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Originally posted by 6IXSTRINGJACK (January 28th, 2023):
A2 needs to have stellar weekend showings to make up for what it will lose week to week on Monday-Thursday. Maverick will show its first sub-$2 Million day on Thursday of this week, but the next three weeks for Maverick all made more money than A2 did last week. (Mon-Thurs).

So if A2 can't make up ground on the weekends going forward, it's now a game of attrition.

And I suspect that while it was a great boon for Avatar 2 to have such high ticket prices in the beginning, it's going to be a detriment on the back end. Not only that, but large scale theaters with IMAX screens and 3D cost more to operate and are likely to be shutdown to this movie sometime soon as the per-screen average continues to fall... much quicker than it did for Maverick.

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Originally posted by 6IXSTRINGJACK (January 21st, 2023):
The-Numbers shaved its predictions for Avatar 2 domestically from $770 Million to $765 Million domestically, but I don't think it will even be close to that in the end.

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Originally posted by 6IXSTRINGJACK (January 31st, 2023):
Wow...

Despite just a small dip in The-Number's Weekend 7 prediction (3% more of a loss than they expected, vs 12% better than I'd thought it would have done), it appears that they've savagely downgraded Avatar's final domestic take in their model, dropping it far below what I even would have predicted at this point.

$665 Million is what they think it will end up with now, which is $53+ Million shy of Maverick's domestic total.

Maybe Bruce has been looking at my thread.

https://www.the-numbers.com/news/253500830-2023-market-forecast-Avatar
-helps-boost-our-2023-prediction-to-8-8-billion

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Originally posted by 6IXSTRINGJACK (February 15th, 2023):
Until we have more info after this weekend, I'm going to split the difference and call it $689 Million for A2's final domestic take. But really that depends on how quickly the Theater Owners want to get it out of their theaters. If it doesn't come close to Maverick's 203 days in the theaters, it probably isn't going to make another $40 Million, so the high cost of showing it coupled with the high ticket prices might really hurt it on the back end, like I predicted quite a while ago.

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