2025 Wide Release Prediction Game Thread by 6ixStringJack

CINEMA

2025 Wide Release Prediction Game Thread

POSTED BY: 6IXSTRINGJACK
UPDATED: Thursday, March 27, 2025 05:41
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Sunday, February 23, 2025 10:08 AM

Sony Pictures Classics' Becoming Led Zeppelin grossed $2.75M this week (from 1,039 locations). Total domestic gross stands at $6.42M

https://x.com/BORReport/status/1893046796340928524

How Captain America: Brave New World’s Box Office Compares To MCU Flops

https://www.forbes.com/sites/paultassi/2025/02/17/how-captain-america-
brave-new-worlds-box-office-compares-to-mcu-flops/

however if it makes 10 bucks profit Marvel / Disney will class it was a 'win'?

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Sunday, February 23, 2025 1:29 PM

6IXSTRINGJACK

Quote:
Originally posted by JAYNEZTOWN:
How Captain America: Brave New World’s Box Office Compares To MCU Flops

https://www.forbes.com/sites/paultassi/2025/02/17/how-captain-america-
brave-new-worlds-box-office-compares-to-mcu-flops/

however if it makes 10 bucks profit Marvel / Disney will class it was a 'win'?

Even at Forbes, they're so fucking disingenuous...

Quote:
So, it’s right in that range, and nearly twice as good as the lowest-performing MCU movie ever, The Marvels, which went on to only earn $206 million worldwide. But how does it compare to say, other Captain America movies?

Captain America: The First Avenger - $65 million opening weekend, earned $370 million total
Captain America: The Winter Soldier - $95 million opening, earned $714 million total
Captain America: Civil War - $179 million opening weekend, earned $1.1 billion total

So, it’s number three out of four there for openings.

Nah bitch. You work for Forbes for fuck's sake and you don't know what inflation is?

I already broke those numbers down here, unpaid. It must be nice to be able to write whatever you want and never be fact checked while collecting that bi-weekly severe over-payment for your "services". Dust up that resume. AI will be doing your job soon, and a much better job at that.

Quote:
If its trajectory continues compared to these other Captain America movies, it could end up earning perhaps $600+ million,

It didn't. It won't gross $450 Million.

Quote:
though that assumes word-of-mouth is good enough to carry it further from here

Don't assume, or you make an ass out of Ume.

Quote:
which may not be the case judging by its Cinemascore.

So you did notice the lowest MCU Cinemascore of all time too, although you fail to actually mention that in your article, didn't you?

Quote:
That level of performance, however, would proably be considered at least some level of a success compared to recent Marvel underperformers (then we have Deadpool and Wolverine’s $1.3 billion, of course).

Yeah. $600+ Million would have been considered a success when you needed $450 Million to break even.

Congratulations. That's how math works.

Fortunately for the world, we don't even get to argue about whether or not this was a massive failure now. It clearly is after the 2nd weekend drop and nobody is going to be able to defend it.

--------------------------------------------------

"I don't find this stuff amusing anymore." ~Paul Simon

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Wednesday, March 5, 2025 12:21 PM

JAYNEZTOWN

perhaps they soon can have profits?

Box Office: Bong Joon Ho and Robert Pattinson’s ‘Mickey 17’ Targets $20 Million Domestic Debut; Internationally, $20 million to $25 million from 66 Territories for A Global Start of $40 to $45 million

https://variety.com/2025/film/box-office/mickey-17-box-office-bong-joo
n-ho-robert-pattinson-opening-weekend-projection-1236327328/

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Wednesday, March 5, 2025 5:49 PM

6IXSTRINGJACK

The 2025 Box Office is so pathetic that even Bruce got bored.

https://www.the-numbers.com/box-office-records/worldwide/all-movies/cu
mulative/released-in-2025

He hasn't updated the top 100 movies for 2025 page in weeks.

--------------------------------------------------

"I don't find this stuff amusing anymore." ~Paul Simon

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Thursday, March 6, 2025 3:37 AM

JAYNEZTOWN

Wow the numbers for 2025 are truly shocking and so many foreign films

box office numbers discussed

https://forums.boxofficetheory.com/topic/32982-captain-america-brave-n
ew-world/page/3/#comments

Estimated totals through Sunday for Captain America: Brave New World by international market include:

U.K. - $19.8M
China - $14.2M
Mexico - $13.1M
France - $11.5M
S. Korea - $10.7M
Brazil - $7.5M
Germany - $7.1M
Australia - $7.0M
Japan - $6.7M
Italy - $5.8M
Spain - $5.5M
https://twitter.com/BORReport/status/1896233588548592046?ref_src=twsrc
%5Etfw

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Thursday, March 6, 2025 2:17 PM

6IXSTRINGJACK

Yeah. Gotta love articles calling "Brave New World" a "Three-Peat" for winning 3 weekends in a row.

Nobody mentions that the game they were playing was Solitaire.

Nor do they mention that the price to get in the game was $450 Million and the maximum payout for winning is only $400 Million.

--------------------------------------------------

"I don't find this stuff amusing anymore." ~Paul Simon

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Monday, March 10, 2025 7:44 AM

JAYNEZTOWN

its not completely over for Hollyweird they seem to be still scouting and getting foriegn directors who might make money for them

Mickey 17 is expected to win in Australia

but there is a danger SKorea itself could push Hollyweirdos out of the international market if they have continued success at home and have no desire to be part of the weird tinseltown Commiefornia culture

Hollywood doesnt lure and seduce overseas talent like it used to, maybe people are seeing past the illusion

‘Train To Busan’ Director Yeon Sang-ho Unveils Cast For New Zombie Film ‘Gunche’
https://deadline.com/2025/03/train-to-busan-director-yeon-sang-ho-unve
ils-cast-zombie-film-gunche-1236313724/

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Monday, March 10, 2025 1:48 PM

6IXSTRINGJACK

Quote:
Originally posted by JAYNEZTOWN:
but there is a danger SKorea itself could push Hollyweirdos out of the international market if they have continued success at home and have no desire to be part of the weird tinseltown Commiefornia culture

I dunno. Today I'm hearing from a couple of people that Mickey 17 is a anti-Trump rant. I can't watch the videos to see why they say this, because I don't want spoilers to the movie.

I don't know if I believe them though because I feel like at this point some people are going to see everything that comes out as either pro-Trump or anti-Trump no matter what their politics are.

I was just telling my old man that we probably wanted to watch that one. We'd just watched Snowpiercer a while back (under the assumption that it was a sequel to Willy Wonka & the Chocolate Factory), and we enjoyed it. Then I get an email titled "Too bad" this morning from him with a scathing review.

--------------------------------------------------

"I don't find this stuff amusing anymore." ~Paul Simon

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Tuesday, March 11, 2025 6:10 AM

JAYNEZTOWN

Mickey 17 could have staying power but not sure if it can make money

but the Hollyweirdo 'message' and general political divide will kill movie experiences

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Wednesday, March 12, 2025 2:13 PM

6IXSTRINGJACK

Quote:
Originally posted by JAYNEZTOWN:
Mickey 17 could have staying power but not sure if it can make money

but the Hollyweirdo 'message' and general political divide will kill movie experiences

I could have gotten past media messaging and at least given this one a shot, but then I found out Mark Ruffolo is in it. That's a deal breaker.

There's some actors out there I can still suspend disbelief and see whoever they're playing, but not Mark. He's a shitty actor.

--------------------------------------------------

"I don't find this stuff amusing anymore." ~Paul Simon

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Thursday, March 13, 2025 5:27 PM

JAYNEZTOWN

inide maybe

and the sequels will be the Birds, Cats and Goldfish

'Good Boy' Review: Horror Movie Told from the Dog's Point of View and One of the Best of the Year So Far
https://www.indiewire.com/criticism/movies/good-boy-movie-horror-movie
-review-dog-pov-1235102488/

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Thursday, March 13, 2025 5:34 PM

6IXSTRINGJACK

Good post.

I don't think I ever would have even known about this one if you didn't post it.

One of my least favorite genre's, but I'm always up for watching something new.

I didn't do more than skim the article because I don't want to ruin the movie, but it appears that they didn't do a "Look Who's Talking Now" thing here and have John Travolta narrating the dog. I would not be interested in this movie if you hear the dog's thoughts in English.

--------------------------------------------------

"I don't find this stuff amusing anymore." ~Paul Simon

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Sunday, March 16, 2025 3:14 AM

JAYNEZTOWN

Wow the Hollyweirdos they just gave it all the kiss of death

2025 will be even worse than expected?

‘Mickey 17’ Digital Release
https://www.whentostream.com/news/mickey-17-digital-streaming-release-
date-revealed
18 Days After Theatrical Debut

another flop Novocaine...maybe not it has a reported Budget of $18 million...so does that qualify in the 'indie' thread where the first post was to cap it at $15-16 Million?

‘Novocaine’ With $8M+ Leads Lowest-Grossing Weekend Of 2025 To Date
https://deadline.com/2025/03/box-office-novocaine-1236326472/

if you can't turn profit anymore on a 18 Million Dollar movie that some people watch...it means Hollywood is over

now if only ‘Novocaine’ got a fraction of Captain America Brave New World 2025 numbers, it could have been a huge hit...

...maybe people have movie fatigue again

https://www.the-numbers.com/movies/custom-comparisons-extended/Iron-Ma
n-3/Novocaine-(2025)/Captain-America-Brave-New-World-(2025)#tab=day_by_day_comparison

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Sunday, March 16, 2025 12:45 PM

6IXSTRINGJACK

Quote:
Originally posted by JAYNEZTOWN:
another flop Novocaine...maybe not it has a reported Budget of $18 million...so does that qualify in the 'indie' thread where the first post was to cap it at $15-16 Million?

We've been through 4 years of Bidenflation. I'll allow it.

--------------------------------------------------

"I don't find this stuff amusing anymore." ~Paul Simon

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Wednesday, March 19, 2025 7:20 PM

JAYNEZTOWN

Paramount's Novocaine grossed $1.19M on Tuesday (from 3,365 locations). Total domestic gross stands at $10.74M

https://x.com/BORReport/status/1902428692774842712

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Thursday, March 20, 2025 9:46 AM

JAYNEZTOWN

a dual citizen Mayor pushes his religious sandbox politics
the USA isn't an Israeli Police State yet and its not the jihad Middle East so...

Streisand effect idiots

ban something and create hype making it all more popular

Miami Beach Mayor Drops Plan to Evict O Cinema After ‘No Other Land’ Controversy

https://variety.com/2025/film/news/miami-beach-mayor-drops-plan-evict-
o-cinema-no-other-land-1236342491/

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Thursday, March 20, 2025 1:40 PM

6IXSTRINGJACK

Quote:
Originally posted by JAYNEZTOWN:
a dual citizen Mayor pushes his religious sandbox politics
the USA isn't an Israeli Police State yet and its not the jihad Middle East so...

Streisand effect idiots

ban something and create hype making it all more popular

Miami Beach Mayor Drops Plan to Evict O Cinema After ‘No Other Land’ Controversy

https://variety.com/2025/film/news/miami-beach-mayor-drops-plan-evict-
o-cinema-no-other-land-1236342491/

They don't get to do whatever they want when the taxpayers are paying for it to exist.

This theater will be shut down if it doesn't cease showing nothing but Anti-American propaganda.

It could never exist on its own merits. It would go out of business by the end of the month if it wasn't taxpayer funded.

--------------------------------------------------

"I don't find this stuff amusing anymore." ~Paul Simon

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Wednesday, March 26, 2025 6:57 AM

JAYNEZTOWN

the political culture of the sandbox infecting USA life and Art and Freedoms?

Palestinian director of Oscar-winner No Other Land attacked by Israeli settlers and detained
https://www.independent.co.uk/arts-entertainment/films/news/hamdan-bal
lal-no-other-land-israel-palestine-yuval-abraham-b2720917.html

this time 'Greatest Ally' and a dumbass Mayor might have pulled the wrong move with that censorship crap

meanwhile the entertaining world moves on

The internets and entertaining became a balkanized 'folk' thing

its over, young people choose their own path of entertainment after being spoon fed garbage for years from a small bunch of trashy entertainment companies

In Warning Sign for Hollywood, Younger Consumers Are Choosing Creator Content Over Premium TV and Movies
https://www.hollywoodreporter.com/business/business-news/deloitte-gen-
z-creator-content-streaming-price-1236171227/

anyways it looks like I was 'wrong' its even worse than I predict

I thought maybe just maybe by the end of March Hollyweird should have one hit where it takes in the Millions
but it has NOTHING

meanwhile on the international markets Spanish, Japanese, SKorean and even Russian remakes after knocking it back

..its over they can give their crap awards to dumb transexual political DEI movies nobody watches at the Oscars
Hollyweird is finally finished

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Thursday, March 27, 2025 5:41 AM

JAYNEZTOWN

Will it drop below 50% ...this year they are really getting their ass kicked
Hollyweird done? LA is ash

maybe its time to back the indie guys again, even something silly FIVE NIGHTS AT FREDDY'S let independent films make you money
and stop trashing them as Alt-Right or 'Deplorables'

The global market share of American films has declined from 85% to 69% over the past 10 years.
https://www.nikkei.com/article/DGXZQOGN1403Z0U5A310C2000000/

if you chop that 69% in half we get

34.5% ...which seems about right for this disastrous year for Hollyweird...maybe it can get even worse

its getting beat by Japan Anime, China movies, Spanish movies, Russian remakes and South Korea film on the international stage
Bollywood films will probably knock a few Hollyweirdo films down

there might be two other stories here, HongKong film actually holding steady with a slight rise and France crashing – 4.5% down to France – 1.5% the French film industry seems over.

DEI transsexual Hollywood diversity stuff is not selling, the world rejects it, most of the world is somewhat religious or political 'Conservative' and Japan and (mainly) China rejecting new 'agenda' US films to such a large degree

Hollyweird budgets are out of control, the Japanese show you can make a blockbsuter on the cheap
Godzilla minus one made 11.5 times it's production budget

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