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CINEMA
The Kingdom of the Planet of the Apes Failure Thread
Sunday, May 19, 2024 8:15 AM
SECOND
The Joss Whedon script for Serenity, where Wash lives, is Serenity-190pages.pdf at https://www.mediafire.com/two
Quote:Originally posted by 6ixStringJack: I think Apes is going to make toward the smaller end of the scale on my predicted final amount after seeing this pretty massive drop in the 2nd week.
Sunday, May 19, 2024 10:47 AM
JAYNEZTOWN
Sunday, May 19, 2024 3:06 PM
6IXSTRINGJACK
Quote:Originally posted by JAYNEZTOWN: mixed reports on the budget, some say $165 million and $160 million? https://variety.com/2024/film/news/box-office-kingdom-of-the-planet-of-the-apes-opening-weekend-projections-1235994166/ some expect 180 million 72.7M overseas | 141.5M worldwide https://forums.boxofficetheory.com/topic/31999-kingdom-of-the-planet-of-the-apes-727m-overseas-1415m-worldwide/
Sunday, May 19, 2024 3:10 PM
Quote:Originally posted by SECOND: Quote:Originally posted by 6ixStringJack: I think Apes is going to make toward the smaller end of the scale on my predicted final amount after seeing this pretty massive drop in the 2nd week.I think Planet of the Apes is a failure is because Apes don't have tails. My prediction is that either the next Planet of the Apes has got to have talking monkeys with furry tails in key roles or else it will fail, too. Monkeys are so cute! They will bring in more children and thus a huge increase in ticket sales. Just kidding! Ape movies will be failures from now to eternity. 6ix, failure is not because Hollywood is advocating for a multi-racial human society by including many species of apes. These movies fail because the basic idea of talking animals as politicians and warriors lacks novelty. The Joss Whedon script for Serenity, where Wash lives, is Serenity-190pages.pdf at https://www.mediafire.com/two
Sunday, May 19, 2024 4:28 PM
Quote:Originally posted by 6ixStringJack: Bruce is predicting a pretty big 60% this weekend in the US for only $23.4 Million and a drop to 2nd place. He doesn't go into any detail at all about Apes in the prediction article. Regardless of how it does Internationally, it should be quite a bit less of a drop than 60% simply because we get their new numbers for all week instead of just the weekend numbers. Typically if that film was doing well last year, it amounted to essentially doubling opening weekend's numbers. With a 60% drop in the US on 2nd weekend, maybe that amounts to 85% of the first weekend internationally? Bruce's $23.4 Million added to the current worldwide total would be just shy of $171.5 Million worldwide. Let's say 85% of last weekend's $75 Million on top of it. So maybe we see around $235 Million come Monday? Maybe Bruce is full of shit and it does $35 Million in the US this weekend and an extra $12 Million internationally and we're well over $250 Million on Monday? Who knows.... It's all guessing right now.
Sunday, May 19, 2024 5:54 PM
Quote:Originally posted by 6ixStringJack: People would still be going to see Apes right now if we had the economy of 2019 and 2020. But we have Joe Biden*'s 2024 economy and nobody is going to see Apes if it means they have to skip eating one day that week.
Sunday, May 19, 2024 7:59 PM
Sunday, May 19, 2024 9:54 PM
Sunday, May 19, 2024 10:28 PM
Sunday, May 19, 2024 11:14 PM
Quote:Originally posted by second: 6ix, accept the Truth: Failure is Habitual in Hollywood. Failing is not a unique condition caused by the economy, politics, or whatever bogeyman you are flogging, 6ix.
Monday, May 20, 2024 2:05 AM
Quote:After three consecutive years of box office gains, the film industry expects revenues to be sharply down in 2024. The reason: aftereffects of the strikes by writers and actors.
Monday, May 20, 2024 8:01 AM
Quote:Originally posted by 6ixStringJack: Quote:Originally posted by second: 6ix, accept the Truth: Failure is Habitual in Hollywood. Failing is not a unique condition caused by the economy, politics, or whatever bogeyman you are flogging, 6ix. Incorrect. Failure is NOT habitual in Hollywood. If it were, it would have collapsed a long time ago. Your version of history, as is your version of pretty much everything, is a fantasy you made up in your head and will not be discussed here. Take it to Twitter. Meanwhile, the studio execs have finally figured out what they were doing wrong these last 5 to 10 years and they're in the process of firing everyone involved. The writer/actor strikes backfired hugely and ended up being a great excuse to axe 2/3rds of them without any consequences.
Monday, May 20, 2024 12:27 PM
Quote:Originally posted by second: Quote:Originally posted by 6ixStringJack: Quote:Originally posted by second: 6ix, accept the Truth: Failure is Habitual in Hollywood. Failing is not a unique condition caused by the economy, politics, or whatever bogeyman you are flogging, 6ix. Incorrect. Failure is NOT habitual in Hollywood. If it were, it would have collapsed a long time ago. Your version of history, as is your version of pretty much everything, is a fantasy you made up in your head and will not be discussed here. Take it to Twitter. Meanwhile, the studio execs have finally figured out what they were doing wrong these last 5 to 10 years and they're in the process of firing everyone involved. The writer/actor strikes backfired hugely and ended up being a great excuse to axe 2/3rds of them without any consequences.Every movie is a success for the people listed in the credits at the end because those people get paid even if the studio produced another turd that leaves the more sensible members of the theater audience disappointed at wasting four hours on a movie, plus their money.
Monday, May 20, 2024 3:58 PM
Quote:Originally posted by 6ixStringJack: No shit, dummy. But if they're making a project that nobody is paying for, they end up losing money until they fold and they kill the golden goose. Now after a decade of Leftist Ideology crammed in every movie on top of Democrats destroying the world economy, they're all losers and they will all be out of jobs.
Monday, May 20, 2024 6:21 PM
Monday, May 20, 2024 8:03 PM
Quote:Originally posted by 6ixStringJack: What are you even posting in the Cinema board for then? You're obviously a Pod Person, because anybody could dig up your posts from 2 years ago and earlier where you were sucking Hollywood's dick everyday. You just want somebody to argue with about literally anything. Go to Twitter. Twitter was made for you. -------------------------------------------------- Trump will be fine. He will also be your next President.
Monday, May 20, 2024 11:51 PM
Quote:Originally posted by second: Your premise is that Democrats ruined the movies and that Trump will bring a new age of great cinema.
Tuesday, May 21, 2024 6:03 AM
Quote:Originally posted by 6ixStringJack: Quote:Originally posted by second: Your premise is that Democrats ruined the movies and that Trump will bring a new age of great cinema. Democrats DID ruin movies. Even worse, they ruined the legacy of some of the greatest movies ever made. . . . Donald J. Trump had nothing at all to do with saving Hollywood. And if he ever in the future does claim credit for that I will call him on his bullshit. All credit here goes straight to Joe Biden*. I'm almost rooting for Biden* to win, for the sake of Hollywood. I'm sure there are still plenty of weeds to be pulled. A November win for Trump and the good it will do for the country and the economy might derail the Hollywood renaissance in the making we've got on our hands.
Tuesday, May 21, 2024 10:58 AM
Tuesday, May 21, 2024 2:02 PM
Quote:Originally posted by second: Quote:Originally posted by 6ixStringJack: Quote:Originally posted by second: Your premise is that Democrats ruined the movies and that Trump will bring a new age of great cinema. Democrats DID ruin movies. Even worse, they ruined the legacy of some of the greatest movies ever made. . . . Donald J. Trump had nothing at all to do with saving Hollywood. And if he ever in the future does claim credit for that I will call him on his bullshit. All credit here goes straight to Joe Biden*. I'm almost rooting for Biden* to win, for the sake of Hollywood. I'm sure there are still plenty of weeds to be pulled. A November win for Trump and the good it will do for the country and the economy might derail the Hollywood renaissance in the making we've got on our hands.6ix, almost everything from Hollywood was crap and always has been, back to the days of silent pictures, then talkies. How did you come to believe that nearly everything was good, once upon a time? A reminder of Hollywood's crap past: Most widely watched but universally hated movies of all time The 2017 film "The Disaster Artist" tells the story behind the making of "The Room," one of the most famous turkeys of all time. Like Tim Burton's "Ed Wood," James Franco's flick is also a testament to the power of clueless filmmaking and the ridiculous movies that emerge as a result. Despite having widely celebrated actors like Eddie Murphy, established directors like Robert Rodriguez, and esteemed screenwriters like David S. Goyer, these films still managed to disappoint critics and audiences alike. Notably, many entries are either sequels or adaptations, proving that attempts at creating franchises often fall flat on their faces. These are the true rotten tomatoes and Golden Raspberry Award winners, at least some of which have garnered shocking levels of attention or success despite—or most often because of—their sheer terribleness. In honor of bad cinema, Stacker has accumulated a list of the most widely watched but universally hated movies of all time. For the data, Stacker searched IMDb for movies with over 50,000 user ratings and ranked the top 50 films, counting down from worse to worst. Ties were broken by votes. Without further delay, here are the most widely watched but universally hated movies of all time. https://stacker.com/movies/most-widely-watched-universally-hated-movies-all-time The Joss Whedon script for Serenity, where Wash lives, is Serenity-190pages.pdf at https://www.mediafire.com/two
Quote:Cherry picking, suppressing evidence, or the fallacy of incomplete evidence is the act of pointing to individual cases or data that seem to confirm a particular position while ignoring a significant portion of related and similar cases or data that may contradict that position. Cherry picking may be committed intentionally or unintentionally.
Tuesday, May 21, 2024 6:32 PM
Quote:Originally posted by 6ixStringJack: I think I speak for everyone when I say that we've all grown extremely bored of this, and of you.
Tuesday, May 21, 2024 8:26 PM
Quote:Originally posted by second: Quote:Originally posted by 6ixStringJack: I think I speak for everyone when I say that we've all grown extremely bored of this, and of you.My thesis is
Wednesday, May 22, 2024 5:07 AM
Quote:Originally posted by 6ixStringJack: Quote:Originally posted by second: Quote:Originally posted by 6ixStringJack: I think I speak for everyone when I say that we've all grown extremely bored of this, and of you.My thesis is crap. Your thesis is crap. -------------------------------------------------- Trump will be fine. He will also be your next President.
Wednesday, May 22, 2024 7:45 AM
Wednesday, May 22, 2024 8:39 AM
Quote:Originally posted by 6ixStringJack: TL;DR -------------------------------------------------- Trump will be fine. He will also be your next President.
Wednesday, May 22, 2024 11:56 PM
Thursday, May 23, 2024 12:08 AM
Saturday, May 25, 2024 9:24 AM
Saturday, May 25, 2024 10:00 AM
Quote:Originally posted by 6ixStringJack: Quote:Originally posted by 6ixStringJack: Bruce is predicting a pretty big 60% this weekend in the US for only $23.4 Million and a drop to 2nd place. He doesn't go into any detail at all about Apes in the prediction article. Regardless of how it does Internationally, it should be quite a bit less of a drop than 60% simply because we get their new numbers for all week instead of just the weekend numbers. Typically if that film was doing well last year, it amounted to essentially doubling opening weekend's numbers. With a 60% drop in the US on 2nd weekend, maybe that amounts to 85% of the first weekend internationally? Bruce's $23.4 Million added to the current worldwide total would be just shy of $171.5 Million worldwide. Let's say 85% of last weekend's $75 Million on top of it. So maybe we see around $235 Million come Monday? Maybe Bruce is full of shit and it does $35 Million in the US this weekend and an extra $12 Million internationally and we're well over $250 Million on Monday? Who knows.... It's all guessing right now. I'd say I'm still pretty good at guessing even in the weird 2024 market. $237,539,501 is the grand total right now with the internationals tallied and the Studio projections for the weekend. Bruce predicted only $23.4 Million in the US this weekend, and the projections in the US are $26 Million. That low prediction accounts for the $2.539 Million I was low on the worldwide prediction, which means that my international guess for the weekend was spot on. It's now at 148.5% of the production budget. My Low/High prediction for the final numbers was $350 Million to $475 Million. I'm still going with that number, but as I said after Friday's numbers came out I think it will be toward the lower end of that prediction and it will not break even.
Saturday, May 25, 2024 10:19 AM
Quote:Originally posted by 6ixStringJack: Apes sits at $245,736,744 worldwide going into Weekend 3. Bruce predicts . . .
Saturday, May 25, 2024 7:55 PM
Quote:Originally posted by second: Quote:Originally posted by 6ixStringJack: Apes sits at $245,736,744 worldwide going into Weekend 3. Bruce predicts . . .6ix, Bruce Nash does not know you and doesn't want to. The Numbers was launched by Bruce Nash on October 17th, 1997. 6ix, why are you so verbose? Are you pretending to be working with Bruce Nash? Because your length words are not adding any value to his numbers: Worldwide Box Office $245,736,744 Production Budget: $160,000,000 (worldwide box office is 1.6 times production budget) https://www.the-numbers.com/movie/Kingdom-of-the-Planet-of-the-Apes-(2024)#tab=summary The Joss Whedon script for Serenity, where Wash lives, is Serenity-190pages.pdf at https://www.mediafire.com/two
Saturday, May 25, 2024 8:01 PM
Quote:Originally posted by 6ixStringJack: Nah. I usually shit talk Bruce because he's a woke dummy and my predictions are usually more accurate than his computer models.
Quote:Bruce predicts a 4th place finish for Apes at $16.7 Million, or a -34% drop from last weekend. I think that might be a little charitable after his prediction last week of a -60% drop. Last weekend it didn't lose any theaters and dropped -56%, but this weekend it loses 525 theaters.
Saturday, May 25, 2024 8:23 PM
Sunday, May 26, 2024 1:53 PM
Monday, May 27, 2024 10:15 AM
Monday, May 27, 2024 11:30 PM
Thursday, May 30, 2024 10:39 AM
Quote:Originally posted by 6ixStringJack: May 19th: Quote:Originally posted by 6ixStringJack: Quote:Originally posted by 6ixStringJack: Bruce is predicting a pretty big 60% this weekend in the US for only $23.4 Million and a drop to 2nd place. He doesn't go into any detail at all about Apes in the prediction article. Regardless of how it does Internationally, it should be quite a bit less of a drop than 60% simply because we get their new numbers for all week instead of just the weekend numbers. Typically if that film was doing well last year, it amounted to essentially doubling opening weekend's numbers. With a 60% drop in the US on 2nd weekend, maybe that amounts to 85% of the first weekend internationally? Bruce's $23.4 Million added to the current worldwide total would be just shy of $171.5 Million worldwide. Let's say 85% of last weekend's $75 Million on top of it. So maybe we see around $235 Million come Monday? Maybe Bruce is full of shit and it does $35 Million in the US this weekend and an extra $12 Million internationally and we're well over $250 Million on Monday? Who knows.... It's all guessing right now. I'd say I'm still pretty good at guessing even in the weird 2024 market. $237,539,501 is the grand total right now with the internationals tallied and the Studio projections for the weekend. Bruce predicted only $23.4 Million in the US this weekend, and the projections in the US are $26 Million. That low prediction accounts for the $2.539 Million I was low on the worldwide prediction, which means that my international guess for the weekend was spot on. It's now at 148.5% of the production budget. My Low/High prediction for the final numbers was $350 Million to $475 Million. I'm still going with that number, but as I said after Friday's numbers came out I think it will be toward the lower end of that prediction and it will not break even. Apes sits at $245,736,744 worldwide going into Weekend 3. Bruce predicts a 4th place finish for Apes at $16.7 Million, or a -34% drop from last weekend. I think that might be a little charitable after his prediction last week of a -60% drop. Last weekend it didn't lose any theaters and dropped -56%, but this weekend it loses 525 theaters. To be fair though, that 1st to 2nd weekend -56% drop includes Thursday Preview Night's $6.6 Million which obviously only the 1st weekend benefits from, so the actual drop was only -51% without the preview night numbers. But still, I think a drop here of only -34% is wishful thinking with Apes losing more than 1/8th of the theaters it was showing in last weekend. The international drop will be quite a bit more this weekend that last as well, since only the 2nd weekend drop is mitigated by the fact that we only get International updates once per week, and the first "week" is only the weekend numbers internationally, but the 2nd week numbers are for the full week following opening weekend. Apes made $8,759,462 between Monday and Thursday this week. Subtract that from the current US total of $109,449,252, and you've got $100.7 Million. $100.7 Million was 42.5% of the Worldwide Box Office after the final numbers for Weekend 2 were tallied. If Bruce is right about another $16.7 Million over the weekend in the US and that 42.5% holds steady, that would result in $126 Million in the US and $171 Internationally for about $297 Million worldwide after 3 weekends. My guess on May 13th was that it would make +/- 15% from the breakeven point, or $350 Million to $475 Million, but I've always thought it would be toward the low end of that projection. Nothing I'm seeing here changes my mind on that. In fact, I'm thinking that $350 is a pretty good target for the final number. I don't see any path to $400 Million for Apes anymore. Next weekend it should only add between $20 and $30 Million max, and those numbers just drop from there. It probably makes more than $350 Million in the end, but my new range (based off of the assumption that Bruce's weekend prediction for the US this weekend is accurate) would be narrowed to only $350 to $375 Million, or a loss of anywhere between $37.5 Million and $62.5 Million for 20th Century Studios. If Bruce is wrong about this weekend and it has a steeper drop then $375 Million is probably also out of reach. Another loss, but not a particularly crushing one compared to other losses we've already witnessed so far in 2024. ETA: 05/26 - Yeah... Just as I suspected, Bruce was way off. Apes' 3rd weekend take was only $13,356,000, or a -48% drop from weekend 2. Reality was a full -14% lower than Bruce predicted, or $3.3 Million less than his prediction. -------------------------------------------------- Trump will be fine. He will also be your next President.
Friday, May 31, 2024 11:14 PM
Sunday, June 2, 2024 2:52 PM
Monday, June 10, 2024 7:51 PM
Quote:Originally posted by 6ixStringJack: Worldwide total would be at around $336.8 Million after Weekend 4. It needs around $63.2 Million to break even now. That's a tall hill to climb one month into its run. It's still a slim possibility if the summer box office remains weak and apes stays in theaters for a while.
Saturday, June 22, 2024 12:38 AM
Quote:Originally posted by 6ixStringJack: Quote:Originally posted by 6ixStringJack: Worldwide total would be at around $336.8 Million after Weekend 4. It needs around $63.2 Million to break even now. That's a tall hill to climb one month into its run. It's still a slim possibility if the summer box office remains weak and apes stays in theaters for a while. $359,791,582 after Weekend 5. Inching along toward that $400 Million breakeven point. $40 Million to go. Apes only saw a -40% drop off from last weekend, but it still hasn't really lost a lot of theaters yet. It probably will lose quite a few next weekend. Assuming the international trends are mirroring the US trends on this, two more -40% drops would have it sitting right around $382 Million. Four more -40% drops would see it at roughly $390 Million. I don't think it's going to hit the breakeven point. -------------------------------------------------- Trump will be fine. He will also be your next President.
Monday, June 24, 2024 8:33 AM
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