The predictions thread by kpo

Sometimes you own the libs. Sometimes, the libs own you.

Paul Krugman rounds up 6 conservative predictions on Obamacare: http://krugman.blogs.nytimes.com/2014/06/26/zero-for-six/?_php=true&am
p;_type=blogs&module=BlogPost-Title&version=Blog%20Main&contentCollection=Opinion&action=Click&pgtype=Blogs®ion=Body&_r=0

It's not personal. It's just war.

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Monday, June 30, 2014 8:10 PM

THGRRI

Nicely done KPO. I missed a lot of the shit you guys must have caught during the years of this debate. I predict none will admit being wrong and will call this all a lie, or not even respond to it at all.

si shen

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Monday, June 30, 2014 8:24 PM

1KIKI

Goodbye, kind world (George Monbiot) - In common with all those generations which have contemplated catastrophe, we appear to be incapable of understanding what confronts us.

Is this a prediction?

Quote:
Originally posted by Jongsstraw:
Ok River, Rue, Signy, Kiki, Magons and whatever other names you use to spread your liberal whoredom around here. And yes, we'll see if you're still a useless piece of shit on 6/28/14.

SAGAN: We are releasing vast quantities of carbon dioxide, increasing the greenhouse effect. It may not take much to destabilize the Earth's climate, to convert this heaven, our only home in the cosmos, into a kind of hell.

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Friday, July 4, 2014 4:02 PM

Sometimes you own the libs. Sometimes, the libs own you.

Geezer on Obamacare: "What's going to be interesting is seeing what the government will do when it ... finds out that there are large numbers of folks who aren't eligible for all or part of the health care subsidies they've received."

It's not personal. It's just war.

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Monday, July 7, 2014 10:12 AM

Quote:
Geezer on Obamacare: "What's going to be interesting is seeing what the government will do when it ... finds out that there are large numbers of folks who aren't eligible for all or part of the health care subsidies they've received."

Wow, that's almost kind of zen. Most of the concerns I've heard have been about people who fall in the coverage gap, not about people defrauding the system.

It's an interesting comment on us that this is the first place our minds go - a belief that the healthcare system is terrible (admittedly, it is) coupled with an assumption that people want that terrible healthcare so badly that they'll steal and game the system in the service of their own health.

Considering how much abuse the insurance companies heaped on us all, the pendulum was bound to swing the other way eventually. It'll utterly screw over the economics of it though, I grant you.

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Monday, July 7, 2014 6:30 PM

Quote:
Originally posted by BYTEMITE:
Quote:
Geezer on Obamacare: "What's going to be interesting is seeing what the government will do when it ... finds out that there are large numbers of folks who aren't eligible for all or part of the health care subsidies they've received."

Wow, that's almost kind of zen. Most of the concerns I've heard have been about people who fall in the coverage gap, not about people defrauding the system.

What world do you live in?
Do you avoid all news outlets? Avoid reality?
Mainline MSM news? Intravenous drip Obamination talking points?

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Monday, July 7, 2014 6:33 PM

REAVERFAN

Quote:
Originally posted by JEWELSTAITEFAN:
Quote:
Originally posted by BYTEMITE:
Quote:
Geezer on Obamacare: "What's going to be interesting is seeing what the government will do when it ... finds out that there are large numbers of folks who aren't eligible for all or part of the health care subsidies they've received."

Wow, that's almost kind of zen. Most of the concerns I've heard have been about people who fall in the coverage gap, not about people defrauding the system.

What world do you live in?
Do you avoid all news outlets? Avoid reality?
Mainline MSM news? Intravenous drip Obamination talking points?

Oh, do show us your sources. This should be funny.

This thread is making you reichwingers look as dumb and deluded as you always were.

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Monday, July 7, 2014 6:47 PM

Quote:
Originally posted by JEWELSTAITEFAN:
Quote:
Originally posted by BYTEMITE:
Quote:
Geezer on Obamacare: "What's going to be interesting is seeing what the government will do when it ... finds out that there are large numbers of folks who aren't eligible for all or part of the health care subsidies they've received."

Wow, that's almost kind of zen. Most of the concerns I've heard have been about people who fall in the coverage gap, not about people defrauding the system.

What world do you live in?
Do you avoid all news outlets? Avoid reality?
Mainline MSM news? Intravenous drip Obamination talking points?

When even Jack is complaining about falling in the coverage gap, and he's drunk most of the time and not sure what's going on, then I am led to conclude that's the bigger problem.

Also what about all that stuff people were bitching about the expense to small businesses due to the coverage gap? Come on.

And I don't watch any news, I mostly just feel what's going on in the world through osmotic learning and logic based predictions. Despite this, I'm usually more on point more often than not - at least when I'm not trolling or lying my ass off about something. Like watching the news.

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Thursday, July 24, 2014 11:33 PM

Sometimes you own the libs. Sometimes, the libs own you.

Jongstraw (Jul/14) - "Does any of it matter now? A full scale Russian invasion of Ukraine appears imminent, and Obama, Kerry, and the Eurotards can't do a damn thing about it."

It's not personal. It's just war.

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Saturday, July 26, 2014 12:10 PM

SIGNYM

I believe in solving problems, not sharing them.

Hey, most of my predictions are coming true! Just not in the order I expected.

Once austerity really starts to bite, it will be interesting to see how long Kiev stands, and what it will do to its citizens in the meantime to stay afloat.

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Thursday, July 31, 2014 10:30 AM

Quote:
Originally posted by G:
G: Complaining and/or predicting an action or outcome, has no effect on that action or outcome.

Ooh. You'd actually be surprised. I can think of numerous times people have made a "leak" in the form of prediction and speculation, and it stopped some black op or another because now people would be watching for it.

It's called "feeding the lunatic fringe" and it works surprisingly well considering the "fringe" you're leaking to tries to attribute most everything to aliens and sasquatch.

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Wednesday, August 6, 2014 10:00 AM

Sometimes you own the libs. Sometimes, the libs own you.

Auraptor - "Glenn Beck says to buy gold! He just may be onto something."

Gold price today, per ounce:

$1,288.50
€964.27

It's not personal. It's just war.

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Wednesday, August 6, 2014 10:19 AM

Yeah, I imagine Beck made a killing off that.

So apparently in the century before last there were numerous recessions caused by inflation of gold and silver prices.

HMM gee, I wonder what the ramifications of that are. Maybe gold and silver aren't a safe infallible investment after all? Maybe there ARE no safe investments (real estate was also thought to be a safe investment before 2008)?

Maybe stocking up gold and silver in case the economy collapses is a load of patooey because if it's really so bad the dollar is no longer a standard of currency, gold and silver will be equally worthless because you can't EAT them.

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Thursday, September 25, 2014 6:59 PM

Sometimes you own the libs. Sometimes, the libs own you.

kpo, on MH17 - "I'm cautiously optimistic that analysis of shrapnel fragments will show that a BUK missile was used. Of course at that point pro-Kremlin media will just switch to blaming the Ukrainian army for firing it."

kpo - "I would even guess that Donetsk Airport is a strategic objective that Putin has signed off on.

Fighting has been constant around the airport over the past few weeks. I won't be surprised if the airport changes hands over the course of this 'ceasefire' - or is what leads to its unravelling."

It's not personal. It's just war.

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Thursday, September 25, 2014 7:19 PM

Sometimes you own the libs. Sometimes, the libs own you.

Quote:
Originally posted by kpo:

Auraptor - "Glenn Beck says to buy gold! He just may be onto something."

Gold price today, per ounce:

$1,288.50
€964.27

It's not personal. It's just war.

Gold price today, per ounce:

$1,222.10
€958.53

I guess it's a long term investment...

It's not personal. It's just war.

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Tuesday, September 30, 2014 7:24 PM

Quote:
Originally posted by BYTEMITE:
Quote:
Originally posted by G:
G: Complaining and/or predicting an action or outcome, has no effect on that action or outcome.

Ooh. You'd actually be surprised. I can think of numerous times people have made a "leak" in the form of prediction and speculation, and it stopped some black op or another because now people would be watching for it.

It's called "feeding the lunatic fringe" and it works surprisingly well considering the "fringe" you're leaking to tries to attribute most everything to aliens and sasquatch.

Also called self-fulfilling prophecy.

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Tuesday, September 30, 2014 9:18 PM

JO753

rezident owtsidr

Quote:
Originally posted by SIGNYM:
How many of you thought that Saddam had WMD?

They fooled me.

Quote:
Who among you thought that Assad used chemical weapons in Syria?

Didnt he?

Quote:
How many of you were surprised by 9-11?

I wuz.

It worked out well for me tho. I showed up for court completely unaware. Hardly anybody wuz there, including the party pressing chargez, so case dismissed! Didnt find out wut wuz going on till I got home & turned on the TV.

Quote:
Did any of you predict the meltdown of 2008?

I knew the real estate bubble had to pop eventually, but didnt know it woud precipitate a colapse uv the financial system.

Looked at my predictionz. Total faliure.

----------------------------
DUZ XaT SEM RiT TQ YQ? - Jubal Early

http://www.nooalf.com

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Wednesday, October 1, 2014 8:00 PM

Quote:
Originally posted by JO753:
Quote:
Originally posted by SIGNYM:
How many of you thought that Saddam had WMD?

They fooled me.
Quote:
Who among you thought that Assad used chemical weapons in Syria?

Didnt he?

Quote:
How many of you were surprised by 9-11?

I wuz.

It worked out well for me tho. I showed up for court completely unaware. Hardly anybody wuz there, including the party pressing chargez, so case dismissed! Didnt find out wut wuz going on till I got home & turned on the TV.

Quote:
Did any of you predict the meltdown of 2008?

I knew the real estate bubble had to pop eventually, but didnt know it woud precipitate a colapse uv the financial system.

Looked at my predictionz. Total faliure.

I sold out of the market beginning of Feb 2008 - how do you rate that as "prediction" - and I also convinced many of my friends to do the same.

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Wednesday, October 1, 2014 8:52 PM

JO753

rezident owtsidr

I rate it excellent. How did you know?

----------------------------
DUZ XaT SEM RiT TQ YQ? - Jubal Early

http://www.nooalf.com

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Thursday, October 2, 2014 5:45 PM

Quote:
Originally posted by JO753:
I rate it excellent. How did you know?

----------------------------
DUZ XaT SEM RiT TQ YQ? - Jubal Early

http://www.nooalf.com

Prior to Obamanomics, the trigger hit end of Jan.

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Thursday, October 2, 2014 7:00 PM

Quote:
Originally posted by JEWELSTAITEFAN:
Quote:
Originally posted by JO753:
I rate it excellent. How did you know?

Prior to Obamanomics, the trigger hit end of Jan.

Sorry, I was running out of time.

For the century prior to Obamanomics ruining the US Economy, there was an excellent triggering indicator for significant Bear market. I was highly interested in this during the late 80s and all of the 90s, since I wanted to know when to time the market to avoid Bear. I wanted to partake in Bull, and avoid Bear.
Take the high market closing price of DJIA. Whenever a Bear market is about to hit, it will be predicated by a 15% drop from the high of the cycle. Then, at least historically, there will be a profit-taking bump, followed by the Bear.
During the 80s, before the juggernaut of Reaganomics took full effect, DJIA was at 777.
By early 2001 the DJIA had already hit a high of about 12,000. I think it was about April 2001 when the Dow dropped to about 10,200 - or at least 15% below it's high. I didn't notice until May or June, and at the time I had restrictions on my retirement account with something like a 2 month delay before interfund transfers could take effect. Plus I was away from home for a month, and my passwords were at home. However, I did inform friends and coworkers that a Bear market was imminent. Those that took my advice got out in July. My sellout took effect in August, with Dow still above 10,000. I forget how high the bump was, something like 8%, which I missed out on. By September 10th, Dow was dropping rapidly and under 10,000.

Those who took my advice did not lose the 45% of their life's savings like most did. I got a lot of free dinners in 2002 and 03.

In October 2007 the Rock the Vote Congress' first budget took effect, Dow peaked at 14,000.

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Thursday, October 2, 2014 9:22 PM

JO753

rezident owtsidr

Interesting stuff. In sum other universe in wich I moved to Wall Street wen I wuz 18, I'm all about that shiz. Here, I'm just a poor working chump with the foolish notion that making real products shoud be a lucrativ endevour. Therefor, I never had any money to invest.

You say 'Obamanomics'. Do you mean your 15% formula duznt work anymore?

Back in 07 or 8, I correctly predicted that the price uv gas woud drop below 2$ per gallon and won a bet agenst a fend who had gotten pulled in by the Fox Newz vortex. If you recall, Glen Beck wuz frothing at the mouth with predictionz uv 5, 8 10$ gas!!!

Its not too hard to tell the difference between actual value in a commodity and a bubble. The problem iz that our financial system iz not based on reality, so both bubblez and real stuff can get deflated equally.

----------------------------
DUZ XaT SEM RiT TQ YQ? - Jubal Early

http://www.nooalf.com

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Friday, October 3, 2014 5:58 PM

Quote:
Originally posted by JEWELSTAITEFAN:
Quote:
Originally posted by JEWELSTAITEFAN:
Quote:
Originally posted by JO753:
I rate it excellent. How did you know?

Prior to Obamanomics, the trigger hit end of Jan.

Sorry, I was running out of time.

For the century prior to Obamanomics ruining the US Economy, there was an excellent triggering indicator for significant Bear market. I was highly interested in this during the late 80s and all of the 90s, since I wanted to know when to time the market to avoid Bear. I wanted to partake in Bull, and avoid Bear.
Take the high market closing price of DJIA. Whenever a Bear market is about to hit, it will be predicated by a 15% drop from the high of the cycle. Then, at least historically, there will be a profit-taking bump, followed by the Bear.
During the 80s, before the juggernaut of Reaganomics took full effect, DJIA was at 777.
By early 2001 the DJIA had already hit a high of about 12,000. I think it was about April 2001 when the Dow dropped to about 10,200 - or at least 15% below it's high. I didn't notice until May or June, and at the time I had restrictions on my retirement account with something like a 2 month delay before interfund transfers could take effect. Plus I was away from home for a month, and my passwords were at home. However, I did inform friends and coworkers that a Bear market was imminent. Those that took my advice got out in July. My sellout took effect in August, with Dow still above 10,000. I forget how high the bump was, something like 8%, which I missed out on. By September 10th, Dow was dropping rapidly and under 10,000.

Those who took my advice did not lose the 45% of their life's savings like most did. I got a lot of free dinners in 2002 and 03.

In October 2007 the Rock the Vote Congress' first budget took effect, Dow peaked at 14,000.

Ran out of time again.
At the end of Jan 2008, like 28th or so, DJIA dropped to about 12,460 - or a 15% drop.
Now, the concern for me was, this was now the era of computer trading, and programs. Previously the bump and subsequent Bear took months, but could this all happen in a matter of weeks or days? So I got out around 4 or 6 Feb, and missed out on the profits of 6-8% during Feb and March.

So, me and the friends who listened to me in 2001 saved about 40% of our money (actually, we earned that 40% when we got back in at the bottom of Bear), and rode the wave from about 7,400 up to 14,000 - and then again saved in 2008 about 55% of our money, and again rode the wave from about 5 or 6,000 in 2009 up to, what, 17,000 now?

But under Obamanomics, the market is no longer a US economy, and may never be again.

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Friday, October 3, 2014 7:00 PM

JONGSSTRAW

Funny that only you and George Soros knew when the market was gonna tank.

"A hundred million miracles,
a hundred million miracles,
are happening every day."

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Friday, October 3, 2014 7:28 PM

Quote:
Originally posted by Jongsstraw:
Funny that only you and George Soros knew when the market was gonna tank.

"A hundred million miracles,
a hundred million miracles,
are happening every day."

I never told Soros anything.
Funny?

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Friday, October 3, 2014 7:36 PM

Quote:
Originally posted by JO753:
Interesting stuff. In sum other universe in wich I moved to Wall Street wen I wuz 18, I'm all about that shiz. Here, I'm just a poor working chump with the foolish notion that making real products shoud be a lucrativ endevour. Therefor, I never had any money to invest.

You say 'Obamanomics'. Do you mean your 15% formula duznt work anymore?

Correct. Except it was not "my" formula.
Obamanomics has destroyed the American Economy. The Markets used to be an indicator of the economy, the tail wagged by the dog of economic power. Under Obamanomics, the US economy is the tiny dog being wagged by the giant tail of markets - we now hear that huge changes in the market, tripping the market circuit breakers over and over again, are caused not by some real world event, but somebody burped in Athens, and then another passed wind in Amsterdam, etc, etc, etc.
Under the cycle from Mar 2009 to I think it was July 2011, the peak had dropped to a 15% trough on July 2 of that year (maybe it was 2010, I forget now). Under the 100-year formuls, that would have been the onset of Bear, but under obamanomics, it has become a false flag.

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Friday, October 3, 2014 8:52 PM

Sometimes you own the libs. Sometimes, the libs own you.

Damn it JSF - stop giving yourself credit for predictions you allegedly made and make new ones.

Signy - "but -when all is said and done- eventually we'll probably find out that it was USA-hired mercs who sniped the Maidan, Kiev neo-Nazis who killed people in Odessa, and neo-Nazis who brought down MH17."

It's not personal. It's just war.

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Tuesday, October 7, 2014 11:47 AM

Sometimes you own the libs. Sometimes, the libs own you.

With respect to Arctic sea ice, Auraptor asserts repeatedly:

Auraptor - "It's growing, not melting."

http://fireflyfans.net/mthread.aspx?bid=18&tid=58555&p=1

It's not personal. It's just war.

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Sunday, November 30, 2014 6:39 AM

Sometimes you own the libs. Sometimes, the libs own you.

Signy's thread: "Ukraine: Closer and closer to major-powers war"

http://fireflyfans.net/mthread.aspx?tid=58859

It's not personal. It's just war.

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Sunday, November 30, 2014 6:43 AM

Sometimes you own the libs. Sometimes, the libs own you.

Quote:
Originally posted by kpo:
Quote:
Originally posted by kpo:

Auraptor - "Glenn Beck says to buy gold! He just may be onto something."

Gold price today, per ounce:

$1,288.50
€964.27

It's not personal. It's just war.

Gold price today, per ounce:

$1,222.10
€958.53

I guess it's a long term investment...

It's not personal. It's just war.

Gold price today, per ounce:

$1168.50
€937.22

It's not personal. It's just war.

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Sunday, November 30, 2014 10:20 AM

SIGNYM

I believe in solving problems, not sharing them.

Glad to see someone is keeping track! It keeps us all honest, which surely is a necessary but thankless task on FFF! So, a belated "I'm thankful for KPO's diligent effort in the predictions thread".

--------------
You can't build a nation with bombs. You can't create a society with guns.

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Sunday, November 30, 2014 2:58 PM

Quote:
Originally posted by kpo:
Damn it JSF - stop giving yourself credit for predictions you allegedly made and make new ones.

I didn't take credit, just the fundage added to my accounts.

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Sunday, November 30, 2014 3:05 PM

Quote:
Originally posted by kpo:
With respect to Arctic sea ice, Auraptor asserts repeatedly:

Auraptor - "It's growing, not melting."

http://fireflyfans.net/mthread.aspx?bid=18&tid=58555&p=1

It's not personal. It's just war.

So, you are supporting AURaptor's predictions? You are acknowledging his superior ability to observe the truth instead of your libtard delusions?
I suppose a 29% growth in only one year was difficult for even the likes of you to ignore.

http://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-2415191/And-global-COOLING-Ret
urn-Arctic-ice-cap-grows-29-year.html

https://nsidc.org/arcticseaicenews/

Although the following is from Sept 2013, I was not sure when AURaptor started mentioning the truth to your disbelieving ears.
http://guardianlv.com/2013/09/arctic-ice-cap-growing-at-tremendous-rat
e/

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Thursday, December 4, 2014 4:10 PM

MAGONSDAUGHTER

Quote:
Originally posted by kpo:
Damn it JSF - stop giving yourself credit for predictions you allegedly made and make new ones.

It's like the psychic who says "i knew that was going to happen' AFTER the event.

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Thursday, December 4, 2014 6:30 PM

AURAPTOR

America loves a winner!

Quote:
Originally posted by kpo:

Auraptor on Obamacare hitting its 7 million sign up target:

"Funny how the administration is touting 7.1 MILLION!! on April's Fools Day.

Seriously, you'd have to be a gorram fool to believe this President."

JSF agrees with him:

"How asleep at the wheel must one be to belive this?
How brain dead must one be to belive this as truth?"

It's not personal. It's just war.

They failed. What else is new ?

HHS Admits Error in ACA Enrollment Numbers, Revises Figure to 6.7M

Friday, November 21, 2014

http://www.californiahealthline.org/articles/2014/11/21/hhs-admits-err
or-in-aca-enrollment-numbers-revises-figure-to-6-7m

Only took them 6+ months, and right after the mid-term elections, to come clean on that minor detail. Most dishonest, corrupt admin - EVER !

And as for the Glenn Beck says buy gold quote, I don't recall when I said it. He's been pitching gold for I don't know how long. One of the ads I hear frequently has the prediction that gold will top $2k an ounce by years end. Best I can tell, it's not even sniffed $ 1,500.

Smart or dumb, I don't have $ in gold. For what ever that's worth to anyone.

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Friday, December 5, 2014 4:55 PM

Quote:
Originally posted by AURaptor:
Quote:
Originally posted by kpo:
Auraptor on Obamacare hitting its 7 million sign up target:

"Funny how the administration is touting 7.1 MILLION!! on April's Fools Day.

Seriously, you'd have to be a gorram fool to believe this President."

JSF agrees with him:

"How asleep at the wheel must one be to belive this?
How brain dead must one be to belive this as truth?"

They failed. What else is new ?

HHS Admits Error in ACA Enrollment Numbers, Revises Figure to 6.7M

Friday, November 21, 2014

http://www.californiahealthline.org/articles/2014/11/21/hhs-admits-err
or-in-aca-enrollment-numbers-revises-figure-to-6-7m

Only took them 6+ months, and right after the mid-term elections, to come clean on that minor detail. Most dishonest, corrupt admin - EVER !

It only took 7 2/3 months to admit the truth?
And in the past 2 weeks, kpo has not rushed to point out how you were correct, that he was wrong, that this thread really is unbiased, and points out the conservative actual real predictions are valid instead of merely propping up his fake predictions?
Oh, wait - he did not, it had to wait for a reasonable person to post this obvious truth. Another opportunity for the libtards to claim balance, fairness, non-bias is squandered.

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Friday, December 5, 2014 4:59 PM

Quote:
Originally posted by Magonsdaughter:
Quote:
Originally posted by kpo:
Damn it JSF - stop giving yourself credit for predictions you allegedly made and make new ones.

It's like the psychic who says "i knew that was going to happen' AFTER the event.

I knew she was going to post that. I mean, really, who didn't see that coming? But if I had posted, she would have reversed her inclination, creating a paradox.

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Friday, December 5, 2014 6:21 PM

AURAPTOR

America loves a winner!

What never ceases to amaze me is , no matter how many times they're shown to be factually wrong - WMD in Iraq ( there were ) , if you like your plan, you can keep it ( no, you really can't ) , Benghazi was about a video ( it wasn't ), 7 million sign ups by March 31st ( which was the bare minimum they were expecting ) the Left continue to get it wrong and to fail.

Miserably.

Fathom the hypocrisy of a government that requires every citizen to prove they are insured... but not everyone must prove they are a citizen

I'm just a red pill guy in a room full of blue pill addicts.

" AU, that was great, LOL!! " - Chrisisall

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Saturday, December 6, 2014 5:54 PM

Quote:
Originally posted by JEWELSTAITEFAN:
Quote:
Originally posted by Magonsdaughter:
Quote:
Originally posted by kpo:
Damn it JSF - stop giving yourself credit for predictions you allegedly made and make new ones.

It's like the psychic who says "i knew that was going to happen' AFTER the event.

I knew she was going to post that. I mean, really, who didn't see that coming? But if I had posted, she would have reversed her inclination, creating a paradox.

And another thing: When uber-libtards McCain selected Sarah Palin as running mate, I evaluated if he might die soon enough after being elected, so I could justify voting for her in spite of him. I judged that he would not have enough likelihood of dying, so I could not vote for his ticket. I was right. Same with liberal Romney after selecting Ryan. Both of those tards are still among the living.

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Sunday, December 14, 2014 5:32 PM

Sometimes you own the libs. Sometimes, the libs own you.

It seems safe at this point to predict that Russia will suffer a recession next year. There's also the serious possibility of a financial crisis there...

It's not personal. It's just war.

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Sunday, December 14, 2014 6:41 PM

AURAPTOR

America loves a winner!

Quote:
Originally posted by kpo:

It seems safe at this point to predict that Russia will suffer a recession next year. There's also the serious possibility of a financial crisis there...

It's not personal. It's just war.

So, no need for any incursions into Ukraine then, right ?

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Tuesday, December 16, 2014 7:58 PM

I'll make a conditional prediction.
IF the DJIA (Dow Jones Industrial Average) drops to 15,257; then I predict that there will be a bump up to between 16,155-17,050 which might take a week or month to occur, and then at some point (weeks or months) after bumping up to 16,150 or so, it will drop far below 15,000 for an extended period (months or years).

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Wednesday, December 17, 2014 1:49 PM

Sometimes you own the libs. Sometimes, the libs own you.

I think there's a significant chance there could be a major international incident caused by a Russian military plane (or some other vessel) flying aggressively near to or in Western airspace, in the next year.

It's not personal. It's just war.

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Saturday, December 20, 2014 9:11 PM

Sometimes you own the libs. Sometimes, the libs own you.

Signy, on Greece:

The current troika-friendly Samaras government is in a throw-down with Tsipras (head of Syriza) over whether to accept Samaras' choice of President. If the Parliament doesn't agree to Samaras' choice, new elections must be held - elections which Syriza is likely to win.

It's not personal. It's just war.

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Saturday, December 20, 2014 9:20 PM

Sometimes you own the libs. Sometimes, the libs own you.

Signy on the ruble crisis - http://fireflyfans.net/mthread.aspx?tid=58918

Several predictions, including these:

"The one thing that Putin is NOT going to do (he says) is waste his foreign reserves on propping up the ruble."

"In the end, it's anybody's guess what happens to the Russian economy and finances. Or the USA's for that matter. Too much depends on political decision made a top levels, this is not an area that can be predicted by economics. My crystal ball is cloudy; I'm taking a wait-and-see approach."

That last one isn't really a prediction, but it contrasts well with the confident predictions by some of us that Russia will have a recession, and probably a serious one.

It's not personal. It's just war.

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Tuesday, December 23, 2014 11:35 AM

Sometimes you own the libs. Sometimes, the libs own you.

Signy - "Russia is not bowed down under a huge debt ratio. Their fundamentals ... both economic and financial .... are fairly sound, probably even better than the USAs after years of "quantitative easing". A 50% drop in the price of oil should lead to a 20% drop in the ruble (because oil and gas aren't the ONLY components to the Russian economy), not 50%. That's why I believe this is politically-driven and is already reverting back to something financially sensible."

It's not personal. It's just war.

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Tuesday, December 23, 2014 5:58 PM

ELVISCHRIST

I predicted that there would be no new Ebola cases linked to the doctor in New York or the nurse in Maine.

Looks like I nailed that one.

It almost seems like following the proper protocols negates the risk of contracting Ebola, but nobody on the right wants to talk about that now.

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Tuesday, December 23, 2014 6:01 PM