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It is easy to close oneself off inside a conservative echo chamber. And right-leaning outlets like Fox News and Rush Limbaugh's show are far more intellectually closed than CNN or public radio. If you're a rank-and-file conservative, you're probably ready to acknowledge that ideologically friendly media didn't accurately inform you about Election 2012. Some pundits engaged in wishful thing; others feigned confidence in hopes that it would be a self-fulfilling prophecy; still others decided it was smart to keep telling right-leaning audiences what they wanted to hear.

...

On the biggest political story of the year, the conservative media just got its ass handed to it by the mainstream media. And movement conservatives, who believe the MSM is more biased and less rigorous than their alternatives, have no way to explain how their trusted outlets got it wrong, while the New York Times got it right. Hint: The Times hired the most rigorous forecaster it could find.

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Kwicko wrote:


Obama squeaks it out in the electoral college, taking Ohio and Wisconsin, while Romney edges Florida, Virginia, Iowa, and Colorado, but still comes up just shy of the 270 needed.

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Originally posted by kpo:
Here's an idea I've had, a bit of an experiment and something I've wanted to do for a while.

The point of this thread is to be a public record of people's predictions. You can post your own, or other people's that you've read and found interesting, so that we can all see in months and years to come who turned out to be accurate in their predictions, and who didn't. It's a chance to stick your neck out, or stick other people's out for them if you think their comments come out of a deluded partisan bubble.

I have one rule, and that is that people post their predictions in red font. The idea of this is that the predictions will stand out and be easy to find and read, and then all discussion can happen around them. Besides that one rule I'll just make a general plea to posters to be faithful when quoting other people, and to keep flame wars to a minimum.

How to post in red font
It's quite easy, post in red font by putting the code font color=red inside triangle brackets like this: . That goes before the text you want to be red. To turn off font color use this code: /font color inside triangle brackets, to return to ordinary font.

Here's a couple of predictions I've read recently and found interesting, to get the ball rolling (I'm paraprashing, from memory):


Auraptor: "The GOP will beat Obama by double digits in November."
Storymark: "Mitt Romney will be the GOP's John Kerry."




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Originally posted by AnthonyT:
Hello,



I predict that as the election approaches, the opposition party will become more vehement and offensive, while the incumbent party will become more stringent in their defense of a president who has done little to recommend him.


--Anthony

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Originally posted by kpo:


George Soros predicts that if the Republicans win the white house in 2012 they will undergo a 'miraculous transformation' and decide the economy needs more stimulus.

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Originally posted by Oonjerah:
Is a lighter shade of red ok? Spot of humor ok?


I predict that Gingrich, Paul, Romney & Santorum will be in a virtual dead heat before the Convention. The Republican party will drop them and nominate Arnold Schwarzenegger, pushing him as the governor who almost saved the California economy.

Air Force One will crash killing Obama on the same day that Biden suffers a heart attack with stroke. The Democrats will run Hillary Clinton.

Knowing that the neocon Republicans got us into this mess, very likely on purpose, and will continue to grind us down, I will vote Democratic no matter what.

Arnold will win by a substantial margin.

God will intervene to give Arnold the gifts of wisdom & humility. Arnold will tell Him to keep it, saying, "I've got this. You don't understand American politics anyway."

God will agree to Arnold's wishes; and I am not sacreligious enough to put words into His mouth as the Heavens close.


"All I suggest is a man hears what he wants to hear, and disregards the rest" ~Paul Simon

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Originally posted by kpo:
To be fair I'll post one of mine:


kpo on Rick Perry: "If I were a betting man I'd put money on him as next president."


Oops.

It's not personal. It's just war.

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Originally posted by Kwicko:

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Originally posted by kpo:
To be fair I'll post one of mine:


kpo on Rick Perry: "If I were a betting man I'd put money on him as next president."


Oops.

It's not personal. It's just war.

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Well, to be fair, we can leave this one up for four more years and see how it goes for him in 2016.

But I think your comment on your prediction was the most accurate, and sums up the way Texans now feel about him, too: "Oops."

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Originally posted by kpo:

Ezra Klein thinks Romney will be a stronger prospect in a general election than he is in the current Republican primary, and that a contest between him and Obama would be quite tight.

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Originally posted by kpo:

Auraptor predicts that Obama's health care reform will be ruled unconstitutional, or repealed after the November elections.

Nope, and nope. Constitutional, and now certain to stand.


Barney Frank expects that Obama will be re-elected in November, barring any big jolts to the economy.

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Originally posted by Kwicko:

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Kwicko wrote:


Obama squeaks it out in the electoral college, taking Ohio and Wisconsin, while Romney edges Florida, Virginia, Iowa, and Colorado, but still comes up just shy of the 270 needed.

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Nope. Obama took every one of those, and then some.

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Originally posted by kpo:

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Originally posted by Kwicko:

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Kwicko wrote:


Obama squeaks it out in the electoral college, taking Ohio and Wisconsin, while Romney edges Florida, Virginia, Iowa, and Colorado, but still comes up just shy of the 270 needed.

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Nope. Obama took every one of those, and then some.

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Originally posted by Kwicko:


Auraptor: "The GOP will beat Obama by double digits in November."
Storymark: "Mitt Romney will be the GOP's John Kerry."

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Originally posted by Kwicko:


Well, yes and no.

Yes, it was quite tight according to pundits, but not really that tight where it counted (in the Electoral College), and Romney was much weaker against the president than he was against his own field of worthless also-rans (he actually BEAT them).



"I supported Bush in 2000 and 2004 and intellegence [sic] had very little to do with that decision." - Hero

"I was wrong" - Hero, 2012

Mitt Romney, introducing his running mate: "Join me in welcoming the next President of the United States, Paul Ryan!"

Rappy's response? "You're lying, gullible ( believing in some BS you heard on msnbc ) or hard of hearing."

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kpo - "I'm going to make the rather bold prediction that Democrats will win 4 out of the next 5 presidential elections."

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Originally posted by kpo:
Riona - "remember how a while ago everyone said "allowing same sex marriage isn't a slippery slope thing, allowing that won't allow other things"? Now they're saying, "well go for it guys, no holds barred!". Next they'll want to lower the age of concent so we can be like Pakistan, where 12 year olds marry 50 year olds."

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Originally posted by kpo:
Hahahahaha:

Grover Norquist (2004) - "The Democratic Party is Toast"

http://www.washingtonmonthly.com/features/2004/0409.norquist.html

Only Catpirate has achieved more spectacularly wrong predictions in one go.

It's not personal. It's just war.

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Originally posted by MAL4PREZ:

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Originally posted by kpo:
Riona - "remember how a while ago everyone said "allowing same sex marriage isn't a slippery slope thing, allowing that won't allow other things"? Now they're saying, "well go for it guys, no holds barred!". Next they'll want to lower the age of concent so we can be like Pakistan, where 12 year olds marry 50 year olds."

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Does anyone remember which thread this was in? I'd really like to follow up.

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Originally posted by Jongstraw:
Besides, Republicans are gonna be in real good shape with Hispanics for the next national election with popular Hispanic politicians like Rubio and Cruz, and Martinez. Even Jeb Bush, 'cause Hispanics love him and his Mexican-American wife. Think about that...Jeb Bush winning the Presidency....the next phase of the Bush dynasty! The ultimate payback for the Obama debacle.

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Originally posted by MAL4PREZ:

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Originally posted by Jongstraw:
Besides, Republicans are gonna be in real good shape with Hispanics for the next national election with popular Hispanic politicians like Rubio and Cruz, and Martinez. Even Jeb Bush, 'cause Hispanics love him and his Mexican-American wife. Think about that...Jeb Bush winning the Presidency....the next phase of the Bush dynasty! The ultimate payback for the Obama debacle.

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http://www.fireflyfans.net/mthread.aspx?bid=18&tid=55492&p=1#9
41421

I don't know though. I suspect that River/Jong posted this with full knowledge of how ironic/ridiculous it is. Cause really, it is so over the top, and even River isn't that stupid.

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Originally posted by Jongsstraw:
What's really "over the top" is what a pathetic little asswipe you are for monitoring peoples' posts like it's your major accomplishment in life.

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Here's another major prediction for ya to document .... a year from now you'll still be a useless piece of shit without an original thought in your stupid head. And River/Mal, don't you dare not be here in a year, because I know my prediction about will have been realized.

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Originally posted by Jongsstraw:
Ok River, Rue, Signy, Kiki, Magons and whatever other names you use to spread your liberal whoredom around here. And yes, we'll see if you're still a useless piece of shit on 6/28/14.

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Originally posted by kpo:
Zimmerman if next ...

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Originally posted by Jongsstraw:

What's really "over the top" is what a pathetic little asswipe you are for monitoring peoples' posts like it's your major accomplishment in life. What a truly empty and hopeless existence you must have.

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