REAL WORLD EVENT DISCUSSIONS

The predictions thread

POSTED BY: KPO
UPDATED: Wednesday, November 20, 2024 09:21
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VIEWED: 105110
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Tuesday, October 29, 2024 4:48 PM

6IXSTRINGJACK


The real October surprise is that one of Second's friends hasn't taken another shot at Trump yet.

Still 2 days left.

--------------------------------------------------

Trump will be fine.
He will also be your next President.

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Friday, November 1, 2024 5:20 AM

JAYNEZTOWN


Vote day and RINO Zio faggotry

Quote:

Originally posted by JEWELSTAITEFAN:
WV, MT, and OH are expected to switch to GOP.



hopium

Quote:

Originally posted by JEWELSTAITEFAN:
Not a prediction, but hope.

Deep State has been a hideous cancer for decades now. Some of them have been emboldened more, thinking they have immunity due to being "civil service employees"

With the widespread insidious crimes, treason, etc from Brandon's admin, they have been rampant in their crimes.
If new POTUS and new congress investigatr crimes, they can leverage pleas from political appointees to turn out civil servants en masse.


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Friday, November 1, 2024 5:23 AM

JAYNEZTOWN


Lone TV poll to accurately predict the 2016 election forecasts whether Trump or Kamala Harris will win in 2024

https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-14025481/tv-poll-predict-2016
-election-forecast-trump-kamala-harris-2024.html

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Saturday, November 2, 2024 8:42 AM

JAYNEZTOWN


Quote:

Originally posted by SIGNYM:
IF the USA truly withdraws from the world - politically, militarily, financially and economically - most of the world would be better off.






...but ...

Quote:

Originally posted by SIGNYM:

Specific leaders who have tied themselves to the USA- Lula (Brazil), Milei (Argentina), Pashinyan (Armenia) would be left scrambling for foreign support, and w/o it may lose their positions.

Eventually, if nations have credible voting procedures, I imagine that the governments of USA- dependents will eventually come to reflect the view of their people more closely.

The BIG downside will be the scramble for nuclear security. If the USA's nuclear umbrella folds, some EU nations may want to make their own weapons.
Nuclear proliferation might occur.

There would have to be multilateral negotiations. It might be better for all involved if the USA retained it's defensive nuclear umbrella over NATO nations, or even expanded it, which would vastly simplify nuclear agreements.




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Saturday, November 2, 2024 3:18 PM

6IXSTRINGJACK


Yesterday in the Election thread I predicted that Trump will win anywhere from every battleground state to every BS -2, and that he'd also win the popular vote by more than 1 Million votes.

We'll see what polling looks like on Monday, but I think Trump might actually have a chance at a few of the states it looks like he was going to take from Biden too, including states like Virginia and New Hampshire.

--------------------------------------------------

Trump will be fine.
He will also be your next President.

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Sunday, November 3, 2024 1:23 AM

JAYNEZTOWN


Polls if you believe that kind of thing

Shock poll reveals Kamala Harris has taken the lead over Trump in Iowa

https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-14034167/Shock-poll-reveals-K
amala-Harris-taken-lead-Trump-Iowa.html

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Sunday, November 3, 2024 1:28 AM

6IXSTRINGJACK


Quote:

Originally posted by JAYNEZTOWN:
Polls if you believe that kind of thing

Shock poll reveals Kamala Harris has taken the lead over Trump in Iowa

https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-14034167/Shock-poll-reveals-K
amala-Harris-taken-lead-Trump-Iowa.html




I already beat you to that one with a reply a few hours ago over in the Election thread...



Quote:

Originally posted by 6ixStringJack:
Oh, the cope!


Iowa Poll: Kamala Harris leapfrogs Donald Trump to take lead near Election Day. Here's how

https://www.desmoinesregister.com/story/news/politics/iowa-poll/2024/1
1/02/iowa-poll-kamala-harris-leads-donald-trump-2024-presidential-race/75354033007
/

Leapfrogs! LEEEEEEEEEEEAAAAAAAAAAAPFRRRRRRRROOOOOOOOOOOOGSSSSSSSSSSSSSS!!!!!!!!!




SPOILER ALERT: Harris is so far underwater in freakin' Iowa that FiveThirtyEight doesn't even bother calculating an aggregate, probably because nobody is even bothering to poll Iowa.

What was your polling methodology? 100% Democrat voting, college "educated", single women between 35 and 45 who are 50lbs or more overweight with unnaturally colored hair?

Emerson College just gave Trump +9 in Iowa 2 days ago. Stop smoking crack.

https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/president-general/2024/iowa/


And just for comparison's sake, Emerson only gave Trump +1 on Halloween of 2020, and Trump won Iowa in 2020 by +8.2.

https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/president-general/2020/iowa/
https://ballotpedia.org/Presidential_battleground_states,_2020


Grow up and accept your loss and stop riling up the idiots on the Left right before their world comes crashing down all around them.



--------------------------------------------------

Trump will be fine.
He will also be your next President.

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Sunday, November 3, 2024 10:51 AM

JAYNEZTOWN


watches a lot of Zeihan the Stratfor Jewish-Hungary, The Coming War with Japan / Turk type stuff asking people to buy his book

Quote:

Originally posted by THG:

China is falling apart




or for the past 30 years its been constantly predicted to collapse tomorrow, or maybe next week....next moth...maybe next year

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Sunday, November 3, 2024 2:12 PM

JAYNEZTOWN


Sony's Venom: The Last Dance has passed the $300M global mark. The film grossed an estimated $68.4M internationally this weekend. Estimated international total stands at $227.0M, estimated global total stands at $317.1M.

https://x.com/BORReport/status/1853111805931053141

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Sunday, November 3, 2024 3:11 PM

6IXSTRINGJACK


From what I can tell, the only prediction that Zeihan got right over the last 4 years is that EVs were going to fail.

--------------------------------------------------

Trump will be fine.
He will also be your next President.

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Monday, November 4, 2024 10:48 AM

JAYNEZTOWN

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Wednesday, November 6, 2024 1:46 AM

6IXSTRINGJACK


Quote:

Originally posted by 6ixStringJack:
Yesterday in the Election thread I predicted that Trump will win anywhere from every battleground state to every BS -2, and that he'd also win the popular vote by more than 1 Million votes.

We'll see what polling looks like on Monday, but I think Trump might actually have a chance at a few of the states it looks like he was going to take from Biden too, including states like Virginia and New Hampshire.



Virgina and New Hampshire are going to be very close, though it doesn't look as though they will flip..

Trump won Georgia and North Carolina. Trump is currently being called "Lean Trump" or "Very Likely Trump" for all remaining battleground states in the NYT app.


NYT said at 12:15 AM CST: While it might be several hours until the race can be called, our estimates say Donald Trump is very likely to win the presidency. Kamala Harris almost certainly needs to win Wisconsin, Pennsylvania and Michigan, and Trump is a clear favorite in each.




Trump has currently expanded his popular vote lead to over 5 Million, but there is still 10% of New York and Illinois to count, 25% of Colorado, 33% of Washington and Oregon and 55% of California to count, so that will tighten by quite a bit this late in the night.

But I've done the math and they don't have enough incoming votes for Harris that won't be offset by Trump votes to give her a Popular Vote win. It's all but an impossibility at this point. I feel very comfortable with that +1 Million prediction as 12:45 AM CST on Wednesday.

--------------------------------------------------

Trump will be fine.
He will also be your next President.

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Wednesday, November 6, 2024 2:53 AM

6IXSTRINGJACK




--------------------------------------------------

Trump will be fine.
He will also be your next President.

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Wednesday, November 6, 2024 5:41 AM

6IXSTRINGJACK


Plenty in here for everyone.





Even you, JSF. I told you Trump would win Wisconsin and that he'd win it so big that even MSNBC could't deny it.

Too big to rig, baby. Too big to rig.



--------------------------------------------------

Trump will be fine.
He will also be your next President.


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Wednesday, November 6, 2024 6:29 AM

6IXSTRINGJACK


I see that Arizona and Nevada are going to be iffy, just like I thought they could be.

Who knows what's happening in Michigan right now and why it hasn't been called along with Wisconsin yet. Once Michigan is called for Trump, in the very likely event he wins it, it looks like my prediction was spot on no matter whether Trump loses or wins Arizona and Nevada.

As for the popular vote, Trump is still up 71,062,799 votes to 66,146,831.

She's made a bit of headway now, but that's still a really tall climb up there when you're only leading California by 18% with 53% of the vote counted and you're only leading Washington by 20% with 64% of the vote in.

1 Million+ is nothing short of a certainty right now. The only question is how much more than that will he win by?




ETA: They're really going to slow-walk the rest of these counts in the swing states even though the race is called. It might be up to two weeks before we get the final popular vote number they certify.

--------------------------------------------------

Trump will be fine.
He will also be your next President.

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Wednesday, November 6, 2024 7:12 PM

JAYNEZTOWN


Simpsons Predictions for 2025


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Monday, November 18, 2024 11:38 AM

JAYNEZTOWN


quoting

Quote:

Originally posted by 6ixStringJack:
Quote:


Colossal statues, ‘freedom’ train & patriot games…Inside Trump’s epic plan for Great American Fair



I heard this the other day and got a pretty good laugh out of it. I still don't know if it's true or not.

A year long party, huh?

I don't know if that's a good idea in a great economy. I'm glad that Trump won and we can stop the bleeding, but unless you've got a magic wand that can fix the economy by mid-summer, you can probably forget about this event making a huge splash for more than about a weekend.



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Wednesday, November 20, 2024 9:21 AM

JAYNEZTOWN



Iowa pollster Ann Selzer to retire after ‘big miss’ predicting Kamala Harris win in Iowa

https://uk.yahoo.com/news/iowa-pollster-ann-selzer-retire-183013845.ht
ml



and how so many predictions failed for Democracy and the so-called 'religion of peace'

Canada: ISIS arrests spiking, with youths driving the threat
https://jihadwatch.org/2024/11/canada-isis-arrests-spiking-with-youths
-driving-the-threat

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