REAL WORLD EVENT DISCUSSIONS

Elections; 2024

POSTED BY: THG
UPDATED: Tuesday, December 17, 2024 18:48
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Sunday, December 15, 2024 9:37 AM

SECOND

The Joss Whedon script for Serenity, where Wash lives, is Serenity-190pages.pdf at https://www.mediafire.com/two


Quote:

Originally posted by 6ixStringJack:

Then, using the same logic right back at you, I look forward to you not complaining one single time about anything for the next 4 years. Yanno... because you are a saint, you've got everything figured out, and everything you've ever said or done in life is God's work.

Looking forward to the next time you post in 2028.

See Ya! Wouldn't want to be ya!


6ix, by now, you should be well aware that I am judgmental. Even God does not rise to my standards:
“Is God willing to prevent evil, but not able? Then he is not omnipotent.
Is he able, but not willing? Then he is malevolent.
Is he both able and willing? Then whence cometh evil?
Is he neither able nor willing? Then why call him God?”

Trump is substandard as a person, but perhaps I expect too much:

Donald Trump’s vision for America

Donald Trump's agenda is taking shape. Apparently he plans to ditch the post office, deregulate the banks, ban polio vaccines, bomb Iran, eliminate daylight saving time, and gut the FBI. I don't really remember any of that stuff from the campaign, but I guess it must have been what we all voted for.¹

Good times are coming, my friends. Good times.

¹Well, 29.7% of us, anyway.

https://jabberwocking.com/donald-trumps-vision-for-america/

The Joss Whedon script for Serenity, where Wash lives, is Serenity-190pages.pdf at https://www.mediafire.com/two

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Sunday, December 15, 2024 9:50 AM

SECOND

The Joss Whedon script for Serenity, where Wash lives, is Serenity-190pages.pdf at https://www.mediafire.com/two


Why did ABC News roll over for Donald Trump?

Dean Baker @DeanBaker13
This isn't hard, ABC News made a campaign contribution to Donald Trump. It is that simple.
8:55 PM • Dec 14, 2024

The topic here is a defamation suit Donald Trump filed against ABC News last March. It's one of the zillions that Trump files regularly and loses just as regularly. But for some reason, only a few days before Trump would have been forced to sit through a damaging deposition, ABC caved and agreed to pay Trump $15 million plus $1 million in legal fees.

This might make sense if ABC had a disastrously weak case and just needed to pull the plug. But they didn't. Trump had sued over an interview George Stephanopoulos did with Rep. Nancy Mace where he repeatedly asked how she could support a man who had been found "liable for rape" in the E. Jean Carroll case. Trump protested that the jury found him liable only for sexual abuse, but the judge later clarified this:
Quote:

The label “rape” as used in criminal prosecutions in New York applies only to vaginal penetration by a penis. Forcible, unconsented-to penetration of the vagina or of other bodily orifices by fingers, other body parts, or other articles or materials is not called “rape” under the New York Penal Law. It instead is labeled “sexual abuse.”

....[This] definition of rape in the New York Penal Law is far narrower than the meaning of “rape” in common modern parlance.... The finding that Ms. Carroll failed to prove that she was “raped” within the meaning of the New York Penal Law does not mean that she failed to prove that Mr. Trump “raped” her as many people commonly understand the word “rape.” Indeed, as the evidence at trial recounted below makes clear, the jury found that Mr. Trump in fact did exactly that.... The proof convincingly established, and the jury implicitly found, that Mr. Trump deliberately and forcibly penetrated Ms. Carroll’s vagina with his fingers, causing immediate pain and long lasting emotional and psychological harm.

Sorry for the long excerpt, but I wanted to provide judge's full context. In short: Trump was not liable for rape under New York's stringent legal requirements, but he did rape Carroll as the term is commonly understood in modern usage.

It doesn't matter if the judge was right about this. It's what he wrote in an "official public proceeding," which means it's privileged and can be freely quoted as long as the source is noted. Stephanopoulos would have argued he did exactly that when he explicitly said, "the judge affirmed that it was rape."

Would he have prevailed? That's impossible to say, but he sure seems to have a strong case. The jury found that Trump had jammed his fingers into Carroll's vagina; a judge said that met the common definition of rape; and Stephanopoulos then cited the judge.

So why did ABC roll over with barely an effort to defend itself? It's a good question. It might have to do with the fact that ABC is owned by Disney, which recently fought with Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis for over a year and eventually paid a stiff price. Maybe they weren't up for another mud wrestling bout with the MAGA crowd.

But one way or the other, their decision seems to have been based on fear, not legal weakness. They were afraid of the retribution Trump might be able to mete out as president. And in this they aren't alone. Trump's revenge-based MO has proven remarkably effective. It's not clear what it will get him in the long run, but in the short run it's already earned him groveling fealty from politicians, foreign leaders, corporate CEOs, and now a major media outlet. This is unique—and uniquely chilling—in American presidential history.

And anyway, how big a deal is a $15 million contribution settlement? For Disney—net profit in 2024: $7.6 billion—it's barely noticeable. Best to just stay safe and write the check.
https://jabberwocking.com/why-did-abc-news-roll-over-for-donald-trump/

The Joss Whedon script for Serenity, where Wash lives, is Serenity-190pages.pdf at https://www.mediafire.com/two

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Monday, December 16, 2024 8:00 AM

SECOND

The Joss Whedon script for Serenity, where Wash lives, is Serenity-190pages.pdf at https://www.mediafire.com/two


Steve Bannon Is Already Claiming Trump Can Run Again in 2028

WHO’S GONNA STOP ME?

The political strategist says the Constitution doesn’t count in this case.

By David Gardner | Dec. 16 2024 5:51AM EST

https://www.thedailybeast.com/steve-bannon-is-already-claiming-trump-c
an-run-again-in-2028
/

According to the Trumptards, three non-consecutive terms are okay. That's not what the Twenty-Second Amendment says, but since when have Trumptards cared? Or even understood?
https://constitution.congress.gov/constitution/amendment-22/
No person shall be elected to the office of the President more than twice, and no person who has held the office of President, or acted as President, for more than two years of a term to which some other person was elected President shall be elected to the office of the President more than once.

The Joss Whedon script for Serenity, where Wash lives, is Serenity-190pages.pdf at https://www.mediafire.com/two

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Monday, December 16, 2024 8:53 AM

SECOND

The Joss Whedon script for Serenity, where Wash lives, is Serenity-190pages.pdf at https://www.mediafire.com/two


Maybe Democrats Didn’t Do So Badly After All

Dec 16, 2024

In some areas, the election looked like a red wave; compared with four years ago, the presidential vote swung to the right by about 10 points in some of the most populous blue states, such as New York, California, and New Jersey. But down-ballot races offer a solid case for Democratic optimism. The party label appeared to be far less of an albatross for Democratic congressional candidates than it was in strong Republican years such as 2010 and 2014. In the Senate this year, although Republicans flipped four seats, Democratic candidates prevailed in four battleground states that Kamala Harris lost to Trump. And according to the Cook Political Report’s David Wasserman, Democrats could have retaken the House majority with only 7,309 more votes across three congressional districts.

Democrats also held their own in state-legislative races. They made gains in Wisconsin and broke a Republican supermajority in North Carolina, although they lost ground elsewhere. Overall, the party retains significantly more power in state capitols than it did when Trump first took office in 2017. “There could have been a red wave in the states, and there wasn’t,” Heather Williams, the president of the Democratic Legislative Campaign Committee, told me. “I genuinely see this election as defying odds.”

https://www.msn.com/en-us/news/politics/maybe-democrats-didn-t-do-so-b
adly-after-all/ar-AA1vWGVr


The Joss Whedon script for Serenity, where Wash lives, is Serenity-190pages.pdf at https://www.mediafire.com/two

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Monday, December 16, 2024 10:13 AM

6IXSTRINGJACK


Quote:

Originally posted by second:
Maybe Democrats Didn’t Do So Badly After All



Make no mistake. Democrats did terribly.

--------------------------------------------------

Trump is fine.
He is also your current President.

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Monday, December 16, 2024 10:16 AM

6IXSTRINGJACK


Quote:

Originally posted by second:
Why did ABC News roll over for Donald Trump?

Dean Baker @DeanBaker13
This isn't hard, ABC News made a campaign contribution to Donald Trump. It is that simple.
8:55 PM • Dec 14, 2024

The topic here is a defamation suit Donald Trump filed against ABC News last March. It's one of the zillions that Trump files regularly and loses just as regularly. But for some reason, only a few days before Trump would have been forced to sit through a damaging deposition, ABC caved and agreed to pay Trump $15 million plus $1 million in legal fees.

This might make sense if ABC had a disastrously weak case and just needed to pull the plug. But they didn't. Trump had sued over an interview George Stephanopoulos did with Rep. Nancy Mace where he repeatedly asked how she could support a man who had been found "liable for rape" in the E. Jean Carroll case. Trump protested that the jury found him liable only for sexual abuse, but the judge later clarified this:
Quote:

The label “rape” as used in criminal prosecutions in New York applies only to vaginal penetration by a penis. Forcible, unconsented-to penetration of the vagina or of other bodily orifices by fingers, other body parts, or other articles or materials is not called “rape” under the New York Penal Law. It instead is labeled “sexual abuse.”

....[This] definition of rape in the New York Penal Law is far narrower than the meaning of “rape” in common modern parlance.... The finding that Ms. Carroll failed to prove that she was “raped” within the meaning of the New York Penal Law does not mean that she failed to prove that Mr. Trump “raped” her as many people commonly understand the word “rape.” Indeed, as the evidence at trial recounted below makes clear, the jury found that Mr. Trump in fact did exactly that.... The proof convincingly established, and the jury implicitly found, that Mr. Trump deliberately and forcibly penetrated Ms. Carroll’s vagina with his fingers, causing immediate pain and long lasting emotional and psychological harm.

Sorry for the long excerpt, but I wanted to provide judge's full context. In short: Trump was not liable for rape under New York's stringent legal requirements, but he did rape Carroll as the term is commonly understood in modern usage.

It doesn't matter if the judge was right about this. It's what he wrote in an "official public proceeding," which means it's privileged and can be freely quoted as long as the source is noted. Stephanopoulos would have argued he did exactly that when he explicitly said, "the judge affirmed that it was rape."

Would he have prevailed? That's impossible to say, but he sure seems to have a strong case. The jury found that Trump had jammed his fingers into Carroll's vagina; a judge said that met the common definition of rape; and Stephanopoulos then cited the judge.

So why did ABC roll over with barely an effort to defend itself? It's a good question. It might have to do with the fact that ABC is owned by Disney, which recently fought with Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis for over a year and eventually paid a stiff price. Maybe they weren't up for another mud wrestling bout with the MAGA crowd.

But one way or the other, their decision seems to have been based on fear, not legal weakness. They were afraid of the retribution Trump might be able to mete out as president. And in this they aren't alone. Trump's revenge-based MO has proven remarkably effective. It's not clear what it will get him in the long run, but in the short run it's already earned him groveling fealty from politicians, foreign leaders, corporate CEOs, and now a major media outlet. This is unique—and uniquely chilling—in American presidential history.

And anyway, how big a deal is a $15 million contribution settlement? For Disney—net profit in 2024: $7.6 billion—it's barely noticeable. Best to just stay safe and write the check.
https://jabberwocking.com/why-did-abc-news-roll-over-for-donald-trump/

The Joss Whedon script for Serenity, where Wash lives, is Serenity-190pages.pdf at https://www.mediafire.com/two




Trump never touched this woman.

It was a civil case with a hand picked anti-Trump democrat judge and a handpicked Democrat voting jury.



My advice to Trump and all Republicans is to refuse to ever show up on any of these networks again.

--------------------------------------------------

Trump is fine.
He is also your current President.

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Monday, December 16, 2024 10:16 AM

6IXSTRINGJACK


Quote:

Originally posted by second:
Quote:

Originally posted by 6ixStringJack:

Then, using the same logic right back at you, I look forward to you not complaining one single time about anything for the next 4 years. Yanno... because you are a saint, you've got everything figured out, and everything you've ever said or done in life is God's work.

Looking forward to the next time you post in 2028.

See Ya! Wouldn't want to be ya!


6ix, by now, you should be well aware that I am judgmental. Even God does not rise to my standards:



Oh. We know. We know.

And nobody cares.

--------------------------------------------------

Trump is fine.
He is also your current President.

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Tuesday, December 17, 2024 6:59 AM

SECOND

The Joss Whedon script for Serenity, where Wash lives, is Serenity-190pages.pdf at https://www.mediafire.com/two


What really happened in 2024?

By Kevin Drum | December 16, 2024 – 10:49 am

https://jabberwocking.com/what-really-happened-in-2024/

Here's the vote for president in California for 2020 and 2024:


It's easy to see what happened here. Donald Trump gained no traction at all, but two million Democratic voters from 2020 didn't bother to show up and vote for Kamala Harris. Why? There are two obvious theories:

• They didn't like Kamala much.

• They knew she’d win the state easily so they just didn't bother.

For what it's worth, in final polling before the election Trump gained a couple of points compared to 2020, which turned into a 1% increase in his vote. Harris lost a couple of points, which turned into a 17% drop in her vote. This points in the direction of laziness/strategic voting.

Was this a problem with Harris in particular or with Democrats in general? Here's the House vote over the past couple of decades:


The Democratic share of the vote was down this year, so maybe it really is a D problem. But there's evidence this is mostly strategic. Here's the number of seats Democrats have won:


It was up! Democrats voted where they needed to but skipped out where a seat was uncompetitive. In the end, the Democratic share of the California delegation reached an all-time record aside from the blowout year of 2018.

I don't have a big axe to grind here. I just want to know: Was there a specific problem with Kamala Harris this year or is there a widespread problem with the Democratic brand in general? Honestly, I see evidence both ways. You really can't ignore the fact that every single state (in fact, every single county) shifted red. On the other hand, Harris lost by only 1.5% of the vote nationwide, while House Democrats gained 0.6% of the national vote compared to 2022 and picked up two seats. It's the same dynamic that played out in the deep-blue state of California.

It's just a genuine mystery. Trump really did pick up support compared to 2016, but then again, so did Harris by a little bit. Trump mainly picked up support from the third-party vote, not from Democrats.

I'm still not sure what to think, and it's going to be months before we have more reliable data to dive unto. Until then, we're fumbling around in the dark. But if I had to pick a story right now, it would be this:

1. Overall, Democrats ran about even compared to 2022. There's little sign that the party's brand is in serious trouble.

2. However, the Trump/Harris race clearly exposed dissatisfaction with the Biden/Harris administration. That needs to be investigated.

3. One way or another, the answer is mostly going to lie with Hispanics, who deserted Harris in droves.

4. We are still, basically, a 50-50 nation.


The Joss Whedon script for Serenity, where Wash lives, is Serenity-190pages.pdf at https://www.mediafire.com/two

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Tuesday, December 17, 2024 8:37 AM

6IXSTRINGJACK


You keep telling yourselves fables.

--------------------------------------------------

"My only fear of death is coming back to this bitch reincarnated." ~Tupac Shakur

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Tuesday, December 17, 2024 2:36 PM

SECOND

The Joss Whedon script for Serenity, where Wash lives, is Serenity-190pages.pdf at https://www.mediafire.com/two


Quote:

Originally posted by 6ixStringJack:
You keep telling yourselves fables.

--------------------------------------------------

"My only fear of death is coming back to this bitch reincarnated." ~Tupac Shakur

This is no fable. It is happening only because of Trump's "win":

It’s notable that Catholic Charities has complied with Wisconsin’s tax law since 1972. The fact that it now seeks an exemption after paying the taxes for 52 years suggests that preexisting law does not favor the church’s position — and that the church’s lawyers now think they can win, after Trump is President and orders his handpicked Supreme Court justices to vote the way he wants. Trump doesn't give a damn what the law says, and his Trumptard justices hold the law in only slightly less contempt than Trump does.

The Court announced last Friday it will hear Catholic Charities.

https://www.vox.com/scotus/391420/supreme-court-catholic-charities-wis
consin-workers-religion


The Joss Whedon script for Serenity, where Wash lives, is Serenity-190pages.pdf at https://www.mediafire.com/two

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Tuesday, December 17, 2024 5:51 PM

6IXSTRINGJACK


Quote:

Originally posted by second:
Quote:

Originally posted by 6ixStringJack:
You keep telling yourselves fables.

--------------------------------------------------

"My only fear of death is coming back to this bitch reincarnated." ~Tupac Shakur

This is no fable.



Yes. It is.

--------------------------------------------------

"My only fear of death is coming back to this bitch reincarnated." ~Tupac Shakur

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Tuesday, December 17, 2024 6:48 PM

6IXSTRINGJACK


Favoribility of US Leaders (December 17th, 2024):

https://www.realclearpolitics.com/

Politician / Favorable / Unfavorable / Spread
Joe Biden / 40.8 / 54.3 / -13.5
Donald Trump / 49.0 / 47.6 / +1.4
Kamala Harris / 45.5 / 49.5 / -4.0
Mike Johnson / 28.0 / 37.0 / -9.0
Hakeem Jeffries / 30.0 / 31.0 / -1.0
Chuck Schumer / 29.7 / 43.0 / -13.3
Mitch McConnell / 21.7 / 59.3 / -37.6




--------------------------------------------------

"My only fear of death is coming back to this bitch reincarnated." ~Tupac Shakur

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