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CINEMA
The Little Mermaid Failure Thread
Thursday, July 13, 2023 1:34 PM
6IXSTRINGJACK
Quote:Originally posted by JEWELSTAITEFAN: Sound of Freedom will cross $56M today. Where does it fit on your 2 lists? Each day, it earns another 20% of it's production budget.
Thursday, July 13, 2023 2:25 PM
Thursday, July 13, 2023 7:05 PM
JEWELSTAITEFAN
Thursday, July 13, 2023 11:02 PM
Quote:Originally posted by JEWELSTAITEFAN: I'm thinking that, following Wed, SoF would be around 9th place on the 2nd list.
Quote:Following Thursday, about 6th.
Quote:Then the 3 day weekend, which I don't know how many theaters it will be in. It is possible that many theaters would prefer to have empty buildings showcasing Woke Trash, instead of Sold Out shows of a film the population apparently wants to see. I think on Wednesday alone, it earned more than 31% of it's Production Budget.
Saturday, July 15, 2023 4:47 PM
Quote:Originally posted by 6IXSTRINGJACK: Quote:Originally posted by JEWELSTAITEFAN: I'm thinking that, following Wed, SoF would be around 9th place on the 2nd list.No. It's 10th after Wednesday's grand total of $53,922,551 with 386%.
Quote:Quote:Following Thursday, about 6th.No. It will be 9th after Thursday's numbers post with somewhere in the area of 415-425%.
Quote:Quote:Then the 3 day weekend, which I don't know how many theaters it will be in. It is possible that many theaters would prefer to have empty buildings showcasing Woke Trash, instead of Sold Out shows of a film the population apparently wants to see. I think on Wednesday alone, it earned more than 31% of it's Production Budget./b]So... I was wrong with my prediction SoF wouldn't gain many, if any theaters this weekend. Bruce is reporting 3,265 theaters this week, for a whopping increase of 413 theaters.
Quote:Then the 3 day weekend, which I don't know how many theaters it will be in. It is possible that many theaters would prefer to have empty buildings showcasing Woke Trash, instead of Sold Out shows of a film the population apparently wants to see. I think on Wednesday alone, it earned more than 31% of it's Production Budget./b]
Quote: I've never seen this happen two weekends in a row like this before. Hopefully it doesn't drop the ball. I still think it will be 6th place after this weekend, unless The Red Door suddenly flops. I don't see any possibility of SoF catching up with Miles Morales 2 by Sunday night, even with the additional theaters. There are 2 reasons why I say only 6th place for the weekend for SoF. Number 1 is because Insidious: The Red Door started out of the gates as the 1st place movie all year regarding the ratio of Worldwide Box Office vs. Production Budget and hasn't really slowed down all that much. SoF is going to have to catch up to that. It may take another week or two. Number 2 is because there's a huge difference between the current #4 and numbers 5-9 which are all in the 400-500% range. The Miles Morales sequel is 646%. It's slowed down to only $1 Million during weekdays and only had $2-3 Million per day last weekend, so SoF will gain quickly on it if it doesn't falter, but MM2 is still improving that ratio on what is already a decent gap. It will be 10 days to over two weeks before SoF catches up to it. 3rd place is Evil Dead Rise, which will not improve since it's out of theaters, but it's at 768%, so it will take even longer to reach that. M3GAN and SMB are light years away. I'm not saying that SoF won't catch up to them, but they've both got about 1000% on SoF right now. ------------------------------------------------- How you do anything is how you do everything.
Monday, July 17, 2023 8:44 PM
Quote:Originally posted by 6IXSTRINGJACK: UPDATED LISTS All numbers from early-afternoon of 07/13 on The-Numbers... I fully expect SoF to jump from 10 to 6 by the end of the weekend on the 2nd list. It would have been 5th, but until/unless The Red Door slows down faster, it's going to be behind. Congratulations to The Red Door for coming out of nowhere and taking 1st place on the first list, for highest grossing opening weekend worldwide vs. production budget. Keep in mind that Sound of Freedom is the only movie on this list that didn't have a worldwide box office, and all of these numbers are just from the US Box office... Otherwise, I think it had a very good chance of taking 1st place above The Red Door. I'm not even sure if SoF was shown in Canada or not, tbh... Worldwide Opening Weekend and percentage of Production Budget made on opening weekend including all American made films currently in the global top 45 (Or that were in the top 35 on June 19th, which was the previous time I'd updated this list): 1 Insidious: The Red Door / Budget: $16,000,000 / WWO: $64,000,000 / 400% 2 The Super Mario Bros. Movie / Budget: $100,000,000 / WWO: $377,000,000 / 377% 3 M3GAN / Budget: $12,000,000 / WWO: $45,000,000 / 375% 4 Sound of Freedom / Budget: $14,000,000 / WWO: $42,000,000 / 300% 5 Evil Dead Rise / Budget: $19,000,000 / WWO: $40,000,000 / 210% 6 Spider-Man: Across the Spider-Verse / Budget: $100,000,000 / WWO: $209,000,000 / 209% 7 The Pope's Exorcist / Budget: $18,000,000 / WWO: $36,500,000 / 203% 8 Scream VI / Budget: $35,000,000 / WWO: $67,000,000 / 191% 9 John Wick: Chapter 4 / Budget: $100,000,000 / WWO: $138,000,000 / 138% 10 Creed III / Budget: $75,000,000 / WWO: $100,000,000 / 133% 11 Ant-Man and the Wasp: Quantumania / Budget: $200,000,000 / WWO: $250,000,000 / 125% 12 Guardians of the Galaxy Vol 3 / Budget: $250,000,000 / WWO: $290,000,000 / 116% 13 Knock at the Cabin / Budget: $20,000,000 / WWO: $21,000,000 / 105% 14 Jesus Revolution / Budget: $15,000,000 / WWO: $15,000,000 / 100% 15 Fast X / Budget: $340,000,000 / WWO: $319,000,000 / 94% 16 Transformers: Rise of the Beasts / Budget: $195,000,000 / WWO: $170,000,000 / 87% 17 Cocaine Bear / Budget: $35,000,000 / WWO: $28,000,000 / 80% 18 The Little Mermaid / Budget: $250,000,000 / WWO: $164,000,000 / 66% 19 The Boogeyman / Budget: $35,000,000 / WWO: $20,000,000 / 57% 20 Shazam: Fury of the Gods / Budget: $125,000,000 / WWO: $66,000,000 / 53% 21 No Hard Feelings / Budget: $45,000,000 / WWO: $22,000,000 / 49% 22 Dungeons & Dragons: Honor Among Thieves / Budget: $150,000,000 / WWO: $72,000,000 / 48% 23 Indiana Jones & the Dial of Destiny / Budget: $300,000,000 / WWO: $131,000,000 / 43.7% 24 AIR / Budget: $70,000,000 / WWO: $30,000,000 / 43% 25 65 / Budget: $45,000,000 / WWO: $12,300,000 / 27% 26 Magic Mike's Last Dance / Budget: $45,000,000 / WWO: $8,000,000 / 18% 27 The Flash / Budget: $200,000,000 / WWO: $75,000,000 / 37.5% 28 Elemental / Budget: $200,000,000 / WWO: $48,000,000 / 24% It should probably be noted that 20 of the top 50 world wide box office were not US made so far in 2023. SPECIAL MENTION: Mummies / Budget: $12,000,000 / WWO: Unknown / ? A movie that I've never even heard of until just right now called Mummies is currently 31st on the global list at $53,193,065 and needs a mention because only 8.04% (less than $5 Million) of that came from the domestic market, while the other 91.96% came from international box office. It has now made 442% of its production budget back, making it a clear winner based off of its low budget and its extremely high international take vs domestic take, two things which The Little Mermaid has never had in its favor. Winners and losers from the previous list: Winners: 1. M3GAN made 1,475% of its production budget of $12 Million. [FINAL] 2. Super Mario Bros Movie made 1,347% of its production budget of $100 Million. 3. Evil Dead Rise made 768% of its production budget of $19 Million. [FINAL] 4. Spider-Man: Across the Spider-Verse made 646% of its production budget of $100 Million. 5. Scream IV made 483% of its production budget of $35 Million. [FINAL] 6. Insidious: The Red Door made 453% of its production budget. 7. Mummies made 442% of its production budget of $12 Million. [FINAL] 8. John Wick: Chapter 4 made 432% of its production budget of $100 Million. [FINAL] 9. The Pope's Exorcist made 405% of its production budget of $18 Million. [FINAL] 10. Sound of Freedom made 386% of its production budget. 11. Creed III made 365% of its production budget of $75 Million. [FINAL] 12. Jesus Revolution made 353% of its production budget of $15 Million. [FINAL] 13. Guardians of the Galaxy: Vol. 3 made 336% of its production budget of $250 Million. 14. Knock at the Cabin made 275% of its production budget of $20 Million. [FINAL] 15. Cocaine Bear made 254% of its production budget of $35 Million. [FINAL] 16. The Boogeyman made 234% of its $35,000,000 production budget. 17. Ant Man and the Wasp: Quantumania made 232% of its production budget of $200 Million. [FINAL] 18. The Little Mermaid made 217% of its $250,000,000 production budget. 19. Fast X made 213% of its $340,000,000 production budget. 20. Transformers: Rise of the Beasts made 207% of its $195,000,000 production budget. Losers* (The movies who haven't doubled their production budget to cover marketing budgets and theater takes. Unless marked with [FINAL], they still have an opportunity to leave the Losers list.): 1. Indiana Jones and the Dial of Destiny made 85% of its production budget. 2. Shazam: Fury of the Gods only made 106% of its production budget. [FINAL] 3. 65 only made 124% of its $45,000,000 production budget. [FINAL] 4. Magic Mike's Last Dance only made 124% of its $45,000,000 production budget. [FINAL] 5. Elemental made 128% of its production budget. 6. AIR only made 129% of its $70,000,000 production budget. [FINAL] 7. The Flash made 132% of its production budget. 8. Dungeons and Dragons: Honor Among Thieves only made 139% of its $150,000,000 production budget. [FINAL] 9. No Hard Feelings made 156% of its production budget. -------------------------------------------------- How you do anything is how you do everything.
Tuesday, July 18, 2023 7:29 PM
Quote:Originally posted by JEWELSTAITEFAN: Quote:Originally posted by 6IXSTRINGJACK: Quote:Originally posted by JEWELSTAITEFAN: I'm thinking that, following Wed, SoF would be around 9th place on the 2nd list.No. It's 10th after Wednesday's grand total of $53,922,551 with 386%. You are correct. My comments were based upon your statement that you were not including the Wed figures in your totals/calculations. And I did not double check what you had said.
Tuesday, July 18, 2023 8:34 PM
Tuesday, July 18, 2023 10:47 PM
Quote:I fully expect SoF to jump from 10 to 6 by the end of the weekend on the 2nd list. It would have been 5th, but until/unless The Red Door slows down faster, it's going to be behind. Congratulations to The Red Door for coming out of nowhere and taking 1st place on the first list, for highest grossing opening weekend worldwide vs. production budget. Keep in mind that Sound of Freedom is the only movie on this list that didn't have a worldwide box office, and all of these numbers are just from the US Box office... Otherwise, I think it had a very good chance of taking 1st place above The Red Door. I'm not even sure if SoF was shown in Canada or not, tbh...
Quote:So... I was wrong with my prediction SoF wouldn't gain many, if any theaters this weekend. Bruce is reporting 3,265 theaters this week, for a whopping increase of 413 theaters. I've never seen this happen two weekends in a row like this before. Hopefully it doesn't drop the ball. I still think it will be 6th place after this weekend, unless The Red Door suddenly flops. I don't see any possibility of SoF catching up with Miles Morales 2 by Sunday night, even with the additional theaters. There are 2 reasons why I say only 6th place for the weekend for SoF. Number 1 is because Insidious: The Red Door started out of the gates as the 1st place movie all year regarding the ratio of Worldwide Box Office vs. Production Budget and hasn't really slowed down all that much. SoF is going to have to catch up to that. It may take another week or two. Number 2 is because there's a huge difference between the current #4 and numbers 5-9 which are all in the 400-500% range. The Miles Morales sequel is 646%. It's slowed down to only $1 Million during weekdays and only had $2-3 Million per day last weekend, so SoF will gain quickly on it if it doesn't falter, but MM2 is still improving that ratio on what is already a decent gap. It will be 10 days to over two weeks before SoF catches up to it. 3rd place is Evil Dead Rise, which will not improve since it's out of theaters, but it's at 768%, so it will take even longer to reach that. M3GAN and SMB are light years away. I'm not saying that SoF won't catch up to them, but they've both got about 1000% on SoF right now.
Tuesday, July 18, 2023 10:55 PM
Quote:Originally posted by JEWELSTAITEFAN: I was thinking SoF would pass by Not Spiderman yesterday or today. Haven't checked yet.
Quote:hmmmm. 2,952 + 313 = 3265. 2,952 + 413 = 3365.
Wednesday, August 23, 2023 6:41 PM
Wednesday, August 23, 2023 6:52 PM
Quote:Originally posted by JEWELSTAITEFAN: Just saw a new gimmick for TLM showings - the Sing Along Showing.
Wednesday, October 4, 2023 12:24 PM
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