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CINEMA
The Blue Beetle Failure Thread
Saturday, September 9, 2023 12:17 PM
6IXSTRINGJACK
Quote:Originally posted by 6ixStringJack: Quote:Originally posted by 6ixStringJack: If it only sees a 40% drop the next three days, it grosses $7,778,921 Domestic since Labor Day. Bruce seems to think it's only going to drop 38% which would add $142,295 to that number, if true. Quote:Its drops after raising 167% on the holiday from the week before were 55% on Tuesday, 56% on Wednesday, and 59% on Thursday. If it drops 55% on average this weekend, it grosses $6,711,709 Domestic since Labor Day. With $4.5 to $5.5 Million likely internationally, its range is between $11.2M and $13.3M added to the figure of just shy of $102 Million it had after Sunday night's and the international numbers were calculated after the weekend. That's going to put it between $113.2 Million to $115.3 Million after Sunday night.
Quote:Originally posted by 6ixStringJack: If it only sees a 40% drop the next three days, it grosses $7,778,921 Domestic since Labor Day.
Quote:Its drops after raising 167% on the holiday from the week before were 55% on Tuesday, 56% on Wednesday, and 59% on Thursday. If it drops 55% on average this weekend, it grosses $6,711,709 Domestic since Labor Day. With $4.5 to $5.5 Million likely internationally, its range is between $11.2M and $13.3M added to the figure of just shy of $102 Million it had after Sunday night's and the international numbers were calculated after the weekend. That's going to put it between $113.2 Million to $115.3 Million after Sunday night.
Sunday, September 10, 2023 7:30 PM
Quote:Originally posted by 6ixStringJack: Quote: If it only sees a 40% drop the next three days, it grosses $7,778,921 Domestic since Labor Day. Bruce seems to think it's only going to drop 38% which would add $142,295 to that number, if true. Quote:Its drops after raising 167% on the holiday from the week before were 55% on Tuesday, 56% on Wednesday, and 59% on Thursday. If it drops 55% on average this weekend, it grosses $6,711,709 Domestic since Labor Day. With $4.5 to $5.5 Million likely internationally, its range is between $11.2M and $13.3M added to the figure of just shy of $102 Million it had after Sunday night's and the international numbers were calculated after the weekend. That's going to put it between $113.2 Million to $115.3 Million after Sunday night.
Quote: If it only sees a 40% drop the next three days, it grosses $7,778,921 Domestic since Labor Day.
Quote:If you look at Bruce's charts, Blue Beetle had just shy of $46 Million on Day 10 (Sunday). So we had another $18 Million for 7 days after the first $18 Million for 3 days internationally, which adds up to $82 Million. (And we can easily infer that the new international numbers had been posted by Bruce by afternoon on Sunday the 27th because that's when I said the worldwide total for 10 days was $82 Million and that $18 Million didn't exist the week before). As of Sunday, September 3rd, Blue Beetle had $56,418,800 Domestically, and internationally it's currently at $45,900,000. $46-$18-$18 = $10 Million added for the next 7 days internationally. $10 Million from $18 Million is a 45% drop from the previous week. To be conservative, let's assume another 45% drop this week for $5.5 Million to be posted on Sunday, September 10th. With the $7,336,938 Domestic assuming only a 40% drop every day from Thursday to Sunday, that will total $12,836,938 worldwide once Sunday's numbers are reported. That's $1,436,938 more than I predicted on September 3rd that Blue Beetle would add to its total over the next 7 days, but that also includes a Holiday Monday where it got $2,312,258 which was +167% from the prior Monday. Had it not been a holiday and got a 40% drop instead, it would have only grossed $518,838. $2,312,258 - $518,838 = $1,793,420.
Quote:After 4 weeks it's got $113,274,000 worldwide.
Quote:After 5 weeks it's got $120,114,000.
Sunday, September 10, 2023 10:54 PM
Quote:Originally posted by 6ixStringJack: (September 8th) Bruce seems to think it's only going to drop 38% which would add $142,295 to that number, if true. ... I don't think Bruce is right, but I'm not going to argue it because of how weak the box office is suddenly looking. He's already not even mentioning The Equalizer 3 once in his weekly prediction article, and if you look at the weekdays this week for all the movies after Monday it looks like everybody in the country just collectively said "meh... I don't feel like going out to see a movie anymore". I mean, really... Thursday's entire box office is probably the most pathetic thing I've ever seen on the-numbers. 34 different movies on offer and they couldn't even crack $10 Million nationwide. It wasn't all that long ago where Barbie was making that or close to it by itself on a weekday. 31 of the movies pulled in $625k or less. 26 of them pulled in less than $100k. 14 of them pulled in less than $50k. 10 of them pulled in less than $10k. 8 of them pulled in less than $5k. And Insidious, Super Mario Bros, The Little Mermaid and Spider-Man: Across the Spider-Verse are all a part of that sub $5k crowd. First of all, I thought Spider-verse was pulled from the theaters a week ago, and I've been saying for weeks all 4 of those need to be retired. Now they're all grossing $10 to $35 per theater. Not even worth keeping the lights on. Embarrassing.
Quote:Aside from another decent hold by Barbie, returning films are underperforming this weekend. That’s partly due to the comparison against the Labor Day Holiday weekend last weekend, but mostly because the market as a whole is weakening as we hit the slowest time of the year for movies in theaters. The good news is that the $90-million-or-so that will be generated by all movies playing in theaters this weekend compares to a dismal $42-million weekend this time last year. Barbarian topped the box office chart that weekend with just $10.5 million on debut. We’ve come a long way since then.
Tuesday, September 12, 2023 1:25 AM
Tuesday, September 12, 2023 11:09 AM
Quote:Originally posted by 6ixStringJack: To be conservative, we're going with 55% drops from here on out. And that's going to be 55% from what it would have gotten on Monday if it weren't a holiday and not what it ended up getting, so $518,838 instead of $2,312,258.
Wednesday, September 13, 2023 10:58 PM
Thursday, September 14, 2023 10:56 PM
Friday, September 15, 2023 11:21 AM
Friday, September 15, 2023 8:34 PM
Quote:Originally posted by 6ixStringJack: At least for this weekend, I'm backing way off on my prediction for the drop. From -55% to only -35% for the entire week. That will be $1.329 Million more for the week Domestic than I predicted on Monday. This might prove to be too high a prediction now with the loss of 400 theaters, but it's still going to be showing in 2,386 theaters, which is roughly 6/7ths of the amount it had up until yesterday and with how little it dropped during the week I can't bring myself to predict it will do any worse than that over the weekend.
Sunday, September 17, 2023 11:48 AM
Quote:Originally posted by 6ixStringJack: Quote:Originally posted by 6ixStringJack: At least for this weekend, I'm backing way off on my prediction for the drop. From -55% to only -35% for the entire week. That will be $1.329 Million more for the week Domestic than I predicted on Monday. This might prove to be too high a prediction now with the loss of 400 theaters, but it's still going to be showing in 2,386 theaters, which is roughly 6/7ths of the amount it had up until yesterday and with how little it dropped during the week I can't bring myself to predict it will do any worse than that over the weekend. Bruce is apparently feeling ballzier than I am this weekend. His prediction for BB this weekend Domestic is only $2,170,000, which is a 43% drop from the previous weekend. That would be $3,226,140 for the 7 days, which would be $315,424 less than my 35% drop I stated this morning.
Monday, September 18, 2023 4:58 AM
JAYNEZTOWN
Monday, September 18, 2023 11:08 AM
Quote:Originally posted by JAYNEZTOWN: Blue Beetle To Hit VOD As Lackluster Box Office Begins To Wind Down https://gamerant.com/blue-beetle-vod-release-date/ Blue Beetle takes its first step towards leaving the theatrical stage as it gets a release date for VOD services.
Quote:and Marvel Disney have something worse than WB DC Big Brie Larson Superhero Movie Will Flop far worse than Blue Beetle?
Monday, September 18, 2023 11:31 AM
SECOND
The Joss Whedon script for Serenity, where Wash lives, is Serenity-190pages.pdf at https://www.mediafire.com/two
Quote:Originally posted by 6ixStringJack: The Direct (?) says that it was moved to the 26th, and based it off of a youtube video that is no longer available. https://thedirect.com/article/blue-beetle-movie-online-release Who knows?
Monday, September 18, 2023 4:12 PM
Monday, September 18, 2023 5:43 PM
Quote:Originally posted by 6ixStringJack: It's not the 19th yet, so what are those? Bootlegs, or did somebody leak it illegally? -------------------------------------------------- How you do anything is how you do everything.
Monday, September 18, 2023 8:09 PM
Tuesday, September 19, 2023 8:29 AM
Wednesday, September 20, 2023 6:25 AM
Quote:Originally posted by 6ixStringJack: Somebody is probably going to prison. Hope it was worth it. I got my entertainment for the day. -------------------------------------------------- How you do anything is how you do everything.
Wednesday, September 20, 2023 10:26 AM
Friday, September 22, 2023 12:21 PM
Monday, September 25, 2023 11:25 AM
Quote:Originally posted by 6ixStringJack (September 3rd): After 4 weeks it's got $113,274,000 worldwide. After 5 weeks it's got $120,114,000. After 6 weeks it's got $124,218,000.
Quote:Can it get another 100 Million, now it is in contest with another film The Equalizer 3 a horror movie Birth/Rebirth and Gran Turismo Starts Strong, Columbia Pictures and Sony
Quote:It seems to have staying power, I'm not sure you're wrong but Seems to be doing better than Black Adam, The Flash and new 'Shazam! Fury of the Gods.'
Monday, September 25, 2023 7:32 PM
Quote:Originally posted by 6ixStringJack: Well... International reporting continues to be abysmal on all the movies across the board for the 3rd week in a row... Let's check in and see how Blue Beetle is doing compared to my September 3rd predictions.... Quote:Originally posted by 6ixStringJack (September 3rd): After 4 weeks it's got $113,274,000 worldwide. After 5 weeks it's got $120,114,000. After 6 weeks it's got $124,218,000. Remember... My "weeks" were just AFTER the weekend on these predictions, where Bruce calculates the week ending on Thursday of every week (I really wish he wouldn't do that since the movies START on Thursday/Friday night, and International numbers tend to come in on Sunday/Monday. IMO, Opening Weekend should be considered its own week because of this). Also, I made this projection just before Labor Day Weekend, so BB did get quite a bump I didn't calculate for, especially on the following Sunday and Monday. Current Worldwide BO for BB: $122,917,883. My prediction for today on September 3rd: $124,218,000 That's $1,300,117 less than my prediction for Today, made 22 Days ago. Though we know that Blue Beetle is up-to-date on the Domestic numbers through Sunday, it's hard to tell what the International total really is, or even if international numbers for the weekend have come in yet. Quite a few countries on his international tabs are still numbers all the way back from 8/21 (opening weekend numbers), or haven't gotten any money updates at all. But at the same time, the "Rest of World" shows $24,666,030 that has been un-allocated. I used to think that this field meant countries that he didn't have on the list, but we've already seen with other movies that Bruce just uses that field as a placeholder for money that has been reported by the Studios that he hasn't gotten around to allocating to their proper countries yet... some/many/all of which are already on his board. So there could be $5 million that hasn't been reported internationally for all I know. I recently witnessed Disney gain $28 Million over 4 or 5 films that were already out of theaters weeks ago up to over 6 months ago from international numbers finally being reconciled. With this just being a singular movie and only having $53 Million international receipts so far, I don't expect anything nearly as dramatic here, but since it is still in the theaters and we haven't given this film nearly enough time for international numbers to come in, I'm willing to give that at least around $5 Million internationally so far that hasn't been accounted for.
Wednesday, September 27, 2023 12:42 AM
Quote:Originally posted by 6ixStringJack: This current Blue Beetle WW total of $124,218,235 reported at BOM is itself $1,900,352 more than what the-numbers is reporting. BOM's current number of $124,218,235 WW is also only $600,235 higher than my prediction for Blue Beetle would be worldwide from 22 days ago. So I'm $1,300,117 above The-Numbers and $600,235 below Box Office Mojo reporting for yesterday. I'm sure that there's AT LEAST as much international as BOM is reporting though, so I know my prediction was low (by at least $600k), but as I've stated several times before that was due to the extra couple of million it got on Labor Day and the holiday weekend that I hadn't accounted for in my predictions. I'm still happy with it.
Friday, September 29, 2023 12:35 PM
Saturday, September 30, 2023 1:42 AM
Quote:Originally posted by 6ixStringJack: BOM and The-Numbers are even on their reporting now, with the only difference being Thursday's projection of $70,000 stateside. Going into Weekend 7, Blue Beetle now has $125,324,308 worldwide. It's impossible to tell how far behind the reporting is internationally. ... Mexico hasn't been reported since Sep 8-10 and the money there matches the Mexico total, so there probably is more money yet to be reported. But it only made $375k on the weekend of Sep 8-10, so maybe it made another $1 Million through Sunday? ... I'd give it maybe $1.5 Million everywhere else tops from perusing the charts at BOM. So I'd expect we're probably looking at a true figure of around $127M to $127.750 Million if everything were up to date.
Sunday, October 1, 2023 1:42 PM
Quote:Originally posted by 6ixStringJack: Blue Beetle started the week off strong. I mean, not a lot of money this late in the game, but it gained 10% on Monday, lost 34% on Tuesday, and 35% on Wednesday. Not bad, especially considering that a high def version of the movie leaked online. But it appears that the dual releases of Saw X and the sci-fi The Creator may have taken a bite out of what was left of its Domestic audience since it lost 48% on Thursday. BOM and The-Numbers are even on their reporting now, with the only difference being Thursday's projection of $70,000 stateside. Going into Weekend 7, Blue Beetle now has $125,324,308 worldwide. ... Blue Beetle lost 1006 theaters in the States this weekend, dropping to 948 theaters. It was already making end-stage money despite the low losses week to week the last several weeks, but I imagine that after losing 50% of its theaters this weekend those losses will be quite a bit larger going forward.
Tuesday, October 3, 2023 3:04 PM
Quote:Week 7 = $126,269,642 Week 8 = $127,034,642 Week 9 = $127,326,692 Week 10 = $127,474,314 Week 11 = $127,540,744 Week 12 = $127,570,638
Wednesday, October 4, 2023 3:00 AM
Thursday, October 5, 2023 9:21 PM
Tuesday, October 10, 2023 6:09 PM
Quote:Originally posted by 6ixStringJack: Quote:Week 7 = $126,269,642 Week 8 = $127,034,642 Week 9 = $127,326,692 Week 10 = $127,474,314 Week 11 = $127,540,744 Week 12 = $127,570,638 Due to higher than expected Domestic numbers the last few weeks, it appears that we're 2 weeks ahead of schedule on my predictions (about $1.1 Million) that included the Australia/New Zealand money. After Weekend 7's numbers came in, we're at $127,339,537 worldwide. And even though we had a 73% drop from last Monday this week, it was still $45k, so we're not going to see next to nothing numbers like I thought we'd be seeing now until next week. We are at the end stage of the box office for this though, regardless, and I doubt very much that BB gets 12 weeks in the theaters like Black Adam did. After Monday, Blue Beetle needs $4,807,210 to beat Shazam II. -------------------------------------------------- Political correctness is just tyranny, with a smiley face.
Saturday, October 14, 2023 6:41 PM
Quote:Originally posted by 6ixStringJack: Week 7 = $126,269,642 Week 8 = $127,034,642 Week 9 = $127,326,692 Week 10 = $127,474,314 Week 11 = $127,540,744 Week 12 = $127,570,638
Sunday, October 15, 2023 7:10 PM
Tuesday, October 17, 2023 1:53 PM
Quote:Blue Beetle premiered in El Paso on August 15, 2023, and was released in the United States on August 18, by Warner Bros. Pictures. The film received generally favorable reviews but emerged as a box-office bomb, grossing $129 million worldwide against a production budget of $104 million and became the lowest-grossing film in the DCEU
Friday, October 20, 2023 12:03 AM
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