Russia Invades Ukraine. Again by captaincrunch

The Joss Whedon script for Serenity, where Wash lives, is Serenity-190pages.pdf at https://www.mediafire.com/two

Rheinmetall to receive €130 million from EU to expand ammunition production

By Oleh Pavliuk, Tetyana Oliynyk — Tuesday, 26 March 2024, 23:12

https://www.pravda.com.ua/eng/news/2024/03/26/7448294/

Rheinmetall noted that it aims to produce up to 1.1 million artillery shells a year by 2027. In addition, starting in 2026, the concern plans to annually produce up to 1.5 million rocket fuel modules and 3,000 tonnes of RDX explosives.

France to supply 78 Caesar self-propelled howitzers to Ukraine soon

By Andrii Synyavskyi, Anastasia Protz — Tuesday, 26 March 2024, 20:59

https://www.pravda.com.ua/eng/news/2024/03/26/7448276/

French Defence Minister Sébastien Lecornu has announced that Paris will soon be able to supply Kyiv with 78 Caesar self-propelled howitzers and will increase supplies of shells to meet Ukraine's urgent ammunition needs.

At the same time, Lecornu said that European countries should reduce their dependence on the United States to ensure security on the continent.

"This is an absolute necessity. I think it's wrong that American taxpayers should pay so much for the security of Europeans," he said.

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Wednesday, March 27, 2024 7:58 AM

The Joss Whedon script for Serenity, where Wash lives, is Serenity-190pages.pdf at https://www.mediafire.com/two

Denying Russia’s Only Strategy for Success

By Nataliya Bugayova, Frederick W. Kagan, with Kateryna Stepanenko | Mar 27, 2024

https://www.understandingwar.org/backgrounder/denying-russia%E2%80%99s
-only-strategy-success

Russia cannot defeat Ukraine or the West - and will likely lose - if the West mobilizes its resources to resist the Kremlin. The West’s existing and latent capability dwarfs that of Russia. The combined gross domestic product (GDP) of NATO countries, non-NATO European Union states, and our Asian allies is over $63 trillion.[1] The Russian GDP is on the close order of $1.9 trillion.[2] Iran and North Korea add little in terms of materiel support. China is enabling Russia, but it is not mobilized on behalf of Russia and is unlikely to do so.[3] If we lean in and surge, Russia loses.

The notion that the war is unwinnable because of Russia’s dominance is a Russian information operation, which gives us a glimpse of the Kremlin’s real strategy and only real hope of success. The Kremlin must get the United States to the sidelines, allowing Russia to fight Ukraine in isolation and then proceed to Moscow’s next targets, which Russia will also seek to isolate. The Kremlin needs the United States to choose inaction and embrace the false inevitability that Russia will prevail in Ukraine. Vladimir Putin’s center of gravity is his ability to shape the will and decisions of the West, Ukraine, and Russia itself. The Russian strategy that matters most, therefore, is not Moscow’s warfighting strategy, but rather the Kremlin’s strategy to cause us to see the world as it wishes us to see it and make decisions in that Kremlin-generated alternative reality that will allow Russia to win in the real world.

US susceptibility to the Kremlin’s manipulations is not all of Russia’s making. It is also a consequence of America’s inherent traits and blind spots.

Values. The United States values peace, life, American interests, freedom of debate, and is trying to act responsibly with the power it wields. These are virtues, not weaknesses. They set us apart from Russia. Russia nevertheless uses these concepts against us in its way of war, as discussed throughout this paper.[38] The Western way of life also prevents us from grasping the full scale of what Russia is. Russia being mostly content with killing and wounding over 300,000 of its own citizens to conquer a country that did not pose a military threat is a reality unimaginable in a Western country.

Defeatism and the legacy of US wars. America’s past wars are distorting America’s understanding of Russia’s war against Ukraine. US concern about endless wars is a result of its experiences in Vietnam, Afghanistan, and Iraq. But US debate about the risks of a long war in Ukraine revolves around a profound category error in discussing this war as if the United States were fighting it.[39] The United States is not fighting in Ukraine and should not discuss the costs to the United States as if it were. Ukraine, a US partner, is fighting this war against a US adversary. It is not a US proxy — Ukraine is fighting for its own reasons, not ours. And Ukraine has never asked for American soldiers to fight — only for material and financial support. US psychological scars from previous American conflicts have no place in discussions about what the United States should do vis-a-vis Ukraine.

Misunderstanding of the Russian threat. The United States has learned a lot about Russia’s intent and capabilities. The United States still, however, does not fully grasp the nature of the Russian threat, Russia’s sources of power and weakness, and the Russian way of war – including reflexive control. This knowledge gap is reflected in the prevailing US national security assessment that, while Russia poses the most immediate challenge, China is the bigger long-term threat.[40] This may be a valid assessment of China, but the framework is limiting for three reasons. First, it ignores the nature of the Russian threat to the United States, which goes beyond military power. Second, it ignores the path dependency of the Russian threat to the United States on the outcome of Russia’s war in Ukraine: the United States will face the greatest threat from Russia since the collapse of the Soviet Union if Russia prevails in Ukraine.[41] Finally, it ignores the path dependency of China’s threat to the United States and the future of the anti-US coalition on the outcome of Russia’s war in Ukraine. A Russian victory in Ukraine will empower US adversaries in many ways — the most dangerous of all, perhaps, would be US adversaries learning that the United States can be manipulated into abandoning its interests in a winnable fight.[42]

More at https://www.understandingwar.org/backgrounder/denying-russia%E2%80%99s
-only-strategy-success

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Thursday, March 28, 2024 5:27 AM

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Russian officials are tying the US and the West to a broader set of “terrorist” attacks against Russia following the Crocus City Hall attack, likely to intensify rhetoric about alleged Western and Ukrainian threats to generate greater domestic support for the war in Ukraine. The Russian Investigative Committee and Prosecutor General’s Office stated on March 27 that they will consider an appeal from the Russian State Duma to investigate American and Western financing and organization of terrorist attacks against Russia.[7] The Russian Investigative Committee, Prosecutor General’s Office, and the Duma Deputies that made the appeal did not explicitly reference the Crocus City Hall attack.[8] Kremlin officials have previously tied Ukraine and the West to the Crocus City Hall attack but have yet to make a formal accusation, and the Kremlin may refrain from issuing an official accusation as all available evidence continues to show that the Islamic State (IS) is very likely responsible for the attack.[9] Russian officials routinely describe Ukrainian military strikes against legitimate military targets in occupied Ukraine and Russia as terrorism and consistently claim that Western actors help organize these strikes.[10] The Kremlin likely aims to seize on wider Russian social fears and anger following the Crocus City Hall attack by portraying Ukraine, the US, and the West as immediate terrorist threats. The Kremlin likely hopes that perceptions of Ukrainian and Western involvement in the Crocus City Hall attack will increase domestic support for the war in Ukraine, and Russian officials will likely invoke a broader view of what they consider terrorism to further cast Ukrainians as terrorists and the West as a sponsor of terrorism.[11] The Kremlin may still formally accuse Ukraine of conducting the Crocus City Hall attack if it believes that these other informational efforts are insufficient to generate the domestic response it likely desires.[12]

https://www.understandingwar.org/backgrounder/russian-offensive-campai
gn-assessment-march-27-2024

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Thursday, March 28, 2024 5:20 PM

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The Russian air force’s 38th Regiment, flying from Belbek air base in Russian-occupied Crimea, just lost two of its jets. The Russians themselves shot down one of them.

The missile raids clearly have made the Russian Air Force surface-to-air missile batteries in Crimea jumpy. These batteries themselves also are top targets for Ukrainian missiles. On or just before Thursday, an air-defense unit fired on a 38th Regiment Su-27 taking off from Belbek.

A video that circulated on social media depicts the jet spinning toward the ground, on fire. Reportedly, the pilot ejected and survived. Still, the Ukrainian defense ministry “should start awarding medals to some Russian SAM operators,” quipped Jakub Janovsky, an analyst with Oryx, which tallies wartime vehicle losses.

https://www.forbes.com/sites/davidaxe/2024/03/28/the-russian-air-force
s-old-su-27-fighters-had-a-lucky-war-until-this-week/?sh=36aa913f3fbe

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Friday, March 29, 2024 6:20 AM

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Ukraine Is Now 'Holy War,' Russian Orthodox Church Declares

"From a spiritual and moral point of view, the special military operation is a Holy War, in which Russia and its people are defending the single spiritual space of Holy Russia."

The war’s goal is "protecting the world from the onslaught of globalism and the victory of the West, which has fallen into Satanism."

Following the war, "the entire territory of modern Ukraine should enter the zone of Russia's exclusive influence."

This month, the head of the Ukrainian Greek Catholic Church, Sviatoslav Shevchuk, told Newsweek that where Russia has arrived in Ukraine, "they exterminate all other religions besides the well-controlled and weaponized Russian Orthodox Church."

https://www.newsweek.com/russia-ukraine-war-holy-1884577

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Friday, March 29, 2024 8:02 PM

Quote:
Originally posted by SIGNYM:

More bullshit from SECOND.

Dood... your media circus has claimed that there was a pilot that shot down six... no 25... no, MORE... Russian fighter jets, ALL BY HIMSELF! (fake news)

That soldiers defended Snake Island to the last man. (no, they surrendered)

That Russian soldiers went on a rape orgy (lurid, but fake, news)

That 97pct of the Russian army is in Ukraine.

That 100,000 ... no, 140,000!... Russian soldiers have been killed

That Russia lost half of its army

That Russians were shelling .... THEMSELVES... at Zaparozhye Nuclear Power Plant

That "Russia is running out of missiles", any day now!

*****

Why should I believe anything you post?

Compensation or Insult? The Reality for Russia's Wounded Veterans

The ongoing conflicts in Ukraine have once again brought to light the treatment of Russian war veterans, particularly those with disabilities. A poignant example is a photo that emerged online of a soldier from Buryatia who lost his sight and both hands during the war.

What's raising eyebrows, however, is the authorities' so-called "compensation" for his injuries—a smart speaker.

https://www.msn.com/en-us/news/world/compensation-or-insult-the-realit
y-for-russia-s-wounded-veterans/ar-BB1kM31y?ocid=msedgntp&cvid=b64f8d2a077a42059ee8682c9dea13c7&ei=53

Sad, just very sad. Now, multiply this by hundreds of thousands.

T

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Saturday, March 30, 2024 6:15 AM

The Joss Whedon script for Serenity, where Wash lives, is Serenity-190pages.pdf at https://www.mediafire.com/two

Russia’s newly emerging pattern of striking Ukrainian dams and hydroelectric power plans is a significant inflection and an escalation of Russia’s strike campaign against Ukraine. Russian forces did not previously conduct sustained missile strikes against Ukrainian dams and hydroelectric power plants. The US and European countries remain unwilling to provide Ukraine with materiel that could prove operationally or strategically significant and assist significant Ukrainian offensive efforts due to fears of Russian escalation or retaliation. However, Western states’ decisions to limit Ukraine’s defense capabilities in an effort to manage escalation have failed to prevent Russia from escalating its war against Ukraine. Ukraine, moreover, is conducting a strategic defense, not an offensive effort that could seriously threaten Russian positions in occupied Ukraine or Russian territory. US Chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff General Charles Brown Jr. stated on March 28, regarding the provision of long-range ATACMS missiles to Ukraine, that the “risk of escalation is not as high as maybe it was at the beginning [of Russia’s full-scale invasion of Ukraine].”[30] Russia has consistently proven its willingness to escalate its aggression without provocation, and concern about Russian retaliation and escalation in response to the further provision of Western weapons and systems to Ukraine should not dictate US or other Western decision-making regarding this assistance.[31]

https://www.understandingwar.org/backgrounder/russian-offensive-campai
gn-assessment-march-29-2024

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Saturday, March 30, 2024 6:16 AM

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Russia’s First-Ever Robotic Ground Assault Ended Badly ... For The Robots

Ukrainian forces knocked out at least two armed Russian ground drones

By David Axe | March 29, 2024

https://www.forbes.com/sites/davidaxe/2024/03/29/russias-first-ever-ro
botic-ground-assault-ended-badly--for-the-robots/?sh=1f7f4ecb435d

The air might be the perfect medium for a drone. The sea, a close second. After all, avoiding obstacles is one of hardest tasks for the distant operator of some remote-controlled robot. There aren’t a lot of obstacles on the water. Even fewer in the air.

Obstacles abound on the ground, however. Which is why, 25 months into Russia’s wider war on Ukraine, both sides deploy lots of aerial drones and the Ukrainians deploy lots of sea drones—but neither side deploys many ground drones.

Not for actual combat, at least. Both the Ukrainians and Russians do use small ground robots for resupply, casualty-evacuation and mine-laying.

That combat exception ended somewhere around the ruins of Bakhmut in eastern Ukraine, when the Russian army sent at least two—and possibly many more—small, tracked, grenade-launcher-armed unmanned ground vehicles on what appears to have been a direct assault on the Ukrainian 53rd Mechanized Brigade.

It didn’t end well for the robots. A capture from a Ukrainian aerial drone, circulated by Telegram channel @stanislav_osman, depicts two of the diminutive UGVs—one with the number “6” on its flank—lying apparently damaged amid the ruins of destroyed manned vehicles.

We don’t know exactly what the Russians were trying to do with their grenade-launching robotic mini-tanks. We don’t know exactly how the Ukrainians thwarted them. We do know that, years ago, analysts anticipated just how difficult it might be for armies to begin folding robotic ground vehicles into mechanized attacks.

In late 2020, analysts with the California think-tank RAND gamed out a clash between U.S. Army and Russian army mechanized infantry companies in some near-future setting after the U.S. Army has integrated armed ground robots into its force structure. In the game, 11 wheeled and tracked UGVs complemented the Americans’ four M-1 tanks and 11 M-2-style infantry fighting vehicles.

What RAND’s analysts refered to as “robotic combat vehicles” didn’t perform very well in the think-tank’s various offensive and defensive scenarios—and for one major reason. RAND’s RCVs were controlled via radio by a remote operator, just like Russia’s actual UGVs surely are.

And that means they were vulnerable to getting cut off from their operators—either by the terrain or by enemy jamming. “In the baseline game, the need to maintain unobstructed and un-jammed line-of-sight communications to the RCVs imposed significant constraints on [U.S.] forces, slowing the pace and complicating the management of [the U.S.] advance,” the analysts explained.

“In particular, [Russian forces’] effective use of backpack jammers (placed before the battle) substantially limited [U.S. forces’] ability to use the RCVs.” Frequently idled as their operators struggled to stay in control, the robots rolled into battle in erratic fits and starts—and got knocked out by enemy fire.

Again, we don’t know whether one of the Russian army’s first-ever robotic ground assaults in Ukraine ran afoul of Ukrainian jamming. But we shouldn’t be surprised if it did.

Ukrainian forces’ expert application of electronic warfare—flooding key radio channels with noise, rendering them unusable for drone-operators—is one reason why, in some sectors, the Ukrainians have been able to achieve local air-superiority with their own un-jammed aerial drones.

If the Russians widen their deployment of armed ground robots, expect the Ukrainians, in response, to widen their radio-jamming. And expect to see more sights like we observed around Bakhmut: wrecked and abandoned UGVs lying alongside wrecked and abandoned manned vehicles.

Sources:

1. @stanislav_osman: https://t.me/stanislav_osman/5472

2. RAND: https://www.rand.org/pubs/research_reports/RRA423-1.html

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Saturday, March 30, 2024 6:30 AM

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Europe has entered 'pre-war era,' Poland's Tusk says

March 30, 2024, 2 hours ago

Polish Prime Minister Donald Tusk has warned that "literally any scenario is possible" and that Europe entered the pre-war era when Russia invaded Ukraine.

https://www.dw.com/en/europe-has-entered-pre-war-era-polands-tusk-says
/a-68702657

Polish Prime Minister Donald Tusk warned that there was a "real" threat of conflict in Europe and that the continent has entered a "pre-war era" for the first time since World War II.

"War is no longer a concept from the past. It is real, and it started over two years ago. The most worrying thing at the moment is that literally any scenario is possible. We haven't seen a situation like this since 1945," Tusk said in an interview with the European media grouping LENA on Friday.

World War II ended in 1945 with the surrender of Hitler's Germany and the US bombing of Hiroshima and Nagasaki.

"I know it sounds devastating, especially for the younger generation, but we have to get used to the fact that a new era has begun: the pre-war era. I'm not exaggerating; it's becoming clearer every day."

The former European Council president's comments came soon after the two-year anniversary of Russia's full-scale invasion of Ukraine. The war upended an era of peace in Europe and pushed nations into ramping up weapons production.

Tusk further said that no one in Europe would feel safe if Kyiv lost the war.

A common defense

The Polish prime minister noted a revolution in European mentality, as no one anymore questions the need for a common defense.

He presented the example of Germany's largest parties, the Social Democratic Party (SPD) and Christian Democratic Union of Germany (CDU), which are "competing to see which of them is more pro-Ukrainian."

"The European Union as a whole, as a powerful organization, must be mentally prepared to fight for the security of our borders and our territory," he said.

The need for a stronger Europe has come further into the spotlight as former US President Donald Trump, who is running for the 2024 elections, has openly expressed NATO-sceptic views.

"Our job is to nurture transatlantic relations, regardless of who the US president is," Tusk said in the interview.

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Sunday, March 31, 2024 12:08 AM

I believe in solving problems, not sharing them.

Quote:
Originally posted by second:
Russia’s newly emerging pattern of striking Ukrainian dams and hydroelectric power plans

First, it's PLANTS, not " plans".

More importantly, Russia is NOT striking dams. In fact, it's only struck one hydroelectric power plant. And it didn't even strike the turbines or the sluices (penstocks), it struck the control room. The dam was entirely untouched.

Russia is mainly striking THERMAL power plants. Not nuclear, not hydro.

It seems to be isolating territory east of the Dnieper, and many are speculating this is prelude to a large offensive.

Also, Russia now has a big mo'fuckin' bomb: the FAB 3000. I can't think of targets worthy of such a big bomb except bridges, dams, and tunnels.

-----------
"It may be dangerous to be America's enemy, but to be America's friend is fatal." - Henry Kissinger

Loving America is like loving an addicted spouse - SIGNYM

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Sunday, March 31, 2024 8:06 AM

The Joss Whedon script for Serenity, where Wash lives, is Serenity-190pages.pdf at https://www.mediafire.com/two

Quote:
Originally posted by SIGNYM:

First, it's PLANTS, not " plans".

Goodness gracious. You read something for once. Here is a short excerpt from a longer article to read:

The Russian Orthodox Church Moscow Patriarchate (ROC MP) intensified Kremlin rhetoric about Russia’s war in Ukraine and cast it as an existential and civilizational “holy war,” a significant inflection for Russian authorities who have so far carefully avoided officially framing Russia’s invasion of Ukraine as any kind of “war.” The ROC MP called Putin’s “special military operation” a holy war (Svyashennaya Voyna) and a new stage in the Russian people’s struggle for “national liberation...in southwestern Russia,” referencing eastern and southeastern Ukraine.[4] The ROC MP claimed that the Russian people are defending their lives, freedom, and statehood; their civilizational, religious, national, and cultural identity; and their right to live within the borders of a single Russian state by waging Putin’s war of conquest in Ukraine. The ROC MP argued that the war in Ukraine is a holy war because Russia is defending “Holy Russia” and the world from the onslaught of globalism and the victory of the West, which has fallen into Satanism. The ROC MP asserted that the war in Ukraine will conclude with Russia seizing exclusive influence over the entire territory of modern Ukraine and the exclusion of any Ukrainian government that the Kremlin determines to be hostile to Russia. The ROC MP’s description of Russian goals is in line with repeated Kremlin statements indicating that Putin retains his objective to destroy Ukrainian sovereignty and statehood.[5] The ROC MP’s use and description of the holy war in Ukraine is also consistent with Kremlin efforts to frame the war as an existential national struggle against Ukraine and the collective West but notably expands the alleged threats that defeat in Ukraine poses for Russians.[6] The term “holy war” may also conjure allusions to the Great Patriotic War (the Second World War), as the Soviet Union’s unofficial war anthem shared the same name, and the Kremlin has routinely invoked the mythos of the Great Patriotic War to generate domestic support for the war in Ukraine.[7] The Kremlin has continued to stress that the war in Ukraine is a “special military operation,” however, and the ROC MP’s direct acknowledgment of the conflict as a holy war may elicit support from Russians who have found the Kremlin’s comparatively restrained rhetoric uninspiring.

https://www.understandingwar.org/backgrounder/russian-orthodox-church-
declares-%E2%80%9Choly-war%E2%80%9D-against-ukraine-and-articulates-tenets

Signym, Russia would be well on the way to becoming the Klingon Empire if only their religion made an honorable death in battle a goal of life in the Russian Empire. The Russians almost went full Klingon, becoming approximately a parody of the Star Trek "warrior" civilization:

Last autumn, Patriarch Kirill of the ROC stated that death in the line of military duty is a "sacrifice" and supposedly "wipes away all sins."

https://newsukraine.rbc.ua/news/holy-war-russian-orthodox-church-offer
s-kremlin-1711782718.html

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Sunday, March 31, 2024 8:46 AM

I believe in solving problems, not sharing them.

Quote:
Originally posted by SIGNYM:

First, it's PLANTS, not " plans".

SECOND: Goodness gracious. You read something for once.

If I read something of yours, it's only until I find the first bogus point. Usually, in the first few sentences. In THIS case, literally the first sentence.

But, I already explained this.

-----------
"It may be dangerous to be America's enemy, but to be America's friend is fatal." - Henry Kissinger

Loving America is like loving an addicted spouse - SIGNYM

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Sunday, March 31, 2024 9:16 AM

The Joss Whedon script for Serenity, where Wash lives, is Serenity-190pages.pdf at https://www.mediafire.com/two

Quote:
Originally posted by SIGNYM:

Quote:
Originally posted by SIGNYM:

First, it's PLANTS, not " plans".

SECOND: Goodness gracious. You read something for once.

If I read something of yours, it's only until I find the first bogus point. Usually, in the first few sentences. In THIS case, literally the first sentence.

But, I already explained this.

Signym, you and the Russians do a great parody of angry Klingons.

Heghlu'meH QaQ jajvam
https://www.google.com/search?q=heghlu%27meh+qaq+jajvam+meaning

The Joss Whedon script for Serenity, where Wash lives, is Serenity-190pages.pdf at
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Sunday, March 31, 2024 6:10 PM

I believe in solving problems, not sharing them.

Quote:
Originally posted by SIGNYM:
First, it's PLANTS, not " plans".

SECOND: Goodness gracious. You read something for once.

SIGNY: If I read something of yours, it's only until I find the first bogus point. Usually, in the first few sentences. In THIS case, literally the first sentence.
But, I already explained this.

SECOND: Signym, you and the Russians do a great parody of angry Klingons.

Angry???
I'm not angry.
I'm laughing.
At you.

PS: Why would anyone want to learn Klingon? Or are you just stealing IPs?

-----------
"It may be dangerous to be America's enemy, but to be America's friend is fatal." - Henry Kissinger

Loving America is like loving an addicted spouse - SIGNYM

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Sunday, March 31, 2024 9:21 PM

The Joss Whedon script for Serenity, where Wash lives, is Serenity-190pages.pdf at https://www.mediafire.com/two

Quote:
Originally posted by SIGNYM:

PS: Why would anyone want to learn Klingon? Or are you just stealing IPs?

You didn't recognize this Russian saying: “Today is a good day to die”

Phonetically: “Heghlu'meH QaQ jajvam”
https://www.google.com/search?q=heghlu%27meh+qaq+jajvam+meaning

On Saturday, the Russian army launched what may have been one of the largest-scale tank assaults of Russia’s 25-month wider war on Ukraine.

It ended in one of the largest-scale tank massacres of Russia’s 25-month wider war on Ukraine. When the smoke cleared, the Russians had left behind — on a road west of the ruins of Avdiivka in eastern Ukraine — a third of their tanks.

Despite struggling with inadequate supplies of key munitions, Ukrainian brigades still are capable of mounting a fierce defense — often with a combination of mines, artillery, anti-tank missiles and explosive first-person-view drones.

“Sometimes it is amazing the amount of stupid, mindless meat that dies in bundles due to the ambitions of a small man,” the Ukrainian air-assault forces’ 25th Brigade mused in a social-media post following the Saturday battle west of Tonen’ke on Avdiivka’s western outskirts. That small man is, of course, Russian leader Vladimir Putin.

https://www.forbes.com/sites/davidaxe/2024/03/31/the-russian-army-just
-launched-the-biggest-tank-assault-of-the-war/?sh=3f0a2c6a6e67

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Monday, April 1, 2024 7:33 AM

The Joss Whedon script for Serenity, where Wash lives, is Serenity-190pages.pdf at https://www.mediafire.com/two

The Kremlin-controlled Russian Orthodox Church Moscow Patriarchate (ROC MP) reportedly directed all its clergy to change their liturgy to include pro-war prayers in support of Russia’s war of conquest against Ukraine and is likely threatening to defrock ROC MP clergy who do not support the war. A Russian Telegram channel with insider sources within the ROC MP amplified on March 31 a document dated March 29, in which Head of the ROC MP Affairs, Metropolitan Gregoriy of Voskresensk, instructed clergy to read a prayer — the “Prayer for Holy Rus” — on a daily basis during Lent.[1] Metropolitan Gregoriy of Voskresensk also called on the clergy to read the “Prayer for Holy Rus” at home and to offer to read this prayer to parishioners. The “Prayer for Holy Rus” is a new prayer that the ROC MP officially introduced in September 2022. This prayer is a highly politicized and pro-war and pro-Kremlin prayer filled with Kremlin talking points and other false Russian narratives. The prayer asks God to “to help [Russian] people and grant [Russia] victory” against “those who want to fight [and] have taken up arms against Holy Rus, eager to divide and destroy her one people.”[2] The mention of “Holy Rus” and “one people” echoes Putin’s long-term false narrative that Ukrainians, Belarusians, and Russians comprise one Russian nation, and is a misappropriation of the history of Kyivan Rus.[3] ROC MP Head Patriarch Kirill — reportedly himself a former Soviet Committee for State Security (KGB) officer and a known staunch supporter of Russian President Vladimir Putin — first read the “Prayer for Holy Rus” (which he supposedly authored) on September 25, 2022, following Putin’s unpopular call for partial mobilization. The ROC MP had previously instituted politicized prayers in June 2014 and March 2022 supporting Russia’s aggression against Ukraine, and ISW has long assessed that the ROC MP is a Kremlin-controlled organization and a known tool within the Russian hybrid warfare toolkit that promotes the Kremlin’s interests and nationalist ideology domestically and abroad.[4]

https://www.understandingwar.org/backgrounder/russian-offensive-campai
gn-assessment-march-31-2024

The Joss Whedon script for Serenity, where Wash lives, is Serenity-190pages.pdf at
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Monday, April 1, 2024 7:36 AM

The Joss Whedon script for Serenity, where Wash lives, is Serenity-190pages.pdf at https://www.mediafire.com/two

The Kremlin-controlled Russian Orthodox Church Moscow Patriarchate (ROC MP) leadership has intensified internal scrutiny against ROC MP clergy and has reportedly defrocked several clergy members who refused to promote Kremlin-introduced prayers supporting Russia’s full-scale invasion of Ukraine. A guest researcher at the Carnegie Endowment for International Peace, Ksenia Luchenko, noted that the ROC MP regards individual ROC MP clergy members’ refusal to use assigned prayers in liturgy as perjury and a sin punishable by defrocking under the 25th Apostolic Canon.[5] The Christians Against War Project, a Russian organization that tracks persecutions of Russian, Ukrainian, and Belarusian priests, reported that ROC MP or Russian state authorities have already disciplined no fewer than 28 ROC MP clergy members from Russia, five from Belarus, one from Kazakhstan, and six from Lithuania for anti-war rhetoric or refusing to read the assigned pro-war prayers during liturgy.[6] The ROC MP has reportedly administered various punishments, including defrocking, demotions, and excommunication.[7] Local Russian state officials opened administrative cases and issued fines for “discrediting the Russian Armed Forces” against several such anti-war ROC MP clergy members.[8] Patriarch Kirill, for example, approved a decision in February 2024 to defrock one of the most famous and respected ROC MP priests, Archpriest Alexey Uminsky, for refusing to read the “Prayer for Holy Rus.”[9] The Court of the Moscow Diocese also defrocked a priest in May 2023 for substituting the word “victory” with “peace” when reading the ”Prayer for Holy Rus.” Luchenko also reported that clergy members are increasingly self-censoring themselves out of fear that their own parishioners will report them for sharing anti-war sentiments. Parishioners, for example, reportedly called the police on a ROC MP priest in March 2022 after he prayed for peace in Ukraine. The ROC MP recently intensified Kremlin rhetoric about Russia’s war in Ukraine and cast it as an existential and civilizational “holy war,” and the Kremlin will likely continue to use the ROC MP to promote its imperialist and aggressive goals in Ukraine and elsewhere to secure long-term domestic support for Putin’s war efforts.[10] The ROC MP also recently approved an ideological and policy document tying several Kremlin ideological narratives together in an apparent effort to form a wider nationalist ideology around the war in Ukraine and Russia’s expansionist future.[11]

https://www.understandingwar.org/backgrounder/russian-offensive-campai
gn-assessment-march-31-2024

The Joss Whedon script for Serenity, where Wash lives, is Serenity-190pages.pdf at
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Tuesday, April 2, 2024 6:41 AM

The Joss Whedon script for Serenity, where Wash lives, is Serenity-190pages.pdf at https://www.mediafire.com/two

Ukraine Might Be Getting $34 Billion In American Weapons—And Soon

That much money buys a lot of artillery and air-defenses

By David Axe | April 1, 2024

https://www.forbes.com/sites/davidaxe/2024/04/01/ukraine-might-be-gett
ing-34-billion-in-american-weapons-and-soon/?sh=3af0b2bbd1af

While Speaker of the House Johnson hasn’t announced the details of the House proposal he said he would bring to a vote potentially this month, there’s a good chance it will mirror the spending package the U.S. Senate passed months ago—a package that includes $60 billion for Ukraine, $34 billion of which is for weapons. The rest pays for the training for Ukrainian troops as well as humanitarian aid and other non-military assistance.

To put into perspective how much weaponry $34 billion can buy, consider that—in the first 23 months of Russia’s wider war on Ukraine—the United States appropriated $45 billion for weapons for Ukraine.

Ukraine Security Assistance – Jan 15, 2024
https://media.defense.gov/2024/Feb/01/2003386207/-1/-1/1/UKRAINE-INFOG
RAPHIC-15-JAN-2024.PDF

The Joss Whedon script for Serenity, where Wash lives, is Serenity-190pages.pdf at
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Tuesday, April 2, 2024 6:46 AM

The Joss Whedon script for Serenity, where Wash lives, is Serenity-190pages.pdf at https://www.mediafire.com/two

Meanwhile in Russia: Vladimir Solovyov predicts that Russia will continue fighting against the West for decades to come. He argues that decades of peace were just a coincidence, but hostility is natural.

https://www.newsweek.com/solovyov-putin-conflict-west-1885835

The Joss Whedon script for Serenity, where Wash lives, is Serenity-190pages.pdf at
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Wednesday, April 3, 2024 6:14 AM

The Joss Whedon script for Serenity, where Wash lives, is Serenity-190pages.pdf at https://www.mediafire.com/two

Russian Defense Minister Sergei Shoigu claimed on April 2 that Russian forces seized about 400 square kilometers of Ukrainian territory in the first three months of 2024 — a rate of advance not necessarily reflective of wider Russian offensive prospects due to the impact of US security assistance delays. Shoigu claimed during a conference call with Russian military leadership on April 2 that Russian forces have seized 403 square kilometers of territory in Ukraine since the beginning of 2024.[4] ISW has only observed visual evidence allowing ISW to confirm that Russian forces seized approximately 305 square kilometers between January 1 and April 1, 2024. ISW continues to assess that material shortages are forcing Ukraine to conserve ammunition and prioritize limited resources to critical sectors of the front, however, increasing the risk of a Russian breakthrough in other less-well-provisioned sectors and making the frontline overall more fragile than the current relatively slow rate of Russian advances makes it appear.[5] Ukraine’s materiel constraints also offer Russian forces flexibility in how they conduct offensive operations, which can lead to compounding and non-linear opportunities for Russian forces to make operationally significant gains in the future.[6]

https://www.understandingwar.org/backgrounder/russian-offensive-campai
gn-assessment-april-2-2024

The Joss Whedon script for Serenity, where Wash lives, is Serenity-190pages.pdf at
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Wednesday, April 3, 2024 7:59 AM

The Joss Whedon script for Serenity, where Wash lives, is Serenity-190pages.pdf at https://www.mediafire.com/two

Putin claims enemies seek to avenge Hitler and Napoleon's unsuccessful campaigns against Russia

Ukrainska Pravda — Tuesday, 2 April 2024, 17:29

https://www.pravda.com.ua/eng/news/2024/04/2/7449337/

Putin Quote: "As you are aware, Russia is currently experiencing a difficult period in its history. Everyone understands this.

Following the collapse of the USSR, our geopolitical detractors set out to shatter further what remains of historical Russia, the Russian Federation, and subjugate whatever remains to their geopolitical interests.

Surprisingly, someone seeks vengeance for historical failures in the fight against Russia, such as Hitler's unsuccessful campaigns against Russia and Napoleon."

According to Putin,"someone seeks to ensure to maintain their hegemony in today's changing world, particularly at the expense of Russia."

I am reminded of this quote: Against (Russian) stupidity the very gods themselves contend in vain. If Signym reads this, I'd expect a reaction along the lines of: "What Putin said is Brilliant Truth! It is you who is stupid!" Repeating Putin's words, "Russia is experiencing a difficult period in its history. Everyone understands this." But not everyone understands that these difficulties are solely Putin's fault, not Ukraine's nor the EU's fault for being uncooperative with Putin's stupid plans.

The Joss Whedon script for Serenity, where Wash lives, is Serenity-190pages.pdf at
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Wednesday, April 3, 2024 9:07 AM

I believe in solving problems, not sharing them.

Quote:
...

Putin Has Nothing to Gain and Everything to Lose

First off, the theory that Putin will invade other countries if he wins in Ukraine is nonsense. The Russian army lacks the men and materiel to occupy Ukraine while simultaneously invading other countries.

This isn’t the Soviet Union with its massive tank armies poised to roll over Western Europe. And Soviet communism is long dead, so there’s no ideological basis for Russia to invade Europe. These days Russia is a conservative, Orthodox Christian nation.

But more importantly, Putin has absolutely no incentive to invade any of these nations, which are NATO members. What do they have that he wants?

All it would do is trigger Article 5 of the NATO Charter, which stipulates that an attack on one member is an attack on all, inviting a massive NATO response. At that point, you’re on the fast track to nuclear war.

Putin is fully aware of that.

Fearmongers like to point to what Putin once said in a speech:

“Whoever doesn’t miss the Soviet Union doesn’t have a heart.”

They take that as proof that he wants to recreate the Soviet Union. But they conveniently omit what he said next:

“Whoever wants it back doesn’t have a brain.”

Whatever you think of Putin, he definitely has a brain. He has no intention to restore the Soviet Union.

It’s Not Just About Intentions

But like any great power, Russia has interests, and Ukraine has always been a vital strategic interest to Russia.

And Russia is not going to tolerate Ukraine joining a NATO alliance that’s hostile to Russia. Critics say Ukraine is a free and independent nation that can join NATO if it wants. Russia has no say in the matter, even though Ukraine borders Russia.

Well, I guess they never heard of the Monroe Doctrine. The U.S. basically declared the entire Western hemisphere its own domain. But a great power like Russia can’t have a say in its own backyard?

Critics also say that the idea of NATO invading Russia is ridiculous. That’s just Russian paranoia. And that’s true, NATO isn’t going to actually invade Russia. But it’s not just intentions that count in the world of geopolitics. It’s also capabilities.

As Bismarck once noted: “What matters in politics is capabilities, not intentions. Intentions change, capabilities remain.”

Given Russia’s long history of being invaded, it’s not hard to imagine why it might seem a bit paranoid of exterior threats.

If you look at a map, parts of Ukraine are actually east of Moscow.

Will the U.S. Keep the War Going?

Of course, Ukraine can’t continue fighting without U.S. assistance. The Biden White House wants $60 billion of new money to give to Ukraine to fight the war. This is on top of several hundred billion already provided.

MORE AT https://www.zerohedge.com/geopolitical/rickards-ukraines-starting-get-
dangerous

-----------
"It may be dangerous to be America's enemy, but to be America's friend is fatal." - Henry Kissinger

Why SECOND'S posts are brainless: "I clocked how much time: no more than 10 minutes per day. With cut-and-paste (Ctrl C and Ctrl V) and AI, none of this takes much time."
Or, any verification or thought.

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Wednesday, April 3, 2024 9:54 AM

The Joss Whedon script for Serenity, where Wash lives, is Serenity-190pages.pdf at https://www.mediafire.com/two

Quote:
Originally posted by SIGNYM:
. . . a bunch of fucking nonsense from the Ruskies posting at Zerohedge . . .

So, Putin has a Russian version of the Monroe doctrine which he selectively applied to only Ukraine, justifying invading Ukraine to prevent it from joining NATO? Signym, you are full of shit. When Finland and Sweden contemplated joining NATO, Putin didn't invade them because neither is weak. Nobody believes Russia has a sphere of influence. Putin is not protecting Russia's "sphere". He is simply a robber murdering and stealing property. Since Ukraine looked weak, Putin initiated a robbery of Ukraine. If another European country looks weak (Moldova, the Baltic countries, Poland) Putin will attempt another robbery.

The Joss Whedon script for Serenity, where Wash lives, is Serenity-190pages.pdf at
https://www.mediafire.com/folder/1uwh75oa407q8/Firefly

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Wednesday, April 3, 2024 4:22 PM

I believe in solving problems, not sharing them.

When SECOND has no answer, he resorts to insult and defamation...

Quote:
Originally posted by second:
Quote:
Originally posted by SIGNYM:
. . . a bunch of fucking nonsense from the Ruskies posting at Zerohedge . . .

About the author, James Rickards

Quote:
James G. Rickards (29 September 1951) is an American lawyer, investment banker, media commentator, and author on matters of finance and precious metals.[1] He is the author of Currency Wars: The Making of the Next Global Crisis (2011) and six other books.
...
He has held senior positions at Citibank, Long-Term Capital Management, and Caxton Associates.[4] As general counsel for the hedge fund Long-Term Capital Management (LTCM),[5] he successfully negotiated the $3.6 billion rescue of the firm via the U.S. Federal Reserve in 1998.[6] Rickards worked on Wall Street for 35 years.[7] Later, Rickards became the senior managing director at Tangent Capital Partners LLC, a merchant bank based in New York City,[8] and also the senior managing director for market intelligence at Omnis, Inc.,[9] a technical, professional and scientific consulting firm in McLean, Va.[3]

https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/James_Rickards

Quote:
Can Anybody Explain... this shit? Why? Three Ukie Bradleys "attack", as a result--one is blown up to smithereens by Russian artillery, another one blows up on mine and the last one runs away. This is an absolute madness--let's attack Russians who have total situational and tactical awareness. Maybe we get lucky... Oh, shit, we will not. In related news, drugs use is a normal occurrence in what's left of VSU. This thing, however, explains perfectly why Russians do not commit to large arrow offensives yet. Why? When your enemy impales willingly on your spear with no harm to you. Just keep it coming...

https://smoothiex12.blogspot.com/2024/04/can-anybody-explain.html?m=1
Now THAT'S a Ruskie!

-----------
"It may be dangerous to be America's enemy, but to be America's friend is fatal." - Henry Kissinger

Why SECOND'S posts are brainless: "I clocked how much time: no more than 10 minutes per day. With cut-and-paste (Ctrl C and Ctrl V) and AI, none of this takes much time."
Or, any verification or thought.

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Wednesday, April 3, 2024 8:26 PM

Quote:
Originally posted by THG: Saturday, February 26, 2022 11:48 AM

THG

All these years exposing Signym as a commie bastard and now she has no place to hide. And let's not forget Polish Russian Collaborator 1kiki who's hiding under a rock somewhere.

T

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Wednesday, April 3, 2024 8:31 PM

Quote:
Originally posted by THG:
Quote:
Originally posted by captaincrunch:

What an evil selfish prick Putin is. Does anyone but him benefit from this? And now? After 2 years of covid crap? Kill thousands and crash the world economy so he can redraw a MAP?!?? What fcking dinosaur. I look forward to watching this blow up in his face.

https://www.nytimes.com/2022/02/23/world/europe/putin-speech-russia-uk
raine.html

T

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Wednesday, April 3, 2024 8:35 PM

Quote:
Originally posted by CAPTAINCRUNCH:
Quote:
Originally posted by 6IXSTRINGJACK:
You mean the CNN viewing portion of the world isn't.

The Twittersphere is not the real world.

Your record for being totally uninformed and completely wrong is impressive.

141 vote to condemn Russia:

]

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Wednesday, April 3, 2024 8:36 PM

Quote:
Originally posted by second:
Quote:
Originally posted by THG:

Way to funny second way to funny. Hey Signmy, you have a dick on your forehead.

T

Dead serious: Russians lied, even to this day, about killing 4 million Ukrainians. There was a massive disinformation campaign by Russia. Despite the misinformation, Ukraine says it did happen, that it was straight forward murder by the millions and now it is time to pay back Russia for what it did. Putin and Russians don't want to hear it.

The Joss Whedon script for Serenity, where Wash lives, is Serenity-190pages.pdf at https://www.mediafire.com/two

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Wednesday, April 3, 2024 8:47 PM

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Wednesday, April 3, 2024 9:00 PM

I believe in solving problems, not sharing them.

Quote:
Originally posted by THG: Saturday, February 26, 2022 11:48 AM
All these years exposing Signym as a commie bastard and now she has no place to hide. And let's not forget Polish Russian Collaborator 1kiki who's hiding under a rock somewhere.

And when YOU have nothing to say, like SECOND, you post insults and defamation.
Even if you have to go back two years to dig it up again.

Pathetic.

-----------
"It may be dangerous to be America's enemy, but to be America's friend is fatal." - Henry Kissinger

Why SECOND'S posts are brainless: "I clocked how much time: no more than 10 minutes per day. With cut-and-paste (Ctrl C and Ctrl V) and AI, none of this takes much time."
Or, any verification or thought.

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Wednesday, April 3, 2024 9:15 PM

Quote:
Originally posted by SIGNYM:
:
Quote:
Originally posted by THG: Saturday, February 26, 2022 11:48 AM
All these years exposing Signym as a commie bastard and now she has no place to hide. And let's not forget Polish Russian Collaborator 1kiki who's hiding under a rock somewhere.

And when YOU have nothing to say, like SECOND, you post insults and defamation.
Even if you have to go back two years to dig it up again.

Pathetic.

Why SECOND'S posts are brainless:

As always, comrade signym gives proof she is too stupid to be taken seriously. She claims when I or SECOND have nothing to say we revert to insults. She then immediately insults SECOND.

Can you see me laughing?

T

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Thursday, April 4, 2024 12:37 AM

I believe in solving problems, not sharing them.

It's not an insult if it's the truth, THUGR.

It's an observable fact.

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Thursday, April 4, 2024 12:52 AM

I believe in solving problems, not sharing them.

Now, back to Ukraine.

Russia is pushing west of Avdiivka past the canal, and west of Bakhmut toward Chasiv Yar.

-----------
"It may be dangerous to be America's enemy, but to be America's friend is fatal." - Henry Kissinger

Why SECOND'S posts are brainless: "I clocked how much time: no more than 10 minutes per day. With cut-and-paste (Ctrl C and Ctrl V) and AI, none of this takes much time."
Or, any verification or thought.

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Thursday, April 4, 2024 6:47 AM

The Joss Whedon script for Serenity, where Wash lives, is Serenity-190pages.pdf at https://www.mediafire.com/two

Quote:
Originally posted by SIGNYM:
When SECOND has no answer, he resorts to insult and defamation...

Signym, the kind of lies the Russians put out claiming they speak The Truth would get them savagely killed anywhere but the internet and the Russians depend on that perfect immunity from consequences to stay alive and lie again another day.

NATO’s cheese-eating surrender monkeys are slowly waking up after two years of Russia loudly and falsely threatening on the internet to nuke them while they sleep. Only time will tell if the monkeys stay awake or return to sleep and let Ukraine be conquered:

'We cannot allow for any gray zones': Poland, France, Germany warn against policy of concessions for Putin

By Oleksandra Bashchenko | Wed, April 03, 2024 - 13:10

https://newsukraine.rbc.ua/news/we-cannot-allow-for-any-gray-zones-pol
and-1712138443.html

Ministers of Foreign Affairs of Germany, France, and Poland have warned against the policy of concessions towards the Russian dictator Vladimir Putin, according to Politico. ( https://www.politico.eu/article/germany-france-poland-this-moment-may-
define-our-children-future-annalena-baerbock-stephane-sejourne-radoslaw-sikorski/ )

Russia's invasion of Ukraine has shown that such a policy is naive, stressed German Foreign Minister Annalena Baerbock and her colleagues Stéphane Séjourné and Radoslaw Sikorski.

"For Europe to be at peace, Russian imperialism must be stopped. We cannot allow for any “gray zones” because Putin sees them as an invitation to undermine territorial integrity and sovereignty, draw imaginary lines on the map and, ultimately, use military force," the statement reads.

They note that the full-scale invasion of Ukraine has also shown that appeasement policy towards Russia in hopes of restoring peace or stability on the continent is naive.

"This is why European allies should shoulder their fair share of NATO’s collective burden and demonstrate readiness to take more responsibility for Europe’s defense," the statement said.

The ministers also added that a strong transatlantic bond "remains the bedrock of our security, and we Europeans must address some of the most urgent shortcomings that have become painfully obvious during the past months and years: capability gaps, the readiness of our forces, production capacity, logistics, standardization and interoperability."

The Joss Whedon script for Serenity, where Wash lives, is Serenity-190pages.pdf at
https://www.mediafire.com/folder/1uwh75oa407q8/Firefly

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Thursday, April 4, 2024 7:13 AM

The Joss Whedon script for Serenity, where Wash lives, is Serenity-190pages.pdf at https://www.mediafire.com/two

Quote:
Originally posted by SIGNYM:
Now, back to Ukraine.

Russia is pushing west of Avdiivka past the canal, and west of Bakhmut toward Chasiv Yar.

If Russia was actually advancing smoothly, Putin would NOT be telling a thousand new Russians per day to jump into the meat grinder and die for him. Signym doesn't know this but if the Russian Army were competent warriors during WWII, they would NOT die by the tens of millions. Rather, the death rate would have been closer to the hundreds of thousands that the US Navy, Army, and Marines suffered. Competent warriors don't die unless the enemy gets lucky. The stupid and incompetent warriors die like snowflakes melting in the heat. It is inevitable:

The Russian Ministry of Defense (MoD) claimed that the March 22 Crocus City Hall attack has caused a significant increase in Russian contract service applicants amid reported Russian efforts to increase force generation this spring. The Russian MoD claimed on April 3 that Russian military recruitment centers have documented a significant increase in the number of people applying for military service contracts throughout Russia.[15] The Russian MoD claimed that 16,000 Russian citizens have signed military service contracts over the past 10 days and emphasized that most applicants indicated that their main motive for signing a military contract was to “avenge” the victims of the Crocus attack. The Russian MoD claimed that more than 100,000 Russians have signed military service contracts since the beginning of 2024. Kremlin officials and mouthpieces have consistently attempted to falsely implicate Ukraine in the Crocus attack. If accurate, the Russian MoD's claim suggests that the Kremlin’s information operation may have been successful.[16] The fear and instability that the Islamic State’s (IS) attack created in Russian society may have spurred some Russian citizens to sign up for military service. The Russian MoD may alternatively be running a simultaneous information operation designed to portray Russians as increasingly signing military contracts for revenge to further convince others to sign contracts and justify its long-term war effort in Ukraine.

https://www.understandingwar.org/backgrounder/russian-offensive-campai
gn-assessment-april-3-2024

Putin needs more dead meat for his grinder. He will get the meat by blaming the Crocus City Hall attack on Ukraine.

The Joss Whedon script for Serenity, where Wash lives, is Serenity-190pages.pdf at
https://www.mediafire.com/folder/1uwh75oa407q8/Firefly

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Thursday, April 4, 2024 9:31 AM

Quote:
Originally posted by SIGNYM:

It's not an insult if it's the truth, THUGR.

It's an observable fact.

You being a Russian troll is an observable fact. All your support for world leaders who are tyrants is also an observable fact. I could go on but I won't. Not today...

And once Ukraine gets a good amount of munitions it is over for Russia.

T

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Thursday, April 4, 2024 10:18 AM

The Joss Whedon script for Serenity, where Wash lives, is Serenity-190pages.pdf at https://www.mediafire.com/two

Quote:
Originally posted by THG:

You being a Russian troll is an observable fact. All your support for world leaders who are tyrants is also an observable fact. I could go on but I won't. Not today...

And once Ukraine gets a good amount of munitions it is over for Russia.

T

The war won't end until Putin can't convince around 1,000 Russians per day to die for him. Since history shows that millions and millions of Russians have voluntarily died in vain for past leadership, I doubt Putin will run out of nitwits to jump into the meat grinder for him. Besides, the Russian Army pays 10 times what ordinary jobs pay. The nitwits will think death pays well and that they are special people who will survive since Putin is withholding all evidence they won't. Unlike the USA, death tolls are a top secret in Russia.

The Russian military is offering up to 10x an average salary to fill its ranks depleted by Ukraine invasion casualties
https://www.businessinsider.com/russia-military-offers-recruits-10x-av
erage-salary-to-fill-depleted-ranks-2023-5

U.S. Active Duty Military Deaths by Year and Manner
https://dcas.dmdc.osd.mil/dcas/app/summaryData/deaths/byYearManner

The Joss Whedon script for Serenity, where Wash lives, is Serenity-190pages.pdf at
https://www.mediafire.com/folder/1uwh75oa407q8/Firefly

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Thursday, April 4, 2024 6:14 PM

I believe in solving problems, not sharing them.

Quote:
...

The Politico piece goes on:

And according to high-ranking Ukrainian military officers who served under General Valery Zaluzhny — the commander-in-chief of Ukraine’s armed forces until he was replaced in February — the military picture is grim.

The officers said there’s a great risk of the front lines collapsing wherever Russian generals decide to focus their offensive. Moreover, thanks to a much greater weight in numbers and the guided aerial bombs that have been smashing Ukrainian positions for weeks now, Russia will likely be able to “penetrate the front line and to crash it in some parts,” they said.

They spoke on the condition of anonymity to speak freely.

“There’s nothing that can help Ukraine now because there are no serious technologies able to compensate Ukraine for the large mass of troops Russia is likely to hurl at us. We don’t have those technologies, and the West doesn’t have them as well in sufficient numbers,” one of the top-ranking military sources told POLITICO.

Read the highlighted parts very carefully, particularly the last paragraph. High-ranking military officers secretly told Politico under anonymity that: “There’s nothing that can help Ukraine…the West doesn’t have the technologies in sufficient numbers.”

This comes back precisely to my point above about the big glamorized $60B “salvation” fund.

Read my lips, it’s quite simple: Ukraine has literally no chance whatsoever to do anything militarily in this war anymore. Ukraine and Zelensky’s only shot at survival is to push Russia into a confrontation with NATO. They are desperately attempting to do this each day by launching mass terror attacks all over Russia.

The latest occurred yesterday on Yelabuga, where Ukraine literally crashed a giant Cessna-like plane into a dormitory full of students that they claimed was a drone factory: [link in article]

The problem is, not only is it obvious from the videos and photos that this is a dormitory:

https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/w_1456,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,
fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fc8574324-f6e8-443a-af06-33639c5c9897_960x1280.jpeg

But it was in fact a dormitory for exchange students, one of which can even be seen speaking out on the incident here: [video in article]

While Russia is crushing the Ukrainian Armed Forces’ combat potential on the actual battlefield, desperate Zelensky is hiring “ISIS” to massacre Russian civilians, attacking Belgorod highrises with drones and artillery, and is literally loading up Cessnas with bombs and flying them into buildings with African exchange students—that’s the stage his putrid terrorist regime is now at. [more videos and pictures in original article]

...

But back to the Politico article, it has one last meaningful observation:

“Zaluzhny used to call it ‘the War of One Chance,’” one of the officers said. “By that, he meant weapons systems become redundant very quickly because they’re quickly countered by the Russians. For example, we used Storm Shadow and SCALP cruise missiles [supplied by Britain and France] successfully — but just for a short time. The Russians are always studying. They don’t give us a second chance. And they’re successful in this.”

“Don’t believe the hype about them just throwing troops into the meat grinder to be slaughtered,” he added. “They do that too, of course — maximizing even more the impact of their superior numbers — but they also learn and refine.”

MORE AT https://simplicius76.substack.com/p/sitrep-4324-zelensky-steps-closer

-----------
"It may be dangerous to be America's enemy, but to be America's friend is fatal." - Henry Kissinger

Why SECOND'S posts are brainless: "I clocked how much time: no more than 10 minutes per day. With cut-and-paste (Ctrl C and Ctrl V) and AI, none of this takes much time."
Or, any verification or thought.

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Thursday, April 4, 2024 9:13 PM

I believe in solving problems, not sharing them.

Quote:
Blinken Bombshell: "Ukraine Will Become A Member Of NATO"
Thursday, Apr 04, 2024 - 12:59 PM

Update(1600ET): Secretary of State Antony Blinken just dropped an ultra-provocative bombshell statement which is sure rile Moscow further. He told reporters Thursday in Brussels, where foreign ministers are meeting to prepare for the alliance's annual meeting in July: "Ukraine will become a member of NATO. Our purpose at the summit is to help build a bridge to that membership."

IMHO this is the WH promising Kiev NATO membership... in exchange for territorial concessions.
Again IMHO, not gonna happen.

-----------
"It may be dangerous to be America's enemy, but to be America's friend is fatal." - Henry Kissinger

Why SECOND'S posts are brainless: "I clocked how much time: no more than 10 minutes per day. With cut-and-paste (Ctrl C and Ctrl V) and AI, none of this takes much time."
Or, any verification or thought.

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Thursday, April 4, 2024 11:00 PM

The Joss Whedon script for Serenity, where Wash lives, is Serenity-190pages.pdf at https://www.mediafire.com/two

Quote:
Originally posted by SIGNYM:

IMHO this is the WH promising Kiev NATO membership... in exchange for territorial concessions.
Again IMHO, not gonna happen.

Because Ukraine taught Putin about the crippling Russian limitations that he had not comprehended, Putin was philosophical when Finland and Sweden joined NATO. He is afraid of what those two countries can do to Russia if provoked. He should have also been afraid of Ukraine. But since he foolishly started a fight believing it would be over in a few weeks, now Putin is stuck in a battle where there are no timeouts until one of the countries is beaten unconscious. There is no referee to stop the fight and the paying audience wants to see the bloody battle continue until Russia has gotten better sense beaten into it.

Mar 13, 2024 #Putin #Finland #NATO
President Vladimir Putin strongly opposed Finland and Sweden's potential entry into NATO. Putin labeled the move as "meaningless" from the perspective of the two countries' national interests. He warned that Russia would respond by deploying troops and military systems. Watch the video to know more.

The Joss Whedon script for Serenity, where Wash lives, is Serenity-190pages.pdf at
https://www.mediafire.com/folder/1uwh75oa407q8/Firefly

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Thursday, April 4, 2024 11:33 PM

I believe in solving problems, not sharing them.

Finland population 5.6 million.

Sweden population 10.6 million.

Ukraine population (before the war) 40 million.

And just for completeness

Latvia population 1.8 million

Estonia population 1.3 million

Lithuania population 2.7 million

I have a feeling Russia isn't terribly concerned about postage-stamp economies.

******

You still don't understand the nature of the fight. The USA and it's proxies think in terms of territory lost or gained. Russia OTOH thinks in terms of destroying the opponents' military. It's called "demilitarization". Russia is demilitarizing Ukraine and, to the extent that NATO members keep bleeding weapons into Ukraine, Russia is demilitarizing NATO. They're prepared - not only psychologically but also economically, diplomatically, and financially- to keep this up as long as the west does.

*****

I had to laugh over this one

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Friday, April 5, 2024 6:18 AM

The Joss Whedon script for Serenity, where Wash lives, is Serenity-190pages.pdf at https://www.mediafire.com/two

Russia has a labor shortage because Putin sent laborers to the Ukrainian meat grinder.

Russian President Vladimir Putin continues attempts to balance the Kremlin’s opposing efforts to set social expectations for a protracted Russian war effort and to assuage Russian society’s concerns about the economic consequences of the war and labor migration. Putin stated during a speech at the 12th Congress of the Federation of Independent Trade Unions of Russia in Moscow on April 4 that Russia will experience a high demand for human capital and face labor shortages in the coming years.[19] Putin stated that Russia’s future labor shortage is “absolutely certain” and that it is “critically important” for Russia to increase labor productivity and modernize and automate various economic sectors, such as industrial production, service industries, and the agro-industrial sphere. Putin stated that Russia does not “have much of a choice: either [Russia] needs to import labor from abroad or [Russia] needs to increase labor productivity.” Putin appears to be telling Russia‘s xenophobic ultra-nationalist community that Russia must continue to rely on migration to address Russia’s labor shortages, likely to signal to Russian ultranationalist constituents to stop their calls for anti-migrant policies, especially in the wake of the March 22 Crocus City Hall terror attack.[20] ISW previously assessed that anti-migrant policies could worsen Russian labor shortages and degrade Russia’s crypto-mobilization efforts and that Russian authorities are unlikely to fully give into ultranationalist xenophobic demands to drastically reduce – if not eliminate – immigration to Russia at the expense of Russia’s war effort and economic needs.[21]

https://www.understandingwar.org/backgrounder/russian-offensive-campai
gn-assessment-april-4-2024

The Joss Whedon script for Serenity, where Wash lives, is Serenity-190pages.pdf at
https://www.mediafire.com/folder/1uwh75oa407q8/Firefly

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Friday, April 5, 2024 6:22 AM

The Joss Whedon script for Serenity, where Wash lives, is Serenity-190pages.pdf at https://www.mediafire.com/two

Quote:
Originally posted by SIGNYM:
Finland population 5.6 million.

Sweden population 10.6 million.

Ukraine population (before the war) 40 million.

And just for completeness

Latvia population 1.8 million

Estonia population 1.3 million

Lithuania population 2.7 million

I have a feeling Russia isn't terribly concerned about postage-stamp economies.

******

You still don't understand the nature of the fight. The USA and it's proxies think in terms of territory lost or gained. Russia OTOH thinks in terms of destroying the opponents' military. It's called "demilitarization". Russia is demilitarizing Ukraine and, to the extent that NATO members keep bleeding weapons into Ukraine, Russia is demilitarizing NATO. They're prepared - not only psychologically but also economically, diplomatically, and financially- to keep this up as long as the west does.

Demilitarizing Ukraine? The Russians are not focusing their fury on the Army. The Russians destroy everything they can. The cost to fix what they bombed is $486 billion and rising.

"Rebuilding Ukraine's economy after Russia's invasion nearly two years ago is expected to cost $486 billion, 2.8 times its 2023 expected economic output, a new study by the World Bank, United Nations, European Commission and the Ukrainian government found."
https://www.reuters.com/world/europe/ukraine-needs-486-bln-recover-reb
uild-after-nearly-two-years-war-world-bank-2024-02-15/

Look back at WWII, Signym. The US bombed civilians in Japan. The first nukes could have been dropped on the Japanese Army if the USA strategy was "demilitarization". But civilians are easier targets not needing precision to destroy which is why Russians now, like the USA back then, also direct their explosives at them, their houses, their stores, their jobs, their electric power plants, and hydroelectric dams.

The Joss Whedon script for Serenity, where Wash lives, is Serenity-190pages.pdf at
https://www.mediafire.com/folder/1uwh75oa407q8/Firefly

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Friday, April 5, 2024 6:38 AM

The Joss Whedon script for Serenity, where Wash lives, is Serenity-190pages.pdf at https://www.mediafire.com/two

Is An Elite Russian Paratroop Division Still Elite When It Has 70-Year-Old T-55 Tanks?

That the 76th Guards Air Assault Division has no choice but to attack with T-55s should worry Russian leaders

https://www.forbes.com/sites/davidaxe/2024/04/04/is-an-elite-russian-p
aratroop-division-still-elite-when-it-has-70-year-old-t-55-tanks/?sh=15ffb0bd599e

A unit that was among the best in the Russian armed forces now deploys tanks that were obsolete 50 years ago—and which had been sitting in open storage for decades before the Russians began reactivating them last year in order to compensate for staggering losses of modern vehicles in Ukraine.

It’s more apparent than ever that Russian industry can’t produce enough modern vehicles to replace the roughly 400 tanks, fighting vehicles and howitzers it’s been losing every month this year. That’s a monthly rate of loss that’s a third higher than the loss-rate from September.

So, the Kremlin is pulling more and older vehicles out of long-term storage and assigning them to more units that once operated the best new equipment in the Russian inventory.

To be clear, that’s not the only option. The Kremlin could pause front-line attacks and gradually rebuild combat units with modern equipment operated by well-trained troops. It’s choosing, instead, to keep attacking—and send those units whatever hardware and people it can scrounge.

“Russia is constantly rebuilding its forces and trying to replace losses, including recruiting new personnel and creating new units and military districts,” Ukrainian analysis group Frontelligence Insight explained on Thursday. But that doesn’t mean the rebuilding brings forces back to their previous strength.

“We documented evidence of the replacement of T-72 tanks of various modifications with [1960s-vintage] T-62 and T-55s in at least one tank unit,” the group noted. “While we don't know the situation across all units, occasional videos of T-55 and T-62 in different areas suggest that this is not an isolated case.”

In a sense, the regiments, brigades and divisions getting 60-year-old T-62 and 70-year-old T-55s are the lucky ones.

According to open-source intelligence collective Oryx, Russian vehicle losses since the start of the wider invasion in February 2022 exceed 15,000, including nearly 2,900 tanks. That’s as many tanks as the Russian armed forces had in active service two years ago.

“Russia cannot replace such numbers within two years,” Frontelligence asserted. Russian factories build maybe 600 new tanks annually while also restoring a somewhat greater number of older tanks.

These replacements are too few, which explains why more Russian assaults involve totally unarmored civilian vehicles including, shockingly, Chinese-made Desertcross golf carts. “Armored losses are being replaced by civilian vehicles,” Frontelligence explained.

And even that is better than the alternative. The worst case for Russian units that they simply do without vehicles, as recently has happened around one eastern battleground city. “Russian forces are compelled to conduct infantry assaults against defense forces positions on the Bakhmut direction due to a lack of armored vehicles,” the Ukrainian Center for Defense Strategies noted on Thursday.

All that is to say, it should be apparent by now that Russia is expending military resources much faster than it can replenish them. And it’s not hard to figure out why.

“Once military aid has been significantly limited such that Ukrainian munition stocks become depleted, Russia intends to initiate further offensive operations to make significant—if slow—gains on the battlefield,” Jack Watling and Nick Reynolds, analysts with the Royal United Services Institute in London, predicted in a Feb. 13 report. “These gains are then intended to be used as leverage against Kyiv to force capitulation on Russian terms.”

That’s exactly what’s happening, seven weeks later. With Ukraine’s ammunition stocks desperately low—the inevitable consequence of the suspension of American aid—Russian leaders sense an opportunity to advance. Even if advancing is so costly that they must replace many of the modern vehicles they lose with much older vehicles or, worse, civilian vehicles.

Or much worse, simply not replace them at all.

In other words, for the Russians in Ukraine, it’s now or never. If the current offensive fails, the Americans finally vote for aid and the Ukrainians re-arm, the Russians might discover they’ve spent their army—and no longer have any speedy way to restore it as the Ukrainians regain the initiative.

The Joss Whedon script for Serenity, where Wash lives, is Serenity-190pages.pdf at
https://www.mediafire.com/folder/1uwh75oa407q8/Firefly

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Friday, April 5, 2024 1:22 PM

I believe in solving problems, not sharing them.

Quote:
Originally posted by SIGNYM:
Finland population 5.6 million.

Sweden population 10.6 million.

Ukraine population (before the war) 40 million.

And just for completeness

Latvia population 1.8 million

Estonia population 1.3 million

Lithuania population 2.7 million

I have a feeling Russia isn't terribly concerned about postage-stamp economies.

******

You still don't understand the nature of the fight. The USA and it's proxies think in terms of territory lost or gained. Russia OTOH thinks in terms of destroying the opponents' military. It's called "demilitarization". Russia is demilitarizing Ukraine and, to the extent that NATO members keep bleeding weapons into Ukraine, Russia is demilitarizing NATO. They're prepared - not only psychologically but also economically, diplomatically, and financially- to keep this up as long as the west does.

SECOND: Demilitarizing Ukraine? The Russians are not focusing their fury on the Army. The Russians destroy everything they can. The cost to fix what they bombed is $486 billion and rising.

A) Russians aren't striking with "fury". They have a plan. And despite Kiev striking civilian centers in Donetsk, Belgorod region, and deep in Russia, they don't respond tit for tat.

B) They hit locations with military significance.

On the line of contact, that means ... everything, since any high rise can be used as a communication center, anti-tank position etc, and any building can be used as shelter. If you watched Military Summary channel, you would hear the description ...

"reduced to rubble" ...

quite often. That is on the line of contact which, fortunately (and by design) doesn't move very far.

Behind the front lines they focus on trenches, tree lines, local depots, troop concentrations, individual artillery pieces and vehicles (armored or otherwise), drone operator positons etc.

In the deep rear, Russians focus on command centers, fuel and munitions depots, troop concentrations (even if in hotels), port facilities (used to bring in western weapons), railway nodes, and -lately- electric power plants. Since Kiev tries to limit pictures of the damage and power plants usually aren't visible from the street, this may not be much to go on, but I've seen two pictures of destroyed control rooms, one from a hydroelectric plant and one from a thermal generating station. Two out of a dozen or so isn't enough to establish a pattern, but I wonder whether the Russians are focusing on control rooms but avoiding the generatinf units themselves.

They don't focus on apartment buildings, civilian administration centers, food markets, hotels etc unless they're used for military purposes.

Again, I get this from Military Summary channel, which is hardly pro-Russian, and posts videos of everything they can find.

-----------
"It may be dangerous to be America's enemy, but to be America's friend is fatal." - Henry Kissinger

Why SECOND'S posts are brainless: "I clocked how much time: no more than 10 minutes per day. With cut-and-paste (Ctrl C and Ctrl V) and AI, none of this takes much time."
Or, any verification or thought.

NOTIFY: Y | REPLY | REPLY WITH QUOTE | TOP | HOME

Sunday, April 7, 2024 6:31 AM

The Joss Whedon script for Serenity, where Wash lives, is Serenity-190pages.pdf at https://www.mediafire.com/two

Quote:
Originally posted by SIGNYM:

A) Russians aren't striking with "fury". They have a plan. And despite Kiev striking civilian centers in Donetsk, Belgorod region, and deep in Russia, they don't respond tit for tat.

B) They hit locations with military significance.

On the line of contact, that means ... everything, since any high rise can be used as a communication center, anti-tank position etc, and any building can be used as shelter. If you watched Military Summary channel, you would hear the description ...

When Russians verbally assault the Happiest Country on Earth, the Russians reveal who they really are deep inside themselves.
The Happiest Countries in the World in 2024
https://www.cntraveler.com/gallery/happiest-countries-in-the-world-202
4

The Russian Ministry of Foreign Affairs (MFA) continues to threaten Finland and claimed that Finland has “lost its independence in making foreign policy decisions” since its accession to NATO — a narrative that the Kremlin routinely used to falsely claim that NATO was controlling Ukraine and using Ukraine to threaten Russia.

Russian Ambassador to Finland Pavel Kuznetsov stated during an interview with Kremlin newswire TASS on April 6 that Finland is on a “destructive course” in its relationship with Russia and that Finland’s accession to NATO is making the Baltic region a “zone of potential escalation.”[23]

Kuznetsov threatened Finland and the NATO alliance broadly, claiming that Russia would have to respond to a buildup of NATO material and manpower or the deployment of a nuclear weapon in Finland and that Russia’s response would be “adequate but not necessarily symmetrical.” Kuznetsov claimed that Finland has joined the “party of war until victory over Russia” by joining NATO and accused perceived Finnish “Russophobia” of causing a complete breakdown of the Russian-Finnish relationship. Kuznetsov insinuated that Finland has no option but to improve its relationship with Russia, given that “we can’t escape geography," but blamed Finland unilaterally for the poor state of Russian–Finnish relations, despite the artificial migrant crisis that Russia created on the Russian–Finnish border in fall 2023 and repeated Russian threats against Finland and the wider NATO alliance.[24]

ISW continues to assess that Russian threats against NATO member states are aimed at leading the West to deter itself and that Russian claims of imagined threats originating from NATO are aimed at setting informational conditions to justify and support an envisioned long-term geopolitical confrontation with the West.[25]

https://www.understandingwar.org/backgrounder/russian-offensive-campai
gn-assessment-april-6-2024

The Joss Whedon script for Serenity, where Wash lives, is Serenity-190pages.pdf at
https://www.mediafire.com/folder/1uwh75oa407q8/Firefly

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Sunday, April 7, 2024 7:57 PM

Ukraine War News With The Enforcer (Day 773)

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Monday, April 8, 2024 12:45 AM