 billion to $6.1 billion. That's an increase of nearly 40% in an already valueless company for no reason whatsoever.

It's a 20th century version of the South Sea Bubble, and it's too late to stop it. So many people are going to lose their life savings over this.



Perhaps you and your boy Kevin Drum should let the adults report on this story.


FORBES (Apr 23, 2024,02:16am EDT):

The Trump Media Stock Price (DJT) Is About To Adjust Down By -22.7%

https://www.forbes.com/sites/johntobey/2024/04/23/the-trump-media-stoc
k-price-djt-is-about-to-adjust-down-by227/?sh=6ccbe49a5e71

Quote:
Here is the math for Trump Media's earnout plan:

Before earnout shares:

Current share price (April 22 close): $35.50
Current shares outstanding: 136.7M
Market capitalization: $4.85B

After earnout shares added:

Shares outstanding: 136.7M + 40.0M earnout = 176.7M outstanding
Market capitalization: $4.85B (earnout value added = $0)
Adjusted share price: $4.85B / 176.7M = $27.45
Percent price adjustment down: ($27.45 / $35.50) -1 = (22.7)%



Quick aside... you can't even find the DJT stock info on Google using the same methods you would use to search for any other stock ticker. I had to go to Yahoo to get the information for today because that's how blatant Google is with their partisanship/censorship in 2024.

https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/DJT/


And then this is what I was going to say...

Quote:
Market Cap as of writing this post is listed there as "4.876B", regardless if what it is saying that the individual share price is right now. That's a match for what it was before the dividend. So either this dividend didn't actually happen today, or somebody screwed up here. But you know there's no way it was Trump. I know you think of him as some sort of Lex Luthor type figure who is always up to no good and has the ability to just do whatever he wants to do like make $1.5 BILLION appear out of thin air while every freaking eye is on him.

I assure you, that's not what's happening. Certainly not when Forbes puts out a 3AM article about the details a day before the dividend.




But then I put 5 minutes of effort into a Google search and came up with absolutely nothing regarding this event taking place anywhere other than inside of Kevin Drum's head.

The Forbes article from yesterday (two days ago now) put no date on these proceedings, nor did it use the word "tomorrow" once. You can't find any information about it having taken place anywhere.

If you look at that yahoo link above for the DJT Stock, it's still sitting at 136.7 Million shares.



Hey! Kevin! The split/dividend hasn't happened yet, dummy.

But I suspect you knew that because you couldn't find any links and just decided to write 3 deranged paragraphs pulled right out of your ass instead.

It looks as though lies and fairy tales about your narrative is exactly what your low-info idiot readership wants, Kevin, so it would appear that you know your audience well.

Kudos to that. I appreciate the grift.



--------------------------------------------------

Political correctness is just tyranny, with a smiley face.

NOTIFY: Y   |  REPLY  |  REPLY WITH QUOTE  |  TOP  |  HOME  

Friday, April 26, 2024 1:29 AM

6IXSTRINGJACK


Wouldn't it be funny if Second actually was Kevin Drum in real life and I hadn't caught him in the act of plagiarizing anything because he just forgot to make it look like he was quoting somebody else when he re-posted his stuff here?



--------------------------------------------------

Political correctness is just tyranny, with a smiley face.

NOTIFY: Y   |  REPLY  |  REPLY WITH QUOTE  |  TOP  |  HOME  

Saturday, April 27, 2024 6:10 PM

6IXSTRINGJACK


Biden's 13th-Quarter Approval Average Lowest Historically

Averages 38.7% job approval

https://news.gallup.com/poll/644252/biden-13th-quarter-approval-averag
e-lowest-historically.aspx

Quote:
From a broader historical perspective, Biden’s most recent quarterly average ranks 277th out of 314 presidential quarters in Gallup records dating to 1945. That puts it in the bottom 12% of all presidential quarters.
Biden Job Approval Showing No Signs of Increasing

The latest quarterly average for Biden is technically the lowest of his presidency to date, though not meaningfully different from the previous quarter’s 39.0%. After Biden averaged better than 50% approval during his first two quarters in office, his subsequent readings have been near 40%.

...

With about six months remaining before Election Day, Biden stands in a weaker position than any prior incumbent, and thus faces a taller task than they did in getting reelected.


--------------------------------------------------

Political correctness is just tyranny, with a smiley face.

NOTIFY: Y   |  REPLY  |  REPLY WITH QUOTE  |  TOP  |  HOME  

Sunday, April 28, 2024 9:30 AM

SECOND

The Joss Whedon script for Serenity, where Wash lives, is Serenity-190pages.pdf at https://www.mediafire.com/two


Can Allan Lichtman predict the 2024 election?

The professor on his famous 13 ‘keys’ to the White House, a method for predicting election results

https://www.theguardian.com/us-news/2024/apr/26/allan-lichtman-predict
ion-presidential-election

Perhaps Lichtman’s most striking prophecy, defying polls, commentators and groupthink, was that Trump would pull off a win over Hillary Clinton in 2016.

After the election, Lichtman received a copy of the Washington Post interview in which he made the prediction. On it was written in a Sharpie pen: “Congrats, professor. Good call. Donald J Trump.”

Lichtman was right about 2020, too. “The pandemic is what did Trump in. He congratulated me for predicting him but he didn’t understand the keys. The message of the keys is it’s governance not campaigning that counts and instead of dealing substantively with the pandemic, as we know, he thought he could talk his way out of it and that sank him.”

As another election looms, he is not impressed by polls that show Trump leading Biden, prompting a fatalistic mood to take hold in Washington DC and foreign capitals.

“They’re mesmerized by the wrong things, which is the polls. First of all, polls six, seven months before an election have zero predictive value. They would have predicted President Michael Dukakis. They would have predicted President Jimmy Carter would have defeated Ronald Reagan, who won in a landslide; Carter was way ahead in some of the early polls.

“Not only are polls a snapshot but they are not predictors. They don’t predict anything and there’s no such thing as, ‘if the election were held today’. That’s a meaningless statement.”

He is likely to make his pronouncement on the 2024 presidential election in early August. He notes that Biden already has the incumbency key in his favour and, having crushed token challengers in the Democratic primary, has the contest key too. “That’s two keys off the top. That means six more keys would have to fall to predict his defeat. A lot would have to go wrong for Biden to lose.”

“But it’s always possible there could be a cataclysmic enough event outside the scope of the keys that could affect the election and here we do have, for the first time, not just a former president but a major party candidate sitting in a trial and who knows if he’s convicted – and there’s a good chance he will be – how that might scramble things.”

Millions of people will be on edge on the night of 5 November. After 40 years of doing this, Lichtman will have one more reason to be anxious. “It’s nerve-racking because there are a lot of people who’d love to see me fail.” And if he does? “I’m human,” he admits. “It doesn’t mean my system’s wrong. Nothing is perfect in the human world.”

The Joss Whedon script for Serenity, where Wash lives, is Serenity-190pages.pdf at
https://www.mediafire.com/folder/1uwh75oa407q8/Firefly

NOTIFY: Y   |  REPLY  |  REPLY WITH QUOTE  |  TOP  |  HOME  

Sunday, April 28, 2024 3:39 PM

6IXSTRINGJACK


Yeah. Trump's an incumbent too.

And there wasn't any serious competition against Biden* because the DNC wouldn't allow it. That's why you've got RFK running independent. They might have stopped talking about it for now, but remember only a month ago all the speculation that they're going to replace Biden* last minute. That still may happen too.









Here's the keys:

Quote:
1. Party mandate: After the midterm elections, the incumbent party holds more seats in the US House of Representatives than after the previous midterm elections.


-1 Key: Democrats lost 9 seats to Republicans in 2022.

Quote:
2. Contest: There is no serious contest for the incumbent party nomination.


Neutral: DNC didn't allow anybody serious to run against Biden*. They let Crystal Lady run.

Quote:
3. Incumbency: The incumbent party candidate is the sitting president.


Neutral: Both men are incumbents, and Joe Biden* has the lowest job approval of any president we have historical data for. By a long shot.

Quote:
4. Third party: There is no significant third party or independent campaign.


-1 Key: RFK

Quote:
5. Short-term economy: The economy is not in recession during the election campaign.


Neutral: They've been lying about recession for over 2 years now, with the legacy media trying to tell us we're just imagining that the economy sucks.

Quote:
6. Long-term economy: Real per capita economic growth during the term equals or exceeds mean growth during the previous two terms.


Neutral: It's easy to make massive gains on this when a global plandemic came about and made 2020's numbers look so bad by comparison. Most of those gains were just jobs that came back. People might be making a little bit more, but everything costs far more.

Quote:
7. Policy change: The incumbent administration effects major changes in national policy.


-1 Key: You bet he did. And none of it in a positive way. 10 Million illegal aliens taking over all of our big cities and counting. The Afghanistan Withdrawl debacle that initially put Joe Biden* on his negative approval rating which he has never recovered from. How about 2 or 3 or 4 more wars going on depending on the day, and hundreds and hundreds of billions of dollars going overseas, seemingly entirely wasted, allegedly to protect everyone else's borders yet we don't do anything about our own?

Quote:
8. Social unrest: There is no sustained social unrest during the term.


-1 Key: There's social unrest everyday. Just wait until August when the convention hits Chicago and the world gets to see all the different factions of typically Democrat voters throwing the city into chaos.

Quote:
9. Scandal: The incumbent administration is untainted by major scandal.


Neutral: Half the country believes he has been plagued with scandal. The other half doesn't.

Quote:
10. Foreign/military failure: The incumbent administration suffers no major failure in foreign or military affairs.


-1 Key: Joe Biden*'s administration has been a train wreck globally.

Quote:
11. Foreign/military success: The incumbent administration achieves a major success in foreign or military affairs.


-1 Key: Joe Biden*'s administration has been a train wreck globally.

Quote:
12. Incumbent charisma: The incumbent party candidate is charismatic or a national hero.


-1 Key: Joe Biden* has negative charisma.

And no... Punching some kid in the nose because your mom paid you a quarter to do it, or giving Corn Pop what for does not count as a national hero anywhere outside of what's left of Joe's* brain.

Quote:
13. Challenger charisma: The challenging party candidate is not charismatic or a national hero.


Neutral: Half the country believes Trump is very charismatic. The other half believes he's the end of Democracy.


I think I've done my best to be conservative with these and not take away more keys that he probably shouldn't keep.

And that's -7 Keys. Arguably more, depending on the bias of the person making the list.

Key Guy had better be real careful about his own biases on this one if he wants to keep it to only 1 loss out of 11 in November.

--------------------------------------------------

Political correctness is just tyranny, with a smiley face.

NOTIFY: Y   |  REPLY  |  REPLY WITH QUOTE  |  TOP  |  HOME  

Sunday, April 28, 2024 9:08 PM

6IXSTRINGJACK


CNN apparently isn't seeing whatever you guys think you're seeing. Either that, or there's another change in the way the wind is blowing.

They just gave Trump +6 in their latest poll, which coming from CNN means something given that they're currently the pro-Trump outlier on the list with the highest number for Trump by +3.

https://www.realclearpolling.com/polls/president/general/2024/trump-vs
-biden



There have only been 5 polls that looked better for Trump in 2024, and 3 of them were Rasmussen Reports.


--------------------------------------------------

Political correctness is just tyranny, with a smiley face.

NOTIFY: Y   |  REPLY  |  REPLY WITH QUOTE  |  TOP  |  HOME  

Monday, April 29, 2024 8:39 AM

6IXSTRINGJACK


Quote:
Originally posted by 6ixStringJack:
CNN apparently isn't seeing whatever you guys think you're seeing. Either that, or there's another change in the way the wind is blowing.

They just gave Trump +6 in their latest poll, which coming from CNN means something given that they're currently the pro-Trump outlier on the list with the highest number for Trump by +3.

https://www.realclearpolling.com/polls/president/general/2024/trump-vs
-biden



There have only been 5 polls that looked better for Trump in 2024, and 3 of them were Rasmussen Reports.


--------------------------------------------------

Political correctness is just tyranny, with a smiley face.



And as of today, Trump is back up in all 7 swing state polling aggregates by at least 1 point everywhere except for Pennsylvania, all the way up to 5.4 points.

--------------------------------------------------

Political correctness is just tyranny, with a smiley face.

NOTIFY: Y   |  REPLY  |  REPLY WITH QUOTE  |  TOP  |  HOME  

Monday, April 29, 2024 2:36 PM

THG


T



NOTIFY: Y   |  REPLY  |  REPLY WITH QUOTE  |  TOP  |  HOME  

Monday, April 29, 2024 2:40 PM

THG


T



NOTIFY: Y   |  REPLY  |  REPLY WITH QUOTE  |  TOP  |  HOME  

Monday, April 29, 2024 3:02 PM

THG


T


NOTIFY: Y   |  REPLY  |  REPLY WITH QUOTE  |  TOP  |  HOME  

Monday, April 29, 2024 3:03 PM

THG


T


NOTIFY: Y   |  REPLY  |  REPLY WITH QUOTE  |  TOP  |  HOME  

Monday, April 29, 2024 3:04 PM

THG


They're bringing it now.

T

NOTIFY: Y   |  REPLY  |  REPLY WITH QUOTE  |  TOP  |  HOME  

Monday, April 29, 2024 3:29 PM

6IXSTRINGJACK


What are you on about, dummy?

There's no Neocons left on this board, so nobody here is going to watch any Lincoln Project videos out of you.

--------------------------------------------------

Political correctness is just tyranny, with a smiley face.

NOTIFY: Y   |  REPLY  |  REPLY WITH QUOTE  |  TOP  |  HOME  

Monday, April 29, 2024 4:28 PM

THG


Elections; 2024

POSTED BY: THG
UPDATED: Monday, April 29, 2024 15:29
SHORT URL:
VIEWED: 22024
PAGE 47 of 47


T

NOTIFY: Y   |  REPLY  |  REPLY WITH QUOTE  |  TOP  |  HOME  

Monday, April 29, 2024 4:52 PM

6IXSTRINGJACK


Quote:
Originally posted by THG:
Elections; 2024

POSTED BY: THG
UPDATED: Monday, April 29, 2024 15:29
SHORT URL:
VIEWED: 22024
PAGE 47 of 47


T



Before you go blowing yourself too much, Teddy boy, a lot of those page views are just from us.

Every time you click on the thread it's one page view. If you click on the most recent page, that's another page view. When you make a post and post it and it goes back to the thread with your new post, that's another page view. If you back out of a post you're creating to reference something previously posted and go back to your post in progress, that's another page view. Every time you edit a post and click "Update Post" that's another page view.

If you're looking for a post that a previous person made on a thread that now has 47 pages, well you're probably going to add something like 10 page views at least as you try to narrow it down to the timeframe you think it was made.

I do most of those things every post that I make here. And as far as editing posts, I'm known to edit up to a dozen times when I'm writing them. Right now, I've added another 7 page views just writing this reply.

(Oops... I edited it again and forgot to change that to 8 page views. So now I'm adding another page view just to make this edit, and I've added 9 page views just writing this post).



This thread is 1.5 years old now and has somewhere in the area of 2,300 to 2,350 posts now.

The VAST majority of those page views are just us posting in this thread every day.





(Oh... and here's a nice round 10th page view while writing this post, just to tell you that we are more or less alone in here).


--------------------------------------------------

Political correctness is just tyranny, with a smiley face.

NOTIFY: Y   |  REPLY  |  REPLY WITH QUOTE  |  TOP  |  HOME  

Monday, April 29, 2024 5:23 PM

6IXSTRINGJACK


I just clicked on it again, and went to the main page again. 2 more views.

Oh... I made this post, so 3 more views.



--------------------------------------------------

Political correctness is just tyranny, with a smiley face.

NOTIFY: Y   |  REPLY  |  REPLY WITH QUOTE  |  TOP  |  HOME  

Monday, April 29, 2024 5:53 PM

THG


T






NOTIFY: Y   |  REPLY  |  REPLY WITH QUOTE  |  TOP  |  HOME  

Monday, April 29, 2024 5:59 PM

6IXSTRINGJACK


Quote:
Originally posted by THG:
T








This is no less farcical than anything else you post in the RWED. But by all means, I welcome you to try.



--------------------------------------------------

Political correctness is just tyranny, with a smiley face.

NOTIFY: Y   |  REPLY  |  REPLY WITH QUOTE  |  TOP  |  HOME  

Tuesday, April 30, 2024 2:56 PM

6IXSTRINGJACK


https://twitter.com/WatchChad/status/1783531521992700221?

Reporter: “What’s your message to Joe Biden?”

Union Worker: “Fuck You.”

He didn’t even need a teleprompter.





--------------------------------------------------

Political correctness is just tyranny, with a smiley face.

NOTIFY: Y   |  REPLY  |  REPLY WITH QUOTE  |  TOP  |  HOME  

Tuesday, April 30, 2024 2:58 PM

6IXSTRINGJACK


https://twitter.com/RNCResearch/status/1783181170751992121?

BIDEN, reading from his teleprompter: "Four more years? Pause?"

It's all completely staged.

--------------------------------------------------

Political correctness is just tyranny, with a smiley face.

NOTIFY: Y   |  REPLY  |  REPLY WITH QUOTE  |  TOP  |  HOME  

Tuesday, April 30, 2024 3:00 PM

6IXSTRINGJACK


https://twitter.com/kleavittnh/status/1780379943496548598?

Little kids in Harlem to President Trump as he visits their neighborhood:

“I love you, Trump!”




Man... Just look at all those black and Latino white supremacists!




Joe Biden* is fucking done. All Democrats have left are rich white people and abortion lovers.

--------------------------------------------------

Political correctness is just tyranny, with a smiley face.

NOTIFY: Y   |  REPLY  |  REPLY WITH QUOTE  |  TOP  |  HOME  

Tuesday, April 30, 2024 8:02 PM

SECOND

The Joss Whedon script for Serenity, where Wash lives, is Serenity-190pages.pdf at https://www.mediafire.com/two


Quote:
Originally posted by 6ixStringJack:
Little kids in Harlem to President Trump as he visits their neighborhood:

“I love you, Trump!”

Man... Just look at all those black and Latino white supremacists!

Joe Biden* is fucking done. All Democrats have left are rich white people and abortion lovers.
Those kids support a criminal today. Thirty years into the future, it will be no surprise that those kids have made a bad life for their adult selves. Their trajectory for life is being set right now. I've watched enough bad kids grow, become adults, suffer, and die badly to know the pattern. The same is true with good kids, but when they become adults, they prosper and live long.

Trump Has Always Been a Caricature of a Particular Type of Villain. It’s on Full Display Right Now. Trump is what Bad Kids Want To Grow Up To Be.

As we wait for more explosive testimony, let’s consider what David Pecker made clear. Trump has long acted like a mob boss. Now it’s part of his criminal trial.

People of New York v. Donald Trump resumes Tuesday, picking up where it left off Friday, with the continuation of testimony from a banker who helped handle Michael Cohen’s business affairs. The reason the banker is here? He also tried to assist with Cohen’s fraudulent efforts to open a shell corporation to pay off Stormy Daniels, allegedly on behalf of Donald Trump.

Gary Farro, said banker, is testifying as what is called a custodial witness, or someone who can explain for the jury critical documents in a case but who had no part in the alleged crime. This helps explain why this testimony is the driest the jury has heard so far—though it’s necessary to explain the mechanics of the supposed conspiracy.

https://slate.com/news-and-politics/2024/04/trump-mob-boss-criminal-tr
ial-record.html

The Joss Whedon script for Serenity, where Wash lives, is Serenity-190pages.pdf at
https://www.mediafire.com/folder/1uwh75oa407q8/Firefly

NOTIFY: Y   |  REPLY  |  REPLY WITH QUOTE  |  TOP  |  HOME  

Tuesday, April 30, 2024 8:05 PM

6IXSTRINGJACK


Quote:
Originally posted by second:
Quote:
Originally posted by 6ixStringJack:
Little kids in Harlem to President Trump as he visits their neighborhood:

“I love you, Trump!”

Man... Just look at all those black and Latino white supremacists!

Joe Biden* is fucking done. All Democrats have left are rich white people and abortion lovers.
Those kids support a criminal today. Thirty years into the future, it will be no surprise that those kids have made a bad life for their adult selves. Their trajectory for life is being set right now. I've watched enough bad kids grow, become adults, suffer, and die badly to know the pattern. The same is true with good kids, but when they become adults, they prosper rather than suffer and live long.


So sayeth God.



--------------------------------------------------

Political correctness is just tyranny, with a smiley face.

NOTIFY: Y   |  REPLY  |  REPLY WITH QUOTE  |  TOP  |  HOME  

Tuesday, April 30, 2024 9:51 PM

SECOND

The Joss Whedon script for Serenity, where Wash lives, is Serenity-190pages.pdf at https://www.mediafire.com/two


Quote:
Originally posted by 6ixStringJack:

So sayeth God.
6ix, do you remember your decades of being a drunk? Then you stopped abruptly. You reasserted control of yourself without being a God. That self-control is the difference between a good kid and a bad kid. I've seen that bad kids do not control themselves because, for them, freedom means doing what pleases them. For the bad kid, life is all about doing what you want instead of what you should do, which is why Trump is the Bad Kid's Hero. No president has ever been held in criminal contempt before but today Trump did what he wanted, not what he should. Truly, Trump is a Hero to Bad Kids.

https://slate.com/news-and-politics/2024/04/trump-criminal-contempt-of
-court-historic.html

Trump has been bad all his life. Even as children, certain people appreciate that quality and would vote for Trump if they could. Unfortunately, they don't have Trump's doctors, lawyers, bodyguards, and, especially, his money to protect their lives from the consequences of imitating him. They don't understand what misfortunes will happen to them later in life.

The Joss Whedon script for Serenity, where Wash lives, is Serenity-190pages.pdf at
https://www.mediafire.com/folder/1uwh75oa407q8/Firefly

NOTIFY: Y   |  REPLY  |  REPLY WITH QUOTE  |  TOP  |  HOME  

Tuesday, April 30, 2024 10:19 PM

SECOND

The Joss Whedon script for Serenity, where Wash lives, is Serenity-190pages.pdf at https://www.mediafire.com/two


Donald Trump gave a long interview to Time magazine:
https://time.com/6972022/donald-trump-transcript-2024-election/

Here's a typical Trump exchange:

Okay, sir. Violent crime is going down throughout the country. There was a 6% drop in—

Trump: I don't believe it.

You don’t believe that?

Trump: Yeah, they’re fake numbers.

You think so?

Trump: Well it came out last night. The FBI gave fake numbers.... It’s a lie. It’s fake news.

Sir, these numbers are collected by state and local police departments across the country. Most of them support you. Are they wrong?

Trump: Yeah. Last night. Well, maybe, maybe not. The FBI fudged the numbers and other people fudged numbers. There is no way that crime went down over the last year. There's no way because you have migrant crime. Are they adding migrant crime? Or do they consider that a different form of crime?

What does Trump mean, "It came out last night"? He's referring to an interview on Real America's Voice with John Lott. https://www.facebook.com/watch/?v=775604651205952

John Lott! He's presented as president of the Crime Prevention Research Center, and his latest schtick is telling anyone who will listen that the FBI's crime figures are bogus. This is accomplished via his usual blizzard of misleading statistics — partly by using incorrect data and partly by ignoring inconvenient facts. At the moment, his primary claim is that the FBI's 2023 figures aren't believable because they don't match figures from the NCVS survey of crime. But NCVS hasn't even released its 2023 figures yet, and they won't for several more months.

The Joss Whedon script for Serenity, where Wash lives, is Serenity-190pages.pdf at
https://www.mediafire.com/folder/1uwh75oa407q8/Firefly

NOTIFY: Y   |  REPLY  |  REPLY WITH QUOTE  |  TOP  |  HOME  

Tuesday, April 30, 2024 10:55 PM

SECOND

The Joss Whedon script for Serenity, where Wash lives, is Serenity-190pages.pdf at https://www.mediafire.com/two


The Most Alarming Answer From Trump’s Interview With Time

By Molly Olmstead | April 30, 2024, 6:12 PM

https://slate.com/news-and-politics/2024/04/trump-interview-time-magaz
ine-cover-abortion-monitor-immigration.html

The most shocking response dealt with a hypothetical posed by the reporter, Eric Cortellessa.

Cortellessa: Do you think states should monitor women’s pregnancies so they can know if they’ve gotten an abortion after the ban?

Trump: I think they might do that. Again, you’ll have to speak to the individual states. Look, Roe v. Wade was all about bringing it back to the states.

Trump’s refusal to take a stance on such a sinister possibility shows he remains concerned about disappointing his white evangelical base. But he may have underestimated just how radical his nonstance really was, and just how unsettling it may seem to voters.

That ended up being a theme of the more than hour-long interview: Trump dodged so many questions by railing about his victimhood or boasting about his victories, but when he did give a direct response, it showed a man who had learned no lessons from his 2020 loss or his ongoing legal challenges. The Trump of the interview was as extreme as ever.

Trump also lied a fair bit, as he typically does in interviews. He insisted that his Manhattan trial was “not even a criminal case.” (It is.) He insisted that the only person who died on Jan. 6 was Ashli Babbitt. (She wasn’t.) He once again denied that he had ever written on Truth Social that he might have to “terminate” parts of the U.S. Constitution. (He did.)

A presidential candidate being open to placing a significant portion of its population’s bodies under biological surveillance bodes poorly for democracy.

The Joss Whedon script for Serenity, where Wash lives, is Serenity-190pages.pdf at
https://www.mediafire.com/folder/1uwh75oa407q8/Firefly

NOTIFY: Y   |  REPLY  |  REPLY WITH QUOTE  |  TOP  |  HOME  

Wednesday, May 1, 2024 5:58 AM

SECOND

The Joss Whedon script for Serenity, where Wash lives, is Serenity-190pages.pdf at https://www.mediafire.com/two


Trump Unleashes Bizarre 'Word Salad' Answer During Live Nighttime TV Interview

“It’s just such a sad thing to see,” Trump said. “If you go back a year, go back three or four or five years ago, this would not even be possible to think about. Nobody would be thinking this could happen. You look at the antisemitism, the hatred of Israel by so many people.”

“You go back 10 years, I mean Israel was protected by Congress. And now, Congress is just doing numbers that are unbelievable with I think a very very small group of people within Congress and it’s gotta stop. But we have to go back to the roots. We have to protect, we have to stop the antisemitism that’s just pervading our country right now and Biden has to do something.”

Trump also claimed there were “paid agitators” among the protesters, said some are “brainwashed,” insisted that Israel needs to “clean out the cancer,” and accused President Joe Biden and Senate Majority Leader Chuck Schumer of not being supportive of Israel.

His rambling comments left people on X puzzled:

“Now, Congress is just doing numbers that are unbelievable with I think a very very small group of people within Congress and it’s gotta stop” -WTF does that even mean!? https://t.co/yxB4E3cgF3
— JimmyG (@JimmyG303) May 1, 2024

More at https://www.huffpost.com/entry/donald-trump-word-salad_n_6631f693e4b08
49b2edd8d91

The Joss Whedon script for Serenity, where Wash lives, is Serenity-190pages.pdf at https://www.mediafire.com/two

NOTIFY: Y   |  REPLY  |  REPLY WITH QUOTE  |  TOP  |  HOME  

Wednesday, May 1, 2024 9:10 AM

THG


Quote:
Originally posted by second:
Quote:
Originally posted by 6ixStringJack:

So sayeth God.
6ix, do you remember your decades of being a drunk? Then you stopped abruptly. You reasserted control of yourself without being a God. That self-control is the difference between a good kid and a bad kid. I've seen that bad kids do not control themselves because, for them, freedom means doing what pleases them. For the bad kid, life is all about doing what you want instead of what you should do, which is why Trump is the Bad Kid's Hero. No president has ever been held in criminal contempt before but today Trump did what he wanted, not what he should. Truly, Trump is a Hero to Bad Kids.




Jack hasn't taken control of his life. He admitted he has no job and doesn't want one. Further, he says anyone who has a job is a sucker. So, he has no income and lives off our government's teat; i.e. the tax payers hard earned money. He said he lived off 7 thousand dollars last year. That's no more than what a teenager would earn working a summer job. That is not someone in control, in command of his life.

He hates everything and everybody and mentally lives in a world of conspiracies. He doesn't want to build anything. He only wants to tear everything down. He is a complete loser. And if he isn't drinking anymore, he certainly displays all the tendencies of a dry drunk.

These are not behaviors that could be considered as the behaviors of someone being in control. These are the behaviors of someone who cannot climb out of the hole he dug for himself. Therefore, to avoid embarrassment, loser status, he tells everyone the hole is where he wants to live. That they are stupid for not digging and living in their own hole.

Sad...And like I said, he wants to tear everything down.

T

Donald Trump on What His Second Term Would Look Like

Donald Trump thinks he’s identified a crucial mistake of his first term: He was too nice.

We’ve been talking for more than an hour on April 12 at his fever-dream palace in Palm Beach. Aides lurk around the perimeter of a gilded dining room overlooking the manicured lawn. When one nudges me to wrap up the interview, I bring up the many former Cabinet officials who refuse to endorse Trump this time. Some have publicly warned that he poses a danger to the Republic. Why should voters trust you, I ask, when some of the people who observed you most closely do not?

What emerged in two interviews with Trump, and conversations with more than a dozen of his closest advisers and confidants, were the outlines of an imperial presidency that would reshape America and its role in the world. To carry out a deportation operation designed to remove more than 11 million people from the country, Trump told me, he would be willing to build migrant detention camps and deploy the U.S. military, both at the border and inland. He would let red states monitor women’s pregnancies and prosecute those who violate abortion bans. He would, at his personal discretion, withhold funds appropriated by Congress, according to top advisers. He would be willing to fire a U.S. Attorney who doesn’t carry out his order to prosecute someone, breaking with a tradition of independent law enforcement that dates from America’s founding. He is weighing pardons for every one of his supporters accused of attacking the U.S. Capitol on Jan. 6, 2021, more than 800 of whom have pleaded guilty or been convicted by a jury. He might not come to the aid of an attacked ally in Europe or Asia if he felt that country wasn’t paying enough for its own defense. He would gut the U.S. civil service, deploy the National Guard to American cities as he sees fit, close the White House pandemic-preparedness office, and staff his Administration with acolytes who back his false assertion that the 2020 election was stolen.

Trump remains the same guy, with the same goals and grievances. But in person, if anything, he appears more assertive and confident. “When I first got to Washington, I knew very few people,” he says. “I had to rely on people.” Now he is in charge. The arranged marriage with the timorous Republican Party stalwarts is over; the old guard is vanquished, and the people who remain are his people. Trump would enter a second term backed by a slew of policy shops staffed by loyalists who have drawn up detailed plans in service of his agenda, which would concentrate the powers of the state in the hands of a man whose appetite for power appears all but insatiable. “I don’t think it’s a big mystery what his agenda would be,” says his close adviser Kellyanne Conway. “But I think people will be surprised at the alacrity with which he will take action.”

https://www.msn.com/en-us/news/politics/donald-trump-on-what-his-secon
d-term-would-look-like/ar-AA1nV8xs

NOTIFY: Y   |  REPLY  |  REPLY WITH QUOTE  |  TOP  |  HOME  

Wednesday, May 1, 2024 10:12 AM

SECOND

The Joss Whedon script for Serenity, where Wash lives, is Serenity-190pages.pdf at https://www.mediafire.com/two


Why Trump’s New Campaign Strategy Is So Scary

He’s approaching the 2024 election cycle in a surprisingly practical way.

By Jim Newell | May 01, 2024, 5:45 AM

https://slate.com/news-and-politics/2024/05/trump-campaign-strategy-wh
ite-house-election-endorsements.html

While one of his dear friends, Georgia Rep. Marjorie Taylor Greene, was working toward ousting Speaker Mike Johnson following his decision to bring up Ukraine aid for a vote, Trump rode to Johnson’s defense.

Trump may or may not care about Johnson’s employment situation. But he does know that another booted speaker — and the prospect of another monthlong saga of House Republicans slapping themselves silly attempting to pick a new leader — would not present the best face of Republican leadership to the voting public. Greene’s plan is going nowhere.

Among those who are certain to not be in Washington when he’s elected is South Dakota Gov. Kristi Noem. Noem, a supposed vice presidential prospect, wrote in her soon-to-be-released book about her experience shooting her puppy. Noem’s veepstakes chances were already dim given her state’s strict abortion ban. But if she intended to impress Trump with this display of cruelty, it didn’t work. Trump, again, would like to win the election.

“Trump isn’t a dog person necessarily,” one Trump source told the New York Post, “but I think he understands that you can’t choose a puppy killer as your pick, for blatantly obvious reasons.”

If this were a midterm year, and Trump wasn’t atop the ticket? Sure, maybe puppy-killing would be an asset toward securing an endorsement — or at least not a hindrance. But right now, he has no space for anyone else’s electoral risk but his own.

The Joss Whedon script for Serenity, where Wash lives, is Serenity-190pages.pdf at https://www.mediafire.com/two

NOTIFY: Y   |  REPLY  |  REPLY WITH QUOTE  |  TOP  |  HOME  

Wednesday, May 1, 2024 10:32 AM

SECOND

The Joss Whedon script for Serenity, where Wash lives, is Serenity-190pages.pdf at https://www.mediafire.com/two


Quote:
Originally posted by THG:

Jack hasn't taken control of his life. He admitted he has no job and doesn't want one.

T
Trumptards are puzzled and angry that their lives aren't as prosperous as expected. They refuse to understand the reason: Trumptards are stupid/lazy/assholes. Trumptards love Trump because he is a stupid asshole same as they are. Trump has promised to make them great again without them performing their life's duties competently. He is great and Trumptards think he can do the same for them once he is President. He can't, mostly because Trump inherited a $billion and he can't hand them a $billion, or even a $million, to rectify the mess they made of life with one stupid decision after another.

The Joss Whedon script for Serenity, where Wash lives, is Serenity-190pages.pdf at https://www.mediafire.com/two

NOTIFY: Y   |  REPLY  |  REPLY WITH QUOTE  |  TOP  |  HOME  

Wednesday, May 1, 2024 12:18 PM

SECOND

The Joss Whedon script for Serenity, where Wash lives, is Serenity-190pages.pdf at https://www.mediafire.com/two


The Roberts Court and the Rule of Lawlessness

By Eric Segall - May 01, 2024

The disaster that was the Trump v. United States oral argument reminded me of how little the Roberts Court has actually cared about rule of law values and legal transparency during its 18-year run. Leaving aside the overturning or narrowing of numerous landmark cases from abortion to affirmative action to the free exercise of religion, the Roberts Court has consistently, in the Court’s most important and publicized opinions, engaged in subterfuge, sleight of hand, and even outright lying.

In this post, I discuss landmark cases involving affirmative action, health care, voting rights, separation of church and state, and the Second Amendment to show, not that I disagree with the results (I do), but instead to demonstrate that no matter what side of the issues you may favor in these country-defining cases, the Roberts Court has resolved these questions in a lawless manner because of reliance on demonstrably false facts and obviously misleading descriptions of prior rulings and other legal materials. In short, the Roberts Court has acted lawlessly from the beginning.

More at https://www.dorfonlaw.org/2024/05/the-roberts-court-and-rule-of.html

The Joss Whedon script for Serenity, where Wash lives, is Serenity-190pages.pdf at https://www.mediafire.com/two

NOTIFY: Y   |  REPLY  |  REPLY WITH QUOTE  |  TOP  |  HOME  

Wednesday, May 1, 2024 12:47 PM

THG


Quote:
Originally posted by second:
Quote:
Originally posted by THG:

Jack hasn't taken control of his life. He admitted he has no job and doesn't want one.

T
Trumptards are puzzled and angry that their lives aren't as prosperous as expected. They refuse to understand the reason: Trumptards are stupid/lazy/assholes. Trumptards love Trump because he is a stupid asshole same as they are. Trump has promised to make them great again without them performing their life's duties competently. He is great and Trumptards think he can do the same for them once he is President. He can't, mostly because Trump inherited a $billion and he can't hand them a $billion, or even a $million, to rectify the mess they made of life with one stupid decision after another.

The Joss Whedon script for Serenity, where Wash lives, is Serenity-190pages.pdf at https://www.mediafire.com/two



Yes, agreed...

T

NOTIFY: Y   |  REPLY  |  REPLY WITH QUOTE  |  TOP  |  HOME  

Wednesday, May 1, 2024 12:55 PM

THG


Quote:
Originally posted by second:
The Roberts Court and the Rule of Lawlessness

By Eric Segall - May 01, 2024

The disaster that was the Trump v. United States oral argument reminded me of how little the Roberts Court has actually cared about rule of law values and legal transparency during its 18-year run. Leaving aside the overturning or narrowing of numerous landmark cases from abortion to affirmative action to the free exercise of religion, the Roberts Court has consistently, in the Court’s most important and publicized opinions, engaged in subterfuge, sleight of hand, and even outright lying.

In this post, I discuss landmark cases involving affirmative action, health care, voting rights, separation of church and state, and the Second Amendment to show, not that I disagree with the results (I do), but instead to demonstrate that no matter what side of the issues you may favor in these country-defining cases, the Roberts Court has resolved these questions in a lawless manner because of reliance on demonstrably false facts and obviously misleading descriptions of prior rulings and other legal materials. In short, the Roberts Court has acted lawlessly from the beginning.

More at https://www.dorfonlaw.org/2024/05/the-roberts-court-and-rule-of.html

The Joss Whedon script for Serenity, where Wash lives, is Serenity-190pages.pdf at https://www.mediafire.com/two



There is so much evidence Thomas is corrupt there is no denying it. Alito the same. And all those appointed by Trump lied under oath about overturning Roe.

Jane Roberts was paid more than $10 million by a host of elite law firms after marrying Roberts a whistleblower alleges, making him corrupt as well.

At least one of those firms argued a case before Chief Justice Roberts after paying his wife hundreds of thousands of dollars.

He has never once recused himself.

T

NOTIFY: Y   |  REPLY  |  REPLY WITH QUOTE  |  TOP  |  HOME  

Wednesday, May 1, 2024 3:00 PM

THG

NOTIFY: Y   |  REPLY  |  REPLY WITH QUOTE  |  TOP  |  HOME  

Wednesday, May 1, 2024 3:27 PM

6IXSTRINGJACK


Quote:
Originally posted by THG:
Democrats Massively Overperform In Special Election Triumph


We've been over this countless times before. Democrats always win special elections. It is an indicator of nothing.

--------------------------------------------------

Political correctness is just tyranny, with a smiley face.

NOTIFY: Y   |  REPLY  |  REPLY WITH QUOTE  |  TOP  |  HOME  

Wednesday, May 1, 2024 3:28 PM

6IXSTRINGJACK


Quote:
Originally posted by THG:
Quote:
Originally posted by second:
Quote:
Originally posted by THG:

Jack hasn't taken control of his life. He admitted he has no job and doesn't want one.

T
Trumptards are puzzled and angry that their lives aren't as prosperous as expected. They refuse to understand the reason: Trumptards are stupid/lazy/assholes. Trumptards love Trump because he is a stupid asshole same as they are. Trump has promised to make them great again without them performing their life's duties competently. He is great and Trumptards think he can do the same for them once he is President. He can't, mostly because Trump inherited a $billion and he can't hand them a $billion, or even a $million, to rectify the mess they made of life with one stupid decision after another.

The Joss Whedon script for Serenity, where Wash lives, is Serenity-190pages.pdf at https://www.mediafire.com/two



Yes, agreed...

T


Have fun at work today boys.



--------------------------------------------------

Political correctness is just tyranny, with a smiley face.

NOTIFY: Y   |  REPLY  |  REPLY WITH QUOTE  |  TOP  |  HOME  

Wednesday, May 1, 2024 3:30 PM

6IXSTRINGJACK


Quote:
Originally posted by second:
Quote:
Originally posted by 6ixStringJack:

So sayeth God.
6ix, do you remember your decades of being a drunk? Then you stopped abruptly. You reasserted control of yourself without being a God.


Oh shut the fuck up dude.

I'm referencing you judging two 7 year old kids and the path that their life is going to take because they're attending a Trump rally.

You are a psychopath.

--------------------------------------------------

Political correctness is just tyranny, with a smiley face.

NOTIFY: Y   |  REPLY  |  REPLY WITH QUOTE  |  TOP  |  HOME  

Wednesday, May 1, 2024 3:58 PM

THG


Quote:
Originally posted by 6ixStringJack:
Quote:
Originally posted by THG:
Quote:
Originally posted by second:
Quote:
Originally posted by THG:

Jack hasn't taken control of his life. He admitted he has no job and doesn't want one.

T
Trumptards are puzzled and angry that their lives aren't as prosperous as expected. They refuse to understand the reason: Trumptards are stupid/lazy/assholes. Trumptards love Trump because he is a stupid asshole same as they are. Trump has promised to make them great again without them performing their life's duties competently. He is great and Trumptards think he can do the same for them once he is President. He can't, mostly because Trump inherited a $billion and he can't hand them a $billion, or even a $million, to rectify the mess they made of life with one stupid decision after another.

The Joss Whedon script for Serenity, where Wash lives, is Serenity-190pages.pdf at https://www.mediafire.com/two



Yes, agreed...

T


Have fun at work today boys.







I'll say it again. Jack hasn't taken control of his life. He admitted he has no job and doesn't want one. Further, he says anyone who has a job is a sucker. So, he has no income and lives off our government's teat; i.e. the tax payers hard earned money. He said he lived off 7 thousand dollars last year. That's no more than what a teenager would earn working a summer job. That is not someone in control, in command of his life.

He hates everything and everybody and mentally lives in a world of conspiracies. He doesn't want to build anything. He only wants to tear everything down. He is a complete loser. And if he isn't drinking anymore, he certainly displays all the tendencies of a dry drunk.

These are not behaviors that could be considered as the behaviors of someone being in control. These are the behaviors of someone who cannot climb out of the hole he dug for himself. Therefore, to avoid embarrassment, loser status, he tells everyone the hole is where he wants to live. That they are stupid for not digging and living in their own hole.

Sad...And like I said, he wants to tear everything down.


T

NOTIFY: Y   |  REPLY  |  REPLY WITH QUOTE  |  TOP  |  HOME  

Wednesday, May 1, 2024 8:15 PM

THG


Just keep talking donnie, just keep talking.

T



NOTIFY: Y   |  REPLY  |  REPLY WITH QUOTE  |  TOP  |  HOME  

Wednesday, May 1, 2024 8:27 PM

THG


T


NOTIFY: Y   |  REPLY  |  REPLY WITH QUOTE  |  TOP  |  HOME  

Wednesday, May 1, 2024 8:42 PM

6IXSTRINGJACK


Quote:
Originally posted by THG:

Jack hasn't taken control of his life. He admitted he has no job and doesn't want one.


Not only do I not care to get a job... I have no NEED to get a job.

I'm set up dude. I figured out the cheat codes for easy mode.

I won't bother reading the rest of your crap because the opinion of a jealous hater doesn't interest me in the slightest.

Have a nice day.



--------------------------------------------------

Political correctness is just tyranny, with a smiley face.

NOTIFY: Y   |  REPLY  |  REPLY WITH QUOTE  |  TOP  |  HOME  

YOUR OPTIONS

NEW POSTS TODAY

USERPOST DATE
6ixStringJack 11.27 01:19
second 11.27 07:29
second 11.27 09:23
second 11.27 12:57
second 11.27 13:36

OTHER TOPICS

DISCUSSIONS
Elections; 2024
Wed, November 27, 2024 13:36 - 4841 posts
NATO
Wed, November 27, 2024 13:27 - 15 posts
In the garden, and RAIN!!! (2)
Wed, November 27, 2024 13:23 - 4773 posts
Russia Invades Ukraine. Again
Wed, November 27, 2024 12:47 - 7508 posts
Why does THUGR shit up the board by bumping his pointless threads?
Wed, November 27, 2024 12:10 - 31 posts
The Death of the Russian Ruble?
Wed, November 27, 2024 10:27 - 16 posts
Subway Death
Wed, November 27, 2024 10:25 - 14 posts
HAH! Romania finds new way to passify Dracula...
Wed, November 27, 2024 10:21 - 6 posts
Venezuela imposes more media controls. Chavez plays maracas.
Wed, November 27, 2024 10:09 - 68 posts
India
Wed, November 27, 2024 10:00 - 142 posts
What kind of superpower could China be?
Wed, November 27, 2024 09:40 - 61 posts
The disaster called Iran
Wed, November 27, 2024 09:10 - 22 posts
 VIEW MORE TOPICS 

FFF.NET SOCIAL