CINEMA

The Little Mermaid Failure Thread

POSTED BY: 6IXSTRINGJACK
UPDATED: Wednesday, October 4, 2023 12:24
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VIEWED: 2453
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Thursday, July 13, 2023 1:34 PM

6IXSTRINGJACK


Quote:

Originally posted by JEWELSTAITEFAN:
Sound of Freedom will cross $56M today.
Where does it fit on your 2 lists?
Each day, it earns another 20% of it's production budget.



I'll update it. I kind of stopped updating either of those lists when I put all the focus on just how bad Disney is doing. Probably about 7 or 8 flicks missing from that list now. I probably won't keep updating it beyond flicks that came out this week though because all I really want to do is see Disney's failure.



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Thursday, July 13, 2023 2:25 PM

6IXSTRINGJACK


UPDATED LISTS

All numbers from early-afternoon of 07/13 on The-Numbers... I fully expect SoF to jump from 10 to 6 by the end of the weekend on the 2nd list. It would have been 5th, but until/unless The Red Door slows down faster, it's going to be behind. Congratulations to The Red Door for coming out of nowhere and taking 1st place on the first list, for highest grossing opening weekend worldwide vs. production budget.

Keep in mind that Sound of Freedom is the only movie on this list that didn't have a worldwide box office, and all of these numbers are just from the US Box office... Otherwise, I think it had a very good chance of taking 1st place above The Red Door. I'm not even sure if SoF was shown in Canada or not, tbh...



Worldwide Opening Weekend and percentage of Production Budget made on opening weekend including all American made films currently in the global top 45 (Or that were in the top 35 on June 19th, which was the previous time I'd updated this list):

1 Insidious: The Red Door / Budget: $16,000,000 / WWO: $64,000,000 / 400%
2 The Super Mario Bros. Movie / Budget: $100,000,000 / WWO: $377,000,000 / 377%
3 M3GAN / Budget: $12,000,000 / WWO: $45,000,000 / 375%
4 Sound of Freedom / Budget: $14,000,000 / WWO: $42,000,000 / 300%
5 Evil Dead Rise / Budget: $19,000,000 / WWO: $40,000,000 / 210%
6 Spider-Man: Across the Spider-Verse / Budget: $100,000,000 / WWO: $209,000,000 / 209%
7 The Pope's Exorcist / Budget: $18,000,000 / WWO: $36,500,000 / 203%
8 Scream VI / Budget: $35,000,000 / WWO: $67,000,000 / 191%
9 John Wick: Chapter 4 / Budget: $100,000,000 / WWO: $138,000,000 / 138%
10 Creed III / Budget: $75,000,000 / WWO: $100,000,000 / 133%
11 Ant-Man and the Wasp: Quantumania / Budget: $200,000,000 / WWO: $250,000,000 / 125%
12 Guardians of the Galaxy Vol 3 / Budget: $250,000,000 / WWO: $290,000,000 / 116%
13 Knock at the Cabin / Budget: $20,000,000 / WWO: $21,000,000 / 105%
14 Jesus Revolution / Budget: $15,000,000 / WWO: $15,000,000 / 100%
15 Fast X / Budget: $340,000,000 / WWO: $319,000,000 / 94%
16 Transformers: Rise of the Beasts / Budget: $195,000,000 / WWO: $170,000,000 / 87%
17 Cocaine Bear / Budget: $35,000,000 / WWO: $28,000,000 / 80%
18 The Little Mermaid / Budget: $250,000,000 / WWO: $164,000,000 / 66%
19 The Boogeyman / Budget: $35,000,000 / WWO: $20,000,000 / 57%
20 Shazam: Fury of the Gods / Budget: $125,000,000 / WWO: $66,000,000 / 53%
21 No Hard Feelings / Budget: $45,000,000 / WWO: $22,000,000 / 49%
22 Dungeons & Dragons: Honor Among Thieves / Budget: $150,000,000 / WWO: $72,000,000 / 48%
23 Indiana Jones & the Dial of Destiny / Budget: $300,000,000 / WWO: $131,000,000 / 43.7%
24 AIR / Budget: $70,000,000 / WWO: $30,000,000 / 43%
25 65 / Budget: $45,000,000 / WWO: $12,300,000 / 27%
26 Magic Mike's Last Dance / Budget: $45,000,000 / WWO: $8,000,000 / 18%
27 The Flash / Budget: $200,000,000 / WWO: $75,000,000 / 37.5%
28 Elemental / Budget: $200,000,000 / WWO: $48,000,000 / 24%

It should probably be noted that 20 of the top 50 world wide box office were not US made so far in 2023.


SPECIAL MENTION:
Mummies / Budget: $12,000,000 / WWO: Unknown / ?

A movie that I've never even heard of until just right now called Mummies is currently 31st on the global list at $53,193,065 and needs a mention because only 8.04% (less than $5 Million) of that came from the domestic market, while the other 91.96% came from international box office. It has now made 442% of its production budget back, making it a clear winner based off of its low budget and its extremely high international take vs domestic take, two things which The Little Mermaid has never had in its favor.




Winners and losers from the previous list:

Winners:

1. M3GAN made 1,475% of its production budget of $12 Million. [FINAL]
2. Super Mario Bros Movie made 1,347% of its production budget of $100 Million.
3. Evil Dead Rise made 768% of its production budget of $19 Million. [FINAL]
4. Spider-Man: Across the Spider-Verse made 646% of its production budget of $100 Million.
5. Scream IV made 483% of its production budget of $35 Million. [FINAL]
6. Insidious: The Red Door made 453% of its production budget.
7. Mummies made 442% of its production budget of $12 Million. [FINAL]
8. John Wick: Chapter 4 made 432% of its production budget of $100 Million. [FINAL]
9. The Pope's Exorcist made 405% of its production budget of $18 Million. [FINAL]
10. Sound of Freedom made 386% of its production budget.
11. Creed III made 365% of its production budget of $75 Million. [FINAL]
12. Jesus Revolution made 353% of its production budget of $15 Million. [FINAL]
13. Guardians of the Galaxy: Vol. 3 made 336% of its production budget of $250 Million.
14. Knock at the Cabin made 275% of its production budget of $20 Million. [FINAL]
15. Cocaine Bear made 254% of its production budget of $35 Million. [FINAL]
16. The Boogeyman made 234% of its $35,000,000 production budget.
17. Ant Man and the Wasp: Quantumania made 232% of its production budget of $200 Million. [FINAL]
18. The Little Mermaid made 217% of its $250,000,000 production budget.
19. Fast X made 213% of its $340,000,000 production budget.
20. Transformers: Rise of the Beasts made 207% of its $195,000,000 production budget.

Losers* (The movies who haven't doubled their production budget to cover marketing budgets and theater takes. Unless marked with [FINAL], they still have an opportunity to leave the Losers list.):

1. Indiana Jones and the Dial of Destiny made 85% of its production budget.
2. Shazam: Fury of the Gods only made 106% of its production budget. [FINAL]
3. 65 only made 124% of its $45,000,000 production budget. [FINAL]
4. Magic Mike's Last Dance only made 124% of its $45,000,000 production budget. [FINAL]
5. Elemental made 128% of its production budget.
6. AIR only made 129% of its $70,000,000 production budget. [FINAL]
7. The Flash made 132% of its production budget.
8. Dungeons and Dragons: Honor Among Thieves only made 139% of its $150,000,000 production budget. [FINAL]
9. No Hard Feelings made 156% of its production budget.


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Thursday, July 13, 2023 7:05 PM

JEWELSTAITEFAN


I'm thinking that, following Wed, SoF would be around 9th place on the 2nd list. Following Thursday, about 6th.
Then the 3 day weekend, which I don't know how many theaters it will be in.

It is possible that many theaters would prefer to have empty buildings showcasing Woke Trash, instead of Sold Out shows of a film the population apparently wants to see.

I think on Wednesday alone, it earned more than 31% of it's Production Budget.

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Thursday, July 13, 2023 11:02 PM

6IXSTRINGJACK


Quote:

Originally posted by JEWELSTAITEFAN:
I'm thinking that, following Wed, SoF would be around 9th place on the 2nd list.



No. It's 10th after Wednesday's grand total of $53,922,551 with 386%.

Quote:

Following Thursday, about 6th.


No. It will be 9th after Thursday's numbers post with somewhere in the area of 415-425%.

Quote:

Then the 3 day weekend, which I don't know how many theaters it will be in.


It is possible that many theaters would prefer to have empty buildings showcasing Woke Trash, instead of Sold Out shows of a film the population apparently wants to see.

I think on Wednesday alone, it earned more than 31% of it's Production Budget.



So... I was wrong with my prediction SoF wouldn't gain many, if any theaters this weekend. Bruce is reporting 3,265 theaters this week, for a whopping increase of 413 theaters. I've never seen this happen two weekends in a row like this before. Hopefully it doesn't drop the ball.

I still think it will be 6th place after this weekend, unless The Red Door suddenly flops. I don't see any possibility of SoF catching up with Miles Morales 2 by Sunday night, even with the additional theaters.

There are 2 reasons why I say only 6th place for the weekend for SoF.

Number 1 is because Insidious: The Red Door started out of the gates as the 1st place movie all year regarding the ratio of Worldwide Box Office vs. Production Budget and hasn't really slowed down all that much. SoF is going to have to catch up to that. It may take another week or two.

Number 2 is because there's a huge difference between the current #4 and numbers 5-9 which are all in the 400-500% range.

The Miles Morales sequel is 646%. It's slowed down to only $1 Million during weekdays and only had $2-3 Million per day last weekend, so SoF will gain quickly on it if it doesn't falter, but MM2 is still improving that ratio on what is already a decent gap. It will be 10 days to over two weeks before SoF catches up to it.

3rd place is Evil Dead Rise, which will not improve since it's out of theaters, but it's at 768%, so it will take even longer to reach that.

M3GAN and SMB are light years away. I'm not saying that SoF won't catch up to them, but they've both got about 1000% on SoF right now.

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How you do anything is how you do everything.

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Saturday, July 15, 2023 4:47 PM

JEWELSTAITEFAN


Quote:

Originally posted by 6IXSTRINGJACK:
Quote:

Originally posted by JEWELSTAITEFAN:
I'm thinking that, following Wed, SoF would be around 9th place on the 2nd list.

No. It's 10th after Wednesday's grand total of $53,922,551 with 386%.

You are correct. My comments were based upon your statement that you were not including the Wed figures in your totals/calculations. And I did not double check what you had said.
Quote:

Quote:

Following Thursday, about 6th.
No. It will be 9th after Thursday's numbers post with somewhere in the area of 415-425%.

Yes, our projections are in agreement, I was just off a day from the misunderstanding.
Quote:

Quote:

Then the 3 day weekend, which I don't know how many theaters it will be in.

It is possible that many theaters would prefer to have empty buildings showcasing Woke Trash, instead of Sold Out shows of a film the population apparently wants to see.

I think on Wednesday alone, it earned more than 31% of it's Production Budget./b]

So... I was wrong with my prediction SoF wouldn't gain many, if any theaters this weekend. Bruce is reporting 3,265 theaters this week, for a whopping increase of 413 theaters.

I'm thinking 313.
Quote:

I've never seen this happen two weekends in a row like this before. Hopefully it doesn't drop the ball.

I still think it will be 6th place after this weekend, unless The Red Door suddenly flops. I don't see any possibility of SoF catching up with Miles Morales 2 by Sunday night, even with the additional theaters.

There are 2 reasons why I say only 6th place for the weekend for SoF.

Number 1 is because Insidious: The Red Door started out of the gates as the 1st place movie all year regarding the ratio of Worldwide Box Office vs. Production Budget and hasn't really slowed down all that much. SoF is going to have to catch up to that. It may take another week or two.

Number 2 is because there's a huge difference between the current #4 and numbers 5-9 which are all in the 400-500% range.

The Miles Morales sequel is 646%. It's slowed down to only $1 Million during weekdays and only had $2-3 Million per day last weekend, so SoF will gain quickly on it if it doesn't falter, but MM2 is still improving that ratio on what is already a decent gap. It will be 10 days to over two weeks before SoF catches up to it.

3rd place is Evil Dead Rise, which will not improve since it's out of theaters, but it's at 768%, so it will take even longer to reach that.

M3GAN and SMB are light years away. I'm not saying that SoF won't catch up to them, but they've both got about 1000% on SoF right now.
-------------------------------------------------
How you do anything is how you do everything.

I think SoF will pass by Scream sometime today, and then Not Spiderman by next Thursday, then EDR by end of next weekend.
SoF gained about 54% just on Friday night alone, it's 2nd Friday. I expect Saturday to be even more. And Sunday to be more than Friday, also.

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Monday, July 17, 2023 8:44 PM

JEWELSTAITEFAN


Quote:

Originally posted by 6IXSTRINGJACK:
UPDATED LISTS

All numbers from early-afternoon of 07/13 on The-Numbers... I fully expect SoF to jump from 10 to 6 by the end of the weekend on the 2nd list. It would have been 5th, but until/unless The Red Door slows down faster, it's going to be behind. Congratulations to The Red Door for coming out of nowhere and taking 1st place on the first list, for highest grossing opening weekend worldwide vs. production budget.

Keep in mind that Sound of Freedom is the only movie on this list that didn't have a worldwide box office, and all of these numbers are just from the US Box office... Otherwise, I think it had a very good chance of taking 1st place above The Red Door. I'm not even sure if SoF was shown in Canada or not, tbh...



Worldwide Opening Weekend and percentage of Production Budget made on opening weekend including all American made films currently in the global top 45 (Or that were in the top 35 on June 19th, which was the previous time I'd updated this list):

1 Insidious: The Red Door / Budget: $16,000,000 / WWO: $64,000,000 / 400%
2 The Super Mario Bros. Movie / Budget: $100,000,000 / WWO: $377,000,000 / 377%
3 M3GAN / Budget: $12,000,000 / WWO: $45,000,000 / 375%
4 Sound of Freedom / Budget: $14,000,000 / WWO: $42,000,000 / 300%
5 Evil Dead Rise / Budget: $19,000,000 / WWO: $40,000,000 / 210%
6 Spider-Man: Across the Spider-Verse / Budget: $100,000,000 / WWO: $209,000,000 / 209%
7 The Pope's Exorcist / Budget: $18,000,000 / WWO: $36,500,000 / 203%
8 Scream VI / Budget: $35,000,000 / WWO: $67,000,000 / 191%
9 John Wick: Chapter 4 / Budget: $100,000,000 / WWO: $138,000,000 / 138%
10 Creed III / Budget: $75,000,000 / WWO: $100,000,000 / 133%
11 Ant-Man and the Wasp: Quantumania / Budget: $200,000,000 / WWO: $250,000,000 / 125%
12 Guardians of the Galaxy Vol 3 / Budget: $250,000,000 / WWO: $290,000,000 / 116%
13 Knock at the Cabin / Budget: $20,000,000 / WWO: $21,000,000 / 105%
14 Jesus Revolution / Budget: $15,000,000 / WWO: $15,000,000 / 100%
15 Fast X / Budget: $340,000,000 / WWO: $319,000,000 / 94%
16 Transformers: Rise of the Beasts / Budget: $195,000,000 / WWO: $170,000,000 / 87%
17 Cocaine Bear / Budget: $35,000,000 / WWO: $28,000,000 / 80%
18 The Little Mermaid / Budget: $250,000,000 / WWO: $164,000,000 / 66%
19 The Boogeyman / Budget: $35,000,000 / WWO: $20,000,000 / 57%
20 Shazam: Fury of the Gods / Budget: $125,000,000 / WWO: $66,000,000 / 53%
21 No Hard Feelings / Budget: $45,000,000 / WWO: $22,000,000 / 49%
22 Dungeons & Dragons: Honor Among Thieves / Budget: $150,000,000 / WWO: $72,000,000 / 48%
23 Indiana Jones & the Dial of Destiny / Budget: $300,000,000 / WWO: $131,000,000 / 43.7%
24 AIR / Budget: $70,000,000 / WWO: $30,000,000 / 43%
25 65 / Budget: $45,000,000 / WWO: $12,300,000 / 27%
26 Magic Mike's Last Dance / Budget: $45,000,000 / WWO: $8,000,000 / 18%
27 The Flash / Budget: $200,000,000 / WWO: $75,000,000 / 37.5%
28 Elemental / Budget: $200,000,000 / WWO: $48,000,000 / 24%

It should probably be noted that 20 of the top 50 world wide box office were not US made so far in 2023.


SPECIAL MENTION:
Mummies / Budget: $12,000,000 / WWO: Unknown / ?

A movie that I've never even heard of until just right now called Mummies is currently 31st on the global list at $53,193,065 and needs a mention because only 8.04% (less than $5 Million) of that came from the domestic market, while the other 91.96% came from international box office. It has now made 442% of its production budget back, making it a clear winner based off of its low budget and its extremely high international take vs domestic take, two things which The Little Mermaid has never had in its favor.




Winners and losers from the previous list:

Winners:

1. M3GAN made 1,475% of its production budget of $12 Million. [FINAL]
2. Super Mario Bros Movie made 1,347% of its production budget of $100 Million.
3. Evil Dead Rise made 768% of its production budget of $19 Million. [FINAL]
4. Spider-Man: Across the Spider-Verse made 646% of its production budget of $100 Million.
5. Scream IV made 483% of its production budget of $35 Million. [FINAL]
6. Insidious: The Red Door made 453% of its production budget.
7. Mummies made 442% of its production budget of $12 Million. [FINAL]
8. John Wick: Chapter 4 made 432% of its production budget of $100 Million. [FINAL]
9. The Pope's Exorcist made 405% of its production budget of $18 Million. [FINAL]
10. Sound of Freedom made 386% of its production budget.
11. Creed III made 365% of its production budget of $75 Million. [FINAL]
12. Jesus Revolution made 353% of its production budget of $15 Million. [FINAL]
13. Guardians of the Galaxy: Vol. 3 made 336% of its production budget of $250 Million.
14. Knock at the Cabin made 275% of its production budget of $20 Million. [FINAL]
15. Cocaine Bear made 254% of its production budget of $35 Million. [FINAL]
16. The Boogeyman made 234% of its $35,000,000 production budget.
17. Ant Man and the Wasp: Quantumania made 232% of its production budget of $200 Million. [FINAL]
18. The Little Mermaid made 217% of its $250,000,000 production budget.
19. Fast X made 213% of its $340,000,000 production budget.
20. Transformers: Rise of the Beasts made 207% of its $195,000,000 production budget.

Losers* (The movies who haven't doubled their production budget to cover marketing budgets and theater takes. Unless marked with [FINAL], they still have an opportunity to leave the Losers list.):

1. Indiana Jones and the Dial of Destiny made 85% of its production budget.
2. Shazam: Fury of the Gods only made 106% of its production budget. [FINAL]
3. 65 only made 124% of its $45,000,000 production budget. [FINAL]
4. Magic Mike's Last Dance only made 124% of its $45,000,000 production budget. [FINAL]
5. Elemental made 128% of its production budget.
6. AIR only made 129% of its $70,000,000 production budget. [FINAL]
7. The Flash made 132% of its production budget.
8. Dungeons and Dragons: Honor Among Thieves only made 139% of its $150,000,000 production budget. [FINAL]
9. No Hard Feelings made 156% of its production budget.


--------------------------------------------------

How you do anything is how you do everything.


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Tuesday, July 18, 2023 7:29 PM

6IXSTRINGJACK


Quote:

Originally posted by JEWELSTAITEFAN:
Quote:

Originally posted by 6IXSTRINGJACK:
Quote:

Originally posted by JEWELSTAITEFAN:
I'm thinking that, following Wed, SoF would be around 9th place on the 2nd list.

No. It's 10th after Wednesday's grand total of $53,922,551 with 386%.

You are correct. My comments were based upon your statement that you were not including the Wed figures in your totals/calculations. And I did not double check what you had said.



Okay.

Quote:

Quote:

Following Thursday, about 6th.
No. It will be 9th after Thursday's numbers post with somewhere in the area of 415-425%.

Yes, our projections are in agreement, I was just off a day from the misunderstanding.


Cool.

Quote:

Quote:

Then the 3 day weekend, which I don't know how many theaters it will be in.

It is possible that many theaters would prefer to have empty buildings showcasing Woke Trash, instead of Sold Out shows of a film the population apparently wants to see.

I think on Wednesday alone, it earned more than 31% of it's Production Budget./b]

So... I was wrong with my prediction SoF wouldn't gain many, if any theaters this weekend. Bruce is reporting 3,265 theaters this week, for a whopping increase of 413 theaters.

I'm thinking 313.


No. Unless Bruce messed up. He said 413 theaters were added for this weekend.

https://www.the-numbers.com/news/254580830-Theater-counts-Mission-Impo
ssible-on-Cruise-control-heading-into-weekend-plus-official-expected-theater-counts-for-Barbie-and-Oppenheimer


Quote:

I've never seen this happen two weekends in a row like this before. Hopefully it doesn't drop the ball.

I still think it will be 6th place after this weekend, unless The Red Door suddenly flops. I don't see any possibility of SoF catching up with Miles Morales 2 by Sunday night, even with the additional theaters.

There are 2 reasons why I say only 6th place for the weekend for SoF.

Number 1 is because Insidious: The Red Door started out of the gates as the 1st place movie all year regarding the ratio of Worldwide Box Office vs. Production Budget and hasn't really slowed down all that much. SoF is going to have to catch up to that. It may take another week or two.

Number 2 is because there's a huge difference between the current #4 and numbers 5-9 which are all in the 400-500% range.

The Miles Morales sequel is 646%. It's slowed down to only $1 Million during weekdays and only had $2-3 Million per day last weekend, so SoF will gain quickly on it if it doesn't falter, but MM2 is still improving that ratio on what is already a decent gap. It will be 10 days to over two weeks before SoF catches up to it.

3rd place is Evil Dead Rise, which will not improve since it's out of theaters, but it's at 768%, so it will take even longer to reach that.

M3GAN and SMB are light years away. I'm not saying that SoF won't catch up to them, but they've both got about 1000% on SoF right now.
-------------------------------------------------
How you do anything is how you do everything.

I think SoF will pass by Scream sometime today, and then Not Spiderman by next Thursday, then EDR by end of next weekend.
SoF gained about 54% just on Friday night alone, it's 2nd Friday. I expect Saturday to be even more. And Sunday to be more than Friday, also.




I've been gone for a while. I did see while I was gone that SoF did amazing over the weekend though.

I don't know if I'll get around to updating the two lists tonight, but I'll try to get them all updated tomorrow morning if I don't get to it tonight. I'm hearing the overall increase for the weekend was 39% above last weekend. Not bad, considering that the 413 extra theaters were only a 14.5% increase above last weeks amount.

Not to mention, even Bruce says "Sound of Freedom, meanwhile, joins a very small club of films that earned more in their second weekend than their first".

I'd love to see that list. I figured that it's had to happen before, but I've never seen it happen to any film in the BO since I've started paying attention.

--------------------------------------------------

How you do anything is how you do everything.

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Tuesday, July 18, 2023 8:34 PM

JEWELSTAITEFAN


I was thinking SoF would pass by Not Spiderman yesterday or today. Haven't checked yet.

hmmmm. 2,952 + 313 = 3265.
2,952 + 413 = 3365.

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Tuesday, July 18, 2023 10:47 PM

6IXSTRINGJACK


UPDATED LISTS: Late-Evening of 07/18 on The-Numbers...

Worldwide Opening Weekend and percentage of Production Budget made on opening weekend including all American made films currently in the global top 45 (Or that were in the top 35 on June 19th, which was the previous time I'd updated this list):

1 Insidious: The Red Door / Budget: $16,000,000 / WWO: $64,000,000 / 400%
2 The Super Mario Bros. Movie / Budget: $100,000,000 / WWO: $377,000,000 / 377%
3 M3GAN / Budget: $12,000,000 / WWO: $45,000,000 / 375%
4 Sound of Freedom / Budget: $14,000,000 / WWO: $42,000,000 / 300%
5 Evil Dead Rise / Budget: $19,000,000 / WWO: $40,000,000 / 210%
6 Spider-Man: Across the Spider-Verse / Budget: $100,000,000 / WWO: $209,000,000 / 209%
7 The Pope's Exorcist / Budget: $18,000,000 / WWO: $36,500,000 / 203%
8 Scream VI / Budget: $35,000,000 / WWO: $67,000,000 / 191%
9 John Wick: Chapter 4 / Budget: $100,000,000 / WWO: $138,000,000 / 138%
10 Creed III / Budget: $75,000,000 / WWO: $100,000,000 / 133%
11 Ant-Man and the Wasp: Quantumania / Budget: $200,000,000 / WWO: $250,000,000 / 125%
12 Guardians of the Galaxy Vol 3 / Budget: $250,000,000 / WWO: $290,000,000 / 116%
13 Knock at the Cabin / Budget: $20,000,000 / WWO: $21,000,000 / 105%
14 Jesus Revolution / Budget: $15,000,000 / WWO: $15,000,000 / 100%
15 Fast X / Budget: $340,000,000 / WWO: $319,000,000 / 94%
16 Transformers: Rise of the Beasts / Budget: $195,000,000 / WWO: $170,000,000 / 87%
17 Mission Impossible: Dead Reckoning Pt1 / Budget: $290,000,000 / WWO: $235,000,000 81%
18 Cocaine Bear / Budget: $35,000,000 / WWO: $28,000,000 / 80%
19 The Little Mermaid / Budget: $250,000,000 / WWO: $164,000,000 / 66%
20 The Boogeyman / Budget: $35,000,000 / WWO: $20,000,000 / 57%
21 Shazam: Fury of the Gods / Budget: $125,000,000 / WWO: $66,000,000 / 53%
22 No Hard Feelings / Budget: $45,000,000 / WWO: $22,000,000 / 49%
23 Dungeons & Dragons: Honor Among Thieves / Budget: $150,000,000 / WWO: $72,000,000 / 48%
24 Indiana Jones & the Dial of Destiny / Budget: $300,000,000 / WWO: $131,000,000 / 43.7%
25 AIR / Budget: $70,000,000 / WWO: $30,000,000 / 43%
26 65 / Budget: $45,000,000 / WWO: $12,300,000 / 27%
27 Magic Mike's Last Dance / Budget: $45,000,000 / WWO: $8,000,000 / 18%
28 The Flash / Budget: $200,000,000 / WWO: $75,000,000 / 37.5%
29 Elemental / Budget: $200,000,000 / WWO: $48,000,000 / 24%

SPECIAL MENTION:
Mummies / Budget: $12,000,000 / WWO: Unknown / ?



Winners and losers from the previous list:

Winners:

1. M3GAN made 1,475% of its production budget of $12 Million. [FINAL]
2. Super Mario Bros Movie made 1,349% of its production budget of $100 Million.
3. Insidious: The Red Door made 775% of its $16 Million production budget.
4. Evil Dead Rise made 768% of its production budget of $19 Million. [FINAL]
5. Spider-Man: Across the Spider-Verse made 664% of its production budget of $100 Million.
6. Sound of Freedom made 650% of its $14 Million production budget.
7. Scream IV made 483% of its production budget of $35 Million. [FINAL]
8. Mummies made 442% of its production budget of $12 Million. [FINAL]
9. John Wick: Chapter 4 made 432% of its production budget of $100 Million. [FINAL]
10. The Pope's Exorcist made 405% of its production budget of $18 Million. [FINAL]
11. Creed III made 365% of its production budget of $75 Million. [FINAL]
12. Jesus Revolution made 353% of its production budget of $15 Million. [FINAL]
13. Guardians of the Galaxy: Vol. 3 made 336% of its production budget of $250 Million.
14. Knock at the Cabin made 275% of its production budget of $20 Million. [FINAL]
15. Cocaine Bear made 254% of its production budget of $35 Million. [FINAL]
16. The Boogeyman made 234% of its $35 Million production budget.
17. Ant Man and the Wasp: Quantumania made 232% of its production budget of $200 Million. [FINAL]
18. The Little Mermaid made 219% of its $250,000,000 production budget.
19. Transformers: Rise of the Beasts made 216% of its $195,000,000 production budget.
20. Fast X made 213% of its $340,000,000 production budget. [FINAL]


Losers* (The movies who haven't doubled their production budget to cover marketing budgets and theater takes. Unless marked with [FINAL], they still have an opportunity to leave the Losers list.):

1. Mission Impossible: Dead Reckoning Part 1 made 82% of its $290,000,000 production budget.
2. Indiana Jones and the Dial of Destiny made 101% of its $300,000,000 production budget.
3. Shazam: Fury of the Gods only made 106% of its $125,000,000 production budget. [FINAL]
4. 65 only made 124% of its $45,000,000 production budget. [FINAL]
5. Magic Mike's Last Dance only made 124% of its $45,000,000 production budget. [FINAL]
6. Elemental made 157% of its $200,000,000 production budget.
7. AIR only made 129% of its $70,000,000 production budget. [FINAL]
8. The Flash made 134% of its $200,000,000 production budget.
9. Dungeons and Dragons: Honor Among Thieves only made 139% of its $150,000,000 production budget. [FINAL]
10. No Hard Feelings made 173% of its $45,000,000 production budget.




Predictions from 07/13:

Quote:

I fully expect SoF to jump from 10 to 6 by the end of the weekend on the 2nd list. It would have been 5th, but until/unless The Red Door slows down faster, it's going to be behind. Congratulations to The Red Door for coming out of nowhere and taking 1st place on the first list, for highest grossing opening weekend worldwide vs. production budget.

Keep in mind that Sound of Freedom is the only movie on this list that didn't have a worldwide box office, and all of these numbers are just from the US Box office... Otherwise, I think it had a very good chance of taking 1st place above The Red Door. I'm not even sure if SoF was shown in Canada or not, tbh...



Quote:

So... I was wrong with my prediction SoF wouldn't gain many, if any theaters this weekend. Bruce is reporting 3,265 theaters this week, for a whopping increase of 413 theaters. I've never seen this happen two weekends in a row like this before. Hopefully it doesn't drop the ball.

I still think it will be 6th place after this weekend, unless The Red Door suddenly flops. I don't see any possibility of SoF catching up with Miles Morales 2 by Sunday night, even with the additional theaters.

There are 2 reasons why I say only 6th place for the weekend for SoF.

Number 1 is because Insidious: The Red Door started out of the gates as the 1st place movie all year regarding the ratio of Worldwide Box Office vs. Production Budget and hasn't really slowed down all that much. SoF is going to have to catch up to that. It may take another week or two.

Number 2 is because there's a huge difference between the current #4 and numbers 5-9 which are all in the 400-500% range.

The Miles Morales sequel is 646%. It's slowed down to only $1 Million during weekdays and only had $2-3 Million per day last weekend, so SoF will gain quickly on it if it doesn't falter, but MM2 is still improving that ratio on what is already a decent gap. It will be 10 days to over two weeks before SoF catches up to it.

3rd place is Evil Dead Rise, which will not improve since it's out of theaters, but it's at 768%, so it will take even longer to reach that.

M3GAN and SMB are light years away. I'm not saying that SoF won't catch up to them, but they've both got about 1000% on SoF right now.




SoF is 6th place now, and for exactly the reasons I said it would be.

It leap-frogged over all the 400% movies in 5th-9th place, just as I knew it would, and even though Insidious slowed down, The Red Door was able to end up at 775% of its production budget after Monday while SoF is "only" at 650% right now.

Where I did fail in my prediction was saying that it would take SoF 10 days to over 2 weeks to beat Miles Morales 2. With the insane legs on SoF and Monday being the 6th of 6 straight days where it made more money than the same day the previous week and Miles Morales 2 only making around 800k on Monday compared to SoF's nearly $5 Million, it won't take but another day or two for SoF's current 650% to displace MM2's 664%... it will only take 6 days max to overcome MM2.

By next weekend I expect SoF to be 3rd place on the second list, meaning that it will already be more than halfway to reaching number one on the list.

M3GAN made $180,674,091 off of a $12 Million budget to take 1st place.

SMB made $1,348,575,859 off of a $100 Million budget to take 2nd place.

SoF will need to make $187.6 Million to take 2nd place, and it will need to make $206.64 Million to take 1st place for 2023.

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How you do anything is how you do everything.

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Tuesday, July 18, 2023 10:55 PM

6IXSTRINGJACK


Quote:

Originally posted by JEWELSTAITEFAN:
I was thinking SoF would pass by Not Spiderman yesterday or today. Haven't checked yet.



Nope. Not yet. See the post above.

Quote:

hmmmm. 2,952 + 313 = 3265.
2,952 + 413 = 3365.



Yeah. It appears Bruce screwed up something.

https://www.the-numbers.com/news/254580830-Theater-counts-Mission-Impo
ssible-on-Cruise-control-heading-into-weekend-plus-official-expected-theater-counts-for-Barbie-and-Oppenheimer


He's got it increased from 2,852 theaters to 3,265 theaters on the weekly theater count article above.

I'm going to say that the article was the mistake until proven otherwise.

So with only a 313 theater count increase being only 10.6%, that makes the Box Office increase this weekend of 39% even more impressive than it already was.

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How you do anything is how you do everything.

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Wednesday, August 23, 2023 6:41 PM

JEWELSTAITEFAN


Just saw a new gimmick for TLM showings - the Sing Along Showing.

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Wednesday, August 23, 2023 6:52 PM

6IXSTRINGJACK


Quote:

Originally posted by JEWELSTAITEFAN:
Just saw a new gimmick for TLM showings - the Sing Along Showing.



You'll have to follow that up if you hear anything about it.

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How you do anything is how you do everything.

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Wednesday, October 4, 2023 12:24 PM

6IXSTRINGJACK


FORBES (October 2nd): Disney Sinks $300 Million Into ‘Over Budget’ ‘Little Mermaid’ Movie

https://www.forbes.com/sites/carolinereid/2023/10/02/disney-sinks-300-
million-into-over-budget-little-mermaid-movie/

It just came out that The Little Mermaid cost $300 Million to make. Not the already ludicrous $250 Million that was reported when the movie first came out. Now that movie is loser on both the 2.0x RoT and the 2.5x RoT.

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