REAL WORLD EVENT DISCUSSIONS

Russia Invades Ukraine. Again

POSTED BY: CAPTAINCRUNCH
UPDATED: Thursday, October 31, 2024 13:46
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Monday, October 28, 2024 5:07 AM

SECOND

The Joss Whedon script for Serenity, where Wash lives, is Serenity-190pages.pdf at https://www.mediafire.com/two


Russia works around international sanctions designed to cripple the economy amid war with Ukraine

60-minutes By Sharyn Alfonsi

October 27, 2024 / 7:45 PM EDT / CBS News

https://www.cbsnews.com/news/russia-works-around-international-sanctio
ns-amid-war-with-ukraine-60-minutes-transcript
/

When Russia invaded Ukraine it sparked international outrage. It also triggered a wave of international sanctions designed to cripple Russia's economy so badly...it couldn't fight the war.

And yet…two-and-a-half years later, the fighting continues and the International Monetary Fund predicts, this year, Russia's economy will grow over 3%. More than the U.S. and Europe.

The architect behind the United States sanction strategy is Daleep Singh - the deputy national security advisor for international economics at the White House.

We first interviewed him in the weeks after the 2022 invasion…when he told us he expected a barrage of sanctions to bring Russia's economy to its knees.

Earlier this month, we went to Washington to ask Daleep Singh about those early predictions of a nosedive.…and he told us something we don't hear very often on 60 Minutes.

Daleep Singh: So let's be-- let's be honest. This is not the nosedive that I predicted two years ago.

The Joss Whedon script for Serenity, where Wash lives, is Serenity-190pages.pdf at https://www.mediafire.com/two

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Tuesday, October 29, 2024 5:36 AM

SECOND

The Joss Whedon script for Serenity, where Wash lives, is Serenity-190pages.pdf at https://www.mediafire.com/two


The Kremlin had dismissed the allegations as "fake news," while a North Korean representative to the United Nations called the reports "groundless." What allegations?

On Monday, NATO Secretary General Mark Rutte said he could confirm that North Korean troops have been sent to Russia, and that North Korean military units have been deployed to the Kursk region.

https://www.msn.com/en-us/news/world/kursk-videos-show-ukrainian-bradl
ey-abrams-engage-russian-tanks/ar-AA1t4Ah2


The Joss Whedon script for Serenity, where Wash lives, is Serenity-190pages.pdf at https://www.mediafire.com/two

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Tuesday, October 29, 2024 6:30 AM

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The Joss Whedon script for Serenity, where Wash lives, is Serenity-190pages.pdf at https://www.mediafire.com/two


Ukrainians are scamming Russians out of their life savings in an underground operation that steals money from Moscow’s citizens and donates it directly to Kyiv’s military.

In call centers throughout Ukraine, the operation, known as “the Office,” equips workers with a headset, computer program, and the phone numbers of Russians.

Until Feb. 24, 2022, in Ukraine, the Office focused its scam on targets in Western countries like the U.S. as well as various European Union-based companies. In the aftermath of Russia’s invasion, it shifted all of its work onto Russian civilians. The fraud begins with the victim receiving a call purportedly from a phone company seeking a payment, and ends with all of the money in their victims’ bank accounts being drained.

According to the Global Initiative Against Transnational Crime (GI-TOC), there may be thousands of scam call centers throughout Ukraine as examples of “patriotic criminals” — pro-Ukrainian criminals that are working to support Kyiv’s war efforts — which have proliferated since the invasion.

More at https://www.thedailybeast.com/ukrainian-criminal-network-takes-vengean
ce-on-putins-people
/

The Joss Whedon script for Serenity, where Wash lives, is Serenity-190pages.pdf at https://www.mediafire.com/two

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Tuesday, October 29, 2024 3:17 PM

SECOND

The Joss Whedon script for Serenity, where Wash lives, is Serenity-190pages.pdf at https://www.mediafire.com/two


The US Army may have the answer to the bogged-down bloodbath warfare of Ukraine
A way of striking deep past enemy front lines which might just work

David Axe | 29 October 2024 2:19pm GMT

https://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2024/10/29/ukraine-war-positional-att
ritional-airborne-tiltrotor-101st
/

Photo of Soldiers of the US Army's 101st Airborne Division carrying out a helicopter-borne assault in Afghanistan, 2008. Such operations would be suicide in a war like that in Ukraine today

The US Army won’t take delivery of its first new tiltrotor assault craft until 2030. But it’s already writing new doctrine for the speedy, far-flying Bell V-280 Valor. If it works in practice, this doctrine could solve one of the Army’s most serious battlefield problems: how to break through stiff enemy defences. Both Russia and Ukraine have struggled to do this in their ongoing war, and while many Western soldiers have argued that’s because they’re doing it wrong, it seems at least possible that traditional Blitzkrieg style land assaults have become less effective in the age of the drone and the “cautious tank”.

With the V-280, which takes off and lands like a helicopter but cruises like an aeroplane thanks to its pivoting rotors, the Army could simply bypass the defences – and land thousands of troops hundreds of miles away in the span of one night.

Major General Brett Sylvia is commander of the 101st Airborne Division. This was once a force of paratroopers but today it is the US Army’s specialist helicopter-borne assault formation. The general revealed the new doctrine at an industry event in Washington DC earlier this month.

“We can’t actually do the large-scale, long-range air assault today,” Sylvia said, “because the platforms that we have organic to the 101st are not enough in order for us to be able to do that in one period of darkness.”


Today, the 101st Airborne Division has around 50 UH-60 Black Hawk assault helicopters and 30 CH-47 Chinook heavy lift helicopters. A UH-60 can haul a squad of 11 infantry 300 miles. A CH-47 can move a platoon of 40 nearly the same distance. But both helicopters are slow, with a cruising speed no faster than 180 miles per hour.

That weighs on the 101st Airborne Division’s reach. In one recent war game, the division moved one of its three brigades – around 3,000 troops – more than 500 miles. But the simulated operation required nearly a thousand support troops to set up refuelling points, and took three nights.

Sylvia wants to do better. He wants to move a brigade the same distance, but in one night. And once V-280s start arriving, it should be possible. Sylvia said he’s “incredibly optimistic.” After all, a V-280 can carry 14 troops nearly a thousand miles at a cruising speed faster than 300 miles per hour.

As a bonus, the 101st is set to replace all its UH-60s with V-280s – and then some. Where today’s 101st has just 30 or so rotorcraft that qualify as “heavy lift,” with V-280s it’ll have four times that number, Sylvia said. The basic idea, it seems, is for each V-280 in the division’s future inventory to make at least two round-trips in one night in order to transport a whole brigade.

There’s another key advantage for the V-280. Fully loaded normal helicopters generally can’t fly very high. They are within reach of even light shoulder-fired anti-aircraft missiles all the time, and in some cases they have also been brought down by drones: for this reason, helicopters of both sides generally avoid going anywhere near the front line in Ukraine. Chinooks can get high enough to be out of reach of many missiles, but only at the cost of reducing their load.

The V-280, however, when flying in aeroplane mode, will be able to get a lot higher. It still won’t be able to fly near heavy, long-ranging missile launchers in any safety, but it will be safe from lighter types.

To take advantage of the new tiltrotor, the air assault division is rewriting its logistics plans. If it went to war today, the 101st would try to capture an enemy airfield and use that as its main base for an assault deep behind enemy lines. But that base would be vulnerable to enemy counterattack. So Sylvia’s staff has been hashing out new schemes that spread support troops across a larger number of small refueling points that should be harder for the enemy to detect.

Flying farther and faster with more troops compared to a UH-60, the V-280 could take some of the pressure off the spread-out support troops. If the 101st Airborne Division can match equipment with doctrine and training, it should be able to move thousands of troops hundreds of miles between sunset and sunrise, combining mass, mobility and surprise in a way that could throw an entrenched enemy off-balance. US Army tank brigades could attack from the near side at the same time 101st Division troops attack from the far side.

That should help the Army solve the dilemma currently plaguing Ukrainian forces. Lacking a major air-assault capability, the Ukrainians have just one way of breaking through Russian defences: a frontal ground assault.

But mines, artillery and all-seeing, ever-present drones have made these assaults practically suicidal.
It’s not for no reason that Ukrainian commanders measure their biggest battlefield advances in single miles. And those are rare. Most battles in Russia’s 32-month wider war on Ukraine are “attritional” and “positional.” That is, the front line barely budges. The winner is the side that loses the fewest troops and vehicles.

The US Army hasn’t fought that way in many decades – and has no appetite to. It craves mobility. The V-280 could be just the thing to keep the Army’s main air assault formation moving.

The Joss Whedon script for Serenity, where Wash lives, is Serenity-190pages.pdf at https://www.mediafire.com/two

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Wednesday, October 30, 2024 6:44 AM

SECOND

The Joss Whedon script for Serenity, where Wash lives, is Serenity-190pages.pdf at https://www.mediafire.com/two


The rate of Russian advances in Ukraine has increased in recent weeks but remains slow and consistent with positional warfare rather than with rapid mechanized maneuver—emphasizing how generally stagnant Russian advances have been after over two and half years of war. Recent Western reporting linking the Russian rate of advance in September 2024 with Russian advances at the start of the war is highly misleading.[1] ISW assesses that Russian forces advanced at an average rate of 1,265 square kilometers per day in March 2022—roughly 90 times the roughly 14 square kilometers that ISW calculates that Russian forces have taken per day in September 2024. Rapid Russian advances deep into Ukrainian territory, including the temporary seizure of large portions of Kyiv, Chernihiv, Sumy, and Kharkiv oblasts characterized the first month of the Russian full-scale invasion, whereas more recent Russian advances have been characterized by small-scale, localized, tactical advances.[2] Russian forces have been making gains in eastern Ukraine recently, but comparing those gains to the initial deep Russian penetration into Ukraine at the start of the war misleadingly frames these most recent advances. For example, Russian forces seized the settlement of Vuhledar as of October 1, 2024, have continued to advance north and northwest of Vuhledar, and have made significant tactical gains in and near Selydove (southeast of Pokrovsk) over the course of the past week.[3] These respective advances are tactically significant but do not represent a general increase in the pace of Russian advances across the frontline, much of which remains relatively stagnant, nor are they within two orders of magnitude of the rate of Russian advance in the first stage of the war.[4] The current rate of Russian advances is consistent, rather, with ISW's recent assessment that the Russian command has likely ordered Russian forces to significantly increase their tempo of mechanized attacks throughout the theater before the full onset of muddy ground conditions in the fall months.[5]

https://www.understandingwar.org/backgrounder/russian-offensive-campai
gn-assessment-october-29-2024


The Joss Whedon script for Serenity, where Wash lives, is Serenity-190pages.pdf at https://www.mediafire.com/two

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Wednesday, October 30, 2024 7:04 AM

SECOND

The Joss Whedon script for Serenity, where Wash lives, is Serenity-190pages.pdf at https://www.mediafire.com/two


In Toretsk, Ukrainian Engineers Are Demolishing Entire Buildings Filled With Russian Troops

The strategy is brutal but effective: wreck the city in order to save it.

David Axe | Oct 29, 2024, 06:10pm EDT

https://www.forbes.com/sites/davidaxe/2024/10/29/in-toretsk-ukrainian-
engineers-are-demolishing-entire-buildings-filled-with-russian-troops
/

The Joss Whedon script for Serenity, where Wash lives, is Serenity-190pages.pdf at https://www.mediafire.com/two

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Thursday, October 31, 2024 8:05 AM

SECOND

The Joss Whedon script for Serenity, where Wash lives, is Serenity-190pages.pdf at https://www.mediafire.com/two


The Kremlin is reportedly struggling to prepare for the September 2026 Russian State Duma elections campaign due to uncertainty about the course of the war in Ukraine, suggesting that the Kremlin is not confident that Russia will be able to win the war over the next two years. Russian opposition outlet Meduza reported on October 30 that Presidential Administration First Deputy Head Sergei Kiriyenko has not started to plan the "contours" of the 2026 Duma elections even though the Kremlin usually does so two years in advance of the elections.[8] A source close to the Presidential Administration told Meduza that the Duma elections’ policy framing depends on whether the war in Ukraine will continue in 2026. Meduza reported that a source within United Russia's leadership stated that it is unclear if United Russia's 2026 campaign should feature military personnel or a person who "symbolizes a return to peaceful life," such as Prime Minister Mikhail Mishustin. A political strategist who works with the Kremlin and several regional governments reportedly stated that if the war continues during the 2026 election campaign season, then the Kremlin will need "a force that leans on ultra-patriotism," such as an entirely new political party or a "slightly updated" A Just Russia party. The source stated that if the war ends, then the Kremlin will need "moderate forces." A Just Russia notably held a congress on October 26 and announced that its new political course will be "patriotic socialism," which the party described as necessary during Russia's war in Ukraine and "firmly based on the great achievements of Russian civilization and the most important condition for [Russia's] further development."[9]

https://www.understandingwar.org/backgrounder/russian-offensive-campai
gn-assessment-october-30-2024


The Joss Whedon script for Serenity, where Wash lives, is Serenity-190pages.pdf at https://www.mediafire.com/two

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Thursday, October 31, 2024 1:46 PM

THG


T

Russians, Russians Everywhere


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