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Originally posted by kpo:

Wulfenstar: "The case of Trayvon Martin is done.

It is starting to sound more, and more, like a good shoot."

Originally posted by kpo:

Aura

Originally posted by kpo:
I'm going to go somewhat against Riona and predict: Egypt and Libya will be stable, functioning democracies within 5-10 years - but Iraq won't.

Anthony thinks that an Islamic 'Reformation' is likely, and perhaps inevitable. kpo disagrees.


It's not personal. It's just war.

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Originally posted by Jongsstraw:
What goes around comes around. Obama and the Dems will learn that in 2014 as they did in 2010.

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Originally posted by kpo:
Hey you're welcome JS, but I try to document every interesting prediction I find, and I try to do so faithfully. Thank you for sticking your neck out and making predictions so often.


CTS, in the 'Iran's currency plummets in value' thread - "We shouldn't gloat, cause our turn is next."


ETA:


Cavetroll reports on $16T of secret bailouts to foreign and US banks by the Fed, and asks "Can Weimar style inflation be far off?"

Cavetroll on the surprise drop in the unemployment rate a month before the election - "I'm sure in a month or so, quietly, on a Friday afternoon, the numbers will be adjusted to their actual point."


It's not personal. It's just war.

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In the home stretch of the 2012 presidential campaign, from August to September, the unemployment rate fell sharply — raising eyebrows from Wall Street to Washington.
The decline — from 8.1 percent in August to 7.8 percent in September — might not have been all it seemed. The numbers, according to a reliable source, were manipulated...

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Frem - "Hilary has *ALREADY* bagged up 2016, bought and paid for, so you better just start learning to deal with it"

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(1) Northeastern Japan is hopelessly contaminated for the next century... (2) We've contaminated the West Coast of North America with iodine and cesium, and have graduated to (3) hemorrhaging cesium, strontium, and tritium-contaminated water into the Pacific.

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We show that 137Cs strongly contaminated the soils in large areas of eastern and northeastern Japan, whereas western Japan was sheltered by mountain ranges. The soils around Fukushima NPP and neighboring prefectures have been extensively contaminated with depositions of more than 100,000 and 10,000 MBq km-2, respectively.

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The study found concentrations (activity) and fallout (deposition) of radioactive iodine and radioactive cesium in significant number of samples. Detectable quantities of Iodine-131, Cesium-137, and Cesium-134 were observed at 21% of the 167 tested locations

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A government official told reporters Wednesday that an estimated 300 metric tons (330 tons) of contaminated water was leaking into the ocean every day from the Daiichi plant, which was devastated by the March 2011 earthquake and tsunami, Reuters reported.

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"As I've been saying for many posts now, Yanukovych has support. He is in the Russian-speaking southeast of the Ukraine, rounding up support. Civil war may be the next step. The Ukraine may be split in two. I think this was the goal of the west all along."

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Originally posted by kpo:

Jongsstraw: "January 20th Repubs take over the Senate. Bye-bye Harry, and bye-bye Barry!"



It's not personal. It's just war.

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Originally posted by Storymark:
As a result of the shutdown debacle, this prediction was posted this morning:

"Speaker Pelosi Part 2: Opening Jan 5. 2015"

This comes from noted lefty Matt Drudge....




"Goram it kid, let's frak this thing and go home! Engage!"

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Those items should never have been listed as predictions, since they were in the category of well-known occurrences. So please move those items from the "predictions" category to the "been there, done that" list, if there is such a thing.

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Facts will be denied as lies,

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truth will be denied as having never been said. Right?

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Armed pro-Russian activists carrying riot shields occupy a police station on Saturday, April 12.... Ukraine has seen a sharp rise in tensions since a new pro-European government took charge of the country in February.

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Originally posted by SIGNYM:
Which is?

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Originally posted by kpo:
My aim was to show a thoroughly terrible track record of conservative predictions, pointing to the fact that modern conservatives have hyper-ideological, partisan media-warped worldviews. And that they don't live in the real world.

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Originally posted by kpo:

Paul Krugman predicts a Greek exit from the Euro within months ('very possibly next month'), and possibly, the end of the Euro.


http://krugman.blogs.nytimes.com/2012/05/13/eurodammerung-2/

It's not personal. It's just war.

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Originally posted by MAL4PREZ:

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Originally posted by Jongstraw:
Besides, Republicans are gonna be in real good shape with Hispanics for the next national election with popular Hispanic politicians like Rubio and Cruz, and Martinez. Even Jeb Bush, 'cause Hispanics love him and his Mexican-American wife. Think about that...Jeb Bush winning the Presidency....the next phase of the Bush dynasty! The ultimate payback for the Obama debacle.

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http://www.fireflyfans.net/mthread.aspx?bid=18&tid=55492&p=1#9
41421

I don't know though. I suspect that River/Jong posted this with full knowledge of how ironic/ridiculous it is. Cause really, it is so over the top, and even River isn't that stupid.

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Originally posted by NewOldBrownCoat:

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Originally posted by kpo:

Paul Krugman predicts a Greek exit from the Euro within months ('very possibly next month'), and possibly, the end of the Euro.


http://krugman.blogs.nytimes.com/2012/05/13/eurodammerung-2/

It's not personal. It's just war.

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Jumped back into this thread to see the new posts in the last few days and found this one. Heard a piece on the radio the other night-- the Euro is still going strong, somebody else is now predicted about to bail out, Greece is still in, and has recovered.

Isn't Krugman, once he gets over his conservative bias, supposed to actually be an economist?

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Originally posted by kpo:

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Originally posted by SIGNYM:
Which is?

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Well what better way to test the validity and accuracy of someone's worldview, than by their predictions?

When Auraptor, Whozit, Hero etc. predicted that Obama would be crushed in 2012, and that Romney would win in a landslide, etc., etc., that was a prediction that came out of their worldview - that Obama is a marxist, an AlQaeda sympathiser, an America hater, a race-baiter, etc., and that the country had gone halfway to hell in his first 4 years. The ONLY prediction that can come out of such a worldview is that Obama would never be re-elected. Hence their complete disbelief when he won.

When I hear a poster claiming things like 'Benghazi will be Obama's Watergate', I think to myself this person has been whipped up into a frenzy by her partisan media. She's not living in the real world. So I post the prediction here, and it's stored for posterity, and people can see how the prediction bears out.

My aim was to show a thoroughly terrible track record of conservative predictions, pointing to the fact that modern conservatives have hyper-ideological, partisan media-warped worldviews. And that they don't live in the real world.

It's not personal. It's just war.

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Plausible future news... with additions


KIEV AND THE WEST CALL CRIMEAN VOTE A "SHAM"
The government in Kiev called the Crimean referendum a "sham". Citing territorial integrity, the government in Kiev - which has yet to stand for election- said it would refuse to recognize the vote, and that Crimea should be returned to the Ukraine.


KIEV SEEKS CONTROL OF EASTERN UKRAINE
Through a series of coordinated actions by the far-right Kiev government security appointees, the Secretary of National Security and Defence Parubiy (Svoboda), The Secretary of National Security Yarsoh (Right Sector), Deputy Rrime Minister Sych (Svoboda), Acting Chief Prosecutor Makhnitskyy (Svoboda), Security Services Chief Nalyvaichencko, and Minister of Defence Tenhyuk (Svoboda) have embarked on a prgram of troop repositioning and preventive indictments against potential pro-Russian movements.
http://www.channel4.com/news/svoboda-ministers-ukraine-new-government-
far-right

MORE RUSSIAN-SPEAKING PROVINCES ARRANGE FOR REFERENDA
Russian-speaking Ukrainian troops battle Ukrainian-speaking troops from Kiev and take control of government buildings in Donetsk and other eastern Urkainian cities. Newly appointed "people's governors" arrange for referenda on thefuture of their city, or province.

KIEV CLAIMS RUSSIAN INTERFERENCE IN DONETSK AND OTHER EASTERN CITIES, SENDS IN MORE TROOPS
Kiev has claimed that Russian troops, disguised as pro-Russian militants, have taken over government buildings and have shot several Ukrainian citizens. Kiev sends in additional troops from western Ukraine to quell these disturbances and oust the invaders.

ON REQUEST FROM PROVISIONAL GOVERNMENTS OF EAST UKRAINE, RUSSIA SENDS IN TROOPS
These troops cross the border to "protect Russian citizens".

THE WEST PLACES ADDITIONAL SANCTIONS ON RUSSIA
In addition to visa restrictions and asset freezes, the West places a general banking freeze on Russian transactions.

RUSSIA PLACES COUNTER-SANCTIONS ON THE WEST
The sale of natural gas is restricted. Russian businesses owing money to western banks and enterprises default. Russia begins a massive US Treasury sale.

KIEV DELAYS NATIONAL ELECTIONS
Citing national security, the transitional government of Kiev has canceled national elections indefinitely. When asked whether this would effect aid and loan guarantees from the West, and IMF loans, western sources and IMF head Christine Lagarde said they did not foresee any difficulty with the Ukrainian government being able to maintain its financial authority over the nation. There are many upcoming agreements to be signed with the EU.

KIEV ANNOUNCES AUSTERITY
Because of the cutoff of natural gas deliveries and the subsequent price hike, the transitional Prime Minister, Arseniy Yatseniuk, has announced that natural gas subsidies would be cut back significantly. The IMF has insisted, as it has done with most of its governmental loans, that subsidies be cut in order to shore up governmental finances. Yatseniuk, himself a banker and favored by the United States to head the transitional government, has full authority to obtain loans and sign international agreements, according to the EU and the USA.

MAIDAN SQUARE ERUPTS AGAIN

THE SVOBODA-PARTY IN CHARGE OF INTERNAL SECURITY BEGINS THE ROUNDUP OF DISAFFECTED UKRAINIANS

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