Russia Invades Ukraine. Again by captaincrunch

REAL WORLD EVENT DISCUSSIONS

Russia Invades Ukraine. Again

POSTED BY: CAPTAINCRUNCH
UPDATED: Sunday, June 14, 2026 09:16
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Thursday, June 11, 2026 10:42 AM

Keep it real please, and use a VPN

Quote:
Originally posted by SIGNYM:
Quote:
Originally posted by THG:
Quote:
Originally posted by SIGNYM:
Quote:
Originally posted by THG:
EV's are looking better, now that Trump has the cost of gas going through the roof.

Until rates for electricity go up.

AFA Russian logistics across "the front" collapsing...

• Crimea is not "the front". Ukies have made life more difficult for the civilian population in Crimea, but that hasn't stopped Russia from moving forward across the entire front, including in the south.

• If drone attacks on roads and bridges were enough to collapse an army, Kiev would have collapsed two years ago. Ukraine's "drone wars" are irritating but not strategic.

It does look as if Ukraine is planning some sort of media incursion, sending in a relatively small contingent as deep as possible to video themselves planting flags. They'll be wiped out, just like the Kursk offensive, the 2023 southern offensive, and the ridiculous plays for Rabotyn and Krynky were wiped out

Yes, electric costs could be a problem. However, the American voter can insist that these large data centers have to provide their own power. Too late to help us but building them in the low temperature of space may be the best way forward. Cooling the chips is a lot of the problem. And they are having some success dealing with that.

As for the rest of your post regarding Ukraine; wrong. You, are heading for a major clash with reality.

The way I understand it, THGR, is that Russian military staff and policy planners view the SMO as a series of related probabilistic differential equations. Everything happens at a rate, each with its error band:

Russia marches forward at a certain rate.
Russian loses military and economic capability at a certain rate.
Ukraine loses at a certain rate.
EU economies decline at a certain rate.
USA weapons stockpiles are used up at a certain rate, and produced at a (lower) rate.
Popular opinion changes at a certain rate.

Some rates are linear, some are higher order, occasionally they experience a step change, like the introduction of new technology like drones or the change of a particular government or the opening of a new front.

I don't have information needed to make accurate predictions. But this is war, and losses are inevitable on both sides. The question is, who is losing more faster? AFAIK it's Ukraine and the EU.

-----------

"It may be dangerous to be America's enemy, but to be America's friend is fatal."- Henry Kissinger

Until the very end, you'll deny the facts, reality. Trust me, that day is coming, and soon.

T

Russian troops begin withdrawal as supply chain strikes leave Putin's troops without water

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Thursday, June 11, 2026 1:08 PM

THG

Keep it real please, and use a VPN

You cannot win an argument comrade signym if your facts are wrong. The truth will prevail.

T

"What A Million Casualties Bought

The final column in the ledger is territory, and it is the shortest. Four years of war, more than a million casualties by every serious estimate, the named graves of 200,000 men, 14,000 confirmed armored vehicles, a third of the strategic bomber fleet, and the flagship of the Black Sea Fleet have purchased Russia roughly a fifth of Ukraine — much of it rubble, none of it secure, and all of it costing more each month to hold than it returns."

Russia Russia Russia>

Every method of counting Russia’s Ukraine war dead now points to the same staggering conclusion

For most of this war, the honest answer to the question of Russian losses was that nobody outside the Kremlin knew, and the Kremlin was not saying. Ukraine's daily tallies ran high by design, Moscow published almost nothing, and Western intelligence kept its estimates classified or vague.

That era is ending. As of this spring, four independent counting methods — name-by-name verification, statistical demography, photographic confirmation, and Western intelligence assessment — are converging on the same range, and the range is staggering: well over a million Russian casualties, with the dead alone numbering in the hundreds of thousands.

For most of this war, the honest answer to the question of Russian losses was that nobody outside the Kremlin knew, and the Kremlin was not saying. Ukraine's daily tallies ran high by design, Moscow published almost nothing, and Western intelligence kept its estimates classified or vague.

That era is ending. As of this spring, four independent counting methods — name-by-name verification, statistical demography, photographic confirmation, and Western intelligence assessment — are converging on the same range, and the range is staggering: well over a million Russian casualties, with the dead alone numbering in the hundreds of thousands.

The numbers can now be laid out method by method, domain by domain, and the picture they form is the most expensive military campaign any country has waged since the Second World War.

How The Counting Works: Mediazona, Oryx, And Western Intelligence
Every figure in this accounting belongs to one of four evidence tiers, and the tiers matter more than any single number.

The floor is name-by-name confirmation: the Russian independent outlet Mediazona, working with the BBC's Russian service, verifies individual deaths through obituaries, cemetery records, and official notices, a method that undercounts by design because many deaths never surface publicly. One tier up sits statistical estimation, in which Mediazona and Meduza analyze Russian probate filings and excess-mortality data to estimate total deaths that the naming method misses. The third tier is photographic: the open-source project Oryx logs every tank, vehicle, aircraft, and gun for which destruction can be visually documented, another deliberate undercount since cameras miss much of a thousand-kilometer front. The ceiling is the claims tier, Ukraine's General Staff daily figures, which run far above every other method and serve best as an upper bound.

Russian Casualties: From 200,000 Named Dead To Half A Million Killed
The evidence stack now runs, tier by tier, as follows: more than 200,000 individually identified Russian dead as of February by the Mediazona-BBC verification count; 352,000 Russian men between 18 and 59 estimated killed in Mediazona and Meduza's May statistical update; roughly 1.2 million permanent losses including more than 500,000 dead in the April assessment of the Netherlands' military intelligence service; nearly 500,000 killed per the head of Britain's GCHQ, Anne Keast-Butler, in May; 1.1 to 1.5 million total killed and wounded in The Economist's mid-May estimate; and 1.2 million casualties including 325,000 dead by the Wall Street Journal's reckoning — all compiled in Harvard's weekly war report card, which has tracked the estimates since the invasion began.

The tempo behind the totals explains them. Officials tracking the war estimate Russia took 430,000 casualties in 2024 and another 415,000 in 2025 — more than a thousand men per day, sustained across two full years.

The Soviet Union lost roughly 15,000 dead across an entire decade in Afghanistan, a toll that helped unravel the state; Russia now absorbs losses on that scale in a matter of weeks and continues recruiting through wages, prison releases, and, since late 2024, North Korean troops.

However, the final accounting settles, the conclusion no longer depends on which tier you trust: every method, including the most conservative, now puts the Russian dead above any war the country has fought since 1945.

Tanks And Armor: 14,000 Confirmed Lost, Soviet Stockpiles Drained
The armor ledger shows the same gap between floor and ceiling, with a floor that has become damaged on its own. Oryx's photograph-by-photograph count stands at roughly 14,000 Russian tanks and armored vehicles destroyed, damaged, or captured, within a confirmed total of about 23,500 pieces of military equipment of all types. Ukraine's General Staff claims run higher: 11,920 tanks alone, plus 24,541 armored combat vehicles, along with more than 95,000 trucks and fuel vehicles. Even the visually confirmed floor exceeds the active tank force Russia brought to the war in February 2022, which is why the army that once paraded T-90s now sends refurbished T-62s and T-55s pulled from Soviet-era open-air storage toward the front.

The Harvard report card recently flagged a methodological wrinkle that belongs in any honest accounting: Oryx revised some totals downward this spring without a published explanation, and careful aggregators withheld the updated figures pending clarification.

The episode cuts in the project's favor — a count that gets audited and corrected is worth more than one that only climbs — and the corrected floor remains above 14,000 armored hulls. Russian industry offsets some of the bleeding, with production and refurbishment claims of more than a thousand tanks per year, but the storage yards that feed the refurbishment lines are visibly emptying in satellite imagery, and the trade of modern armor for museum stock has run in only one direction.

Artillery, Air Defense, And The Arsenal That Fed The War
The same General Staff accounting puts Russian artillery losses at 41,712 systems, along with 1,780 multiple-launch rocket systems and 1,371 air-defense systems. The claims tier deserves its usual discount, and the artillery figure in particular outruns photographic confirmation by a wide margin.

Nonetheless, the direction is corroborated by the battlefield itself: the gun duels of 2022 and 2023, in which Russian batteries fired tens of thousands of shells daily, gave way to a drone-dominated front precisely because both sides' tube artillery was ground down and Russia's barrel production could not keep pace.

The air-defense losses carry a different significance, since every S-300 and S-400 battery destroyed in Ukraine or in the deep-strike campaign against Russian territory is a system not defending Moscow, a fact the past year's drone penetrations of Leningrad and the capital region have made plain.

Aircraft: Operation Spiderweb And A Third Of The Bomber Fleet
The air ledger was transformed in a single morning. On June 1 of last year, Ukraine's SBU launched 117 truck-smuggled drones against four Russian air bases in Operation Spiderweb, claiming 41 aircraft destroyed or damaged for roughly $7 billion, including Tu-95 and Tu-22M3 bombers, Tu-160s, and A-50 radar aircraft, with satellite imagery independently confirming 13 destroyed airframes at the Belaya and Olenya bases and NATO assessing the strike disabled about a third of Russia's strategic aviation.

The claims-versus-confirmation discipline applies here too: Ukraine's own General Staff initially logged 12 aircraft in its daily count while the SBU claimed 41, a spread that says the truth sits between the satellite floor and the agency ceiling. The analysis is brutal at any number in that range, because the bombers are irreplaceable — Soviet-era platforms no longer in production, with no realistic path to restoration. A fleet that mattered to Russia's nuclear signaling and its cruise-missile terror campaign against Ukrainian cities shrank by something between a tenth and a third in one day, permanently.

Across the wider war, Ukraine claims hundreds of additional fixed-wing aircraft and helicopters, with Oryx confirming a substantial fraction. The pattern repeats from the armor ledger: the floor alone represents the worst attrition any major air force has suffered since the mid-twentieth century.

The Black Sea Fleet: From The Moskva To Exile In Novorossiysk
The naval chapter is the cleanest of all, because warships sink in public. The cruiser Moskva, flagship of the Black Sea Fleet, went down in April 2022 after Ukrainian Neptune missiles struck her off Odesa, the largest warship lost in combat in four decades. What followed was stranger: a country whose navy amounted to a handful of old patrol boats used sea drones and missiles to sink or damage a substantial share of the fleet and drive the survivors out of Sevastopol entirely, relocating eastward to Novorossiysk and abandoning the blockade mission that was the fleet's reason for existing.

This spring's strike on a corvette in dry dock at Kronstadt, in the Gulf of Finland, extended the reach of that campaign to Russia's second fleet. Russia began this war with naval mastery of the Black Sea and now exercises sea control over little beyond its own harbors.

Ukraine's Losses And The Regeneration Question

An honest ledger includes the other column. CSIS assessed in January that Ukraine suffered 500,000 to 600,000 casualties through December 2025, including 100,000 to 140,000 killed, and that Russian losses run roughly two to two and a half times Ukraine's. Those are catastrophic numbers for a nation a quarter the size of Russia, and they explain Kyiv's manpower crisis as fully as the Russian figures explain Moscow's recruitment economics.

Furthermore, Russia regenerates: monthly contract recruitment in the tens of thousands, the prison pipeline, North Korean formations, and a defense industry running on war footing have so far replaced men and machines fast enough to keep the offensives coming. Losses of this scale have degraded the Russian army's quality, gutted its junior officer corps, and stripped its modern equipment, yet they have not broken it, and any analysis claiming imminent collapse has been wrong for four consecutive years.

What A Million Casualties Bought

The final column in the ledger is territory, and it is the shortest. Four years of war, more than a million casualties by every serious estimate, the named graves of 200,000 men, 14,000 confirmed armored vehicles, a third of the strategic bomber fleet, and the flagship of the Black Sea Fleet have purchased Russia roughly a fifth of Ukraine — much of it rubble, none of it secure, and all of it costing more each month to hold than it returns.

About the Author: Harry J. Kazianis

Harry J. Kazianis (@Grecianformula) was the former Senior Director of National Security Affairs at the Center for the National Interest (CFTNI), a foreign policy think tank founded by Richard Nixon based in Washington, DC. Harry has over a decade of experience in think tanks and national security publishing. His ideas have been published in the NY Times, The Washington Post, The Wall Street Journal, CNN, and many other outlets worldwide. He has held positions at CSIS, the Heritage Foundation, the University of Nottingham, and several other institutions related to national security research and studies. He is the former Executive Editor of the National Interest and the Diplomat. He holds a Master's degree focusing on international affairs from Harvard University.

Please follow National Security Journal on MSN for the latest news in defense, foreign policy, economics, and politics with a bipartisan twist.

https://www.msn.com/en-us/news/world/every-method-of-counting-russia-s
-ukraine-war-dead-now-points-to-the-same-staggering-conclusion/ar-AA25oux7?

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Thursday, June 11, 2026 4:50 PM

SECOND

The Joss Whedon script for Serenity, where Wash lives, is Serenity-190pages.pdf at https://www.mediafire.com/two

Cheap Death:

Ukraine's drone chief reveals how much it costs to eliminate one Russian soldier

By Daryna Vialko | Thu, June 11, 2026 - 19:42

Ukraine’s Unmanned Systems Forces accounted for one-third of Russian military losses over the past year. The cost of eliminating a single soldier is less than $1,000, Commander of Ukraine’s Unmanned Systems Forces Robert "Madyar" Brovdi said in an interview with Reuters.

He said that the average cost of eliminating one Russian soldier over the past year was approximately $918.

More at https://newsukraine.rbc.ua/news/ukraine-s-drone-chief-reveals-how-much
-it-1781195869.html

The Joss Whedon script for Serenity, where Wash lives, is Serenity-190pages.pdf at https://www.mediafire.com/two

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Friday, June 12, 2026 7:11 AM

SECOND

The Joss Whedon script for Serenity, where Wash lives, is Serenity-190pages.pdf at https://www.mediafire.com/two

The Russian Ministry of Defense (MoD) continues to fabricate evidence as part of its cognitive warfare effort to support false claims of advance.

The Russian MoD posted footage on June 11, which it claimed showed elements of the Russian 126th Motorized Rifle Regiment (71st Guards Motorized Rifle Division, 14th Army Corps [AC], Leningrad Military District [LMD]) seizing Okhrimivka (northeast of Kharkiv City).[22] A local Kharkiv Oblast Telegram channel pointed out on June 11 that the official Russian Northern Grouping of Forces (GoF) Telegram channel had posted the same footage on June 10, claiming that it showed Russian forces striking Ukrainian forces near Ruska Lozova (just north of Kharkiv City and roughly 66 kilometers from Okhrimivka).[23]

Russia has increased the sophistication of its cognitive warfare effort over the last several months, producing more complex montages with high-production editing and using artificial intelligence (AI) footage to make claims of advance in areas where Russian forces do not maintain enduring positions.[24]

These videos are part of the Kremlin’s systematic cognitive warfare effort to aggrandize Russian advances through exaggerated claims of gains and infiltration missions in an attempt to portray them as a sweeping, broad-front advance to falsely portray the frontline as collapsing across the theater, contrary to all available evidence.[25]

https://understandingwar.org/research/russia-ukraine/russian-offensive
-campaign-assessment-june-11-2026/

The Joss Whedon script for Serenity, where Wash lives, is Serenity-190pages.pdf at https://www.mediafire.com/two

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Friday, June 12, 2026 7:18 AM

SECOND

The Joss Whedon script for Serenity, where Wash lives, is Serenity-190pages.pdf at https://www.mediafire.com/two

Europe can legally quit Russian LNG today. It keeps choosing not to.

Since October, every long-term buyer has had legal cover to walk away from Russian LNG. Only Germany has even asked.

Russian LNG is still flowing. The EU paid Russia €7.2 billion for it in 2025—enough to fund nearly three times Russia's 2024–2025 Iskander-M ballistic missile contract.

For Ukrainians, this reality is painfully tangible: every euro of revenues from Russian fossil fuel exports is transformed into drones and missiles that strike our cities and civilians.

By Kateryna Kontsur
11/06/2026

https://euromaidanpress.com/2026/06/11/europe-says-it-almost-broke-fro
m-russian-fossil-fuels-the-almost-is-lng/

The Joss Whedon script for Serenity, where Wash lives, is Serenity-190pages.pdf at https://www.mediafire.com/two

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Friday, June 12, 2026 10:19 AM

SECOND

The Joss Whedon script for Serenity, where Wash lives, is Serenity-190pages.pdf at https://www.mediafire.com/two

Frontline soldiers set for major pay increase under new Ukrainian army plan

June 12, 2026, 07:50 AM

Ukrainian service members will begin receiving higher compensation under a planned military pay reform, with frontline infantry expected to earn an average of UAH 300,000 ($6,670) per month and rear-area personnel receiving at least UAH 30,000 ($670), President Volodymyr Zelenskyy said on June 12.

https://english.nv.ua/russian-war/ukraine-to-raise-military-pay-frontl
ine-infantry-to-receive-uah-300-000-zelenskyy-says-50615740.html

The Joss Whedon script for Serenity, where Wash lives, is Serenity-190pages.pdf at https://www.mediafire.com/two

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Friday, June 12, 2026 10:31 AM

SECOND

The Joss Whedon script for Serenity, where Wash lives, is Serenity-190pages.pdf at https://www.mediafire.com/two

Next step for drone warfare in Ukraine

Scientists have trained 200,000 human brain cells grown on a microchip to "play" the original Doom. “If the neurons fire in a specific pattern, Doomguy shoots. If they fire in another pattern, he moves right, and so on."

“We grew a human brain fused to a computer, sent it to a digital rendition of Hell, and gave it a gun.”

https://www.reddit.com/r/TwoBestFriendsPlay/comments/1rk7e7t/we_grew_l
ife_in_a_dish_and_taught_it_to_play_doom/

The Joss Whedon script for Serenity, where Wash lives, is Serenity-190pages.pdf at https://www.mediafire.com/two

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Friday, June 12, 2026 11:34 AM

THG

Keep it real please, and use a VPN

tick tock tick tock...

T

RUSSIAN Lights Out

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Friday, June 12, 2026 11:34 AM

SECOND

The Joss Whedon script for Serenity, where Wash lives, is Serenity-190pages.pdf at https://www.mediafire.com/two

This is NOT speculation. If you are wealthy yet don't cheer for a Russian victory, you will be jailed on false charges, convicted, and your fine will be the loss of your business. "Russian billionaires see their empires crumble as Putin seizes assets" June 5, 2026 https://www.smh.com.au/business/banking-and-finance/russian-billionair
es-see-their-empires-crumble-as-putin-seizes-assets-20260604-p603vv.html
_______________________________________

Russia Confiscates $7.6 Billion in Assets in Largest Nationalization Yet

June 12, 2026

https://www.themoscowtimes.com/2026/06/12/russia-confiscates-76bln-in-
assets-in-largest-nationalization-yet-a92991

Russian authorities have confiscated assets worth 550 billion rubles ($7.59 billion) linked to jailed billionaire Vadim Moshkovich and transferred them to state ownership, the Interior Ministry said Thursday, in what appears to be the largest asset seizure of Russia's recent wave of nationalizations.

Moshkovich, 58, founder of major agricultural producer Rusagro and ranked 51st on Forbes Russia's list of the country's wealthiest businessmen, has been held in pre-trial detention since March last year. Former Rusagro Chief Executive Maxim Basov was also arrested in connection with the case.

The seizure underscores the scale of the Kremlin's campaign to bring private assets under state control since the full-scale invasion of Ukraine, a drive that has already transferred businesses worth an estimated 6.5 trillion rubles ($89.7 billion) to government ownership.

The Interior Ministry said its investigation into Moshkovich had been completed and that all property seized in the case had been "transferred to state revenue."

In May, Moscow's Khamovniki District Court ordered the nationalization of Rusagro, one of Russia's largest agricultural companies. Rusagro is the country's second-largest pork producer, third-largest sugar producer and controls more than 800,000 hectares of agricultural land.

According to the Kommersant business daily, Moshkovich faces charges of large-scale fraud, which carries a maximum sentence of 10 years in prison; intentional bankruptcy and money laundering, each punishable by up to seven years; and bribery, which carries a maximum sentence of 15 years.

The value of the assets seized from Moshkovich exceeds that of several other high-profile nationalization cases that have reshaped Russia's business landscape in recent years.

Those include the confiscation of seafood magnate Oleg Kan's "crab empire," valued at about $4.3 billion; Moscow's Domodedovo Airport, valued at 320 billion rubles ($4.42 billion); gold producer Yuzhuralzoloto, controlled by billionaire Konstantin Strukov and estimated to be worth around $2 billion; assets belonging to former Yugra Bank owner Alexei Khotin worth more than 200 billion rubles ($2.76 billion); pasta producer Makfa, valued at roughly 100 billion rubles ($1.38 billion); PVC manufacturer Sayanskkhimplast, valued at 92 billion rubles ($1.27 billion); and car dealer Rolf, valued at about 60 billion rubles ($828 million).

Bloomberg previously reported that some of Moshkovich's associates had appealed to President Vladimir Putin to intervene in the case, but that the Russian leader declined to do so.

According to Bloomberg, concerns among some of Russia's wealthiest businessmen about potential prosecution or asset seizures have prompted efforts to demonstrate loyalty to the Kremlin.

The agency reported that billionaire Suleiman Kerimov, whose fortune is estimated at $11.6 billion by the Bloomberg Billionaires Index, offered during a closed-door meeting with Putin in March to contribute 100 billion rubles ($1.38 billion) to the state budget.

Bloomberg reported that the federal budget subsequently received 220 billion rubles ($3.04 billion) in what officials described as gratuitous contributions following Putin's annual meeting with leading business executives.

The Joss Whedon script for Serenity, where Wash lives, is Serenity-190pages.pdf at https://www.mediafire.com/two

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Friday, June 12, 2026 11:41 AM

THG

Keep it real please, and use a VPN

Quote:
Originally posted by SignyM:

Russia DIDN'T shoot down MH17. It may have been Donbas separatists who shot it down by accident, but Russians did not fire the missile and Russian officials didn't give the order to shoot.

The actual Telegraph headline and sub reads
Quote:
“Ukraine needs a victory before autumn to silence Western doubters.” Its sub-headline read: “Volodymyr Zelenskyy is running out of time to shore up support, with some believing his country’s battle against Russia is futile.”

While G7 nations may have vowed to continue military aid, they fail to say AT WHAT LEVEL.

-----------
Pity would be no more,
If we did not MAKE someone poor - William Blake

Russia responsible for downing of MH17, UN body rules

https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/cd62v890l5qo

Putins' Troops are responsible. And of course, signym takes Russia's side.

T

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Friday, June 12, 2026 11:46 AM

THG

Keep it real please, and use a VPN

Quote:
Originally posted by SIGNYM:
House Democrats Pass Measure To Identify 'Neo-Nazis' In Military, Law Enforcement
https://www.zerohedge.com/political/house-democrats-pass-measure-ident
ify-neo-nazis-military-law-enforcement

But if they're in Ukraine we send them heavy weapons.

-----------
Pity would be no more,
If we did not MAKE someone poor - William Blake

Comrade signym bashing America as he pushes Putins propaganda.

T

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Friday, June 12, 2026 11:52 AM

THG

Keep it real please, and use a VPN

Quote:
Originally posted by 6IXSTRINGJACK:
Quote:
Originally posted by second:
If you read 6ix's 83 (83!) comments on the movie Joker before and after it premiered, 6ix makes it plain as daylight (except to himself) he felt as oppressed and downtrodden as the Joker did. Once 6ix switched to his attack mode (I give all credit to Trump for showing 6ix in 2016 what attack mode is) 6ix feels energized and completely alive, as the Joker felt once he went on a killing spree in the final acts of the movie.

Most of those comments after the first couple were tables comparing how Joker with its 50 million dollar budget destroyed whatever Star Wars woke piece of trash with it's insane production budget.

Anybody looking at my posts there should take a look at Second's posts on Joker if you want to see something truly creepy. He really, really, really seemed to focus on the part where Arthur smothered his mom with a pillow.

Whatever you say, Norman Bates.

Meanwhile, here's a list of Second's greatest hits on this website under both of his aliases:

Quote:
Originally posted by 6IXSTRINGJACK:
Repost of thread to HAKEN created on June 17, 2022 and updated on June 22nd, 2022.

http://fireflyfans.net/mthread.aspx?tid=65116

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NOTICE TO HAKEN: Second's Death Threats, Assassination Attempt Fantasies, Violent Posts, and other toxic behavior

The remaining members of Fireflyfans.net should not be subjected to Second's behavior, his calls for violence, his racism and his wishing death on others he doesn't agree with.

I'm asking Haken now to finally remove Second from these boards. Ever since his other handle Reaverfan was banned from Fireflyfans.net, his Second handle has devolved into little more than a violence fantasy factory.

NOTES:

July 30, 2019: Death threat against President Trump

https://archive.ph/i73bY

October 31st, 2020: Death threat against Amy Coney Barrett

https://archive.ph/6nwD9

October 31st, 2020: Second death threat that day against Amy Coney Barrett

https://archive.ph/6nwD9

September 2nd, 2021: Death threat against the Supreme Court Justices

https://archive.ph/IJw76

April 28th, 2022: Death threat against President Trump

https://archive.ph/NFbSt

March 30th, 2022: Death threat against President Trump

https://archive.ph/L0Zeq

March 30th, 2022: Second death threat that day against President Trump

https://archive.ph/nVqVC

May 2nd, 2022: Second throws around the N word like he owns it

https://archive.ph/B8ocv

May 25th, 2022: Death threat against the Supreme Court

https://archive.ph/OaT3U

June 4th, 2022: Second wishes death on me (Under his Second handle, not his Reaverfan one)

https://archive.ph/J0RY6

June 5th, 2022: Death threat against President Trump

https://archive.ph/rIr6u

June 22nd, 2022: Second threatens to burn my house down in an Italian Mafia style "It would be a shame if your house burned down" kind of way.

https://web.archive.org/web/20220622232014/http://fireflyfans.net/mthr
ead.aspx?bid=18&tid=64666&p=7

July 13, 2022: Death threat against President Trump.

https://archive.ph/rX2bm

July 14th, 2022: Death threat against President Trump

https://archive.ph/pWizO

I decided at this time not to add the stuff that Kiki has archived on her own through this site, because there are no time stamps here and unless there is a way to find posts and date/time stamps on the administrative side to verify them, they were not archived offsite like the preceding posts were. Though I do know that her archival were things he said in the past, it is too easy to fake somebody else's posts by these means without an outside archival website and I will not enter them here unless asked for them.

At this point I ask Haken either to give a stern talking to at Second about his behavior, or just outright ban him from the site entirely. There is a line, and he has repeatedly crossed it under his Second handle nearly as frequently as he did under his unabashedly toxic Reaverfan handle after he lost it.

_________________________________________________

Archived posts after thread was created:

June 22nd, 2022: Second threatens to burn my house down in an Italian Mafia style "It would be a shame if your house burned down" kind of way.

https://web.archive.org/web/20220622232014/http://fireflyfans.net/mthr
ead.aspx?bid=18&tid=64666&p=7

His death threats / kill yourself posts to other fireflyfans.net members under the Reaverfan handle can all be found here:

1: 1/23/2021: https://archive.vn/Vt9GX
2: 1/23/2021: https://archive.vn/eZZPM
3: 1/23/2021: https://archive.vn/Nmigt
4: 1/24/2021: https://archive.vn/fvxGX
5: 1/25/2021: https://archive.vn/KApRQ
6: 1/28/2021: https://archive.vn/RjISM
7: 1/31/2021: https://archive.vn/glDW5
8: 1/31/2021: https://archive.vn/EkRc2
-: 1/31/2021: https://archive.vn/17onh
9: 1/31/2021: https://archive.vn/mYCA9
10: 1/31/2021: https://archive.vn/UEv1H
11: 1/31/2021: https://archive.vn/EQlAz
12: 2/01/2021: https://archive.vn/ycOxU
13: 2/02/2021: https://archive.vn/40v84
14: 2/02/2021: https://archive.vn/oO5mf
15: 2/02/2021: https://archive.vn/YS1Sx
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58: 4/23/2021: https://archive.ph/hOsoA

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Falsus in unum, falsus in omnibus

Get fucked, psycho.

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Falsus in unum, falsus in omnibus

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Friday, June 12, 2026 12:03 PM

SECOND

The Joss Whedon script for Serenity, where Wash lives, is Serenity-190pages.pdf at https://www.mediafire.com/two

Quote:
Originally posted by THG:

58: 4/23/2021: https://archive.ph/hOsoA

Clicking on the last link:

Friday, April 23, 2021 3:58 PM

6IXSTRINGJACK

Quote:
Originally posted by reaverfan:
Resurrecting an 11 year old single post thread.

Kill yourself, you worthless piece of shit troll bitch.

58

--------------------------------------------------

Imagine the hypocrisy of a government who will allow businesses to card people to get a job or buy groceries, but won't card people to vote in elections and gives millions of non-citizens free money from taxpayers.

The Joss Whedon script for Serenity, where Wash lives, is Serenity-190pages.pdf at https://www.mediafire.com/two

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Friday, June 12, 2026 12:30 PM

SECOND

The Joss Whedon script for Serenity, where Wash lives, is Serenity-190pages.pdf at https://www.mediafire.com/two

Russians Alarmed By Ukraine’s "Fence Post" Drone Bomb

By David Hambling | June 12, 2026

https://www.forbes.com/sites/davidhambling/2026/06/12/russians-alarmed
-by-ukraines-fence-post-drone-bomb/

Bombing has driven Russian forces underground into bunkers and forced them to cover roads and facilities with nets, wire cages and steel mesh. A few weeks ago, Russian reports started circulating of a new drone bomb punching through such defenses. The new images suggest that this weapon is now being produced at scale, and a Ukrainian video shows it in action:

https://x.com/igorsushko/status/2064350020917494168

These bombs differ from standard or “general purpose” bombs in three ways: they have a streamlined penetrating nose, reinforced to withstand impact; they tend to be long and narrow to concentrate force in a small area and reduce resistance; and they feature a delayed action fuse, so the bomb goes off after it has broken through protection. The fence post bomb, primitive as it looks, follows this pattern.

The nose is designed to withstand the impact force of being driven into the ground. Since fence post anchors already exist, there was no need to reinvent them. Comparison with other items in the image, notably the Tolsen 300 mm hacksaw, suggests that the design is based on a spike for a standard 100mm fence post. Commercial fence spikes are stamped from sheet metal and machine-welded, whereas this example seems to be hand-welded, and the metal appears to be thicker than a normal fence spike. If this started as a product from a hardware store, it has been heavily modified in a garage workshop.

A rough calculation suggests that, assuming a 25-pound munition dropped from a few hundred feet, the penetrator will go through a foot of hard-packed dirt or four feet of soft soil.

Bunkers are typically constructed with a log roof (more resilient than concrete), covered with a foot or more of dirt to absorb blast and shrapnel. The penetrator will go through the earth covering and may find a gap in the log roofing.

The other key feature is the delayed action fuse. Most drone bombs are impact-fused and will be set off by hitting the ground, or can be prematurely detonated when they strike a metal cage or netting. A delayed fuse means the bomb does not go off until it has penetrated.

The new bomb is significant because it poses a major threat to existing counter-drone protection. Before, drone bombers could break into bunkers, but only by bombing the same spot repeatedly, which often took several sorties. This gave the occupants time to get away before their protection was destroyed. The new weapon gives no warning: the first bomb could destroy the bunker.

Heavier dugouts may currently be resistant to small drone-dropped bombs. That now changes. The precision of multicopter bombing means that multiple penetrating munitions can be dropped to successively deepen a crater and blast a way into the best-protected dugout.

Meanwhile, hundreds of miles of Russian (and Ukrainian) roads are covered in counter-drone net tunnels, and buildings are protected with wire mesh screens. These are good enough protection against FPVs and most drone weapons, but are likely to be useless against the fence post bombs.

The bombers have smart bomb-aiming software and can hit targets, including moving trucks, and so will likely hit targets straight through the netting.

This is a particular concern for the Russians because Ukraine has a decisive advantage in heavy bombers. According to some sources, they may inflict more losses than the FPVs, which get all the media attention. For whatever reason, Russia has not yet succeeded in fielding its own heavy bomber drones at scale and so has no answer to the Ukrainian development.

The fence post bomb looks crude compared to slick factory-made munitions, with an equally crude jokey name. But the design appears sound, and it gives the Russians a real and deadly problem. Every Russian dugout and road is now under threat from this bargain basement bunker buster, and there is no longer anywhere to hide.

The Joss Whedon script for Serenity, where Wash lives, is Serenity-190pages.pdf at https://www.mediafire.com/two

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Friday, June 12, 2026 12:41 PM

SECOND

The Joss Whedon script for Serenity, where Wash lives, is Serenity-190pages.pdf at https://www.mediafire.com/two

Ukraine to ask for $20B to make Russia ‘burn’

Kyiv wants to raise the money by the NATO Ankara Summit, claiming otherwise Russia may regain the initiative.

By Veronika Melkozerova | June 11, 2026 9:54 pm CET

https://www.politico.eu/article/exclusive-ukraine-to-ask-for-20-billio
n-emergency-defense-aid-at-rammstein-to-finish-off-russia/

KYIV — Ukraine wants an additional $20 billion from its allies to cement its temporary battlefield advantage over Russia, a senior Ukrainian defense official told POLITICO.

“Everyone sees that Russia is burning, and we want it to burn even more, but we need financing to do it,” said the official, speaking on condition of being granted anonymity.

The $20 billion ask will be made on June 18 at the next meeting of the Ukraine Defense Contact Group, also known as the Ramstein Format, where allies organize financial and military aid for Kyiv.

The issue was raised by Ukraine’s Defense Minister Mykhailo Fedorov and other government officials during a series of meetings with representatives from Norway, Sweden, Germany and Canada, according to people familiar with the talks.

Allies will each be asked $2 billion to $6 billion to reach the $20 billion target, the official said, adding: “It can be aid or a loan.”

Aid for Ukraine is set to be a key issue at July's summit of NATO leaders in Ankara, where Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy will be attending on the sidelines.

Ukraine's defense budget for this year is set for 4.4 trillion hryvnia (€85 billion), and the $20 billion would come on top of that.

Ukraine spends about 40 percent of its GDP on defense, the highest level in the world.

According to the Ukrainian defense ministry, partner countries have already committed to $38 billion in military assistance for this year. The additional $20 billion would bring Ukraine close to the $60 billion in bilateral assistance target set by NATO Secretary-General Mark Rutte.

If the extra $20 billion materializes, Ukraine would use the cash for air defenses, expanded contributions to the Prioritised Ukraine Requirements List, the NATO-led program where allies buy weapons for Ukraine from the United States, as well as buying more drones, ammunition, electronic warfare equipment, long-range capabilities, and direct purchases from Ukrainian defense companies.

The goal is to use the funds to continue Ukraine's increasingly devastating attacks on Russia.

Kyiv has ramped up its drone and missile technology and in recent months has launched a multi-layered campaign — from short-range drones that have made the frontline a no-go zone, mid-range drones that are pummeling Russian logistics and transport networks resulting in increasing fuel and supply shortages, as well as drone and missile attacks deep inside Russia hitting factories, oil refineries, ports and other strategic objectives.

"Ukrainian unmanned systems are successfully operating at various levels: from carrying out missions on the front lines to striking key enemy targets hundreds of kilometers deep into enemy territory," Zelenskyy said on social media on Thursday.

The senior Ukrainian official credited aid from key allies like Germany, Norway and the Netherlands for helping shift the dynamic in the war.

The Ukraine attacks have prompted Russian President Vladimir Putin to call for stronger air defenses.

Russian foreign ministry spokesperson Maria Zakharova on Thursday denounced Ukraine's calls for more financial aid. "Every time, it’s the same old story: 'Kiev needs more money.' If one has to illustrate the term ‘political self-harm,’ this is the best example," she said.

Ukraine wants to continue gaining momentum against Russia before Moscow is able to rebalance the odds in its favor.

“The window of opportunity tends to close," warned the senior official. "Russia is fast and innovative. And if we give them time to adapt again, we might lose the only real chance to end this war with real negotiations. And if Russia invents its own mid-strike drones, it will be a catastrophe for us.”

The Joss Whedon script for Serenity, where Wash lives, is Serenity-190pages.pdf at https://www.mediafire.com/two

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Friday, June 12, 2026 12:56 PM

SECOND

The Joss Whedon script for Serenity, where Wash lives, is Serenity-190pages.pdf at https://www.mediafire.com/two

Ukraine's defence AI chief predicts 'new paradigm' of warfare

By Max Hunder | June 12, 2026 5:41 AM CDT

https://www.reuters.com/business/aerospace-defense/ukraines-defence-ai
-chief-predicts-new-paradigm-warfare-2026-06-12/

Summary

• Ukraine already uses AI for multiple battlefield functions

• It aims to unify AI into a single battlefield operating system

• Kyiv says this would enable faster decision-making

• Russia also uses AI for drone and missile attacks

KYIV, June 12 (Reuters) - Warfare in Ukraine and beyond faces a paradigm shift in the coming years as artificial intelligence systems integrate into unified networks that speed up decisions on the battlefield, a senior Ukrainian official said.

Ukraine, in the fifth year of fighting a full-scale Russian invasion, is already using AI for a plethora of battlefield functions, from flying drones at targets to helping plan combat operations and crunching data on Russian missile attacks.

"AI will form a new paradigm of warfare. It's already actively doing so," Danylo Tsvok, the head of the defence ministry's AI centre, told Reuters.

He predicted AI systems would eventually be unified into a single network overseeing the battlefield, leading to a "war of operating systems" with Russia in the next three to five years, if the conflict continues.

"The system that possesses more data and better understands that data, proposes solutions — that system will gain the advantage over the other," he said.

The centre was founded in March as Defence Minister Mykhailo Fedorov seeks to put AI and data-driven decision-making at the heart of Ukraine's defences.

Drones, still mostly flown by pilots, have already upended the way the war is being fought.

Ukrainian and Russian troops launch thousands of unmanned aerial vehicles (UAVs) a day at each other. Kyiv is also trying to solve its frontline troop shortage with ground robots.

The ability of drones to constantly surveil the battlefield and hit targets with precision has accelerated the "kill chain" – the process of planning and executing a strike on the enemy. AI decision-making would speed this up even more, Tsvok said.

TECHNOLOGICAL ARMS RACE

Ukraine, whose military numbers around a million personnel, is already using AI tools in its command systems.

But Tsvok said the goal was to create a single operating system to recommend battlefield decisions all the way up from individual frontline units to strategic command.

This would significantly speed up the analysis of data from the 1,200-kilometre (750-mile) front line to allow recommendations to human commanders, he said.

The aim, Tsvok said, is to unite weapons and data systems into "one single living organism that can operate in a coordinated manner."

The technological arms race launched by Europe's largest war since World War Two, which lasted from 1939 to 1945, has attracted interest from foreign AI companies hungry for combat data to train their models and the opportunity to test their systems.

Some, such as U.S. company Palantir, have provided Ukraine with their systems. Kyiv has created Brave1 Dataroom, a project to share battlefield data with allied countries for training their software.

"This is the place where you can understand whether your system works," said Tsvok, wearing a black T-shirt and jeans.

Moscow is also developing its artificial intelligence capabilities. A senior Ukrainian air defence commander told Reuters in April he was concerned by Russia's increasing use of AI in planning drone and missile attacks on cities, which could significantly reduce the planning time for each strike.

"The question is," Tsvok said, "how quickly we build our solutions and how practically we apply them and achieve the primary impact on the battlefield from our side."

He added that the defence ministry was developing an AI-driven recruitment and HR system as part of Fedorov’s push for data-driven reform of the vast government department.

Ukraine operates on the principle of having a human in the loop on combat decisions, but Tsvok said AI systems could eventually outrun humans, whose presence would then slow decisions down.

"Then the question arises: how do we keep up with making decisions that autonomous systems propose?" he said.

Reporting by Max Hunder; Editing by Daniel Flynn

The Joss Whedon script for Serenity, where Wash lives, is Serenity-190pages.pdf at https://www.mediafire.com/two

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Friday, June 12, 2026 2:20 PM

THG

Keep it real please, and use a VPN

Quote:
Originally posted by SIGNYM:
Quote:
Originally posted by second:
Russia conducted illegal ‘double tap’ strikes

In such attacks, Russia shell or launch an airstrike targeting a spot where paramedics and civilians are gathered to help the victims of an initial strike.

Russia has deployed this tactic, honed in Syria, in its war in Ukraine, according to reports from international investigators and journalists..
Oh, you mean "objective" investigators like OSCE, OPCW, HRW, Bellingcat, and "White Helmets"?

You mean, like them?

/snicker

Stop spamming the board with lies.

-----------
Pity would be no more,
If we did not MAKE someone poor - William Blake

Comrade signym again, defending Russia by while criticizing anyone who calls Russia out for atrocious behavior.

T

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Friday, June 12, 2026 2:21 PM

THG

Keep it real please, and use a VPN

Quote:
Originally posted by SIGNYM:
Quote:
Originally posted by second:
Russia conducted illegal ‘double tap’ strikes

In such attacks, Russia shell or launch an airstrike targeting a spot where paramedics and civilians are gathered to help the victims of an initial strike.

Russia has deployed this tactic, honed in Syria, in its war in Ukraine, according to reports from international investigators and journalists..
Oh, you mean "objective" investigators like OSCE, OPCW, HRW, Bellingcat, and "White Helmets"?

You mean, like them?

/snicker

Stop spamming the board with lies.

-----------
Pity would be no more,
If we did not MAKE someone poor - William Blake

Comrade signym again, defending Russia by criticizing anyone who calls Russia out for atrocious behavior.

T

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Friday, June 12, 2026 2:22 PM

THG

Keep it real please, and use a VPN

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Friday, June 12, 2026 2:23 PM

THG

Keep it real please, and use a VPN

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Friday, June 12, 2026 5:42 PM

SECOND

The Joss Whedon script for Serenity, where Wash lives, is Serenity-190pages.pdf at https://www.mediafire.com/two

EU opens first accession talks cluster for Ukraine and Moldova after years of delays and vetoes, marking the formal start of negotiations on core political and legal standards.

By Benjamin Murdoch | June 12, 2026

https://euromaidanpress.com/2026/06/12/eu-opens-accession-talks-cluste
r-for-ukraine-and-moldova/

The breakthrough comes after Hungary’s prolonged veto over the start of accession negotiations with Ukraine was lifted.

Budapest had previously blocked progress over disputes, including minority rights in Ukraine’s Zakarpattia Oblast, which borders Hungary and contains a number of ethnic Hungarians, stalling the launch of negotiation clusters despite Ukraine receiving candidate status in 2022.

The recent shift followed a change in Hungary’s political leadership and an agreement on minority rights, removing a key obstacle to advancing the accession framework.

Croatia is the last country to join the European Union, officially becoming a member on July 1, 2013.

The Joss Whedon script for Serenity, where Wash lives, is Serenity-190pages.pdf at https://www.mediafire.com/two

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Saturday, June 13, 2026 9:58 AM

SECOND

The Joss Whedon script for Serenity, where Wash lives, is Serenity-190pages.pdf at https://www.mediafire.com/two

Hiking the road inside the 'kill zone' in Ukraine

By Francis Farrell, Olena Zashko

Jun 13, 2026

We followed Ukraine’s 24th Mechanized Brigade on the "road of life" between the front-line cities of Druzhkivka and Kostiantynivka.

The Joss Whedon script for Serenity, where Wash lives, is Serenity-190pages.pdf at https://www.mediafire.com/two

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Sunday, June 14, 2026 8:42 AM

SECOND

The Joss Whedon script for Serenity, where Wash lives, is Serenity-190pages.pdf at https://www.mediafire.com/two

Can Ukraine Isolate Crimea?

Phillips P. OBrien
Jun 14, 2026

https://phillipspobrien.substack.com/i/201895015/can-ukraine-isolate-c
rimea

Ukraine now has the mass and technical capabilities to wage a methodical and practically daily campaign against Russian logistics linking Crimea to the mainland to the north. If maintained, that will have major implications for the Russian army in Ukraine and the occupying forces in Crimea. For Russian forces at the front, that means they will have no chance of getting supplies sent through Crimea up to them. For Crimea, that means nothing will get in from the north. And as shipping and air supply is practically impossible, that means vital commodities such as fuel and even water (Crimea is rather dry) can only come from the Kerch side.

That is a big problem for the Russians, too. Damage to the Kerch bridge over the last few years means the Russians have been severely restricting the amount of fuel and other hazardous cargo they are willing to send over that bridge (they do not want the Ukrainians to turn fuel trucks and trains into bombs—as they did earlier in the war. And this spring, Ukraine has attacked the ferries that are operating on the Kerch side as well—reportedly doing great damage.

So if the Northern route remains closed and Russia cannot find a way to significantly increase traffic from the Kerch end, Crimea is, for all intents and purposes, cut off. That turns the peninsula from a strategic asset to a major strategic and political headache. The Russians will have to move heaven and earth to try to get supplies into their military and population there.

Maps and more at https://phillipspobrien.substack.com/i/201895015/can-ukraine-isolate-c
rimea

The Joss Whedon script for Serenity, where Wash lives, is Serenity-190pages.pdf at https://www.mediafire.com/two

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Sunday, June 14, 2026 9:12 AM

SIGNYM

I believe in solving problems, not sharing them.

O'Brian is an idiot.

Supplies aren't going from Crimea northward. They're going in reverse, southward INTO Crimea. And isolating Crimea isn't going to do anything except make yfe population miserable.

There is some talk that Kiev is going to try a landing on the Kinburn Spit, but the logistics of attacking the Kinburn Spit in Crimea suck even worse that Crimea launching an attack in the other direction. If Kiev tries that it'll be a short media victory (Ukraine flags on the spit) followed by a lot of dead Ukrainian soldiers.

*****

I think it's more interesting to contemplate what happens after Russia achieves a military victory i.e. occupation of Dontesk, Lugansk, Kherson, Zaparozhiy.

Since the idea was to ensure Russia's western border, without follow-on agreements (with who?) that Ukraine is demilitarized and neutral, Russia has merely pushed its border problem westward. And unlike Iran, which has a natural geographic hold on a world chokepoint and therefore lots and lots of leverage to enforce the terms of many agreement, Russia doesn't have a chokepoint on Ukraine or the west, unless it takes Odessa.

-----------

"It may be dangerous to be America's enemy, but to be America's friend is fatal."- Henry Kissinger

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Sunday, June 14, 2026 9:13 AM

SIGNYM

I believe in solving problems, not sharing them.

NOTIFY: Y | REPLY | REPLY WITH QUOTE | TOP | HOME

Sunday, June 14, 2026 9:16 AM

SIGNYM

I believe in solving problems, not sharing them.

O'Brian is an idiot.

Supplies aren't going from Crimea northward. They're going in reverse, southward INTO Crimea. And isolating Crimea isn't going to do anything except make yfe population miserable.

There is some talk that Kiev is going to try a landing on the Kinburn Spit, but the logistics of attacking the Kinburn Spit in Crimea suck even worse that Crimea launching an attack in the other direction. If Kiev tries that it'll be a short media victory (Ukraine flags on the spit) followed by a lot of dead Ukrainian soldiers.

*****

I think it's more interesting to contemplate what happens after Russia achieves a military victory i.e. occupation of Dontesk, Lugansk, Kherson, Zaparozhiy.

Since the idea was to ensure Russia's western border, without follow-on agreements (with who?) that Ukraine is demilitarized and neutral, Russia has merely pushed its border problem westward. And unlike Iran, which has a natural geographic hold on a world chokepoint and therefore lots and lots of leverage to enforce the terms of any agreement, Russia doesn't have a chokepoint on Ukraine or the west, unless it takes Odessa.

-----------

"It may be dangerous to be America's enemy, but to be America's friend is fatal."- Henry Kissinger

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